#  @DziedzicInvest Dziedzic Investment 🟠 🇵🇱 | Dziedzic Investment 🟠 🇵🇱 | posts on X about market, in the, cryptocurrency, bear the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1955623890593497088/interactions)  ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1955623890593497088/posts_active)  ### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1955623890593497088/followers)  ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1955623890593497088/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [exchanges](/list/exchanges) [currencies](/list/currencies) [stocks](/list/stocks) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [countries](/list/countries) [vc firms](/list/vc-firms) [financial services](/list/financial-services) **Social topic influence** [market](/topic/market), [in the](/topic/in-the), [cryptocurrency](/topic/cryptocurrency) #3010, [bear](/topic/bear) #1597, [we are](/topic/we-are), [crypto](/topic/crypto), [bull](/topic/bull) #1619, [investment](/topic/investment) #3597, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #6687, [future](/topic/future) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@tedpillows](/creator/undefined) [@joaowedson](/creator/undefined) [@quintenfrancois](/creator/undefined) [@cryptoquantcom](/creator/undefined) [@jameseastonuk](/creator/undefined) [@washigorira](/creator/undefined) [@ittechpl](/creator/undefined) [@cryptojellenl](/creator/undefined) [@bbambolot](/creator/undefined) [@misterspread](/creator/undefined) [@scottmelker](/creator/undefined) [@maxcrypto](/creator/undefined) [@cryptorover](/creator/undefined) [@jamaartun](/creator/undefined) [@3orovik](/creator/undefined) [@vitalikbuterin](/creator/undefined) [@coinbureau](/creator/undefined) [@intocryptoverse](/creator/undefined) [@mateuszczarnyx](/creator/undefined) [@binance](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [AZTEC (AZTEC)](/topic/$aztec) [Ondo (ONDO)](/topic/$ondo) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/$eth) [Chainlink (LINK)](/topic/$link) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [USDC (USDC)](/topic/usdc) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@coinbureau Just as a bull market needs its new heroes and narratives so does a bear market.Last cycle FTX Celcius - this bear market it could be DAT team" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/1992921440413528504) 2025-11-24T11:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@rektfencer He just believe in ETH like Saylor in BTC. For them price is not matter.what is weird 😂" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/1993015108780609777) 2025-11-24T17:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The potential of such behaviour helped me exit the market. Unfortunately we still know very little about 10/10 and the consequences this will have for the market. It is unclear whether any companies in the industry will have to dispose of their cryptocurrencies to pay off their liabilities or whether any companies are actually on the verge of collapse. Skeletons may continue to fall out of the closet for some time" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/1993270999098274248) 2025-11-25T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@MarieeDOT_TezoS @Davincij15 Agree with this 😂" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/1993661526847443098) 2025-11-26T12:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@GuyTalksFinance You are comparing annual declines that lasted throughout specific bear markets to only the beginning of the bear market deliberately misleading people into believing that a rebound towards ATH can be expected soon" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/1993719234380378507) 2025-11-26T16:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@iLiquidatebots Following history BTC is now on bear market and better strategy is to accumulate USD than BTC. Your target seems to be okay for the NEXT cycle" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2005602421347905591) 2025-12-29T11:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Bitcoin is already in a bear market as it always is every four years. There is a high probability that there was no classic blow-off top just like in [----]. Such extreme scenarios are only intended to stir up emotions among observers which leads to a distortion of common sense. Calm analysis always first. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006096511135109505 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006096511135109505" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2006096511135109505) 2025-12-30T20:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@galaxyBTC The problem with such trend lines is that they break during a bear market which according to cyclicality has already begun. In such a scenario buying at such levels for any medium or long term is a very bad idea" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2007077401759793530) 2026-01-02T13:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@joao_wedson Nearly three months of bear market beginning to show on on-chain indicators" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2007135726820098114) 2026-01-02T17:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@joao_wedson Currently the crypto market is in such a state that it is worth waiting until I decide whether this is a dead cat bounce or the last leg down followed by a rebound. There will always be an opportunity to invest" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2007142436238418175) 2026-01-02T17:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@TedPillows In Q1 the cryptocurrency market should experience a dead cat bounce so DAT companies may also experience this. Just keep in mind that declines are most likely to occur later this year" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2007500957509398629) 2026-01-03T17:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@TedPillows In Q1 the cryptocurrency market should experience a dead cat bounce so DAT companies may also experience this. Just keep in mind that declines are most likely to occur later this year" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2007503315316420705) 2026-01-03T17:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@MerlijnTrader The trend associated with stablecoins appears to be the fundamental trend of the future bull market at least some stage of the bull market" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008093283621429277) 2026-01-05T08:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "#DziedzicAnalysis January [----] 1/4🧵 This analysis opens the first series of #DziedzicAnalysis publications in [----]. Recent geopolitical events including the situation in Venezuela increase the likelihood of heightened volatility in both international politics and financial markets. In the coming weeks we can expect more macroeconomic and geopolitical impulses that may affect the valuation of risky assets. [--]. Macroeconomic environment I traditionally begin my analysis with the macroeconomic situation which provides the backdrop for the equity and cryptocurrency markets. In recent weeks the US" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819) 2026-01-05T16:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "2. Stock market 2/4🧵 The VIX volatility index has been steadily declining in recent weeks reaching levels around [--] points. Historically these are areas from which the VIX has often initiated dynamic upward movements leading to increased volatility and corrections in the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Of course a scenario of prolonged consolidation in the [------] range cannot be ruled out but the current positioning of Commercial on the VIX indicates an increased risk of a breakout. The S&P [---] index chart also offers little evidence to support the continuation of a strong upward trend." [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215446802080088) 2026-01-05T16:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "3. Crypto market 3/4🧵 The cryptocurrency market is currently in a consolidation phase after the strongest correction since the [----] bear market low. Selling pressure from American investors has weakened creating room for a technical rebound. For Bitcoin the key resistance area remains the USD 94000-96000 zone. A sustained break above this level could open the way for a move towards USD [------] and above but such a scenario should be viewed as a corrective rebound rather than the start of a new bull market. A Hash Ribbon BUY signal has been activated on Bitcoin which has historically been" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215826323652794) 2026-01-05T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "4. Summary 4/4🧵 In my opinion the cryptocurrency market has been in a bear market since the beginning of October. The current portfolio structure assumes approximately 98% exposure in USD and 2% market exposure limited exclusively to $ZEN. I treat the current increases as a classic dead cat bouncecorrection and in some segments as a potential exit pump. In line with market cyclicality we are currently in a time window where a return to normal is possible. In the coming weeks I will therefore be looking for a favourable moment to close the remaining micro position( $ZEN ) and preparing to" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008217086774956276) 2026-01-05T16:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@Bitcoin_Teddy Unfortunately cyclicality and the VIX based on the COT report may thwart these plans" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008220517879161218) 2026-01-05T16:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TedPillows A few days ago the VIX was at a level not seen in a year. The last time it rose it did so very rapidly" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008221421944611074) 2026-01-05T16:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@joao_wedson In simple terms investing in altcoins at present is similar to gambling unfortunately" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008596745568256430) 2026-01-06T17:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@Washigorira During the bull market we saw downward corrections in the price of BTC along with short periods of outflows from ETFs. During a bear market it is natural to see upward corrections in the price of BTC along with short periods of inflows into ETFs" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008862280432468073) 2026-01-07T11:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "#DziedzicStrategy 1/3 🧵 Market expectations In my opinion the broad cryptocurrency market remains in a bear market phase. This assessment applies to the entire sector as an asset class rather than to individual projects or selected altcoin segments. The key factors here are overall market sentiment the cyclical nature of Bitcoin and the structure of medium- and long-term trends. In addition the macroeconomic environment continues to be characterised by heightened uncertainty. Dangerous divergences in the stock market limited liquidity fund cash levels and the risk of an economic slowdown" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008950119022944435) 2026-01-07T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Main principles of the strategy 2/3🧵 Under such conditions the primary objective of the strategy remains capital preservation and maintaining decision-making flexibility. For most of this year I assume a cautious approach in which potential price movements will be treated primarily as tactical opportunities rather than signals for aggressively increasing market exposure. Portfolio structure The current structure of the investment portfolio is as follows: [--]. 47.13% USDC/USDT without staking [--]. 38.25% USDC on staking (5%) [--]. 13.26% USDC allocated for current market trading (both long and short" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008950344156401757) 2026-01-07T17:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Outlook 3/3 🧵 The current market structure indicates growing exhaustion among participants and increasing hopes for a rapid return to growth both in Bitcoin and in the altcoin market. After several days of rebound expectations of levels around USD [------] are becoming more common which can be interpreted as a sign of impatience and emotional involvement on the part of investors. From my perspective it remains crucial to remain calm and allow the market to reveal its next impulse. Only the price structure will allow us to assess whether the observed movement was merely a corrective rebound or" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008950515720171692) 2026-01-07T17:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@52kskew Unfortunately this is probably not a long-term accumulation" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008957772008931356) 2026-01-07T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "During a bear market for BTC and a frightened street the probability of an altseason (not to be confused with the growth of a specific project) is close to 0%. It is not worth losing money at the moment as a bearish divergence is looming on the S&P. Patiently waiting for a better R/R ratio is currently the best strategy. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008959158645592126 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008959158645592126" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008959158645592126) 2026-01-07T17:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@IT_Tech_PL @cryptoquant_com The current behaviour of BTC indicates redistribution rather than accumulation and it is good to know that on-chain data such as this suggests the same" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008960763072053407) 2026-01-07T17:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@DaanCrypto It is more likely that we are currently in a period of crypto redistribution rather than long-term accumulation" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008961214253355127) 2026-01-07T17:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "1/3 🧵 As you can see from my posts I believe that we are in a bear market for cryptocurrencies. Any increases in such a market are an opportunity to sell your spot positions and play the market with short positions. So it's time to look at the past and outline a baseline scenario for a potential dead cat bounce which regularly occurs during a bear market on many assets. BTC bear market [----] in USD BTC reached its bull market peak (red line) [---] days earlier than gold (black line). In contrast the DCB peak ended [--] days after the gold/USD peak (yellow line). The current" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956) 2026-01-07T18:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "2/3🧵 If the situation were to repeat itself: Bear market 2025-2025 in USD BTC reached its peak on [--] October [----] (red line) while the peak for gold should be around [--] January [----] (black line). The DCB peak on the other hand should be around [--] February [----]. (yellow line) After [---] days BTC would find the bottom of its bear market on [--] October [----] there is a high probability that this period will be the best time to accumulate BTC for the next bull market. Not now. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008964139486449736 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008964139486449736" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008964139486449736) 2026-01-07T18:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/3🧵 What is more BTC currently looks as if it has formed a triangle which often indicates a continuation of the trend rather than a change in direction. This formation is only a complement to the main scenario which could potentially help in finding the optimal point for taking a short position. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008964347448480177 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008964347448480177" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008964347448480177) 2026-01-07T18:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@david_eng_mba I agree the end of January to February will be the peak of the dead cat bounce in this cycle. This also coincides with the timing of the previous bear market which I analysed on my profile: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956 1/3 🧵 As you can see from my posts I believe that we are in a bear market for cryptocurrencies. Any increases in such a market are an opportunity to sell your spot positions and play the market with short positions. So it's time to look at the past and outline a baseline https://t.co/eDufIX8SyI" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008964389479624991) 2026-01-07T18:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@OnChainCollege @binance @BitcoinMagPro Could you publish a photo with a longer time horizon so that it has greater analytical value In order to accurately analyse this fragment it should be compared with the period at the beginning of [----] and checked whether negative funding definitely means an imminent rebound" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008969037141954791) 2026-01-07T18:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@seth_fin @glassnode During the bull market we saw downward corrections in the price of BTC along with short periods of outflows from ETFs. During a bear market it is natural to see upward corrections in the price of BTC along with short periods of inflows into ETFs" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008969573589307800) 2026-01-07T18:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@WolverCrypto @MikybullCrypto According to the cyclical nature of BTC it was supposed to peak in the first half of October i.e. in the first month of Q4 followed by declines. Unfortunately only people who are unfamiliar with the real cyclical nature of BTC wrote this and sought attention" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008971920855977991) 2026-01-07T18:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Beyond the chart for the Altcoin season to take place there must be an inflow of retail investors who will not be scared off by a BTC decline as has happened twice already in this bull market. So the absolutely key factor is a steady rise in BTC. Which in the context of a likely bear market will be very difficult. In short this is not really the time for altcoins. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008973160419610690 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008973160419610690" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008973160419610690) 2026-01-07T18:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Freedom_By_40 Everyone is too bearish. in my information bubble it's quite the opposite. After a few days in the green people started demanding 100k for BTC and an imminent altseason which is apparently just around the corner" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008973676587487514) 2026-01-07T18:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Alphractal The yield curve has been warning of a recession for some time. It has always been accurate and this time it has not yet had a significant impact on stocks" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009186814838628451) 2026-01-08T08:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The entire bull market played out practically in line with cyclicality so why should it differ significantly from this bear market in terms of cyclicality Of course there are changes but they are natural. ETFs had to appear if we wanted to have a bull market; the higher the market cap the more capital/institutional capital has to appear. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009197944495329602 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009197944495329602" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009197944495329602) 2026-01-08T09:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "For altcoins to perform well there needs to be steady growth in BTC over a longer period of time which has not been the case in this bull market. Either BTC grew too quickly or once it had grown sufficiently and retail investors wanted to invest BTC began to fall for several months scaring those investors away. These are the main reasons for the lack of street participation and consequently outstanding altcoin results. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009200118075969697 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009200118075969697" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009200118075969697) 2026-01-08T09:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "After views on crypto-related channels there were two moments when views increased and subscriptions grew on these channels. In both cases BTC later acted as a scarecrow. First after reaching a new ATH before halving it fell into a correction lasting around [--] months second time followed by a sharp correction from around 100k in January [----]. Additionally it is worth remembering that ETFs on altcoins were ultimately created together with companies that DAT that bought not only BTC. This did not change the sentiment for altcoins anyway. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009207810995654852" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009207810995654852) 2026-01-08T10:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I see that many people are laughing at the approach of playing according to the cyclical nature of the cryptocurrency market. I don't quite understand this since throughout the entire bull market $BTC behaved in accordance with cyclicality. - The trough of the cycle was in November [----] in line with cyclicality - Increases before halving in line with cyclicality - Rebound after halving in line with cyclicality - Peak on BTC in September/October [----] perfectly in line with cyclicality. We have also seen all the significant BTC behaviours from previous cycles. The only surprise was that BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009317320460566978) 2026-01-08T17:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TedPillows Always Did it break through this level during the two-year bull market and remain below it for a long time during the bear market" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009325445268074783) 2026-01-08T18:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TedPillows A false upward breakout could definitely occur before the second part of the bear market. I definitely agree" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009326219314241694) 2026-01-08T18:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Karman_1s A visible bear flag that usually breaks downwards" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009327533758792188) 2026-01-08T18:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The launch of investment products does not guarantee an increase in the price of the underlying asset. An example of this is the ETH ETF and the lack of growth in ETH following its launch. Morgan Stanley is expanding into the cryptocurrency space with a view to offering comprehensive services in the coming years. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009341624074293320 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009341624074293320" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009341624074293320) 2026-01-08T19:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "How is it possible that you are correctly comparing two periods of time while drawing such extremely different conclusions Why did you cut the graph from [----] at this point without showing the rest of the decline You should take care of your followers and not mislead them as you have done here. I'm not saying that the situation has to be 1:1 but with such a comparison it's worth doing it properly. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009345818654867490 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009345818654867490" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009345818654867490) 2026-01-08T19:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@cryptofergani This means that both gold and silver may experience a correction soon. 🙂" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009350469106520117) 2026-01-08T19:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@iamjosephyoung The fundamentals of ETH and its use are very strong so you can rest assured about the future of ETH including the future bull market. Any declines will likely be caused solely by artificial fear among investors who are not sufficiently interested in the fundamentals" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009351710440075435) 2026-01-08T19:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@MikybullCrypto I think that the triangle below which did not show any breakout but only movements within the triangle is a better formation to observe. I have written more about this on my profile: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008964347448480177 3/3🧵 What is more BTC currently looks as if it has formed a triangle which often indicates a continuation of the trend rather than a change in direction. This formation is only a complement to the main scenario which could potentially help in finding the optimal point for https://t.co/h3MY2F94ia" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009553634061668679) 2026-01-09T09:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@FefeDemeny Potentially high volatility awaits us today but I am not sure whether polymarket will be right this time" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009557592314675583) 2026-01-09T09:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Beyond the trend lines: [--]. We have bearish divergences in the traditional market. [--]. According to new COT reports institutional positions indicate an increase in DXY and an increase in VIX = both indicate declines in the risky asset market. [--]. The cash position of funds is at a record low. [--]. BTC is forming a bearish flag/triangle - both formations indicate the same thing i.e. a continuation of the decline. Returning to the trend lines they work for a while but when they finally break at some point the losses are very painful. There are many indications of further declines as I described in" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009560140349939721) 2026-01-09T09:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "According to my logic the trend line is not a key factor but only one factor among many. [--]. Bearish divergence although it does not always give correct signals of course often proves to be accurate. [--]. You can see the COT data for DXY and VIX in the attached image. Besides you yourself said that DXY is at its lowest so the potential for decline is significantly limited = correction on risky assets. [--]. I am also attaching a 1D BTC chart where the triangle is clearly visible. Divergences or trend lines should never be the only element of analysis because they can give false signals - I" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009564964940374471) 2026-01-09T09:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "You are right but the reason for this is the lack of retail investors on the market for almost the entire bull market. As a rule a lot of on-chain data is based on BTC movements in a short period of time when there is interest from the street. When there is no interest from the street and therefore no retail investors such data can be misleading. In this bull market there was a different type of investor who had access to the OTC market which escapes many on-chain indicators. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009609962750615857 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009609962750615857" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009609962750615857) 2026-01-09T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Can you share this data for the period from the end of [----] to the first half of [----] It is highly likely that this period is the closest to the current one so such data would provide the best picture. Comparing the bull market with the beginning of the bear market in accordance with cyclicality may lead to erroneous conclusions and investment decisions. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009612806727864548 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009612806727864548" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009612806727864548) 2026-01-09T13:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@QuintenFrancois Really The chart below shows my new analysis and comparison of the [----] gold peak and how BTC behaved at that time: both before and after the gold peak. Data and its context are always as accurate as the person analysing it. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956 1/3 🧵 As you can see from my posts I believe that we are in a bear market for cryptocurrencies. Any increases in such a market are an opportunity to sell your spot positions and play the market with short positions. So it's time to look at the past and outline a baseline https://t.co/eDufIX8SyI" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009614072929787944) 2026-01-09T13:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@cryptoquant_com That's the point now on-chain data will slowly begin to show the bear market we've been experiencing for three months" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009660695990976909) 2026-01-09T16:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "#DziedzicThoughts My [--] predictions for [----]. [--]. A large bank or corporation such as Amazon will create and launch its own L1. [--]. A larger number of applications/projects will actually share profits. [--]. ICOs will return to favour and projects with the greatest potential will be launched there. [--]. There will be no ATH for BTC this year. [--]. At least three DAT-type companies will be forced to sell their cryptocurrencies which will drag crypto towards the bottom of the bear market. [--]. The situation in Venezuela will not be an isolated incident; there will be more geopolitical shocks this year." [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009668580955025755) 2026-01-09T16:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The problem with this line is that it has been respected since the beginning of the bull market in [----]. Currently a large part of the CT is wondering whether this is already a bear market in line with cyclicality. However for a bear market to actually occur this line must break. Therefore I believe that relying on this trend line is unnecessary. There are many other factors that are better to analyse. I am in the bearish camp which I regularly present on my profile based on analysis and I presented this as one of the points of my predictions for this year." [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009670989928345827) 2026-01-09T16:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I agree with the last statement. The market is most likely in a bear market but the current price has an unfavourable R/R ratio. It is better to wait for higher prices and take a short position or wait until BTC starts SPRING with Wyckoff's accumulation and then play for growth at least for a Dead Cat Bounce. I described this in detail in my weekly account report: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008950119022944435 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008950119022944435" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009672724000506213) 2026-01-09T17:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Huminiecki W 2022r. Zoto osigno szczyt po szczycie na BTC. Nie byo adnej rotacji. Tym razem moe by podobnie. Przedstawiem to tutaj: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956 1/3 🧵 As you can see from my posts I believe that we are in a bear market for cryptocurrencies. Any increases in such a market are an opportunity to sell your spot positions and play the market with short positions. So it's time to look at the past and outline a baseline https://t.co/eDufIX8SyI https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956 1/3 🧵 As you can see from my posts I believe that we are" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009674804107063467) 2026-01-09T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@MisterSpread Yes yes I agree a short position doesn't make sense here. A long position doesn't make much sense either because we don't know what level we will reach with DCB so we have to wait patiently" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009676484806619177) 2026-01-09T17:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Declines such as the one on [--] October will occur regularly for one simple reason. greed. People are greedy by nature so they invest using leverage. If leveraged capital grows to enormous levels again a large retest of OI will be a natural consequence. This is the nature of capital markets not just crypto. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009678546491396343 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009678546491396343" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009678546491396343) 2026-01-09T17:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JamesEastonUK Even during a bear market there will be upward corrections and pumps on some altcoins. However this is a very risky strategy" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009959221924897012) 2026-01-10T12:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TedPillows DAT companies were a sign of the end of the bull market in crypto and in my opinion there is a good chance that some of them will be forced to sell crypto in the current bear market. Which incidentally is one of my predictions for [----]. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009668580955025755 #DziedzicThoughts My [--] predictions for [----]. [--]. A large bank or corporation such as Amazon will create and launch its own L1. [--]. A larger number of applications/projects will actually share profits. [--]. ICOs will return to favour and projects with the greatest potential will" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009961375398027635) 2026-01-10T12:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "As usual most of the market will say that it is a bear market when there is no longer any point in selling. It made sense to sell in November [----] and October [----]. The upcoming rebound in the crypto market will be the last opportunity before a full-scale bear market where everyone will already know that it is a bear market. Selling all my crypto at the beginning of November was the best decision I could have made at the time. Not once since then has crypto returned to those levels. (I am of course referring to the projects I owned such as $DOGE and $ONDO). I have been talking about this on" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009963554129031383) 2026-01-10T12:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Could you write more about this indicator I don't see its name or anything. Macroeconomics and the traditional market which is more important than the cryptocurrency market are sending clear warning signals that may disrupt the functioning of this indicator. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009969471255965797) 2026-01-10T12:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@jjcmoreno @cryptoquant_com Based on historical data this indicator unfortunately does not bode well for BTC. The miner has really good timing" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010012337001115884) 2026-01-10T15:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@OnChainMind We are still a few months away from the bottom of the bear market. During this time the index will probably rise unfortunately" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010013176205848801) 2026-01-10T15:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@arcamids Crazy because it's simply unbelievable. It will be very difficult for altcoins to grow by more than 100% in [----] (at least until the end of Q3) since reliable fundamentals warn us about the traditional market and we are in a bear market in the crypto market" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010018624602591645) 2026-01-10T15:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@cryptorover To be fair it is worth mentioning that in the same document where this prediction is made Vaneck warns that ETH could also reach [---]. First a thorough analysis and verification of the data ➡ Quality posts/analyses on X" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010019305505911164) 2026-01-10T16:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "It's a shame that this screenshot is fake. Basing any investment decisions on something like this is tantamount to gambling not investing. We are currently in a bear market for cryptocurrencies and there are dangerous signs on the traditional market. I mentioned the other factors on my profile in Monday's analysis - another analysis will also be available on Monday :) So we will see 190K but in about [--] years. Definitely not in [----]. I can bet on that. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010021733479194685) 2026-01-10T16:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@markchadwickx I think that in four or five months altcoins may begin to form an accumulation structure that will last for another five months. This chart may also look like this after adding just nine or ten candles. Before that it will be very difficult given the bear market for $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010023641485062624) 2026-01-10T16:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Instead of focusing on analysing a fake screenshot from an anonymous forum it is better to start analysing the cryptocurrency market. Psychology fundamentals macroeconomics - this is the key to successful investments in the crypto market. High-quality posts/analyses can also be found at X https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819 The famous 4Chan predictor has called for new BTC ETH and SOL ATHs this year aswell as a meme coin supercycle 🤯 https://t.co/3u63P0j4HN https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819 The famous 4Chan predictor has called for new BTC ETH and" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010024684608278671) 2026-01-10T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If history were to repeat itself (2022 year) the ATH for gold should be in about two weeks (a little longer on [--] January) and only after that date would precious metals fall into correction. After that date we should see the DCB peak on BTC and turn off the lights for a few months. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010626290622087292) 2026-01-12T08:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Two months seems like quite a long period and the bull flag rather indicates a continuation of the downward trend. A false breakout upwards followed by a further decline would be likely. In line with the movement of BTC and gold prices in [----] the local peak (DCB style) would occur around [--] February. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008964139486449736 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008964139486449736" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010629456117813569) 2026-01-12T08:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@caprioleio I believe that a bear market following such a bull market will bring about a nice cleansing of the market from such projects. After such a bull market + bear market investors themselves will think long and hard about whether a given altcoin makes sense" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010632244373954853) 2026-01-12T08:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I just saw that people started saying that it's just a matter of algorithms and the X platform itself. Unfortunately the truth is worse. We are in a bear market after last year's bull market which disappointed many people so people are not interested in such content. This interest will return one day but those who get involved in this market at times like this have the best chance of succeeding here in the future. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010635765751927245 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010635765751927245" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010635765751927245) 2026-01-12T08:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The question now is whether BTC will rise more than gold (which has never happened during a cyclical bear market) or whether gold is close to its peak and close to a trend reversal while BTC will record a DCB (as it did in 2022). The four most dangerous words in the world of investing are: this time its different. - Sir John Templeton https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010637305338331638 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010637305338331638" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010637305338331638) 2026-01-12T08:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@MerlijnTrader Certainly but first there will be a few months of accumulation by institutions developing their products so that they can earn money on them in those few months" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010638185685242232) 2026-01-12T09:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@VittoStack Great news for ETH ahead of the next bull market. In the next bull market ETH could potentially surprise those who lost faith in it during this bull market" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010638447384703048) 2026-01-12T09:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The main reason for such reach is the fact that we are currently in a bear market (which this chart illustrates very well) and the last year of the bull market greatly disappointed people. These factors had to be reflected in the views and reach on platforms such as X. Nothing surprising. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010638805552812400 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010638805552812400" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010638805552812400) 2026-01-12T09:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@OnChainMind The potential target for the dead cat bounce fits with my main scenario for what I'm playing. Thanks a lot for sharing" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010639595428626830) 2026-01-12T09:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@joao_wedson @Alphractal Cyclicality regularly proves that it is still in force and a large number of people regularly claim that it will not happen again. I recently showed how this bull market followed the patterns of previous bull markets. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009317320460566978 I see that many people are laughing at the approach of playing according to the cyclical nature of the cryptocurrency market. I don't quite understand this since throughout the entire bull market $BTC behaved in accordance with cyclicality. - The trough of the cycle was in https://t.co/boOedzp50u" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010695517655666906) 2026-01-12T12:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JamesEastonUK We should rather compare the current period with [----] or [----] - so a year of full-blown recession as it currently appears to be heading towards" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010698218816893393) 2026-01-12T12:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A technical analysis pattern is one component of analysis. Unfortunately speculation based only on this is very common. The key is to diagnose the current market stage. A bear market has most likely begun and I'll likely treat any rebound from the AT pattern as an opportunity to take a short position. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010699122433482776 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010699122433482776" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010699122433482776) 2026-01-12T13:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Karman_1s I expect something similar on BTC in the coming weeks. The current R/R ratio isn't tempting to take a long position. I'm waiting for the 103k area and then I can play for a trend reversal" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010700588468564035) 2026-01-12T13:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Please compare this data with the peak of the [----] bull market and the [----] bear market before making such conclusions. Below is a chart of the combined market capitalization of USDC and USDT. This chart continued to rise for [---] days after BTC's peak. This time around it could be similar. Yellow line - BTC TOP Red line - USDC+USDT Market Cap TOP https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010742115748151428 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010742115748151428" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010742115748151428) 2026-01-12T15:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "#DziedzicAnalysis 1/4🧵 I invite you to read the next installment. You can find the previous analysis in this post: [--]. Macroeconomic environment In recent days there have been numerous comments on the X regarding alleged improvement in liquidity conditions due to the slight increase in the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. However from a global perspective the macroeconomic picture has not significantly improved compared to the previous week. While the Fed's balance sheet has increased marginally the analysis must take into account the actions of other key central banks. The European Central" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010758643327643860) 2026-01-12T16:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "2. Stock market 2/4🧵 The S&P [---] charts continue to show bearish divergence on both the daily and weekly timeframes suggesting limited demand despite the persistence of relatively high price levels. After a dynamic rally in recent days the dollar index (DXY) experienced a short-term correction partially fueled by news of the lawsuit filed against Jerome Powell. Despite this the dollar is recovering relatively quickly indicating that upward pressure has not been negated. A comparison of the S&P [---] chart with the combined balance sheet of the Fed ECB and BOJ is also noteworthy. The divergence" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010760427592950096) 2026-01-12T17:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3. Crypto market 3/4🧵 The cryptocurrency market remains in a consolidation phase after the dynamic start of the current bear market. The thesis that the market is entering a bear market is supported not only by cyclicality and the behavior of traditional markets but also by data specific to the crypto market itself. After Bitcoin's rise to around USD [-----] long-term holders and major players became active again increasing supply pressure. At the same time ETFs particularly those managed by BlackRock are regularly transferring BTC to exchanges suggesting profit-taking and preparations for" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010760954599129350) 2026-01-12T17:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "4. Summary 4/4🧵 On-chain data is beginning to confirm the conclusions drawn from market structure cyclicality and sentiment analysis. The cryptocurrency market remains in a bear market with periodic upward corrections being natural. The stock market continues to experience significant bearish divergence in the S&P [---] Index and long-term historical analogiesincluding a comparison of the Dow Jones Industrial Average's performance from [----] to [----] YTD to the [----] to [----] periodindicate an elevated risk of more significant declines in the coming quarters. Global liquidity continues to show no" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010761647548256465) 2026-01-12T17:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CryptoNobler The current movement in global liquidity is barely noticeable although it's worth remembering that QE almost always begins with a sharp correction in financial markets. I mentioned this in my latest analysis. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010758643327643860 #DziedzicAnalysis 1/4🧵 I invite you to read the next installment. You can find the previous analysis in this post: https://t.co/qz53l7KIIB [--]. Macroeconomic environment In recent days there have been numerous comments on the X regarding alleged improvement in liquidity https://t.co/AtxVzQPyzI" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010762838013591751) 2026-01-12T17:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@seth_fin The exact same chart ➡ observes 103k to build a short position" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010763631122591761) 2026-01-12T17:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Osemka8 A deviation above this level should build in January. I'm just warning you that there's a high probability that the bear market will continue after this" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010764535515185323) 2026-01-12T17:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CryptoJelleNL The area where the ATH was established looks more like a deviation and therefore indicates a future continuation of the bear market" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010766635804606932) 2026-01-12T17:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@QuintenFrancois Midterm elections also occurred in [----] and [----]. In both cases there was a bear market in the cryptocurrency market including during the Trump administration. The second presidential year is also problematic as statistically it's the worst year for financial markets" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010768023066484747) 2026-01-12T17:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@iWantCoinNews In one case we were dealing with a bullish flag and in the other a bearish flag. During one flag the market was bullish as the cycle dictates while during the second flag it was bearish. The outcome must be different" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010768409395335272) 2026-01-12T17:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@WyckoffAnalysis Such consolidation may finally give us the strength to rebound and a chance to build a short position. This is not investment advice" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010995515115147394) 2026-01-13T08:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Washigorira We are seeing a bearish divergence on the SP500 so it is worth being cautious there as well. The pattern is somewhat similar to the period before the decline with tariffs. NFA" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011045736713240995) 2026-01-13T12:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@JamesEastonUK Looks similar to the [----] bull market" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011134931376996765) 2026-01-13T17:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@QuintenFrancois The problem will be if there's no capital rotation like there was after the BTC peak in [----]. This is just my opinion 😊" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011135918686822460) 2026-01-13T17:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CryptoJelleNL Could the final move to rescue the dead cat be approaching This is just my opinion :)" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011136660906631296) 2026-01-13T18:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "1/6 Is real estate tokenization a revolution or just a fad that will never materialize analysis = not investment advice. A report by the BIS (Bank for International Settlements) analyzes this in depth and. surprises Tokens don't replace the traditional market but fill gaps where banks fail. Let's examine this step by step. The main thesis: Tokenization complements the market not competes with it or REITs. It focuses on regions with low liquidity poor access to credit and lower interest from large investors. Data from the US (2019-2025) shows: tokens are flourishing in cheaper peripheral" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011137521489412132) 2026-01-13T18:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "2/6 Where banks have many branches and cheap credit Tokens are scarce there. But in areas with expensive financing Tokenization is growing rapidly This means that capital from tokens effectively replaces local bank loans. It doesn't compete with traditional investors but complements them. The biggest advantages are: Lower barriers to entry Real estate divided into thousands of tokens minimum investment Several dozen dollars Investors are primarily retail (median: several hundred USD) but larger players are also welcome. Diversification is possible with low capital which depends on the" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011137859768762665) 2026-01-13T18:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "4/6 Comparison with REITs: REITs are strong liquid institutional markets. Tokens Weaker local overlooked by large capital. So they're not competitors but a separate segment more selective but risky. Exposure to specific properties Yes but with risk" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011138586817806446) 2026-01-13T18:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "5/6 Conclusion: Real estate tokenization is an interesting way to supplement your portfolio lowering the barrier to entry into the real estate market. However it is currently no safer than traditional forms. The risks lie with the platforms: their liquidity and crisis management. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011138685681471590 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011138685681471590" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011138685681471590) 2026-01-13T18:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If we're talking about nominal values it's only natural that we'll continue to break such records as the market develops. The same applies to the "record" liquidation of 10/10. The crypto market is growing and more and more capital is being invested in it so we'll be breaking such "records" in nominal values on a regular basis. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011139521371394341 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011139521371394341" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011139521371394341) 2026-01-13T18:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@bitcoindata21 Looks like it might be enough to revive a dead cat. Just my opinion" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011139838255526133) 2026-01-13T18:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@scottmelker I agree I drew a similar diagram a few days ago as you can see below. Maybe it'll be enough to get rid of a dead cat. Just my opinion" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011140862571659749) 2026-01-13T18:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@ByzGeneral Unfortunately it's very possible that shorts will fuel this dead-cat rebound with a potential target of around 103k-108k. This is just my opinion not investment advice" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011144408092356687) 2026-01-13T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@QuintenFrancois I think the bearish divergence in the S&P and the similar chart appearance to before the correction related to US tariffs shouldn't be underestimated. The DXY also refuses to let itself be forgotten. 😉" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011144754919301455) 2026-01-13T18:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "It's hard for me to imagine a court in the United States issuing a verdict against the US President especially on such an important issue. However if it did happen it could be the perfect trigger for a bearish divergence on the S&P [---] and a reason for further strengthening of the dollar. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011146674953945338 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011146674953945338" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011146674953945338) 2026-01-13T18:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MaxCrypto Maybe we will finally get a breakout from this triangle and thanks to these shorts BTC will complete its dead cat bounce" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011155995352051843) 2026-01-13T19:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@OVcrypto Interesting that you count the number of days in a sideways trend in this cycle so you analyze the cycle. At the same time you're downplaying the entire 4-year BTC cycle which has proven to be accurate since the bear market bottom in [----]. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009317320460566978 I see that many people are laughing at the approach of playing according to the cyclical nature of the cryptocurrency market. I don't quite understand this since throughout the entire bull market $BTC behaved in accordance with cyclicality. - The trough of the cycle was in" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011160638811488741) 2026-01-13T19:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CryptoBullet1 $LTC unlike $XMR doesn't have much time left. The cryptocurrency bear market has begun and this will certainly make it harder for $LTC to grow by 500%. It's not impossible but it's certainly more difficult than with Monero" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011161773232308688) 2026-01-13T19:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@OVcrypto The four-year cycle is based on supply and demand plus psychology. This results in a bear market bottom at an unspecified time as well as a bull market peak. A cycle peak of four months would disrupt Bitcoin's cycles" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011168106345869685) 2026-01-13T20:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CryptoBoss1984 This is a key decision point: Do we raise finally get a DCB and continue the bear market or do we return to the AT formation and consolidate further Personal opinion" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011168965679333623) 2026-01-13T20:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MikybullCrypto To be honest I don't remember this formation being highly effective and I personally don't remember it working as expected from the screenshot. Maybe a breakout from the BTC bear market lows in 2018/2019" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011169567314239745) 2026-01-13T20:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Both types of people could be the same. According to four-year cycles every bear market should have a relief rally. In the bubble model this movement is called a return to normal. I am such a case and I claim that we are in a bear market and the maximum BTC target for the current move is 108k (although the most probable target is the range: 103k-108k). I will publicly apologize if we break a new all-time high but I currently consider this scenario very unlikely. It's also worth mentioning that yesterday's strong move sstopped at a perfect point on the BTC chart." [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011339215875826111) 2026-01-14T07:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JamesEastonUK From what I see BTC stopped at the perfect moment to avoid a breakout" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011339874847375485) 2026-01-14T07:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@VivekVentures Interesting targets but unlikely for this year. We could reach them at the end of the next bull market (especially for BTC)" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011340189852188829) 2026-01-14T07:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I completely agree. However the course of the 2022-2025 BTC bull market could allow altcoins to grow in the future bull market. People won't be interested in them because they'll be mindful of the current market allowing MM to accumulate peacefully. Institutions will also have ETFs for altcoins which will also allow for greater diversification. even if QE had started this year things would have been great for altcoins. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011343055438090533 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011343055438090533" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011343055438090533) 2026-01-14T07:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I believe we are currently in a bear market. This is of course indicated by the cyclical nature of the market which held up perfectly between [----] and [----]. The traditional market is also sending warnings. Regarding the EMA50 it's worth remembering that we could be dealing with a fake breakout for example around 103k-108k which would be a natural target for a dead-cat bounce or a return to normal. Could you show a chart of the EMA50 at the beginning of [----] a period similar to the current period It's best to compare this to that period not to a full-blown bull market. Only my opinion." [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011344884586705152) 2026-01-14T07:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@scottmelker We will see how the market reacts after the US reopens but it does look like this relief rally could finally take place" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011408063727907177) 2026-01-14T12:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@joao_wedson It looks like they are actually going to liquidate the shorts so that they can then continue the bear market" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011408683474079904) 2026-01-14T12:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@StockmoneyL A really nice chart. The only thing is perhaps it's worth considering more factors than just the price action (AT). If BTC's cyclical nature indicated a bull market this chart would be great but unfortunately we can't rely solely on it" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011410578565435823) 2026-01-14T12:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CryptoJelleNL History repeating. interesting that you don't look for this statement in an analogy to the beginning of the crypto bear market in [----] and the DCB rebound at that moment" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011412241191702585) 2026-01-14T12:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CryptoJelleNL The opening of US markets will likely allow us to decide whether this was a real or fake breakout. If it's real we'll wait for regions to short. If it's a fake breakout we'll continue to wait for DCB. These are my personal scenarios for now" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011415026763256257) 2026-01-14T12:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@krugermacro The only thing that is worrying is the increase in the Funding Rate - I understand that it is because of this short squeeze but still" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011420794237440141) 2026-01-14T12:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@coinbureau Very good In my personal opinion such a phenomenon is very necessary to continue the bear market and that's precisely what DCB is for. to add fuel for a later long squeeze" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011423090006216925) 2026-01-14T13:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TedPillows Regarding the VIX I explained on my profile why there is a very high probability that the VIX will rise in the near future. Below is a post with a look at the VIX. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215446802080088 [--]. Stock market 2/4🧵 The VIX volatility index has been steadily declining in recent weeks reaching levels around [--] points. Historically these are areas from which the VIX has often initiated dynamic upward movements leading to increased volatility and corrections in the https://t.co/QhwPWlfRsw https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215446802080088 [--]. Stock" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011457796219486532) 2026-01-14T15:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@BitcoinArchive During the bull market we saw corrections driven by ETF sales. It seems logical to conclude that during the bear market (which began in October) corrections will also occur driven by ETF purchases (a correction in a bear market is an increase in the price of an asset)" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011458280883949998) 2026-01-14T15:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@scottmelker $LINK at the moment next to $BTC $ETH are the only cryptocurrencies that have utility and have permanently proven their resilience over the years" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011459295565738037) 2026-01-14T15:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@AshCrypto @BitwiseInvest $LINK at the moment next to $BTC $ETH are the only cryptocurrencies that have utility and have permanently proven their resilience over the years" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011459386330562837) 2026-01-14T15:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@cryptogoos It's a natural progression. If BTC regularly breaks its all-time high and the market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies increases it's only natural that we'll break records for open interest realized losses and so on in nominal value. The natural order of things" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011460769481994653) 2026-01-14T15:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@level941 Very unlikely this year probably in the coming years but in a bear market year where the BTC cycle has never failed even in the last bull market. The four most dangerous words in the world of investing are: "This time it's different." - Sir John Templeton" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011462016322490602) 2026-01-14T15:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@cryptorover I'm waiting for the opportunity to finally take a short position. But I feel that we are finally getting closer to it" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011462725721792522) 2026-01-14T15:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "1. The cryptocurrency cycle has consistently shown that it never disappoints and in the recent bull market everything played out according to cyclical patterns. [--]. Beyond the "calendar" itself there's the issue of psychology and the fact that many people believe in it so we may be dealing with a self-fulfilling prophecy. [--]. The spike in DAT (institutional FOMO) companies which initially rose significantly with each new purchase announcement but after a few weeks this announcement no longer positively impacted their valuations. [--]. Beyond the cycles themselves the traditional market is once" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011495067266003435) 2026-01-14T17:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "#DziedzicStrategy 1/3 🧵 Market expectations In my assessment the broader cryptocurrency market remains in a bearish phase. This view refers to the overall market structure and prevailing sentiment rather than individual projects or short-term price anomalies. I do not expect the beginning of a sustainable bullish trend; instead any upward movements should be treated as local rebounds within a broader bear market including the possibility of a final technical relief rally. It is also important to emphasize that the macroeconomic environment continues to present elevated risk suggesting that" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011495514072571952) 2026-01-14T17:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Main principles of the strategy 2/3🧵 Under these market conditions my primary objective remains capital accumulation and capital preservation. I maintain a cautious approach to market exposure focusing on flexibility and readiness to respond when more favorable price conditions emerge. During local price rebounds I plan to gradually unwind my ZEN position which is currently at a significant loss and has not met my original investment assumptions. At the same time I am analyzing market structure to identify optimal levels for initiating short positions once the current rebound phase is" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011495737532826083) 2026-01-14T17:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Outlook 3/3 🧵 At present I consider the risk-to-reward ratio unattractive for both long and short positions. Optimal conditions for spot accumulation occurred earlier at lower price levels. A potential upside move in Bitcoin toward the 103108k range would imply a gain of approximately 712% which in the context of a bear market does not offer sufficient asymmetry to justify exposure. Conversely initiating short positions at current levels also appears premature relative to the broader bearish structure. As a result I remain in a waiting posture anticipating that the market will provide a" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011496403487412364) 2026-01-14T17:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@krugermacro My personal target for this move will be 103k-108k after a false breakout of the EMA50. However situations where BTC rises and US indices fall usually last very briefly and BTC eventually joins the indices" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011497770251891167) 2026-01-14T17:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@GertvanLagen People seem a bit disappointed with the BTC bull market and therefore don't want to consider a bear market. Unfortunately the market isn't based on wishful thinking but on a rational analytical approach and this unfortunately points to a bear market.😕" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011515173178400882) 2026-01-14T19:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JamesEastonUK Each new phase of a bull or bear market cycle begins with a breakout from a significant trend line. Therefore it's worth considering not just the trend line but a holistic view of the cryptocurrency market through the lens of psychology macroeconomics and traditional markets" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011515855847506402) 2026-01-14T19:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TedPillows Time for a second round of short squeeze" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011516048017932519) 2026-01-14T19:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I can't find it at the moment but recently someone tested various popular LLMs like Grok GPT and Gemini to see if they performed well in investments. He gave them $10000 to invest but after a few months it turned out that none of them turned a profit and 80% saw declines of over 50%. So I don't think Grok's opinion on this matter is worth much consideration. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011518809044086904 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011518809044086904" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011518809044086904) 2026-01-14T19:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Once very likely given the BTC bear market and warnings in the traditional market and the lack of significant global liquidity growth I don't think it's feasible. Regarding potential QE please remember that historically there have been very large declines that justified such QE. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011520636552716774 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011520636552716774" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011520636552716774) 2026-01-14T19:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "It's best not to look at the market with wishful thinking. The 2022-2025 bull market was fueled by institutional capital and there was also FOMO in that same market. DAT companies were a prime example of institutional FOMO. If we haven't managed to earn as much as we thought we could there's no point in stubbornly insisting that the environment is changing. First logic and a thorough analysis of data and sentiment.then decisions. Emotions always on the last place https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011521490433274035 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011521490433274035" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011521490433274035) 2026-01-14T19:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CryptoJelleNL In the event of such a rebound it is worth watching out for a fakeout that may be lurking causing the greed index to rise to around 75-85" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011768298338422991) 2026-01-15T11:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@JamesEastonUK Looking at this chart it is clear that alts may continue to consolidate in this formation throughout the year with increasingly smaller rebounds" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011771774913167765) 2026-01-15T12:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Washigorira Potentially an ideal target for a DCB rebound. My personal opinion" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011772092858212392) 2026-01-15T12:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@cryptorover Are you sure that the position was not opened for a much lower amount before the BTC pump and that the amount you are quoting already includes its profit from the position" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011773509517918281) 2026-01-15T12:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I am glad that Artur Hayes is saying what I said some time ago: liquidity is currently limitedthat is it exists but is not widely available. For this reason investors prefer not to invest in the most volatile market and any stress on the system can severely depress the crypto market. This is my personal opinion. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011842688610639935 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011842688610639935" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011842688610639935) 2026-01-15T16:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Hedgeye Stablecoins and tokenization are potential sectors where we will see the greatest development of fundamentals but whether this will be followed by an increase in token prices is anyone's guess" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011868371168395277) 2026-01-15T18:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@DeItaone A really big red warning light for investors.❗ Blackrock must have its own objectives in promoting such ideas" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011869071974027331) 2026-01-15T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Sale of ZEN token with a 42% loss I would like to emphasize once again that in my opinion we are in a bear market and any rebound should be considered in terms of getting out of your positions. Reasons for selling: -Strong growth in the crypto market in recent days - In recent days ZEN has risen by 60% (at its peak) to 43% at the time of my sale. - We can see bearish divergence on the 4H chart. - The F&G indicator has reached greed for the first time in several months. - What also worries me is the fact that suddenly a lot of people are expecting DCB to be around 106k which is why I don't" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011871201883537608) 2026-01-15T18:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TedPillows It is also worth noting that in the latest reading PPI values rose more than analysts had expected. And PPI is an indicator that Powell also looks at as PPI leads CPI movements by several months" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011898958604616091) 2026-01-15T20:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@QuintenFrancois Perfect news for a bear market few people interested in the market in general + even fewer people receiving information about airdrops + harder to earn points. airdrops may make a big comeback in [----]. This is very good news for airdrops" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2011902049810858309) 2026-01-15T20:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@IT_Tech_PL In my opinion we cannot rule out that this is the end of the dead cat bounce. CT began to expect a target of around 106k (I must admit that I myself considered such a scenario). In such a sentiment a specific value is usually unattainable" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012102225837842674) 2026-01-16T09:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@cryptoquant_com @IT_Tech_PL In my opinion we cannot rule out that this is the end of the dead cat bounce. CT began to expect a target of around 106k (I must admit that I myself considered such a scenario). In such a sentiment a specific value is usually unattainable" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012102243860791489) 2026-01-16T09:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I am increasingly inclined to lower my base target in this dead cat bounce. Too many people were talking about a range of around 106k at one point. I think that in this situation we will either break through this level significantly or stay in the current regions. Personally I sold the entire spot and am now 100% in $. = this is just my private portfolio. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012125249236521073 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012125249236521073" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012125249236521073) 2026-01-16T11:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The fundamental issue is that this chart ends at the beginning of [----] i.e. it only shows the bull market when there were no such threats from the traditional market and cyclicality alone did not indicate a bear market. In order to correctly analyze the current situation using this data it would be worth looking at it from the turn of 2022/2023. Only then could this chart be fully useful. Reliable analysis and verification of data is key to decision making. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012127969704042576 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012127969704042576" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012127969704042576) 2026-01-16T11:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Washigorira For the Fed the PPI reading which usually precedes CPI inflation data is also important if not more important. And the PPI has recently risen more than analysts had expected. This is also certainly food for thought for Powell" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012155758628970835) 2026-01-16T13:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "ETH will not fall below [----] I would say that this is a controversial opinion as for ETH to fall to this level a 60% correction would be enough which was usually greater during a bear market. DAT-type companies were very important in this bull market but the question is whether if the macroeconomic environment deteriorates for them they will have to sell their assets thereby driving prices below 2k. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012158758491668696 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012158758491668696" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012158758491668696) 2026-01-16T13:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MaxCrypto For the Fed the PPI reading which usually precedes CPI inflation data is also important if not more important. And the PPI has recently risen more than analysts had expected. This is also certainly food for thought for Powell" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012168072308670569) 2026-01-16T14:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "This year due to the potential bear market in crypto there is little chance that any trend will come as a particular surprise. RWA and stablecoins probably have the strongest fundamentals for expansion. However I hope that robotics will be a trend in the future bull market. AI needs to be put into nice devices. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012180555115168013 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012180555115168013" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012180555115168013) 2026-01-16T15:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@MaxCrypto This whale did not open a position for that amount. That amount is his contribution and profit. He opened positions before this BTC rise to around 98K" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012212121279328443) 2026-01-16T17:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@MaxCrypto It's time to check the real data that could determine market growth. In my opinion there is some negative information/warning hidden there" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012213564879044617) 2026-01-16T17:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MisterSpread An interesting idea I've been thinking about it myself. MSTR is growing faster than BTC in a bull market and with a bear market for crypto in [----] (for the most part) there may be an interesting opportunity for these stocks" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012214009743732997) 2026-01-16T17:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JA_Maartun @cryptoquant_com The privacy trend has been going on for quite a long time for crypto market trends. It is now worth being cautious when searching for low caps" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012214805659033868) 2026-01-16T17:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "In my opinion too many people expect and anticipate that BTC will break through 100k and reach a target of at least 103k in this rebound. In my opinion most people will be wrong as usual so either we will see a decisive break above 103k with a very likely ATH or the dead cat bounce will end around where we are now. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012216764059267235 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012216764059267235" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012216764059267235) 2026-01-16T17:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TheCryptoKazi It will be difficult looking at the liquidation map:" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012219579536171077) 2026-01-16T17:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "#DziedzicThoughts In my opinion too many people expect and anticipate that BTC will break through 100k and reach a target of at least 103k in this rebound. Incidentally there is still a lot of talk about BTC breaking through its ATH soon this group is still really large. I believe that in such circumstances there are two possible scenarios that will prevent people from fulfilling these scenarios: [--]. BTC decisively breaks through the 103k-108k region and attacks the ATH (with a high chance of breaking through it) [--]. We are in a bear market and BTC is in the midst of a dead cat bounce that will" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012220318228660466) 2026-01-16T17:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Some of these projects have seen huge growth. In my opinion this approach is too risky for me to follow suit. Additionally it is worth noting that the privacy trend is already very hot with many tokens in this trend having grown many times over. In my opinion it is worth being very careful with projects in this narrative. This is just my personal opinion. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012223531010896143 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012223531010896143" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012223531010896143) 2026-01-16T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Yes yes that's also possible but what I meant was that this level becomes less and less likely in such a case. On the other hand such a long consolidation with one more BTC surge to around 100k and then a long boring exhausting decline is also absolutely possible. The second part of the bear market does not have to be violent at all and usually is not. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012224142758584601 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012224142758584601" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012224142758584601) 2026-01-16T18:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@OndoFinance I think tokenization will be the biggest trend this yearat least fundamentally/market-wise It may be difficult in Bessie BTC. My personal opinion" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012231399323873619) 2026-01-16T18:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@GordonGekko In theory memecoins are least likely to grow during a BTC bear market. But I wish you luck in general" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012268636958814378) 2026-01-16T21:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@MaxCrypto There is still potential for a decline but there are many more arguments pointing to a bear market" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012273812637626570) 2026-01-16T21:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TedPillows For the Fed the PPI reading which usually precedes CPI inflation data is also important if not more important. And the PPI has recently risen more than analysts had expected. This is also certainly food for thought for Powell" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012274219103470074) 2026-01-16T21:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi I see that openAi is doing everything it can to force users to switch to paid versions" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012274505524060229) 2026-01-16T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Global liquidity has been rather sideways for a long time (after a momentary slump) and everything is very expensive: stocks commodities BTC (although the ATH at 126k is somewhat impressive). What is not expensive are most altcoins (but there is also a group that has yielded excellent returns) and the dollar. In my opinion we are approaching a moment in the market when Cash is King. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012448446804893733 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012448446804893733" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012448446804893733) 2026-01-17T08:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CryptoJelleNL On the BTC chart another formation is possible besides the one shown in the picture. In that case we are really close to the local top" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012448903149367728) 2026-01-17T08:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@iamjosephyoung The fundaments for the future bull market are being laid" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012823945427263793) 2026-01-18T09:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "For now I consistently believe that such a scenario (a new ATH or at least an increase to around the new ATH - 5% from the ATH for example) is very unlikely; it seems much more likely that we are currently only in a DCB. Once I finish analyzing the market in terms of short positions I will immediately start thinking about scenarios that invalidate the DCB. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012828054037418363 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012828054037418363" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012828054037418363) 2026-01-18T10:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "In order to cut reserves to zero or launch QE both the Fed and Trump need some kind of excuse something that would explain such behavior to the world. Historically these have been stress tests of the system or sharp declines in stock market indices. So it is worth remembering that this often involves interest rates close to [--] and QE. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012831512102646250 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012831512102646250" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012831512102646250) 2026-01-18T10:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@cryptorover It seems that BTC respected this value during this bull market and that we are approaching this indicator. During the previous attempt to recover the level above this indicator BTC failed. This is potentially another argument for the coming end of the dead cat bounce" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012834957341663293) 2026-01-18T10:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "All assets are expensive: stocks commodities precious metals cryptocurrencies. The dollar is one of the few assets that is relatively cheap. This encourages the accumulation of dollars at the expense of other assets. Of course as I write cryptocurrencies I don't mean every project. I mean BTC + the cryptocurrency market in general. Similarly in the case of the stock market certainly not all stocks are expensive. I mean the overall picture. Non Financial Advice. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012837822382661645 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012837822382661645" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012837822382661645) 2026-01-18T10:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "My opinion is that the altcoin market needs to undergo a transformation. First of all there are too many projects and the capital that did not flow into the market in a broad stream during this bull market had a problem with a large number of projects growing significantly. Another issue is the fact that the market opened up another opportunity to invest in BTC and ETH namely through ETFs. Then investors did not need to create accounts on exchanges and could not invest in projects other than these two. However I believe that the market will learn from the current bull market and projects" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012947109587149274) 2026-01-18T17:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@inmortalcrypto Apart from the chart which is not clearly bullish it is worth remembering warnings outside of technical analysis such as: - the cyclical nature of BTC - high margin debt levels - Trump's problem with US debt - the COT report for the VIX index - bearish divergence for the S&P" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012947897650757836) 2026-01-18T17:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "It seems that the author himself is not sure what will happen and once he is all in on BTC and in the second post just a few hours later he writes that the bond market may bring Armageddon upon us. Of course my opinion is not always correct but at least I stick to one scenario and am ready to admit my mistake. https://x.com/DefiWimar/status/2012865926098563214 https://x.com/DefiWimar/status/2012865926098563214 🚨 I JUST WENT ALL-IN ON BITCOIN Not because of TA. Not because of the halving. Not because of some headline. Because $4.7 TRILLION will hit the US economy over the next [--] months." [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012951201294262599) 2026-01-18T18:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "It seems that the author himself is not sure what will happen and once he is all in on BTC and in the second post just a few hours later he writes that the bond market may bring Armageddon upon us. Of course my opinion is not always correct but at least I stick to one scenario and am ready to admit my mistake. https://x.com/DefiWimar/status/2012865926098563214 https://x.com/DefiWimar/status/2012865926098563214 🚨 I JUST WENT ALL-IN ON BITCOIN Not because of TA. Not because of the halving. Not because of some headline. Because $4.7 TRILLION will hit the US economy over the next [--] months." [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012951383717167136) 2026-01-18T18:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The CPI is important to Powell but not the most important indicator. It's also worth looking at PPI values a more important indicator than the CPI which measures producer inflation. The PPI can lead the CPI trend by several months. It's worth emphasizing that the PPI rose more than analysts expected in the latest reading. Many factors influenced the likelihood of rate cuts and this is one of them. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012963656749797755 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012963656749797755" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012963656749797755) 2026-01-18T19:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The previous bull market was the first in which BTC did not touch the purple line. In the 2023-2025 bull market BTC may be even further from the purple line than it is now and also end the bull market. Unfortunately there is a greater likelihood of the bear market continuing as I just wrote on my profile. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012963789474283909 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012963789474283909" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012963789474283909) 2026-01-18T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "After recent gains BTC is in a consolidation phase which a large part of X hopes will end with a continuation of the upward movement to at least around 107k with a potential attack on a new ATH. Unfortunately in my personal opinion the dynamics of BTC movements will be different and will not appeal to most accounts on X. I believe that BTC is currently at the end of its dead cat bounce (with a possible rise to around 101k) which will be followed by the second part of the bear market which will be much more exhausting due to its prolonged nature. I have based my conclusion on a comparison of" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012964714582519836) 2026-01-18T19:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@andrewgolaraBTC @Dan_Kostecki Rne czynniki kalendarzyk makroekonomia oraz obecne Price Action na BTC. Zachcam do zapoznania si z ostatnim moim wpisem gdzie zwrciem wiksz uwag na niektre z wyminionych czynnikw: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012964714582519836 After recent gains BTC is in a consolidation phase which a large part of X hopes will end with a continuation of the upward movement to at least around 107k with a potential attack on a new ATH. Unfortunately in my personal opinion the dynamics of BTC movements will be https://t.co/yojrazvQQg" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012965752173715770) 2026-01-18T19:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I agree with the statement: In a real bull market prices spend more time rising than falling. The same is true: In a real bear market prices spend more time falling than rising. Most people know this and can stick to it. The real problem is the moments of trend reversal which are very difficult to spot. However this is particularly important at the beginning of a bear market as the first wave of selling is often between 40-50% followed by DCB and a continuation of the decline which is no longer as dynamic but mainly mentally exhausting due to its length." [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012973404836471160) 2026-01-18T19:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I agree with the statement: In a real bull market prices spend more time rising than falling. The same is true: In a real bear market prices spend more time falling than rising. Most people know this and can stick to it. The real problem is the moments of trend reversal which are very difficult to spot. However this is particularly important at the beginning of a bear market as the first wave of selling is often between 40-50% followed by DCB and a continuation of the decline which is no longer as dynamic but mainly mentally exhausting due to its length." [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012973674152731003) 2026-01-18T19:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@1995research A very interesting observation. One of these two things will have to happen first: [--]. The 4-year BTC cycle will be broken. [--]. Time dominance will be determined by the initial impulse of the bear market" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012977309339304302) 2026-01-18T19:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I warned about this many times while many accounts on X were calling for new records. Yesterday a few hours before the decline I shared my scenario. DCB was already close to exhaustion as suggested by past data and AT (unfortunately I was unable to take a short position at that time but I sold everything as I also reported). Please take a look at my post from yesterday a few hours before the decline: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012964714582519836 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012964714582519836" [X Link](https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2013154209672106075) 2026-01-19T07:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@DziedzicInvest Dziedzic Investment 🟠 🇵🇱 |
Dziedzic Investment 🟠 🇵🇱 | posts on X about market, in the, cryptocurrency, bear the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [-----] #
Mentions: [--] #
Followers: [---] #
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance cryptocurrencies exchanges currencies stocks technology brands countries vc firms financial services
Social topic influence market, in the, cryptocurrency #3010, bear #1597, we are, crypto, bull #1619, investment #3597, bitcoin #6687, future
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @tedpillows @joaowedson @quintenfrancois @cryptoquantcom @jameseastonuk @washigorira @ittechpl @cryptojellenl @bbambolot @misterspread @scottmelker @maxcrypto @cryptorover @jamaartun @3orovik @vitalikbuterin @coinbureau @intocryptoverse @mateuszczarnyx @binance
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) AZTEC (AZTEC) Ondo (ONDO) Ethereum (ETH) Chainlink (LINK) Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) USDC (USDC)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@coinbureau Just as a bull market needs its new heroes and narratives so does a bear market.Last cycle FTX Celcius - this bear market it could be DAT team"
X Link 2025-11-24T11:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@rektfencer He just believe in ETH like Saylor in BTC. For them price is not matter.what is weird 😂"
X Link 2025-11-24T17:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The potential of such behaviour helped me exit the market. Unfortunately we still know very little about 10/10 and the consequences this will have for the market. It is unclear whether any companies in the industry will have to dispose of their cryptocurrencies to pay off their liabilities or whether any companies are actually on the verge of collapse. Skeletons may continue to fall out of the closet for some time"
X Link 2025-11-25T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@MarieeDOT_TezoS @Davincij15 Agree with this 😂"
X Link 2025-11-26T12:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@GuyTalksFinance You are comparing annual declines that lasted throughout specific bear markets to only the beginning of the bear market deliberately misleading people into believing that a rebound towards ATH can be expected soon"
X Link 2025-11-26T16:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@iLiquidatebots Following history BTC is now on bear market and better strategy is to accumulate USD than BTC. Your target seems to be okay for the NEXT cycle"
X Link 2025-12-29T11:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Bitcoin is already in a bear market as it always is every four years. There is a high probability that there was no classic blow-off top just like in [----]. Such extreme scenarios are only intended to stir up emotions among observers which leads to a distortion of common sense. Calm analysis always first. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006096511135109505 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006096511135109505"
X Link 2025-12-30T20:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@galaxyBTC The problem with such trend lines is that they break during a bear market which according to cyclicality has already begun. In such a scenario buying at such levels for any medium or long term is a very bad idea"
X Link 2026-01-02T13:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@joao_wedson Nearly three months of bear market beginning to show on on-chain indicators"
X Link 2026-01-02T17:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@joao_wedson Currently the crypto market is in such a state that it is worth waiting until I decide whether this is a dead cat bounce or the last leg down followed by a rebound. There will always be an opportunity to invest"
X Link 2026-01-02T17:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@TedPillows In Q1 the cryptocurrency market should experience a dead cat bounce so DAT companies may also experience this. Just keep in mind that declines are most likely to occur later this year"
X Link 2026-01-03T17:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@TedPillows In Q1 the cryptocurrency market should experience a dead cat bounce so DAT companies may also experience this. Just keep in mind that declines are most likely to occur later this year"
X Link 2026-01-03T17:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@MerlijnTrader The trend associated with stablecoins appears to be the fundamental trend of the future bull market at least some stage of the bull market"
X Link 2026-01-05T08:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"#DziedzicAnalysis January [----] 1/4🧵 This analysis opens the first series of #DziedzicAnalysis publications in [----]. Recent geopolitical events including the situation in Venezuela increase the likelihood of heightened volatility in both international politics and financial markets. In the coming weeks we can expect more macroeconomic and geopolitical impulses that may affect the valuation of risky assets. [--]. Macroeconomic environment I traditionally begin my analysis with the macroeconomic situation which provides the backdrop for the equity and cryptocurrency markets. In recent weeks the US"
X Link 2026-01-05T16:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"2. Stock market 2/4🧵 The VIX volatility index has been steadily declining in recent weeks reaching levels around [--] points. Historically these are areas from which the VIX has often initiated dynamic upward movements leading to increased volatility and corrections in the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Of course a scenario of prolonged consolidation in the [------] range cannot be ruled out but the current positioning of Commercial on the VIX indicates an increased risk of a breakout. The S&P [---] index chart also offers little evidence to support the continuation of a strong upward trend."
X Link 2026-01-05T16:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"3. Crypto market 3/4🧵 The cryptocurrency market is currently in a consolidation phase after the strongest correction since the [----] bear market low. Selling pressure from American investors has weakened creating room for a technical rebound. For Bitcoin the key resistance area remains the USD 94000-96000 zone. A sustained break above this level could open the way for a move towards USD [------] and above but such a scenario should be viewed as a corrective rebound rather than the start of a new bull market. A Hash Ribbon BUY signal has been activated on Bitcoin which has historically been"
X Link 2026-01-05T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"4. Summary 4/4🧵 In my opinion the cryptocurrency market has been in a bear market since the beginning of October. The current portfolio structure assumes approximately 98% exposure in USD and 2% market exposure limited exclusively to $ZEN. I treat the current increases as a classic dead cat bouncecorrection and in some segments as a potential exit pump. In line with market cyclicality we are currently in a time window where a return to normal is possible. In the coming weeks I will therefore be looking for a favourable moment to close the remaining micro position( $ZEN ) and preparing to"
X Link 2026-01-05T16:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@Bitcoin_Teddy Unfortunately cyclicality and the VIX based on the COT report may thwart these plans"
X Link 2026-01-05T16:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TedPillows A few days ago the VIX was at a level not seen in a year. The last time it rose it did so very rapidly"
X Link 2026-01-05T16:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@joao_wedson In simple terms investing in altcoins at present is similar to gambling unfortunately"
X Link 2026-01-06T17:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@Washigorira During the bull market we saw downward corrections in the price of BTC along with short periods of outflows from ETFs. During a bear market it is natural to see upward corrections in the price of BTC along with short periods of inflows into ETFs"
X Link 2026-01-07T11:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"#DziedzicStrategy 1/3 🧵 Market expectations In my opinion the broad cryptocurrency market remains in a bear market phase. This assessment applies to the entire sector as an asset class rather than to individual projects or selected altcoin segments. The key factors here are overall market sentiment the cyclical nature of Bitcoin and the structure of medium- and long-term trends. In addition the macroeconomic environment continues to be characterised by heightened uncertainty. Dangerous divergences in the stock market limited liquidity fund cash levels and the risk of an economic slowdown"
X Link 2026-01-07T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Main principles of the strategy 2/3🧵 Under such conditions the primary objective of the strategy remains capital preservation and maintaining decision-making flexibility. For most of this year I assume a cautious approach in which potential price movements will be treated primarily as tactical opportunities rather than signals for aggressively increasing market exposure. Portfolio structure The current structure of the investment portfolio is as follows: [--]. 47.13% USDC/USDT without staking [--]. 38.25% USDC on staking (5%) [--]. 13.26% USDC allocated for current market trading (both long and short"
X Link 2026-01-07T17:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Outlook 3/3 🧵 The current market structure indicates growing exhaustion among participants and increasing hopes for a rapid return to growth both in Bitcoin and in the altcoin market. After several days of rebound expectations of levels around USD [------] are becoming more common which can be interpreted as a sign of impatience and emotional involvement on the part of investors. From my perspective it remains crucial to remain calm and allow the market to reveal its next impulse. Only the price structure will allow us to assess whether the observed movement was merely a corrective rebound or"
X Link 2026-01-07T17:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@52kskew Unfortunately this is probably not a long-term accumulation"
X Link 2026-01-07T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"During a bear market for BTC and a frightened street the probability of an altseason (not to be confused with the growth of a specific project) is close to 0%. It is not worth losing money at the moment as a bearish divergence is looming on the S&P. Patiently waiting for a better R/R ratio is currently the best strategy. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008959158645592126 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008959158645592126"
X Link 2026-01-07T17:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@IT_Tech_PL @cryptoquant_com The current behaviour of BTC indicates redistribution rather than accumulation and it is good to know that on-chain data such as this suggests the same"
X Link 2026-01-07T17:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@DaanCrypto It is more likely that we are currently in a period of crypto redistribution rather than long-term accumulation"
X Link 2026-01-07T17:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"1/3 🧵 As you can see from my posts I believe that we are in a bear market for cryptocurrencies. Any increases in such a market are an opportunity to sell your spot positions and play the market with short positions. So it's time to look at the past and outline a baseline scenario for a potential dead cat bounce which regularly occurs during a bear market on many assets. BTC bear market [----] in USD BTC reached its bull market peak (red line) [---] days earlier than gold (black line). In contrast the DCB peak ended [--] days after the gold/USD peak (yellow line). The current"
X Link 2026-01-07T18:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"2/3🧵 If the situation were to repeat itself: Bear market 2025-2025 in USD BTC reached its peak on [--] October [----] (red line) while the peak for gold should be around [--] January [----] (black line). The DCB peak on the other hand should be around [--] February [----]. (yellow line) After [---] days BTC would find the bottom of its bear market on [--] October [----] there is a high probability that this period will be the best time to accumulate BTC for the next bull market. Not now. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008964139486449736 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008964139486449736"
X Link 2026-01-07T18:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/3🧵 What is more BTC currently looks as if it has formed a triangle which often indicates a continuation of the trend rather than a change in direction. This formation is only a complement to the main scenario which could potentially help in finding the optimal point for taking a short position. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008964347448480177 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008964347448480177"
X Link 2026-01-07T18:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@david_eng_mba I agree the end of January to February will be the peak of the dead cat bounce in this cycle. This also coincides with the timing of the previous bear market which I analysed on my profile: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956 1/3 🧵 As you can see from my posts I believe that we are in a bear market for cryptocurrencies. Any increases in such a market are an opportunity to sell your spot positions and play the market with short positions. So it's time to look at the past and outline a baseline https://t.co/eDufIX8SyI"
X Link 2026-01-07T18:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@OnChainCollege @binance @BitcoinMagPro Could you publish a photo with a longer time horizon so that it has greater analytical value In order to accurately analyse this fragment it should be compared with the period at the beginning of [----] and checked whether negative funding definitely means an imminent rebound"
X Link 2026-01-07T18:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@seth_fin @glassnode During the bull market we saw downward corrections in the price of BTC along with short periods of outflows from ETFs. During a bear market it is natural to see upward corrections in the price of BTC along with short periods of inflows into ETFs"
X Link 2026-01-07T18:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@WolverCrypto @MikybullCrypto According to the cyclical nature of BTC it was supposed to peak in the first half of October i.e. in the first month of Q4 followed by declines. Unfortunately only people who are unfamiliar with the real cyclical nature of BTC wrote this and sought attention"
X Link 2026-01-07T18:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Beyond the chart for the Altcoin season to take place there must be an inflow of retail investors who will not be scared off by a BTC decline as has happened twice already in this bull market. So the absolutely key factor is a steady rise in BTC. Which in the context of a likely bear market will be very difficult. In short this is not really the time for altcoins. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008973160419610690 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008973160419610690"
X Link 2026-01-07T18:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Freedom_By_40 Everyone is too bearish. in my information bubble it's quite the opposite. After a few days in the green people started demanding 100k for BTC and an imminent altseason which is apparently just around the corner"
X Link 2026-01-07T18:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Alphractal The yield curve has been warning of a recession for some time. It has always been accurate and this time it has not yet had a significant impact on stocks"
X Link 2026-01-08T08:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The entire bull market played out practically in line with cyclicality so why should it differ significantly from this bear market in terms of cyclicality Of course there are changes but they are natural. ETFs had to appear if we wanted to have a bull market; the higher the market cap the more capital/institutional capital has to appear. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009197944495329602 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009197944495329602"
X Link 2026-01-08T09:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"For altcoins to perform well there needs to be steady growth in BTC over a longer period of time which has not been the case in this bull market. Either BTC grew too quickly or once it had grown sufficiently and retail investors wanted to invest BTC began to fall for several months scaring those investors away. These are the main reasons for the lack of street participation and consequently outstanding altcoin results. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009200118075969697 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009200118075969697"
X Link 2026-01-08T09:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"After views on crypto-related channels there were two moments when views increased and subscriptions grew on these channels. In both cases BTC later acted as a scarecrow. First after reaching a new ATH before halving it fell into a correction lasting around [--] months second time followed by a sharp correction from around 100k in January [----]. Additionally it is worth remembering that ETFs on altcoins were ultimately created together with companies that DAT that bought not only BTC. This did not change the sentiment for altcoins anyway. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009207810995654852"
X Link 2026-01-08T10:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I see that many people are laughing at the approach of playing according to the cyclical nature of the cryptocurrency market. I don't quite understand this since throughout the entire bull market $BTC behaved in accordance with cyclicality. - The trough of the cycle was in November [----] in line with cyclicality - Increases before halving in line with cyclicality - Rebound after halving in line with cyclicality - Peak on BTC in September/October [----] perfectly in line with cyclicality. We have also seen all the significant BTC behaviours from previous cycles. The only surprise was that BTC"
X Link 2026-01-08T17:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TedPillows Always Did it break through this level during the two-year bull market and remain below it for a long time during the bear market"
X Link 2026-01-08T18:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TedPillows A false upward breakout could definitely occur before the second part of the bear market. I definitely agree"
X Link 2026-01-08T18:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Karman_1s A visible bear flag that usually breaks downwards"
X Link 2026-01-08T18:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The launch of investment products does not guarantee an increase in the price of the underlying asset. An example of this is the ETH ETF and the lack of growth in ETH following its launch. Morgan Stanley is expanding into the cryptocurrency space with a view to offering comprehensive services in the coming years. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009341624074293320 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009341624074293320"
X Link 2026-01-08T19:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"How is it possible that you are correctly comparing two periods of time while drawing such extremely different conclusions Why did you cut the graph from [----] at this point without showing the rest of the decline You should take care of your followers and not mislead them as you have done here. I'm not saying that the situation has to be 1:1 but with such a comparison it's worth doing it properly. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009345818654867490 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009345818654867490"
X Link 2026-01-08T19:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@cryptofergani This means that both gold and silver may experience a correction soon. 🙂"
X Link 2026-01-08T19:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@iamjosephyoung The fundamentals of ETH and its use are very strong so you can rest assured about the future of ETH including the future bull market. Any declines will likely be caused solely by artificial fear among investors who are not sufficiently interested in the fundamentals"
X Link 2026-01-08T19:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@MikybullCrypto I think that the triangle below which did not show any breakout but only movements within the triangle is a better formation to observe. I have written more about this on my profile: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008964347448480177 3/3🧵 What is more BTC currently looks as if it has formed a triangle which often indicates a continuation of the trend rather than a change in direction. This formation is only a complement to the main scenario which could potentially help in finding the optimal point for https://t.co/h3MY2F94ia"
X Link 2026-01-09T09:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@FefeDemeny Potentially high volatility awaits us today but I am not sure whether polymarket will be right this time"
X Link 2026-01-09T09:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Beyond the trend lines: [--]. We have bearish divergences in the traditional market. [--]. According to new COT reports institutional positions indicate an increase in DXY and an increase in VIX = both indicate declines in the risky asset market. [--]. The cash position of funds is at a record low. [--]. BTC is forming a bearish flag/triangle - both formations indicate the same thing i.e. a continuation of the decline. Returning to the trend lines they work for a while but when they finally break at some point the losses are very painful. There are many indications of further declines as I described in"
X Link 2026-01-09T09:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"According to my logic the trend line is not a key factor but only one factor among many. [--]. Bearish divergence although it does not always give correct signals of course often proves to be accurate. [--]. You can see the COT data for DXY and VIX in the attached image. Besides you yourself said that DXY is at its lowest so the potential for decline is significantly limited = correction on risky assets. [--]. I am also attaching a 1D BTC chart where the triangle is clearly visible. Divergences or trend lines should never be the only element of analysis because they can give false signals - I"
X Link 2026-01-09T09:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"You are right but the reason for this is the lack of retail investors on the market for almost the entire bull market. As a rule a lot of on-chain data is based on BTC movements in a short period of time when there is interest from the street. When there is no interest from the street and therefore no retail investors such data can be misleading. In this bull market there was a different type of investor who had access to the OTC market which escapes many on-chain indicators. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009609962750615857 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009609962750615857"
X Link 2026-01-09T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Can you share this data for the period from the end of [----] to the first half of [----] It is highly likely that this period is the closest to the current one so such data would provide the best picture. Comparing the bull market with the beginning of the bear market in accordance with cyclicality may lead to erroneous conclusions and investment decisions. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009612806727864548 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009612806727864548"
X Link 2026-01-09T13:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@QuintenFrancois Really The chart below shows my new analysis and comparison of the [----] gold peak and how BTC behaved at that time: both before and after the gold peak. Data and its context are always as accurate as the person analysing it. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956 1/3 🧵 As you can see from my posts I believe that we are in a bear market for cryptocurrencies. Any increases in such a market are an opportunity to sell your spot positions and play the market with short positions. So it's time to look at the past and outline a baseline https://t.co/eDufIX8SyI"
X Link 2026-01-09T13:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@cryptoquant_com That's the point now on-chain data will slowly begin to show the bear market we've been experiencing for three months"
X Link 2026-01-09T16:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"#DziedzicThoughts My [--] predictions for [----]. [--]. A large bank or corporation such as Amazon will create and launch its own L1. [--]. A larger number of applications/projects will actually share profits. [--]. ICOs will return to favour and projects with the greatest potential will be launched there. [--]. There will be no ATH for BTC this year. [--]. At least three DAT-type companies will be forced to sell their cryptocurrencies which will drag crypto towards the bottom of the bear market. [--]. The situation in Venezuela will not be an isolated incident; there will be more geopolitical shocks this year."
X Link 2026-01-09T16:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The problem with this line is that it has been respected since the beginning of the bull market in [----]. Currently a large part of the CT is wondering whether this is already a bear market in line with cyclicality. However for a bear market to actually occur this line must break. Therefore I believe that relying on this trend line is unnecessary. There are many other factors that are better to analyse. I am in the bearish camp which I regularly present on my profile based on analysis and I presented this as one of the points of my predictions for this year."
X Link 2026-01-09T16:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I agree with the last statement. The market is most likely in a bear market but the current price has an unfavourable R/R ratio. It is better to wait for higher prices and take a short position or wait until BTC starts SPRING with Wyckoff's accumulation and then play for growth at least for a Dead Cat Bounce. I described this in detail in my weekly account report: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008950119022944435 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008950119022944435"
X Link 2026-01-09T17:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Huminiecki W 2022r. Zoto osigno szczyt po szczycie na BTC. Nie byo adnej rotacji. Tym razem moe by podobnie. Przedstawiem to tutaj: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956 1/3 🧵 As you can see from my posts I believe that we are in a bear market for cryptocurrencies. Any increases in such a market are an opportunity to sell your spot positions and play the market with short positions. So it's time to look at the past and outline a baseline https://t.co/eDufIX8SyI https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956 1/3 🧵 As you can see from my posts I believe that we are"
X Link 2026-01-09T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@MisterSpread Yes yes I agree a short position doesn't make sense here. A long position doesn't make much sense either because we don't know what level we will reach with DCB so we have to wait patiently"
X Link 2026-01-09T17:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Declines such as the one on [--] October will occur regularly for one simple reason. greed. People are greedy by nature so they invest using leverage. If leveraged capital grows to enormous levels again a large retest of OI will be a natural consequence. This is the nature of capital markets not just crypto. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009678546491396343 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009678546491396343"
X Link 2026-01-09T17:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JamesEastonUK Even during a bear market there will be upward corrections and pumps on some altcoins. However this is a very risky strategy"
X Link 2026-01-10T12:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TedPillows DAT companies were a sign of the end of the bull market in crypto and in my opinion there is a good chance that some of them will be forced to sell crypto in the current bear market. Which incidentally is one of my predictions for [----]. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009668580955025755 #DziedzicThoughts My [--] predictions for [----]. [--]. A large bank or corporation such as Amazon will create and launch its own L1. [--]. A larger number of applications/projects will actually share profits. [--]. ICOs will return to favour and projects with the greatest potential will"
X Link 2026-01-10T12:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"As usual most of the market will say that it is a bear market when there is no longer any point in selling. It made sense to sell in November [----] and October [----]. The upcoming rebound in the crypto market will be the last opportunity before a full-scale bear market where everyone will already know that it is a bear market. Selling all my crypto at the beginning of November was the best decision I could have made at the time. Not once since then has crypto returned to those levels. (I am of course referring to the projects I owned such as $DOGE and $ONDO). I have been talking about this on"
X Link 2026-01-10T12:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Could you write more about this indicator I don't see its name or anything. Macroeconomics and the traditional market which is more important than the cryptocurrency market are sending clear warning signals that may disrupt the functioning of this indicator. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819"
X Link 2026-01-10T12:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@jjcmoreno @cryptoquant_com Based on historical data this indicator unfortunately does not bode well for BTC. The miner has really good timing"
X Link 2026-01-10T15:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@OnChainMind We are still a few months away from the bottom of the bear market. During this time the index will probably rise unfortunately"
X Link 2026-01-10T15:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@arcamids Crazy because it's simply unbelievable. It will be very difficult for altcoins to grow by more than 100% in [----] (at least until the end of Q3) since reliable fundamentals warn us about the traditional market and we are in a bear market in the crypto market"
X Link 2026-01-10T15:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@cryptorover To be fair it is worth mentioning that in the same document where this prediction is made Vaneck warns that ETH could also reach [---]. First a thorough analysis and verification of the data ➡ Quality posts/analyses on X"
X Link 2026-01-10T16:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It's a shame that this screenshot is fake. Basing any investment decisions on something like this is tantamount to gambling not investing. We are currently in a bear market for cryptocurrencies and there are dangerous signs on the traditional market. I mentioned the other factors on my profile in Monday's analysis - another analysis will also be available on Monday :) So we will see 190K but in about [--] years. Definitely not in [----]. I can bet on that. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819"
X Link 2026-01-10T16:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@markchadwickx I think that in four or five months altcoins may begin to form an accumulation structure that will last for another five months. This chart may also look like this after adding just nine or ten candles. Before that it will be very difficult given the bear market for $BTC"
X Link 2026-01-10T16:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Instead of focusing on analysing a fake screenshot from an anonymous forum it is better to start analysing the cryptocurrency market. Psychology fundamentals macroeconomics - this is the key to successful investments in the crypto market. High-quality posts/analyses can also be found at X https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819 The famous 4Chan predictor has called for new BTC ETH and SOL ATHs this year aswell as a meme coin supercycle 🤯 https://t.co/3u63P0j4HN https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215176533999819 The famous 4Chan predictor has called for new BTC ETH and"
X Link 2026-01-10T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If history were to repeat itself (2022 year) the ATH for gold should be in about two weeks (a little longer on [--] January) and only after that date would precious metals fall into correction. After that date we should see the DCB peak on BTC and turn off the lights for a few months. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008963984914042956"
X Link 2026-01-12T08:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Two months seems like quite a long period and the bull flag rather indicates a continuation of the downward trend. A false breakout upwards followed by a further decline would be likely. In line with the movement of BTC and gold prices in [----] the local peak (DCB style) would occur around [--] February. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008964139486449736 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008964139486449736"
X Link 2026-01-12T08:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@caprioleio I believe that a bear market following such a bull market will bring about a nice cleansing of the market from such projects. After such a bull market + bear market investors themselves will think long and hard about whether a given altcoin makes sense"
X Link 2026-01-12T08:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I just saw that people started saying that it's just a matter of algorithms and the X platform itself. Unfortunately the truth is worse. We are in a bear market after last year's bull market which disappointed many people so people are not interested in such content. This interest will return one day but those who get involved in this market at times like this have the best chance of succeeding here in the future. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010635765751927245 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010635765751927245"
X Link 2026-01-12T08:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The question now is whether BTC will rise more than gold (which has never happened during a cyclical bear market) or whether gold is close to its peak and close to a trend reversal while BTC will record a DCB (as it did in 2022). The four most dangerous words in the world of investing are: this time its different. - Sir John Templeton https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010637305338331638 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010637305338331638"
X Link 2026-01-12T08:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@MerlijnTrader Certainly but first there will be a few months of accumulation by institutions developing their products so that they can earn money on them in those few months"
X Link 2026-01-12T09:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@VittoStack Great news for ETH ahead of the next bull market. In the next bull market ETH could potentially surprise those who lost faith in it during this bull market"
X Link 2026-01-12T09:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The main reason for such reach is the fact that we are currently in a bear market (which this chart illustrates very well) and the last year of the bull market greatly disappointed people. These factors had to be reflected in the views and reach on platforms such as X. Nothing surprising. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010638805552812400 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010638805552812400"
X Link 2026-01-12T09:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@OnChainMind The potential target for the dead cat bounce fits with my main scenario for what I'm playing. Thanks a lot for sharing"
X Link 2026-01-12T09:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@joao_wedson @Alphractal Cyclicality regularly proves that it is still in force and a large number of people regularly claim that it will not happen again. I recently showed how this bull market followed the patterns of previous bull markets. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009317320460566978 I see that many people are laughing at the approach of playing according to the cyclical nature of the cryptocurrency market. I don't quite understand this since throughout the entire bull market $BTC behaved in accordance with cyclicality. - The trough of the cycle was in https://t.co/boOedzp50u"
X Link 2026-01-12T12:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JamesEastonUK We should rather compare the current period with [----] or [----] - so a year of full-blown recession as it currently appears to be heading towards"
X Link 2026-01-12T12:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A technical analysis pattern is one component of analysis. Unfortunately speculation based only on this is very common. The key is to diagnose the current market stage. A bear market has most likely begun and I'll likely treat any rebound from the AT pattern as an opportunity to take a short position. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010699122433482776 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010699122433482776"
X Link 2026-01-12T13:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Karman_1s I expect something similar on BTC in the coming weeks. The current R/R ratio isn't tempting to take a long position. I'm waiting for the 103k area and then I can play for a trend reversal"
X Link 2026-01-12T13:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Please compare this data with the peak of the [----] bull market and the [----] bear market before making such conclusions. Below is a chart of the combined market capitalization of USDC and USDT. This chart continued to rise for [---] days after BTC's peak. This time around it could be similar. Yellow line - BTC TOP Red line - USDC+USDT Market Cap TOP https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010742115748151428 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010742115748151428"
X Link 2026-01-12T15:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"#DziedzicAnalysis 1/4🧵 I invite you to read the next installment. You can find the previous analysis in this post: [--]. Macroeconomic environment In recent days there have been numerous comments on the X regarding alleged improvement in liquidity conditions due to the slight increase in the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. However from a global perspective the macroeconomic picture has not significantly improved compared to the previous week. While the Fed's balance sheet has increased marginally the analysis must take into account the actions of other key central banks. The European Central"
X Link 2026-01-12T16:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"2. Stock market 2/4🧵 The S&P [---] charts continue to show bearish divergence on both the daily and weekly timeframes suggesting limited demand despite the persistence of relatively high price levels. After a dynamic rally in recent days the dollar index (DXY) experienced a short-term correction partially fueled by news of the lawsuit filed against Jerome Powell. Despite this the dollar is recovering relatively quickly indicating that upward pressure has not been negated. A comparison of the S&P [---] chart with the combined balance sheet of the Fed ECB and BOJ is also noteworthy. The divergence"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3. Crypto market 3/4🧵 The cryptocurrency market remains in a consolidation phase after the dynamic start of the current bear market. The thesis that the market is entering a bear market is supported not only by cyclicality and the behavior of traditional markets but also by data specific to the crypto market itself. After Bitcoin's rise to around USD [-----] long-term holders and major players became active again increasing supply pressure. At the same time ETFs particularly those managed by BlackRock are regularly transferring BTC to exchanges suggesting profit-taking and preparations for"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"4. Summary 4/4🧵 On-chain data is beginning to confirm the conclusions drawn from market structure cyclicality and sentiment analysis. The cryptocurrency market remains in a bear market with periodic upward corrections being natural. The stock market continues to experience significant bearish divergence in the S&P [---] Index and long-term historical analogiesincluding a comparison of the Dow Jones Industrial Average's performance from [----] to [----] YTD to the [----] to [----] periodindicate an elevated risk of more significant declines in the coming quarters. Global liquidity continues to show no"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CryptoNobler The current movement in global liquidity is barely noticeable although it's worth remembering that QE almost always begins with a sharp correction in financial markets. I mentioned this in my latest analysis. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2010758643327643860 #DziedzicAnalysis 1/4🧵 I invite you to read the next installment. You can find the previous analysis in this post: https://t.co/qz53l7KIIB [--]. Macroeconomic environment In recent days there have been numerous comments on the X regarding alleged improvement in liquidity https://t.co/AtxVzQPyzI"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@seth_fin The exact same chart ➡ observes 103k to build a short position"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Osemka8 A deviation above this level should build in January. I'm just warning you that there's a high probability that the bear market will continue after this"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CryptoJelleNL The area where the ATH was established looks more like a deviation and therefore indicates a future continuation of the bear market"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@QuintenFrancois Midterm elections also occurred in [----] and [----]. In both cases there was a bear market in the cryptocurrency market including during the Trump administration. The second presidential year is also problematic as statistically it's the worst year for financial markets"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@iWantCoinNews In one case we were dealing with a bullish flag and in the other a bearish flag. During one flag the market was bullish as the cycle dictates while during the second flag it was bearish. The outcome must be different"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@WyckoffAnalysis Such consolidation may finally give us the strength to rebound and a chance to build a short position. This is not investment advice"
X Link 2026-01-13T08:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Washigorira We are seeing a bearish divergence on the SP500 so it is worth being cautious there as well. The pattern is somewhat similar to the period before the decline with tariffs. NFA"
X Link 2026-01-13T12:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@JamesEastonUK Looks similar to the [----] bull market"
X Link 2026-01-13T17:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@QuintenFrancois The problem will be if there's no capital rotation like there was after the BTC peak in [----]. This is just my opinion 😊"
X Link 2026-01-13T17:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CryptoJelleNL Could the final move to rescue the dead cat be approaching This is just my opinion :)"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"1/6 Is real estate tokenization a revolution or just a fad that will never materialize analysis = not investment advice. A report by the BIS (Bank for International Settlements) analyzes this in depth and. surprises Tokens don't replace the traditional market but fill gaps where banks fail. Let's examine this step by step. The main thesis: Tokenization complements the market not competes with it or REITs. It focuses on regions with low liquidity poor access to credit and lower interest from large investors. Data from the US (2019-2025) shows: tokens are flourishing in cheaper peripheral"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/6 Where banks have many branches and cheap credit Tokens are scarce there. But in areas with expensive financing Tokenization is growing rapidly This means that capital from tokens effectively replaces local bank loans. It doesn't compete with traditional investors but complements them. The biggest advantages are: Lower barriers to entry Real estate divided into thousands of tokens minimum investment Several dozen dollars Investors are primarily retail (median: several hundred USD) but larger players are also welcome. Diversification is possible with low capital which depends on the"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/6 Comparison with REITs: REITs are strong liquid institutional markets. Tokens Weaker local overlooked by large capital. So they're not competitors but a separate segment more selective but risky. Exposure to specific properties Yes but with risk"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5/6 Conclusion: Real estate tokenization is an interesting way to supplement your portfolio lowering the barrier to entry into the real estate market. However it is currently no safer than traditional forms. The risks lie with the platforms: their liquidity and crisis management. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011138685681471590 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011138685681471590"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If we're talking about nominal values it's only natural that we'll continue to break such records as the market develops. The same applies to the "record" liquidation of 10/10. The crypto market is growing and more and more capital is being invested in it so we'll be breaking such "records" in nominal values on a regular basis. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011139521371394341 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011139521371394341"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@bitcoindata21 Looks like it might be enough to revive a dead cat. Just my opinion"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@scottmelker I agree I drew a similar diagram a few days ago as you can see below. Maybe it'll be enough to get rid of a dead cat. Just my opinion"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@ByzGeneral Unfortunately it's very possible that shorts will fuel this dead-cat rebound with a potential target of around 103k-108k. This is just my opinion not investment advice"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@QuintenFrancois I think the bearish divergence in the S&P and the similar chart appearance to before the correction related to US tariffs shouldn't be underestimated. The DXY also refuses to let itself be forgotten. 😉"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"It's hard for me to imagine a court in the United States issuing a verdict against the US President especially on such an important issue. However if it did happen it could be the perfect trigger for a bearish divergence on the S&P [---] and a reason for further strengthening of the dollar. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011146674953945338 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011146674953945338"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MaxCrypto Maybe we will finally get a breakout from this triangle and thanks to these shorts BTC will complete its dead cat bounce"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@OVcrypto Interesting that you count the number of days in a sideways trend in this cycle so you analyze the cycle. At the same time you're downplaying the entire 4-year BTC cycle which has proven to be accurate since the bear market bottom in [----]. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2009317320460566978 I see that many people are laughing at the approach of playing according to the cyclical nature of the cryptocurrency market. I don't quite understand this since throughout the entire bull market $BTC behaved in accordance with cyclicality. - The trough of the cycle was in"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CryptoBullet1 $LTC unlike $XMR doesn't have much time left. The cryptocurrency bear market has begun and this will certainly make it harder for $LTC to grow by 500%. It's not impossible but it's certainly more difficult than with Monero"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@OVcrypto The four-year cycle is based on supply and demand plus psychology. This results in a bear market bottom at an unspecified time as well as a bull market peak. A cycle peak of four months would disrupt Bitcoin's cycles"
X Link 2026-01-13T20:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CryptoBoss1984 This is a key decision point: Do we raise finally get a DCB and continue the bear market or do we return to the AT formation and consolidate further Personal opinion"
X Link 2026-01-13T20:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MikybullCrypto To be honest I don't remember this formation being highly effective and I personally don't remember it working as expected from the screenshot. Maybe a breakout from the BTC bear market lows in 2018/2019"
X Link 2026-01-13T20:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Both types of people could be the same. According to four-year cycles every bear market should have a relief rally. In the bubble model this movement is called a return to normal. I am such a case and I claim that we are in a bear market and the maximum BTC target for the current move is 108k (although the most probable target is the range: 103k-108k). I will publicly apologize if we break a new all-time high but I currently consider this scenario very unlikely. It's also worth mentioning that yesterday's strong move sstopped at a perfect point on the BTC chart."
X Link 2026-01-14T07:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JamesEastonUK From what I see BTC stopped at the perfect moment to avoid a breakout"
X Link 2026-01-14T07:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@VivekVentures Interesting targets but unlikely for this year. We could reach them at the end of the next bull market (especially for BTC)"
X Link 2026-01-14T07:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I completely agree. However the course of the 2022-2025 BTC bull market could allow altcoins to grow in the future bull market. People won't be interested in them because they'll be mindful of the current market allowing MM to accumulate peacefully. Institutions will also have ETFs for altcoins which will also allow for greater diversification. even if QE had started this year things would have been great for altcoins. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011343055438090533 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011343055438090533"
X Link 2026-01-14T07:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I believe we are currently in a bear market. This is of course indicated by the cyclical nature of the market which held up perfectly between [----] and [----]. The traditional market is also sending warnings. Regarding the EMA50 it's worth remembering that we could be dealing with a fake breakout for example around 103k-108k which would be a natural target for a dead-cat bounce or a return to normal. Could you show a chart of the EMA50 at the beginning of [----] a period similar to the current period It's best to compare this to that period not to a full-blown bull market. Only my opinion."
X Link 2026-01-14T07:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@scottmelker We will see how the market reacts after the US reopens but it does look like this relief rally could finally take place"
X Link 2026-01-14T12:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@joao_wedson It looks like they are actually going to liquidate the shorts so that they can then continue the bear market"
X Link 2026-01-14T12:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@StockmoneyL A really nice chart. The only thing is perhaps it's worth considering more factors than just the price action (AT). If BTC's cyclical nature indicated a bull market this chart would be great but unfortunately we can't rely solely on it"
X Link 2026-01-14T12:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CryptoJelleNL History repeating. interesting that you don't look for this statement in an analogy to the beginning of the crypto bear market in [----] and the DCB rebound at that moment"
X Link 2026-01-14T12:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CryptoJelleNL The opening of US markets will likely allow us to decide whether this was a real or fake breakout. If it's real we'll wait for regions to short. If it's a fake breakout we'll continue to wait for DCB. These are my personal scenarios for now"
X Link 2026-01-14T12:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@krugermacro The only thing that is worrying is the increase in the Funding Rate - I understand that it is because of this short squeeze but still"
X Link 2026-01-14T12:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@coinbureau Very good In my personal opinion such a phenomenon is very necessary to continue the bear market and that's precisely what DCB is for. to add fuel for a later long squeeze"
X Link 2026-01-14T13:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TedPillows Regarding the VIX I explained on my profile why there is a very high probability that the VIX will rise in the near future. Below is a post with a look at the VIX. https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215446802080088 [--]. Stock market 2/4🧵 The VIX volatility index has been steadily declining in recent weeks reaching levels around [--] points. Historically these are areas from which the VIX has often initiated dynamic upward movements leading to increased volatility and corrections in the https://t.co/QhwPWlfRsw https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2008215446802080088 [--]. Stock"
X Link 2026-01-14T15:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@BitcoinArchive During the bull market we saw corrections driven by ETF sales. It seems logical to conclude that during the bear market (which began in October) corrections will also occur driven by ETF purchases (a correction in a bear market is an increase in the price of an asset)"
X Link 2026-01-14T15:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@scottmelker $LINK at the moment next to $BTC $ETH are the only cryptocurrencies that have utility and have permanently proven their resilience over the years"
X Link 2026-01-14T15:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@AshCrypto @BitwiseInvest $LINK at the moment next to $BTC $ETH are the only cryptocurrencies that have utility and have permanently proven their resilience over the years"
X Link 2026-01-14T15:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@cryptogoos It's a natural progression. If BTC regularly breaks its all-time high and the market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies increases it's only natural that we'll break records for open interest realized losses and so on in nominal value. The natural order of things"
X Link 2026-01-14T15:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@level941 Very unlikely this year probably in the coming years but in a bear market year where the BTC cycle has never failed even in the last bull market. The four most dangerous words in the world of investing are: "This time it's different." - Sir John Templeton"
X Link 2026-01-14T15:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@cryptorover I'm waiting for the opportunity to finally take a short position. But I feel that we are finally getting closer to it"
X Link 2026-01-14T15:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"1. The cryptocurrency cycle has consistently shown that it never disappoints and in the recent bull market everything played out according to cyclical patterns. [--]. Beyond the "calendar" itself there's the issue of psychology and the fact that many people believe in it so we may be dealing with a self-fulfilling prophecy. [--]. The spike in DAT (institutional FOMO) companies which initially rose significantly with each new purchase announcement but after a few weeks this announcement no longer positively impacted their valuations. [--]. Beyond the cycles themselves the traditional market is once"
X Link 2026-01-14T17:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"#DziedzicStrategy 1/3 🧵 Market expectations In my assessment the broader cryptocurrency market remains in a bearish phase. This view refers to the overall market structure and prevailing sentiment rather than individual projects or short-term price anomalies. I do not expect the beginning of a sustainable bullish trend; instead any upward movements should be treated as local rebounds within a broader bear market including the possibility of a final technical relief rally. It is also important to emphasize that the macroeconomic environment continues to present elevated risk suggesting that"
X Link 2026-01-14T17:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Main principles of the strategy 2/3🧵 Under these market conditions my primary objective remains capital accumulation and capital preservation. I maintain a cautious approach to market exposure focusing on flexibility and readiness to respond when more favorable price conditions emerge. During local price rebounds I plan to gradually unwind my ZEN position which is currently at a significant loss and has not met my original investment assumptions. At the same time I am analyzing market structure to identify optimal levels for initiating short positions once the current rebound phase is"
X Link 2026-01-14T17:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Outlook 3/3 🧵 At present I consider the risk-to-reward ratio unattractive for both long and short positions. Optimal conditions for spot accumulation occurred earlier at lower price levels. A potential upside move in Bitcoin toward the 103108k range would imply a gain of approximately 712% which in the context of a bear market does not offer sufficient asymmetry to justify exposure. Conversely initiating short positions at current levels also appears premature relative to the broader bearish structure. As a result I remain in a waiting posture anticipating that the market will provide a"
X Link 2026-01-14T17:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@krugermacro My personal target for this move will be 103k-108k after a false breakout of the EMA50. However situations where BTC rises and US indices fall usually last very briefly and BTC eventually joins the indices"
X Link 2026-01-14T17:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@GertvanLagen People seem a bit disappointed with the BTC bull market and therefore don't want to consider a bear market. Unfortunately the market isn't based on wishful thinking but on a rational analytical approach and this unfortunately points to a bear market.😕"
X Link 2026-01-14T19:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JamesEastonUK Each new phase of a bull or bear market cycle begins with a breakout from a significant trend line. Therefore it's worth considering not just the trend line but a holistic view of the cryptocurrency market through the lens of psychology macroeconomics and traditional markets"
X Link 2026-01-14T19:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TedPillows Time for a second round of short squeeze"
X Link 2026-01-14T19:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I can't find it at the moment but recently someone tested various popular LLMs like Grok GPT and Gemini to see if they performed well in investments. He gave them $10000 to invest but after a few months it turned out that none of them turned a profit and 80% saw declines of over 50%. So I don't think Grok's opinion on this matter is worth much consideration. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011518809044086904 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011518809044086904"
X Link 2026-01-14T19:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Once very likely given the BTC bear market and warnings in the traditional market and the lack of significant global liquidity growth I don't think it's feasible. Regarding potential QE please remember that historically there have been very large declines that justified such QE. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011520636552716774 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011520636552716774"
X Link 2026-01-14T19:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"It's best not to look at the market with wishful thinking. The 2022-2025 bull market was fueled by institutional capital and there was also FOMO in that same market. DAT companies were a prime example of institutional FOMO. If we haven't managed to earn as much as we thought we could there's no point in stubbornly insisting that the environment is changing. First logic and a thorough analysis of data and sentiment.then decisions. Emotions always on the last place https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011521490433274035 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011521490433274035"
X Link 2026-01-14T19:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CryptoJelleNL In the event of such a rebound it is worth watching out for a fakeout that may be lurking causing the greed index to rise to around 75-85"
X Link 2026-01-15T11:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@JamesEastonUK Looking at this chart it is clear that alts may continue to consolidate in this formation throughout the year with increasingly smaller rebounds"
X Link 2026-01-15T12:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Washigorira Potentially an ideal target for a DCB rebound. My personal opinion"
X Link 2026-01-15T12:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@cryptorover Are you sure that the position was not opened for a much lower amount before the BTC pump and that the amount you are quoting already includes its profit from the position"
X Link 2026-01-15T12:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I am glad that Artur Hayes is saying what I said some time ago: liquidity is currently limitedthat is it exists but is not widely available. For this reason investors prefer not to invest in the most volatile market and any stress on the system can severely depress the crypto market. This is my personal opinion. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011842688610639935 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011842688610639935"
X Link 2026-01-15T16:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Hedgeye Stablecoins and tokenization are potential sectors where we will see the greatest development of fundamentals but whether this will be followed by an increase in token prices is anyone's guess"
X Link 2026-01-15T18:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@DeItaone A really big red warning light for investors.❗ Blackrock must have its own objectives in promoting such ideas"
X Link 2026-01-15T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Sale of ZEN token with a 42% loss I would like to emphasize once again that in my opinion we are in a bear market and any rebound should be considered in terms of getting out of your positions. Reasons for selling: -Strong growth in the crypto market in recent days - In recent days ZEN has risen by 60% (at its peak) to 43% at the time of my sale. - We can see bearish divergence on the 4H chart. - The F&G indicator has reached greed for the first time in several months. - What also worries me is the fact that suddenly a lot of people are expecting DCB to be around 106k which is why I don't"
X Link 2026-01-15T18:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TedPillows It is also worth noting that in the latest reading PPI values rose more than analysts had expected. And PPI is an indicator that Powell also looks at as PPI leads CPI movements by several months"
X Link 2026-01-15T20:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@QuintenFrancois Perfect news for a bear market few people interested in the market in general + even fewer people receiving information about airdrops + harder to earn points. airdrops may make a big comeback in [----]. This is very good news for airdrops"
X Link 2026-01-15T20:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@IT_Tech_PL In my opinion we cannot rule out that this is the end of the dead cat bounce. CT began to expect a target of around 106k (I must admit that I myself considered such a scenario). In such a sentiment a specific value is usually unattainable"
X Link 2026-01-16T09:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@cryptoquant_com @IT_Tech_PL In my opinion we cannot rule out that this is the end of the dead cat bounce. CT began to expect a target of around 106k (I must admit that I myself considered such a scenario). In such a sentiment a specific value is usually unattainable"
X Link 2026-01-16T09:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I am increasingly inclined to lower my base target in this dead cat bounce. Too many people were talking about a range of around 106k at one point. I think that in this situation we will either break through this level significantly or stay in the current regions. Personally I sold the entire spot and am now 100% in $. = this is just my private portfolio. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012125249236521073 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012125249236521073"
X Link 2026-01-16T11:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The fundamental issue is that this chart ends at the beginning of [----] i.e. it only shows the bull market when there were no such threats from the traditional market and cyclicality alone did not indicate a bear market. In order to correctly analyze the current situation using this data it would be worth looking at it from the turn of 2022/2023. Only then could this chart be fully useful. Reliable analysis and verification of data is key to decision making. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012127969704042576 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012127969704042576"
X Link 2026-01-16T11:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Washigorira For the Fed the PPI reading which usually precedes CPI inflation data is also important if not more important. And the PPI has recently risen more than analysts had expected. This is also certainly food for thought for Powell"
X Link 2026-01-16T13:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"ETH will not fall below [----] I would say that this is a controversial opinion as for ETH to fall to this level a 60% correction would be enough which was usually greater during a bear market. DAT-type companies were very important in this bull market but the question is whether if the macroeconomic environment deteriorates for them they will have to sell their assets thereby driving prices below 2k. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012158758491668696 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012158758491668696"
X Link 2026-01-16T13:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MaxCrypto For the Fed the PPI reading which usually precedes CPI inflation data is also important if not more important. And the PPI has recently risen more than analysts had expected. This is also certainly food for thought for Powell"
X Link 2026-01-16T14:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"This year due to the potential bear market in crypto there is little chance that any trend will come as a particular surprise. RWA and stablecoins probably have the strongest fundamentals for expansion. However I hope that robotics will be a trend in the future bull market. AI needs to be put into nice devices. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012180555115168013 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012180555115168013"
X Link 2026-01-16T15:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@MaxCrypto This whale did not open a position for that amount. That amount is his contribution and profit. He opened positions before this BTC rise to around 98K"
X Link 2026-01-16T17:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@MaxCrypto It's time to check the real data that could determine market growth. In my opinion there is some negative information/warning hidden there"
X Link 2026-01-16T17:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MisterSpread An interesting idea I've been thinking about it myself. MSTR is growing faster than BTC in a bull market and with a bear market for crypto in [----] (for the most part) there may be an interesting opportunity for these stocks"
X Link 2026-01-16T17:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JA_Maartun @cryptoquant_com The privacy trend has been going on for quite a long time for crypto market trends. It is now worth being cautious when searching for low caps"
X Link 2026-01-16T17:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"In my opinion too many people expect and anticipate that BTC will break through 100k and reach a target of at least 103k in this rebound. In my opinion most people will be wrong as usual so either we will see a decisive break above 103k with a very likely ATH or the dead cat bounce will end around where we are now. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012216764059267235 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012216764059267235"
X Link 2026-01-16T17:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheCryptoKazi It will be difficult looking at the liquidation map:"
X Link 2026-01-16T17:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"#DziedzicThoughts In my opinion too many people expect and anticipate that BTC will break through 100k and reach a target of at least 103k in this rebound. Incidentally there is still a lot of talk about BTC breaking through its ATH soon this group is still really large. I believe that in such circumstances there are two possible scenarios that will prevent people from fulfilling these scenarios: [--]. BTC decisively breaks through the 103k-108k region and attacks the ATH (with a high chance of breaking through it) [--]. We are in a bear market and BTC is in the midst of a dead cat bounce that will"
X Link 2026-01-16T17:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Some of these projects have seen huge growth. In my opinion this approach is too risky for me to follow suit. Additionally it is worth noting that the privacy trend is already very hot with many tokens in this trend having grown many times over. In my opinion it is worth being very careful with projects in this narrative. This is just my personal opinion. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012223531010896143 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012223531010896143"
X Link 2026-01-16T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Yes yes that's also possible but what I meant was that this level becomes less and less likely in such a case. On the other hand such a long consolidation with one more BTC surge to around 100k and then a long boring exhausting decline is also absolutely possible. The second part of the bear market does not have to be violent at all and usually is not. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012224142758584601 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012224142758584601"
X Link 2026-01-16T18:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@OndoFinance I think tokenization will be the biggest trend this yearat least fundamentally/market-wise It may be difficult in Bessie BTC. My personal opinion"
X Link 2026-01-16T18:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@GordonGekko In theory memecoins are least likely to grow during a BTC bear market. But I wish you luck in general"
X Link 2026-01-16T21:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@MaxCrypto There is still potential for a decline but there are many more arguments pointing to a bear market"
X Link 2026-01-16T21:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TedPillows For the Fed the PPI reading which usually precedes CPI inflation data is also important if not more important. And the PPI has recently risen more than analysts had expected. This is also certainly food for thought for Powell"
X Link 2026-01-16T21:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi I see that openAi is doing everything it can to force users to switch to paid versions"
X Link 2026-01-16T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Global liquidity has been rather sideways for a long time (after a momentary slump) and everything is very expensive: stocks commodities BTC (although the ATH at 126k is somewhat impressive). What is not expensive are most altcoins (but there is also a group that has yielded excellent returns) and the dollar. In my opinion we are approaching a moment in the market when Cash is King. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012448446804893733 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012448446804893733"
X Link 2026-01-17T08:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CryptoJelleNL On the BTC chart another formation is possible besides the one shown in the picture. In that case we are really close to the local top"
X Link 2026-01-17T08:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@iamjosephyoung The fundaments for the future bull market are being laid"
X Link 2026-01-18T09:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"For now I consistently believe that such a scenario (a new ATH or at least an increase to around the new ATH - 5% from the ATH for example) is very unlikely; it seems much more likely that we are currently only in a DCB. Once I finish analyzing the market in terms of short positions I will immediately start thinking about scenarios that invalidate the DCB. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012828054037418363 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012828054037418363"
X Link 2026-01-18T10:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In order to cut reserves to zero or launch QE both the Fed and Trump need some kind of excuse something that would explain such behavior to the world. Historically these have been stress tests of the system or sharp declines in stock market indices. So it is worth remembering that this often involves interest rates close to [--] and QE. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012831512102646250 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012831512102646250"
X Link 2026-01-18T10:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@cryptorover It seems that BTC respected this value during this bull market and that we are approaching this indicator. During the previous attempt to recover the level above this indicator BTC failed. This is potentially another argument for the coming end of the dead cat bounce"
X Link 2026-01-18T10:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"All assets are expensive: stocks commodities precious metals cryptocurrencies. The dollar is one of the few assets that is relatively cheap. This encourages the accumulation of dollars at the expense of other assets. Of course as I write cryptocurrencies I don't mean every project. I mean BTC + the cryptocurrency market in general. Similarly in the case of the stock market certainly not all stocks are expensive. I mean the overall picture. Non Financial Advice. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012837822382661645 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012837822382661645"
X Link 2026-01-18T10:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"My opinion is that the altcoin market needs to undergo a transformation. First of all there are too many projects and the capital that did not flow into the market in a broad stream during this bull market had a problem with a large number of projects growing significantly. Another issue is the fact that the market opened up another opportunity to invest in BTC and ETH namely through ETFs. Then investors did not need to create accounts on exchanges and could not invest in projects other than these two. However I believe that the market will learn from the current bull market and projects"
X Link 2026-01-18T17:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@inmortalcrypto Apart from the chart which is not clearly bullish it is worth remembering warnings outside of technical analysis such as: - the cyclical nature of BTC - high margin debt levels - Trump's problem with US debt - the COT report for the VIX index - bearish divergence for the S&P"
X Link 2026-01-18T17:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It seems that the author himself is not sure what will happen and once he is all in on BTC and in the second post just a few hours later he writes that the bond market may bring Armageddon upon us. Of course my opinion is not always correct but at least I stick to one scenario and am ready to admit my mistake. https://x.com/DefiWimar/status/2012865926098563214 https://x.com/DefiWimar/status/2012865926098563214 🚨 I JUST WENT ALL-IN ON BITCOIN Not because of TA. Not because of the halving. Not because of some headline. Because $4.7 TRILLION will hit the US economy over the next [--] months."
X Link 2026-01-18T18:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"It seems that the author himself is not sure what will happen and once he is all in on BTC and in the second post just a few hours later he writes that the bond market may bring Armageddon upon us. Of course my opinion is not always correct but at least I stick to one scenario and am ready to admit my mistake. https://x.com/DefiWimar/status/2012865926098563214 https://x.com/DefiWimar/status/2012865926098563214 🚨 I JUST WENT ALL-IN ON BITCOIN Not because of TA. Not because of the halving. Not because of some headline. Because $4.7 TRILLION will hit the US economy over the next [--] months."
X Link 2026-01-18T18:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The CPI is important to Powell but not the most important indicator. It's also worth looking at PPI values a more important indicator than the CPI which measures producer inflation. The PPI can lead the CPI trend by several months. It's worth emphasizing that the PPI rose more than analysts expected in the latest reading. Many factors influenced the likelihood of rate cuts and this is one of them. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012963656749797755 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012963656749797755"
X Link 2026-01-18T19:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The previous bull market was the first in which BTC did not touch the purple line. In the 2023-2025 bull market BTC may be even further from the purple line than it is now and also end the bull market. Unfortunately there is a greater likelihood of the bear market continuing as I just wrote on my profile. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012963789474283909 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012963789474283909"
X Link 2026-01-18T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"After recent gains BTC is in a consolidation phase which a large part of X hopes will end with a continuation of the upward movement to at least around 107k with a potential attack on a new ATH. Unfortunately in my personal opinion the dynamics of BTC movements will be different and will not appeal to most accounts on X. I believe that BTC is currently at the end of its dead cat bounce (with a possible rise to around 101k) which will be followed by the second part of the bear market which will be much more exhausting due to its prolonged nature. I have based my conclusion on a comparison of"
X Link 2026-01-18T19:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@andrewgolaraBTC @Dan_Kostecki Rne czynniki kalendarzyk makroekonomia oraz obecne Price Action na BTC. Zachcam do zapoznania si z ostatnim moim wpisem gdzie zwrciem wiksz uwag na niektre z wyminionych czynnikw: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012964714582519836 After recent gains BTC is in a consolidation phase which a large part of X hopes will end with a continuation of the upward movement to at least around 107k with a potential attack on a new ATH. Unfortunately in my personal opinion the dynamics of BTC movements will be https://t.co/yojrazvQQg"
X Link 2026-01-18T19:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I agree with the statement: In a real bull market prices spend more time rising than falling. The same is true: In a real bear market prices spend more time falling than rising. Most people know this and can stick to it. The real problem is the moments of trend reversal which are very difficult to spot. However this is particularly important at the beginning of a bear market as the first wave of selling is often between 40-50% followed by DCB and a continuation of the decline which is no longer as dynamic but mainly mentally exhausting due to its length."
X Link 2026-01-18T19:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I agree with the statement: In a real bull market prices spend more time rising than falling. The same is true: In a real bear market prices spend more time falling than rising. Most people know this and can stick to it. The real problem is the moments of trend reversal which are very difficult to spot. However this is particularly important at the beginning of a bear market as the first wave of selling is often between 40-50% followed by DCB and a continuation of the decline which is no longer as dynamic but mainly mentally exhausting due to its length."
X Link 2026-01-18T19:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@1995research A very interesting observation. One of these two things will have to happen first: [--]. The 4-year BTC cycle will be broken. [--]. Time dominance will be determined by the initial impulse of the bear market"
X Link 2026-01-18T19:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I warned about this many times while many accounts on X were calling for new records. Yesterday a few hours before the decline I shared my scenario. DCB was already close to exhaustion as suggested by past data and AT (unfortunately I was unable to take a short position at that time but I sold everything as I also reported). Please take a look at my post from yesterday a few hours before the decline: https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012964714582519836 https://x.com/DziedzicInvest/status/2012964714582519836"
X Link 2026-01-19T07:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
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