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# ![@DecisionDeskHQ Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::918169628.png) @DecisionDeskHQ Decision Desk HQ

Decision Desk HQ posts on X about hq, in the, dems, matter the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::918169628/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::918169628/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] -72%
- [--] Month [---------] +89%
- [--] Months [----------] +485%
- [--] Year [----------] -48%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::918169628/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::918169628/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +6.30%
- [--] Month [--] -9.30%
- [--] Months [---] +195%
- [--] Year [---] -67%

### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::918169628/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::918169628/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] -0.05%
- [--] Month [-------] -0.19%
- [--] Months [-------] +2.60%
- [--] Year [-------] +1.10%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::918169628/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::918169628/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  3.82% [countries](/list/countries)  3.82% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  1.53% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  0.76% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  0.76%

**Social topic influence**
[hq](/topic/hq) 6.87%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 5.34%, [dems](/topic/dems) 4.58%, [matter](/topic/matter) 4.58%, [red](/topic/red) 3.82%, [gop](/topic/gop) 3.05%, [newsletter](/topic/newsletter) 2.29%, [link](/topic/link) 2.29%, [at least](/topic/at-least) 2.29%, [jersey](/topic/jersey) 1.53%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@geoffreyvs](/creator/undefined) [@adimpactpol](/creator/undefined) [@gracepanetta](/creator/undefined) [@ilanagain](/creator/undefined) [@harriswalz_24](/creator/undefined) [@zachpl](/creator/undefined) [@marywitha4](/creator/undefined) [@50plus1news](/creator/undefined) [@baseballot](/creator/undefined) [@decisiondeskhqofficial](/creator/undefined) [@chucktodd](/creator/undefined) [@chriscillizza](/creator/undefined) [@jmilescoleman](/creator/undefined) [@joshhuder](/creator/undefined) [@geoffreyvss](/creator/undefined) [@iapolls2022](/creator/undefined) [@alejandro_soceu](/creator/undefined) [@jjsayian117](/creator/undefined) [@sigalaone](/creator/undefined) [@computerman318](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Ferguson plc (FERG)](/topic/$ferg) [PACS Group, Inc. (PACS)](/topic/$pacs)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@grace_panetta To get more of DDHQ's analysis on key races like #MESen and all the other elections happening in [----] please subscribe to receive our newsletter in your inbox: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2021254853675155457)  2026-02-10T16:08Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Many of those averages adjust for "house effects" which would generally lead to a slightly higher adjusted approval from Gallup. But even Gallup's adjusted figures in Silver Bulletin's average for example were consistently lower. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/end-of-gallup-poll-presidential-approval https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/end-of-gallup-poll-presidential-approval"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2023418657515385078)  2026-02-16T15:26Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements


"According to results provided by the Democratic Party in American Samoa Jason Palmer has won the American Samoa Democratic Caucus. Follow results here: https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/2024/Primaries/ https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/2024/Primaries/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1765201468699693239)  2024-03-06T02:23Z 444.7K followers, 2.3M engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Texas State Senate [--] Runoff Taylor Rehmet (D): [-----] (56.2%) Leigh Wambsganss (R): [-----] (43.8%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-31 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-31"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2017766275741630539)  2026-02-01T01:05Z 444.9K followers, 61.3K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 32.3% in): New Jersey US House [--] Democratic Special Election Primary Tom Malinowski (D) - [----] (31.6%) Analilia Mejia (D) - [----] (22.3%) Brendan Gill (D) - [----] (21.4%) Tahesha Way (D) - [----] (14.5%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02-05 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02-05"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2019579361712828528)  2026-02-06T01:10Z 444.9K followers, 51.5K engagements


"In this week's DDHQ newsletter a look at the proposed Democratic gerrymanders in VA & MD. The maps could mean the [--] states might have just [--] GOP rep combined down from [--]. GOP members of Congress would not in fact be all that welcome. Read more: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2020958617873322437)  2026-02-09T20:30Z 444.8K followers, 62.7K engagements


"VA Democrats aim to get a 10-1 edge in VA up from 6-5. Their plan packs more Rs into the blood-red 9th & crack other red areas. [--] seats take in parts of blue Northern VA [--] that stretch far outside NoVA. (current vs. proposed map) https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2020958620314370279)  2026-02-09T20:30Z 444.9K followers, [----] engagements


"This plan would have [--] solid or likely Democratic seats: [--] that Harris would have carried by 10+ points & [--] by 7-9 pts. The 2nd & 6th would be swingy seats that went for Harris by 1-3 points. The 9th would be a Trump +49 seat. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2020958624018006323)  2026-02-09T20:30Z 444.9K followers, [----] engagements


"The map could be halted: -VA supreme court could find Dems in VA legislature didn't follow state law while passing constitutional amendment to allow redistricting. -April [--] referendum would not be sure-thing for Dems. First poll had it winning 51%-43%. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2020958638752575573)  2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.9K followers, [---] engagements


"Maryland Dems in the state's lower House passed a map that would likely oust GOP Rep. Andy Harris shifting Maryland from 7-1 Dem to 8-0 Dem. (current vs. proposed lines) https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2020958642045128831)  2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.9K followers, [---] engagements


"But state Senate Pres. Bill Ferguson a Democrat opposes moving forward with the map. He's worried mid-decade redistricting could open the door to a state court ruling against not only a new 8-0 gerrymander but also the states current map. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2020958645463490780)  2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.9K followers, [---] engagements


"In [----] state courts did rule against a map that might've produced an 8-0 result. And [--] of the [--] justices on the Maryland Supreme Court were appointed by fmr Gov. Larry Hogan (R) though the Dem-held state Senate had to confirm them. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2020958648659476919)  2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.9K followers, [---] engagements


"Still pressure could mount on Ferguson and state Senate Dems to pass the map. If that happened and it withstood judicial scrutiny the map would create [--] seats that went for Kamala Harris by 36+ points and [--] that went for her by about 9-14 pts. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2020958651989610931)  2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.9K followers, [---] engagements


"Reps. Andy Harris (R) Johnny Olszewski (D) & Sarah Elfreth (D) would have some uncertainty about where to run. If Harris ran most likely in new 1st but new 3rd wouldn't be as blue. He could face Elfreth most likely to run in new 1st. Johnny O would pick between new 3rd/2nd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2020958654875521164)  2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.8K followers, 10.5K engagements


"Sen. Susan Collins (R) formally announced that she's running for reelection in #MESen. She is the only Republican senator from a state carried by Kamala Harris in '24. Collins easily gives the GOP its best chance of holding onto what is a must-win seat for Democrats in 2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2021247830644428949)  2026-02-10T15:40Z 444.7K followers, 28.1K engagements


"Decision Desk HQ projects Abigail Spanberger to win the Virginia Governor election. #DecisionMade: 7:19 pm ET"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1985864768939249790)  2025-11-05T00:20Z 444.7K followers, 5.7M engagements


"Decision Desk HQ projects Jay Jones to win the Virginia Attorney General election. #DecisionMade: 8:26 pm ET Follow live results on our website"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1985881660877951254)  2025-11-05T01:27Z 444.7K followers, 19.4M engagements


"Decision Desk HQ projects Zohran Mamdani to win the New York City Mayor election. #DecisionMade: 9:03 pm ET Follow live results on our website"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1985890890737467888)  2025-11-05T02:04Z 444.7K followers, 19M engagements


"Decision Desk HQ is retracting its projection in the NJ-11 Democratic primary. We have deleted the race projection tweet. At the time of our initial projection all absentee and early vote had been recorded in all three counties and we had 66/240 precincts in Essex County (expected to be Analilia Mejia strongest) that had reported election day vote & two election day vote drops in Morris County (expected to be Thomas Malinowskis strongest). Malinowski had a [----] raw vote lead and the margin he was losing the election day vote in Essex combined with the margin he was winning the election day"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2019614645569372665)  2026-02-06T03:30Z 444.7K followers, 362.5K engagements


"@grace_panetta First elected in [----] Collins is seeking a 6th term. If she wins she will be on course to become Maine's longest-serving senator surpassing Eugene Hale (R) who served from 1881-1911. She would surpass Hale about [--] months into her 6th term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2021254375042138547)  2026-02-10T16:06Z 444.7K followers, 11.6K engagements


"@grace_panetta Ha whoops Collins would surpass William Frye (R) not Eugene Hale (R). They served nearly the same stretch and are the two senators she currently trails"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2021257725775061132)  2026-02-10T16:19Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements


"DDHQ will release its weekly polling memo at 6pm ET today: -#TXSen GOP primary could Cornyn miss a runoff -Updates on Trump approval generic ballot right/wrong track other '26 races. To get it in your inbox today & in the future sign up here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2021345736076795976)  2026-02-10T22:09Z 444.7K followers, 13.2K engagements


"Tonight we're tracking [---] elections across the country - including [---] in Oklahoma alone. There are three state legislative special elections tonight two in northern Virginia and one in Oklahoma. Follow all of them at the link below: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02-10 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02-10"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2021347105219182833)  2026-02-10T22:14Z 444.7K followers, 14.3K engagements


"In DDHQ's latest polling memo: -Texas GOP primary for Senate: Sen. John Cornyn trails state AG Ken Paxton and Rep. Wesley Hunt isn't far behind. Cornyn could even finish 3rd & miss runoff. -Pres. Trump's approval/disapproval is about 42%/54% Read more: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/could-john-cornyn-miss-texas-runoff https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/could-john-cornyn-miss-texas-runoff"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2021700583598575800)  2026-02-11T21:39Z 444.7K followers, 55.6K engagements


"You can get DDHQ's weekly polling memo in your inbox by subscribing here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2021700991146438738)  2026-02-11T21:40Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Later today: DDHQ's podcast dug into Trump's approval rating. For all the narrative focus on losing ground among young men Trump's ratings have worsened with most groups. Subscribe to get the pod in your inbox & enjoy some approval polling nuance: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2022020662068666481)  2026-02-12T18:51Z 444.7K followers, 31.2K engagements


"Our podcast is out here https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-approval-young-men-podcast https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-approval-young-men-podcast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2022321461407502634)  2026-02-13T14:46Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements


"New DDHQ Podcast: @marywitha4 from @50plus1news joined @geoffreyvs to talk about President Trump's approval rating. There's been a lot of coverage of his decline among young men but he's been losing ground among most groups. Watch/listen here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-approval-young-men-podcast https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-approval-young-men-podcast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2022323850097066276)  2026-02-13T14:55Z 444.7K followers, 39.2K engagements


"You can receive Decision Desk HQ's newsletters and podcast on elections and politics in your inbox by subscribing at the link below. Thanks for reading and listening http://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome http://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2022323852236255422)  2026-02-13T14:55Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements


"In our Monday newsletter DDHQ will take a look at Gallups decision to stop polling presidential approval and what it means for understanding American politics. If you'd like to get our newsletter in your inbox on Monday morning please subscribe here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2022416364024271303)  2026-02-13T21:03Z 444.7K followers, 10.8K engagements


"Gallups absence will also remove a pollster whose polls often held more influence in many averages. For instance it was [--] of about [--] "select" pollsters in the New York Times's approval polling average. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/end-of-gallup-poll-presidential-approval https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/end-of-gallup-poll-presidential-approval"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2023419213491450036)  2026-02-16T15:28Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Alabama's 38th House District: GOP runoff in seat east of Auburn between Kristin Nelson & Garrett Dixon. Nelson won 47% in primary but Dixon (33%) got endorsement from 3rd place (20%) finisher. Winner sure to carry 71-28 Trump district in Feb. [--] general. https://alabamareflector.com/2025/11/18/a-voters-guide-to-the-house-district-38-special-gop-primary-runoff/ https://alabamareflector.com/2025/11/18/a-voters-guide-to-the-house-district-38-special-gop-primary-runoff/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1990913523178684637)  2025-11-18T22:42Z 447.1K followers, 15.8K engagements


"DDHQ is committed to tracking the results for every race no matter how high- or low-profile. Again you can find the vote tallies for today's races here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-11-18 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-11-18"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1990913894475321658)  2025-11-18T22:43Z 447.2K followers, 13.3K engagements


"Maps maps & more maps. In this week's episode of the DDHQ Podcast @geoffreyvs & guest @baseballot toured the [--] states that have redistricted their congressional maps. A big is Texas where a federal judicial panel just blocked the new map. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/texas-redistricting-overview-2026-podcast https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/texas-redistricting-overview-2026-podcast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1991639693671444855)  2025-11-20T22:48Z 447.3K followers, 57.4K engagements


"You can get our podcast and newsletters in your inbox for FREE by signing up for DDHQ's Substack here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1991640028003647905)  2025-11-20T22:49Z 446.9K followers, 12.1K engagements


"50 states [--] primary dates and [--] potential runoff dates with most of the action taking place in June and August. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-primary-election-primer https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-primary-election-primer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1993323037308178441)  2025-11-25T14:17Z 447K followers, 20.8K engagements


"Things kick off on Mach [--] with primaries in Texas North Carolina and Arkansas. The GOP & Dem primaries for #TXSen are a highlight of this group. Then on March [--] Illinois holds its primaries including a much-contested Dem primary for #ILSen. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-primary-election-primer https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-primary-election-primer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1993324162132197858)  2025-11-25T14:21Z 447K followers, [----] engagements


"DDHQ has a big preview of today's #TN07 special election. The GOP favored to win the Trump +22 district but limited polling says it's close & both parties' super PACs have spent $$$. A Dem upset would rank among biggest recent special election flips. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1995886985873916204)  2025-12-02T16:05Z 447.3K followers, 36.1K engagements


"It's Election Night Decision Desk HQ will be covering the results of the #TN07 election across the board. We'll have results here: We'll have livestream coverage including DDHQ's @geoffreyvs starting at 7:50pm ET. https://www.youtube.com/@DecisionDeskHQOfficial https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://www.youtube.com/@DecisionDeskHQOfficial https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1995978858625986926)  2025-12-02T22:10Z 447.2K followers, 85.4K engagements


"You can read our preview of the #TN07 race here: Bottom line: The GOP is favored in TN-07 which President Trump carried by [--] points in [----]. However it looks like it could be close & there's even an outside shot at a Democratic upset. More on this. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1995979698963181849)  2025-12-02T22:13Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Still the only nonpartisan public poll of this race showed a 48-46 GOP edge inside the margin of error. Were Democrats to pull off an upset it would be the 4th-biggest flip for an underdog party in the past [--] years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1995981151794504047)  2025-12-02T22:19Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Both parties view this as a competitive race and have spent in response either to shore up their edge (GOP) or boost chances of an upset (Dems). @AdImpact_Pol data shows $3.1m in GOP ad spending $2.3m in Dem ad spending two-thirds coming from outside groups"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1995982369338060900)  2025-12-02T22:24Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@AdImpact_Pol While GOP outside groups have outspent Dem ones Aftyn Behn (D) outraised Matt Van Epps (R) about $1 mil to $590k in the last pre-election fundraising period so she has the upper hand on candidate spending"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1995982721986801685)  2025-12-02T22:25Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@AdImpact_Pol Lastly here are county-level benchmarks for a close race in TN-07. If a candidate is clearly doing better than the benchmarks they're winning. Data come from Decision Desk HQ VOTES our new elections platform which you can find out more about here: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/landing https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/landing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1995987444064240041)  2025-12-02T22:44Z 447.3K followers, 21.6K engagements


"Decision Desk [----] Livestream Tennessee 7th Special Election Hosted by @geoffreyvs @chucktodd @ChrisCillizza https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1RDGlAdvdLrJL https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1RDGlAdvdLrJL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996019562241032486)  2025-12-03T00:52Z 447.3K followers, 149.6K engagements


"Polls are closed in the TN-07 special election. Well have full results as they come in: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996021567273271670)  2025-12-03T01:00Z 447.2K followers, 230.5K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 2% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [----] (71.3%) Aftyn Behn (D): [---] (23.9%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996022711827792211)  2025-12-03T01:04Z 447.3K followers, 20.5K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 3% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [----] (70.2%) Aftyn Behn (D): [----] (26.2%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996023353950249355)  2025-12-03T01:07Z 447.3K followers, 25.4K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 4% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [----] (70.1%) Aftyn Behn (D): [----] (26.9%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996023923092455872)  2025-12-03T01:09Z 447.3K followers, 21.4K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 22% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (55.4%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (42.9%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996025412049404374)  2025-12-03T01:15Z 447.3K followers, 24.4K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 27% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (57.2%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (41.2%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996025730786832438)  2025-12-03T01:16Z 447.3K followers, 29.5K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 27% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (57.4%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (41.1%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996029133630095402)  2025-12-03T01:30Z 447.3K followers, 20.2K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 41% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (55.6%) Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (43.2%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996030142934909379)  2025-12-03T01:34Z 447.3K followers, 32.9K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (53.1%) Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (45.6%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996030480182034570)  2025-12-03T01:35Z 447.3K followers, 214K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 47% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (51.7%) Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (47.1%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996033199148073352)  2025-12-03T01:46Z 447.3K followers, 29.1K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 59% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (49.5%) Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (49.4%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996034616688619603)  2025-12-03T01:51Z 447.3K followers, 29.2K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 59% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (49.5%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (49.3%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996034938689520076)  2025-12-03T01:53Z 447.3K followers, 46.5K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (50.9%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (48.0%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996037338435387793)  2025-12-03T02:02Z 447.3K followers, 36.4K engagements


"DDHQ Race Update (est. 67% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (52.1%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (46.8%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996037745714888898)  2025-12-03T02:04Z 447.2K followers, 62K engagements


"Decision Desk HQ projects Matt Van Epps to win the US House special election in Tennessee's 7th congressional district. #DecisionMade: 9:06 pm ET"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996038434084008372)  2025-12-03T02:07Z 447K followers, 488.3K engagements


"With the race called Van Epps currently has 52.5% of the vote. Join the waitlist for our new results experience at: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/ Decision Desk HQ projects Matt Van Epps to win the US House special election in Tennessee's 7th congressional district. #DecisionMade: 9:06 pm ET https://t.co/Uud1B74sKx https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/ Decision Desk HQ projects Matt Van Epps to win the US House special election in Tennessee's 7th congressional district. #DecisionMade: 9:06 pm ET https://t.co/Uud1B74sKx"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996040882597101960)  2025-12-03T02:16Z 447.3K followers, 92.7K engagements


"Some post-election analysis of #TN07 special: Matt Van Epps (R) defeated Aftyn Behn 54%-45% which amounted to a 13-point swing to the left from [----] in a seat that Donald Trump carried 60%-38%. (thread)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996242476818927761)  2025-12-03T15:37Z 447.3K followers, 70.4K engagements


"That was the smallest swing to the left of any of the [--] House specials we've had in [----] so far. Still it fits into a larger pattern whereby Democrats have consistently outperformed the [----] pres numbers pretty significantly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996243193264812453)  2025-12-03T15:40Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements


"The other factor that may have producer a smaller leftward swing was Behn's ideological position. Unlike the Dems in some upset wins in similarly red seats in [----] (Conor Lamb in PA) & [----] (Travis Childers in MS) Behn had a progressive profile that GOP ads homed in on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996251666350325850)  2025-12-03T16:14Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Turnout was quite high in Davidson Co. (Nashville) the one blue part of the district. But it was high elsewhere & Van Epps put up solid margins in most other parts of the district including in Montgomery (Clarksville) which Behn probably needed to carry to have a shot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996252113635053689)  2025-12-03T16:16Z 445.7K followers, 13.3K engagements


"Want more insights like this You can subscribe to Decision Desk HQ's Substack for our FREE Monday newsletter weekly podcast & polling memo. This week's podcast will explore TN-07 some more & look at the House picture ahead of [----]. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996252584642826473)  2025-12-03T16:17Z 445.6K followers, 10.5K engagements


"ICYMI our newsletter yesterday took a look at [----] candidates who might get tagged with the "carpetbagger" label. They include Tom Malinowski (D) Madison Cawthorn (R) & Chris Collins (R) among others. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/carpetbagging-and-district-shopping https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/carpetbagging-and-district-shopping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1998485386717253899)  2025-12-09T20:10Z 446.7K followers, 18.3K engagements


"It's Election Night again This time we have mayoral runoffs in Albuquerque and Miami as well as a handful of state legislative special general elections and primaries. You can follow DDHQ's coverage of the results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-09 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-09"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1998531571679408488)  2025-12-09T23:13Z 446.4K followers, 38.4K engagements


"In Miami an officially nonpartisan runoff race between Eileen Higgins (D) & Republican Emilio Gonzlez (R) saw around 21k early votes (D+8 by party reg). In the 1st round in November Higgins & another Democrat (Ken Russell) combined for 53%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1998532393410675174)  2025-12-09T23:17Z 446.4K followers, [----] engagements


"In Albuquerque another officially nonpartisan race has incumbent Mayor Tim Keller (D) taking on Darren White (R) in a runoff. 83k early votes had a D+30 party registration edge. Still dissatisfaction with Keller led him to only win 37% in the 1st round in November"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1998533274361045203)  2025-12-09T23:20Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Homelessness has been a major issue in the ABQ campaign. Around Thanksgiving a group of people were handing out "I ♥ Tim Keller" sweatshirts to unhoused residents. The individuals have not been identified. https://www.kob.com/news/top-news/albuquerque-mayoral-race-heads-into-final-days-amid-controversy-uncertainty/ https://www.kob.com/news/top-news/albuquerque-mayoral-race-heads-into-final-days-amid-controversy-uncertainty/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1998533873248956796)  2025-12-09T23:23Z 447K followers, [----] engagements


"The other contest of note is a special election in Georgia state House District [---] south of Athens. It's a 56-44 Trump seat previously held by a Republican but after Democrats had a very good November election they hope to flip the seat. https://georgiarecorder.com/2025/11/12/emboldened-by-statewide-wins-democrats-see-opportunity-to-compete-in-east-georgia-house-district/ https://georgiarecorder.com/2025/11/12/emboldened-by-statewide-wins-democrats-see-opportunity-to-compete-in-east-georgia-house-district/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1998534836244349086)  2025-12-09T23:26Z 447K followers, 18.1K engagements


"Again you can see all the results tonight here: And make sure to sign up for our FREE newsletter which arrives in your inbox every Monday morning. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-09 https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-09"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1998535070986936608)  2025-12-09T23:27Z 447.1K followers, 15.1K engagements


"Decision Desk HQ projects Eileen Higgins to win the Miami Mayoral Runoff election. #DecisionMade: 7:08 pm ET"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1998545461184221505)  2025-12-10T00:09Z 445.4K followers, 693.5K engagements


"Last week Indiana's state Senate voted down the redistricting package a sharp break from what we'd seen in other red states. Whereas 87%+ of GOP legislators in TX MO & NC supporting their new maps just 48% of Rs in the IN senate did so. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026 https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2000675109804118302)  2025-12-15T21:11Z 446.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Some have pointed to Trump's poor approval & the GOPs recent electoral struggles which probably contributed. BUT Republicans senators are less Trumpy 64% of GOP senators elected before [----] voted no vs. 39% of those elected after. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026 https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2000676033448571083)  2025-12-15T21:15Z 446.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Small-c conservatism also played a role. Some were uncomfortable redrawing a map they'd been happy with in [----]. Some balked at the aggressive gerrymandering & noted their constituents were opposed. And the acrimonious rhetoric aimed at holdouts appears to have backfired"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2000676722321039379)  2025-12-15T21:17Z 447.1K followers, [----] engagements


"The next test is to what extent Trump & the GOP target those who blocked redistricting. [--] of the [--] GOP senators who voted no are up in 2026; [--] are currently seeking reelection most in very red seats that might be more amenable to a primary challenge. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026 https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2000677269639926081)  2025-12-15T21:20Z 447.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Trump & co. have an incentive to back up their threats: They can't let this become a pattern. The next test may be in Kansas where GOP leaders there would like to pursue congressional redistricting in January to oust Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids in KS-03"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2000678028033016035)  2025-12-15T21:23Z 447K followers, [----] engagements


"In KS GOP has 2/3 majorities to override Gov. Laura Kelly (D) on redistricting legislation. BUT earlier this fall around [--] state House Republicans refused to back petition for a special session to pursue redistricting. What kind of pressure might Trump & co. wield"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2000678735029125221)  2025-12-15T21:25Z 447.1K followers, [----] engagements


"BUT retiring members who oppose a redraw may be hard to pressure. And the GOP state House speaker already stripped some of those [--] members of their committee posts. As they've already shown willingness to lose things may not yield to threats at the regular session either"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2000679303034409406)  2025-12-15T21:28Z 447.1K followers, [----] engagements


"It's Tuesday so it's Election Night somewhere The evening is mainly highlighted by a handful of state legislative special general and primary elections. DDHQ covers every election result no matter how big or small You can follow the results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-16 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-16"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2001074552932106527)  2025-12-16T23:38Z 446.7K followers, 33.8K engagements


"The main event is the special election runoff for Georgia's state Senate District [--] between Democrats Jaha Howard & Roger Bruce. The heavily Dem seat in metro Atlanta was formerly held by Jason Esteves who resigned to focus on his race for #GAGov. https://www.11alive.com/article/news/politics/elections/georgia-state-senate-district-35-runoff-election-tuesday-december-16/85-19a75ba5-aaf8-4dfd-9f7c-804787b120e4 https://www.11alive.com/article/news/politics/elections/georgia-state-senate-district-35-runoff-election-tuesday-december-16/85-19a75ba5-aaf8-4dfd-9f7c-804787b120e4"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2001075610244858084)  2025-12-16T23:42Z 446.8K followers, 15.4K engagements


"This week's newsletter: Some on the left are wish-casting that Republicans' newly-drawn congressional maps in states like Texas and Missouri will turn into "dummymanders." It's quite unlikely. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/dont-be-a-dummy-about-2026-gerrymandering https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/dont-be-a-dummy-about-2026-gerrymandering"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2003216139833462867)  2025-12-22T21:28Z 446.4K followers, 58.4K engagements


"Only 5/51 GOP-held seats in TX+OH+NC+MO lean fewer than [--] pts to the right while the new maps made [--] Dem-held seats R+10 or redder. This leaves few seats for Dems to target. In midterms 2006-22 the non-pres party won around [--] in [--] seats that leaned 10-20 pts away from it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2003218023877079527)  2025-12-22T21:36Z 446.7K followers, [----] engagements


"If [----] had same share of seats by partisan lean won as 2006-22 Democrats would pick up [--] seats and have a small 226-209 majority. This is a hypothetical since individual race conditions will matter. But it points to how a small gain would line up with recent midterm trends"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2003218776318161149)  2025-12-22T21:39Z 446.8K followers, [----] engagements


"While Democrats can hope for dummymanders recent statewide election results in TX OH MO & NC districts suggest the new lines are likely to hold up and elect Republicans at least outside of South Texas where the GOP shift is newer. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/dont-be-a-dummy-about-2026-gerrymandering https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/dont-be-a-dummy-about-2026-gerrymandering"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2003219326137172044)  2025-12-22T21:41Z 446.8K followers, 12.3K engagements


"It's Tuesday so it's Election Day even [--] days before Xmas South Carolina hosts [--] special elections for the state legislature. Only [--] is contested but you can see the results here: DDHQ covers every election no matter where when or how big. https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-23 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-23"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2003586441595810165)  2025-12-23T22:00Z 446.3K followers, 16.4K engagements


"The contested race is in the 88th House District a solidly red seat outside Columbia that Trump won 67%-32%. John Lastinger (R) will likely defeat Chuck Hightower (D) but keep an eye on how much the Dem outperforms [----] numbers vs. other [----] https://abcnews4.com/news/state/lexington-county-voters-to-decide-rj-mays-replacement-tuesday-chuck-hightower-john-lastinger-politics-lexington-county-polls-election https://abcnews4.com/news/state/lexington-county-voters-to-decide-rj-mays-replacement-tuesday-chuck-hightower-john-lastinger-politics-lexington-county-polls-election"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2003586489792495695)  2025-12-23T22:00Z 446.7K followers, 15.4K engagements


"In this week's DDHQ newsletter @geoffreyvs finds that a record number of U.S. House members are headed for the exits. [--] are retiring or running for another office more than at the same point in any federal election cycle going back to [----]. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008250141393011016)  2026-01-05T18:51Z 445.6K followers, 71.1K engagements


"44 exits through Jan. [--] surpassed the previous record of [--] in [----] by the same time point. Slightly more Republicans are leaving in line with the midterm pattern whereby members of the president's party are somewhat more likely to leave office. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008252552010494451)  2026-01-05T19:01Z 445.8K followers, 20.5K engagements


"The # of retirements or bids for other offices by early January has generally been higher in the Trump Era than before. Members from both parties have made it clear that serving in the House is not terribly satisfying these days which helps explain why so many are leaving"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008253044233039907)  2026-01-05T19:03Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Still other factors matter. States are holding primaries earlier than they used to so incumbents have to decide on reelection sooner. And fundraising makes it more important to start a campaign early whether running for new office or leaving time for potential successors"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008253710619840886)  2026-01-05T19:06Z 445.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Some good news for GOP: In [----] [--] Rs in Trump +10 seats or closer had announced retirements by early Jan. This included [--] that Trump carried by [--] pts. In [----] [--] are retiring/running elsewhere in Trump +10 or less seats. Of those just [--] holds a seat less than Trump +5 seat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008254454177595607)  2026-01-05T19:09Z 445.7K followers, [----] engagements


"This is at least partly a result of Trump successfully pushing GOP incumbents in competitive seats to seek reelection instead of running for other offices. Although incumbency advantage has shrunk a lot sitting members still give their party a slightly better chance of winning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008254669538353646)  2026-01-05T19:09Z 445.8K followers, [----] engagements


"More retirements could be on the way though: The candidate filing deadline has passed in [--] states & [--] states have deadlines in February or later. That leaves plenty of time for more members to decide against reelection. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008255037664096767)  2026-01-05T19:11Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements


"When it comes to retirements the full effect of mid-decade redistricting has not necessarily hit yet. Someone like Kevin Kiley (R-CA) might end up not running again because of Dem-leaning options and Emanuel Cleaver (D-MO) could retire if he has to run in a Trump+18 seat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008255394934821025)  2026-01-05T19:12Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Looking at the current numbers and the common refrain of #congresssucks among sitting members this cycle could get within spitting distance of the [--] retirements in the entirety of the [----] election cycle the modern record for departing House reps. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008255657846374483)  2026-01-05T19:13Z 445.6K followers, 10.7K engagements


"You can read this week's newsletter and see the charts/tables here: You can sign up for our FREE newsletter and get it in your inbox every Monday morning by going here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008255989351694456)  2026-01-05T19:15Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements


"ICYMI this week's Decision Desk HQ newsletter took an in-depth look at the record-breaking rate of House retirements. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008626542910300484)  2026-01-06T19:47Z 445.6K followers, 13.8K engagements


"Welcome to the first Election Night of [----] We have a handful of special elections in state legislatures on the docket in Arkansas Connecticut Georgia South Carolina and Virginia. You can see all of those results on our website here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-06 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-06"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008660741554147479)  2026-01-06T22:03Z 445.5K followers, 25.8K engagements


"The marquee race is the special for South Carolina's 98th state House District in the Charleston suburbs. The previously GOP-held seat voted 53-46 for Trump in [----] but Dems are hoping to flip it tonight. https://abcnews4.com/news/local/gerg-ford-sonja-ogletree-santani-district-98-special-election-who-won-final-results-south-carolina-politics https://abcnews4.com/news/local/gerg-ford-sonja-ogletree-santani-district-98-special-election-who-won-final-results-south-carolina-politics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008662003590820091)  2026-01-06T22:08Z 445.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Otherwise there are four special elections in seats that should be safe for each party: CT House District [--] (D): GA House District [--] (R): VA Senate District [--] (D) VA House District [--] (D) https://www.wric.com/news/politics/local-election-hq/special-elections-held-on-jan-6-for-parts-of-chesterfield-and-richmond/ https://www.tribuneledgernews.com/local_news/election/election-day-is-tuesday-for-cherokee-s-georgia-house-runoff/article_723bf926-2ef1-44d0-8eec-3be29e40f661.html https://ctnewsjunkie.com/2026/01/05/special-elections-jan-6-13-to-fill-ct-legislative-seats/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008663266336370878)  2026-01-06T22:13Z 445.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Also some special election primaries in Arkansas https://arkansasadvocate.com/2026/01/05/new-and-returning-candidate-square-off-in-special-democratic-primary-for-arkansas-house-seat/ https://arkansasadvocate.com/2026/01/05/new-and-returning-candidate-square-off-in-special-democratic-primary-for-arkansas-house-seat/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008663424272830568)  2026-01-06T22:14Z 445.6K followers, 12.1K engagements


"Again you can see all the results here tonight: Decision Desk HQ covers the results of every election no matter how big or small https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-06 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-06"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2008663581446058369)  2026-01-06T22:14Z 445.6K followers, 11.1K engagements


"In this week's DDHQ podcast @geoffreyvs & @JMilesColeman talked Minnesota's gubernatorial race after Tim Walz's exit & Virginia redistricting. In #MNGov Amy Klobuchar's strong electoral record suggests she'd be a formidable Walz substitute. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/minnesota-walz-virginia-redistricting-podcast https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/minnesota-walz-virginia-redistricting-podcast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2009642216290181345)  2026-01-09T15:03Z 445.6K followers, 44.8K engagements


"If Klobuchar runs for #MNGov she'll be the 4th sitting senator to run for governor in [----] most in any election from 1914-now. @geoffreyvs will have more in tomorrow morning's DDHQ newsletter. You can get it in your inbox by signing up for FREE here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2010435519680008305)  2026-01-11T19:35Z 445.6K followers, 70.9K engagements


"This week's DDHQ newsletter looks at sitting senators running for governor. Total of [--] have launched bids while Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) is considering. If she runs [--] senators running for governor will be most ever in an election cycle from 1913-now. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2010765351345119483)  2026-01-12T17:26Z 445.6K followers, 52.5K engagements


"Each senator looks like a favorite to win their party's nomination and the general election. Klobuchar would likely clear the Democratic primary field if she indeed runs for #MNGov. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2010766823197720581)  2026-01-12T17:32Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements


"This is a reverse of what we more often see which is governors running for Senate. Since [----] only [--] sitting senators (incl. the [--] in '26) have run for governor whereas more than [---] sitting governors have run for Senate. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2010767570949783867)  2026-01-12T17:35Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Dissatisfaction with life in the Senate must play at least some role in this uptick. After all senators who've built up a lot of seniority like Bennet (D-CO) & Klobuchar (D-MN) are running for gov or considering it abandoning what they've built. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2010767971258355747)  2026-01-12T17:36Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements


"In fact Bennett (in 3rd full term) and Klobuchar (in 4th) would be [--] of the longest-tenured sitting senators to ever run for governor. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2010768750195220838)  2026-01-12T17:40Z 445.6K followers, 11.3K engagements


"You can see the full analysis here: And you can sign up for Decision Desk HQ's FREE newsletter and get it in your inbox every Monday AM: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2010769390099132448)  2026-01-12T17:42Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements


"On Monday former Rep. Mary Peltola (D) announced she was running for U.S. Senate in Alaska against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (R). DDHQ Chief Elections Analyst @geoffreyvs took a quick look at how Peltola's entry shakes up the #AKSen contest"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2011081750718370234)  2026-01-13T14:23Z 445.6K followers, 13.8K engagements


"Tonight we're tracking [--] legislative and local races across the United States. You can find all the results at the link below. The marquee race is the special election in Alabama HD-63. Trump carried this mixed urban/suburban seat by [--] points in [----]. https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2011157661275078993)  2026-01-13T19:25Z 445.5K followers, 46.2K engagements


"We're also following three state legislative primaries or runoffs tonight: Republican and Democratic primaries in Florida House District [--] and a Republican primary runoff in Oklahoma House District [--]. https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2011157665410662595)  2026-01-13T19:25Z 445.6K followers, 10.7K engagements


"Finally we're tracking three city council elections and a recall election across Florida Maine Nebraska and South Carolina. Find all of the results for each election tonight at the link below: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2011157667461697728)  2026-01-13T19:25Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements


"President Trump's approval rating in DDHQ's polling average is in the low 40s. If it stays there what could that mean for the [----] midterms https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/what-trumps-approval-could-mean-for https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/what-trumps-approval-could-mean-for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2011469105367273532)  2026-01-14T16:03Z 445.5K followers, 41.6K engagements


"On the latest DDHQ podcast we explored the chaotic U.S. House of Representatives. Guest @joshHuder highlighted how internal conflicts within both parties have made it harder to manage the chamber currently Speaker Mike Johnson's problem. Watch here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/house-of-representatives-johnson-mess-pod https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/house-of-representatives-johnson-mess-pod"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2011925195175428505)  2026-01-15T22:15Z 445.4K followers, 48.6K engagements


"@AdImpact_Pol TX U.S. Senate primary (cont.) Dems haven't won statewide in TX since [----] but they see a chance for Rep. Jasmine Crockett or state Rep. James Talarico. Talarico has early ad spending edge though. https://x.com/JacobRubashkin/status/2011251084443140235s=20 Across broadcast TV cable/OTT and digital Talarico has outspent Crockett nearly 5-to-1 since she got in the race per @AdImpact_Pol. Spending since 12/8/2025 Talarico: $1.65 million Crockett: $356000 https://x.com/JacobRubashkin/status/2011251084443140235s=20 Across broadcast TV cable/OTT and digital Talarico has outspent"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2013335599025934783)  2026-01-19T19:39Z 445.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@AdImpact_Pol [--]. March 3: TX-33 primary It's successor vs. predecessor in the Dem primary for this blue Dallas-area seat. Fmr Rep. Colin Allred dropped Senate bid to run in TX-33 while House rep who succeeded him Rep. Julie Johnson is also running there. Messy https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2013336773775012261)  2026-01-19T19:44Z 445.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@AdImpact_Pol [--]. March 17: IL U.S. Senate primary Competitive Dem primary in race to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin (D). Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi probably favored has dominated airwaves per @AdImpact_Pol. But Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton has Pritzker's support. https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/2011869262986530992s=20 #ILPol: Pro-Juliana Stratton group Illinois Future PAC is going up targeting #ILSen. The group has so far placed $670k in new ad reservations. IL Senate ad support: Raja Krishnamoorthi: $21.7m Juliana Stratton: $670k https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/2011869262986530992s=20"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2013341540156858672)  2026-01-19T20:03Z 445.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@AdImpact_Pol [--]. March 17: IL-09 primary Democrats have extremely crowded primary in race to succeed retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky (D). Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss probably fav but Kat Abughazaleh in particular could challenge him for Dem nomination. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2013342463633596902)  2026-01-19T20:07Z 445.3K followers, 11.1K engagements


"Tonight we're tracking six legislative and local races across the United States. You can find all the results at the link below. In Georgia's 18th State Senate District a Trump+22 seat five Republicans and one Democrat are on the ballot. https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-20 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-20"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2013728305439006832)  2026-01-20T21:40Z 445.3K followers, 13K engagements


"We're also tracking a special election in Virginia's 17th House of Delegates District a district Harris carried 70-27 along with a Republican primary in New Hampshire's State House. https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-20 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-20"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2013728307548655756)  2026-01-20T21:40Z 445.3K followers, 11.1K engagements


"This week's DDHQ newsletter dug into the key races happening in the first three months of [----]. They include the initial votes to fill the seats formerly held by now-New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill (D) & former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R). https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2014383797186220077)  2026-01-22T17:04Z 445.2K followers, 12.8K engagements


"And this week's DDHQ polling memo debuted our polling average for South Carolina's GOP primary for governor. It's a race that has all the makings of a primary runoff if President Trump doesn't endorse that is. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/no-clear-frontrunner-in-south-carolina https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/no-clear-frontrunner-in-south-carolina"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2014384154520044015)  2026-01-22T17:06Z 445.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Unusual timing. [----] was the last time Virginia held a vote on a constitutional amendment on a non-November date. And [----] was the last time it did so for any sort of ballot measure. Read more in @geoffreyvs's analysis of the VA redistricting situation: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/virginia-redistricting-finds-a-way Virginia Dems set April [--] date for redistricting vote https://t.co/NJ8c7NrEiT https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/virginia-redistricting-finds-a-way Virginia Dems set April [--] date for redistricting vote https://t.co/NJ8c7NrEiT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/2014709744577945616)  2026-01-23T14:40Z 445.1K followers, 23.3K engagements


"Harts 17-14 Clinton Dixville 4-2 Clinton Millsfield 16-4 Trump"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/795861029217505280)  2016-11-08T05:30Z 445.1K followers, [---] engagements


"@ilanagain Should be 61.3% not 613%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/864571396583587840)  2017-05-16T20:00Z 445.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@ilanagain they had. The above individual counts were their returns of mailed ballots for this round. I'll reword it for clarity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/864571994129354752)  2017-05-16T20:03Z 445.1K followers, [--] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@DecisionDeskHQ Avatar @DecisionDeskHQ Decision Desk HQ

Decision Desk HQ posts on X about hq, in the, dems, matter the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

Engagements: [-----] #

Engagements Line Chart

  • [--] Week [-------] -72%
  • [--] Month [---------] +89%
  • [--] Months [----------] +485%
  • [--] Year [----------] -48%

Mentions: [--] #

Mentions Line Chart

  • [--] Week [--] +6.30%
  • [--] Month [--] -9.30%
  • [--] Months [---] +195%
  • [--] Year [---] -67%

Followers: [-------] #

Followers Line Chart

  • [--] Week [-------] -0.05%
  • [--] Month [-------] -0.19%
  • [--] Months [-------] +2.60%
  • [--] Year [-------] +1.10%

CreatorRank: [-------] #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence finance 3.82% countries 3.82% travel destinations 1.53% social networks 0.76% technology brands 0.76%

Social topic influence hq 6.87%, in the 5.34%, dems 4.58%, matter 4.58%, red 3.82%, gop 3.05%, newsletter 2.29%, link 2.29%, at least 2.29%, jersey 1.53%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @geoffreyvs @adimpactpol @gracepanetta @ilanagain @harriswalz_24 @zachpl @marywitha4 @50plus1news @baseballot @decisiondeskhqofficial @chucktodd @chriscillizza @jmilescoleman @joshhuder @geoffreyvss @iapolls2022 @alejandro_soceu @jjsayian117 @sigalaone @computerman318

Top assets mentioned Ferguson plc (FERG) PACS Group, Inc. (PACS)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@grace_panetta To get more of DDHQ's analysis on key races like #MESen and all the other elections happening in [----] please subscribe to receive our newsletter in your inbox: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:08Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Many of those averages adjust for "house effects" which would generally lead to a slightly higher adjusted approval from Gallup. But even Gallup's adjusted figures in Silver Bulletin's average for example were consistently lower. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/end-of-gallup-poll-presidential-approval https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/end-of-gallup-poll-presidential-approval"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:26Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements

"According to results provided by the Democratic Party in American Samoa Jason Palmer has won the American Samoa Democratic Caucus. Follow results here: https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/2024/Primaries/ https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/2024/Primaries/"
X Link 2024-03-06T02:23Z 444.7K followers, 2.3M engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Texas State Senate [--] Runoff Taylor Rehmet (D): [-----] (56.2%) Leigh Wambsganss (R): [-----] (43.8%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-31 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-31"
X Link 2026-02-01T01:05Z 444.9K followers, 61.3K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 32.3% in): New Jersey US House [--] Democratic Special Election Primary Tom Malinowski (D) - [----] (31.6%) Analilia Mejia (D) - [----] (22.3%) Brendan Gill (D) - [----] (21.4%) Tahesha Way (D) - [----] (14.5%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02-05 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02-05"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:10Z 444.9K followers, 51.5K engagements

"In this week's DDHQ newsletter a look at the proposed Democratic gerrymanders in VA & MD. The maps could mean the [--] states might have just [--] GOP rep combined down from [--]. GOP members of Congress would not in fact be all that welcome. Read more: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:30Z 444.8K followers, 62.7K engagements

"VA Democrats aim to get a 10-1 edge in VA up from 6-5. Their plan packs more Rs into the blood-red 9th & crack other red areas. [--] seats take in parts of blue Northern VA [--] that stretch far outside NoVA. (current vs. proposed map) https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:30Z 444.9K followers, [----] engagements

"This plan would have [--] solid or likely Democratic seats: [--] that Harris would have carried by 10+ points & [--] by 7-9 pts. The 2nd & 6th would be swingy seats that went for Harris by 1-3 points. The 9th would be a Trump +49 seat. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:30Z 444.9K followers, [----] engagements

"The map could be halted: -VA supreme court could find Dems in VA legislature didn't follow state law while passing constitutional amendment to allow redistricting. -April [--] referendum would not be sure-thing for Dems. First poll had it winning 51%-43%. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.9K followers, [---] engagements

"Maryland Dems in the state's lower House passed a map that would likely oust GOP Rep. Andy Harris shifting Maryland from 7-1 Dem to 8-0 Dem. (current vs. proposed lines) https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.9K followers, [---] engagements

"But state Senate Pres. Bill Ferguson a Democrat opposes moving forward with the map. He's worried mid-decade redistricting could open the door to a state court ruling against not only a new 8-0 gerrymander but also the states current map. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.9K followers, [---] engagements

"In [----] state courts did rule against a map that might've produced an 8-0 result. And [--] of the [--] justices on the Maryland Supreme Court were appointed by fmr Gov. Larry Hogan (R) though the Dem-held state Senate had to confirm them. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.9K followers, [---] engagements

"Still pressure could mount on Ferguson and state Senate Dems to pass the map. If that happened and it withstood judicial scrutiny the map would create [--] seats that went for Kamala Harris by 36+ points and [--] that went for her by about 9-14 pts. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/maryland-virginia-redistricting"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.9K followers, [---] engagements

"Reps. Andy Harris (R) Johnny Olszewski (D) & Sarah Elfreth (D) would have some uncertainty about where to run. If Harris ran most likely in new 1st but new 3rd wouldn't be as blue. He could face Elfreth most likely to run in new 1st. Johnny O would pick between new 3rd/2nd"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:31Z 444.8K followers, 10.5K engagements

"Sen. Susan Collins (R) formally announced that she's running for reelection in #MESen. She is the only Republican senator from a state carried by Kamala Harris in '24. Collins easily gives the GOP its best chance of holding onto what is a must-win seat for Democrats in 2026"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:40Z 444.7K followers, 28.1K engagements

"Decision Desk HQ projects Abigail Spanberger to win the Virginia Governor election. #DecisionMade: 7:19 pm ET"
X Link 2025-11-05T00:20Z 444.7K followers, 5.7M engagements

"Decision Desk HQ projects Jay Jones to win the Virginia Attorney General election. #DecisionMade: 8:26 pm ET Follow live results on our website"
X Link 2025-11-05T01:27Z 444.7K followers, 19.4M engagements

"Decision Desk HQ projects Zohran Mamdani to win the New York City Mayor election. #DecisionMade: 9:03 pm ET Follow live results on our website"
X Link 2025-11-05T02:04Z 444.7K followers, 19M engagements

"Decision Desk HQ is retracting its projection in the NJ-11 Democratic primary. We have deleted the race projection tweet. At the time of our initial projection all absentee and early vote had been recorded in all three counties and we had 66/240 precincts in Essex County (expected to be Analilia Mejia strongest) that had reported election day vote & two election day vote drops in Morris County (expected to be Thomas Malinowskis strongest). Malinowski had a [----] raw vote lead and the margin he was losing the election day vote in Essex combined with the margin he was winning the election day"
X Link 2026-02-06T03:30Z 444.7K followers, 362.5K engagements

"@grace_panetta First elected in [----] Collins is seeking a 6th term. If she wins she will be on course to become Maine's longest-serving senator surpassing Eugene Hale (R) who served from 1881-1911. She would surpass Hale about [--] months into her 6th term"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:06Z 444.7K followers, 11.6K engagements

"@grace_panetta Ha whoops Collins would surpass William Frye (R) not Eugene Hale (R). They served nearly the same stretch and are the two senators she currently trails"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:19Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements

"DDHQ will release its weekly polling memo at 6pm ET today: -#TXSen GOP primary could Cornyn miss a runoff -Updates on Trump approval generic ballot right/wrong track other '26 races. To get it in your inbox today & in the future sign up here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:09Z 444.7K followers, 13.2K engagements

"Tonight we're tracking [---] elections across the country - including [---] in Oklahoma alone. There are three state legislative special elections tonight two in northern Virginia and one in Oklahoma. Follow all of them at the link below: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02-10 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-02-10"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:14Z 444.7K followers, 14.3K engagements

"In DDHQ's latest polling memo: -Texas GOP primary for Senate: Sen. John Cornyn trails state AG Ken Paxton and Rep. Wesley Hunt isn't far behind. Cornyn could even finish 3rd & miss runoff. -Pres. Trump's approval/disapproval is about 42%/54% Read more: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/could-john-cornyn-miss-texas-runoff https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/could-john-cornyn-miss-texas-runoff"
X Link 2026-02-11T21:39Z 444.7K followers, 55.6K engagements

"You can get DDHQ's weekly polling memo in your inbox by subscribing here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"
X Link 2026-02-11T21:40Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Later today: DDHQ's podcast dug into Trump's approval rating. For all the narrative focus on losing ground among young men Trump's ratings have worsened with most groups. Subscribe to get the pod in your inbox & enjoy some approval polling nuance: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"
X Link 2026-02-12T18:51Z 444.7K followers, 31.2K engagements

"Our podcast is out here https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-approval-young-men-podcast https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-approval-young-men-podcast"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:46Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements

"New DDHQ Podcast: @marywitha4 from @50plus1news joined @geoffreyvs to talk about President Trump's approval rating. There's been a lot of coverage of his decline among young men but he's been losing ground among most groups. Watch/listen here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-approval-young-men-podcast https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/trump-approval-young-men-podcast"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:55Z 444.7K followers, 39.2K engagements

"You can receive Decision Desk HQ's newsletters and podcast on elections and politics in your inbox by subscribing at the link below. Thanks for reading and listening http://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome http://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:55Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements

"In our Monday newsletter DDHQ will take a look at Gallups decision to stop polling presidential approval and what it means for understanding American politics. If you'd like to get our newsletter in your inbox on Monday morning please subscribe here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:03Z 444.7K followers, 10.8K engagements

"Gallups absence will also remove a pollster whose polls often held more influence in many averages. For instance it was [--] of about [--] "select" pollsters in the New York Times's approval polling average. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/end-of-gallup-poll-presidential-approval https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/end-of-gallup-poll-presidential-approval"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:28Z 444.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Alabama's 38th House District: GOP runoff in seat east of Auburn between Kristin Nelson & Garrett Dixon. Nelson won 47% in primary but Dixon (33%) got endorsement from 3rd place (20%) finisher. Winner sure to carry 71-28 Trump district in Feb. [--] general. https://alabamareflector.com/2025/11/18/a-voters-guide-to-the-house-district-38-special-gop-primary-runoff/ https://alabamareflector.com/2025/11/18/a-voters-guide-to-the-house-district-38-special-gop-primary-runoff/"
X Link 2025-11-18T22:42Z 447.1K followers, 15.8K engagements

"DDHQ is committed to tracking the results for every race no matter how high- or low-profile. Again you can find the vote tallies for today's races here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-11-18 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-11-18"
X Link 2025-11-18T22:43Z 447.2K followers, 13.3K engagements

"Maps maps & more maps. In this week's episode of the DDHQ Podcast @geoffreyvs & guest @baseballot toured the [--] states that have redistricted their congressional maps. A big is Texas where a federal judicial panel just blocked the new map. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/texas-redistricting-overview-2026-podcast https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/texas-redistricting-overview-2026-podcast"
X Link 2025-11-20T22:48Z 447.3K followers, 57.4K engagements

"You can get our podcast and newsletters in your inbox for FREE by signing up for DDHQ's Substack here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"
X Link 2025-11-20T22:49Z 446.9K followers, 12.1K engagements

"50 states [--] primary dates and [--] potential runoff dates with most of the action taking place in June and August. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-primary-election-primer https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-primary-election-primer"
X Link 2025-11-25T14:17Z 447K followers, 20.8K engagements

"Things kick off on Mach [--] with primaries in Texas North Carolina and Arkansas. The GOP & Dem primaries for #TXSen are a highlight of this group. Then on March [--] Illinois holds its primaries including a much-contested Dem primary for #ILSen. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-primary-election-primer https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-primary-election-primer"
X Link 2025-11-25T14:21Z 447K followers, [----] engagements

"DDHQ has a big preview of today's #TN07 special election. The GOP favored to win the Trump +22 district but limited polling says it's close & both parties' super PACs have spent $$$. A Dem upset would rank among biggest recent special election flips. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election"
X Link 2025-12-02T16:05Z 447.3K followers, 36.1K engagements

"It's Election Night Decision Desk HQ will be covering the results of the #TN07 election across the board. We'll have results here: We'll have livestream coverage including DDHQ's @geoffreyvs starting at 7:50pm ET. https://www.youtube.com/@DecisionDeskHQOfficial https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://www.youtube.com/@DecisionDeskHQOfficial https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-02T22:10Z 447.2K followers, 85.4K engagements

"You can read our preview of the #TN07 race here: Bottom line: The GOP is favored in TN-07 which President Trump carried by [--] points in [----]. However it looks like it could be close & there's even an outside shot at a Democratic upset. More on this. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-7th-district-special-election"
X Link 2025-12-02T22:13Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Still the only nonpartisan public poll of this race showed a 48-46 GOP edge inside the margin of error. Were Democrats to pull off an upset it would be the 4th-biggest flip for an underdog party in the past [--] years"
X Link 2025-12-02T22:19Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Both parties view this as a competitive race and have spent in response either to shore up their edge (GOP) or boost chances of an upset (Dems). @AdImpact_Pol data shows $3.1m in GOP ad spending $2.3m in Dem ad spending two-thirds coming from outside groups"
X Link 2025-12-02T22:24Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements

"@AdImpact_Pol While GOP outside groups have outspent Dem ones Aftyn Behn (D) outraised Matt Van Epps (R) about $1 mil to $590k in the last pre-election fundraising period so she has the upper hand on candidate spending"
X Link 2025-12-02T22:25Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements

"@AdImpact_Pol Lastly here are county-level benchmarks for a close race in TN-07. If a candidate is clearly doing better than the benchmarks they're winning. Data come from Decision Desk HQ VOTES our new elections platform which you can find out more about here: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/landing https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/landing"
X Link 2025-12-02T22:44Z 447.3K followers, 21.6K engagements

"Decision Desk [----] Livestream Tennessee 7th Special Election Hosted by @geoffreyvs @chucktodd @ChrisCillizza https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1RDGlAdvdLrJL https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1RDGlAdvdLrJL"
X Link 2025-12-03T00:52Z 447.3K followers, 149.6K engagements

"Polls are closed in the TN-07 special election. Well have full results as they come in: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:00Z 447.2K followers, 230.5K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 2% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [----] (71.3%) Aftyn Behn (D): [---] (23.9%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:04Z 447.3K followers, 20.5K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 3% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [----] (70.2%) Aftyn Behn (D): [----] (26.2%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:07Z 447.3K followers, 25.4K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 4% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [----] (70.1%) Aftyn Behn (D): [----] (26.9%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02/states/Tennessee/race/251918"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:09Z 447.3K followers, 21.4K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 22% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (55.4%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (42.9%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:15Z 447.3K followers, 24.4K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 27% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (57.2%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (41.2%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:16Z 447.3K followers, 29.5K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 27% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (57.4%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (41.1%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:30Z 447.3K followers, 20.2K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 41% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (55.6%) Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (43.2%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:34Z 447.3K followers, 32.9K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (53.1%) Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (45.6%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:35Z 447.3K followers, 214K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 47% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (51.7%) Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (47.1%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:46Z 447.3K followers, 29.1K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 59% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (49.5%) Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (49.4%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:51Z 447.3K followers, 29.2K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 59% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (49.5%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (49.3%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:53Z 447.3K followers, 46.5K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (50.9%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (48.0%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T02:02Z 447.3K followers, 36.4K engagements

"DDHQ Race Update (est. 67% in): Tennessee US House [--] Special Election General Matt Van Epps (R): [-----] (52.1%) Aftyn Behn (D): [-----] (46.8%) Follow more results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-02"
X Link 2025-12-03T02:04Z 447.2K followers, 62K engagements

"Decision Desk HQ projects Matt Van Epps to win the US House special election in Tennessee's 7th congressional district. #DecisionMade: 9:06 pm ET"
X Link 2025-12-03T02:07Z 447K followers, 488.3K engagements

"With the race called Van Epps currently has 52.5% of the vote. Join the waitlist for our new results experience at: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/ Decision Desk HQ projects Matt Van Epps to win the US House special election in Tennessee's 7th congressional district. #DecisionMade: 9:06 pm ET https://t.co/Uud1B74sKx https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/ Decision Desk HQ projects Matt Van Epps to win the US House special election in Tennessee's 7th congressional district. #DecisionMade: 9:06 pm ET https://t.co/Uud1B74sKx"
X Link 2025-12-03T02:16Z 447.3K followers, 92.7K engagements

"Some post-election analysis of #TN07 special: Matt Van Epps (R) defeated Aftyn Behn 54%-45% which amounted to a 13-point swing to the left from [----] in a seat that Donald Trump carried 60%-38%. (thread)"
X Link 2025-12-03T15:37Z 447.3K followers, 70.4K engagements

"That was the smallest swing to the left of any of the [--] House specials we've had in [----] so far. Still it fits into a larger pattern whereby Democrats have consistently outperformed the [----] pres numbers pretty significantly"
X Link 2025-12-03T15:40Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements

"The other factor that may have producer a smaller leftward swing was Behn's ideological position. Unlike the Dems in some upset wins in similarly red seats in [----] (Conor Lamb in PA) & [----] (Travis Childers in MS) Behn had a progressive profile that GOP ads homed in on"
X Link 2025-12-03T16:14Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Turnout was quite high in Davidson Co. (Nashville) the one blue part of the district. But it was high elsewhere & Van Epps put up solid margins in most other parts of the district including in Montgomery (Clarksville) which Behn probably needed to carry to have a shot"
X Link 2025-12-03T16:16Z 445.7K followers, 13.3K engagements

"Want more insights like this You can subscribe to Decision Desk HQ's Substack for our FREE Monday newsletter weekly podcast & polling memo. This week's podcast will explore TN-07 some more & look at the House picture ahead of [----]. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"
X Link 2025-12-03T16:17Z 445.6K followers, 10.5K engagements

"ICYMI our newsletter yesterday took a look at [----] candidates who might get tagged with the "carpetbagger" label. They include Tom Malinowski (D) Madison Cawthorn (R) & Chris Collins (R) among others. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/carpetbagging-and-district-shopping https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/carpetbagging-and-district-shopping"
X Link 2025-12-09T20:10Z 446.7K followers, 18.3K engagements

"It's Election Night again This time we have mayoral runoffs in Albuquerque and Miami as well as a handful of state legislative special general elections and primaries. You can follow DDHQ's coverage of the results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-09 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-09"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:13Z 446.4K followers, 38.4K engagements

"In Miami an officially nonpartisan runoff race between Eileen Higgins (D) & Republican Emilio Gonzlez (R) saw around 21k early votes (D+8 by party reg). In the 1st round in November Higgins & another Democrat (Ken Russell) combined for 53%"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:17Z 446.4K followers, [----] engagements

"In Albuquerque another officially nonpartisan race has incumbent Mayor Tim Keller (D) taking on Darren White (R) in a runoff. 83k early votes had a D+30 party registration edge. Still dissatisfaction with Keller led him to only win 37% in the 1st round in November"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:20Z 447.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Homelessness has been a major issue in the ABQ campaign. Around Thanksgiving a group of people were handing out "I ♥ Tim Keller" sweatshirts to unhoused residents. The individuals have not been identified. https://www.kob.com/news/top-news/albuquerque-mayoral-race-heads-into-final-days-amid-controversy-uncertainty/ https://www.kob.com/news/top-news/albuquerque-mayoral-race-heads-into-final-days-amid-controversy-uncertainty/"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:23Z 447K followers, [----] engagements

"The other contest of note is a special election in Georgia state House District [---] south of Athens. It's a 56-44 Trump seat previously held by a Republican but after Democrats had a very good November election they hope to flip the seat. https://georgiarecorder.com/2025/11/12/emboldened-by-statewide-wins-democrats-see-opportunity-to-compete-in-east-georgia-house-district/ https://georgiarecorder.com/2025/11/12/emboldened-by-statewide-wins-democrats-see-opportunity-to-compete-in-east-georgia-house-district/"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:26Z 447K followers, 18.1K engagements

"Again you can see all the results tonight here: And make sure to sign up for our FREE newsletter which arrives in your inbox every Monday morning. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-09 https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-09"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:27Z 447.1K followers, 15.1K engagements

"Decision Desk HQ projects Eileen Higgins to win the Miami Mayoral Runoff election. #DecisionMade: 7:08 pm ET"
X Link 2025-12-10T00:09Z 445.4K followers, 693.5K engagements

"Last week Indiana's state Senate voted down the redistricting package a sharp break from what we'd seen in other red states. Whereas 87%+ of GOP legislators in TX MO & NC supporting their new maps just 48% of Rs in the IN senate did so. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026 https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026"
X Link 2025-12-15T21:11Z 446.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Some have pointed to Trump's poor approval & the GOPs recent electoral struggles which probably contributed. BUT Republicans senators are less Trumpy 64% of GOP senators elected before [----] voted no vs. 39% of those elected after. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026 https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026"
X Link 2025-12-15T21:15Z 446.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Small-c conservatism also played a role. Some were uncomfortable redrawing a map they'd been happy with in [----]. Some balked at the aggressive gerrymandering & noted their constituents were opposed. And the acrimonious rhetoric aimed at holdouts appears to have backfired"
X Link 2025-12-15T21:17Z 447.1K followers, [----] engagements

"The next test is to what extent Trump & the GOP target those who blocked redistricting. [--] of the [--] GOP senators who voted no are up in 2026; [--] are currently seeking reelection most in very red seats that might be more amenable to a primary challenge. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026 https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/indiana-trump-redistricting-2026"
X Link 2025-12-15T21:20Z 447.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Trump & co. have an incentive to back up their threats: They can't let this become a pattern. The next test may be in Kansas where GOP leaders there would like to pursue congressional redistricting in January to oust Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids in KS-03"
X Link 2025-12-15T21:23Z 447K followers, [----] engagements

"In KS GOP has 2/3 majorities to override Gov. Laura Kelly (D) on redistricting legislation. BUT earlier this fall around [--] state House Republicans refused to back petition for a special session to pursue redistricting. What kind of pressure might Trump & co. wield"
X Link 2025-12-15T21:25Z 447.1K followers, [----] engagements

"BUT retiring members who oppose a redraw may be hard to pressure. And the GOP state House speaker already stripped some of those [--] members of their committee posts. As they've already shown willingness to lose things may not yield to threats at the regular session either"
X Link 2025-12-15T21:28Z 447.1K followers, [----] engagements

"It's Tuesday so it's Election Night somewhere The evening is mainly highlighted by a handful of state legislative special general and primary elections. DDHQ covers every election result no matter how big or small You can follow the results here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-16 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-16"
X Link 2025-12-16T23:38Z 446.7K followers, 33.8K engagements

"The main event is the special election runoff for Georgia's state Senate District [--] between Democrats Jaha Howard & Roger Bruce. The heavily Dem seat in metro Atlanta was formerly held by Jason Esteves who resigned to focus on his race for #GAGov. https://www.11alive.com/article/news/politics/elections/georgia-state-senate-district-35-runoff-election-tuesday-december-16/85-19a75ba5-aaf8-4dfd-9f7c-804787b120e4 https://www.11alive.com/article/news/politics/elections/georgia-state-senate-district-35-runoff-election-tuesday-december-16/85-19a75ba5-aaf8-4dfd-9f7c-804787b120e4"
X Link 2025-12-16T23:42Z 446.8K followers, 15.4K engagements

"This week's newsletter: Some on the left are wish-casting that Republicans' newly-drawn congressional maps in states like Texas and Missouri will turn into "dummymanders." It's quite unlikely. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/dont-be-a-dummy-about-2026-gerrymandering https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/dont-be-a-dummy-about-2026-gerrymandering"
X Link 2025-12-22T21:28Z 446.4K followers, 58.4K engagements

"Only 5/51 GOP-held seats in TX+OH+NC+MO lean fewer than [--] pts to the right while the new maps made [--] Dem-held seats R+10 or redder. This leaves few seats for Dems to target. In midterms 2006-22 the non-pres party won around [--] in [--] seats that leaned 10-20 pts away from it"
X Link 2025-12-22T21:36Z 446.7K followers, [----] engagements

"If [----] had same share of seats by partisan lean won as 2006-22 Democrats would pick up [--] seats and have a small 226-209 majority. This is a hypothetical since individual race conditions will matter. But it points to how a small gain would line up with recent midterm trends"
X Link 2025-12-22T21:39Z 446.8K followers, [----] engagements

"While Democrats can hope for dummymanders recent statewide election results in TX OH MO & NC districts suggest the new lines are likely to hold up and elect Republicans at least outside of South Texas where the GOP shift is newer. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/dont-be-a-dummy-about-2026-gerrymandering https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/dont-be-a-dummy-about-2026-gerrymandering"
X Link 2025-12-22T21:41Z 446.8K followers, 12.3K engagements

"It's Tuesday so it's Election Day even [--] days before Xmas South Carolina hosts [--] special elections for the state legislature. Only [--] is contested but you can see the results here: DDHQ covers every election no matter where when or how big. https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-23 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-12-23"
X Link 2025-12-23T22:00Z 446.3K followers, 16.4K engagements

"The contested race is in the 88th House District a solidly red seat outside Columbia that Trump won 67%-32%. John Lastinger (R) will likely defeat Chuck Hightower (D) but keep an eye on how much the Dem outperforms [----] numbers vs. other [----] https://abcnews4.com/news/state/lexington-county-voters-to-decide-rj-mays-replacement-tuesday-chuck-hightower-john-lastinger-politics-lexington-county-polls-election https://abcnews4.com/news/state/lexington-county-voters-to-decide-rj-mays-replacement-tuesday-chuck-hightower-john-lastinger-politics-lexington-county-polls-election"
X Link 2025-12-23T22:00Z 446.7K followers, 15.4K engagements

"In this week's DDHQ newsletter @geoffreyvs finds that a record number of U.S. House members are headed for the exits. [--] are retiring or running for another office more than at the same point in any federal election cycle going back to [----]. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"
X Link 2026-01-05T18:51Z 445.6K followers, 71.1K engagements

"44 exits through Jan. [--] surpassed the previous record of [--] in [----] by the same time point. Slightly more Republicans are leaving in line with the midterm pattern whereby members of the president's party are somewhat more likely to leave office. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:01Z 445.8K followers, 20.5K engagements

"The # of retirements or bids for other offices by early January has generally been higher in the Trump Era than before. Members from both parties have made it clear that serving in the House is not terribly satisfying these days which helps explain why so many are leaving"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:03Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Still other factors matter. States are holding primaries earlier than they used to so incumbents have to decide on reelection sooner. And fundraising makes it more important to start a campaign early whether running for new office or leaving time for potential successors"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:06Z 445.8K followers, [----] engagements

"Some good news for GOP: In [----] [--] Rs in Trump +10 seats or closer had announced retirements by early Jan. This included [--] that Trump carried by [--] pts. In [----] [--] are retiring/running elsewhere in Trump +10 or less seats. Of those just [--] holds a seat less than Trump +5 seat"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:09Z 445.7K followers, [----] engagements

"This is at least partly a result of Trump successfully pushing GOP incumbents in competitive seats to seek reelection instead of running for other offices. Although incumbency advantage has shrunk a lot sitting members still give their party a slightly better chance of winning"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:09Z 445.8K followers, [----] engagements

"More retirements could be on the way though: The candidate filing deadline has passed in [--] states & [--] states have deadlines in February or later. That leaves plenty of time for more members to decide against reelection. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:11Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements

"When it comes to retirements the full effect of mid-decade redistricting has not necessarily hit yet. Someone like Kevin Kiley (R-CA) might end up not running again because of Dem-leaning options and Emanuel Cleaver (D-MO) could retire if he has to run in a Trump+18 seat"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:12Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Looking at the current numbers and the common refrain of #congresssucks among sitting members this cycle could get within spitting distance of the [--] retirements in the entirety of the [----] election cycle the modern record for departing House reps. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:13Z 445.6K followers, 10.7K engagements

"You can read this week's newsletter and see the charts/tables here: You can sign up for our FREE newsletter and get it in your inbox every Monday morning by going here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:15Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements

"ICYMI this week's Decision Desk HQ newsletter took an in-depth look at the record-breaking rate of House retirements. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-2026-house-retirement-party"
X Link 2026-01-06T19:47Z 445.6K followers, 13.8K engagements

"Welcome to the first Election Night of [----] We have a handful of special elections in state legislatures on the docket in Arkansas Connecticut Georgia South Carolina and Virginia. You can see all of those results on our website here: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-06 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-06"
X Link 2026-01-06T22:03Z 445.5K followers, 25.8K engagements

"The marquee race is the special for South Carolina's 98th state House District in the Charleston suburbs. The previously GOP-held seat voted 53-46 for Trump in [----] but Dems are hoping to flip it tonight. https://abcnews4.com/news/local/gerg-ford-sonja-ogletree-santani-district-98-special-election-who-won-final-results-south-carolina-politics https://abcnews4.com/news/local/gerg-ford-sonja-ogletree-santani-district-98-special-election-who-won-final-results-south-carolina-politics"
X Link 2026-01-06T22:08Z 445.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Otherwise there are four special elections in seats that should be safe for each party: CT House District [--] (D): GA House District [--] (R): VA Senate District [--] (D) VA House District [--] (D) https://www.wric.com/news/politics/local-election-hq/special-elections-held-on-jan-6-for-parts-of-chesterfield-and-richmond/ https://www.tribuneledgernews.com/local_news/election/election-day-is-tuesday-for-cherokee-s-georgia-house-runoff/article_723bf926-2ef1-44d0-8eec-3be29e40f661.html https://ctnewsjunkie.com/2026/01/05/special-elections-jan-6-13-to-fill-ct-legislative-seats/"
X Link 2026-01-06T22:13Z 445.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Also some special election primaries in Arkansas https://arkansasadvocate.com/2026/01/05/new-and-returning-candidate-square-off-in-special-democratic-primary-for-arkansas-house-seat/ https://arkansasadvocate.com/2026/01/05/new-and-returning-candidate-square-off-in-special-democratic-primary-for-arkansas-house-seat/"
X Link 2026-01-06T22:14Z 445.6K followers, 12.1K engagements

"Again you can see all the results here tonight: Decision Desk HQ covers the results of every election no matter how big or small https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-06 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-06"
X Link 2026-01-06T22:14Z 445.6K followers, 11.1K engagements

"In this week's DDHQ podcast @geoffreyvs & @JMilesColeman talked Minnesota's gubernatorial race after Tim Walz's exit & Virginia redistricting. In #MNGov Amy Klobuchar's strong electoral record suggests she'd be a formidable Walz substitute. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/minnesota-walz-virginia-redistricting-podcast https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/minnesota-walz-virginia-redistricting-podcast"
X Link 2026-01-09T15:03Z 445.6K followers, 44.8K engagements

"If Klobuchar runs for #MNGov she'll be the 4th sitting senator to run for governor in [----] most in any election from 1914-now. @geoffreyvs will have more in tomorrow morning's DDHQ newsletter. You can get it in your inbox by signing up for FREE here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome"
X Link 2026-01-11T19:35Z 445.6K followers, 70.9K engagements

"This week's DDHQ newsletter looks at sitting senators running for governor. Total of [--] have launched bids while Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) is considering. If she runs [--] senators running for governor will be most ever in an election cycle from 1913-now. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:26Z 445.6K followers, 52.5K engagements

"Each senator looks like a favorite to win their party's nomination and the general election. Klobuchar would likely clear the Democratic primary field if she indeed runs for #MNGov. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:32Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements

"This is a reverse of what we more often see which is governors running for Senate. Since [----] only [--] sitting senators (incl. the [--] in '26) have run for governor whereas more than [---] sitting governors have run for Senate. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:35Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Dissatisfaction with life in the Senate must play at least some role in this uptick. After all senators who've built up a lot of seniority like Bennet (D-CO) & Klobuchar (D-MN) are running for gov or considering it abandoning what they've built. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:36Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements

"In fact Bennett (in 3rd full term) and Klobuchar (in 4th) would be [--] of the longest-tenured sitting senators to ever run for governor. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:40Z 445.6K followers, 11.3K engagements

"You can see the full analysis here: And you can sign up for Decision Desk HQ's FREE newsletter and get it in your inbox every Monday AM: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/greener-pastures-senators-running"
X Link 2026-01-12T17:42Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements

"On Monday former Rep. Mary Peltola (D) announced she was running for U.S. Senate in Alaska against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (R). DDHQ Chief Elections Analyst @geoffreyvs took a quick look at how Peltola's entry shakes up the #AKSen contest"
X Link 2026-01-13T14:23Z 445.6K followers, 13.8K engagements

"Tonight we're tracking [--] legislative and local races across the United States. You can find all the results at the link below. The marquee race is the special election in Alabama HD-63. Trump carried this mixed urban/suburban seat by [--] points in [----]. https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:25Z 445.5K followers, 46.2K engagements

"We're also following three state legislative primaries or runoffs tonight: Republican and Democratic primaries in Florida House District [--] and a Republican primary runoff in Oklahoma House District [--]. https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:25Z 445.6K followers, 10.7K engagements

"Finally we're tracking three city council elections and a recall election across Florida Maine Nebraska and South Carolina. Find all of the results for each election tonight at the link below: https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-13"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:25Z 445.6K followers, [----] engagements

"President Trump's approval rating in DDHQ's polling average is in the low 40s. If it stays there what could that mean for the [----] midterms https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/what-trumps-approval-could-mean-for https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/what-trumps-approval-could-mean-for"
X Link 2026-01-14T16:03Z 445.5K followers, 41.6K engagements

"On the latest DDHQ podcast we explored the chaotic U.S. House of Representatives. Guest @joshHuder highlighted how internal conflicts within both parties have made it harder to manage the chamber currently Speaker Mike Johnson's problem. Watch here: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/house-of-representatives-johnson-mess-pod https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/house-of-representatives-johnson-mess-pod"
X Link 2026-01-15T22:15Z 445.4K followers, 48.6K engagements

"@AdImpact_Pol TX U.S. Senate primary (cont.) Dems haven't won statewide in TX since [----] but they see a chance for Rep. Jasmine Crockett or state Rep. James Talarico. Talarico has early ad spending edge though. https://x.com/JacobRubashkin/status/2011251084443140235s=20 Across broadcast TV cable/OTT and digital Talarico has outspent Crockett nearly 5-to-1 since she got in the race per @AdImpact_Pol. Spending since 12/8/2025 Talarico: $1.65 million Crockett: $356000 https://x.com/JacobRubashkin/status/2011251084443140235s=20 Across broadcast TV cable/OTT and digital Talarico has outspent"
X Link 2026-01-19T19:39Z 445.3K followers, [----] engagements

"@AdImpact_Pol [--]. March 3: TX-33 primary It's successor vs. predecessor in the Dem primary for this blue Dallas-area seat. Fmr Rep. Colin Allred dropped Senate bid to run in TX-33 while House rep who succeeded him Rep. Julie Johnson is also running there. Messy https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter"
X Link 2026-01-19T19:44Z 445.3K followers, [----] engagements

"@AdImpact_Pol [--]. March 17: IL U.S. Senate primary Competitive Dem primary in race to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin (D). Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi probably favored has dominated airwaves per @AdImpact_Pol. But Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton has Pritzker's support. https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/2011869262986530992s=20 #ILPol: Pro-Juliana Stratton group Illinois Future PAC is going up targeting #ILSen. The group has so far placed $670k in new ad reservations. IL Senate ad support: Raja Krishnamoorthi: $21.7m Juliana Stratton: $670k https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/2011869262986530992s=20"
X Link 2026-01-19T20:03Z 445.3K followers, [----] engagements

"@AdImpact_Pol [--]. March 17: IL-09 primary Democrats have extremely crowded primary in race to succeed retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky (D). Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss probably fav but Kat Abughazaleh in particular could challenge him for Dem nomination. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter"
X Link 2026-01-19T20:07Z 445.3K followers, 11.1K engagements

"Tonight we're tracking six legislative and local races across the United States. You can find all the results at the link below. In Georgia's 18th State Senate District a Trump+22 seat five Republicans and one Democrat are on the ballot. https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-20 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-20"
X Link 2026-01-20T21:40Z 445.3K followers, 13K engagements

"We're also tracking a special election in Virginia's 17th House of Delegates District a district Harris carried 70-27 along with a Republican primary in New Hampshire's State House. https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-20 https://election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2026-01-20"
X Link 2026-01-20T21:40Z 445.3K followers, 11.1K engagements

"This week's DDHQ newsletter dug into the key races happening in the first three months of [----]. They include the initial votes to fill the seats formerly held by now-New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill (D) & former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R). https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/10-big-elections-in-2026-first-quarter"
X Link 2026-01-22T17:04Z 445.2K followers, 12.8K engagements

"And this week's DDHQ polling memo debuted our polling average for South Carolina's GOP primary for governor. It's a race that has all the makings of a primary runoff if President Trump doesn't endorse that is. https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/no-clear-frontrunner-in-south-carolina https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/no-clear-frontrunner-in-south-carolina"
X Link 2026-01-22T17:06Z 445.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Unusual timing. [----] was the last time Virginia held a vote on a constitutional amendment on a non-November date. And [----] was the last time it did so for any sort of ballot measure. Read more in @geoffreyvs's analysis of the VA redistricting situation: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/virginia-redistricting-finds-a-way Virginia Dems set April [--] date for redistricting vote https://t.co/NJ8c7NrEiT https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/virginia-redistricting-finds-a-way Virginia Dems set April [--] date for redistricting vote https://t.co/NJ8c7NrEiT"
X Link 2026-01-23T14:40Z 445.1K followers, 23.3K engagements

"Harts 17-14 Clinton Dixville 4-2 Clinton Millsfield 16-4 Trump"
X Link 2016-11-08T05:30Z 445.1K followers, [---] engagements

"@ilanagain Should be 61.3% not 613%"
X Link 2017-05-16T20:00Z 445.1K followers, [--] engagements

"@ilanagain they had. The above individual counts were their returns of mailed ballots for this round. I'll reword it for clarity"
X Link 2017-05-16T20:03Z 445.1K followers, [--] engagements

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@DecisionDeskHQ
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