#  @DustinGouker Dustin Gouker Dustin Gouker posts on X about kalshi, prediction markets, super bowl, the super the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::3000055836/interactions)  - [--] Week [---------] +164% - [--] Month [---------] -66% - [--] Months [----------] +5,054% - [--] Year [----------] +471% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::3000055836/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -59% - [--] Month [---] -1% - [--] Months [-----] +1,338% - [--] Year [-----] +329% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::3000055836/followers)  - [--] Week [------] +1.40% - [--] Month [------] +3.20% - [--] Months [------] +27% - [--] Year [------] +31% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::3000055836/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 9.15% [social networks](/list/social-networks) 6.54% [finance](/list/finance) 4.58% [stocks](/list/stocks) 3.27% [musicians](/list/musicians) 2.61% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 1.96% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) 1.96% [celebrities](/list/celebrities) 1.31% [countries](/list/countries) 0.65% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 0.65% **Social topic influence** [kalshi](/topic/kalshi) #51, [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #152, [super bowl](/topic/super-bowl) 11.76%, [the super](/topic/the-super) 6.54%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 5.88%, [polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #243, [ceo](/topic/ceo) #1688, [super](/topic/super) 3.27%, [more than](/topic/more-than) 3.27%, [betting](/topic/betting) #267 **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@aluckyaday](/creator/undefined) [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@nigeleccles](/creator/undefined) [@kalshiliquid](/creator/undefined) [@tampopox](/creator/undefined) [@gaetend](/creator/undefined) [@curlylambeauner](/creator/undefined) [@uspredict](/creator/undefined) [@inpredict](/creator/undefined) [@byajperez](/creator/undefined) [@seththebot](/creator/undefined) [@inga1937](/creator/undefined) [@random501901](/creator/undefined) [@probaaron](/creator/undefined) [@westonjossey](/creator/undefined) [@giannisan34](/creator/undefined) [@therobbeo](/creator/undefined) [@yelff](/creator/undefined) [@thelocktalk](/creator/undefined) [@michaelselig](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Genius Sports Limited (GENI)](/topic/$geni) [Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [CME Group Inc (CME)](/topic/$cme) [The Official [--] coin (76)](/topic/$76) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Solana (SOL)](/topic/solana) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "Apparently the market didnt hear about the prediction markets super cycle during Robinhood Q4 earnings" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021630719836184772) 2026-02-11T17:01Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "lol at thinking its embarrassing for CNBC This interview is embarrassing for the @SquawkCNBC hosts They're charging @mansourtarek_ with an incredible level of responsibility for any "insider trading" that happens on his platform [--]. Why are the actions of individual traders his responsibility [--]. Why are prediction This interview is embarrassing for the @SquawkCNBC hosts They're charging @mansourtarek_ with an incredible level of responsibility for any "insider trading" that happens on his platform [--]. Why are the actions of individual traders his responsibility [--]. Why are prediction" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021670654832259495) 2026-02-11T19:40Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "News: The founders of Kalshi and Polymarket will appear at the NBA Tech Summit as a part of All-Star Weekend. Execs from FanDuel DraftKings and MGM also involved. ๐ฟ https://closingline.substack.com/p/news-polymarket-kalshi-founders-at-nba-tech-summit https://closingline.substack.com/p/news-polymarket-kalshi-founders-at-nba-tech-summit" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021736147077222539) 2026-02-12T00:00Z 13K followers, 12.6K engagements "Just realized we can do some hedging on Chinese basketball at Kalshi" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2011872085346595291) 2026-01-15T18:44Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "Here are the different parlays SORRY COMBOS that you may be able to bet on SORRY TRADE at FanDuel and DraftKings prediction markets for the Super Bowl per a CME Group filing" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2017033080335384603) 2026-01-30T00:32Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Kalshi appears to be paying this guy to make a promote a fake Kalshi market about a streaker at the Super Bowl using Kalshis internal fake market tool. I am sure that the NFL cant wait to partner with them. The easiest $50000 I will ever make Am i missing something https://t.co/eOCRyToK7w The easiest $50000 I will ever make Am i missing something https://t.co/eOCRyToK7w" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018523015370375463) 2026-02-03T03:12Z 12.8K followers, 77.3K engagements "Sportsbooks are dead Note from Jefferies says the Missouri sports betting launch looked like "one of the strongest new state launches in recent years." MO's $111 in handle per adult in Dec. was more than NC ($76) KY ($81) and MA ($98). Also prediction market cannibalization looked minimal: https://t.co/8qp2Eccx7e Note from Jefferies says the Missouri sports betting launch looked like "one of the strongest new state launches in recent years." MO's $111 in handle per adult in Dec. was more than NC ($76) KY ($81) and MA ($98). Also prediction market cannibalization looked minimal:" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018708796801953858) 2026-02-03T15:30Z 12.9K followers, 30.2K engagements "Crypto dot com allowing people to bet on margin on its new prediction market app and they will have a VIP program. honestly kind of glad we are gonna stop pretending this isn't sports betting anymore" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018728703778566577) 2026-02-03T16:50Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "OG calls itself a sports-focused social prediction market platform thats a lot of words to say you offer sports betting just sayin" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018815329305252085) 2026-02-03T22:34Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Google knows ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018820079920832886) 2026-02-03T22:53Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Kalshi appears to be asking us to believe they came up with the idea of giving out free groceries a day before Polymarket launched a free grocery store it has been working on for months. Total coincidence. They really do think were all idiots" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018831288564859255) 2026-02-03T23:37Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Also one of the founders of Kalshi asked for detente a few months and instead of just celebrating people getting food they are throwing shade at Polymarket" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018833999003845096) 2026-02-03T23:48Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "@probaaron NEW BADGE" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018839987454877768) 2026-02-04T00:12Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements "@probaaron Someone put up a prediction market on how many Kalshi badges I follow by end of the year" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018842311367786821) 2026-02-04T00:21Z 12.8K followers, [--] engagements "Do you believe Kalshi decided to give out free groceries today totally independent of Polymarkets announcement Yes No Im here for Wang jokes Yes No Im here for Wang jokes" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018843150438293779) 2026-02-04T00:24Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Now hes got a fake market with Jeffrey Epstein odds to attend the Super Bowl. Roger Goodell has to be DYING to sign a deal with Kalshi. The craziest $10000 bet I have ever made Epstein appears at the Superbowl. https://t.co/hWbmtS6Ws3 The craziest $10000 bet I have ever made Epstein appears at the Superbowl. https://t.co/hWbmtS6Ws3" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018875366274969726) 2026-02-04T02:32Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Brandon appears to be offering an official statement on behalf of Kalshi here and saying today's events were a total coincidence. The same person who paid an influencer to dunk on Polymarket's CEO for getting raided by the FBI. @DustinGouker Weve been working on this for a while Dustin - glad to see others stepping up to support a city thats done so much for prediction markets. I know youre a perennial hater but maybe just enjoy a good thing for once. @DustinGouker Weve been working on this for a while Dustin - glad to see others stepping up to support a city thats done so much for prediction" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018901184179052796) 2026-02-04T04:15Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Here's some of what I wrote in my newsletter that publishes in the morning about today's grocery store wars" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018903719841345598) 2026-02-04T04:25Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Kalshi affiliates are great @DustinGouker Shutup retard @DustinGouker Shutup retard" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2018926272014057651) 2026-02-04T05:55Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Someone needs to set up a race between him and Rovell Dave Portnoy might be the worst athlete Ive ever seen in my life ๐ https://t.co/FWPE7fi2up Dave Portnoy might be the worst athlete Ive ever seen in my life ๐ https://t.co/FWPE7fi2up" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019043107862618595) 2026-02-04T13:39Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Holy shit man Crazy story: A bank analyst published a report showing Kalshi users lose money even faster than sports gamblers so Kalshi first tried to pressure the data provider to change their data and then accused them and the analyst of conspiring to extort them when that doesnt work. https://t.co/6LNZmO9Xo5 Crazy story: A bank analyst published a report showing Kalshi users lose money even faster than sports gamblers so Kalshi first tried to pressure the data provider to change their data and then accused them and the analyst of conspiring to extort them when that doesnt work." [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019061152291094602) 2026-02-04T14:51Z 12.8K followers, 17K engagements "@PetBerisha Kalshi has been telling me since the beginning thats an unimportant distinction" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019062856541704397) 2026-02-04T14:57Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements "One of the crazier things about Kalshi (from the niche where I sit) is that their regular employees just go around replying to people like me and speaking for the company. At some point you would think they find some message discipline" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019080746640490714) 2026-02-04T16:08Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "@DataBasedBets @roundrobin42 @JonathanDCohen1 @astraffon To be clear I see some of the criticism of the data but everyone had moved on from this sorry and data. Kalshi got it back in the news by accusing a Citizens analyst of extortion ๐ thats the wild part" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019112531995001213) 2026-02-04T18:15Z 12.8K followers, [--] engagements "Kalshi knows me so well" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019158163828994441) 2026-02-04T21:16Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Kalshi: "why do you write negative things about us" :Kalshi affiliate calls me a retard:" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019172520960880765) 2026-02-04T22:13Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "@inpredict That sportsbooks try to balance the action and only want the vig" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019183307112759297) 2026-02-04T22:56Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements "@inpredict You must be listening to an entirely different clip than I am" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019184789685956684) 2026-02-04T23:02Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements "99% of sports bettors would be profitable if they just stopped betting parlays. But they wont. And books know it. 99% of sports bettors would be profitable if they just stopped betting parlays. But they wont. And books know it" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019252406304039262) 2026-02-05T03:31Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "You can now bet on the Super Bowl at Polymarket U.S" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019267443991142611) 2026-02-05T04:30Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "I know Twitter isn't at all real life but the algorithm is really rewarding Kalshi hate of late" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019270786172023012) 2026-02-05T04:44Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "@GaetenD Did Coinbase do a takeover of a Dicks Sporting Goods" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019272305696993584) 2026-02-05T04:50Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements "Notably in the Genius Sports news the NFL will now be partnered with a company that sends a substantial number of leads to. Kalshi" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019428087356879200) 2026-02-05T15:09Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "TL;DR Kalshi is upping its game to combat insider trading On Insider Trading. Some say insider information can make prediction markets more accurate. But the same argument can be made for stock markets where insider trading is banned. Insider trading erodes trust. When people believe a market is unfair they stop trading. Liquidity On Insider Trading. Some say insider information can make prediction markets more accurate. But the same argument can be made for stock markets where insider trading is banned. Insider trading erodes trust. When people believe a market is unfair they stop trading." [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019431454250594713) 2026-02-05T15:22Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "@noahlitvin a monkey's butt can be the oracle idk" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019441451474776113) 2026-02-05T16:02Z 12.8K followers, [--] engagements "25% now pretty safe to say the market isn't a fan Apparently investors don't love the new debt and probably looking at it through the lens of how publicly traded affiliate marketing companies in the gambling space have gone in recent years (hint: not well). Genius Sports stock is down about 10% at market open after the acquisition of gaming affiliate marketing and media company Legend https://t.co/Mu2zsylmrW Genius Sports stock is down about 10% at market open after the acquisition of gaming affiliate marketing and media company Legend https://t.co/Mu2zsylmrW" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019446616709603675) 2026-02-05T16:22Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Prediction markets solve this Layoffs at crypto exchange Gemini *GEMINI TO SHUTTER EU UK AUSTRALIA ACCOUNTS; CUT 25% OF JOBS Layoffs at crypto exchange Gemini *GEMINI TO SHUTTER EU UK AUSTRALIA ACCOUNTS; CUT 25% OF JOBS" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019514377150558448) 2026-02-05T20:52Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Man this is all gonna go so sideways at some point soon. KALSHI SEEKS US APPROVAL TO OFFER MARGIN TRADES - FINANCIAL TIMES KALSHI SEEKS US APPROVAL TO OFFER MARGIN TRADES - FINANCIAL TIMES" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019516992877916231) 2026-02-05T21:02Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "I cant look away. Has to be one of the worst stock performances after M&A ever" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019530859167248404) 2026-02-05T21:57Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Oh man this came up on a Facebook memory today. Still gutted for all the people I know that just lost their jobs at The Washington Post. It was an honor even get to be around what was one of the pinnacles of sports journalism" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019571622261453066) 2026-02-06T00:39Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements "I need to know how this tweet got 9k likes. I mean I think it was a banger but this is a super niche joke right Or do people just hit like whenever they see a dunk on Kalshi" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019574986735010274) 2026-02-06T00:52Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "I wrote this thing TWO YEARS ago seems relevant today" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019629853667139776) 2026-02-06T04:30Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "@CSP_Trading I just did a test of what I could get as a user if I tried to bet. Just doing UX. Definitely possible there was a short time when someone had a different price up on Kalshi proper and that translated here" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019812345225363791) 2026-02-06T16:36Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "@westonjossey @Rtfs12375501 Yeah to be clear I was just trying to capture UX of what a bettor would get when trying to get down .wasn't trying to capture blended price" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019812771781886146) 2026-02-06T16:37Z 12.8K followers, [--] engagements "People pointing out the weirdness of the Coinbase number when it's based on Kalshi markets.I was doing testing over the course of half an hour last night.there might have been a short time when there was a better quoted price on Kalshi and that came through when on Coinbase" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019813441746382930) 2026-02-06T16:40Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "@tgptee @Polymarket @alphaarcade I was not trying to create an exhaustive list" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019823441969578226) 2026-02-06T17:20Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "@jarfacaa Yeah man its my Twitter account and I can do what I want. I am looking at it from a casual bettor UX perspective. Make your own tweet if you dont like it" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019826992275943521) 2026-02-06T17:34Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "@Brett_Hazel It does allow gambling" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019853141332906112) 2026-02-06T19:18Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "๐ Kalshi Loses Bid to Delay Massachusetts Sports Betting Ban https://t.co/Bk9gwUTYwI Kalshi Loses Bid to Delay Massachusetts Sports Betting Ban https://t.co/Bk9gwUTYwI" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019889899844084100) 2026-02-06T21:44Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Again Twitter is not real life but people do NOT like Giannis + Kalshi ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019905148374618361) 2026-02-06T22:44Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "As always I hope all of you fondly remember when you thought I was the most negative voice on prediction markets" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019910067873804325) 2026-02-06T23:04Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements "Can John Wang pronounce Giannis Antetokounmpo without looking it up Yes No Its Wang time Yes No Its Wang time" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019916445556289593) 2026-02-06T23:29Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "@_helmass @Giannis_An34 @Kalshi" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019923175933637072) 2026-02-06T23:56Z 12.8K followers, [--] engagements "Hopefully Kalshi ascribes to the idea that there is no such thing as bad PR" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019937576812187734) 2026-02-07T00:53Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "Kalshi pitch room: two iPhones we put one in Kalamazoo and one in Waukegan. There's two sides to every trade. The Polymarket Portal is now live in Boston & Seattle. Boston: [---] Canal St Boston MA [-----] Seattle: [---] Occidental Ave S Seattle WA [-----] Let the games begin. ๐ https://t.co/6EQpSpimOp There's two sides to every trade. The Polymarket Portal is now live in Boston & Seattle. Boston: [---] Canal St Boston MA [-----] Seattle: [---] Occidental Ave S Seattle WA [-----] Let the games begin. ๐ https://t.co/6EQpSpimOp" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019983533893464461) 2026-02-07T03:56Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements "@TheDegenWeekly Have never loved LeBron/DK" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019986795971440973) 2026-02-07T04:09Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "1. Optics matter far more than reality [--]. Expecting people understand to facts and nuance gl with all that [--]. Kalshi has created an environment where people who are terminally too online dislike them immensely The amount of insane replies to the Reddit CFB Giannis tweet have reached peak delusion. With seemingly nobody on earth realizing how Kalshi actually works. The amount of insane replies to the Reddit CFB Giannis tweet have reached peak delusion. With seemingly nobody on earth realizing how Kalshi actually works" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020145743370072185) 2026-02-07T14:40Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "Like I actually dont have a huge issue with him owning a piece of Kalshi but its an idiotic move from a PR standpoint other than to get name recognition at all costs" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020146352731140430) 2026-02-07T14:43Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "you should probably find god if you are taking $15 per tweet from Kalshi tbh Well. not all of us are on Kalshi. https://t.co/5FBsPnR0zl Well. not all of us are on Kalshi. https://t.co/5FBsPnR0zl" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020150017231847702) 2026-02-07T14:57Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements ""If the goal of Kalshi and other prediction markets is to create something with genuine financial utility and predictive power thats a big problem." Youve Never Seen Super Bowl Betting Like This Before By @jdkstern13 https://t.co/VPYUPhaRDH "If the goal of Kalshi and other prediction markets is to create something with genuine financial utility and predictive power thats a big problem." Youve Never Seen Super Bowl Betting Like This Before By @jdkstern13 https://t.co/VPYUPhaRDH" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020186673980796990) 2026-02-07T17:23Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "The US can either lead in financial innovation or watch it move offshore. State regulators fighting federal law isn't protecting consumers it's protecting incumbents from competition. The US can either lead in financial innovation or watch it move offshore. State regulators fighting federal law isn't protecting consumers it's protecting incumbents from competition" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020214444647968972) 2026-02-07T19:13Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "@tyliebets @ThonMisser @TheDegenWeekly I will take the L. As of today Feb. [--] [----] I dont love current athletes being involved with sportsbooks. I also dont really have a problem with Giannis being a shareholder in Kalshi" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020277427973611611) 2026-02-07T23:24Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements "That legislation isnt doing anything about prediction markets As Superbowl Sunday loomswith $1.67 billion in bets expectedAmericans need protection against online sports betting companies & prediction markets that exploit problem gamblers. My legislation is a start. https://t.co/bDdIN6K6zX As Superbowl Sunday loomswith $1.67 billion in bets expectedAmericans need protection against online sports betting companies & prediction markets that exploit problem gamblers. My legislation is a start. https://t.co/bDdIN6K6zX" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020293554002915481) 2026-02-08T00:28Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "I need to free up some capital to fade Alex now that he is getting into nonsense. Hopefully he got more than $15 for the tweet HAMMER Timothee Chalamet to NOT Attend the Super Bowl at 57% on Kalshi As he has NEVER BEEN to ANY NFL Game or the Super Bowl in his ENTIRE LIFE And hes declared ZERO NFL Fandom so little reason for him to go NOW after never being at an NFL Game in his life https://t.co/SStjXcqoZT HAMMER Timothee Chalamet to NOT Attend the Super Bowl at 57% on Kalshi As he has NEVER BEEN to ANY NFL Game or the Super Bowl in his ENTIRE LIFE And hes declared ZERO NFL Fandom so little" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020313440494186591) 2026-02-08T01:47Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "Need @kalshi to send Trent to Guantanamo Some credible information from a source working the halftime show has just come across my desk. The first song Bad Bunny will perform at halftime will be Chambea. (+2400) I am 4-1 lifetime on halftime songs. Some credible information from a source working the halftime show has just come across my desk. The first song Bad Bunny will perform at halftime will be Chambea. (+2400) I am 4-1 lifetime on halftime songs" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020331119284220274) 2026-02-08T02:57Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "While this is good in the macro this can't be terribly good for adoption of Kalshi markets on crypto rails. Looks like Kalshi are waiting until just after the Super Bowl before they start requiring KYC (including; Name Address Contact Info & Government ID) from onchain users trading their prediction market outcome tokens on Solana https://t.co/i8VihnGCFa Looks like Kalshi are waiting until just after the Super Bowl before they start requiring KYC (including; Name Address Contact Info & Government ID) from onchain users trading their prediction market outcome tokens on Solana" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020506844557611266) 2026-02-08T14:35Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "TB to when my daughter drew a Lombardi Trophy for me last Super Bowl Sunday morning and then the Eagles won the Super Bowl which was cool" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020555073743650874) 2026-02-08T17:47Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "@akhoya87 Higher ratings for this or the Super Bowl" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020596483020722413) 2026-02-08T20:31Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "@nigeleccles @Kalshi FanDuel and DraftKings were Boy Scouts by comparison" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020598674834010134) 2026-02-08T20:40Z 13K followers, 26.5K engagements "I am [--] years old. All celebrity news looks like this: CURTAINS FOR CLAVICULAR K-SMOG AND BATBOY CAUGHT MOGGING A FRAME"" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020601008276251093) 2026-02-08T20:49Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "@severalnitrogen @nigeleccles @Kalshi" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020663528525541462) 2026-02-09T00:58Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "Purposefully turning off the halftime show Lets rally together and show big corporations they cant just do whatever they want without consequences (which equals viewership for them) You are their benefit. Realize you have power. Turn off this halftime. A fake American Purposefully turning off the halftime show Lets rally together and show big corporations they cant just do whatever they want without consequences (which equals viewership for them) You are their benefit. Realize you have power. Turn off this halftime. A fake American" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020672016232112491) 2026-02-09T01:32Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "The truth machine has not yet informed me about whether Cardi B performed in the halftime show" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020672887833899313) 2026-02-09T01:35Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "@TheRobbeo I mean by the rules say she both did and didnt perform" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020675075838730304) 2026-02-09T01:44Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements "This game is terrible but at least the Patriots are getting boatraced" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020684553954951367) 2026-02-09T02:21Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "@CurlyLambeauner @Kalshi @yElff_ TBD" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020699559593398589) 2026-02-09T03:21Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "@yElff_ @CurlyLambeauner @Kalshi https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/did-cardi-b-perform-during-the-super https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/did-cardi-b-perform-during-the-super" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020702128155820352) 2026-02-09T03:31Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "@yElff_ @CurlyLambeauner @Kalshi Super funny that this play was being given out on the Super Stream last night toowas listening while in the green room" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020703080992612559) 2026-02-09T03:35Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "Need @Kalshi stakeholder @Giannis_An34 to weigh in on this Cardi B situation" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020704589843153219) 2026-02-09T03:41Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements "@thelocktalk @Kalshi @Giannis_An34 None of this stuff is in the rules my man. It says dancing resolves yes and no" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020709880970326084) 2026-02-09T04:02Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "HOW DO I LEARN THE TRUTH I AM A SIMPLE MAN Polymarket pays out $1 to Yes bettors on Cardi B performing and $0 to No bettors Kalshi pays out at 26c for Yes bettors and 74c for No bettors https://t.co/D1AZgsEd3a Polymarket pays out $1 to Yes bettors on Cardi B performing and $0 to No bettors Kalshi pays out at 26c for Yes bettors and 74c for No bettors https://t.co/D1AZgsEd3a" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020734976921338105) 2026-02-09T05:42Z 12.9K followers, 14.1K engagements "New: Kalshi sets a record for daily volume of $871 million on Super Bowl Sunday. Probably missed out on a billion because the game was terrible. Top [--] markets (which includes the Cardi B to perform in halftime show market which had millions traded an hour after the game)" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020860349516251529) 2026-02-09T14:00Z 13K followers, 11.8K engagements "@Hottie_Baker_ @astraffon Its difficult to get to a good number and Kalshi in the past has argued that its all handle (lol). We also have parlays are now a sizable amount of volume. Half is probably as close as we can get by guessing with market dynamics on a day making it higher or lower" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020874052123132188) 2026-02-09T14:54Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "@TampopoX @MichaelSelig @Kalshi @iamcardib The rules definitely read that both no and yes should win" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020897158099251376) 2026-02-09T16:26Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements "here is what Kalshi put on its market resolution about Cardi B performing at the halftime show. Kalshi created the ambiguity with its own rules https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperformsuperbowlb/who-will-perform-at-the-super-bowl/kxperformsuperbowlb-26 https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperformsuperbowlb/who-will-perform-at-the-super-bowl/kxperformsuperbowlb-26" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020902979109519422) 2026-02-09T16:49Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "@sportsand12 @TampopoX @purpbapehoodie @Dominic63136184 @MichaelSelig @Kalshi @iamcardib this has happened at least a handful of times to my knowledge. It would be good when it breaks that people don't see $0 in their accounts" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020919445821251625) 2026-02-09T17:55Z 13K followers, [--] engagements "Tom is a good dude happy to come on as he gets this podcast under way. You can hate watch me while helping Tom. Win-win. Prediction Markets are the big ticket item right now - everyone and your mother is starting one. But they are not without their flaws. For this week's pod I sat down with @DustinGouker to talk about the good the bad and the ugly of Prediction Markets.and why the next Prediction Markets are the big ticket item right now - everyone and your mother is starting one. But they are not without their flaws. For this week's pod I sat down with @DustinGouker to talk about the good" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020923377746354416) 2026-02-09T18:10Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "@GiuseppePaps @EvMassachusetts @Kalshi" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020927923814006951) 2026-02-09T18:28Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "4 is fine but the industry would be toast if you do any or all of the rest. And then you would be left with the usual laundry list of prediction markets fantasy pickem sweepstakes and offshore that dont have to follow any of these rules. A modest proposal for sports gambling: [--]. It must be done in person [--]. No prop bets or parlays [--]. Books must not be allowed to limit sharp bettors [--]. No deceptive advertising A modest proposal for sports gambling: [--]. It must be done in person [--]. No prop bets or parlays [--]. Books must not be allowed to limit sharp bettors [--]. No deceptive advertising" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020951980617920902) 2026-02-09T20:04Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Holistic answers on how to rein in sports betting are always thought experiments that have no chance of happening in the real world" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020956272129138797) 2026-02-09T20:21Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "I am getting mansplained sports betting and you guys wonder i am always grumpy" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020967046646042919) 2026-02-09T21:04Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "The simulation is really breaking down today. I am pumping Kalshi Me" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020969940686459091) 2026-02-09T21:15Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "@publius_val let John Wang's will be done" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020973039014510652) 2026-02-09T21:28Z 13K followers, [--] engagements "@PaidDegen I am a known prediction markets shill tbf" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020974749124632853) 2026-02-09T21:35Z 13K followers, [--] engagements "Will Kalshi get to $1 billion in trading volume in a single day before the next Super Bowl yes no if John Wang wills it yes no if John Wang wills it" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020981712956936592) 2026-02-09T22:02Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "@USPredict @Kalshi wen badge" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020982948200316992) 2026-02-09T22:07Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements "@AlexH_Johnson Seems great" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021021674062348420) 2026-02-10T00:41Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "@nigeleccles Only if the big guy upstairs* deems me worthy. *John Wang" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021049537431994434) 2026-02-10T02:32Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements "@nigeleccles (I can actually believe prediction markets are hurting here)" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021053576274116972) 2026-02-10T02:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "@TheFinTwitGuy Nevada is a weird/interesting case where they make online betting a giant pain in the ass. So I can see Kalshi et al. being compelling here" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021053985550106924) 2026-02-10T02:49Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Kalshi rn Oh hell nah our parents gunna use Kalshi now๐ญ https://t.co/Ey5HV7GKc2 Oh hell nah our parents gunna use Kalshi now๐ญ https://t.co/Ey5HV7GKc2" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021065564073156729) 2026-02-10T03:35Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "This math isn't mathing. -Kalshi founder says they far surpassed a projection of 10x their peak traffic on Super Bowl Sunday. -Trading volume on Sunday was not even double the biggest day in Kalshi history. Unless that many people weren't able to deposit/trade" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021089570142683438) 2026-02-10T05:11Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "@mikeMaher I dont see how you can possibly get more than 10x traffic and get 1.5x more volume" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021221736595751153) 2026-02-10T13:56Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "The student in question placed a bet on Kalshi. Tennessee fired a student worker on the broadcast team because he bet on a Vols football game on an online app It's a minor NCAA violation. But that's not the main story The nature of the infraction shed light on a growing debate over NCAA gambling rules https://t.co/TkPpR4Hjao Tennessee fired a student worker on the broadcast team because he bet on a Vols football game on an online app It's a minor NCAA violation. But that's not the main story The nature of the infraction shed light on a growing debate over NCAA gambling rules" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021223685445599338) 2026-02-10T14:04Z 13K followers, 11.5K engagements "I am doing a webinar with the @NCPGambling on the rise of prediction markets if you want to heckle me and/or learn something. https://www.ncpgambling.org/event/understanding-the-rise-of-prediction-markets-in-gambling/ https://www.ncpgambling.org/event/understanding-the-rise-of-prediction-markets-in-gambling/" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021241664069636231) 2026-02-10T15:15Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "@byajperez I just muted him sent this tweet and moved on with my life ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021241815467176407) 2026-02-10T15:16Z 13K followers, [--] engagements "@byajperez Like there is certainly way more betting today because of access. But that also now goes for the quasi- and unregulated stuff" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021242890987421827) 2026-02-10T15:20Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements "This also kind of underlines how ridiculous all of this is. That isnt a serious financial market. Its speculating on nonsense. Which would be fine if we didnt pretend it was more than that" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021251508763873503) 2026-02-10T15:54Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "@GaetenD It was a great line of questioning that he was not prepared for clearly. You can pinpoint the moment it goes off the rails when the one host laughs at Tareks answer early on" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021253322645069882) 2026-02-10T16:01Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "@imWholesum @GaetenD No lie I told someone at Kalshi to get him better media training almost a year ago" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021273652701036925) 2026-02-10T17:22Z 13K followers, [--] engagements "@nigeleccles Me to everyone trying to cover prediction markets" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021335511454175624) 2026-02-10T21:28Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "Thoughts and prayers for Kate Hey X I'm a senior writer at WIRED and I'm shifting beats to cover the tech I'm most obsessed with right nowPREDICTION MARKETS. Eager to hear tips on the industry at kate_knibbs@wired.com Hey X I'm a senior writer at WIRED and I'm shifting beats to cover the tech I'm most obsessed with right nowPREDICTION MARKETS. Eager to hear tips on the industry at kate_knibbs@wired.com" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021265284854624599) 2026-02-10T16:49Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Seeing numerous people saying they are switching beats to cover prediction markets" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021340468727119948) 2026-02-10T21:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "The leagues and teams themselves are as big of a threat to integrity as sports betting NBA teams are throwing in the towel early with the hopes of securing a top pick in the [----] NBA Draft. The Jazz who have the sixth best odds currently for the No. [--] pick with a record of [----] are the latest team to face tanking allegations. NBA teams are throwing in the towel early with the hopes of securing a top pick in the [----] NBA Draft. The Jazz who have the sixth best odds currently for the No. [--] pick with a record of [----] are the latest team to face tanking allegations" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021340908349002167) 2026-02-10T21:50Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Complete the following Mad Lib. And see my first reply for my guess. I accept answers in emoji. You will be graded on accuracy. ________ (League) partners with _______(prediction market) ________(timeframe)" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021352637149610349) 2026-02-10T22:36Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Prediction markets evangelists: Now that the Super Bowl is over Kalshi is going to make a push to get people to trade on non-sports stuff. Kalshi:" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021361695487295940) 2026-02-10T23:12Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "lol my story about the Cardi B Super Bowl market and a complaint to the CFTC has reached The Associated Press. I love this for everyone involved but mostly me" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021439452850295260) 2026-02-11T04:21Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "https://apnews.com/article/super-bowl-kalshi-cardi-b-bad-bunny-d3b51d8848934d69c39ff92fa2c51278 https://apnews.com/article/super-bowl-kalshi-cardi-b-bad-bunny-d3b51d8848934d69c39ff92fa2c51278" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021439513747456092) 2026-02-11T04:21Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "The truth machine tells me that TCU didn't cover either [---] or [---] points despite winning by seven" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021442221296452065) 2026-02-11T04:32Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "I checked what a $100 moneyline bet on the Seahawks would pay on some prediction markets and sportsbooks late last night. (Not an exhaustive list)" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019798712734908770) 2026-02-06T15:41Z 13K followers, 120.4K engagements "Nevada reports the lowest handle on the Super Bowl in the past decade at $133 million. Fix your online sports betting rules I am begging you" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021051611418853774) 2026-02-10T02:40Z 13K followers, 82.6K engagements "@EventWavesIO the problem is there is no way or will to do that. It's kind of all or nothing. Like there were good markets recently that did numbers. price of bitcoin fed chair government shutdown etc" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021255285801886045) 2026-02-10T16:09Z 13K followers, [--] engagements "Republicans the proponents of reasonable tax rates on gambling Gov. Whitmer modeled her new sports gambling tax on Illinoiswhere it has failed spectacularly driving people to bet on the black market instead. ๐คฆโ A deeply unserious proposal. https://t.co/L7l2u2uR8B Gov. Whitmer modeled her new sports gambling tax on Illinoiswhere it has failed spectacularly driving people to bet on the black market instead. ๐คฆโ A deeply unserious proposal. https://t.co/L7l2u2uR8B" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022085804001308930) 2026-02-12T23:09Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Hang it in the Louvre @jesswelman" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2019069737678844229) 2026-02-04T15:25Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "At least one person has filed a formal complaint with the CFTC about the Cardi B Super Bowl halftime show market at Kalshi claiming violations of the Commodity Exchange Act. Hopefully @MichaelSelig can take a break from shitposting and get his staff to look at this. Excerpt:" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2020893537643139528) 2026-02-09T16:12Z 13K followers, 19.2K engagements "Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour went on CNBC and had to spend half the interview talking about potential insider trading on the Bad Bunny halftime show I am crying man. ๐ญ https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/02/10/kalshi-ceo-tarek-mansour-on-super-bowl-trades-growth-of-prediction-markets-and-insider-trading-risk.html https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/02/10/kalshi-ceo-tarek-mansour-on-super-bowl-trades-growth-of-prediction-markets-and-insider-trading-risk.html" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021237305927713197) 2026-02-10T14:58Z 13K followers, 16.7K engagements "I learn something every time I read a piece about prediction markets by @dan_bernstein_. How are less than [----] of you following him" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021367231154991471) 2026-02-10T23:34Z 13K followers, 10.3K engagements "TRENDING: ESPN ranked all [--] Super Bowl champions and had the [----] Eagles at #40 ๐ณ https://t.co/QnkBzMrSYl TRENDING: ESPN ranked all [--] Super Bowl champions and had the [----] Eagles at #40 ๐ณ https://t.co/QnkBzMrSYl" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021422654964822119) 2026-02-11T03:14Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "HANDLE AND VOLUME ARE NOT THE SAME THING Vegas did $130M on the Super Bowl ๐ Prediction markets did $. . 10x Vegas ๐คฏ On Squawk Box (see video below๐) Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour answered why a Bad Bunny dancer -- who watched rehearsals -- betting on the Super Bowl Halftime Show predictions markets https://t.co/4kEyLX1poc Vegas did $130M on the Super Bowl ๐ Prediction markets did $. . 10x Vegas ๐คฏ On Squawk Box (see video below๐) Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour answered why a Bad Bunny dancer -- who watched rehearsals -- betting on the Super Bowl Halftime Show predictions markets" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021426220538507576) 2026-02-11T03:29Z 13K followers, 11K engagements "Me learning you could do a Cardi B market without it turning into a clisterf*** like at Kalshi By the way we offered the Cardi B market put a lot of thought into the settlement criteria ahead of time considering exactly the case of being on stage but not otherwise performing and settled the market as YES with no dispute or confusion for any customers or partners ๐ค By the way we offered the Cardi B market put a lot of thought into the settlement criteria ahead of time considering exactly the case of being on stage but not otherwise performing and settled the market as YES with no dispute or" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021602036752543984) 2026-02-11T15:07Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Me getting ready to take on the [--] Substacks ahead of me about AI" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021606408450351357) 2026-02-11T15:25Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Very funny to hear Robinhood's CEO pumping Olympics betting (SORRY TRADING) as a big thing on Q4 earnings. It's generally a rounding error in sportsbooks. I have it as $7 million in volume at Kalshi in the trailing seven days" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021639617766994188) 2026-02-11T17:36Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "This is not at all throwing shade at Kalshi or "volume." It's just how they report data And it's useful But I am already seeing infinity examples of people conflating volume and handle which are clearly not the same thing" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022342437520519353) 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "What I think it does is show is how far Kalshi and prediction markets have to go to get to parity on parlays in particular and that parlays are going to skew volume. Kalshi has done about $40 billion in total volume in its history $3 billion on parlays" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022342439256952948) 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "New: [--] Senate Democrats signed onto a letter criticizing CFTC chairman on prediction markets. ".It appears that you intend to steer the Commission in a direction that is at odds with the intent of the Commodity Exchange Act."" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022400299726737868) 2026-02-13T19:59Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "DraftKings stock down 10% in after-hours trading after announcing Q4 and FY [----] earnings" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022058623464358206) 2026-02-12T21:21Z 13K followers, 62.9K engagements "$2.5 trillion is in some ways a nonsense number because obviously DraftKings is never going to have to pay out trillions of dollars. All this captures is how DK would report its activity if it did it like Kalshi etc" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022342435754627156) 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "Only a fraction of that $3B is what we would consider the "handle" or retail portion of a trade. As Kalshi and others scale parlays volume will get more skewed as well making the comparison to handle even more difficult. FIN" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022342441052020792) 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "I am considering changing the name of my podcast to Yell At Dustin ICYMI: Prediction Markets have once again been all over the news and this week on the Talk To Tom podcast I sat down with @DustinGouker for an expansive conversation on the good the bad and the wild advertising behind them ๐https://t.co/WKr7dJCfJz ๐https://t.co/bRGOgyx9LI ICYMI: Prediction Markets have once again been all over the news and this week on the Talk To Tom podcast I sat down with @DustinGouker for an expansive conversation on the good the bad and the wild advertising behind them ๐https://t.co/WKr7dJCfJz" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022405410297409673) 2026-02-13T20:19Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "Battle of the bookies When sportsbook veterans make markets in the same place as financial firms who has the edge New prediction markets feature story from me. https://t.co/bu8xGyeLHz When sportsbook veterans make markets in the same place as financial firms who has the edge New prediction markets feature story from me. https://t.co/bu8xGyeLHz" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021336062350721444) 2026-02-10T21:30Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "We live in the dumbest and also the most predictable timeline. Offshore sportsbook MyBookie is launching a prediction market. I am gonna guess it isnt regulated by the CFTC. (Actually who knows nothing would surprise me.)" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021401415302906090) 2026-02-11T01:50Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Sweepstakes casinos copying prediction markets. Such a weird time to be alive" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2021712439621169235) 2026-02-11T22:26Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "NGL was impressed by Seligs ability to say almost nothing of substance for [--] minutes Odd Lots: What's the economic utility of Cardi B bets Mike Selig: Let's talk about 1930s grain Odd Lots: What's the economic utility of Cardi B bets Mike Selig: Let's talk about 1930s grain" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022017530941124745) 2026-02-12T18:38Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "It would be a shame if anyone told Dan or me about what was said here ๐ Polymarket Kalshi MGM FanDuel CEOs are all on this 7-person () panel Friday morning at NBA All-Star Tech Summit. The event is invite-only and is entirely off the record. NBA says this event always is. https://t.co/7Rlmhw0Vgr Polymarket Kalshi MGM FanDuel CEOs are all on this 7-person () panel Friday morning at NBA All-Star Tech Summit. The event is invite-only and is entirely off the record. NBA says this event always is. https://t.co/7Rlmhw0Vgr" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022309188974821826) 2026-02-13T13:57Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "The states: "States would be crazy to raise sports betting taxes now with everything going on with prediction markets" DraftKings CEO Jason Robins said during today's earnings call "States would be crazy to raise sports betting taxes now with everything going on with prediction markets" DraftKings CEO Jason Robins said during today's earnings call" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022320194836922601) 2026-02-13T14:41Z 13K followers, [----] engagements ":waits patiently for someone to call for me to go to jail for soliciting inside information:" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022323034829594876) 2026-02-13T14:52Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "Prediction markets: Theyre websites that for some reason exist. ๐ So we're betting on everything now Full investigation out now Feat. @DustinGouker @GaetenD @kylascan Ilya Beylin https://t.co/5lgMefYQdE So we're betting on everything now Full investigation out now Feat. @DustinGouker @GaetenD @kylascan Ilya Beylin https://t.co/5lgMefYQdE" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022335341978665153) 2026-02-13T15:41Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "๐งต on sportsbook handle vs. prediction markets volume based on a nugget from DraftKings Q4 earnings. From CEO Jason Robins on 2025: "Our total potential payouts across all open wagers or capital at risk was $2.5 trillion due to the multiplicative nature of parlays."" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022342432252432742) 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "DraftKings handle was $54 billion last year. DraftKings framed the $2.5 trillion figure in its shareholder letter as: "Total potential payouts or capital at risk is comparable to volume that Predictions operators report."" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022342433967890500) 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [---] engagements "๐ง THE TRUTH DOES NOT MATTER ON KALSHI. @Kalshi just graded everything on this market as No despite people from the audience streaming (and video existing of) Bernie Sanders saying the words. I thought my predictions were getting us closer to the truth. @DustinGouker THE TRUTH DOES NOT MATTER ON KALSHI. @Kalshi just graded everything on this market as No despite people from the audience streaming (and video existing of) Bernie Sanders saying the words. I thought my predictions were getting us closer to the truth. @DustinGouker" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022370165875446033) 2026-02-13T17:59Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Business is booming for shoddily written newsletters about prediction markets" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022372457341124919) 2026-02-13T18:09Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "RT @FOS: The NBA has fully packed the YouTube Theatre for the league's invite-only off the record tech summit" [X Link](https://x.com/DustinGouker/status/2022406039631708408) 2026-02-13T20:22Z 13K followers, [--] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@DustinGouker Dustin GoukerDustin Gouker posts on X about kalshi, prediction markets, super bowl, the super the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence technology brands 9.15% social networks 6.54% finance 4.58% stocks 3.27% musicians 2.61% cryptocurrencies 1.96% exchanges 1.96% celebrities 1.31% countries 0.65% travel destinations 0.65%
Social topic influence kalshi #51, prediction markets #152, super bowl 11.76%, the super 6.54%, in the 5.88%, polymarket #243, ceo #1688, super 3.27%, more than 3.27%, betting #267
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @aluckyaday @kalshi @nigeleccles @kalshiliquid @tampopox @gaetend @curlylambeauner @uspredict @inpredict @byajperez @seththebot @inga1937 @random501901 @probaaron @westonjossey @giannisan34 @therobbeo @yelff @thelocktalk @michaelselig
Top assets mentioned Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) CME Group Inc (CME) The Official [--] coin (76) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Solana (SOL)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Apparently the market didnt hear about the prediction markets super cycle during Robinhood Q4 earnings"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:01Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"lol at thinking its embarrassing for CNBC This interview is embarrassing for the @SquawkCNBC hosts They're charging @mansourtarek_ with an incredible level of responsibility for any "insider trading" that happens on his platform [--]. Why are the actions of individual traders his responsibility [--]. Why are prediction This interview is embarrassing for the @SquawkCNBC hosts They're charging @mansourtarek_ with an incredible level of responsibility for any "insider trading" that happens on his platform [--]. Why are the actions of individual traders his responsibility [--]. Why are prediction"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:40Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"News: The founders of Kalshi and Polymarket will appear at the NBA Tech Summit as a part of All-Star Weekend. Execs from FanDuel DraftKings and MGM also involved. ๐ฟ https://closingline.substack.com/p/news-polymarket-kalshi-founders-at-nba-tech-summit https://closingline.substack.com/p/news-polymarket-kalshi-founders-at-nba-tech-summit"
X Link 2026-02-12T00:00Z 13K followers, 12.6K engagements
"Just realized we can do some hedging on Chinese basketball at Kalshi"
X Link 2026-01-15T18:44Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"Here are the different parlays SORRY COMBOS that you may be able to bet on SORRY TRADE at FanDuel and DraftKings prediction markets for the Super Bowl per a CME Group filing"
X Link 2026-01-30T00:32Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi appears to be paying this guy to make a promote a fake Kalshi market about a streaker at the Super Bowl using Kalshis internal fake market tool. I am sure that the NFL cant wait to partner with them. The easiest $50000 I will ever make Am i missing something https://t.co/eOCRyToK7w The easiest $50000 I will ever make Am i missing something https://t.co/eOCRyToK7w"
X Link 2026-02-03T03:12Z 12.8K followers, 77.3K engagements
"Sportsbooks are dead Note from Jefferies says the Missouri sports betting launch looked like "one of the strongest new state launches in recent years." MO's $111 in handle per adult in Dec. was more than NC ($76) KY ($81) and MA ($98). Also prediction market cannibalization looked minimal: https://t.co/8qp2Eccx7e Note from Jefferies says the Missouri sports betting launch looked like "one of the strongest new state launches in recent years." MO's $111 in handle per adult in Dec. was more than NC ($76) KY ($81) and MA ($98). Also prediction market cannibalization looked minimal:"
X Link 2026-02-03T15:30Z 12.9K followers, 30.2K engagements
"Crypto dot com allowing people to bet on margin on its new prediction market app and they will have a VIP program. honestly kind of glad we are gonna stop pretending this isn't sports betting anymore"
X Link 2026-02-03T16:50Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"OG calls itself a sports-focused social prediction market platform thats a lot of words to say you offer sports betting just sayin"
X Link 2026-02-03T22:34Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Google knows ๐"
X Link 2026-02-03T22:53Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi appears to be asking us to believe they came up with the idea of giving out free groceries a day before Polymarket launched a free grocery store it has been working on for months. Total coincidence. They really do think were all idiots"
X Link 2026-02-03T23:37Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Also one of the founders of Kalshi asked for detente a few months and instead of just celebrating people getting food they are throwing shade at Polymarket"
X Link 2026-02-03T23:48Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@probaaron NEW BADGE"
X Link 2026-02-04T00:12Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements
"@probaaron Someone put up a prediction market on how many Kalshi badges I follow by end of the year"
X Link 2026-02-04T00:21Z 12.8K followers, [--] engagements
"Do you believe Kalshi decided to give out free groceries today totally independent of Polymarkets announcement Yes No Im here for Wang jokes Yes No Im here for Wang jokes"
X Link 2026-02-04T00:24Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Now hes got a fake market with Jeffrey Epstein odds to attend the Super Bowl. Roger Goodell has to be DYING to sign a deal with Kalshi. The craziest $10000 bet I have ever made Epstein appears at the Superbowl. https://t.co/hWbmtS6Ws3 The craziest $10000 bet I have ever made Epstein appears at the Superbowl. https://t.co/hWbmtS6Ws3"
X Link 2026-02-04T02:32Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Brandon appears to be offering an official statement on behalf of Kalshi here and saying today's events were a total coincidence. The same person who paid an influencer to dunk on Polymarket's CEO for getting raided by the FBI. @DustinGouker Weve been working on this for a while Dustin - glad to see others stepping up to support a city thats done so much for prediction markets. I know youre a perennial hater but maybe just enjoy a good thing for once. @DustinGouker Weve been working on this for a while Dustin - glad to see others stepping up to support a city thats done so much for prediction"
X Link 2026-02-04T04:15Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Here's some of what I wrote in my newsletter that publishes in the morning about today's grocery store wars"
X Link 2026-02-04T04:25Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi affiliates are great @DustinGouker Shutup retard @DustinGouker Shutup retard"
X Link 2026-02-04T05:55Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Someone needs to set up a race between him and Rovell Dave Portnoy might be the worst athlete Ive ever seen in my life ๐ https://t.co/FWPE7fi2up Dave Portnoy might be the worst athlete Ive ever seen in my life ๐ https://t.co/FWPE7fi2up"
X Link 2026-02-04T13:39Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Holy shit man Crazy story: A bank analyst published a report showing Kalshi users lose money even faster than sports gamblers so Kalshi first tried to pressure the data provider to change their data and then accused them and the analyst of conspiring to extort them when that doesnt work. https://t.co/6LNZmO9Xo5 Crazy story: A bank analyst published a report showing Kalshi users lose money even faster than sports gamblers so Kalshi first tried to pressure the data provider to change their data and then accused them and the analyst of conspiring to extort them when that doesnt work."
X Link 2026-02-04T14:51Z 12.8K followers, 17K engagements
"@PetBerisha Kalshi has been telling me since the beginning thats an unimportant distinction"
X Link 2026-02-04T14:57Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements
"One of the crazier things about Kalshi (from the niche where I sit) is that their regular employees just go around replying to people like me and speaking for the company. At some point you would think they find some message discipline"
X Link 2026-02-04T16:08Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@DataBasedBets @roundrobin42 @JonathanDCohen1 @astraffon To be clear I see some of the criticism of the data but everyone had moved on from this sorry and data. Kalshi got it back in the news by accusing a Citizens analyst of extortion ๐ thats the wild part"
X Link 2026-02-04T18:15Z 12.8K followers, [--] engagements
"Kalshi knows me so well"
X Link 2026-02-04T21:16Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi: "why do you write negative things about us" :Kalshi affiliate calls me a retard:"
X Link 2026-02-04T22:13Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@inpredict That sportsbooks try to balance the action and only want the vig"
X Link 2026-02-04T22:56Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements
"@inpredict You must be listening to an entirely different clip than I am"
X Link 2026-02-04T23:02Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements
"99% of sports bettors would be profitable if they just stopped betting parlays. But they wont. And books know it. 99% of sports bettors would be profitable if they just stopped betting parlays. But they wont. And books know it"
X Link 2026-02-05T03:31Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"You can now bet on the Super Bowl at Polymarket U.S"
X Link 2026-02-05T04:30Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"I know Twitter isn't at all real life but the algorithm is really rewarding Kalshi hate of late"
X Link 2026-02-05T04:44Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@GaetenD Did Coinbase do a takeover of a Dicks Sporting Goods"
X Link 2026-02-05T04:50Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements
"Notably in the Genius Sports news the NFL will now be partnered with a company that sends a substantial number of leads to. Kalshi"
X Link 2026-02-05T15:09Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"TL;DR Kalshi is upping its game to combat insider trading On Insider Trading. Some say insider information can make prediction markets more accurate. But the same argument can be made for stock markets where insider trading is banned. Insider trading erodes trust. When people believe a market is unfair they stop trading. Liquidity On Insider Trading. Some say insider information can make prediction markets more accurate. But the same argument can be made for stock markets where insider trading is banned. Insider trading erodes trust. When people believe a market is unfair they stop trading."
X Link 2026-02-05T15:22Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@noahlitvin a monkey's butt can be the oracle idk"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:02Z 12.8K followers, [--] engagements
"25% now pretty safe to say the market isn't a fan Apparently investors don't love the new debt and probably looking at it through the lens of how publicly traded affiliate marketing companies in the gambling space have gone in recent years (hint: not well). Genius Sports stock is down about 10% at market open after the acquisition of gaming affiliate marketing and media company Legend https://t.co/Mu2zsylmrW Genius Sports stock is down about 10% at market open after the acquisition of gaming affiliate marketing and media company Legend https://t.co/Mu2zsylmrW"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:22Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Prediction markets solve this Layoffs at crypto exchange Gemini *GEMINI TO SHUTTER EU UK AUSTRALIA ACCOUNTS; CUT 25% OF JOBS Layoffs at crypto exchange Gemini *GEMINI TO SHUTTER EU UK AUSTRALIA ACCOUNTS; CUT 25% OF JOBS"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:52Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Man this is all gonna go so sideways at some point soon. KALSHI SEEKS US APPROVAL TO OFFER MARGIN TRADES - FINANCIAL TIMES KALSHI SEEKS US APPROVAL TO OFFER MARGIN TRADES - FINANCIAL TIMES"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:02Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"I cant look away. Has to be one of the worst stock performances after M&A ever"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:57Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Oh man this came up on a Facebook memory today. Still gutted for all the people I know that just lost their jobs at The Washington Post. It was an honor even get to be around what was one of the pinnacles of sports journalism"
X Link 2026-02-06T00:39Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements
"I need to know how this tweet got 9k likes. I mean I think it was a banger but this is a super niche joke right Or do people just hit like whenever they see a dunk on Kalshi"
X Link 2026-02-06T00:52Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"I wrote this thing TWO YEARS ago seems relevant today"
X Link 2026-02-06T04:30Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@CSP_Trading I just did a test of what I could get as a user if I tried to bet. Just doing UX. Definitely possible there was a short time when someone had a different price up on Kalshi proper and that translated here"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:36Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@westonjossey @Rtfs12375501 Yeah to be clear I was just trying to capture UX of what a bettor would get when trying to get down .wasn't trying to capture blended price"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:37Z 12.8K followers, [--] engagements
"People pointing out the weirdness of the Coinbase number when it's based on Kalshi markets.I was doing testing over the course of half an hour last night.there might have been a short time when there was a better quoted price on Kalshi and that came through when on Coinbase"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:40Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"@tgptee @Polymarket @alphaarcade I was not trying to create an exhaustive list"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:20Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@jarfacaa Yeah man its my Twitter account and I can do what I want. I am looking at it from a casual bettor UX perspective. Make your own tweet if you dont like it"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:34Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@Brett_Hazel It does allow gambling"
X Link 2026-02-06T19:18Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"๐ Kalshi Loses Bid to Delay Massachusetts Sports Betting Ban https://t.co/Bk9gwUTYwI Kalshi Loses Bid to Delay Massachusetts Sports Betting Ban https://t.co/Bk9gwUTYwI"
X Link 2026-02-06T21:44Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Again Twitter is not real life but people do NOT like Giannis + Kalshi ๐"
X Link 2026-02-06T22:44Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"As always I hope all of you fondly remember when you thought I was the most negative voice on prediction markets"
X Link 2026-02-06T23:04Z 12.8K followers, [---] engagements
"Can John Wang pronounce Giannis Antetokounmpo without looking it up Yes No Its Wang time Yes No Its Wang time"
X Link 2026-02-06T23:29Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"@_helmass @Giannis_An34 @Kalshi"
X Link 2026-02-06T23:56Z 12.8K followers, [--] engagements
"Hopefully Kalshi ascribes to the idea that there is no such thing as bad PR"
X Link 2026-02-07T00:53Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi pitch room: two iPhones we put one in Kalamazoo and one in Waukegan. There's two sides to every trade. The Polymarket Portal is now live in Boston & Seattle. Boston: [---] Canal St Boston MA [-----] Seattle: [---] Occidental Ave S Seattle WA [-----] Let the games begin. ๐ https://t.co/6EQpSpimOp There's two sides to every trade. The Polymarket Portal is now live in Boston & Seattle. Boston: [---] Canal St Boston MA [-----] Seattle: [---] Occidental Ave S Seattle WA [-----] Let the games begin. ๐ https://t.co/6EQpSpimOp"
X Link 2026-02-07T03:56Z 12.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@TheDegenWeekly Have never loved LeBron/DK"
X Link 2026-02-07T04:09Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"1. Optics matter far more than reality [--]. Expecting people understand to facts and nuance gl with all that [--]. Kalshi has created an environment where people who are terminally too online dislike them immensely The amount of insane replies to the Reddit CFB Giannis tweet have reached peak delusion. With seemingly nobody on earth realizing how Kalshi actually works. The amount of insane replies to the Reddit CFB Giannis tweet have reached peak delusion. With seemingly nobody on earth realizing how Kalshi actually works"
X Link 2026-02-07T14:40Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"Like I actually dont have a huge issue with him owning a piece of Kalshi but its an idiotic move from a PR standpoint other than to get name recognition at all costs"
X Link 2026-02-07T14:43Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"you should probably find god if you are taking $15 per tweet from Kalshi tbh Well. not all of us are on Kalshi. https://t.co/5FBsPnR0zl Well. not all of us are on Kalshi. https://t.co/5FBsPnR0zl"
X Link 2026-02-07T14:57Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
""If the goal of Kalshi and other prediction markets is to create something with genuine financial utility and predictive power thats a big problem." Youve Never Seen Super Bowl Betting Like This Before By @jdkstern13 https://t.co/VPYUPhaRDH "If the goal of Kalshi and other prediction markets is to create something with genuine financial utility and predictive power thats a big problem." Youve Never Seen Super Bowl Betting Like This Before By @jdkstern13 https://t.co/VPYUPhaRDH"
X Link 2026-02-07T17:23Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"The US can either lead in financial innovation or watch it move offshore. State regulators fighting federal law isn't protecting consumers it's protecting incumbents from competition. The US can either lead in financial innovation or watch it move offshore. State regulators fighting federal law isn't protecting consumers it's protecting incumbents from competition"
X Link 2026-02-07T19:13Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"@tyliebets @ThonMisser @TheDegenWeekly I will take the L. As of today Feb. [--] [----] I dont love current athletes being involved with sportsbooks. I also dont really have a problem with Giannis being a shareholder in Kalshi"
X Link 2026-02-07T23:24Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements
"That legislation isnt doing anything about prediction markets As Superbowl Sunday loomswith $1.67 billion in bets expectedAmericans need protection against online sports betting companies & prediction markets that exploit problem gamblers. My legislation is a start. https://t.co/bDdIN6K6zX As Superbowl Sunday loomswith $1.67 billion in bets expectedAmericans need protection against online sports betting companies & prediction markets that exploit problem gamblers. My legislation is a start. https://t.co/bDdIN6K6zX"
X Link 2026-02-08T00:28Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"I need to free up some capital to fade Alex now that he is getting into nonsense. Hopefully he got more than $15 for the tweet HAMMER Timothee Chalamet to NOT Attend the Super Bowl at 57% on Kalshi As he has NEVER BEEN to ANY NFL Game or the Super Bowl in his ENTIRE LIFE And hes declared ZERO NFL Fandom so little reason for him to go NOW after never being at an NFL Game in his life https://t.co/SStjXcqoZT HAMMER Timothee Chalamet to NOT Attend the Super Bowl at 57% on Kalshi As he has NEVER BEEN to ANY NFL Game or the Super Bowl in his ENTIRE LIFE And hes declared ZERO NFL Fandom so little"
X Link 2026-02-08T01:47Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"Need @kalshi to send Trent to Guantanamo Some credible information from a source working the halftime show has just come across my desk. The first song Bad Bunny will perform at halftime will be Chambea. (+2400) I am 4-1 lifetime on halftime songs. Some credible information from a source working the halftime show has just come across my desk. The first song Bad Bunny will perform at halftime will be Chambea. (+2400) I am 4-1 lifetime on halftime songs"
X Link 2026-02-08T02:57Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"While this is good in the macro this can't be terribly good for adoption of Kalshi markets on crypto rails. Looks like Kalshi are waiting until just after the Super Bowl before they start requiring KYC (including; Name Address Contact Info & Government ID) from onchain users trading their prediction market outcome tokens on Solana https://t.co/i8VihnGCFa Looks like Kalshi are waiting until just after the Super Bowl before they start requiring KYC (including; Name Address Contact Info & Government ID) from onchain users trading their prediction market outcome tokens on Solana"
X Link 2026-02-08T14:35Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"TB to when my daughter drew a Lombardi Trophy for me last Super Bowl Sunday morning and then the Eagles won the Super Bowl which was cool"
X Link 2026-02-08T17:47Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"@akhoya87 Higher ratings for this or the Super Bowl"
X Link 2026-02-08T20:31Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"@nigeleccles @Kalshi FanDuel and DraftKings were Boy Scouts by comparison"
X Link 2026-02-08T20:40Z 13K followers, 26.5K engagements
"I am [--] years old. All celebrity news looks like this: CURTAINS FOR CLAVICULAR K-SMOG AND BATBOY CAUGHT MOGGING A FRAME""
X Link 2026-02-08T20:49Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"@severalnitrogen @nigeleccles @Kalshi"
X Link 2026-02-09T00:58Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"Purposefully turning off the halftime show Lets rally together and show big corporations they cant just do whatever they want without consequences (which equals viewership for them) You are their benefit. Realize you have power. Turn off this halftime. A fake American Purposefully turning off the halftime show Lets rally together and show big corporations they cant just do whatever they want without consequences (which equals viewership for them) You are their benefit. Realize you have power. Turn off this halftime. A fake American"
X Link 2026-02-09T01:32Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"The truth machine has not yet informed me about whether Cardi B performed in the halftime show"
X Link 2026-02-09T01:35Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"@TheRobbeo I mean by the rules say she both did and didnt perform"
X Link 2026-02-09T01:44Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements
"This game is terrible but at least the Patriots are getting boatraced"
X Link 2026-02-09T02:21Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"@CurlyLambeauner @Kalshi @yElff_ TBD"
X Link 2026-02-09T03:21Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"@yElff_ @CurlyLambeauner @Kalshi https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/did-cardi-b-perform-during-the-super https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/did-cardi-b-perform-during-the-super"
X Link 2026-02-09T03:31Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"@yElff_ @CurlyLambeauner @Kalshi Super funny that this play was being given out on the Super Stream last night toowas listening while in the green room"
X Link 2026-02-09T03:35Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"Need @Kalshi stakeholder @Giannis_An34 to weigh in on this Cardi B situation"
X Link 2026-02-09T03:41Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements
"@thelocktalk @Kalshi @Giannis_An34 None of this stuff is in the rules my man. It says dancing resolves yes and no"
X Link 2026-02-09T04:02Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"HOW DO I LEARN THE TRUTH I AM A SIMPLE MAN Polymarket pays out $1 to Yes bettors on Cardi B performing and $0 to No bettors Kalshi pays out at 26c for Yes bettors and 74c for No bettors https://t.co/D1AZgsEd3a Polymarket pays out $1 to Yes bettors on Cardi B performing and $0 to No bettors Kalshi pays out at 26c for Yes bettors and 74c for No bettors https://t.co/D1AZgsEd3a"
X Link 2026-02-09T05:42Z 12.9K followers, 14.1K engagements
"New: Kalshi sets a record for daily volume of $871 million on Super Bowl Sunday. Probably missed out on a billion because the game was terrible. Top [--] markets (which includes the Cardi B to perform in halftime show market which had millions traded an hour after the game)"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:00Z 13K followers, 11.8K engagements
"@Hottie_Baker_ @astraffon Its difficult to get to a good number and Kalshi in the past has argued that its all handle (lol). We also have parlays are now a sizable amount of volume. Half is probably as close as we can get by guessing with market dynamics on a day making it higher or lower"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:54Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"@TampopoX @MichaelSelig @Kalshi @iamcardib The rules definitely read that both no and yes should win"
X Link 2026-02-09T16:26Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements
"here is what Kalshi put on its market resolution about Cardi B performing at the halftime show. Kalshi created the ambiguity with its own rules https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperformsuperbowlb/who-will-perform-at-the-super-bowl/kxperformsuperbowlb-26 https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperformsuperbowlb/who-will-perform-at-the-super-bowl/kxperformsuperbowlb-26"
X Link 2026-02-09T16:49Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"@sportsand12 @TampopoX @purpbapehoodie @Dominic63136184 @MichaelSelig @Kalshi @iamcardib this has happened at least a handful of times to my knowledge. It would be good when it breaks that people don't see $0 in their accounts"
X Link 2026-02-09T17:55Z 13K followers, [--] engagements
"Tom is a good dude happy to come on as he gets this podcast under way. You can hate watch me while helping Tom. Win-win. Prediction Markets are the big ticket item right now - everyone and your mother is starting one. But they are not without their flaws. For this week's pod I sat down with @DustinGouker to talk about the good the bad and the ugly of Prediction Markets.and why the next Prediction Markets are the big ticket item right now - everyone and your mother is starting one. But they are not without their flaws. For this week's pod I sat down with @DustinGouker to talk about the good"
X Link 2026-02-09T18:10Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"@GiuseppePaps @EvMassachusetts @Kalshi"
X Link 2026-02-09T18:28Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"4 is fine but the industry would be toast if you do any or all of the rest. And then you would be left with the usual laundry list of prediction markets fantasy pickem sweepstakes and offshore that dont have to follow any of these rules. A modest proposal for sports gambling: [--]. It must be done in person [--]. No prop bets or parlays [--]. Books must not be allowed to limit sharp bettors [--]. No deceptive advertising A modest proposal for sports gambling: [--]. It must be done in person [--]. No prop bets or parlays [--]. Books must not be allowed to limit sharp bettors [--]. No deceptive advertising"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:04Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Holistic answers on how to rein in sports betting are always thought experiments that have no chance of happening in the real world"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:21Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"I am getting mansplained sports betting and you guys wonder i am always grumpy"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:04Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"The simulation is really breaking down today. I am pumping Kalshi Me"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:15Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"@publius_val let John Wang's will be done"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:28Z 13K followers, [--] engagements
"@PaidDegen I am a known prediction markets shill tbf"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:35Z 13K followers, [--] engagements
"Will Kalshi get to $1 billion in trading volume in a single day before the next Super Bowl yes no if John Wang wills it yes no if John Wang wills it"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:02Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"@USPredict @Kalshi wen badge"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:07Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements
"@AlexH_Johnson Seems great"
X Link 2026-02-10T00:41Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"@nigeleccles Only if the big guy upstairs* deems me worthy. *John Wang"
X Link 2026-02-10T02:32Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements
"@nigeleccles (I can actually believe prediction markets are hurting here)"
X Link 2026-02-10T02:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"@TheFinTwitGuy Nevada is a weird/interesting case where they make online betting a giant pain in the ass. So I can see Kalshi et al. being compelling here"
X Link 2026-02-10T02:49Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi rn Oh hell nah our parents gunna use Kalshi now๐ญ https://t.co/Ey5HV7GKc2 Oh hell nah our parents gunna use Kalshi now๐ญ https://t.co/Ey5HV7GKc2"
X Link 2026-02-10T03:35Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"This math isn't mathing. -Kalshi founder says they far surpassed a projection of 10x their peak traffic on Super Bowl Sunday. -Trading volume on Sunday was not even double the biggest day in Kalshi history. Unless that many people weren't able to deposit/trade"
X Link 2026-02-10T05:11Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"@mikeMaher I dont see how you can possibly get more than 10x traffic and get 1.5x more volume"
X Link 2026-02-10T13:56Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"The student in question placed a bet on Kalshi. Tennessee fired a student worker on the broadcast team because he bet on a Vols football game on an online app It's a minor NCAA violation. But that's not the main story The nature of the infraction shed light on a growing debate over NCAA gambling rules https://t.co/TkPpR4Hjao Tennessee fired a student worker on the broadcast team because he bet on a Vols football game on an online app It's a minor NCAA violation. But that's not the main story The nature of the infraction shed light on a growing debate over NCAA gambling rules"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:04Z 13K followers, 11.5K engagements
"I am doing a webinar with the @NCPGambling on the rise of prediction markets if you want to heckle me and/or learn something. https://www.ncpgambling.org/event/understanding-the-rise-of-prediction-markets-in-gambling/ https://www.ncpgambling.org/event/understanding-the-rise-of-prediction-markets-in-gambling/"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:15Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"@byajperez I just muted him sent this tweet and moved on with my life ๐"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:16Z 13K followers, [--] engagements
"@byajperez Like there is certainly way more betting today because of access. But that also now goes for the quasi- and unregulated stuff"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:20Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements
"This also kind of underlines how ridiculous all of this is. That isnt a serious financial market. Its speculating on nonsense. Which would be fine if we didnt pretend it was more than that"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:54Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"@GaetenD It was a great line of questioning that he was not prepared for clearly. You can pinpoint the moment it goes off the rails when the one host laughs at Tareks answer early on"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:01Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"@imWholesum @GaetenD No lie I told someone at Kalshi to get him better media training almost a year ago"
X Link 2026-02-10T17:22Z 13K followers, [--] engagements
"@nigeleccles Me to everyone trying to cover prediction markets"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:28Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"Thoughts and prayers for Kate Hey X I'm a senior writer at WIRED and I'm shifting beats to cover the tech I'm most obsessed with right nowPREDICTION MARKETS. Eager to hear tips on the industry at kate_knibbs@wired.com Hey X I'm a senior writer at WIRED and I'm shifting beats to cover the tech I'm most obsessed with right nowPREDICTION MARKETS. Eager to hear tips on the industry at kate_knibbs@wired.com"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:49Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Seeing numerous people saying they are switching beats to cover prediction markets"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"The leagues and teams themselves are as big of a threat to integrity as sports betting NBA teams are throwing in the towel early with the hopes of securing a top pick in the [----] NBA Draft. The Jazz who have the sixth best odds currently for the No. [--] pick with a record of [----] are the latest team to face tanking allegations. NBA teams are throwing in the towel early with the hopes of securing a top pick in the [----] NBA Draft. The Jazz who have the sixth best odds currently for the No. [--] pick with a record of [----] are the latest team to face tanking allegations"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:50Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Complete the following Mad Lib. And see my first reply for my guess. I accept answers in emoji. You will be graded on accuracy. ________ (League) partners with _______(prediction market) ________(timeframe)"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:36Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Prediction markets evangelists: Now that the Super Bowl is over Kalshi is going to make a push to get people to trade on non-sports stuff. Kalshi:"
X Link 2026-02-10T23:12Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"lol my story about the Cardi B Super Bowl market and a complaint to the CFTC has reached The Associated Press. I love this for everyone involved but mostly me"
X Link 2026-02-11T04:21Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"https://apnews.com/article/super-bowl-kalshi-cardi-b-bad-bunny-d3b51d8848934d69c39ff92fa2c51278 https://apnews.com/article/super-bowl-kalshi-cardi-b-bad-bunny-d3b51d8848934d69c39ff92fa2c51278"
X Link 2026-02-11T04:21Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"The truth machine tells me that TCU didn't cover either [---] or [---] points despite winning by seven"
X Link 2026-02-11T04:32Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"I checked what a $100 moneyline bet on the Seahawks would pay on some prediction markets and sportsbooks late last night. (Not an exhaustive list)"
X Link 2026-02-06T15:41Z 13K followers, 120.4K engagements
"Nevada reports the lowest handle on the Super Bowl in the past decade at $133 million. Fix your online sports betting rules I am begging you"
X Link 2026-02-10T02:40Z 13K followers, 82.6K engagements
"@EventWavesIO the problem is there is no way or will to do that. It's kind of all or nothing. Like there were good markets recently that did numbers. price of bitcoin fed chair government shutdown etc"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:09Z 13K followers, [--] engagements
"Republicans the proponents of reasonable tax rates on gambling Gov. Whitmer modeled her new sports gambling tax on Illinoiswhere it has failed spectacularly driving people to bet on the black market instead. ๐คฆโ A deeply unserious proposal. https://t.co/L7l2u2uR8B Gov. Whitmer modeled her new sports gambling tax on Illinoiswhere it has failed spectacularly driving people to bet on the black market instead. ๐คฆโ A deeply unserious proposal. https://t.co/L7l2u2uR8B"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:09Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Hang it in the Louvre @jesswelman"
X Link 2026-02-04T15:25Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"At least one person has filed a formal complaint with the CFTC about the Cardi B Super Bowl halftime show market at Kalshi claiming violations of the Commodity Exchange Act. Hopefully @MichaelSelig can take a break from shitposting and get his staff to look at this. Excerpt:"
X Link 2026-02-09T16:12Z 13K followers, 19.2K engagements
"Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour went on CNBC and had to spend half the interview talking about potential insider trading on the Bad Bunny halftime show I am crying man. ๐ญ https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/02/10/kalshi-ceo-tarek-mansour-on-super-bowl-trades-growth-of-prediction-markets-and-insider-trading-risk.html https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/02/10/kalshi-ceo-tarek-mansour-on-super-bowl-trades-growth-of-prediction-markets-and-insider-trading-risk.html"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:58Z 13K followers, 16.7K engagements
"I learn something every time I read a piece about prediction markets by @dan_bernstein_. How are less than [----] of you following him"
X Link 2026-02-10T23:34Z 13K followers, 10.3K engagements
"TRENDING: ESPN ranked all [--] Super Bowl champions and had the [----] Eagles at #40 ๐ณ https://t.co/QnkBzMrSYl TRENDING: ESPN ranked all [--] Super Bowl champions and had the [----] Eagles at #40 ๐ณ https://t.co/QnkBzMrSYl"
X Link 2026-02-11T03:14Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"HANDLE AND VOLUME ARE NOT THE SAME THING Vegas did $130M on the Super Bowl ๐ Prediction markets did $. . 10x Vegas ๐คฏ On Squawk Box (see video below๐) Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour answered why a Bad Bunny dancer -- who watched rehearsals -- betting on the Super Bowl Halftime Show predictions markets https://t.co/4kEyLX1poc Vegas did $130M on the Super Bowl ๐ Prediction markets did $. . 10x Vegas ๐คฏ On Squawk Box (see video below๐) Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour answered why a Bad Bunny dancer -- who watched rehearsals -- betting on the Super Bowl Halftime Show predictions markets"
X Link 2026-02-11T03:29Z 13K followers, 11K engagements
"Me learning you could do a Cardi B market without it turning into a clisterf*** like at Kalshi By the way we offered the Cardi B market put a lot of thought into the settlement criteria ahead of time considering exactly the case of being on stage but not otherwise performing and settled the market as YES with no dispute or confusion for any customers or partners ๐ค By the way we offered the Cardi B market put a lot of thought into the settlement criteria ahead of time considering exactly the case of being on stage but not otherwise performing and settled the market as YES with no dispute or"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:07Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Me getting ready to take on the [--] Substacks ahead of me about AI"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:25Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Very funny to hear Robinhood's CEO pumping Olympics betting (SORRY TRADING) as a big thing on Q4 earnings. It's generally a rounding error in sportsbooks. I have it as $7 million in volume at Kalshi in the trailing seven days"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:36Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"This is not at all throwing shade at Kalshi or "volume." It's just how they report data And it's useful But I am already seeing infinity examples of people conflating volume and handle which are clearly not the same thing"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"What I think it does is show is how far Kalshi and prediction markets have to go to get to parity on parlays in particular and that parlays are going to skew volume. Kalshi has done about $40 billion in total volume in its history $3 billion on parlays"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"New: [--] Senate Democrats signed onto a letter criticizing CFTC chairman on prediction markets. ".It appears that you intend to steer the Commission in a direction that is at odds with the intent of the Commodity Exchange Act.""
X Link 2026-02-13T19:59Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"DraftKings stock down 10% in after-hours trading after announcing Q4 and FY [----] earnings"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:21Z 13K followers, 62.9K engagements
"$2.5 trillion is in some ways a nonsense number because obviously DraftKings is never going to have to pay out trillions of dollars. All this captures is how DK would report its activity if it did it like Kalshi etc"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"Only a fraction of that $3B is what we would consider the "handle" or retail portion of a trade. As Kalshi and others scale parlays volume will get more skewed as well making the comparison to handle even more difficult. FIN"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"I am considering changing the name of my podcast to Yell At Dustin ICYMI: Prediction Markets have once again been all over the news and this week on the Talk To Tom podcast I sat down with @DustinGouker for an expansive conversation on the good the bad and the wild advertising behind them ๐https://t.co/WKr7dJCfJz ๐https://t.co/bRGOgyx9LI ICYMI: Prediction Markets have once again been all over the news and this week on the Talk To Tom podcast I sat down with @DustinGouker for an expansive conversation on the good the bad and the wild advertising behind them ๐https://t.co/WKr7dJCfJz"
X Link 2026-02-13T20:19Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"Battle of the bookies When sportsbook veterans make markets in the same place as financial firms who has the edge New prediction markets feature story from me. https://t.co/bu8xGyeLHz When sportsbook veterans make markets in the same place as financial firms who has the edge New prediction markets feature story from me. https://t.co/bu8xGyeLHz"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:30Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"We live in the dumbest and also the most predictable timeline. Offshore sportsbook MyBookie is launching a prediction market. I am gonna guess it isnt regulated by the CFTC. (Actually who knows nothing would surprise me.)"
X Link 2026-02-11T01:50Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Sweepstakes casinos copying prediction markets. Such a weird time to be alive"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:26Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"NGL was impressed by Seligs ability to say almost nothing of substance for [--] minutes Odd Lots: What's the economic utility of Cardi B bets Mike Selig: Let's talk about 1930s grain Odd Lots: What's the economic utility of Cardi B bets Mike Selig: Let's talk about 1930s grain"
X Link 2026-02-12T18:38Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"It would be a shame if anyone told Dan or me about what was said here ๐ Polymarket Kalshi MGM FanDuel CEOs are all on this 7-person () panel Friday morning at NBA All-Star Tech Summit. The event is invite-only and is entirely off the record. NBA says this event always is. https://t.co/7Rlmhw0Vgr Polymarket Kalshi MGM FanDuel CEOs are all on this 7-person () panel Friday morning at NBA All-Star Tech Summit. The event is invite-only and is entirely off the record. NBA says this event always is. https://t.co/7Rlmhw0Vgr"
X Link 2026-02-13T13:57Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"The states: "States would be crazy to raise sports betting taxes now with everything going on with prediction markets" DraftKings CEO Jason Robins said during today's earnings call "States would be crazy to raise sports betting taxes now with everything going on with prediction markets" DraftKings CEO Jason Robins said during today's earnings call"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:41Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
":waits patiently for someone to call for me to go to jail for soliciting inside information:"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:52Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"Prediction markets: Theyre websites that for some reason exist. ๐ So we're betting on everything now Full investigation out now Feat. @DustinGouker @GaetenD @kylascan Ilya Beylin https://t.co/5lgMefYQdE So we're betting on everything now Full investigation out now Feat. @DustinGouker @GaetenD @kylascan Ilya Beylin https://t.co/5lgMefYQdE"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:41Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"๐งต on sportsbook handle vs. prediction markets volume based on a nugget from DraftKings Q4 earnings. From CEO Jason Robins on 2025: "Our total potential payouts across all open wagers or capital at risk was $2.5 trillion due to the multiplicative nature of parlays.""
X Link 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"DraftKings handle was $54 billion last year. DraftKings framed the $2.5 trillion figure in its shareholder letter as: "Total potential payouts or capital at risk is comparable to volume that Predictions operators report.""
X Link 2026-02-13T16:09Z 13K followers, [---] engagements
"๐ง THE TRUTH DOES NOT MATTER ON KALSHI. @Kalshi just graded everything on this market as No despite people from the audience streaming (and video existing of) Bernie Sanders saying the words. I thought my predictions were getting us closer to the truth. @DustinGouker THE TRUTH DOES NOT MATTER ON KALSHI. @Kalshi just graded everything on this market as No despite people from the audience streaming (and video existing of) Bernie Sanders saying the words. I thought my predictions were getting us closer to the truth. @DustinGouker"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:59Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Business is booming for shoddily written newsletters about prediction markets"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:09Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"RT @FOS: The NBA has fully packed the YouTube Theatre for the league's invite-only off the record tech summit"
X Link 2026-02-13T20:22Z 13K followers, [--] engagements
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/creator/twitter::DustinGouker