#  @DKThomp Derek Thompson Derek Thompson posts on X about ai, in the, level, china the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::37723353/interactions)  - [--] Week [----------] -23% - [--] Month [----------] +3,799% - [--] Months [----------] +26% - [--] Year [-----------] +38% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::37723353/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] +111% - [--] Month [---] +328% - [--] Months [---] +26% - [--] Year [---] +4.40% ### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::37723353/followers)  - [--] Week [-------] +0.51% - [--] Month [-------] +1% - [--] Months [-------] +3.40% - [--] Year [-------] +19% ### CreatorRank: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::37723353/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) #1193 [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) #3900 [countries](/list/countries) 10.14% [social networks](/list/social-networks) 5.41% [stocks](/list/stocks) #719 [celebrities](/list/celebrities) 1.35% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) 1.35% [nfl](/list/nfl) 0.68% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) 0.68% **Social topic influence** [ai](/topic/ai) #549, [in the](/topic/in-the) 7.43%, [level](/topic/level) #489, [china](/topic/china) 4.73%, [tariffs](/topic/tariffs) 4.73%, [if you](/topic/if-you) #3003, [money](/topic/money) 4.05%, [the most](/topic/the-most) #3196, [health](/topic/health) 3.38%, [claude code](/topic/claude-code) #531 **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@danielcincu](/creator/undefined) [@mattbruenig](/creator/undefined) [@elinew18](/creator/undefined) [@30homegames](/creator/undefined) [@hip_chimp](/creator/undefined) [@eoinhiggins_](/creator/undefined) [@mtkonczal](/creator/undefined) [@reubenr80027912](/creator/undefined) [@extliqprovider](/creator/undefined) [@m_cottone](/creator/undefined) [@vitruviusgrind](/creator/undefined) [@josephonions](/creator/undefined) [@davidshor](/creator/undefined) [@rossbarkan](/creator/undefined) [@augmentedphoto](/creator/undefined) [@jpodhoretz](/creator/undefined) [@metroglobeinc](/creator/undefined) [@tyler_a_harper](/creator/undefined) [@adamjohnsonchi](/creator/undefined) [@agstcptl93841](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla) [Spotify Technology (SPOT)](/topic/$spot) [DoorDash Inc. (DASH)](/topic/doordash) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "My baseline case is that the AI being built right now is overrated; soon it will be a disappointment; then it will be a bubble; and by the 2030s it will be world-changing. Self-driving cars are a model for this. - In [----] I heard autonomy was [--] years away from taking over the roads. - In [----] they were nowhere. - Even in [----] you could say they were a huge disappointment. - Now they're quietly a revolution. Driverless taxi usage in CA grew 8x in one year and Waymo is expanding to other cities. Californians now travel millions of miles each month in driverless taxis After only two years" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1968370014802571346) 2025-09-17T17:42Z 250.8K followers, 725.4K engagements "Im not proposing to report on macroeconomic events that havent happened yet. I cant report on the future. Im saying: These tools are spooky and unnerving and powerful and I want to persuade my industry that AI capabilities have raced ahead of journalists skepticism @DKThomp The only real answer to this question is: "wait". No one knows for sure how AI will transform our lives or where its limits might be. Forget about writing better "hot takes". Just wait for actual data. @DKThomp The only real answer to this question is: "wait". No one knows for sure how AI will transform our lives or where" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021558413025563023) 2026-02-11T12:14Z 250.8K followers, 88.1K engagements "Put differently there were fewer births in China in [----] than in [----] I have been posting repeatedly on X about the extraordinarily fast collapse of births across the planet: in rich and poor countries in fast-growing and slow-growing economies in religious and secular societies under right-wing and left-wing governments with high taxes and https://t.co/bTWWwFyYBX I have been posting repeatedly on X about the extraordinarily fast collapse of births across the planet: in rich and poor countries in fast-growing and slow-growing economies in religious and secular societies under right-wing and" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2013407553128956162) 2026-01-20T00:25Z 250.1K followers, 428.5K engagements "Really great tweet. To spell out (my interpretation of) the subtext: having many firms pour gargantuan capital into a winner-take-most race compressing near-term profits while rapidly improving the frontier is pretty much Chinas industrial policy for say EVs. That the US is doing the same in AI but without pressure from the state as in China is pretty interesting. Unsustainable profit-less race to the bottom with American characteristics Unsustainable profit-less race to the bottom with American characteristics" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2016502125228937632) 2026-01-28T13:22Z 250.1K followers, 208.3K engagements "https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/01/college-students-movies-attention-span/685812/ https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/01/college-students-movies-attention-span/685812/" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2017259877077221481) 2026-01-30T15:33Z 250.1K followers, 73.7K engagements ""AI doubling its capacity to do long knowledge-work tasks every [--] months while everybody else annually decimates the ability to pay attention to anything for more than a few seconds" is the sort of scenario that one can probably catastrophize unhelpfully but I can't see how this scenario *doesn't* produce some weird and probably unfortunate outcomes The attention crisis is so dire at schools right now that film professors can't even get their students to finish movies and the kids don't even look up the plots of the movies they skip so students fail basic in-class quizzes like "what happened" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2017262613617406243) 2026-01-30T15:44Z 250.1K followers, 178.7K engagements "A [----] theme I'm watching is AI as a source of inequality at several levels - Highest level: The AI economy (e.g. building data centers) surging while the non-AI economy (e.g. building houses) sputters - Next level: Sky-high valuations of (often private) AI companies -- huge wealth for small number of equity owners - Next level: Across firms revenue per employee surging for the companies most plugged into AI (see tweet below) - Next level: Within firms workers who use AI effectively could outperform their colleagues who are slower to adapt or averse to the whole AI thing generally Revenue per" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2017262670844395569) 2026-01-30T15:44Z 250.1K followers, 73.3K engagements "@TheStalwart Just imagine if you could have vibecoded in [----] you might have accidentally built TikTok" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2017307621825351917) 2026-01-30T18:43Z 250.1K followers, [----] engagements "My friend @BStulberg has a new book out this week thats the perfect antidote to our age of bullshit-peddling grifters and gurus. Its called THE WAY OF EXCELLENCE and its absolutely wonderful. https://www.amazon.com/Way-Excellence-Greatness-Satisfaction-Chaotic-ebook/dp/B0F6NFVTWLref_=ast_author_mpb https://www.amazon.com/Way-Excellence-Greatness-Satisfaction-Chaotic-ebook/dp/B0F6NFVTWLref_=ast_author_mpb" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2017610194629394619) 2026-01-31T14:45Z 250.1K followers, 37.7K engagements "@mtkonczal :) Could someone plausibly interpret the declining share of food away as a sign that Americans are (relative to the past) quite rich and even richer than we feel in a way that might complicate the affordability issue Im genuinely asking and not prepared to defend a thesis" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2018412809663516791) 2026-02-02T19:54Z 249.6K followers, 20.4K engagements "A theme I've tried to repeat to the point of annoyance in the last year is that YES Americans have gotten richer in the last [--] years but ALSO rising housing costs have eaten a lot of that growing wealth. The graph below is a brilliant way to visualize that principle. Even after controlling for rising wages the cost of homeownership in the first year has increased for every income quintile. And it's increased by [--] percent for low- and middle-income Americans. Put too briefly: Buying your first house is [--] percent harder than it used to be. Via Goldman Research" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2018682683497300254) 2026-02-03T13:47Z 249.7K followers, 77.8K engagements "I don't love to throw around the term "narrative violation" but I think this definitely qualifies: A [----] analysis by the highly respected economist Gabriel Zucman finds that the U.S. has much lower avg income taxes on the poor and meaningfully higher income taxes on the rich than countries in western Europe. Put differently if the U.S. became "more like Europe" the poor would pay MUCH higher income and consumption taxes and billionaires would . well . still basically get away with murder. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018686056120336559 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018686056120336559" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2018686056120336559) 2026-02-03T14:00Z 249.7K followers, 462.6K engagements "I'm getting more interested in thinking about the income and wealth inequality implications of the AI boom and wondering if it's conceivable to raise taxes on the rich to raise revenue and reduce inequality but this analysis makes me think it's just really hard to design a tax code that avoids regressivity at the tippy top. Open to thoughts and critiques I don't love to throw around the term "narrative violation" but I think this definitely qualifies: A [----] analysis by the highly respected economist Gabriel Zucman finds that the U.S. has much lower avg income taxes on the poor and" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2018687233851527342) 2026-02-03T14:05Z 249.7K followers, 72.9K engagements "This is a crucial point and one that I hope it didnt seem like I was tying to hide: Tax levels dont show spending levels The French eg have much higher average tax rates on the poor and middle income than the US. But that money comes back to many in the form of universal insurance higher childcare spending and a thicker welfare state. Ive attached a slightly wonky but v interesting OECD graph that decomposes consumption across developed counties. Social transfers in kindeg govt health and ed spendingare in stripes. You can really clearly see that a much higher share of poor folks consumption" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2018773199886880891) 2026-02-03T19:46Z 249.7K followers, 43.1K engagements "Whats the part of Democrats should try to win seats in more R+1 to R+10 districts and states to stop Republicans and doing so will probably require de-emphasizing or even outright rejecting policies and views that are broadly associated with the left but doing so cant guarantee victory in every case bc elections are hard that you think is wrong Feel free to rewrite it too Im not trying to trap you in my language" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2018784326016442769) 2026-02-03T20:31Z 250.1K followers, 70.1K engagements "@jpodhoretz My New Years resolution is to only say nice things to people who disagree with me on this platform so I will only say that Im excited for the editor of Commentary magazine to broaden things out if he thinks perspectival diversity is the key to financial success" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019428626186530945) 2026-02-05T15:11Z 250.1K followers, 80.3K engagements "@mark_my_words92 @jpodhoretz lol that too" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019430900195574062) 2026-02-05T15:20Z 250.1K followers, [----] engagements "@M_Rahmani4 @jpodhoretz my argument is that taking sides can be commercially successful" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019435529843151209) 2026-02-05T15:38Z 250.1K followers, [----] engagements "The Washington Post was more commercially successful under Trump when it was broadly seen as resisting his anti-democratic tendencies. Everybody agrees with this. Conservatives are absolutely welcome to scream at me or anybody else about how liberal bias in the news is bad. But it doesnt change the truth of my observation. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019458005125738760 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019458005125738760" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019458005125738760) 2026-02-05T17:08Z 250.1K followers, [----] engagements "Love Noahs work but I think AI in the near term will solicit and privilege work that is very Nerdy. Getting the most out of Claude Code forces me to structure my requests like a nerd I have to assume Nerdness to get the most out of these tools and I think that might scale and AI will over time tech is to talk to it in a way that is objectively nerd-brained" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019484753519313199) 2026-02-05T18:54Z 250.1K followers, 13.5K engagements "@Dr_Gingerballs aw shoot I forgot to add a link to my newsletter to the tweet thanks for reminding me" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019597973198631055) 2026-02-06T02:24Z 250.1K followers, 11.7K engagements "RT @sundeep: The drone videos from the Olympics are incredible https://x.com/saintliberte/status/2020462945583485254/video/1 https://x.com/saintliberte/status/2020462945583485254/video/1" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2020867948798267761) 2026-02-09T14:30Z 250.5K followers, [----] engagements "RT @ramez: One of the impressive things about Mamdani is that he listens to experts and evidence and learns and adapts. He wasn't YIMBY 12" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021636135886209425) 2026-02-11T17:23Z 250.6K followers, [--] engagements "RT @mikeallen: ๐ง ๐ "An American tragedy" --@axios CEO @JimVandeHei on the @washingtonpost's implosion to @DKThomp on Derek's first VIDE" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021707149651390521) 2026-02-11T22:05Z 250.5K followers, [--] engagements "Since Ive gathered that economists told you so are the four most annoying words in the English language lets go with an old standby from American history: tariffs suck for farmers https://t.co/yyPPExUWai https://t.co/yyPPExUWai" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019819257673220334) 2026-02-06T17:03Z 250.8K followers, 31.9K engagements "Everything Bezos has done wrt the Post in the last five years is consistent with a person who is barely paying attention and mostly sees the Post as a minor asset that shouldnt threaten his major assets. Take this hamfisted line below about how data should tell the Post how to succeed and what to cover. Sure fine knowing what readers want is commercially useful. But data tells us what is valuable is so simplistic. Bezos is smarter than that. In the context of businesses he actually cares about he knows the limits of data as a North Star and he has a great line about the limits of data in this" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2020566773884473564) 2026-02-08T18:33Z 250.8K followers, 200.4K engagements "@mtkonczal GOOD IDEA" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021636253809099217) 2026-02-11T17:23Z 250.8K followers, [----] engagements "@VitruviusGrind Pretty much Many people are paid to make PowerPoints If a technology can do that faster and better thats economically important. Whether or not translating excel documents into power points is actually thinking is sort of a secondary question to me" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021644185343017127) 2026-02-11T17:55Z 250.8K followers, 17K engagements "I simply do not think that "most tasks professionals currently undertake" will be "fully automated by AI" within the next [--] to [--] months. CEO of Microsoft AI Mustafa Suleyman joins FT editor Roula Khalaf to explain why most of the tasks accountants lawyers and other professionals currently undertake will be fully automated by AI within the next [--] to [--] months https://t.co/yYKzS7NIOP https://t.co/HvA6Q7KgIc CEO of Microsoft AI Mustafa Suleyman joins FT editor Roula Khalaf to explain why most of the tasks accountants lawyers and other professionals currently undertake will be fully automated" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021984685866594517) 2026-02-12T16:28Z 250.8K followers, 175.5K engagements "Some personal news. Today Im leaving The Atlantic after almost [--] years and moving my writing to Substack. It would be convenient for the purposes of crafting an exciting departure announcement to have a dramatic exit story: a fight a grievance a shouting match with an editor that ended with me hurling a bunch of leather-backed Thoreau volumes across the open-plan office. That is not the case here. I love The Atlantic and I'll remain a contributing writer there. But after almost two decades at one publication I wanted to write for myself. The things I've published that I'm most proud" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1936051079239668202) 2025-06-20T13:18Z 250.8K followers, 1.4M engagements "@kitledru This was my original hypothesis Its a big deal but the revenue curve wont match the spending curve in X quarters and it will create a pop" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019497481873051977) 2026-02-05T19:44Z 250.8K followers, 35.4K engagements "Almost an impressive level of villainy on display here. If Bezos had hired like Steve Bannon to run the Post into the ground in the cruelest dumbest way killing the sports section in absentia while slinking off to the Super Bowl without telling anybody would be a nice touch NEW: Im told by Washington Post source that executive editor Matt Murray did not know Will Lewis was at the Super Bowl and learned from this photo NEW: Im told by Washington Post source that executive editor Matt Murray did not know Will Lewis was at the Super Bowl and learned from this photo" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019747004574839240) 2026-02-06T12:16Z 250.8K followers, 121.2K engagements "For now the deepfake panic looks like a deep fake panic. For all the handringing about AI and the collapse of reality Trump is getting crushed in the polls and fending off criticism by typically quiescent Republicans because of extremely real videos of ICE and totally fake images of the Obamasand the fact that everybody knows the difference. Great take by @semaforben https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020913330181775662 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020913330181775662" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2020913330181775662) 2026-02-09T17:30Z 250.8K followers, 34.5K engagements "@marco_argent yes i think this is what i should do not just make something useful and interesting but also provide a very clear almost second-by-second description of what it took to make it" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021583625771270490) 2026-02-11T13:54Z 250.8K followers, 12.1K engagements "just one more beat here: How is the question "is AI actually thinking" relevant to a consequential question like "what will be the effect of AI on entry-level programming jobs in the next [--] years" or "what level of FY2026 revenue growth at OpenAI would justify its current level of expenditure" https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021584121890287817 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021584121890287817" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021584121890287817) 2026-02-11T13:56Z 250.8K followers, [----] engagements "Yes. Writing is not a second thing that happens after thinking. The act of writing is an act of thinking. Writing *is* thinking. Students academics and anyone else who outsources their writing to LLMs will find their screens full of words and their minds emptied of thought" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1947107825265565981) 2025-07-21T01:34Z 250.8K followers, 2.6M engagements "The AI supercluster's attempt to build a silicon god is driving GDP and government spending on old people is driving the whole labor market. Tapping the sign: "The US economy is a Friday church service: Mostly old people and the attempt to summon the divine." If you exclude Healthcare jobs the U.S. Labor Market has declined for [--] months. Everything is not fine. https://t.co/BRNrf5fII7 If you exclude Healthcare jobs the U.S. Labor Market has declined for [--] months. Everything is not fine. https://t.co/BRNrf5fII7" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021982170253050270) 2026-02-12T16:18Z 250.8K followers, 248K engagements "More seriously once something becomes a meme our best coders dont code its reasonable for folks on the outside to wonder exactly how much of this is 100% on the level and how much is part of an AI productivity bragging rights arms race" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2022284809561616855) 2026-02-13T12:20Z 250.8K followers, 41.8K engagements "New newsletter: WHY THE ONLINE AI DEBATE FEELS SO BROKEN Something I've noticed in talking to AI boosters optimists pessimists and skeptics in the last four days is how easily it is for people to talk past each other. What seems on the surface to be [--] great divide between defenders and critics of the technology is really more like [--] great divides that are getting conflated and mushed up with each other. [--]. Is AI economically or occupationally useful to people right nowand can it be currently useful to some people and also useless to others [--]. Does AI technically "think" (And does it matter)" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2022396916047446132) 2026-02-13T19:46Z 250.8K followers, 78.9K engagements "This is a great catch by Matt Levine. KPMG is trying to force its auditor to accept less money since accounting work can be significantly automated by AI. But KMPG . makes money . from accounting. So this looks like a company accidentally announcing to the world that its business model is under attack. Matt: "'Auditing can basically be done by Al so why should we pay for it' is not a crazy thing for most companies to think or to say to their auditors. But it is a crazy thing for an auditing firm to say to its auditor." https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021223432965247254" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021223432965247254) 2026-02-10T14:03Z 250.8K followers, 910.9K engagements "I find it somewhat hard to square conservatives' insistence that the Washington Post struggled financially because of its political bias and dishonest reporting when the most successful and influential news media organization in the country is Fox News an openly biased operation that has paid hundreds of millions of dollars in settlements for false reporting. Either political bias and a public record of dishonesty are disqualifying for commercial success or . they're not. (My guess is: They're not) The messy truth as I see it is that 21st century media tend to thrive *precisely* because they" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021230663563661542) 2026-02-10T14:31Z 250.8K followers, 204.1K engagements "There are still a lot of journalists and commentators that I follow who think AI is nothing of much significancestill just a mildly fancy auto complete machine that hallucinates half the time and cant even think. If youre in that category: What is something I could write or show with my reporting and work that might make you change your mind https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021554685207781736 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021554685207781736" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021554685207781736) 2026-02-11T11:59Z 250.8K followers, 633.1K engagements "When the telephone was invented 99% of the country had no use for it. The technology was patented in [----]. Three years later there were basically no telephones in existence. Thirty years later there were basically no telephones. Household adoption of telephones didn't pass 50% until the 1940s. AI is [--] years old. A majority of Americans say they use it every week. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021593542225731847 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021593542225731847" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021593542225731847) 2026-02-11T14:33Z 250.8K followers, 127.8K engagements "The new AI timeline is playing out as CEOs humble-bragging about how little old-fashioned work their best employees do: December 25: Our firms best coders all use AI February 26: Our firms best coders dont even have to write code anymore bc of AI April 26: Our best coders have founded and manage an average of three other companies using AI swarms. Its mildly annoying Ha ha. But its fine. Were good. Revenue projections are up. September: Our best coders are paper trillionaires. They spend all day watching YouTube in bed. Theyre refusing to come to work. Several of their AI companies have" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2022280160636977610) 2026-02-13T12:02Z 250.8K followers, 155.4K engagements "@hedeedit The technology is useful and also maybe a bubble is literally my position" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2022280565550973440) 2026-02-13T12:03Z 250.8K followers, [--] engagements "I think its pretty straightforward that AI has business models. Anthropic has enterprise customers. OpenAI has paid subscribers and soon ads. The question isnt is there revenue here but rather is revenue going to catch up to spending in time And thats what question [--] is ai a bubble is all about" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2022398767303971177) 2026-02-13T19:53Z 250.8K followers, 18K engagements "The most interesting secret of "Blue Zones" places where ppl live extra long livesappears to be sadly improper record-keeping. The number of ppl living 100+ years just happens to mysteriously drop sharply after the introduction of state-wide birth certification" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1701627410649600465) 2023-09-12T16:02Z 250.7K followers, 788.2K engagements "New newsletter: The US economy is splitting in two. Theres a rip-roaring AI economy. And theres a lackluster consumer economy. - Macro: Last quarter spending on AI outpaced the growth in consumer spending - Stocks: In the last two years 60% of equity returns have come from AI-related companies esp the hyperscalers like Microsoft and Meta (per JPM) - Micro: According to Stripe firms on the platform that self-describe as AI companies are dominating revenue growt far surpassing the growth rate of any other group" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1953458258330726416) 2025-08-07T14:08Z 250.8K followers, 3.2M engagements "This sweaty online lust to obliterate the judicial system and declare martial law is genuinely disgusting stuff" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1974854409302770054) 2025-10-05T15:09Z 250.8K followers, 1.4M engagements "My two cents on the DoorDash discourse. I just spent some time poking around the Consumer Expenditure Survey which is the BLS survey of Americans' spending habits. In [----] Americans allocated 6.3% of their spending to food away from home" which would include restaurants and takeaway. In [----] the latest year with solid Consumer Expenditure Survey data Americans devoted just 5% of their total spending to food away from home. I trust that the NYT has apparently discovered some people willing to spend one-third of their entire post-tax income on delivery orders but it seems that the DoorDash" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2018391343312326969) 2026-02-02T18:29Z 250.8K followers, 352.9K engagements "It's interesting if not entirely surprising that you can see the effect of AI in markets from a thousand light-years away while smart economists have to build ever-more-advanced microscopes to identify the marginal effects it *might* be having on the labor force right now" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019074522272432219) 2026-02-04T15:44Z 250.8K followers, 85.4K engagements "RT @SickosCommittee: In case youre late to my favorite Olympic performance enhancing scandal here are the details of penis inflate-gate" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019588022648684767) 2026-02-06T01:44Z 250.7K followers, [----] engagements "RT @maxwelltani: Will Lewis is resigning as WaPo CEO former Tumblr CEO Jeff DOnofrio is the papers new acting CEO and publisher per mem" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2020276857543737804) 2026-02-07T23:21Z 250.7K followers, [---] engagements "RT @PeterTwinklage: one of my favorite pieces from [----] was Thompsons Monks in the Casino. we pushed a generation of young men out of re" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2020958362431799634) 2026-02-09T20:29Z 250.7K followers, [---] engagements "RT @almostcmb: Good from @DKThomp on AI unintended consequences. Efforts gravitate towards data rich fields away from unexplored areas. ht" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021201661612655087) 2026-02-10T12:36Z 250.7K followers, [--] engagements "RT @sarthakgh: .@DKThomp is back from pat leave and his first newsletter issue is predictably a banger So much interesting stuff across ev" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021286833196331342) 2026-02-10T18:15Z 250.7K followers, [--] engagements "@ReubenR80027912 Wait youre still on team nothing is happening" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021553805356134622) 2026-02-11T11:56Z 250.7K followers, 19K engagements "@MattBruenig @ModeledBehavior Just make stuff is a perfectly good strategy But you and Joe W etc are making great stuff and still Im seeing extremely prominent writers claim that these tools cant think or whatever. So Im trying to solicit ideas for things to make that would have more persuasive power" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021564064955281632) 2026-02-11T12:36Z 250.7K followers, [----] engagements "RT @deenamousa: College students would need to be paid $59 (on average) to deactivate TikTok for a month but would *pay* $28 for it to be" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021773266159907006) 2026-02-12T02:28Z 250.7K followers, [--] engagements "@VitruviusGrind @lionel_trolling My position is AI is extraordinary and also very possibly a bubble Theyre separate questions. (So is: Does it think)" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021947804034453835) 2026-02-12T14:01Z 250.7K followers, [---] engagements "Good test for the utility of equity prices as the ultimate leading indicator" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019074680821358608) 2026-02-04T15:44Z 250.8K followers, 18.1K engagements "Even if you take the conservative defense of each ICE killing youre left with We haphazardly scaled up a poorly trained police force to storm into neighborhoods that voted against the president where we antagonize the local population until someone resists arrest and then we kill them which is morally horrendous on top of being an absurd way to do immigration policy" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2015122401571340717) 2026-01-24T17:59Z 250.8K followers, 1.2M engagements "I agree it's very funny that just weeks into Trump's strange new respect for Affordability he's out there saying "I want to drive housing prices up." But housing is perhaps the only asset or product in the world that ppl largely think (a) prices should only go up and (b) it should be affordable to anybody who needs it. It would be insane to have this always-appreciating-but-also-always-affordable attitude toward groceries or diamonds or hospital bills or tuition. It'd be nice if Trump negatively polarized folks against this idea the same way he seems quite good at negatively polarizing folks" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019035084393734508) 2026-02-04T13:07Z 250.8K followers, 47.7K engagements "This is a great piece with some mind-boggling statistics. - At Brown and Harvard more than 20% of undergraduates are registered as disabled - At Amherst: more than [--] percent - At Stanford: nearly [--] percent Soon many of these schools "may have more students receiving disability accommodations than not a scenario that would have seemed absurd just a decade ago." As students and their parents have recognized the benefits of claiming disabilityextended time on tests housing accommodations etcthe rates of disability at colleges and especially at elite colleges has exploded. America used to" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1995899910009626790) 2025-12-02T16:56Z 250.8K followers, 7.2M engagements "The attention crisis is so dire at schools right now that film professors can't even get their students to finish movies and the kids don't even look up the plots of the movies they skip so students fail basic in-class quizzes like "what happened at the end of the movie"" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2017259828792484055) 2026-01-30T15:33Z 250.8K followers, 1.9M engagements "In the last [--] years the share of tenured Harvard professors who keep working after they turn [--] has increased from 3% to 43% according to the Crimson. (via @StefanFSchubert's fantastic newsletter)" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2018387082582880603) 2026-02-02T18:12Z 250.8K followers, 197.2K engagements "This part of the Matt Murray email to WaPo staffers makes me most depressed about the paper's future. What you've got here is a media company where the owner has not only overhauled strategy but also required that new leadership pursue a Bad Strategy and demonize the very thing that recently made them successful. WP's recent golden age coincided with the paper projecting a clear stance against White House overreach. Even a far-right conservative can see that the "democracy dies in darkness" years saw a boom in subscriptions as liberal readers patronized a news organization that was fiercely" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019351378603155700) 2026-02-05T10:04Z 250.8K followers, 201.8K engagements "Trump is not a very good president and he is clearly not very good at being popular as president but he is very good at making national Republican electeds get in line and shut upor leave. Democrats have a bad national brand and a bad electoral map but the combination of the above set of facts is life-giving for them. NEW: How many Republicans willing to break with Trump are left in Congress I ran the numbers. Out of the [---] GOP lawmakers since [----] only [--] have ever broken with Trump on a key vote. By [----] only [--] were left. By this time next year the group shrink as low as 22." [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019356211720634759) 2026-02-05T10:23Z 250.8K followers, 245.5K engagements "for me the odds that AI is a bubble declined significantly in the last [--] weeks and the odds that were actually quite under-built for the necessary levels of inference/usage went significantly up in that period basically I think AI is going to become the home screen of a ludicrously high percentage of white collar workers in the next two years and parallel agents will be deployed in the battlefield of knowledge work at downright Soviet levels https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019484169915572452 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019484169915572452" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019484169915572452) 2026-02-05T18:52Z 250.8K followers, 1.2M engagements "Im still thinking about how to explain my inkling at greater length but this is a good start 4% of GitHub public commits are being authored by Claude Code right now. At the current trajectory we believe that Claude Code will be 20%+ of all daily commits by the end of [----]. The cost of Claude Pro or ChatGPT is $20 dollars a month while a Max subscription is $200 4% of GitHub public commits are being authored by Claude Code right now. At the current trajectory we believe that Claude Code will be 20%+ of all daily commits by the end of [----]. The cost of Claude Pro or ChatGPT is $20 dollars a" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2019514205897216416) 2026-02-05T20:51Z 250.8K followers, 150.4K engagements "@ReubenR80027912 You should definitely pay for Claude Code or Codex for one month rather than wonder vaguely about something thats a credit card charge away :)" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021557830852227565) 2026-02-11T12:12Z 250.8K followers, 32.5K engagements "It can design websites from scratch compare bodies of literature at high levels of abstraction get A- grades at least in practically any undergraduate class analyze and graph enormous data sets make PowerPoints write sonnets and even entire books. It can also engineer itself. I dont actually know what thinking is at a phenomenological level. But at some level its like: if none of this is thinking who cares if it cant think" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021576086816018495) 2026-02-11T13:24Z 250.8K followers, 520K engagements "@EoinHiggins_ Is it thinking as humans define human thought is an interesting philosophical question But for now Im much more interested in the consequences of its output than the ontology of its process" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021581140323082477) 2026-02-11T13:44Z 250.8K followers, [----] engagements "@ReubenR80027912 Its very strange that Americas corporate IT departments have proven to be an impediment to high quality AI adoption @kevinroose" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021788719762542637) 2026-02-12T03:29Z 250.8K followers, [---] engagements "Where did I say it makes novel interpretations Comparing academic literatures at a high level of abstractionsummarize this economic paper about fertility trends and then tell me what a sociologist like Durkheim would say about it doesnt require a novel breakthrough just an ability to map meaning across text Getting A- grades in an undergrad class can often mean having basic answers Clearly it can make a website bc you made a website with it Etc" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021909942848856406) 2026-02-12T11:31Z 250.8K followers, 11K engagements "@MichaelRStrain I think you should ask say @deanwball if its as simple as Claude code is worse at coding than every professional software programmer Or ask James Evans at Chicago if good scientists arent using AI Speed is its own talent. The fact that AI is fast is its own skill" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2021943268364468416) 2026-02-12T13:43Z 250.8K followers, 10.7K engagements "A big new paper released this week on gender parenthood and income complicates some things I thought I knew about the economy The story I was familiar with from several years ago is that the gender wage gap had stopped narrowing and the economy continued to severely punish working moms. This paper finds: [--]. The gender wage gap shrank by about [--] to 50% in the last two decadesalthough a male-female gap still very much exists. [--]. Work from home has reduced the motherhood penalty especially in "greedy work" careers with long hours [--]. Data now shows that among workers with MBAs dads earn the most" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2022331452260483352) 2026-02-13T15:26Z 250.8K followers, 39.7K engagements "I worry that the social penalty of announcing that you believe in nonsense is going down. Its not so much that people are more conspiratorial than ever. Thats clearly not true. Believers in make-believe are an ancient tribe. Its more like a falling social cost to high-status folks saying insane shit and protecting themselves from accusations of insanity by saying all theyre doing is opposing the mainstream media or corporate media. I no longer believe official 9/11 story. Two paper passports did not burn and were found on the rubble but it was so hot WTC7 burned down across the street." [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2022456131457589288) 2026-02-13T23:41Z 250.8K followers, 197.2K engagements "The accuracy revolution in sports: QB completion rate at record high. Long distance field goals in NFL at record high. NBA shooting across the board. The best [--] free-throw percentage seasons in NBA history are the last six seasons. Even umpiring One of the coolest visualizations I've ever seen-- the evolution of the MLB strike zone from [----] to [----]. The zone has changed dramatically-- going from vibes to nearly matching the rulebook definition perfectly. They're remarkably good. https://t.co/TKy6Vcteyp https://t.co/XV9zmTJbPd One of the coolest visualizations I've ever seen-- the evolution" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2022491465218428964) 2026-02-14T02:01Z 250.8K followers, 123.5K engagements "This is just silly. If NPR receiving less than 1% of its revenue from federal government programs makes it "state-affiliated media" does Tesla accepting a $465m loan from DOE and benefiting from EV consumer subsidies make it "state-affiliated enterprise"" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1643594456967282688) 2023-04-05T12:40Z 250.7K followers, 2.5M engagements "It takes less than two seconds to see that Musks framework Im a free speech absolutist unless anybody threatens to shut off Twitter access in which case Im for or against whatever they want is laughably unworkable" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1657436213425340416) 2023-05-13T17:22Z 250.8K followers, 1.4M engagements "Pretty wild if the story ends up being that big pharma was doing clinical trials on diabetes medication and sorta kinda accidentally discovered a weight-loss miracle drug . and then wait oh-by-the-way it's also the cure for addiction Ozempic doesn't just suppress your appetite. I talked to patients who took the drug to lose weight only to also effortlessly stop biting their nails compulsively shopping drinking alcohol and so on. https://t.co/HUSfypuWoL Ozempic doesn't just suppress your appetite. I talked to patients who took the drug to lose weight only to also effortlessly stop biting their" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1659601591916273664) 2023-05-19T16:47Z 250.7K followers, 2.1M engagements "I don't think China has figured out any technological magic to building stuff. I think they're like: "It's a train station Michael. What could it cost [-----] man-hours and [--] diggers" And they throw [----] workers at the problem and make them dig and lay steel for [--] hours. How China built a train station in [--] hours. ๐ https://t.co/CwSoYpzoub How China built a train station in [--] hours. ๐ https://t.co/CwSoYpzoub" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1661441898807009280) 2023-05-24T18:39Z 250.7K followers, 4M engagements "The Netflix revolution and streaming media is for now one of the most successful profit-destroying interventions in modern business history Profits at the biggest entertainment companies fell almost 90% over the last decade (from $23.4B to $2.6B). Revised numbers from the last newsletter (cc @DKThomp) https://t.co/GFNnHgCbZm https://t.co/Ys2idoZnM4 Profits at the biggest entertainment companies fell almost 90% over the last decade (from $23.4B to $2.6B). Revised numbers from the last newsletter (cc @DKThomp) https://t.co/GFNnHgCbZm https://t.co/Ys2idoZnM4" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1676586356238172162) 2023-07-05T13:38Z 250.8K followers, 1.6M engagements "The US has the fastest growth rate of any G7 country. And the US has the lowest annual inflation of any G7 country. And Americans hate it" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1676926747105689601) 2023-07-06T12:11Z 250.7K followers, 990.9K engagements "Ive really enjoyed Twitter was never on Team Hellsite and originally rooted for Elon to succeed. But this is a disaster. High debt negative cash flow main biz down 50% annualized subs = barely 1% of old revenue and the plan isTucker TV and Andrew Tate affiliate fees" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1680239502927831042) 2023-07-15T15:34Z 250.7K followers, 664.2K engagements "Incredible snapshot of upper-middle-class college anxiety. Elite colleges have affirmative action for the very very rich. Lower income students who are less likely to apply have a small advantage. This cashes out as a clear bias against upper-middle class applicants" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1683461737410904069) 2023-07-24T12:58Z 250.7K followers, 1.5M engagements "New paper on happiness in America since [----]. Just fascinating. There are like [----] stories to tell about American life economics and culture in these graphs" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1686417945675681806) 2023-08-01T16:45Z 250.6K followers, 494.7K engagements "The year is [----]. Brock Purdy is 157-0. The entire league still thinks he's a system QB so the 49ers can retain him on a cheap $5m/year contract and lavish him with expensive weapons. He is the career leader in QBR. Nobody has any idea if he's actually good" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1705278207480492430) 2023-09-22T17:49Z 250.7K followers, 420.5K engagements "2023 study: Our thesis is that a primary cause of the rise in mental disorders is a decline over decades in opportunities for children and teens to play roam and engage in other activities independent of direct oversight and control by adults."" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1713537450033701218) 2023-10-15T12:48Z 250.7K followers, 5.1M engagements "Americans at every level of income say they need a 30%-50% raise "to feel happy." Make $50k "I need about 75k." Make $75k "I need about 100k." Make $150k "I need 200k." Make $200k "I need 350k."" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1726559454806872271) 2023-11-20T11:13Z 250.7K followers, 1.9M engagements "What is HAPPENING here Between [----] and [----] it appears that average OECD reading math and science scores have declined consistently. This is not (just) about pandemic learning loss. Its not about one US city. Its not even just the US. This is the entire developed world" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1734436486727254218) 2023-12-12T04:54Z 250.8K followers, 5M engagements "Amazing chart. [--]. Teens' self-reported relationship with parents is near an all-time high and has generally increased since [----] [--]. Teen satisfaction with life generally rose in between [----] and [----] and went straight down 2012-2020 via @jean_twenge @JonHaidt" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1735763445654356150) 2023-12-15T20:47Z 250.8K followers, 2.2M engagements "This sure looks like Republicans saying the border is such an urgent crisis that we are going to ensure nothing is done about it for [--] months while we campaign on the complaint that nothing is being done โ MCCONNELL BOWS TO TRUMP ON BORDER Last night we scooped that MCCONNELL told Republican senators that time had essentially run out on trying to craft a Ukraine-border package. "We dont want to do anything to undermine Trump" said McConnell who can barely utter the former โ MCCONNELL BOWS TO TRUMP ON BORDER Last night we scooped that MCCONNELL told Republican senators that time had" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1750501855673643444) 2024-01-25T12:52Z 250.7K followers, 433.3K engagements "it's funny/sad/astonishing that we're in a situation where trump's multiple indictments were political advantageous to him and biden's exoneration is politically terrible for him" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1755708829566636097) 2024-02-08T21:42Z 250.7K followers, 719.5K engagements "I wrote about the collapse of face-to-face socializing in in the 21st century. From 2003-2022 American adults reduced socializing by 30%. For teens the decline was nearly 50%. There is no record of any period in history when ppl spent more time alone. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/02/america-decline-hanging-out/677451/ https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/02/america-decline-hanging-out/677451/" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1757815358021345621) 2024-02-14T17:13Z 250.7K followers, 1.4M engagements "This is such a provocative chart. 1st middle-aged reaction: yeah culture's gone to shit 2nd reflection: transition to fast/short/exciting culture isnt purely bad. democratization of culture is good. pop replaced symphonies; the beatles are good 3rd: nope definitely bad" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1760713465096708199) 2024-02-22T17:09Z 250.6K followers, 382.6K engagements "Austin is building housing like crazy. Rents are down 7%. But rather than frame this achievement as a win for rentersor for the arg that housing prices respond to supply growthWSJ frames it pretty clearly as bad news across the board" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1769711405190537704) 2024-03-18T13:04Z 250.7K followers, 793.7K engagements "Whats the best explanation for why all these schools turned against the SAT around the same time and why they all re-embraced standardized testing at roughly the same time (Besides herding behavior) Complete and utter defeat for the anti-test crusaders https://t.co/ubfbg2QTxL Complete and utter defeat for the anti-test crusaders https://t.co/ubfbg2QTxL" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1778478915452911790) 2024-04-11T17:43Z 250.8K followers, 4.1M engagements "Homicides are plummeting. In all [--] cities with the most [----] homicidesfor which we have datahomicides are falling. The pandemic crime wave is crashing hard. If these percentage decline numbers were percentage growth numbers it would be the lede of every cable news show" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1779489585984110701) 2024-04-14T12:39Z 250.8K followers, 4.8M engagements "It's "interesting" to watch the right-wing outrage sausage get made. [--]. Judge: Trump can attend son's graduation if trial is on track but no official ruling yet. [--]. Trump (lying): Judge told me I'm "prohibited" from attending my son's graduation what an outrage. [--]. People desperate to feel righteous anger when they log online buy the lie rather than spend [--] seconds Googling the underlying news" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1780206728279113919) 2024-04-16T12:08Z 250.7K followers, 1.4M engagements "New paper from Norway: Banning smartphones in school - significantly decreased doctors visits for psychological symptoms and diseases among girls - reduced bullying among both genders - improved girls GPA and attendance rates - largest effect sizes were among the poorest kids" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1783140190359298157) 2024-04-24T14:25Z 250.8K followers, 3.1M engagements "New Harris-Guardian poll: - 56% say US is in recession (reality: [--] straight quarters of positive GDP growth) - 49% say stocks are down YTD (reality: S&P500 up 12%) - 49% say unemployment at a 50-year high (reality: U3 has been under 4% longer than any period since the 1960s)" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1793270876550398329) 2024-05-22T13:21Z 250.7K followers, 2.5M engagements "Where I am: [--]. Biden is running consistently behind not only Trump but also swing-state Democratic senators suggesting he faces not only an R vs. D problem but a Biden-specific problem. [--]. The Biden problem is clear: Voters think he's too old. [--]. There's no plan to fix it. The underlying problem itself is unsolvable: Time is an arrow. The consequence is obvious: Every unscripted Biden TV appearance these days has viral moments of scrambled thinking aborted sentences and logical inconsistencies which testify and solidify the age thing. So the campaign (which I feel some real sympathy for) is" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1810672111502954527) 2024-07-09T13:47Z 250.7K followers, 1.8M engagements "One effect of Joe Biden stepping back in the race is that even though were not getting the full mini primary there is suddenly a lot of attention being paid to Democrats who are just much much much much better at delivering bite-size talking points about progressive politics "We're not gonna stay in their frame. We're not gonna play their game. We're gonna call them out for the weird stuff they believe and we presented a different argument to the American public. One where everybody matters." ๐ make this man VP #wewantwalz https://t.co/5lSC76p1cH "We're not gonna stay in their frame. We're" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1817651379458163167) 2024-07-28T20:00Z 250.7K followers, 544.2K engagements "Harris now leading in PA/MI/WI in @NateSilver538's latest. Up 1.1%pts nationally" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1819432101424312732) 2024-08-02T17:56Z 250.7K followers, 1.2M engagements "I wrote about the urban family exodus. America's biggest and richest cities are losing children at an alarming rate. From [----] to [----] the number of kids under [--] declined by - almost 20% in NYC - about 15% in LA SF Chicago and St Louis - 10% in NoLA Philly Honolulu" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1820455771693281383) 2024-08-05T13:44Z 250.7K followers, 1.1M engagements "Lots of directions to go with this positive and negative but I will just point out: There is a genre of 21st century male I have perfected the game of life routine that essentially assumes the absence of other people The routine that saved my life https://t.co/3r6juYJCRb The routine that saved my life https://t.co/3r6juYJCRb" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1828785195023016089) 2024-08-28T13:22Z 250.7K followers, 4.3M engagements "re: Scientific American's endorsement of Kamala Harris for president I wish I saw more scientists grappling with the tradeoffs at stake here. In fact a [----] paper found that the journal Nature's endorsement of Joe Biden [--]. "caused large reductions in stated trust in Nature among Trump supporters" [--]. "lowered the demand for COVID-related information provided by Nature" [--]. "reduced Trump supporters trust in scientists in general" [--]. while "estimated effects on Biden supporters trust . were positive small and mostly statistically insignificant"" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1835810870317683061) 2024-09-16T22:39Z 250.7K followers, 1.1M engagements "For the first time since WWII every governing party facing election in a developed country this year lost vote share via @jburnmurdoch [----] Democrats are the red dot. Absolutely critical context to any postmortem" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1854498882438181265) 2024-11-07T12:19Z 250.8K followers, 1.9M engagements "3 true things that are hard to keep in your head but not THAT HARD. [--]. Voters hate inflation and there's been a global incumbency backlash to prove it which played a huge role in Trump's big victory [--]. The U.S. economy out-performed the developed world in growth productivity real wages and beyond [--]. Part (2) remains a strangely uncovered story in part bc popular partisan media roots for teams rather than outcomes. Here's today's WSJ oped page cheering the end of a cursed era when our poor beleaguered s&p [---] only rose . checks stocks [--] PERCENT IN FOUR YEARS" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1854511707202187406) 2024-11-07T13:10Z 250.8K followers, 439.8K engagements "New study: An analysis of [---] occupations found that taxi and ambulance drivers had the lowest proportion of deaths from Alzheimersraising the possibility that constant stimulation of the hippocampus used for navigational and spatial processing might be protective" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1871569761827721573) 2024-12-24T14:52Z 250.8K followers, 705.7K engagements "I wrote the cover story of the February issue of The Atlantic. It builds on a lot of reporting I did throughout [----] and I'm really proud of it. Its called: THE ANTI-SOCIAL CENTURY The thesis: Rising solitude is the most important social fact in American life today. The historic amounts of time that Americans spend alone and in their homes is reshaping the consumer economyfrom dining to entertainment to deliverywarping our politics alienating us from the realities of our neighbors and villages and changing our very personalities. Here are the basic facts: [--]. In the last few years in-person" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1876995114972905507) 2025-01-08T14:11Z 250.7K followers, 901.9K engagements "Why are young peoplein the US and around the worldshifting right I wrote about a phenomenon I call Generation Cthe young people whose experience with COVID's health political and economic crises caused a strong shift right among young ppl across the developed world. In the U.S. between [----] and [----] voters under [--] (and esp young men) shifted [--] points toward the GOP. In Germany France Portugal Finland and beyond young voters seem to be swinging their support toward anti-establishment far-right parties in numbers exceeding older voters. What's going on Probably many things. The world is an" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1891847704625520881) 2025-02-18T13:50Z 250.7K followers, 1.3M engagements "Holy crap. Pancreatic is one of the deadliest cancers. New paper shows personalized mRNA vaccines can induce durable anticancer T cells that attack pancreatic cancer. 75% of patients cancer free at three years. #mRNAvaccines for #PancreaticCancer (PDAC) PART4 [--]. Out today in @Nature https://t.co/NhpkJeaQYb ๐งต๐๐ฝ 1/23 #mRNAvaccines for #PancreaticCancer (PDAC) PART4 [--]. Out today in @Nature https://t.co/NhpkJeaQYb ๐งต๐๐ฝ 1/23" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1895139966763856053) 2025-02-27T15:52Z 250.7K followers, 4.1M engagements "The policy chaos I think Ill survive. Watching Trumpsplainers rapturously praise each set of tariffs with the same energy they use to praise their cancellationand then praise their reinstatement and recancellation and re-reinstatement and re-recancellingmight actually kill me. BREAKING: US Commerce Secretary Lutnick says Trump may roll back Canada and Mexico tariffs tomorrow BREAKING: US Commerce Secretary Lutnick says Trump may roll back Canada and Mexico tariffs tomorrow" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1897076331176706122) 2025-03-05T00:06Z 250.7K followers, 486K engagements "I have no idea how this affects Musks behavior in Washington but the situation with Tesla is - total unit sales declined in [----] - meanwhile he did his very best to alienate Democratic consumers - then Tesla sales in Europe fell 50% - then Tesla shipments in China fell 49% Holy shit Tesla is just getting absolutely annihilated in China. https://t.co/gyvScNuX1W Holy shit Tesla is just getting absolutely annihilated in China. https://t.co/gyvScNuX1W" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1897278628179927202) 2025-03-05T13:30Z 250.7K followers, 584.3K engagements "Telling Americans were gonna abolish taxes and also find trillions of dollars lying around in tariff payments is sort of like telling my kid I stole her nose and found it behind her ear; it only works if the subject doesnt understand how anything works. My daughters excuse is shes [--] months old. Im not sure what the administrations excuse is. Lutnick: Tariffs are going to drive America better. Wouldn't it be amazing to stop paying taxes to the internal revenue service and have the external revenue service of make America great again replace our taxes That is the goal of Donald Trump" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1897635101724262583) 2025-03-06T13:07Z 250.7K followers, 381.2K engagements "Our entire trade policy seems to be driven by our presidents deep fondness for being on the phone. Guy just loves phone calls. The more the better. A whole geopolitical paradigm built on loving to press receiver-to-ear and hear Donald Ive GOT to talk to you on the line. TRUMP: "After speaking with President Claudia Sheinbaum of Mexico I have agreed that Mexico will not be required to pay Tariffs on anything that falls under the USMCA Agreement." TRUMP: "After speaking with President Claudia Sheinbaum of Mexico I have agreed that Mexico will not be required to pay Tariffs on anything that" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1897688650101469256) 2025-03-06T16:40Z 250.7K followers, 444.1K engagements "Nobody knows whats going on. Youve prominent Trumpsplainers saying the goal of the tariffs is to raise trillions in revenue and move us off income taxes. Youve got folks who seem super plugged into the Trump-tech alliance like Palmer saying no no no the goal is the opposite: a world of no tariffs and fully free trade . These are completely incompatible goals. You cant raise govt revenue over a ten year horizon with a tax that is *designed to disappear*. Theres no playbook to see here. Theres no smoke filled room. Nobody knows whats going on and the market knows that nobody knows and thateven" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1907559223002571085) 2025-04-02T22:22Z 250.7K followers, 841K engagements "approaching and surpassing frightening level of Veep" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1907584344593453506) 2025-04-03T00:02Z 250.7K followers, 565.3K engagements "Every defense of the Trump tariffs is at odds with the actual underlying policy. Like how do you go into office thinking "We must build a durable and dependable supply chain that reduces our reliance on China a geopolitical adversary" and then - attack the CHIPS and Science Act which had already brought chip-factory construction to all-time highs - kick us off with 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada - antagonize Canada with threats of invasion - announce new tariffs on Europe - raise tariffs on Asian countries where US suppliers have moved factories in order to diversify away from China - send" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1909597514975555612) 2025-04-08T13:21Z 250.8K followers, 405.7K engagements "Imagine trying to manage a supply chain right now. Every [--] hours the White House is announcing or un-announcing or re-announcing or creating massive carve outs to a new trade rule. Why would anyone anywhere build a new factory under these conditions BREAKING: President Donald Trumps administration exempted smartphones computers and other electronics from its so-called reciprocal tariffs in win for Apple (and shoppers). This lowers the China tariff from 125%. https://t.co/PpOZ8zfk1t BREAKING: President Donald Trumps administration exempted smartphones computers and other electronics from its" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1911047450644652280) 2025-04-12T13:23Z 250.7K followers, 1.4M engagements "We really did it. We took a growing US manufacturing economy declared it broken started a trade war and . broke US manufacturing. In last [--] hours: - Philly Fed Survey: "New orders fell sharply from [---] in March to [-----] its lowest reading since April 2020" - NY Fed Survey: Expected orders and shipments plunging Again this is a policy to revive US manufacturing" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1912885826096161238) 2025-04-17T15:08Z 250.8K followers, 1M engagements "Gutting scientific funding and scaring away talented immigrants while raising the cost of manufacturing stuff in America is genuinely like something wed be forced to do after losing a war to a geopolitical adversary that deviously sought to hamstring US technological power for generation. 55% proposed budget cut to the NSF. 40% proposed budget cut to the NIH. This will not lead to American dominance in science and technology. https://t.co/6eGR59YQCW 55% proposed budget cut to the NSF. 40% proposed budget cut to the NIH. This will not lead to American dominance in science and technology." [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1915541575008215498) 2025-04-24T23:01Z 250.7K followers, 519.9K engagements "The war against mRNA research is genuinely insane. The mRNA COVID vaccines were a spectacular success at reducing severe illness among adults. Their benefits outside of COVID remain uncertain. Thats what the science is for. Instead according to the NYT: - States and federal health agencies are playing on public wariness about vaccines to cancel research into mRNA more broadly - The N.I.H. had already canceled or paused many grants studying mRNA vaccines and asked for an accounting of all other research it funds on mRNA which scientists fear is a step toward terminating federal funding -" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1920458593091932475) 2025-05-08T12:39Z 250.7K followers, 632.6K engagements "New SF public school plan would - eliminate homework and weekly tests from counting toward semester grade - allow students to take the final exam multiple times - convert all B grades into As and all Fs into Cs Its hard to see the difference between this policy and what youd get if a bunch of 10yos locked the teachers in a closet and rewrote the rules. Here's detail on #SFUSD Grading for #Equity plan briefly discussed @ tonite's #school board meeting. Coming to [--] high schools in August. Homework attendance not counted toward academic grade. Scrutiny needed. https://t.co/E0HMsnrdTV @SFParents" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1927700160337117617) 2025-05-28T12:15Z 250.8K followers, 2M engagements "New study: Randomized trial of [---] colon cancer patients found ppl in the intervention group had: - "significantly longer disease-free survival" - a 7%-point increase in overall survival after [--] years - dramatic reduction in new primary cancers The drug's name: Exercise" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1929336380099903830) 2025-06-02T00:36Z 250.8K followers, 353.5K engagements "I think it's rude to over-generalize but my opinion of a lot of left-wing media is unfortunately well-summarized by these two facts: [--]. The Chapo guys refused repeatedly to talk to me and Ezra after we were pitched for their show during the abundance tour. [--]. Now Will insists that my inviting Mamdani on my show to discuss our political disagreements (like half the podcast is about how we don't see eye to eye on housing policy and transit costs) amounts to my total capitulation to the tenets of democratic socialism. If you think the only way to talk to somebody you disagree with is to first" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1937170683240288442) 2025-06-23T15:27Z 250.7K followers, 2.7M engagements "Life in 1776: - heat is such a luxury that Thomas Jefferson cant write in deep winter bc his ink freezes (one reason perhaps why Independence Day is in July) - nighttime darkness is such a burden that George Washington reportedly spent $15k in todays dollars on candles every year (our first POTUS was a literal dril tweet) - fuel is such a burden that firewood is [--] percent of US GDP (more than health care and manufacturing combined today)" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1941894499141115992) 2025-07-06T16:18Z 250.8K followers, 1.2M engagements "Two weeks ago Marco Rubio said USAID has little to show since the end of the Cold War. Days earlier a Lancet study estimated that USAID global health programs have saved [--] million livesnot since [----] but since just 2001" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1944398279753531770) 2025-07-13T14:07Z 250.8K followers, 329.6K engagements "One lesson of DOGE is that a lot of federal govt spending is sent to old ppl (social security Medicare) and affluent individuals/orgs (defense health spending) but the spending with the highest lives saved per dollar spent tends to go to v poor people or to scientists working on ignored diseases So if youre trying to slash govt spending without upsetting old/affluent interests youre (a) going to fail to find meaningful cuts and (b) inevitably gutting some of the most life-giving programs. (And thats bad.) The coolest part of DOGE is that while they crippled medical research and cost-effective" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1950525974627364906) 2025-07-30T11:56Z 250.7K followers, 422.7K engagements "I think a fun running series would be something like: What's that business's actual "business" EG: Airlines don't make money by flying ppl around. The profits come from credit cards. What are other industries whose profit center would surprise most people In this week's @TheEconomist I wrote about the special relationship between US airlines their loyalty programs and their credit card partners. US airlines tend to be profitable but they lose money on their passenger operations. https://t.co/DXcAvuUvfA In this week's @TheEconomist I wrote about the special relationship between US airlines" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1953811098122989990) 2025-08-08T13:30Z 250.7K followers, 1.6M engagements "$400 billion of annualized capex for a high-tech "mirror mirror on the wall who's the fairest of them all" interlocutor" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1955424739939455342) 2025-08-13T00:22Z 250.7K followers, 241.7K engagements "The Biden administration working with social media companies to throttle what they considered COVID misinformation might or might not have been legally principled but it did at least pretend to have a substantive moral argument that was something like "We don't want people to die and we're willing to take drastic steps to block information we believe might lead to their death." The moral argument for the FCC and president going around telling media companies to fire their progressive talent or else risk the wrath of the state seems to be "we believe we were treated unfairly and now we have" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1968672045065191897) 2025-09-18T13:42Z 250.7K followers, 874.9K engagements "Broadway is in trouble - [--] new musicals opened on Broadway last season; none has made a profit - Since [----] [--] new musicals have opened on Broadway costing $800 million; [--] lost money - Jason Laks the president of the Broadway League estimates that the share of musicals that are profitable has fallen by [--] percent in the last decade" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1970176920999338286) 2025-09-22T17:22Z 250.6K followers, 1.2M engagements "Im in the S&P [---] youre into meme coins we are not the same was something you could have plausibly said for a while but Nvidia/Oracles ability to add half a trillion in market cap via rumor suggests the whole thing is a meme market NVIDIAs stock rises by $150b on news that it will invest $100b in OpenAI https://t.co/Wwy5C1GaUA NVIDIAs stock rises by $150b on news that it will invest $100b in OpenAI https://t.co/Wwy5C1GaUA" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1970210727408615903) 2025-09-22T19:36Z 250.5K followers, 141.4K engagements "I love how the FDA statement on Tylenol looks like the top was written by RFK Jr and the bottom was written by very annoyed scientists overruling him Top: Tylenol associated with increased risk of autism and ADHD Bottom: By the way the quality of evidence for this guidance is godawful and all other pain-relief medicines are terrible for the fetus" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1970294473436323936) 2025-09-23T01:09Z 250.8K followers, 1M engagements "me and my female friends think the male loneliness crisis is pretty funny is fine group-chat fodder but it's a weird thing to keep in a lefty essay that's ostensibly trying to figure out how and why men are fleeing the left" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1971204586921988453) 2025-09-25T13:26Z 250.8K followers, 3.4M engagements "New study: Research shows liberals have worse mental health than conservatives. But what if you ask about "mood" to avoid possible conservative stigma around "mental health" issues A: "When respondents were asked to assess their mood the gap between liberals and conservatives disappeared. Conservatives were actually somewhat less likely than liberals to provide a highly positive rating of their overall mood."" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1971631866663841833) 2025-09-26T17:44Z 250.7K followers, 1M engagements "This is one of the more interesting revisionist histories of modern US economics I've heard in a long time. The story I thought I knew about China and the decline of US manufacturing is that opening trade with China created a "shock" to blue-collar labor that moved manufacturing to Shenzhen from Ohio. @pkedrosky offers a (somewhat complementary) counter-history: What also happened is that the broadband Internet build-out of the 1990s required so much capital that it sucked investment away from manufacturing. If that's true then the Trump administration's re-industrialization plan is" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1973757003651485986) 2025-10-02T14:28Z 250.7K followers, 402.9K engagements "this is the hardest i've burst out laughing in the middle of a nyt story in i dont even know how long" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1976357171316261231) 2025-10-09T18:40Z 250.7K followers, 1.6M engagements "What makes me most angry is that there's nothing Americans "get" from destroying USAID in a way that directly results in the death of the world's poorest children. It barely even qualifies as an act of selfishness. We're doing it for nothing. The debt picture is completely unchanged. Being an insanely rich country that controls its own currency means we have a genuinely magical ability to save hundreds of thousands of lives around the world with a budgetary rounding error. And MAGA's like: "No thanks it sounds woke." Everyone should read this story about the devastating consequences of" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1978489812853150189) 2025-10-15T15:55Z 250.7K followers, 825K engagements "The idea that "We're in another Gilded Age" is thrown around a lot and sometimes it's lazy and vague but nakedly corrupt quid pro quo between plutocrats and bureaucratssay a convicted felon helping the president's family make a bunch of crypto money and getting his conviction wiped outis pretty much exactly what the Gilded Age was Trump Pardons Convicted Binance Founder -- WSJ: BBG Trump Pardons Convicted Binance Founder -- WSJ: BBG" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1981410287170224191) 2025-10-23T17:19Z 250.8K followers, 712.5K engagements "Three months ago I wrote that one reason I was paying less attention to the online abundance debate is that I saw a clear and significant "Poster-Politician Divide." That is: Online the response from progressive posters to abundance has been consistently and highly negative. But if you listen to progressive politiciansRo Khanna Chris Murphy Zohran Bernie etctheir response to the substance of the book tended to be much more positive. Today the NYT interviews Bernie Sanders and asks him directly what he thinks about abundance. The screenshot below is his response. You should read it all but I'd" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1985355658061885468) 2025-11-03T14:37Z 250.7K followers, 682.4K engagements "It seems like a natural extension of Sunsteins group polarization theory that without the intervention of strong moderators most sub-Reddits gravitate over time toward conflict and negativity which is why so many fan pages evolve into anti-fan pages" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1989040531909837013) 2025-11-13T18:39Z 250.2K followers, 58.8K engagements "1. Raise tariff [--]. Collect bribes [--]. Reduce tariff It's really that simple. The challenge with describing the economic strategy of the Trump admin is that it's not an "economic" "strategy" it's a "create pain - collect payoff" mafia formula run over and over again and admin defenders have to pretend that Trump receiving personalized gold bars from Switzerland is simply the best way we know to help Iowa farmers https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1989690117129216448 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1989690117129216448" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1989690117129216448) 2025-11-15T13:41Z 250.7K followers, 634.7K engagements "I'm basically an optimist but I find it hard to argue against two claims: a) Screens/social media makes it easier to not pay attention in school b) GenAI makes it easier to cheat in school The combination of (a) + (b) is going to be a huge challenge for young ppl's education. When you layer over that the fact that generative AI tools are going to get more intelligent over a period of time when teen and adult literacy scores are declining I think you've got the basic ingredients of a pretty serious cultural problem" [X Link](https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1920123389777236157) 2025-05-07T14:27Z 250.8K followers, 262.6K engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@DKThomp Derek ThompsonDerek Thompson posts on X about ai, in the, level, china the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance #1193 technology brands #3900 countries 10.14% social networks 5.41% stocks #719 celebrities 1.35% automotive brands 1.35% nfl 0.68% exchanges 0.68%
Social topic influence ai #549, in the 7.43%, level #489, china 4.73%, tariffs 4.73%, if you #3003, money 4.05%, the most #3196, health 3.38%, claude code #531
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @danielcincu @mattbruenig @elinew18 @30homegames @hip_chimp @eoinhiggins_ @mtkonczal @reubenr80027912 @extliqprovider @m_cottone @vitruviusgrind @josephonions @davidshor @rossbarkan @augmentedphoto @jpodhoretz @metroglobeinc @tyler_a_harper @adamjohnsonchi @agstcptl93841
Top assets mentioned Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Spotify Technology (SPOT) DoorDash Inc. (DASH)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"My baseline case is that the AI being built right now is overrated; soon it will be a disappointment; then it will be a bubble; and by the 2030s it will be world-changing. Self-driving cars are a model for this. - In [----] I heard autonomy was [--] years away from taking over the roads. - In [----] they were nowhere. - Even in [----] you could say they were a huge disappointment. - Now they're quietly a revolution. Driverless taxi usage in CA grew 8x in one year and Waymo is expanding to other cities. Californians now travel millions of miles each month in driverless taxis After only two years"
X Link 2025-09-17T17:42Z 250.8K followers, 725.4K engagements
"Im not proposing to report on macroeconomic events that havent happened yet. I cant report on the future. Im saying: These tools are spooky and unnerving and powerful and I want to persuade my industry that AI capabilities have raced ahead of journalists skepticism @DKThomp The only real answer to this question is: "wait". No one knows for sure how AI will transform our lives or where its limits might be. Forget about writing better "hot takes". Just wait for actual data. @DKThomp The only real answer to this question is: "wait". No one knows for sure how AI will transform our lives or where"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:14Z 250.8K followers, 88.1K engagements
"Put differently there were fewer births in China in [----] than in [----] I have been posting repeatedly on X about the extraordinarily fast collapse of births across the planet: in rich and poor countries in fast-growing and slow-growing economies in religious and secular societies under right-wing and left-wing governments with high taxes and https://t.co/bTWWwFyYBX I have been posting repeatedly on X about the extraordinarily fast collapse of births across the planet: in rich and poor countries in fast-growing and slow-growing economies in religious and secular societies under right-wing and"
X Link 2026-01-20T00:25Z 250.1K followers, 428.5K engagements
"Really great tweet. To spell out (my interpretation of) the subtext: having many firms pour gargantuan capital into a winner-take-most race compressing near-term profits while rapidly improving the frontier is pretty much Chinas industrial policy for say EVs. That the US is doing the same in AI but without pressure from the state as in China is pretty interesting. Unsustainable profit-less race to the bottom with American characteristics Unsustainable profit-less race to the bottom with American characteristics"
X Link 2026-01-28T13:22Z 250.1K followers, 208.3K engagements
"https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/01/college-students-movies-attention-span/685812/ https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/01/college-students-movies-attention-span/685812/"
X Link 2026-01-30T15:33Z 250.1K followers, 73.7K engagements
""AI doubling its capacity to do long knowledge-work tasks every [--] months while everybody else annually decimates the ability to pay attention to anything for more than a few seconds" is the sort of scenario that one can probably catastrophize unhelpfully but I can't see how this scenario doesn't produce some weird and probably unfortunate outcomes The attention crisis is so dire at schools right now that film professors can't even get their students to finish movies and the kids don't even look up the plots of the movies they skip so students fail basic in-class quizzes like "what happened"
X Link 2026-01-30T15:44Z 250.1K followers, 178.7K engagements
"A [----] theme I'm watching is AI as a source of inequality at several levels - Highest level: The AI economy (e.g. building data centers) surging while the non-AI economy (e.g. building houses) sputters - Next level: Sky-high valuations of (often private) AI companies -- huge wealth for small number of equity owners - Next level: Across firms revenue per employee surging for the companies most plugged into AI (see tweet below) - Next level: Within firms workers who use AI effectively could outperform their colleagues who are slower to adapt or averse to the whole AI thing generally Revenue per"
X Link 2026-01-30T15:44Z 250.1K followers, 73.3K engagements
"@TheStalwart Just imagine if you could have vibecoded in [----] you might have accidentally built TikTok"
X Link 2026-01-30T18:43Z 250.1K followers, [----] engagements
"My friend @BStulberg has a new book out this week thats the perfect antidote to our age of bullshit-peddling grifters and gurus. Its called THE WAY OF EXCELLENCE and its absolutely wonderful. https://www.amazon.com/Way-Excellence-Greatness-Satisfaction-Chaotic-ebook/dp/B0F6NFVTWLref_=ast_author_mpb https://www.amazon.com/Way-Excellence-Greatness-Satisfaction-Chaotic-ebook/dp/B0F6NFVTWLref_=ast_author_mpb"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:45Z 250.1K followers, 37.7K engagements
"@mtkonczal :) Could someone plausibly interpret the declining share of food away as a sign that Americans are (relative to the past) quite rich and even richer than we feel in a way that might complicate the affordability issue Im genuinely asking and not prepared to defend a thesis"
X Link 2026-02-02T19:54Z 249.6K followers, 20.4K engagements
"A theme I've tried to repeat to the point of annoyance in the last year is that YES Americans have gotten richer in the last [--] years but ALSO rising housing costs have eaten a lot of that growing wealth. The graph below is a brilliant way to visualize that principle. Even after controlling for rising wages the cost of homeownership in the first year has increased for every income quintile. And it's increased by [--] percent for low- and middle-income Americans. Put too briefly: Buying your first house is [--] percent harder than it used to be. Via Goldman Research"
X Link 2026-02-03T13:47Z 249.7K followers, 77.8K engagements
"I don't love to throw around the term "narrative violation" but I think this definitely qualifies: A [----] analysis by the highly respected economist Gabriel Zucman finds that the U.S. has much lower avg income taxes on the poor and meaningfully higher income taxes on the rich than countries in western Europe. Put differently if the U.S. became "more like Europe" the poor would pay MUCH higher income and consumption taxes and billionaires would . well . still basically get away with murder. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018686056120336559 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018686056120336559"
X Link 2026-02-03T14:00Z 249.7K followers, 462.6K engagements
"I'm getting more interested in thinking about the income and wealth inequality implications of the AI boom and wondering if it's conceivable to raise taxes on the rich to raise revenue and reduce inequality but this analysis makes me think it's just really hard to design a tax code that avoids regressivity at the tippy top. Open to thoughts and critiques I don't love to throw around the term "narrative violation" but I think this definitely qualifies: A [----] analysis by the highly respected economist Gabriel Zucman finds that the U.S. has much lower avg income taxes on the poor and"
X Link 2026-02-03T14:05Z 249.7K followers, 72.9K engagements
"This is a crucial point and one that I hope it didnt seem like I was tying to hide: Tax levels dont show spending levels The French eg have much higher average tax rates on the poor and middle income than the US. But that money comes back to many in the form of universal insurance higher childcare spending and a thicker welfare state. Ive attached a slightly wonky but v interesting OECD graph that decomposes consumption across developed counties. Social transfers in kindeg govt health and ed spendingare in stripes. You can really clearly see that a much higher share of poor folks consumption"
X Link 2026-02-03T19:46Z 249.7K followers, 43.1K engagements
"Whats the part of Democrats should try to win seats in more R+1 to R+10 districts and states to stop Republicans and doing so will probably require de-emphasizing or even outright rejecting policies and views that are broadly associated with the left but doing so cant guarantee victory in every case bc elections are hard that you think is wrong Feel free to rewrite it too Im not trying to trap you in my language"
X Link 2026-02-03T20:31Z 250.1K followers, 70.1K engagements
"@jpodhoretz My New Years resolution is to only say nice things to people who disagree with me on this platform so I will only say that Im excited for the editor of Commentary magazine to broaden things out if he thinks perspectival diversity is the key to financial success"
X Link 2026-02-05T15:11Z 250.1K followers, 80.3K engagements
"@mark_my_words92 @jpodhoretz lol that too"
X Link 2026-02-05T15:20Z 250.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@M_Rahmani4 @jpodhoretz my argument is that taking sides can be commercially successful"
X Link 2026-02-05T15:38Z 250.1K followers, [----] engagements
"The Washington Post was more commercially successful under Trump when it was broadly seen as resisting his anti-democratic tendencies. Everybody agrees with this. Conservatives are absolutely welcome to scream at me or anybody else about how liberal bias in the news is bad. But it doesnt change the truth of my observation. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019458005125738760 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019458005125738760"
X Link 2026-02-05T17:08Z 250.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Love Noahs work but I think AI in the near term will solicit and privilege work that is very Nerdy. Getting the most out of Claude Code forces me to structure my requests like a nerd I have to assume Nerdness to get the most out of these tools and I think that might scale and AI will over time tech is to talk to it in a way that is objectively nerd-brained"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:54Z 250.1K followers, 13.5K engagements
"@Dr_Gingerballs aw shoot I forgot to add a link to my newsletter to the tweet thanks for reminding me"
X Link 2026-02-06T02:24Z 250.1K followers, 11.7K engagements
"RT @sundeep: The drone videos from the Olympics are incredible https://x.com/saintliberte/status/2020462945583485254/video/1 https://x.com/saintliberte/status/2020462945583485254/video/1"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:30Z 250.5K followers, [----] engagements
"RT @ramez: One of the impressive things about Mamdani is that he listens to experts and evidence and learns and adapts. He wasn't YIMBY 12"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:23Z 250.6K followers, [--] engagements
"RT @mikeallen: ๐ง ๐ "An American tragedy" --@axios CEO @JimVandeHei on the @washingtonpost's implosion to @DKThomp on Derek's first VIDE"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:05Z 250.5K followers, [--] engagements
"Since Ive gathered that economists told you so are the four most annoying words in the English language lets go with an old standby from American history: tariffs suck for farmers https://t.co/yyPPExUWai https://t.co/yyPPExUWai"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:03Z 250.8K followers, 31.9K engagements
"Everything Bezos has done wrt the Post in the last five years is consistent with a person who is barely paying attention and mostly sees the Post as a minor asset that shouldnt threaten his major assets. Take this hamfisted line below about how data should tell the Post how to succeed and what to cover. Sure fine knowing what readers want is commercially useful. But data tells us what is valuable is so simplistic. Bezos is smarter than that. In the context of businesses he actually cares about he knows the limits of data as a North Star and he has a great line about the limits of data in this"
X Link 2026-02-08T18:33Z 250.8K followers, 200.4K engagements
"@mtkonczal GOOD IDEA"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:23Z 250.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@VitruviusGrind Pretty much Many people are paid to make PowerPoints If a technology can do that faster and better thats economically important. Whether or not translating excel documents into power points is actually thinking is sort of a secondary question to me"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:55Z 250.8K followers, 17K engagements
"I simply do not think that "most tasks professionals currently undertake" will be "fully automated by AI" within the next [--] to [--] months. CEO of Microsoft AI Mustafa Suleyman joins FT editor Roula Khalaf to explain why most of the tasks accountants lawyers and other professionals currently undertake will be fully automated by AI within the next [--] to [--] months https://t.co/yYKzS7NIOP https://t.co/HvA6Q7KgIc CEO of Microsoft AI Mustafa Suleyman joins FT editor Roula Khalaf to explain why most of the tasks accountants lawyers and other professionals currently undertake will be fully automated"
X Link 2026-02-12T16:28Z 250.8K followers, 175.5K engagements
"Some personal news. Today Im leaving The Atlantic after almost [--] years and moving my writing to Substack. It would be convenient for the purposes of crafting an exciting departure announcement to have a dramatic exit story: a fight a grievance a shouting match with an editor that ended with me hurling a bunch of leather-backed Thoreau volumes across the open-plan office. That is not the case here. I love The Atlantic and I'll remain a contributing writer there. But after almost two decades at one publication I wanted to write for myself. The things I've published that I'm most proud"
X Link 2025-06-20T13:18Z 250.8K followers, 1.4M engagements
"@kitledru This was my original hypothesis Its a big deal but the revenue curve wont match the spending curve in X quarters and it will create a pop"
X Link 2026-02-05T19:44Z 250.8K followers, 35.4K engagements
"Almost an impressive level of villainy on display here. If Bezos had hired like Steve Bannon to run the Post into the ground in the cruelest dumbest way killing the sports section in absentia while slinking off to the Super Bowl without telling anybody would be a nice touch NEW: Im told by Washington Post source that executive editor Matt Murray did not know Will Lewis was at the Super Bowl and learned from this photo NEW: Im told by Washington Post source that executive editor Matt Murray did not know Will Lewis was at the Super Bowl and learned from this photo"
X Link 2026-02-06T12:16Z 250.8K followers, 121.2K engagements
"For now the deepfake panic looks like a deep fake panic. For all the handringing about AI and the collapse of reality Trump is getting crushed in the polls and fending off criticism by typically quiescent Republicans because of extremely real videos of ICE and totally fake images of the Obamasand the fact that everybody knows the difference. Great take by @semaforben https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020913330181775662 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020913330181775662"
X Link 2026-02-09T17:30Z 250.8K followers, 34.5K engagements
"@marco_argent yes i think this is what i should do not just make something useful and interesting but also provide a very clear almost second-by-second description of what it took to make it"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:54Z 250.8K followers, 12.1K engagements
"just one more beat here: How is the question "is AI actually thinking" relevant to a consequential question like "what will be the effect of AI on entry-level programming jobs in the next [--] years" or "what level of FY2026 revenue growth at OpenAI would justify its current level of expenditure" https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021584121890287817 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021584121890287817"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:56Z 250.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Yes. Writing is not a second thing that happens after thinking. The act of writing is an act of thinking. Writing is thinking. Students academics and anyone else who outsources their writing to LLMs will find their screens full of words and their minds emptied of thought"
X Link 2025-07-21T01:34Z 250.8K followers, 2.6M engagements
"The AI supercluster's attempt to build a silicon god is driving GDP and government spending on old people is driving the whole labor market. Tapping the sign: "The US economy is a Friday church service: Mostly old people and the attempt to summon the divine." If you exclude Healthcare jobs the U.S. Labor Market has declined for [--] months. Everything is not fine. https://t.co/BRNrf5fII7 If you exclude Healthcare jobs the U.S. Labor Market has declined for [--] months. Everything is not fine. https://t.co/BRNrf5fII7"
X Link 2026-02-12T16:18Z 250.8K followers, 248K engagements
"More seriously once something becomes a meme our best coders dont code its reasonable for folks on the outside to wonder exactly how much of this is 100% on the level and how much is part of an AI productivity bragging rights arms race"
X Link 2026-02-13T12:20Z 250.8K followers, 41.8K engagements
"New newsletter: WHY THE ONLINE AI DEBATE FEELS SO BROKEN Something I've noticed in talking to AI boosters optimists pessimists and skeptics in the last four days is how easily it is for people to talk past each other. What seems on the surface to be [--] great divide between defenders and critics of the technology is really more like [--] great divides that are getting conflated and mushed up with each other. [--]. Is AI economically or occupationally useful to people right nowand can it be currently useful to some people and also useless to others [--]. Does AI technically "think" (And does it matter)"
X Link 2026-02-13T19:46Z 250.8K followers, 78.9K engagements
"This is a great catch by Matt Levine. KPMG is trying to force its auditor to accept less money since accounting work can be significantly automated by AI. But KMPG . makes money . from accounting. So this looks like a company accidentally announcing to the world that its business model is under attack. Matt: "'Auditing can basically be done by Al so why should we pay for it' is not a crazy thing for most companies to think or to say to their auditors. But it is a crazy thing for an auditing firm to say to its auditor." https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021223432965247254"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:03Z 250.8K followers, 910.9K engagements
"I find it somewhat hard to square conservatives' insistence that the Washington Post struggled financially because of its political bias and dishonest reporting when the most successful and influential news media organization in the country is Fox News an openly biased operation that has paid hundreds of millions of dollars in settlements for false reporting. Either political bias and a public record of dishonesty are disqualifying for commercial success or . they're not. (My guess is: They're not) The messy truth as I see it is that 21st century media tend to thrive precisely because they"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:31Z 250.8K followers, 204.1K engagements
"There are still a lot of journalists and commentators that I follow who think AI is nothing of much significancestill just a mildly fancy auto complete machine that hallucinates half the time and cant even think. If youre in that category: What is something I could write or show with my reporting and work that might make you change your mind https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021554685207781736 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021554685207781736"
X Link 2026-02-11T11:59Z 250.8K followers, 633.1K engagements
"When the telephone was invented 99% of the country had no use for it. The technology was patented in [----]. Three years later there were basically no telephones in existence. Thirty years later there were basically no telephones. Household adoption of telephones didn't pass 50% until the 1940s. AI is [--] years old. A majority of Americans say they use it every week. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021593542225731847 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021593542225731847"
X Link 2026-02-11T14:33Z 250.8K followers, 127.8K engagements
"The new AI timeline is playing out as CEOs humble-bragging about how little old-fashioned work their best employees do: December 25: Our firms best coders all use AI February 26: Our firms best coders dont even have to write code anymore bc of AI April 26: Our best coders have founded and manage an average of three other companies using AI swarms. Its mildly annoying Ha ha. But its fine. Were good. Revenue projections are up. September: Our best coders are paper trillionaires. They spend all day watching YouTube in bed. Theyre refusing to come to work. Several of their AI companies have"
X Link 2026-02-13T12:02Z 250.8K followers, 155.4K engagements
"@hedeedit The technology is useful and also maybe a bubble is literally my position"
X Link 2026-02-13T12:03Z 250.8K followers, [--] engagements
"I think its pretty straightforward that AI has business models. Anthropic has enterprise customers. OpenAI has paid subscribers and soon ads. The question isnt is there revenue here but rather is revenue going to catch up to spending in time And thats what question [--] is ai a bubble is all about"
X Link 2026-02-13T19:53Z 250.8K followers, 18K engagements
"The most interesting secret of "Blue Zones" places where ppl live extra long livesappears to be sadly improper record-keeping. The number of ppl living 100+ years just happens to mysteriously drop sharply after the introduction of state-wide birth certification"
X Link 2023-09-12T16:02Z 250.7K followers, 788.2K engagements
"New newsletter: The US economy is splitting in two. Theres a rip-roaring AI economy. And theres a lackluster consumer economy. - Macro: Last quarter spending on AI outpaced the growth in consumer spending - Stocks: In the last two years 60% of equity returns have come from AI-related companies esp the hyperscalers like Microsoft and Meta (per JPM) - Micro: According to Stripe firms on the platform that self-describe as AI companies are dominating revenue growt far surpassing the growth rate of any other group"
X Link 2025-08-07T14:08Z 250.8K followers, 3.2M engagements
"This sweaty online lust to obliterate the judicial system and declare martial law is genuinely disgusting stuff"
X Link 2025-10-05T15:09Z 250.8K followers, 1.4M engagements
"My two cents on the DoorDash discourse. I just spent some time poking around the Consumer Expenditure Survey which is the BLS survey of Americans' spending habits. In [----] Americans allocated 6.3% of their spending to food away from home" which would include restaurants and takeaway. In [----] the latest year with solid Consumer Expenditure Survey data Americans devoted just 5% of their total spending to food away from home. I trust that the NYT has apparently discovered some people willing to spend one-third of their entire post-tax income on delivery orders but it seems that the DoorDash"
X Link 2026-02-02T18:29Z 250.8K followers, 352.9K engagements
"It's interesting if not entirely surprising that you can see the effect of AI in markets from a thousand light-years away while smart economists have to build ever-more-advanced microscopes to identify the marginal effects it might be having on the labor force right now"
X Link 2026-02-04T15:44Z 250.8K followers, 85.4K engagements
"RT @SickosCommittee: In case youre late to my favorite Olympic performance enhancing scandal here are the details of penis inflate-gate"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:44Z 250.7K followers, [----] engagements
"RT @maxwelltani: Will Lewis is resigning as WaPo CEO former Tumblr CEO Jeff DOnofrio is the papers new acting CEO and publisher per mem"
X Link 2026-02-07T23:21Z 250.7K followers, [---] engagements
"RT @PeterTwinklage: one of my favorite pieces from [----] was Thompsons Monks in the Casino. we pushed a generation of young men out of re"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:29Z 250.7K followers, [---] engagements
"RT @almostcmb: Good from @DKThomp on AI unintended consequences. Efforts gravitate towards data rich fields away from unexplored areas. ht"
X Link 2026-02-10T12:36Z 250.7K followers, [--] engagements
"RT @sarthakgh: .@DKThomp is back from pat leave and his first newsletter issue is predictably a banger So much interesting stuff across ev"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:15Z 250.7K followers, [--] engagements
"@ReubenR80027912 Wait youre still on team nothing is happening"
X Link 2026-02-11T11:56Z 250.7K followers, 19K engagements
"@MattBruenig @ModeledBehavior Just make stuff is a perfectly good strategy But you and Joe W etc are making great stuff and still Im seeing extremely prominent writers claim that these tools cant think or whatever. So Im trying to solicit ideas for things to make that would have more persuasive power"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:36Z 250.7K followers, [----] engagements
"RT @deenamousa: College students would need to be paid $59 (on average) to deactivate TikTok for a month but would pay $28 for it to be"
X Link 2026-02-12T02:28Z 250.7K followers, [--] engagements
"@VitruviusGrind @lionel_trolling My position is AI is extraordinary and also very possibly a bubble Theyre separate questions. (So is: Does it think)"
X Link 2026-02-12T14:01Z 250.7K followers, [---] engagements
"Good test for the utility of equity prices as the ultimate leading indicator"
X Link 2026-02-04T15:44Z 250.8K followers, 18.1K engagements
"Even if you take the conservative defense of each ICE killing youre left with We haphazardly scaled up a poorly trained police force to storm into neighborhoods that voted against the president where we antagonize the local population until someone resists arrest and then we kill them which is morally horrendous on top of being an absurd way to do immigration policy"
X Link 2026-01-24T17:59Z 250.8K followers, 1.2M engagements
"I agree it's very funny that just weeks into Trump's strange new respect for Affordability he's out there saying "I want to drive housing prices up." But housing is perhaps the only asset or product in the world that ppl largely think (a) prices should only go up and (b) it should be affordable to anybody who needs it. It would be insane to have this always-appreciating-but-also-always-affordable attitude toward groceries or diamonds or hospital bills or tuition. It'd be nice if Trump negatively polarized folks against this idea the same way he seems quite good at negatively polarizing folks"
X Link 2026-02-04T13:07Z 250.8K followers, 47.7K engagements
"This is a great piece with some mind-boggling statistics. - At Brown and Harvard more than 20% of undergraduates are registered as disabled - At Amherst: more than [--] percent - At Stanford: nearly [--] percent Soon many of these schools "may have more students receiving disability accommodations than not a scenario that would have seemed absurd just a decade ago." As students and their parents have recognized the benefits of claiming disabilityextended time on tests housing accommodations etcthe rates of disability at colleges and especially at elite colleges has exploded. America used to"
X Link 2025-12-02T16:56Z 250.8K followers, 7.2M engagements
"The attention crisis is so dire at schools right now that film professors can't even get their students to finish movies and the kids don't even look up the plots of the movies they skip so students fail basic in-class quizzes like "what happened at the end of the movie""
X Link 2026-01-30T15:33Z 250.8K followers, 1.9M engagements
"In the last [--] years the share of tenured Harvard professors who keep working after they turn [--] has increased from 3% to 43% according to the Crimson. (via @StefanFSchubert's fantastic newsletter)"
X Link 2026-02-02T18:12Z 250.8K followers, 197.2K engagements
"This part of the Matt Murray email to WaPo staffers makes me most depressed about the paper's future. What you've got here is a media company where the owner has not only overhauled strategy but also required that new leadership pursue a Bad Strategy and demonize the very thing that recently made them successful. WP's recent golden age coincided with the paper projecting a clear stance against White House overreach. Even a far-right conservative can see that the "democracy dies in darkness" years saw a boom in subscriptions as liberal readers patronized a news organization that was fiercely"
X Link 2026-02-05T10:04Z 250.8K followers, 201.8K engagements
"Trump is not a very good president and he is clearly not very good at being popular as president but he is very good at making national Republican electeds get in line and shut upor leave. Democrats have a bad national brand and a bad electoral map but the combination of the above set of facts is life-giving for them. NEW: How many Republicans willing to break with Trump are left in Congress I ran the numbers. Out of the [---] GOP lawmakers since [----] only [--] have ever broken with Trump on a key vote. By [----] only [--] were left. By this time next year the group shrink as low as 22."
X Link 2026-02-05T10:23Z 250.8K followers, 245.5K engagements
"for me the odds that AI is a bubble declined significantly in the last [--] weeks and the odds that were actually quite under-built for the necessary levels of inference/usage went significantly up in that period basically I think AI is going to become the home screen of a ludicrously high percentage of white collar workers in the next two years and parallel agents will be deployed in the battlefield of knowledge work at downright Soviet levels https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019484169915572452 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019484169915572452"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:52Z 250.8K followers, 1.2M engagements
"Im still thinking about how to explain my inkling at greater length but this is a good start 4% of GitHub public commits are being authored by Claude Code right now. At the current trajectory we believe that Claude Code will be 20%+ of all daily commits by the end of [----]. The cost of Claude Pro or ChatGPT is $20 dollars a month while a Max subscription is $200 4% of GitHub public commits are being authored by Claude Code right now. At the current trajectory we believe that Claude Code will be 20%+ of all daily commits by the end of [----]. The cost of Claude Pro or ChatGPT is $20 dollars a"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:51Z 250.8K followers, 150.4K engagements
"@ReubenR80027912 You should definitely pay for Claude Code or Codex for one month rather than wonder vaguely about something thats a credit card charge away :)"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:12Z 250.8K followers, 32.5K engagements
"It can design websites from scratch compare bodies of literature at high levels of abstraction get A- grades at least in practically any undergraduate class analyze and graph enormous data sets make PowerPoints write sonnets and even entire books. It can also engineer itself. I dont actually know what thinking is at a phenomenological level. But at some level its like: if none of this is thinking who cares if it cant think"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:24Z 250.8K followers, 520K engagements
"@EoinHiggins_ Is it thinking as humans define human thought is an interesting philosophical question But for now Im much more interested in the consequences of its output than the ontology of its process"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:44Z 250.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@ReubenR80027912 Its very strange that Americas corporate IT departments have proven to be an impediment to high quality AI adoption @kevinroose"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:29Z 250.8K followers, [---] engagements
"Where did I say it makes novel interpretations Comparing academic literatures at a high level of abstractionsummarize this economic paper about fertility trends and then tell me what a sociologist like Durkheim would say about it doesnt require a novel breakthrough just an ability to map meaning across text Getting A- grades in an undergrad class can often mean having basic answers Clearly it can make a website bc you made a website with it Etc"
X Link 2026-02-12T11:31Z 250.8K followers, 11K engagements
"@MichaelRStrain I think you should ask say @deanwball if its as simple as Claude code is worse at coding than every professional software programmer Or ask James Evans at Chicago if good scientists arent using AI Speed is its own talent. The fact that AI is fast is its own skill"
X Link 2026-02-12T13:43Z 250.8K followers, 10.7K engagements
"A big new paper released this week on gender parenthood and income complicates some things I thought I knew about the economy The story I was familiar with from several years ago is that the gender wage gap had stopped narrowing and the economy continued to severely punish working moms. This paper finds: [--]. The gender wage gap shrank by about [--] to 50% in the last two decadesalthough a male-female gap still very much exists. [--]. Work from home has reduced the motherhood penalty especially in "greedy work" careers with long hours [--]. Data now shows that among workers with MBAs dads earn the most"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:26Z 250.8K followers, 39.7K engagements
"I worry that the social penalty of announcing that you believe in nonsense is going down. Its not so much that people are more conspiratorial than ever. Thats clearly not true. Believers in make-believe are an ancient tribe. Its more like a falling social cost to high-status folks saying insane shit and protecting themselves from accusations of insanity by saying all theyre doing is opposing the mainstream media or corporate media. I no longer believe official 9/11 story. Two paper passports did not burn and were found on the rubble but it was so hot WTC7 burned down across the street."
X Link 2026-02-13T23:41Z 250.8K followers, 197.2K engagements
"The accuracy revolution in sports: QB completion rate at record high. Long distance field goals in NFL at record high. NBA shooting across the board. The best [--] free-throw percentage seasons in NBA history are the last six seasons. Even umpiring One of the coolest visualizations I've ever seen-- the evolution of the MLB strike zone from [----] to [----]. The zone has changed dramatically-- going from vibes to nearly matching the rulebook definition perfectly. They're remarkably good. https://t.co/TKy6Vcteyp https://t.co/XV9zmTJbPd One of the coolest visualizations I've ever seen-- the evolution"
X Link 2026-02-14T02:01Z 250.8K followers, 123.5K engagements
"This is just silly. If NPR receiving less than 1% of its revenue from federal government programs makes it "state-affiliated media" does Tesla accepting a $465m loan from DOE and benefiting from EV consumer subsidies make it "state-affiliated enterprise""
X Link 2023-04-05T12:40Z 250.7K followers, 2.5M engagements
"It takes less than two seconds to see that Musks framework Im a free speech absolutist unless anybody threatens to shut off Twitter access in which case Im for or against whatever they want is laughably unworkable"
X Link 2023-05-13T17:22Z 250.8K followers, 1.4M engagements
"Pretty wild if the story ends up being that big pharma was doing clinical trials on diabetes medication and sorta kinda accidentally discovered a weight-loss miracle drug . and then wait oh-by-the-way it's also the cure for addiction Ozempic doesn't just suppress your appetite. I talked to patients who took the drug to lose weight only to also effortlessly stop biting their nails compulsively shopping drinking alcohol and so on. https://t.co/HUSfypuWoL Ozempic doesn't just suppress your appetite. I talked to patients who took the drug to lose weight only to also effortlessly stop biting their"
X Link 2023-05-19T16:47Z 250.7K followers, 2.1M engagements
"I don't think China has figured out any technological magic to building stuff. I think they're like: "It's a train station Michael. What could it cost [-----] man-hours and [--] diggers" And they throw [----] workers at the problem and make them dig and lay steel for [--] hours. How China built a train station in [--] hours. ๐ https://t.co/CwSoYpzoub How China built a train station in [--] hours. ๐ https://t.co/CwSoYpzoub"
X Link 2023-05-24T18:39Z 250.7K followers, 4M engagements
"The Netflix revolution and streaming media is for now one of the most successful profit-destroying interventions in modern business history Profits at the biggest entertainment companies fell almost 90% over the last decade (from $23.4B to $2.6B). Revised numbers from the last newsletter (cc @DKThomp) https://t.co/GFNnHgCbZm https://t.co/Ys2idoZnM4 Profits at the biggest entertainment companies fell almost 90% over the last decade (from $23.4B to $2.6B). Revised numbers from the last newsletter (cc @DKThomp) https://t.co/GFNnHgCbZm https://t.co/Ys2idoZnM4"
X Link 2023-07-05T13:38Z 250.8K followers, 1.6M engagements
"The US has the fastest growth rate of any G7 country. And the US has the lowest annual inflation of any G7 country. And Americans hate it"
X Link 2023-07-06T12:11Z 250.7K followers, 990.9K engagements
"Ive really enjoyed Twitter was never on Team Hellsite and originally rooted for Elon to succeed. But this is a disaster. High debt negative cash flow main biz down 50% annualized subs = barely 1% of old revenue and the plan isTucker TV and Andrew Tate affiliate fees"
X Link 2023-07-15T15:34Z 250.7K followers, 664.2K engagements
"Incredible snapshot of upper-middle-class college anxiety. Elite colleges have affirmative action for the very very rich. Lower income students who are less likely to apply have a small advantage. This cashes out as a clear bias against upper-middle class applicants"
X Link 2023-07-24T12:58Z 250.7K followers, 1.5M engagements
"New paper on happiness in America since [----]. Just fascinating. There are like [----] stories to tell about American life economics and culture in these graphs"
X Link 2023-08-01T16:45Z 250.6K followers, 494.7K engagements
"The year is [----]. Brock Purdy is 157-0. The entire league still thinks he's a system QB so the 49ers can retain him on a cheap $5m/year contract and lavish him with expensive weapons. He is the career leader in QBR. Nobody has any idea if he's actually good"
X Link 2023-09-22T17:49Z 250.7K followers, 420.5K engagements
"2023 study: Our thesis is that a primary cause of the rise in mental disorders is a decline over decades in opportunities for children and teens to play roam and engage in other activities independent of direct oversight and control by adults.""
X Link 2023-10-15T12:48Z 250.7K followers, 5.1M engagements
"Americans at every level of income say they need a 30%-50% raise "to feel happy." Make $50k "I need about 75k." Make $75k "I need about 100k." Make $150k "I need 200k." Make $200k "I need 350k.""
X Link 2023-11-20T11:13Z 250.7K followers, 1.9M engagements
"What is HAPPENING here Between [----] and [----] it appears that average OECD reading math and science scores have declined consistently. This is not (just) about pandemic learning loss. Its not about one US city. Its not even just the US. This is the entire developed world"
X Link 2023-12-12T04:54Z 250.8K followers, 5M engagements
"Amazing chart. [--]. Teens' self-reported relationship with parents is near an all-time high and has generally increased since [----] [--]. Teen satisfaction with life generally rose in between [----] and [----] and went straight down 2012-2020 via @jean_twenge @JonHaidt"
X Link 2023-12-15T20:47Z 250.8K followers, 2.2M engagements
"This sure looks like Republicans saying the border is such an urgent crisis that we are going to ensure nothing is done about it for [--] months while we campaign on the complaint that nothing is being done โ MCCONNELL BOWS TO TRUMP ON BORDER Last night we scooped that MCCONNELL told Republican senators that time had essentially run out on trying to craft a Ukraine-border package. "We dont want to do anything to undermine Trump" said McConnell who can barely utter the former โ MCCONNELL BOWS TO TRUMP ON BORDER Last night we scooped that MCCONNELL told Republican senators that time had"
X Link 2024-01-25T12:52Z 250.7K followers, 433.3K engagements
"it's funny/sad/astonishing that we're in a situation where trump's multiple indictments were political advantageous to him and biden's exoneration is politically terrible for him"
X Link 2024-02-08T21:42Z 250.7K followers, 719.5K engagements
"I wrote about the collapse of face-to-face socializing in in the 21st century. From 2003-2022 American adults reduced socializing by 30%. For teens the decline was nearly 50%. There is no record of any period in history when ppl spent more time alone. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/02/america-decline-hanging-out/677451/ https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/02/america-decline-hanging-out/677451/"
X Link 2024-02-14T17:13Z 250.7K followers, 1.4M engagements
"This is such a provocative chart. 1st middle-aged reaction: yeah culture's gone to shit 2nd reflection: transition to fast/short/exciting culture isnt purely bad. democratization of culture is good. pop replaced symphonies; the beatles are good 3rd: nope definitely bad"
X Link 2024-02-22T17:09Z 250.6K followers, 382.6K engagements
"Austin is building housing like crazy. Rents are down 7%. But rather than frame this achievement as a win for rentersor for the arg that housing prices respond to supply growthWSJ frames it pretty clearly as bad news across the board"
X Link 2024-03-18T13:04Z 250.7K followers, 793.7K engagements
"Whats the best explanation for why all these schools turned against the SAT around the same time and why they all re-embraced standardized testing at roughly the same time (Besides herding behavior) Complete and utter defeat for the anti-test crusaders https://t.co/ubfbg2QTxL Complete and utter defeat for the anti-test crusaders https://t.co/ubfbg2QTxL"
X Link 2024-04-11T17:43Z 250.8K followers, 4.1M engagements
"Homicides are plummeting. In all [--] cities with the most [----] homicidesfor which we have datahomicides are falling. The pandemic crime wave is crashing hard. If these percentage decline numbers were percentage growth numbers it would be the lede of every cable news show"
X Link 2024-04-14T12:39Z 250.8K followers, 4.8M engagements
"It's "interesting" to watch the right-wing outrage sausage get made. [--]. Judge: Trump can attend son's graduation if trial is on track but no official ruling yet. [--]. Trump (lying): Judge told me I'm "prohibited" from attending my son's graduation what an outrage. [--]. People desperate to feel righteous anger when they log online buy the lie rather than spend [--] seconds Googling the underlying news"
X Link 2024-04-16T12:08Z 250.7K followers, 1.4M engagements
"New paper from Norway: Banning smartphones in school - significantly decreased doctors visits for psychological symptoms and diseases among girls - reduced bullying among both genders - improved girls GPA and attendance rates - largest effect sizes were among the poorest kids"
X Link 2024-04-24T14:25Z 250.8K followers, 3.1M engagements
"New Harris-Guardian poll: - 56% say US is in recession (reality: [--] straight quarters of positive GDP growth) - 49% say stocks are down YTD (reality: S&P500 up 12%) - 49% say unemployment at a 50-year high (reality: U3 has been under 4% longer than any period since the 1960s)"
X Link 2024-05-22T13:21Z 250.7K followers, 2.5M engagements
"Where I am: [--]. Biden is running consistently behind not only Trump but also swing-state Democratic senators suggesting he faces not only an R vs. D problem but a Biden-specific problem. [--]. The Biden problem is clear: Voters think he's too old. [--]. There's no plan to fix it. The underlying problem itself is unsolvable: Time is an arrow. The consequence is obvious: Every unscripted Biden TV appearance these days has viral moments of scrambled thinking aborted sentences and logical inconsistencies which testify and solidify the age thing. So the campaign (which I feel some real sympathy for) is"
X Link 2024-07-09T13:47Z 250.7K followers, 1.8M engagements
"One effect of Joe Biden stepping back in the race is that even though were not getting the full mini primary there is suddenly a lot of attention being paid to Democrats who are just much much much much better at delivering bite-size talking points about progressive politics "We're not gonna stay in their frame. We're not gonna play their game. We're gonna call them out for the weird stuff they believe and we presented a different argument to the American public. One where everybody matters." ๐ make this man VP #wewantwalz https://t.co/5lSC76p1cH "We're not gonna stay in their frame. We're"
X Link 2024-07-28T20:00Z 250.7K followers, 544.2K engagements
"Harris now leading in PA/MI/WI in @NateSilver538's latest. Up 1.1%pts nationally"
X Link 2024-08-02T17:56Z 250.7K followers, 1.2M engagements
"I wrote about the urban family exodus. America's biggest and richest cities are losing children at an alarming rate. From [----] to [----] the number of kids under [--] declined by - almost 20% in NYC - about 15% in LA SF Chicago and St Louis - 10% in NoLA Philly Honolulu"
X Link 2024-08-05T13:44Z 250.7K followers, 1.1M engagements
"Lots of directions to go with this positive and negative but I will just point out: There is a genre of 21st century male I have perfected the game of life routine that essentially assumes the absence of other people The routine that saved my life https://t.co/3r6juYJCRb The routine that saved my life https://t.co/3r6juYJCRb"
X Link 2024-08-28T13:22Z 250.7K followers, 4.3M engagements
"re: Scientific American's endorsement of Kamala Harris for president I wish I saw more scientists grappling with the tradeoffs at stake here. In fact a [----] paper found that the journal Nature's endorsement of Joe Biden [--]. "caused large reductions in stated trust in Nature among Trump supporters" [--]. "lowered the demand for COVID-related information provided by Nature" [--]. "reduced Trump supporters trust in scientists in general" [--]. while "estimated effects on Biden supporters trust . were positive small and mostly statistically insignificant""
X Link 2024-09-16T22:39Z 250.7K followers, 1.1M engagements
"For the first time since WWII every governing party facing election in a developed country this year lost vote share via @jburnmurdoch [----] Democrats are the red dot. Absolutely critical context to any postmortem"
X Link 2024-11-07T12:19Z 250.8K followers, 1.9M engagements
"3 true things that are hard to keep in your head but not THAT HARD. [--]. Voters hate inflation and there's been a global incumbency backlash to prove it which played a huge role in Trump's big victory [--]. The U.S. economy out-performed the developed world in growth productivity real wages and beyond [--]. Part (2) remains a strangely uncovered story in part bc popular partisan media roots for teams rather than outcomes. Here's today's WSJ oped page cheering the end of a cursed era when our poor beleaguered s&p [---] only rose . checks stocks [--] PERCENT IN FOUR YEARS"
X Link 2024-11-07T13:10Z 250.8K followers, 439.8K engagements
"New study: An analysis of [---] occupations found that taxi and ambulance drivers had the lowest proportion of deaths from Alzheimersraising the possibility that constant stimulation of the hippocampus used for navigational and spatial processing might be protective"
X Link 2024-12-24T14:52Z 250.8K followers, 705.7K engagements
"I wrote the cover story of the February issue of The Atlantic. It builds on a lot of reporting I did throughout [----] and I'm really proud of it. Its called: THE ANTI-SOCIAL CENTURY The thesis: Rising solitude is the most important social fact in American life today. The historic amounts of time that Americans spend alone and in their homes is reshaping the consumer economyfrom dining to entertainment to deliverywarping our politics alienating us from the realities of our neighbors and villages and changing our very personalities. Here are the basic facts: [--]. In the last few years in-person"
X Link 2025-01-08T14:11Z 250.7K followers, 901.9K engagements
"Why are young peoplein the US and around the worldshifting right I wrote about a phenomenon I call Generation Cthe young people whose experience with COVID's health political and economic crises caused a strong shift right among young ppl across the developed world. In the U.S. between [----] and [----] voters under [--] (and esp young men) shifted [--] points toward the GOP. In Germany France Portugal Finland and beyond young voters seem to be swinging their support toward anti-establishment far-right parties in numbers exceeding older voters. What's going on Probably many things. The world is an"
X Link 2025-02-18T13:50Z 250.7K followers, 1.3M engagements
"Holy crap. Pancreatic is one of the deadliest cancers. New paper shows personalized mRNA vaccines can induce durable anticancer T cells that attack pancreatic cancer. 75% of patients cancer free at three years. #mRNAvaccines for #PancreaticCancer (PDAC) PART4 [--]. Out today in @Nature https://t.co/NhpkJeaQYb ๐งต๐๐ฝ 1/23 #mRNAvaccines for #PancreaticCancer (PDAC) PART4 [--]. Out today in @Nature https://t.co/NhpkJeaQYb ๐งต๐๐ฝ 1/23"
X Link 2025-02-27T15:52Z 250.7K followers, 4.1M engagements
"The policy chaos I think Ill survive. Watching Trumpsplainers rapturously praise each set of tariffs with the same energy they use to praise their cancellationand then praise their reinstatement and recancellation and re-reinstatement and re-recancellingmight actually kill me. BREAKING: US Commerce Secretary Lutnick says Trump may roll back Canada and Mexico tariffs tomorrow BREAKING: US Commerce Secretary Lutnick says Trump may roll back Canada and Mexico tariffs tomorrow"
X Link 2025-03-05T00:06Z 250.7K followers, 486K engagements
"I have no idea how this affects Musks behavior in Washington but the situation with Tesla is - total unit sales declined in [----] - meanwhile he did his very best to alienate Democratic consumers - then Tesla sales in Europe fell 50% - then Tesla shipments in China fell 49% Holy shit Tesla is just getting absolutely annihilated in China. https://t.co/gyvScNuX1W Holy shit Tesla is just getting absolutely annihilated in China. https://t.co/gyvScNuX1W"
X Link 2025-03-05T13:30Z 250.7K followers, 584.3K engagements
"Telling Americans were gonna abolish taxes and also find trillions of dollars lying around in tariff payments is sort of like telling my kid I stole her nose and found it behind her ear; it only works if the subject doesnt understand how anything works. My daughters excuse is shes [--] months old. Im not sure what the administrations excuse is. Lutnick: Tariffs are going to drive America better. Wouldn't it be amazing to stop paying taxes to the internal revenue service and have the external revenue service of make America great again replace our taxes That is the goal of Donald Trump"
X Link 2025-03-06T13:07Z 250.7K followers, 381.2K engagements
"Our entire trade policy seems to be driven by our presidents deep fondness for being on the phone. Guy just loves phone calls. The more the better. A whole geopolitical paradigm built on loving to press receiver-to-ear and hear Donald Ive GOT to talk to you on the line. TRUMP: "After speaking with President Claudia Sheinbaum of Mexico I have agreed that Mexico will not be required to pay Tariffs on anything that falls under the USMCA Agreement." TRUMP: "After speaking with President Claudia Sheinbaum of Mexico I have agreed that Mexico will not be required to pay Tariffs on anything that"
X Link 2025-03-06T16:40Z 250.7K followers, 444.1K engagements
"Nobody knows whats going on. Youve prominent Trumpsplainers saying the goal of the tariffs is to raise trillions in revenue and move us off income taxes. Youve got folks who seem super plugged into the Trump-tech alliance like Palmer saying no no no the goal is the opposite: a world of no tariffs and fully free trade . These are completely incompatible goals. You cant raise govt revenue over a ten year horizon with a tax that is designed to disappear. Theres no playbook to see here. Theres no smoke filled room. Nobody knows whats going on and the market knows that nobody knows and thateven"
X Link 2025-04-02T22:22Z 250.7K followers, 841K engagements
"approaching and surpassing frightening level of Veep"
X Link 2025-04-03T00:02Z 250.7K followers, 565.3K engagements
"Every defense of the Trump tariffs is at odds with the actual underlying policy. Like how do you go into office thinking "We must build a durable and dependable supply chain that reduces our reliance on China a geopolitical adversary" and then - attack the CHIPS and Science Act which had already brought chip-factory construction to all-time highs - kick us off with 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada - antagonize Canada with threats of invasion - announce new tariffs on Europe - raise tariffs on Asian countries where US suppliers have moved factories in order to diversify away from China - send"
X Link 2025-04-08T13:21Z 250.8K followers, 405.7K engagements
"Imagine trying to manage a supply chain right now. Every [--] hours the White House is announcing or un-announcing or re-announcing or creating massive carve outs to a new trade rule. Why would anyone anywhere build a new factory under these conditions BREAKING: President Donald Trumps administration exempted smartphones computers and other electronics from its so-called reciprocal tariffs in win for Apple (and shoppers). This lowers the China tariff from 125%. https://t.co/PpOZ8zfk1t BREAKING: President Donald Trumps administration exempted smartphones computers and other electronics from its"
X Link 2025-04-12T13:23Z 250.7K followers, 1.4M engagements
"We really did it. We took a growing US manufacturing economy declared it broken started a trade war and . broke US manufacturing. In last [--] hours: - Philly Fed Survey: "New orders fell sharply from [---] in March to [-----] its lowest reading since April 2020" - NY Fed Survey: Expected orders and shipments plunging Again this is a policy to revive US manufacturing"
X Link 2025-04-17T15:08Z 250.8K followers, 1M engagements
"Gutting scientific funding and scaring away talented immigrants while raising the cost of manufacturing stuff in America is genuinely like something wed be forced to do after losing a war to a geopolitical adversary that deviously sought to hamstring US technological power for generation. 55% proposed budget cut to the NSF. 40% proposed budget cut to the NIH. This will not lead to American dominance in science and technology. https://t.co/6eGR59YQCW 55% proposed budget cut to the NSF. 40% proposed budget cut to the NIH. This will not lead to American dominance in science and technology."
X Link 2025-04-24T23:01Z 250.7K followers, 519.9K engagements
"The war against mRNA research is genuinely insane. The mRNA COVID vaccines were a spectacular success at reducing severe illness among adults. Their benefits outside of COVID remain uncertain. Thats what the science is for. Instead according to the NYT: - States and federal health agencies are playing on public wariness about vaccines to cancel research into mRNA more broadly - The N.I.H. had already canceled or paused many grants studying mRNA vaccines and asked for an accounting of all other research it funds on mRNA which scientists fear is a step toward terminating federal funding -"
X Link 2025-05-08T12:39Z 250.7K followers, 632.6K engagements
"New SF public school plan would - eliminate homework and weekly tests from counting toward semester grade - allow students to take the final exam multiple times - convert all B grades into As and all Fs into Cs Its hard to see the difference between this policy and what youd get if a bunch of 10yos locked the teachers in a closet and rewrote the rules. Here's detail on #SFUSD Grading for #Equity plan briefly discussed @ tonite's #school board meeting. Coming to [--] high schools in August. Homework attendance not counted toward academic grade. Scrutiny needed. https://t.co/E0HMsnrdTV @SFParents"
X Link 2025-05-28T12:15Z 250.8K followers, 2M engagements
"New study: Randomized trial of [---] colon cancer patients found ppl in the intervention group had: - "significantly longer disease-free survival" - a 7%-point increase in overall survival after [--] years - dramatic reduction in new primary cancers The drug's name: Exercise"
X Link 2025-06-02T00:36Z 250.8K followers, 353.5K engagements
"I think it's rude to over-generalize but my opinion of a lot of left-wing media is unfortunately well-summarized by these two facts: [--]. The Chapo guys refused repeatedly to talk to me and Ezra after we were pitched for their show during the abundance tour. [--]. Now Will insists that my inviting Mamdani on my show to discuss our political disagreements (like half the podcast is about how we don't see eye to eye on housing policy and transit costs) amounts to my total capitulation to the tenets of democratic socialism. If you think the only way to talk to somebody you disagree with is to first"
X Link 2025-06-23T15:27Z 250.7K followers, 2.7M engagements
"Life in 1776: - heat is such a luxury that Thomas Jefferson cant write in deep winter bc his ink freezes (one reason perhaps why Independence Day is in July) - nighttime darkness is such a burden that George Washington reportedly spent $15k in todays dollars on candles every year (our first POTUS was a literal dril tweet) - fuel is such a burden that firewood is [--] percent of US GDP (more than health care and manufacturing combined today)"
X Link 2025-07-06T16:18Z 250.8K followers, 1.2M engagements
"Two weeks ago Marco Rubio said USAID has little to show since the end of the Cold War. Days earlier a Lancet study estimated that USAID global health programs have saved [--] million livesnot since [----] but since just 2001"
X Link 2025-07-13T14:07Z 250.8K followers, 329.6K engagements
"One lesson of DOGE is that a lot of federal govt spending is sent to old ppl (social security Medicare) and affluent individuals/orgs (defense health spending) but the spending with the highest lives saved per dollar spent tends to go to v poor people or to scientists working on ignored diseases So if youre trying to slash govt spending without upsetting old/affluent interests youre (a) going to fail to find meaningful cuts and (b) inevitably gutting some of the most life-giving programs. (And thats bad.) The coolest part of DOGE is that while they crippled medical research and cost-effective"
X Link 2025-07-30T11:56Z 250.7K followers, 422.7K engagements
"I think a fun running series would be something like: What's that business's actual "business" EG: Airlines don't make money by flying ppl around. The profits come from credit cards. What are other industries whose profit center would surprise most people In this week's @TheEconomist I wrote about the special relationship between US airlines their loyalty programs and their credit card partners. US airlines tend to be profitable but they lose money on their passenger operations. https://t.co/DXcAvuUvfA In this week's @TheEconomist I wrote about the special relationship between US airlines"
X Link 2025-08-08T13:30Z 250.7K followers, 1.6M engagements
"$400 billion of annualized capex for a high-tech "mirror mirror on the wall who's the fairest of them all" interlocutor"
X Link 2025-08-13T00:22Z 250.7K followers, 241.7K engagements
"The Biden administration working with social media companies to throttle what they considered COVID misinformation might or might not have been legally principled but it did at least pretend to have a substantive moral argument that was something like "We don't want people to die and we're willing to take drastic steps to block information we believe might lead to their death." The moral argument for the FCC and president going around telling media companies to fire their progressive talent or else risk the wrath of the state seems to be "we believe we were treated unfairly and now we have"
X Link 2025-09-18T13:42Z 250.7K followers, 874.9K engagements
"Broadway is in trouble - [--] new musicals opened on Broadway last season; none has made a profit - Since [----] [--] new musicals have opened on Broadway costing $800 million; [--] lost money - Jason Laks the president of the Broadway League estimates that the share of musicals that are profitable has fallen by [--] percent in the last decade"
X Link 2025-09-22T17:22Z 250.6K followers, 1.2M engagements
"Im in the S&P [---] youre into meme coins we are not the same was something you could have plausibly said for a while but Nvidia/Oracles ability to add half a trillion in market cap via rumor suggests the whole thing is a meme market NVIDIAs stock rises by $150b on news that it will invest $100b in OpenAI https://t.co/Wwy5C1GaUA NVIDIAs stock rises by $150b on news that it will invest $100b in OpenAI https://t.co/Wwy5C1GaUA"
X Link 2025-09-22T19:36Z 250.5K followers, 141.4K engagements
"I love how the FDA statement on Tylenol looks like the top was written by RFK Jr and the bottom was written by very annoyed scientists overruling him Top: Tylenol associated with increased risk of autism and ADHD Bottom: By the way the quality of evidence for this guidance is godawful and all other pain-relief medicines are terrible for the fetus"
X Link 2025-09-23T01:09Z 250.8K followers, 1M engagements
"me and my female friends think the male loneliness crisis is pretty funny is fine group-chat fodder but it's a weird thing to keep in a lefty essay that's ostensibly trying to figure out how and why men are fleeing the left"
X Link 2025-09-25T13:26Z 250.8K followers, 3.4M engagements
"New study: Research shows liberals have worse mental health than conservatives. But what if you ask about "mood" to avoid possible conservative stigma around "mental health" issues A: "When respondents were asked to assess their mood the gap between liberals and conservatives disappeared. Conservatives were actually somewhat less likely than liberals to provide a highly positive rating of their overall mood.""
X Link 2025-09-26T17:44Z 250.7K followers, 1M engagements
"This is one of the more interesting revisionist histories of modern US economics I've heard in a long time. The story I thought I knew about China and the decline of US manufacturing is that opening trade with China created a "shock" to blue-collar labor that moved manufacturing to Shenzhen from Ohio. @pkedrosky offers a (somewhat complementary) counter-history: What also happened is that the broadband Internet build-out of the 1990s required so much capital that it sucked investment away from manufacturing. If that's true then the Trump administration's re-industrialization plan is"
X Link 2025-10-02T14:28Z 250.7K followers, 402.9K engagements
"this is the hardest i've burst out laughing in the middle of a nyt story in i dont even know how long"
X Link 2025-10-09T18:40Z 250.7K followers, 1.6M engagements
"What makes me most angry is that there's nothing Americans "get" from destroying USAID in a way that directly results in the death of the world's poorest children. It barely even qualifies as an act of selfishness. We're doing it for nothing. The debt picture is completely unchanged. Being an insanely rich country that controls its own currency means we have a genuinely magical ability to save hundreds of thousands of lives around the world with a budgetary rounding error. And MAGA's like: "No thanks it sounds woke." Everyone should read this story about the devastating consequences of"
X Link 2025-10-15T15:55Z 250.7K followers, 825K engagements
"The idea that "We're in another Gilded Age" is thrown around a lot and sometimes it's lazy and vague but nakedly corrupt quid pro quo between plutocrats and bureaucratssay a convicted felon helping the president's family make a bunch of crypto money and getting his conviction wiped outis pretty much exactly what the Gilded Age was Trump Pardons Convicted Binance Founder -- WSJ: BBG Trump Pardons Convicted Binance Founder -- WSJ: BBG"
X Link 2025-10-23T17:19Z 250.8K followers, 712.5K engagements
"Three months ago I wrote that one reason I was paying less attention to the online abundance debate is that I saw a clear and significant "Poster-Politician Divide." That is: Online the response from progressive posters to abundance has been consistently and highly negative. But if you listen to progressive politiciansRo Khanna Chris Murphy Zohran Bernie etctheir response to the substance of the book tended to be much more positive. Today the NYT interviews Bernie Sanders and asks him directly what he thinks about abundance. The screenshot below is his response. You should read it all but I'd"
X Link 2025-11-03T14:37Z 250.7K followers, 682.4K engagements
"It seems like a natural extension of Sunsteins group polarization theory that without the intervention of strong moderators most sub-Reddits gravitate over time toward conflict and negativity which is why so many fan pages evolve into anti-fan pages"
X Link 2025-11-13T18:39Z 250.2K followers, 58.8K engagements
"1. Raise tariff [--]. Collect bribes [--]. Reduce tariff It's really that simple. The challenge with describing the economic strategy of the Trump admin is that it's not an "economic" "strategy" it's a "create pain - collect payoff" mafia formula run over and over again and admin defenders have to pretend that Trump receiving personalized gold bars from Switzerland is simply the best way we know to help Iowa farmers https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1989690117129216448 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1989690117129216448"
X Link 2025-11-15T13:41Z 250.7K followers, 634.7K engagements
"I'm basically an optimist but I find it hard to argue against two claims: a) Screens/social media makes it easier to not pay attention in school b) GenAI makes it easier to cheat in school The combination of (a) + (b) is going to be a huge challenge for young ppl's education. When you layer over that the fact that generative AI tools are going to get more intelligent over a period of time when teen and adult literacy scores are declining I think you've got the basic ingredients of a pretty serious cultural problem"
X Link 2025-05-07T14:27Z 250.8K followers, 262.6K engagements
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/creator/twitter::DKThomp