#  @CAndreisen Charles Andriesen Charles Andriesen posts on X about stocks, $spy, $qqq, inflation the most. They currently have [------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1070830942791421952/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] -76% - [--] Month [-------] +8,684% - [--] Months [-------] +406% - [--] Year [-------] +42% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1070830942791421952/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] +35% - [--] Month [--] +145% - [--] Months [---] +97% - [--] Year [---] -43% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1070830942791421952/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] -0.07% - [--] Month [-----] -0.21% - [--] Months [-----] -0.76% - [--] Year [-----] +5.20% ### CreatorRank: undefined [#](/creator/twitter::1070830942791421952/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) [stocks](/list/stocks) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [countries](/list/countries) [currencies](/list/currencies) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands) [us election](/list/us-election) **Social topic influence** [stocks](/topic/stocks), [$spy](/topic/$spy), [$qqq](/topic/$qqq), [inflation](/topic/inflation), [$iwm](/topic/$iwm), [money](/topic/money), [$nvda](/topic/$nvda), [$aapl](/topic/$aapl), [$tlt](/topic/$tlt), [nvda](/topic/nvda) **Top assets mentioned** [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Rally (RLY)](/topic/rally) [Robonomics Network (XRT)](/topic/$xrt) [SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK)](/topic/$arkk) [Spacemesh (SMH)](/topic/$smh) [Metadium (META)](/topic/$meta) [Netflix Inc (NFLX)](/topic/$nflx) [Walmart, Inc. (WMT)](/topic/$wmt) [Decentral Games (DG)](/topic/$dg) [FedEx Corporation (FDX)](/topic/$fdx) [Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (WBA)](/topic/$wba) [Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)](/topic/uber) [UnitedHealth Group (UNH)](/topic/$unh) [Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF)](/topic/$anf) [Nike Inc (NKE)](/topic/$nke) [DeepBrain Chain (DBC)](/topic/$dbc) [Super Micro Computer, Inc. Common Stock (SMCI)](/topic/$smci) [Target Corporation (TGT)](/topic/$tgt) [Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)](/topic/$dltr) [Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)](/topic/$sbux) [PolkaBridge (PBR)](/topic/$pbr) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@FedExHelp Why is $FedEx stock so low Why can't it maintain upward price momentum" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1263577250068234242) 2020-05-21T21:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "It's amazing that people seriously think in an environment of rampant inflation where the middle class is barely surviving that "retail" traders are gambling the little money they have left trying to squeeze stocks. That cohort is way underwater and is selling all rallies 🤣 $SPX" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1557053641155981312) 2022-08-09T17:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Hope everyone had a happy thanksgiving. Things are setting up well for equity bulls as long bond yields continue to fall which will serve as fuel for a solid rally regardless of fundamentals as market multiple sees a nice bullish expansion back towards 20x earnings $SPY $QQQ" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1595985425503383555) 2022-11-25T03:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Dont agree that this is consensus. Inflations path is still the major debate of [----]. But if this mornings inflation numbers out of Germany is any sign of trend then perhaps inflation will fall like a rock. Yields down and equity futures up on that news $SPY $QQQ $IWM Falling inflation combined with a recession that gets the Fed/Govt to pivot causing markets to soar is the overwhelming consensus view in [----] not contrarian. This is the [----] bull story because cheap money matters more than the economy's prospects. Falling inflation combined with a recession that gets the Fed/Govt to pivot" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1610204520877031430) 2023-01-03T09:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I guess the reactions in $JBHT $ALLY $LULU $KEY $MSFT and $COF werent enough dude seriously looking for more evidence in bad earnings being ignored before he believes the rally🤦♂. And since when does the broader chip space move heavily in response to $INTC anyway 😂" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1618841780438589440) 2023-01-27T05:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$SNAP recovers all of post-earnings day sell-off on the back of revived investor focused attitude from $META earnings. Irrational price action to say the least" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1621161427095683077) 2023-02-02T14:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The [----] price would be the spot trend buyers "should" begin buying the dip. Last time price visited this trendline it wasn't able to get much traction away from it for [--] trading days. Next level of support lies around 3945-3940 which Mark Newton mentioned in a note $SPY $SPX" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1628495017403895808) 2023-02-22T20:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Today is an interesting day with respect to sentiment in my opinion. Bearish Mike Wilson capitulates and says bounce from 200dma could have more legs. Joe Terranova who is not even short is almost brought to tears on TV as he capitulates and adds to tech; $QQQ $AAPL and $TWLO" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1632803052515397633) 2023-03-06T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "In [----] on May 17th into 18th when $WMT and $TGT badly missed earnings back-to-back it caused the broad market to sell off by nearly 4% in a single day. This was during a time when wheat and oil were pressing fresh 52-wk highs with inflation raging" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1633941400348917761) 2023-03-09T21:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Jim Cramer blaming morning market weakness on so-called short selling last night is absurd. Blaming manipulation is the excuse of the loser just be on the right side of the manipulation. If there is any manipulation occurring in this market it definitely isnt to the downside 🤣" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1649027605545492481) 2023-04-20T12:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "295 was the level to wait for to be short so Im short $MCD in pre-market trading at $295 and change targeting [---] closing stop [---]. I am seeing more individual market components obeying technical levels very cleanly. I dont think $MCD will buck the trend. @loic_brismeur I don't see a short setup on the chart of $MCD. It looks like it is broke out of a 5-month base with room up to [---]. Fundamentally it's still viewed as a recession resilient stock being a provider of relatively cheap fast food. $AAPL sells expensive discretionary electronics @loic_brismeur I don't see a short setup on the" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1650835909577957376) 2023-04-25T12:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Downtrend line connecting ATH with Feb [----] high comes in at [----] today. If it gets breached with gusto it opens door to uptrend line connecting October [----] and March [----] lows in the mid-to-low 3900s. The [--] and 200DMAs haven't acted as meaningful reaction points lately $SPY" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1650914633207934976) 2023-04-25T17:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Every time there has been hype over a regional bank failure or a major cyclical like $UPS reports a slowdown in business there is a knee jerk reaction in markets to push the recession trade (i.e. buy bonds short commodities) I think this panicky reaction to such events will fade" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1655560500338655233) 2023-05-08T13:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@MacroAlf Small cap index is down slightly on the year equal weight SPX is flat on the year. Both smallcaps and equal weight SPX are trading below their 200-day moving averages Even the equal weight Nasdaq100 is only slightly above its 200day moving average. The market is very top heavy" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1656709918295232512) 2023-05-11T17:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BecauseBitcoin $NVDA is expected to earn about $20 per share by [----]. That would be an over 4x increase in earnings over [--] years making $NVDAs price today reasonable" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1658582645285199872) 2023-05-16T21:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@The_Wheel_HiLo @BecauseBitcoin You may disagree but as a trader your job is to understand why price is doing what it's doing so you can better understand the factors that might cause price to turn or keep heading higher. Crying about $NVDA being too "expensive" like most on FinTwit won't help you make money" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1658584434264911872) 2023-05-16T21:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@dampedspring $MSFT is expected to earn [-----] per share by FY [----] a total growth of about 99% over the 5-year period. Stock is not expensive when viewed from that perspective" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1658585555666616320) 2023-05-16T21:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@dampedspring The people voting in these polls must not pay any attention to what the professional analyst community says about these big tech stocks. $NVDA expected to grow EPS by over 200% over next [--] years. For $GOOG they expect 100% EPS growth. The rallies in these stocks isn't for nothing" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1658587480072003584) 2023-05-16T21:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@The_Wheel_HiLo @BecauseBitcoin If those long term earnings estimates are causing the stock to move today then they matter to short term traders. $NVDA has gone on this huge run because they are expected to compound EPS growth at over 30% for multiple years in the near future not just this year" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1658590414595833856) 2023-05-16T21:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@profplum99 @dampedspring The hope is $MSFT is still growing EPS at a similar rate in [--] years time even if its achieved through free cashflow financed share buybacks. If they keep up the growth then the multiple can stay elevated in the future all else equal" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1658615939469017088) 2023-05-16T23:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@profplum99 Their earnings growth wouldnt happen in a vacuum. Worldwide money printing by central banks would presumably make other companies and nations grow in similar proportions. Similar comments were made when $AAPL was worth $700b in [----]. It has more than tripled since" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1658625196969058305) 2023-05-17T00:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@RJRCapital $AAPL relative strength vs the Russell3000 is still at an all time high. Nothing outperforms every single day/week. There will be small periods of relative lag" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1658924698812694529) 2023-05-17T19:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@alphatrends Do you ever look at rolling VWAPs The rolling 1-year VWAPs reflected onto the weekly charts were absolutely money in nailing bottoms in $QQQ $TSLA and $NVDA a few months back. Now it looks like $QCOM is about to put in a major bottom" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1658951555578736640) 2023-05-17T21:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@OffTheRunTrades @Convertbond Consumers even trading down on food from beef to pork and chicken all so they can buy that new $1200 iPhone 🤣 $AAPL $TSN $XRT" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1659646323258454016) 2023-05-19T19:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "There a few reasons to believe $QCOM has seen a long bottom today. Making a 22-year relative strength low against the $SMH is one of them. I'm long $QCOM from [------]. I'll be stopped out if it closes below 100.50" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1661762567747022851) 2023-05-25T15:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Feels like $NVDA is gearing up for a blowoff move similar to $GME in early [----]. Daily RSI could take out mid-to-high 90s. Wouldnt be shocked if $NVDA traded 600-800 within coming [--] weeks" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1663543129126076417) 2023-05-30T13:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@ChuckyOrwell $GME collapsed relative to the peak of the blowoff top but it wasnt a total collapse of the entire move. If $NVDA were to take similarly path it would jump briefly to say [---] but then just settle back around [---] for a long time. Most bears wouldnt make meaningful money on that" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1663544515486158848) 2023-05-30T13:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Crude oil $USO down nearly 4% this morning suggesting upcoming statistics regarding Memorial Day travel will be weaker than expected. $JETS up 0.71% and $OOTO flat might just reflect that large corporates have cut costs to the bone and are less operationally sensitive to demand" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1663563873834913794) 2023-05-30T15:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@bootsiejones It's sad but these retailers will just start closing stores like $WMT has done in parts of Chicago and Portland. Some cities in the United States are falling off a cliff it's a tinderbox in some places" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1663668429566652416) 2023-05-30T22:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@BostonAndrew I'm in your camp on $AVGO. there were compelling technical reasons to be short it this morning near [---] and it likely topped today but I was too scared to short it. I wouldn't want to be short individual names without having long hedges to offset. Maybe short AVGO long $QQQ" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1663675419151990784) 2023-05-30T22:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@burner_mikes @BostonAndrew $AVGO reports soon so between now and report theta burn would be minimal direction is what would matter. A potential full loss on a short call spread would be a few times larger than premium lost on a put spread. Although option selling is in vogue it's still a concave strategy" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1663704719930564609) 2023-05-31T00:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@SchmagoogalBZC @burner_mikes @BostonAndrew AVGO has already ran up 19% on the back of $NVDA and $MRVL reports from last week. It is up 28% in two weeks to new all-time highs. Lightning has already struck twice in the chips space with the moves in NVDA and MRVL. Its highly unlikely it strikes a third time with AVGO" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1663738908474241024) 2023-05-31T02:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@noonespecialno How low would you want to buy something like $XLI The time for it to bounce and start outperforming tech is now. If $XLI breaks back below its 200day moving average that would be awful" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1663742536513617922) 2023-05-31T03:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Long $NDAQ at [-----] playing for a breakout above January-April downtrend line will stop out on any close below 54.97" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1663956383161802753) 2023-05-31T17:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Long $WAT at [------] will stop out on any close below 245" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1663962343494266882) 2023-05-31T17:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/4 Now macro players are widely talking about a deep slowdown in consumer spending and retail stocks $XRT are pricing that slowdown in TODAY. If that slowdown materializes in Q3/Q4 of this year and retail stocks rally DURING that slowdown it shouldnt be a surprise" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1664608062123163648) 2023-06-02T12:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@HappyIsAWarmBun Long RTY and short NQ is probably the way to go for a while. 200day moving avg as stop for RTY if just long that outright. Im already long $XLI and short $XLK which is a proxy for that trade. Ill probably add some June 185/190 $IWM call spreads for quarter end" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1665535961273614337) 2023-06-05T01:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Short $TSLA In premarket at [------] hard intraday stop on any bid above 221" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1665711804264206338) 2023-06-05T13:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$LULU has been massively fading off of last Friday's high. Evidence of a slowdown in consumer spending is crystal clear. Wouldn't be surprised if entire Friday rally in LULU is repealed as it undoes more of its $XRT outperformance from summer of 2021" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1665718771775062016) 2023-06-05T13:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$FSLR looks to be on the verge of breaking down. Shouldn't trade above [------] if it's going to" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1665790241901277188) 2023-06-26T16:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Rallies in $XRT are nonsensical given likely deterioration of consumer spending unless of course this view is already priced in. $KRE likely has about 11% upside left to $49.50 purely as technical mean reversion trade which would drive lots of additional upside in $IWM" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1666773794097352705) 2023-06-08T11:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$CMG overpriced burrito company looks like it has a date with at least the 50-day moving average in coming days" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1666856684038557706) 2023-06-08T17:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Out at [--]. Left field acquisition got me $NDAQ Long $NDAQ at [-----] playing for a breakout above January-April downtrend line will stop out on any close below [-----]. https://t.co/vtkm1ORqIw Long $NDAQ at [-----] playing for a breakout above January-April downtrend line will stop out on any close below [-----]. https://t.co/vtkm1ORqIw" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1668250494903685121) 2023-06-12T13:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@AlessioUrban $MSFT made new dividend adjusted all time high too" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1669356074263261185) 2023-06-15T14:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@SpecialSitsNews That makes sense buy call spreads and sell cash secured puts as close to zero cost as possible. If market rallies sharply you have leveraged exposure to upside move if market falls you get long at more favorable prices. If market goes nowhere it didnt cost you much" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1669725426879696896) 2023-06-16T15:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@endless_frank You can't be seriously comparing AI to bitcoin. AI is likely going to add 1% or more worth of growth to GDP on an annual basis. Bitcoin was largely just payments Ponzi scheme that did nothing to increase GDP" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1669784372000747520) 2023-06-16T19:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@stoolpresidente So a 16.6x gain over [----] years. A great trade in its own right but speaks more about financial asset inflation than anything else. Jordan would have actually achieved a superior return had he invested that money in $AAPL stock over that timeframe" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1669927683403431936) 2023-06-17T04:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@allstarcharts There is a massive asymmetry between shorting a 52-week low vs buying a 52-week high. If you had made this list in early January stocks like $MSFT $AAPL $TSLA and $AMZN would have been on them. Shorting this cohort of stocks back then would have been disastrous" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1670248645369921536) 2023-06-18T01:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Ross__Hendricks Bears have been right in terms of direction on about the earnings weakness in [----] but look at the out year earnings revision trends for $AAPL they are strong. Maybe analysts are over optimistic but long term investors wont sell if earnings weakness is believed to be temporary" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1670428512132677632) 2023-06-18T13:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@SpecialSitsNews The bull story on $AAPL is no longer iPhone unit sales its all about the walled garden of iOS users and growing services. Dont forget Apple is basically the only game in town in the used smartphone market. This will help them grow share in emerging markets like India" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1670847163407155200) 2023-06-19T17:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Added $BA [------]. closing stop loss 204" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1671191236391366658) 2023-06-20T16:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@StanphylCap $TSLA has seen its daily RSI break into the 90s on a closing basis on two instances in the recent past. February 4th [----] and November 1st [----]. The stock is a unique and very volatile animal that tends to run farther than people think possible both on the upside and downside" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1671487807741902849) 2023-06-21T11:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I'm short $CRM at [------] closing stop 213.70" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1671535163296329728) 2023-06-21T15:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@AssetReset Today is only bearish if you believe none of the money sitting on recent tech gains would rotate into other areas of the market. For heavens sake $FDX guided revenue lower for the 4th straight report and at its low today it traded back to where it was [--] trading days ago" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1671578997447344133) 2023-06-21T18:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "1/3 The most recent thrust higher last week into the 360s on $QQQ was fueled by anticipation of inflation cooling and Fed slowing/stopping rate hikes. With no more apparent upside or downside catalysts pre-earnings season $QQQ likely consolidates between 357-372 into late July" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1671592308847046656) 2023-06-21T18:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "bought to close for a loss intraday at [------] $CRM" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1671886411480580101) 2023-06-22T14:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Long $KHC at [-----] closing stop 35.57" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1671968950073294848) 2023-06-22T19:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I'm short $AAPL at [---] will add at [---] if it gets there with a closing stop loss of 196" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1672324468105150466) 2023-06-23T19:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "crisis- low rates- lever up on long duration assets like tech stocks or prime real estate Because of still fresh memories from GFC and most recently COVID market participants are now front running any potential crisis by skipping to step [--] (lever up assets) ahead of time" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673311039050625025) 2023-06-26T12:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "If a crisis ever emerges that can't be fixed with monetary easing/fiscal stimulus that would lead to the mother of all financial asset crashes but it's difficult to credibly envision that type of scenario materializing" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673311040959029249) 2023-06-26T12:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$FSLR was already weak and broke down like I thought it would. Now they're coming for more blood in the options market" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673361178129764352) 2023-06-26T16:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@PutSellerPablo [---] was do or die spot on $GS and sellers couldn't even test that at the lows today" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673362928681222144) 2023-06-26T16:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Option bettors believe $FL will resolve the battle around this trendline to the upside" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673381655053225984) 2023-06-26T17:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "First $FL and now $ANF. It appears some market participants are coming to the opinion that the consensus view of a consumer spending slowdown going into the back half of the year even if it materializes is already fully priced-in to stocks $XRT" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673419173379313664) 2023-06-26T19:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Figuring out what is reflected in positioning this year has been a million times more important than figuring out the trajectory of data. Weaker earnings data has not mattered. Consumer spending is likely to slow and perhaps contract into Q3/Q4 but it might not matter $XRT $XLY" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673419175702966273) 2023-06-26T19:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I'm short $VMC at [------] closing stop 216.80" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673686653205106688) 2023-06-27T13:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "End of year consumer slowdown Early [----] recession Not based on recent activity by option bettors. $AMZN September [---] calls lit up this morning" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673695166992121856) 2023-06-27T14:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "More bull betting on stocks sensitive to consumer spending. Each one of these series of large options trades is seeing immediate mark-to-market profit. This round they bought up calls in $ASO" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673742618570940416) 2023-06-27T17:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "covered $VMC for a loss intraday at 219.92" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673771231081033728) 2023-06-27T19:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@AaronRentfrew $PFE has its own unique problems. $LLY $SNY $AZN $NVS and $MRK are all still trading near 52wk highs. $NVO off highs but hanging in. $XLV and $XBI both still trading above [---] day moving averages vs $PFE horrific underperformance" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1673896032609136640) 2023-06-28T03:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@cperruna This has been the case for many stocks in the market this year; $MU $FDX $AAPL etc. Weakening fundamentals have been ignored in the first half with the assumption a positive inflection will occur into the second half and beyond. It's not unique to $ABNB" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674039844560052225) 2023-06-28T13:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "I'm long $CPB at [-----] closing stop 44.55" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674050857812348928) 2023-06-28T13:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The consumer name bullish option bettors are coming after today is $SHOP. Shorter term July spots" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674092904871264256) 2023-06-28T16:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@htsfhickey Last week FedEx $FDX reported 3rd straight Y/Y revenue decline with 5th straight revenue miss along with a guide down in earnings below analyst expectations yet the stock hit a 52-week high today. Trade what the market gives and right now market doesn't care about fundamentals" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674107589750321159) 2023-06-28T17:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Micron $MU breaking below 50dma support despite earnings "beat" fluff commentary about benefiting from AI and analyst upgrades could be a tell. Last earnings it jumped 7% on a miss" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674428582888878081) 2023-06-29T14:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Micron is now flirting with the upper end of a previous lower trading range established after the last earnings report. Still miles away from it but a break below [--] on $MU would be red alert" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674428585061519363) 2023-06-29T14:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Freethepeople25 But the last quarter was much worse than this current quarter they reported and the stock jumped 7% on that. The fundamentals are not what matters how the market reacts to the fundamentals is what matters" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674432815335903233) 2023-06-29T15:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@SpecialSitsNews I wouldn't pop out the champagne bottles yet if you're a $MU bear stock is merely testing the highs following its previous earnings miss from March. If the [--] level holds $MU could be back to printing 52-week highs by next week" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674434121018507265) 2023-06-29T15:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@dampedspring The extent of the drag changes based on whether or not the underlying market is trending. From the week of 3/30/2020 to 11/19/2021 $QQQ was up 2.36x but $TQQQ was up 9.97x over that same time frame. Leveraged ETFs are fine in trending markets but horrible in sideways markets" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674456872357859329) 2023-06-29T16:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@MagaMartirosya4 @dampedspring I know these ETFs are expected to provide only daily leverage but when markets trend that leverage can extend out multi days weeks months etc. 129% is more than 3x 37% that's why I said on a YTD basis it has outperformed what one might have expected the 3x leverage gain to be" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674463949570576385) 2023-06-29T17:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@WallStCynic The move from 7.6x earnings to 14.8x shows the whisper expectation for earnings back on January 1st was probably much lower than [----] the street was probably expecting low low 5s. Price action doesn't "make sense" in many areas of the market but it does for $RCL" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674500699844132864) 2023-06-29T19:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Mr_Derivatives Wilson misestimated the impact a fall in earnings would have on stocks. He has been directionally right on the fundamentals so far: Earnings estimates were indeed too high to start the year and have come down but the market despite already being expensive has ignored it" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674521224251322368) 2023-06-29T21:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Astra5225 @Michael_Khouw He's worse than Cramer. At least Cramer can be thoughtful and coy and knows when to play for the short squeeze. Nathan is so amateurish unthoughtful and super conventional in his trading approach it's shocking. Hard to believe he used to work at Point72" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674545901136924672) 2023-06-29T22:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@gornagraphic Just pointing out that the move in a stock like $RCL makes more sense than the move we've seen in say $AAPL. No stock trades single digit forward earnings unless analysts/investors assuming the forward estimates are too high and will come down. RCL proved that wasn't the case" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674550855897600001) 2023-06-29T23:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@mpelletier32 @Mr_Derivatives Ultimately the affect of so-called earnings beats that are the product of lowered estimates tend to be neutralized by the very lowering in estimates that lead to the beats. In other words stocks usually fall as earnings estimates are lowered but that hasnt happened this year" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674575616669265922) 2023-06-30T00:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@KeithMcCullough Perhaps another possible concern being talked about well in advance that the market will end up ignoring even if it materializes the same way earnings/revenue declines were ignored in Q1. The people who bid up $XRT 12.7% in June are not all ignorant of the headwinds" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1674885892358688768) 2023-06-30T21:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@SpecialSitsNews Its frustrating for folks analyzing fundamentals but the reality is in [----] being "dumb" and blindly riding price trends has made money while selling because of fundamentals has lost money. Price will give you time to get out QQQ is not going to gap down 10% on the open" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1675934192788738049) 2023-07-03T18:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Namzes_G No bear trap on the $QQQ during banking panic. QQQ spent merely two days testing the [--] and 200day moving averages which were golden crossing at the time and hasn't looked back since. The key then was to recognize QQQ was breaking out of relative downtrend vs broad market $IWV" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1676384927322112001) 2023-07-05T00:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@ShortsellerST Its going to take a long time before wages pick up enough to catch up to the more expensive mortgage payments at 7%. There is a world of difference between 7% mortgages at 1980s prices compared to 7% mortgages at todays prices" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1678597696373026816) 2023-07-11T02:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@GoatOfTheWasp @PutSellerPablo Probably Gulliver Prep. Every state has a few elite prep schools where wealthy send their kids to ensure an environment where fellow peers are under similar pressure to achieve high marks academically. If all parents were doing their jobs exclusive schools wouldn't be necessary" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1679142605828026369) 2023-07-12T14:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$FSLR and the clean energy space in general $ICLN have all the hallmarks of a fundamental participant slowly accumulating a short position. Wonder if they get squeezed and how explosive a squeeze might be" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1679147472336322561) 2023-07-12T15:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "People buying bonds as commodities are on the verge of breaking out. Maybe it was this morning's housing starts number or perhaps they buy under the already shown to be false belief that commodity inflation causes core inflation to fall. Good luck with that🤣 $TLT $GSG $UGA" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1681711380179877888) 2023-07-19T17:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@InvestRoiss $CVNA's earnings and debt restructuring were both bullish. A better example would be $JBHT" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1681720018256674817) 2023-07-19T17:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Tim58580200 It seems like every time one prominent name in the Nasdaq100 sees a big selloff a handful of other ones see massive rallies keeping over index bid. $GOOG $AMD $AMZN probably see big bids tomorrow to offset loses in $TSLA and $NFLX" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1681800466257317888) 2023-07-20T00:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The slope of the [---] day moving average in oil $USO has turned positive and looks like it will stay positive. When all the major moving averages slop upward that is bullish. This definitely isn't a positive development for the "inflation is dead" crowd" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1682015645108699136) 2023-07-20T13:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Speaking of "safe havens" this thing has already tripled from the bottom but if #Bitcoin does have meaningful upside left $RVYL probably has at minimum another [--] bagger in it. Technicals look promising. Has been trading in 20% daily range so it takes a strong stomach to own it" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1682028728388571141) 2023-07-20T14:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Mr_Derivatives $QQQ hasn't seen a one day close-to-close decline greater than 2% since February 21st when it closed down 2.37% that day with 10y yields hitting a then YTD high and $WMT and $HD guiding for weaker earnings outlook in pre-market. Admittedly prior bounces off 10dma have been sharp" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1682109569965903872) 2023-07-20T19:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The biggest rebuttal the idea Cramer peddled last night that the selloff in the $QQQ was merely rebalancing related was the decline in the $CLOU etf. It doesnt have any magnificent [--] exposure and theoretically should benefit but it was down 3.6% yesterday and it down 1.2% today Bullshit take: Thursday's Nasdaq selloff had nothing to do with the market's reaction to $TSLA and $NFLX earnings; it was all about Nasdaq special rebalancing Bullshit take: Thursday's Nasdaq selloff had nothing to do with the market's reaction to $TSLA and $NFLX earnings; it was all about Nasdaq special rebalancing" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1682470346010787840) 2023-07-21T19:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Should be market volatility that is suppressed doesn't disappear it just gets transmuted into society. There are no free lunches $SPY $QQQ $XRT $VIX" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1682589835310301186) 2023-07-22T18:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@RJRCapital 2/2 For example did you buy $NVDA after the big earnings beat on their last report Ignoring valuation there was no reason not to. The market never makes it comfortable to buy. When fundamentals are strong market looks too expensive. When market is cheap fundamentals look too bad" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1682953804336218112) 2023-07-23T03:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$SNAP trading slightly below rolling 1-year VWAP in after hours. My guess is it hovers around there for a few trading days a produces a bounce worth trading similar to $DFS. Tricky to figure out where a stop loss should be probably between [-----] to 10.15" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1683954713820303360) 2023-08-03T16:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@AarifKadiwal As for $FL its relative strength against broad market is beyond decade lows but hasnt reached a buy point so I wouldnt buy it yet" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1684318680744701952) 2023-07-31T20:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/3 A rising equity market and the re-acceleration of commodity inflation (i.e. headline inflation) explains this. Food and energy share a greater weight to bottom terciles spend and theyre not reaping benefit from the rising equity market like the top tercile" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1685093984790876160) 2023-07-29T01:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "2/3When broken down rising core inflation with falling headline inflation and stagnant/lower financial markets implies the lower classes are catching up. Falling core with rising headline inflation and rising financial markets implies the advantage of the upper class is widening" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1685093987663986688) 2023-07-29T01:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/ For a few periods in H2 [----] we had the former case now we have the latter so its no surprise top tercile sentiment is rising (rising stocks) while bottom tercile sentiment is falling as core inflation (wages) decelerates while headline inflation (commodity) reaccelerates" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1685093989882683392) 2023-07-29T01:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@boazweinstein Every time a negative shock happens and monetary and fiscal measures are deployed that bolster stock prices investors eventually wise up and come to the realization that there is never really any legitimate reason to ever sell. Why buy insurance Monetary easing IS the insurance" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1685633230341541888) 2023-07-30T12:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@The_Wheel_HiLo Nothing fundamentally has changed for the worse Positioning is no longer a tailwind for stocks here but the truth is positioning should have already began to act as a headwind against this rally since June 20th but market is up 4.3% since then so psychology is driving this" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1686573535609905152) 2023-08-02T03:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@bootsiejones Holding that 200-day moving average beautifully today $GNRC" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1686808532220571648) 2023-08-02T18:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I'm long $PI at [-----] will add below [-----] if it drops there. I will stop out on any close below 55.75" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1687138564113563648) 2023-08-03T16:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "This is such a rare technical position for Amazon $AMZN to be in. Technically the odds are very favorable for a short. Even if it pops on this evening's earnings I would sell that earnings pop hand-over-fist" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1687147922369257472) 2023-08-04T02:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Not a bad spot on $NSA" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1687156002217697280) 2023-08-03T17:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Another name $EXR in the storage space putting in reversal looking candle near should be support area. There has been talk of homebuilders building smaller more affordable homes. Is this a bullish factor for the storage space sellers Maybe" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1687165525947031552) 2023-08-03T18:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I am a seller of $AMZN in after hours if it gets to [---]. Closing stoploss for tomorrow and beyond [------] This is such a rare technical position for Amazon $AMZN to be in. Technically the odds are very favorable for a short. Even if it pops on this evening's earnings I would sell that earnings pop hand-over-fist https://t.co/YFBK7LcJ7p This is such a rare technical position for Amazon $AMZN to be in. Technically the odds are very favorable for a short. Even if it pops on this evening's earnings I would sell that earnings pop hand-over-fist https://t.co/YFBK7LcJ7p" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1687194046345924609) 2023-08-03T20:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Market finally pushing a little against crowded Nasdaq100 positioning. Retail net long $NQ_F for the first time since period ending April 4th. They immediately turned net bearish on April 11th. My guess is they keep buying the dip this time around because of recency bias" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1687553285795045376) 2023-08-04T19:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "It's still early but if selloff in $AAPL holds today I'm pretty confident this is the shortest period of time in its history that $AAPL has gone from registering an RSI reading over [--] to an RSI reading below [--]. Whoever is selling is not even trying to wait for bounces" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1688553834489262080) 2023-08-07T14:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Tim Seymour said it. Apple is a discretionary company not a tech company. On the other hand Apple has outperformed the Russell3000 by over 10x since the financial crisis lows. Buying $AAPL because of tiny amount of recent underperformance is farcical sorry" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1688660616935100419) 2023-08-07T21:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "You know the drill Commodities down + long bond yields down = buy the dip in equities Im a bit more hesitant to say the above because of retail positioning in the Nasdaq100 but keep doing what has worked until it doesnt $SPY $QQQ $IWM $TLT $ZN_F $USO $GSG" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1688879892795203584) 2023-08-08T11:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Bought more $PI at [-----] I'm long $PI at [-----] will add below [-----] if it drops there. I will stop out on any close below [-----] https://t.co/lUT1U9IeHd I'm long $PI at [-----] will add below [-----] if it drops there. I will stop out on any close below [-----] https://t.co/lUT1U9IeHd" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1688941716034949120) 2023-08-08T15:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "If a large enough portion of consumers dont have sufficient excess funds to join in the stock party be it because of outright job loss or merely inflation then perhaps a sufficient condition for a lasting downtrend in equities does exist 🤔" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1688969522186006528) 2023-08-08T17:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "2/Unpopular opinion Workers particularly lower end workers agitate for higher wages when their wages no longer sufficiently cover the cost of necessities like food and energy. Their perceptions about supply and demand in their industries plays little to no role in asking wages" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1689404778030510080) 2023-08-09T22:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Industries like advertising/entertainment etc at their core exist to extract surplus value in an economy. These industries can only exist in environments where people have surplus resources left over after spending/trading for necessary food and energy" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1689455824664739840) 2023-08-10T01:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This is why commodity inflation is so damn important and is perplexing that economists are so quick to dismiss it. Tech gets all the hype but commodities are the bedrock of all economies. Everything else crumbles if an economy is unable to secure enough basic material resources" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1689455826908667904) 2023-08-10T01:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "1/3 Ive seen lots of hysteria over the most senior $UPS driver compensation hike in the recent contract. Ive even heard moronic statements like why bother going to college You are beyond dumb if think this" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1689690657852727296) 2023-08-10T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "2/3 As the pay rate for these positions increase they become increasingly competitive and more difficult to get. The same way getting a job at Google is harder than getting into Harvard getting to $170k compensation at $UPS will be maximally competitive" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1689690659928907776) 2023-08-10T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "So this is the reason why $NVDA rallied 1.85-ATRs and a little over 4x expected close-to-close change today. It had nothing to do with the announcement about Amazon making their own chips" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1691195038141943809) 2023-08-14T21:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Why is Dan Nathan still featured on @CNBCFastMoney I still remember this fight between him and Rich Ross back in [----]. @CNBC kicked Ross out but Nathan should have been given the boot. Rich Ross actually makes people money Dan Nathan losses people money. Being right matters $MSFT and $AAPL have been "good but not great" by their standards. @timseymour @guyadami Dan Nathan and @karenfinerman discuss what a break down in might do to markets. https://t.co/vMts7ZlA5J $MSFT and $AAPL have been "good but not great" by their standards. @timseymour @guyadami Dan Nathan and @karenfinerman discuss what" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1691562013313454310) 2023-08-15T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$NVDA should close above the 10-day moving average (434.47) today. If it closes below that level by more than say 0.5-expected close-to-close move (431.12) that would be bearish but the expectation should be this level will hold" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1691850054720782767) 2023-08-16T16:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Wal-Mart $WMT put up a fantastic quarter. Home Depot $HD is the biggest target of organized retail crime and they keep putting up great quarters. The problem at Target $TGT is the loss of market share. Them trying to blame it on retail theft is a silly untruthful excuse" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1692159000899735813) 2023-08-17T12:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "So a recession has started as quickly as [--] months from the first hike but has also taken as long as [--] months There's no f*cking tradable signal in a dataset like this and clowns like Rosenberg have been over [--] months early and have lost people money" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692187442470891953) 2023-08-17T14:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$AAPL held has cleanly held it's 6-month rolling VWAP and bounced sharply to the upside on 03/02/2023 01/27/2022 10/13/2021 and 06/04/2019. Chances are very high $AAPL will hold that level again this time around [------] (and rising)" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692232916758303068) 2023-08-17T17:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$AAPL 200-day moving average is already in the 160s so the chance of $AAPL trading below [---] is pretty much zero. Buffett would need to sell his stake or Apple would need to suspend the buyback for that to happen" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692256544283582954) 2023-08-17T19:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Chris Hyzy of BofA also saying the Fed will eventually need to turn dovish as growth slows and that will help equities rally in [----]. The Wall-Street crowd is slowly but surely beginning to acknowledge what I have known since November of last year" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692260401654948290) 2023-08-17T19:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Its interesting thinking back on the dot com bubble. Unlike the GFC double-top crash where a movie was made about the successful shorts I never hear about any prominent shorts that profited from the dot com crash. The parabolic [----] rally to stratospheric ATHs killed them all" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692333824582300119) 2023-08-18T00:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The rally of [----] hasnt sent the market deep into new all time highs but its magnitude in the face of should-be valuation crimping interest rate headwinds has certainly taken even the bulls by surprise Fed has a ridiculous amount of power over where stocks go in next [--] months" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692333827098869992) 2023-08-18T00:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/3 A bellwether of discretionary spending is restaurant spend. A simple and high impact way most consumers can save money is by not eating out and preparing all meals at home. @Thrasher66099 @Trader_LD504 @DeItaone Most homeowners are not running out of money to pay living expenses. Many are merely living beyond their means given inflation. Many still have lots of room to cut back on things like travel eating out and other discretionary spending to make ends meet @Thrasher66099 @Trader_LD504 @DeItaone Most homeowners are not running out of money to pay living expenses. Many are merely living" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692490457031545341) 2023-08-18T10:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "2/3 When restaurant chains like Chipotle Wingstop Darden YUM brands etc start seeing revenues fall then you know the consumer is actually tightening their belts and a demand driven fall in inflation is occurring. Right now those stocks are still near all time highs" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692490464585527703) 2023-08-18T10:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Long some $AAPL September [---] calls at [----]. Have to play the probabilities and put on bullish risk at a spot that has been support in the past" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692537583429910637) 2023-08-18T14:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Shorting $NVDA here as close to the 10-day moving average as possible at [------] with a tight stop of say [------] will probably be profitable. I think $NVDA will ride that 10-day moving average lower for a bit longer" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692572114329489467) 2023-08-18T16:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I'm short $NVDA at [---]. I'll be stopped out on any close above 434.70" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692576548258300013) 2023-08-18T16:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Shorted more $NVDA at 432.52" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692617718267105487) 2023-08-18T19:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@hmeisler $PANW" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692627219305148505) 2023-08-18T19:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Superficially price pattern is similar. The key difference is going into $NVDA report on 5/24 every bull was saying its prudent to take profit and there were lots of shorts in the name. Coming into this report analysts are tripping over themselves recommending to buy dip" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692722866356191563) 2023-08-19T02:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Could $NVDA rally after it reports next week Sure. But the sentiment and positioning backdrop for a rally are NO WHERE near as favorable going into next weeks report as they were on 5/24. Shorts to squeeze/ puts to burn are non existent and the buy-the-dip coterie seems crowded" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1692722869921341491) 2023-08-19T02:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Stopped out of $NVDA short at 450.50" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1693619041154498760) 2023-08-21T13:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$SPY poked its head above the rolling quarterly VWAP this morning but so far got rejected. Equal weight S&P $RSP also weak this morning. $IWM already failed to move above downtrend line just as I expected. $NVDA doing heavy lifting on the bull side of S&P [---] this morning" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1693630415490195684) 2023-08-21T14:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Despite $NVDA's great strength $SMH still rejected at its rolling 10-day VWAP this morning" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1693631834792296955) 2023-08-21T14:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "hmmm. Friday data suggests retail in aggregate were small net sellers of tech on the bounce which is bullish. A hysterical bearish flip would mean pain trade points higher. It might be time to lean aggressively long tech regardless of how high rates go $QQQ $TLT" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1693716320553243007) 2023-08-21T20:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@mikeyturley I think the rallies in both $NVDA and $TSLA today were purely technical. There were no new notable fundamental catalysts that justified today's rallies. When technical levels hold like they did I guess people will aggressively chase the bounces. I'm surprised $AAPL wasn't up more" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1693789495110599152) 2023-08-22T00:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@mikeyturley Many long only value managers are still underweight NVDA because it has been so richly valued. They might have also contributed to the chase on today's rally. I can't imagine discretionary hedge funds would be chasing NVDA on today's move" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1693791857111974269) 2023-08-22T01:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Finally starting to see *small* signs of discretionary spend slowing which is a good thing. $DKS is blaming retail theft but at this point I think management teams are simply using that as an excuse to avoid facing up to a weaker selling environment" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1693954078366380228) 2023-08-22T11:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@saneshark Maybe but oil and the dollar rallied strongly together in [----] so I wouldn't be too confident in that assumption. The market has done a thorough job of breaking historical asset correlations over the last [--] months. No reason to think it won't continue" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694083412540432691) 2023-08-22T20:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Various retail stocks crashing indicating consumers slowing retail spend. [----] through [----] had a services recession. [----] had a tech recession. [----] has had an energy recession. Now it looks like the recession is rolling on to retail $XRT $XLE $XLK $QQQ" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694315421598671156) 2023-08-23T11:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@profplum99 The consumer is merely shifting their spending from goods to services. FL weak but service stocks like $MSFT $AMZN and $META are strong" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694318287772143888) 2023-08-23T11:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Ratio chart of oil vs Russell3000 (USO/IWV) poked its head above its 200-day moving average but is now breaking back down below. No doubt this is adding some gusto to the upside in the market as the inverse relationship between oil and broad market persists $USO $IWV $SPY $QQQ" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694348967839203773) 2023-08-23T14:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I'm long August 25th $QQQ 367/370 call spread at 1.15" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694351373847200154) 2023-08-23T14:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@StockTalk365 $MSGS and $DKS exhibited continuation to the downside. $LLY hit a fresh new all time high post its earnings. With $ANF today it is merely poking above its [----] high. My guess is this will end up being a double top and I'll end up being able to cover this at $46 maybe even $44" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694358807483429019) 2023-08-23T14:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I'm long $NKE at [-----]. I'll be stopped on any close below [-----]. No-brainer buy for a technical bounce here on Nike" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694385168008859698) 2023-08-23T16:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Ive broken my rules holding onto this but unless Campbells Soup is on the verge of bankruptcy I cant bring myself to sell a consumer staples stock with a weekly RSI in the low 20s. Added to $CPB at 41.78" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694418356210925640) 2023-08-23T18:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CNBCFastMoney @Bonawyn @StocktonKatie @grassosteve @GuyAdami Plenty of compelling technical reason to be long $NKE" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694461689213993281) 2023-08-23T21:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$RYAN on the verge of a breakout" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694703066426290206) 2023-08-24T13:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "1/2 The Fed shouldn't be the primary means of stimulus when a recession arrives. Economic strength in the face of 2022's financial market collapse should have taught us that monetary policy's impact on the economy via the wealth effect is weaker than originally believed" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694732081275035736) 2023-08-24T15:23Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Fiscal stimulus is the ideal channel for stimulating the economy not monetary easing which functions to largely boost wealth inequality and little else. If policy makers haven't learned that lesson we'll eventually end up with a bigger outlier than Trump in the Whitehouse" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694732083871306214) 2023-08-24T15:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I'm long $DLTR at [------]. Will add more at [---] if it dips there. Ultimate closing stoploss 117.74" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694750503203487914) 2023-08-24T16:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I'm long $EL at [---]. I'll be stopped out on any close below $145" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694784362401914908) 2023-08-24T18:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "1/2 A big part of the reason why I entered the shorter duration puts earlier this morning was because of the cumulative 5-day flow data indicating retail index dip buying/short covering. It's like the market lives to f*ck over retail traders" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694827537531027662) 2023-08-24T21:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "2/2 Retail also covered their shorts and bought into the rally in tech yesterday which is basically the most bearish combination there is. The rug pull today is not all that surprising in an environment devoid of Fed easing. See my pinned tweet. Retail f*cked again" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1694827785204752503) 2023-08-24T21:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Should be market volatility being transmuted into the real world. The United States isn't Japan or India. People here won't "go quietly into the night." $VIX $XRT $SPY" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1695040749140849050) 2023-08-25T11:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$RSP with another basically perfect bounce off of its 200-day moving average today around 11am ET with $SPY and $QQQ bouncing in tandem to the upside again. Deja vu with August 18th. No option flows or order flow needed to have played that bounce. A simple moving average sufficed Equal weight S&P [---] $RSP bounced almost perfectly off of its 200-day moving average. Another sign of a potential bottom today https://t.co/h0TfpitlRb Equal weight S&P [---] $RSP bounced almost perfectly off of its 200-day moving average. Another sign of a potential bottom today https://t.co/h0TfpitlRb" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1695102173842153725) 2023-08-25T15:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "2/4 Seeing bear parading over the last few days. I even saw a big bear twitter spaces today which makes me suspect this selloff is close to being over😂. As long as $RSP continues to be supported at its 200day moving average it doesnt make sense to be overly bearish here $SPY Nvidia Market Reaction Shows US Rally Is Over Mike Wilson Says: BBG Also Mike Wilson has been saying the rally is over every week since December [----] Nvidia Market Reaction Shows US Rally Is Over Mike Wilson Says: BBG Also Mike Wilson has been saying the rally is over every week since December 2022" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1695150881682100606) 2023-08-25T19:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "3/4 [----] should have taught everyone that technicals and price action should ultimately take preeminence over all fundamental analysis. Just look at the rally in $AAPL this year despite consistently falling earnings estimates since February" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1695150883431125336) 2023-08-25T19:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Simple technical analysis would have had you sell out of Disney by at least [---] in November of [----]. These clowns at Redburn are only now recommending for you to sell Disney near its 200-month moving average citing already known difficulties 🤣 $DIS technicals fundamentals" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1696531367675547990) 2023-08-29T14:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "1/2 People often say "price changes sentiment" with a derogatory attitude as if one should ignore when price moves against their initial expectation. That is suicidal. If price breaks above/below where you initially thought probable then your sentiment/expectation SHOULD change" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1696600464262041933) 2023-08-29T19:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@jasondraut Just cover whatever $SPY $QQQ or $IWM shorts you have on. If sellers were still present the indices wouldn't be trading where they currently are. You can always re-short if price breaks key levels below but there is no reason to assume price reversal now" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1696602824694698195) 2023-08-29T19:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@CNBCFastMoney @timseymour @RBAdvisors @Bonawyn @GuyAdami It doesn't make sense for Tim to be bullish $SMH but bearish $XHB and housing. Those two have the same chart" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1696638092403450089) 2023-08-29T21:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "3/3 To say markets go up over time as though some inevitable force of nature pushes them higher and therefore having a longer term bearish view is never warranted is glib. Every market is vulnerable to potential long-term bouts of weakness. Market going higher isn't law of nature" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1696683845981212844) 2023-08-30T00:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "About 3-ATRs higher only [--] days later $RYAN $RYAN on the verge of a breakout https://t.co/ZeitwV9Wlo $RYAN on the verge of a breakout https://t.co/ZeitwV9Wlo" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1696949428329001400) 2023-08-30T18:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@HalftimeReport @ScottWapnerCNBC @Downtown @ShannonSaccocia @Jason_Snipe @GilmanHill Cant believe people on FinTV are still arguing over what multiples are justified. Its pure opinion all subjective and a waste of time. I can guarantee you Citadel isnt looking at earnings multiples to justify their short term derivatives trades😂. Come on Jenny $SPY" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697280689572659421) 2023-08-31T16:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/2 There has been a lot of hand wringing over a weakening consumer because of recent earnings reports but many stocks catering to middle/lower income consumers have already traded down near long term support areas. A weaker consumer is already reflected in the relevant stocks" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697289829422416355) 2023-08-31T16:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "2/2 Similar to how tech stocks rallied in Q1 of this year despite a then still falling earnings trajectory it wouldn't be surprising to see stocks like $EL $DLTR $DG $FL $BURL etc rally after their next earnings reports because much of the expected bad news is priced in" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697289832551297183) 2023-08-31T16:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Greg09026668192 @Mr_Derivatives 1/2 Thats not true. As a percentage of asset exposure low/middle income have a disproportionate amount of their wealth in conservative assets like money market funds since they cant afford to lose large portions of their wealth if equities crash the way a wealthy person can" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697361364828774576) 2023-08-31T21:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Greg09026668192 @Mr_Derivatives 2/2 On net these high rates are more beneficial to middle income people compared to going back to the prior regime where rates were near zero and middle income people risk averse to stocks therefore made proportionally less on their mostly conservative savings assets" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697361618521465157) 2023-08-31T21:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@PutSellerPablo When people say they trade without bias I think most mean they strictly follow price action and dont allow their judgements on fundamentals and how they believe price should act in response to those fundamentals bias their trade decisions" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697434297920262175) 2023-09-01T02:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Added to $DLTR at [------] I'm long $DLTR at [------]. Will add more at [---] if it dips there. Ultimate closing stoploss [------] https://t.co/26rZBwG948 I'm long $DLTR at [------]. Will add more at [---] if it dips there. Ultimate closing stoploss [------] https://t.co/26rZBwG948" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697649773569032394) 2023-09-01T16:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@alphatrends $DIS is trading near all sorts of long term multi-factor supports. From here $DIS has upside to 100+ and downside to maybe a few ticks below [--] which it couldn't even achieve today despite the bad news. It's a no brainer buy in terms of risk vs reward over the next 1-2 quarters" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697664402332455031) 2023-09-01T17:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "When I bought $FL seven trading days ago I thought it would take a few months to fill the gap but at this rate it looks like it will happen in a few weeks. Markets moving at lightning speed to price in weakness and subsequent recovery. Same thing happening in $AAPL" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697691027216404857) 2023-09-01T19:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@noonespecialno Dollar general $DG is close to a buy point but I think you might get a chance to buy it near [---] which would be ideal. Even the uptrend line connecting the covid low and September [----] low for $DLTR comes in around [------] which would be the ideal spot to buy it" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697791200349319285) 2023-09-02T01:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@nope_its_lily Jobs data was leaked early and hedge funds in the know bid up the 30yr in advance thinking a big rally would materialize after the report was released. When the expected rally failed to materialize (no surprise as trade is still crowded) disappointed hedge funds sold out of 30yr" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1697797826032632141) 2023-09-02T02:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "2/4 In other words the psychology of market participants is shifting ever farther away from pricing in potential negative developments ahead of time. Instead preferring to wait and make sure said negative circumstances materialize before selling. SVB failure is a prime example" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1698168571652878779) 2023-09-03T02:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/4 On the flip side the market participants are becoming ever more aggressive in pricing in eventual recoveries far ahead of any evidence of said expected recovery taking place. The recent post earnings rebounds in stocks like $AAPL and $FL are examples of this" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1698168573213229101) 2023-09-03T02:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "1/2 The market is very puzzling at times. The weekend news about Apple cutting 3nm orders from TSMC was a far more meaningful negative forward looking data point yet the market ignored it with $AAPL finishing yesterday higher" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1699441268684955966) 2023-09-06T15:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "You can now add 8/18/2023 to that list. $AAPL this morning gapped down below that key support 6-month volume weighted moving average [------] but have quickly recovered that level so far this morning. Apple bulls dont want a close below [------]. You have to assume that level holds" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1699780893865562145) 2023-09-07T13:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Regional banks $KRE so far bouncing perfectly where you would expect it to at the 100-day moving average (42.92). Again zero reason to be bearish on overall markets if supports are holding at the sector and index level $IWN $SPY $QQQ technicals positioning fundamentals" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1699826951488434302) 2023-09-07T16:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@SpecialSitsNews Not much a reduction in shares outstanding overtime on a percent basis for $NVDA. Perhaps it starts picking up with increased earnings from the AI craze but these so-called buybacks have been largely functioning to merely neutralize stock based compensation" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1699860366354968691) 2023-09-07T19:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TgMacro @JulianMI2 Still hasnt broken below its monthly ATR by even 1/3 yet and is still yet to even officially test COVID lows. Technically risk reward still favors upside on $DIS. If it prints a daily close below [--] then talk about a potential further crash would make sense but not yet" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1699959541071568935) 2023-09-08T01:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TripleDTrader If $AAPL can close below [------] Ill be with Carter and the bears until then the technical setup still firmly favors upside from here" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1699973396325711888) 2023-09-08T02:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@saxena_puru The problem is SPX and NDX have already retraced over 65% of their decline from the November [----] peak. It could be argued that a dovish policy shift has largely been priced into equity markets and a dovish shift won't do much to boost markets" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1700191516977934718) 2023-09-08T16:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@DBookTrading A lot of things hit key supports that are likely to hold going forward this week. Shortened weeks might be worse for day trading/intra-week trading but for multi-week spots opportunities to transact at key levels can happen at any time. Have to always keep an eye on the market" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1700237131107729660) 2023-09-08T19:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/3The podcast rounds have been firmly bearish. For the most part it seems folks are as bearish and expecting a recession now as they were when the year started therefore I dont think the market has much downside from here even if recession occurs. Its priced in $SPY $QQQ $IWM" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1701028096529588234) 2023-09-11T00:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This doesnt mean there isnt the potential for individual stock blowups going forward there definitely is but from the perspective of broad indices the surprise would be a rally in the face of recession similar to what HAS ALREADY HAPPENED in Europe not an equity decline $SPY" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1701028099239080367) 2023-09-11T00:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Lol first Dan Niles comes out and confidently declares $AAPL as his largest short now random due on investingdotcom says to sell Apple. Even if Apple does eventually fall to [---] because of too many straight quarters of revenue declines the odds are high it touches [---] first" [X Link](https://x.com/CAndreisen/status/1701194408681746581) 2023-09-11T11:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@CAndreisen Charles AndriesenCharles Andriesen posts on X about stocks, $spy, $qqq, inflation the most. They currently have [------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance stocks technology brands cryptocurrencies countries currencies automotive brands social networks fashion brands us election
Social topic influence stocks, $spy, $qqq, inflation, $iwm, money, $nvda, $aapl, $tlt, nvda
Top assets mentioned SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Rally (RLY) Robonomics Network (XRT) SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD) Vixco (VIX) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) SPX6900 (SPX) Bitcoin (BTC) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) Spacemesh (SMH) Metadium (META) Netflix Inc (NFLX) Walmart, Inc. (WMT) Decentral Games (DG) FedEx Corporation (FDX) Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (WBA) Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) UnitedHealth Group (UNH) Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) Nike Inc (NKE) DeepBrain Chain (DBC) Super Micro Computer, Inc. Common Stock (SMCI) Target Corporation (TGT) Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) PolkaBridge (PBR)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@FedExHelp Why is $FedEx stock so low Why can't it maintain upward price momentum"
X Link 2020-05-21T21:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"It's amazing that people seriously think in an environment of rampant inflation where the middle class is barely surviving that "retail" traders are gambling the little money they have left trying to squeeze stocks. That cohort is way underwater and is selling all rallies 🤣 $SPX"
X Link 2022-08-09T17:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Hope everyone had a happy thanksgiving. Things are setting up well for equity bulls as long bond yields continue to fall which will serve as fuel for a solid rally regardless of fundamentals as market multiple sees a nice bullish expansion back towards 20x earnings $SPY $QQQ"
X Link 2022-11-25T03:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Dont agree that this is consensus. Inflations path is still the major debate of [----]. But if this mornings inflation numbers out of Germany is any sign of trend then perhaps inflation will fall like a rock. Yields down and equity futures up on that news $SPY $QQQ $IWM Falling inflation combined with a recession that gets the Fed/Govt to pivot causing markets to soar is the overwhelming consensus view in [----] not contrarian. This is the [----] bull story because cheap money matters more than the economy's prospects. Falling inflation combined with a recession that gets the Fed/Govt to pivot"
X Link 2023-01-03T09:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I guess the reactions in $JBHT $ALLY $LULU $KEY $MSFT and $COF werent enough dude seriously looking for more evidence in bad earnings being ignored before he believes the rally🤦♂. And since when does the broader chip space move heavily in response to $INTC anyway 😂"
X Link 2023-01-27T05:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$SNAP recovers all of post-earnings day sell-off on the back of revived investor focused attitude from $META earnings. Irrational price action to say the least"
X Link 2023-02-02T14:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The [----] price would be the spot trend buyers "should" begin buying the dip. Last time price visited this trendline it wasn't able to get much traction away from it for [--] trading days. Next level of support lies around 3945-3940 which Mark Newton mentioned in a note $SPY $SPX"
X Link 2023-02-22T20:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Today is an interesting day with respect to sentiment in my opinion. Bearish Mike Wilson capitulates and says bounce from 200dma could have more legs. Joe Terranova who is not even short is almost brought to tears on TV as he capitulates and adds to tech; $QQQ $AAPL and $TWLO"
X Link 2023-03-06T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"In [----] on May 17th into 18th when $WMT and $TGT badly missed earnings back-to-back it caused the broad market to sell off by nearly 4% in a single day. This was during a time when wheat and oil were pressing fresh 52-wk highs with inflation raging"
X Link 2023-03-09T21:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Jim Cramer blaming morning market weakness on so-called short selling last night is absurd. Blaming manipulation is the excuse of the loser just be on the right side of the manipulation. If there is any manipulation occurring in this market it definitely isnt to the downside 🤣"
X Link 2023-04-20T12:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"295 was the level to wait for to be short so Im short $MCD in pre-market trading at $295 and change targeting [---] closing stop [---]. I am seeing more individual market components obeying technical levels very cleanly. I dont think $MCD will buck the trend. @loic_brismeur I don't see a short setup on the chart of $MCD. It looks like it is broke out of a 5-month base with room up to [---]. Fundamentally it's still viewed as a recession resilient stock being a provider of relatively cheap fast food. $AAPL sells expensive discretionary electronics @loic_brismeur I don't see a short setup on the"
X Link 2023-04-25T12:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Downtrend line connecting ATH with Feb [----] high comes in at [----] today. If it gets breached with gusto it opens door to uptrend line connecting October [----] and March [----] lows in the mid-to-low 3900s. The [--] and 200DMAs haven't acted as meaningful reaction points lately $SPY"
X Link 2023-04-25T17:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Every time there has been hype over a regional bank failure or a major cyclical like $UPS reports a slowdown in business there is a knee jerk reaction in markets to push the recession trade (i.e. buy bonds short commodities) I think this panicky reaction to such events will fade"
X Link 2023-05-08T13:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@MacroAlf Small cap index is down slightly on the year equal weight SPX is flat on the year. Both smallcaps and equal weight SPX are trading below their 200-day moving averages Even the equal weight Nasdaq100 is only slightly above its 200day moving average. The market is very top heavy"
X Link 2023-05-11T17:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BecauseBitcoin $NVDA is expected to earn about $20 per share by [----]. That would be an over 4x increase in earnings over [--] years making $NVDAs price today reasonable"
X Link 2023-05-16T21:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@The_Wheel_HiLo @BecauseBitcoin You may disagree but as a trader your job is to understand why price is doing what it's doing so you can better understand the factors that might cause price to turn or keep heading higher. Crying about $NVDA being too "expensive" like most on FinTwit won't help you make money"
X Link 2023-05-16T21:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@dampedspring $MSFT is expected to earn [-----] per share by FY [----] a total growth of about 99% over the 5-year period. Stock is not expensive when viewed from that perspective"
X Link 2023-05-16T21:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@dampedspring The people voting in these polls must not pay any attention to what the professional analyst community says about these big tech stocks. $NVDA expected to grow EPS by over 200% over next [--] years. For $GOOG they expect 100% EPS growth. The rallies in these stocks isn't for nothing"
X Link 2023-05-16T21:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@The_Wheel_HiLo @BecauseBitcoin If those long term earnings estimates are causing the stock to move today then they matter to short term traders. $NVDA has gone on this huge run because they are expected to compound EPS growth at over 30% for multiple years in the near future not just this year"
X Link 2023-05-16T21:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@profplum99 @dampedspring The hope is $MSFT is still growing EPS at a similar rate in [--] years time even if its achieved through free cashflow financed share buybacks. If they keep up the growth then the multiple can stay elevated in the future all else equal"
X Link 2023-05-16T23:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@profplum99 Their earnings growth wouldnt happen in a vacuum. Worldwide money printing by central banks would presumably make other companies and nations grow in similar proportions. Similar comments were made when $AAPL was worth $700b in [----]. It has more than tripled since"
X Link 2023-05-17T00:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@RJRCapital $AAPL relative strength vs the Russell3000 is still at an all time high. Nothing outperforms every single day/week. There will be small periods of relative lag"
X Link 2023-05-17T19:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@alphatrends Do you ever look at rolling VWAPs The rolling 1-year VWAPs reflected onto the weekly charts were absolutely money in nailing bottoms in $QQQ $TSLA and $NVDA a few months back. Now it looks like $QCOM is about to put in a major bottom"
X Link 2023-05-17T21:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@OffTheRunTrades @Convertbond Consumers even trading down on food from beef to pork and chicken all so they can buy that new $1200 iPhone 🤣 $AAPL $TSN $XRT"
X Link 2023-05-19T19:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"There a few reasons to believe $QCOM has seen a long bottom today. Making a 22-year relative strength low against the $SMH is one of them. I'm long $QCOM from [------]. I'll be stopped out if it closes below 100.50"
X Link 2023-05-25T15:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Feels like $NVDA is gearing up for a blowoff move similar to $GME in early [----]. Daily RSI could take out mid-to-high 90s. Wouldnt be shocked if $NVDA traded 600-800 within coming [--] weeks"
X Link 2023-05-30T13:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@ChuckyOrwell $GME collapsed relative to the peak of the blowoff top but it wasnt a total collapse of the entire move. If $NVDA were to take similarly path it would jump briefly to say [---] but then just settle back around [---] for a long time. Most bears wouldnt make meaningful money on that"
X Link 2023-05-30T13:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Crude oil $USO down nearly 4% this morning suggesting upcoming statistics regarding Memorial Day travel will be weaker than expected. $JETS up 0.71% and $OOTO flat might just reflect that large corporates have cut costs to the bone and are less operationally sensitive to demand"
X Link 2023-05-30T15:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@bootsiejones It's sad but these retailers will just start closing stores like $WMT has done in parts of Chicago and Portland. Some cities in the United States are falling off a cliff it's a tinderbox in some places"
X Link 2023-05-30T22:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@BostonAndrew I'm in your camp on $AVGO. there were compelling technical reasons to be short it this morning near [---] and it likely topped today but I was too scared to short it. I wouldn't want to be short individual names without having long hedges to offset. Maybe short AVGO long $QQQ"
X Link 2023-05-30T22:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@burner_mikes @BostonAndrew $AVGO reports soon so between now and report theta burn would be minimal direction is what would matter. A potential full loss on a short call spread would be a few times larger than premium lost on a put spread. Although option selling is in vogue it's still a concave strategy"
X Link 2023-05-31T00:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@SchmagoogalBZC @burner_mikes @BostonAndrew AVGO has already ran up 19% on the back of $NVDA and $MRVL reports from last week. It is up 28% in two weeks to new all-time highs. Lightning has already struck twice in the chips space with the moves in NVDA and MRVL. Its highly unlikely it strikes a third time with AVGO"
X Link 2023-05-31T02:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@noonespecialno How low would you want to buy something like $XLI The time for it to bounce and start outperforming tech is now. If $XLI breaks back below its 200day moving average that would be awful"
X Link 2023-05-31T03:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Long $NDAQ at [-----] playing for a breakout above January-April downtrend line will stop out on any close below 54.97"
X Link 2023-05-31T17:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Long $WAT at [------] will stop out on any close below 245"
X Link 2023-05-31T17:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/4 Now macro players are widely talking about a deep slowdown in consumer spending and retail stocks $XRT are pricing that slowdown in TODAY. If that slowdown materializes in Q3/Q4 of this year and retail stocks rally DURING that slowdown it shouldnt be a surprise"
X Link 2023-06-02T12:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@HappyIsAWarmBun Long RTY and short NQ is probably the way to go for a while. 200day moving avg as stop for RTY if just long that outright. Im already long $XLI and short $XLK which is a proxy for that trade. Ill probably add some June 185/190 $IWM call spreads for quarter end"
X Link 2023-06-05T01:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Short $TSLA In premarket at [------] hard intraday stop on any bid above 221"
X Link 2023-06-05T13:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$LULU has been massively fading off of last Friday's high. Evidence of a slowdown in consumer spending is crystal clear. Wouldn't be surprised if entire Friday rally in LULU is repealed as it undoes more of its $XRT outperformance from summer of 2021"
X Link 2023-06-05T13:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$FSLR looks to be on the verge of breaking down. Shouldn't trade above [------] if it's going to"
X Link 2023-06-26T16:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Rallies in $XRT are nonsensical given likely deterioration of consumer spending unless of course this view is already priced in. $KRE likely has about 11% upside left to $49.50 purely as technical mean reversion trade which would drive lots of additional upside in $IWM"
X Link 2023-06-08T11:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CMG overpriced burrito company looks like it has a date with at least the 50-day moving average in coming days"
X Link 2023-06-08T17:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Out at [--]. Left field acquisition got me $NDAQ Long $NDAQ at [-----] playing for a breakout above January-April downtrend line will stop out on any close below [-----]. https://t.co/vtkm1ORqIw Long $NDAQ at [-----] playing for a breakout above January-April downtrend line will stop out on any close below [-----]. https://t.co/vtkm1ORqIw"
X Link 2023-06-12T13:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@AlessioUrban $MSFT made new dividend adjusted all time high too"
X Link 2023-06-15T14:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@SpecialSitsNews That makes sense buy call spreads and sell cash secured puts as close to zero cost as possible. If market rallies sharply you have leveraged exposure to upside move if market falls you get long at more favorable prices. If market goes nowhere it didnt cost you much"
X Link 2023-06-16T15:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@endless_frank You can't be seriously comparing AI to bitcoin. AI is likely going to add 1% or more worth of growth to GDP on an annual basis. Bitcoin was largely just payments Ponzi scheme that did nothing to increase GDP"
X Link 2023-06-16T19:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@stoolpresidente So a 16.6x gain over [----] years. A great trade in its own right but speaks more about financial asset inflation than anything else. Jordan would have actually achieved a superior return had he invested that money in $AAPL stock over that timeframe"
X Link 2023-06-17T04:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@allstarcharts There is a massive asymmetry between shorting a 52-week low vs buying a 52-week high. If you had made this list in early January stocks like $MSFT $AAPL $TSLA and $AMZN would have been on them. Shorting this cohort of stocks back then would have been disastrous"
X Link 2023-06-18T01:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Ross__Hendricks Bears have been right in terms of direction on about the earnings weakness in [----] but look at the out year earnings revision trends for $AAPL they are strong. Maybe analysts are over optimistic but long term investors wont sell if earnings weakness is believed to be temporary"
X Link 2023-06-18T13:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@SpecialSitsNews The bull story on $AAPL is no longer iPhone unit sales its all about the walled garden of iOS users and growing services. Dont forget Apple is basically the only game in town in the used smartphone market. This will help them grow share in emerging markets like India"
X Link 2023-06-19T17:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Added $BA [------]. closing stop loss 204"
X Link 2023-06-20T16:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@StanphylCap $TSLA has seen its daily RSI break into the 90s on a closing basis on two instances in the recent past. February 4th [----] and November 1st [----]. The stock is a unique and very volatile animal that tends to run farther than people think possible both on the upside and downside"
X Link 2023-06-21T11:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I'm short $CRM at [------] closing stop 213.70"
X Link 2023-06-21T15:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@AssetReset Today is only bearish if you believe none of the money sitting on recent tech gains would rotate into other areas of the market. For heavens sake $FDX guided revenue lower for the 4th straight report and at its low today it traded back to where it was [--] trading days ago"
X Link 2023-06-21T18:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"1/3 The most recent thrust higher last week into the 360s on $QQQ was fueled by anticipation of inflation cooling and Fed slowing/stopping rate hikes. With no more apparent upside or downside catalysts pre-earnings season $QQQ likely consolidates between 357-372 into late July"
X Link 2023-06-21T18:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"bought to close for a loss intraday at [------] $CRM"
X Link 2023-06-22T14:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Long $KHC at [-----] closing stop 35.57"
X Link 2023-06-22T19:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm short $AAPL at [---] will add at [---] if it gets there with a closing stop loss of 196"
X Link 2023-06-23T19:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"crisis- low rates- lever up on long duration assets like tech stocks or prime real estate Because of still fresh memories from GFC and most recently COVID market participants are now front running any potential crisis by skipping to step [--] (lever up assets) ahead of time"
X Link 2023-06-26T12:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"If a crisis ever emerges that can't be fixed with monetary easing/fiscal stimulus that would lead to the mother of all financial asset crashes but it's difficult to credibly envision that type of scenario materializing"
X Link 2023-06-26T12:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FSLR was already weak and broke down like I thought it would. Now they're coming for more blood in the options market"
X Link 2023-06-26T16:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@PutSellerPablo [---] was do or die spot on $GS and sellers couldn't even test that at the lows today"
X Link 2023-06-26T16:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Option bettors believe $FL will resolve the battle around this trendline to the upside"
X Link 2023-06-26T17:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"First $FL and now $ANF. It appears some market participants are coming to the opinion that the consensus view of a consumer spending slowdown going into the back half of the year even if it materializes is already fully priced-in to stocks $XRT"
X Link 2023-06-26T19:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Figuring out what is reflected in positioning this year has been a million times more important than figuring out the trajectory of data. Weaker earnings data has not mattered. Consumer spending is likely to slow and perhaps contract into Q3/Q4 but it might not matter $XRT $XLY"
X Link 2023-06-26T19:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I'm short $VMC at [------] closing stop 216.80"
X Link 2023-06-27T13:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"End of year consumer slowdown Early [----] recession Not based on recent activity by option bettors. $AMZN September [---] calls lit up this morning"
X Link 2023-06-27T14:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"More bull betting on stocks sensitive to consumer spending. Each one of these series of large options trades is seeing immediate mark-to-market profit. This round they bought up calls in $ASO"
X Link 2023-06-27T17:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"covered $VMC for a loss intraday at 219.92"
X Link 2023-06-27T19:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@AaronRentfrew $PFE has its own unique problems. $LLY $SNY $AZN $NVS and $MRK are all still trading near 52wk highs. $NVO off highs but hanging in. $XLV and $XBI both still trading above [---] day moving averages vs $PFE horrific underperformance"
X Link 2023-06-28T03:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@cperruna This has been the case for many stocks in the market this year; $MU $FDX $AAPL etc. Weakening fundamentals have been ignored in the first half with the assumption a positive inflection will occur into the second half and beyond. It's not unique to $ABNB"
X Link 2023-06-28T13:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"I'm long $CPB at [-----] closing stop 44.55"
X Link 2023-06-28T13:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The consumer name bullish option bettors are coming after today is $SHOP. Shorter term July spots"
X Link 2023-06-28T16:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@htsfhickey Last week FedEx $FDX reported 3rd straight Y/Y revenue decline with 5th straight revenue miss along with a guide down in earnings below analyst expectations yet the stock hit a 52-week high today. Trade what the market gives and right now market doesn't care about fundamentals"
X Link 2023-06-28T17:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Micron $MU breaking below 50dma support despite earnings "beat" fluff commentary about benefiting from AI and analyst upgrades could be a tell. Last earnings it jumped 7% on a miss"
X Link 2023-06-29T14:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Micron is now flirting with the upper end of a previous lower trading range established after the last earnings report. Still miles away from it but a break below [--] on $MU would be red alert"
X Link 2023-06-29T14:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Freethepeople25 But the last quarter was much worse than this current quarter they reported and the stock jumped 7% on that. The fundamentals are not what matters how the market reacts to the fundamentals is what matters"
X Link 2023-06-29T15:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@SpecialSitsNews I wouldn't pop out the champagne bottles yet if you're a $MU bear stock is merely testing the highs following its previous earnings miss from March. If the [--] level holds $MU could be back to printing 52-week highs by next week"
X Link 2023-06-29T15:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@dampedspring The extent of the drag changes based on whether or not the underlying market is trending. From the week of 3/30/2020 to 11/19/2021 $QQQ was up 2.36x but $TQQQ was up 9.97x over that same time frame. Leveraged ETFs are fine in trending markets but horrible in sideways markets"
X Link 2023-06-29T16:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@MagaMartirosya4 @dampedspring I know these ETFs are expected to provide only daily leverage but when markets trend that leverage can extend out multi days weeks months etc. 129% is more than 3x 37% that's why I said on a YTD basis it has outperformed what one might have expected the 3x leverage gain to be"
X Link 2023-06-29T17:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@WallStCynic The move from 7.6x earnings to 14.8x shows the whisper expectation for earnings back on January 1st was probably much lower than [----] the street was probably expecting low low 5s. Price action doesn't "make sense" in many areas of the market but it does for $RCL"
X Link 2023-06-29T19:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Mr_Derivatives Wilson misestimated the impact a fall in earnings would have on stocks. He has been directionally right on the fundamentals so far: Earnings estimates were indeed too high to start the year and have come down but the market despite already being expensive has ignored it"
X Link 2023-06-29T21:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Astra5225 @Michael_Khouw He's worse than Cramer. At least Cramer can be thoughtful and coy and knows when to play for the short squeeze. Nathan is so amateurish unthoughtful and super conventional in his trading approach it's shocking. Hard to believe he used to work at Point72"
X Link 2023-06-29T22:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@gornagraphic Just pointing out that the move in a stock like $RCL makes more sense than the move we've seen in say $AAPL. No stock trades single digit forward earnings unless analysts/investors assuming the forward estimates are too high and will come down. RCL proved that wasn't the case"
X Link 2023-06-29T23:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@mpelletier32 @Mr_Derivatives Ultimately the affect of so-called earnings beats that are the product of lowered estimates tend to be neutralized by the very lowering in estimates that lead to the beats. In other words stocks usually fall as earnings estimates are lowered but that hasnt happened this year"
X Link 2023-06-30T00:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@KeithMcCullough Perhaps another possible concern being talked about well in advance that the market will end up ignoring even if it materializes the same way earnings/revenue declines were ignored in Q1. The people who bid up $XRT 12.7% in June are not all ignorant of the headwinds"
X Link 2023-06-30T21:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@SpecialSitsNews Its frustrating for folks analyzing fundamentals but the reality is in [----] being "dumb" and blindly riding price trends has made money while selling because of fundamentals has lost money. Price will give you time to get out QQQ is not going to gap down 10% on the open"
X Link 2023-07-03T18:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Namzes_G No bear trap on the $QQQ during banking panic. QQQ spent merely two days testing the [--] and 200day moving averages which were golden crossing at the time and hasn't looked back since. The key then was to recognize QQQ was breaking out of relative downtrend vs broad market $IWV"
X Link 2023-07-05T00:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@ShortsellerST Its going to take a long time before wages pick up enough to catch up to the more expensive mortgage payments at 7%. There is a world of difference between 7% mortgages at 1980s prices compared to 7% mortgages at todays prices"
X Link 2023-07-11T02:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@GoatOfTheWasp @PutSellerPablo Probably Gulliver Prep. Every state has a few elite prep schools where wealthy send their kids to ensure an environment where fellow peers are under similar pressure to achieve high marks academically. If all parents were doing their jobs exclusive schools wouldn't be necessary"
X Link 2023-07-12T14:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$FSLR and the clean energy space in general $ICLN have all the hallmarks of a fundamental participant slowly accumulating a short position. Wonder if they get squeezed and how explosive a squeeze might be"
X Link 2023-07-12T15:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"People buying bonds as commodities are on the verge of breaking out. Maybe it was this morning's housing starts number or perhaps they buy under the already shown to be false belief that commodity inflation causes core inflation to fall. Good luck with that🤣 $TLT $GSG $UGA"
X Link 2023-07-19T17:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@InvestRoiss $CVNA's earnings and debt restructuring were both bullish. A better example would be $JBHT"
X Link 2023-07-19T17:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Tim58580200 It seems like every time one prominent name in the Nasdaq100 sees a big selloff a handful of other ones see massive rallies keeping over index bid. $GOOG $AMD $AMZN probably see big bids tomorrow to offset loses in $TSLA and $NFLX"
X Link 2023-07-20T00:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The slope of the [---] day moving average in oil $USO has turned positive and looks like it will stay positive. When all the major moving averages slop upward that is bullish. This definitely isn't a positive development for the "inflation is dead" crowd"
X Link 2023-07-20T13:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Speaking of "safe havens" this thing has already tripled from the bottom but if #Bitcoin does have meaningful upside left $RVYL probably has at minimum another [--] bagger in it. Technicals look promising. Has been trading in 20% daily range so it takes a strong stomach to own it"
X Link 2023-07-20T14:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Mr_Derivatives $QQQ hasn't seen a one day close-to-close decline greater than 2% since February 21st when it closed down 2.37% that day with 10y yields hitting a then YTD high and $WMT and $HD guiding for weaker earnings outlook in pre-market. Admittedly prior bounces off 10dma have been sharp"
X Link 2023-07-20T19:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The biggest rebuttal the idea Cramer peddled last night that the selloff in the $QQQ was merely rebalancing related was the decline in the $CLOU etf. It doesnt have any magnificent [--] exposure and theoretically should benefit but it was down 3.6% yesterday and it down 1.2% today Bullshit take: Thursday's Nasdaq selloff had nothing to do with the market's reaction to $TSLA and $NFLX earnings; it was all about Nasdaq special rebalancing Bullshit take: Thursday's Nasdaq selloff had nothing to do with the market's reaction to $TSLA and $NFLX earnings; it was all about Nasdaq special rebalancing"
X Link 2023-07-21T19:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Should be market volatility that is suppressed doesn't disappear it just gets transmuted into society. There are no free lunches $SPY $QQQ $XRT $VIX"
X Link 2023-07-22T18:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@RJRCapital 2/2 For example did you buy $NVDA after the big earnings beat on their last report Ignoring valuation there was no reason not to. The market never makes it comfortable to buy. When fundamentals are strong market looks too expensive. When market is cheap fundamentals look too bad"
X Link 2023-07-23T03:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$SNAP trading slightly below rolling 1-year VWAP in after hours. My guess is it hovers around there for a few trading days a produces a bounce worth trading similar to $DFS. Tricky to figure out where a stop loss should be probably between [-----] to 10.15"
X Link 2023-08-03T16:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@AarifKadiwal As for $FL its relative strength against broad market is beyond decade lows but hasnt reached a buy point so I wouldnt buy it yet"
X Link 2023-07-31T20:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/3 A rising equity market and the re-acceleration of commodity inflation (i.e. headline inflation) explains this. Food and energy share a greater weight to bottom terciles spend and theyre not reaping benefit from the rising equity market like the top tercile"
X Link 2023-07-29T01:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"2/3When broken down rising core inflation with falling headline inflation and stagnant/lower financial markets implies the lower classes are catching up. Falling core with rising headline inflation and rising financial markets implies the advantage of the upper class is widening"
X Link 2023-07-29T01:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/ For a few periods in H2 [----] we had the former case now we have the latter so its no surprise top tercile sentiment is rising (rising stocks) while bottom tercile sentiment is falling as core inflation (wages) decelerates while headline inflation (commodity) reaccelerates"
X Link 2023-07-29T01:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@boazweinstein Every time a negative shock happens and monetary and fiscal measures are deployed that bolster stock prices investors eventually wise up and come to the realization that there is never really any legitimate reason to ever sell. Why buy insurance Monetary easing IS the insurance"
X Link 2023-07-30T12:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@The_Wheel_HiLo Nothing fundamentally has changed for the worse Positioning is no longer a tailwind for stocks here but the truth is positioning should have already began to act as a headwind against this rally since June 20th but market is up 4.3% since then so psychology is driving this"
X Link 2023-08-02T03:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@bootsiejones Holding that 200-day moving average beautifully today $GNRC"
X Link 2023-08-02T18:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm long $PI at [-----] will add below [-----] if it drops there. I will stop out on any close below 55.75"
X Link 2023-08-03T16:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"This is such a rare technical position for Amazon $AMZN to be in. Technically the odds are very favorable for a short. Even if it pops on this evening's earnings I would sell that earnings pop hand-over-fist"
X Link 2023-08-04T02:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Not a bad spot on $NSA"
X Link 2023-08-03T17:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Another name $EXR in the storage space putting in reversal looking candle near should be support area. There has been talk of homebuilders building smaller more affordable homes. Is this a bullish factor for the storage space sellers Maybe"
X Link 2023-08-03T18:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I am a seller of $AMZN in after hours if it gets to [---]. Closing stoploss for tomorrow and beyond [------] This is such a rare technical position for Amazon $AMZN to be in. Technically the odds are very favorable for a short. Even if it pops on this evening's earnings I would sell that earnings pop hand-over-fist https://t.co/YFBK7LcJ7p This is such a rare technical position for Amazon $AMZN to be in. Technically the odds are very favorable for a short. Even if it pops on this evening's earnings I would sell that earnings pop hand-over-fist https://t.co/YFBK7LcJ7p"
X Link 2023-08-03T20:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Market finally pushing a little against crowded Nasdaq100 positioning. Retail net long $NQ_F for the first time since period ending April 4th. They immediately turned net bearish on April 11th. My guess is they keep buying the dip this time around because of recency bias"
X Link 2023-08-04T19:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"It's still early but if selloff in $AAPL holds today I'm pretty confident this is the shortest period of time in its history that $AAPL has gone from registering an RSI reading over [--] to an RSI reading below [--]. Whoever is selling is not even trying to wait for bounces"
X Link 2023-08-07T14:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Tim Seymour said it. Apple is a discretionary company not a tech company. On the other hand Apple has outperformed the Russell3000 by over 10x since the financial crisis lows. Buying $AAPL because of tiny amount of recent underperformance is farcical sorry"
X Link 2023-08-07T21:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"You know the drill Commodities down + long bond yields down = buy the dip in equities Im a bit more hesitant to say the above because of retail positioning in the Nasdaq100 but keep doing what has worked until it doesnt $SPY $QQQ $IWM $TLT $ZN_F $USO $GSG"
X Link 2023-08-08T11:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Bought more $PI at [-----] I'm long $PI at [-----] will add below [-----] if it drops there. I will stop out on any close below [-----] https://t.co/lUT1U9IeHd I'm long $PI at [-----] will add below [-----] if it drops there. I will stop out on any close below [-----] https://t.co/lUT1U9IeHd"
X Link 2023-08-08T15:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"If a large enough portion of consumers dont have sufficient excess funds to join in the stock party be it because of outright job loss or merely inflation then perhaps a sufficient condition for a lasting downtrend in equities does exist 🤔"
X Link 2023-08-08T17:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"2/Unpopular opinion Workers particularly lower end workers agitate for higher wages when their wages no longer sufficiently cover the cost of necessities like food and energy. Their perceptions about supply and demand in their industries plays little to no role in asking wages"
X Link 2023-08-09T22:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Industries like advertising/entertainment etc at their core exist to extract surplus value in an economy. These industries can only exist in environments where people have surplus resources left over after spending/trading for necessary food and energy"
X Link 2023-08-10T01:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This is why commodity inflation is so damn important and is perplexing that economists are so quick to dismiss it. Tech gets all the hype but commodities are the bedrock of all economies. Everything else crumbles if an economy is unable to secure enough basic material resources"
X Link 2023-08-10T01:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"1/3 Ive seen lots of hysteria over the most senior $UPS driver compensation hike in the recent contract. Ive even heard moronic statements like why bother going to college You are beyond dumb if think this"
X Link 2023-08-10T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/3 As the pay rate for these positions increase they become increasingly competitive and more difficult to get. The same way getting a job at Google is harder than getting into Harvard getting to $170k compensation at $UPS will be maximally competitive"
X Link 2023-08-10T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"So this is the reason why $NVDA rallied 1.85-ATRs and a little over 4x expected close-to-close change today. It had nothing to do with the announcement about Amazon making their own chips"
X Link 2023-08-14T21:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Why is Dan Nathan still featured on @CNBCFastMoney I still remember this fight between him and Rich Ross back in [----]. @CNBC kicked Ross out but Nathan should have been given the boot. Rich Ross actually makes people money Dan Nathan losses people money. Being right matters $MSFT and $AAPL have been "good but not great" by their standards. @timseymour @guyadami Dan Nathan and @karenfinerman discuss what a break down in might do to markets. https://t.co/vMts7ZlA5J $MSFT and $AAPL have been "good but not great" by their standards. @timseymour @guyadami Dan Nathan and @karenfinerman discuss what"
X Link 2023-08-15T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$NVDA should close above the 10-day moving average (434.47) today. If it closes below that level by more than say 0.5-expected close-to-close move (431.12) that would be bearish but the expectation should be this level will hold"
X Link 2023-08-16T16:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Wal-Mart $WMT put up a fantastic quarter. Home Depot $HD is the biggest target of organized retail crime and they keep putting up great quarters. The problem at Target $TGT is the loss of market share. Them trying to blame it on retail theft is a silly untruthful excuse"
X Link 2023-08-17T12:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"So a recession has started as quickly as [--] months from the first hike but has also taken as long as [--] months There's no f*cking tradable signal in a dataset like this and clowns like Rosenberg have been over [--] months early and have lost people money"
X Link 2023-08-17T14:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$AAPL held has cleanly held it's 6-month rolling VWAP and bounced sharply to the upside on 03/02/2023 01/27/2022 10/13/2021 and 06/04/2019. Chances are very high $AAPL will hold that level again this time around [------] (and rising)"
X Link 2023-08-17T17:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$AAPL 200-day moving average is already in the 160s so the chance of $AAPL trading below [---] is pretty much zero. Buffett would need to sell his stake or Apple would need to suspend the buyback for that to happen"
X Link 2023-08-17T19:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Chris Hyzy of BofA also saying the Fed will eventually need to turn dovish as growth slows and that will help equities rally in [----]. The Wall-Street crowd is slowly but surely beginning to acknowledge what I have known since November of last year"
X Link 2023-08-17T19:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Its interesting thinking back on the dot com bubble. Unlike the GFC double-top crash where a movie was made about the successful shorts I never hear about any prominent shorts that profited from the dot com crash. The parabolic [----] rally to stratospheric ATHs killed them all"
X Link 2023-08-18T00:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The rally of [----] hasnt sent the market deep into new all time highs but its magnitude in the face of should-be valuation crimping interest rate headwinds has certainly taken even the bulls by surprise Fed has a ridiculous amount of power over where stocks go in next [--] months"
X Link 2023-08-18T00:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/3 A bellwether of discretionary spending is restaurant spend. A simple and high impact way most consumers can save money is by not eating out and preparing all meals at home. @Thrasher66099 @Trader_LD504 @DeItaone Most homeowners are not running out of money to pay living expenses. Many are merely living beyond their means given inflation. Many still have lots of room to cut back on things like travel eating out and other discretionary spending to make ends meet @Thrasher66099 @Trader_LD504 @DeItaone Most homeowners are not running out of money to pay living expenses. Many are merely living"
X Link 2023-08-18T10:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"2/3 When restaurant chains like Chipotle Wingstop Darden YUM brands etc start seeing revenues fall then you know the consumer is actually tightening their belts and a demand driven fall in inflation is occurring. Right now those stocks are still near all time highs"
X Link 2023-08-18T10:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Long some $AAPL September [---] calls at [----]. Have to play the probabilities and put on bullish risk at a spot that has been support in the past"
X Link 2023-08-18T14:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Shorting $NVDA here as close to the 10-day moving average as possible at [------] with a tight stop of say [------] will probably be profitable. I think $NVDA will ride that 10-day moving average lower for a bit longer"
X Link 2023-08-18T16:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm short $NVDA at [---]. I'll be stopped out on any close above 434.70"
X Link 2023-08-18T16:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Shorted more $NVDA at 432.52"
X Link 2023-08-18T19:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@hmeisler $PANW"
X Link 2023-08-18T19:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Superficially price pattern is similar. The key difference is going into $NVDA report on 5/24 every bull was saying its prudent to take profit and there were lots of shorts in the name. Coming into this report analysts are tripping over themselves recommending to buy dip"
X Link 2023-08-19T02:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Could $NVDA rally after it reports next week Sure. But the sentiment and positioning backdrop for a rally are NO WHERE near as favorable going into next weeks report as they were on 5/24. Shorts to squeeze/ puts to burn are non existent and the buy-the-dip coterie seems crowded"
X Link 2023-08-19T02:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Stopped out of $NVDA short at 450.50"
X Link 2023-08-21T13:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$SPY poked its head above the rolling quarterly VWAP this morning but so far got rejected. Equal weight S&P $RSP also weak this morning. $IWM already failed to move above downtrend line just as I expected. $NVDA doing heavy lifting on the bull side of S&P [---] this morning"
X Link 2023-08-21T14:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Despite $NVDA's great strength $SMH still rejected at its rolling 10-day VWAP this morning"
X Link 2023-08-21T14:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"hmmm. Friday data suggests retail in aggregate were small net sellers of tech on the bounce which is bullish. A hysterical bearish flip would mean pain trade points higher. It might be time to lean aggressively long tech regardless of how high rates go $QQQ $TLT"
X Link 2023-08-21T20:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@mikeyturley I think the rallies in both $NVDA and $TSLA today were purely technical. There were no new notable fundamental catalysts that justified today's rallies. When technical levels hold like they did I guess people will aggressively chase the bounces. I'm surprised $AAPL wasn't up more"
X Link 2023-08-22T00:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@mikeyturley Many long only value managers are still underweight NVDA because it has been so richly valued. They might have also contributed to the chase on today's rally. I can't imagine discretionary hedge funds would be chasing NVDA on today's move"
X Link 2023-08-22T01:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Finally starting to see small signs of discretionary spend slowing which is a good thing. $DKS is blaming retail theft but at this point I think management teams are simply using that as an excuse to avoid facing up to a weaker selling environment"
X Link 2023-08-22T11:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@saneshark Maybe but oil and the dollar rallied strongly together in [----] so I wouldn't be too confident in that assumption. The market has done a thorough job of breaking historical asset correlations over the last [--] months. No reason to think it won't continue"
X Link 2023-08-22T20:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Various retail stocks crashing indicating consumers slowing retail spend. [----] through [----] had a services recession. [----] had a tech recession. [----] has had an energy recession. Now it looks like the recession is rolling on to retail $XRT $XLE $XLK $QQQ"
X Link 2023-08-23T11:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@profplum99 The consumer is merely shifting their spending from goods to services. FL weak but service stocks like $MSFT $AMZN and $META are strong"
X Link 2023-08-23T11:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Ratio chart of oil vs Russell3000 (USO/IWV) poked its head above its 200-day moving average but is now breaking back down below. No doubt this is adding some gusto to the upside in the market as the inverse relationship between oil and broad market persists $USO $IWV $SPY $QQQ"
X Link 2023-08-23T14:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm long August 25th $QQQ 367/370 call spread at 1.15"
X Link 2023-08-23T14:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@StockTalk365 $MSGS and $DKS exhibited continuation to the downside. $LLY hit a fresh new all time high post its earnings. With $ANF today it is merely poking above its [----] high. My guess is this will end up being a double top and I'll end up being able to cover this at $46 maybe even $44"
X Link 2023-08-23T14:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm long $NKE at [-----]. I'll be stopped on any close below [-----]. No-brainer buy for a technical bounce here on Nike"
X Link 2023-08-23T16:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Ive broken my rules holding onto this but unless Campbells Soup is on the verge of bankruptcy I cant bring myself to sell a consumer staples stock with a weekly RSI in the low 20s. Added to $CPB at 41.78"
X Link 2023-08-23T18:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CNBCFastMoney @Bonawyn @StocktonKatie @grassosteve @GuyAdami Plenty of compelling technical reason to be long $NKE"
X Link 2023-08-23T21:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$RYAN on the verge of a breakout"
X Link 2023-08-24T13:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"1/2 The Fed shouldn't be the primary means of stimulus when a recession arrives. Economic strength in the face of 2022's financial market collapse should have taught us that monetary policy's impact on the economy via the wealth effect is weaker than originally believed"
X Link 2023-08-24T15:23Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Fiscal stimulus is the ideal channel for stimulating the economy not monetary easing which functions to largely boost wealth inequality and little else. If policy makers haven't learned that lesson we'll eventually end up with a bigger outlier than Trump in the Whitehouse"
X Link 2023-08-24T15:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm long $DLTR at [------]. Will add more at [---] if it dips there. Ultimate closing stoploss 117.74"
X Link 2023-08-24T16:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm long $EL at [---]. I'll be stopped out on any close below $145"
X Link 2023-08-24T18:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"1/2 A big part of the reason why I entered the shorter duration puts earlier this morning was because of the cumulative 5-day flow data indicating retail index dip buying/short covering. It's like the market lives to f*ck over retail traders"
X Link 2023-08-24T21:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"2/2 Retail also covered their shorts and bought into the rally in tech yesterday which is basically the most bearish combination there is. The rug pull today is not all that surprising in an environment devoid of Fed easing. See my pinned tweet. Retail f*cked again"
X Link 2023-08-24T21:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Should be market volatility being transmuted into the real world. The United States isn't Japan or India. People here won't "go quietly into the night." $VIX $XRT $SPY"
X Link 2023-08-25T11:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$RSP with another basically perfect bounce off of its 200-day moving average today around 11am ET with $SPY and $QQQ bouncing in tandem to the upside again. Deja vu with August 18th. No option flows or order flow needed to have played that bounce. A simple moving average sufficed Equal weight S&P [---] $RSP bounced almost perfectly off of its 200-day moving average. Another sign of a potential bottom today https://t.co/h0TfpitlRb Equal weight S&P [---] $RSP bounced almost perfectly off of its 200-day moving average. Another sign of a potential bottom today https://t.co/h0TfpitlRb"
X Link 2023-08-25T15:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"2/4 Seeing bear parading over the last few days. I even saw a big bear twitter spaces today which makes me suspect this selloff is close to being over😂. As long as $RSP continues to be supported at its 200day moving average it doesnt make sense to be overly bearish here $SPY Nvidia Market Reaction Shows US Rally Is Over Mike Wilson Says: BBG Also Mike Wilson has been saying the rally is over every week since December [----] Nvidia Market Reaction Shows US Rally Is Over Mike Wilson Says: BBG Also Mike Wilson has been saying the rally is over every week since December 2022"
X Link 2023-08-25T19:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"3/4 [----] should have taught everyone that technicals and price action should ultimately take preeminence over all fundamental analysis. Just look at the rally in $AAPL this year despite consistently falling earnings estimates since February"
X Link 2023-08-25T19:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Simple technical analysis would have had you sell out of Disney by at least [---] in November of [----]. These clowns at Redburn are only now recommending for you to sell Disney near its 200-month moving average citing already known difficulties 🤣 $DIS technicals fundamentals"
X Link 2023-08-29T14:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"1/2 People often say "price changes sentiment" with a derogatory attitude as if one should ignore when price moves against their initial expectation. That is suicidal. If price breaks above/below where you initially thought probable then your sentiment/expectation SHOULD change"
X Link 2023-08-29T19:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@jasondraut Just cover whatever $SPY $QQQ or $IWM shorts you have on. If sellers were still present the indices wouldn't be trading where they currently are. You can always re-short if price breaks key levels below but there is no reason to assume price reversal now"
X Link 2023-08-29T19:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@CNBCFastMoney @timseymour @RBAdvisors @Bonawyn @GuyAdami It doesn't make sense for Tim to be bullish $SMH but bearish $XHB and housing. Those two have the same chart"
X Link 2023-08-29T21:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"3/3 To say markets go up over time as though some inevitable force of nature pushes them higher and therefore having a longer term bearish view is never warranted is glib. Every market is vulnerable to potential long-term bouts of weakness. Market going higher isn't law of nature"
X Link 2023-08-30T00:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"About 3-ATRs higher only [--] days later $RYAN $RYAN on the verge of a breakout https://t.co/ZeitwV9Wlo $RYAN on the verge of a breakout https://t.co/ZeitwV9Wlo"
X Link 2023-08-30T18:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@HalftimeReport @ScottWapnerCNBC @Downtown @ShannonSaccocia @Jason_Snipe @GilmanHill Cant believe people on FinTV are still arguing over what multiples are justified. Its pure opinion all subjective and a waste of time. I can guarantee you Citadel isnt looking at earnings multiples to justify their short term derivatives trades😂. Come on Jenny $SPY"
X Link 2023-08-31T16:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/2 There has been a lot of hand wringing over a weakening consumer because of recent earnings reports but many stocks catering to middle/lower income consumers have already traded down near long term support areas. A weaker consumer is already reflected in the relevant stocks"
X Link 2023-08-31T16:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/2 Similar to how tech stocks rallied in Q1 of this year despite a then still falling earnings trajectory it wouldn't be surprising to see stocks like $EL $DLTR $DG $FL $BURL etc rally after their next earnings reports because much of the expected bad news is priced in"
X Link 2023-08-31T16:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Greg09026668192 @Mr_Derivatives 1/2 Thats not true. As a percentage of asset exposure low/middle income have a disproportionate amount of their wealth in conservative assets like money market funds since they cant afford to lose large portions of their wealth if equities crash the way a wealthy person can"
X Link 2023-08-31T21:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Greg09026668192 @Mr_Derivatives 2/2 On net these high rates are more beneficial to middle income people compared to going back to the prior regime where rates were near zero and middle income people risk averse to stocks therefore made proportionally less on their mostly conservative savings assets"
X Link 2023-08-31T21:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@PutSellerPablo When people say they trade without bias I think most mean they strictly follow price action and dont allow their judgements on fundamentals and how they believe price should act in response to those fundamentals bias their trade decisions"
X Link 2023-09-01T02:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Added to $DLTR at [------] I'm long $DLTR at [------]. Will add more at [---] if it dips there. Ultimate closing stoploss [------] https://t.co/26rZBwG948 I'm long $DLTR at [------]. Will add more at [---] if it dips there. Ultimate closing stoploss [------] https://t.co/26rZBwG948"
X Link 2023-09-01T16:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@alphatrends $DIS is trading near all sorts of long term multi-factor supports. From here $DIS has upside to 100+ and downside to maybe a few ticks below [--] which it couldn't even achieve today despite the bad news. It's a no brainer buy in terms of risk vs reward over the next 1-2 quarters"
X Link 2023-09-01T17:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"When I bought $FL seven trading days ago I thought it would take a few months to fill the gap but at this rate it looks like it will happen in a few weeks. Markets moving at lightning speed to price in weakness and subsequent recovery. Same thing happening in $AAPL"
X Link 2023-09-01T19:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@noonespecialno Dollar general $DG is close to a buy point but I think you might get a chance to buy it near [---] which would be ideal. Even the uptrend line connecting the covid low and September [----] low for $DLTR comes in around [------] which would be the ideal spot to buy it"
X Link 2023-09-02T01:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@nope_its_lily Jobs data was leaked early and hedge funds in the know bid up the 30yr in advance thinking a big rally would materialize after the report was released. When the expected rally failed to materialize (no surprise as trade is still crowded) disappointed hedge funds sold out of 30yr"
X Link 2023-09-02T02:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"2/4 In other words the psychology of market participants is shifting ever farther away from pricing in potential negative developments ahead of time. Instead preferring to wait and make sure said negative circumstances materialize before selling. SVB failure is a prime example"
X Link 2023-09-03T02:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/4 On the flip side the market participants are becoming ever more aggressive in pricing in eventual recoveries far ahead of any evidence of said expected recovery taking place. The recent post earnings rebounds in stocks like $AAPL and $FL are examples of this"
X Link 2023-09-03T02:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"1/2 The market is very puzzling at times. The weekend news about Apple cutting 3nm orders from TSMC was a far more meaningful negative forward looking data point yet the market ignored it with $AAPL finishing yesterday higher"
X Link 2023-09-06T15:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"You can now add 8/18/2023 to that list. $AAPL this morning gapped down below that key support 6-month volume weighted moving average [------] but have quickly recovered that level so far this morning. Apple bulls dont want a close below [------]. You have to assume that level holds"
X Link 2023-09-07T13:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Regional banks $KRE so far bouncing perfectly where you would expect it to at the 100-day moving average (42.92). Again zero reason to be bearish on overall markets if supports are holding at the sector and index level $IWN $SPY $QQQ technicals positioning fundamentals"
X Link 2023-09-07T16:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@SpecialSitsNews Not much a reduction in shares outstanding overtime on a percent basis for $NVDA. Perhaps it starts picking up with increased earnings from the AI craze but these so-called buybacks have been largely functioning to merely neutralize stock based compensation"
X Link 2023-09-07T19:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TgMacro @JulianMI2 Still hasnt broken below its monthly ATR by even 1/3 yet and is still yet to even officially test COVID lows. Technically risk reward still favors upside on $DIS. If it prints a daily close below [--] then talk about a potential further crash would make sense but not yet"
X Link 2023-09-08T01:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TripleDTrader If $AAPL can close below [------] Ill be with Carter and the bears until then the technical setup still firmly favors upside from here"
X Link 2023-09-08T02:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@saxena_puru The problem is SPX and NDX have already retraced over 65% of their decline from the November [----] peak. It could be argued that a dovish policy shift has largely been priced into equity markets and a dovish shift won't do much to boost markets"
X Link 2023-09-08T16:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@DBookTrading A lot of things hit key supports that are likely to hold going forward this week. Shortened weeks might be worse for day trading/intra-week trading but for multi-week spots opportunities to transact at key levels can happen at any time. Have to always keep an eye on the market"
X Link 2023-09-08T19:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/3The podcast rounds have been firmly bearish. For the most part it seems folks are as bearish and expecting a recession now as they were when the year started therefore I dont think the market has much downside from here even if recession occurs. Its priced in $SPY $QQQ $IWM"
X Link 2023-09-11T00:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This doesnt mean there isnt the potential for individual stock blowups going forward there definitely is but from the perspective of broad indices the surprise would be a rally in the face of recession similar to what HAS ALREADY HAPPENED in Europe not an equity decline $SPY"
X Link 2023-09-11T00:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Lol first Dan Niles comes out and confidently declares $AAPL as his largest short now random due on investingdotcom says to sell Apple. Even if Apple does eventually fall to [---] because of too many straight quarters of revenue declines the odds are high it touches [---] first"
X Link 2023-09-11T11:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
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/creator/twitter::CAndreisen