# ![@Brendan_Duke Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::82774838.png) @Brendan_Duke Brendan Duke

Brendan Duke posts on X about tariffs, in the, white house, health the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::82774838/interactions)
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- [--] Week [-------] +819%
- [--] Month [-------] +136%
- [--] Months [---------] -86%
- [--] Year [----------] -52%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::82774838/posts_active)
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- [--] Months [---] -55%
- [--] Year [---] -56%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::82774838/followers)
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- [--] Week [------] +0.80%
- [--] Month [------] +0.76%
- [--] Months [------] +2.40%
- [--] Year [------] +38%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::82774838/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::82774838/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  #5074 [countries](/list/countries)  5% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  4% [stocks](/list/stocks)  4% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  1% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  1% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  1% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  1%

**Social topic influence**
[tariffs](/topic/tariffs) #81, [in the](/topic/in-the) #4468, [white house](/topic/white-house) 7%, [health](/topic/health) 7%, [money](/topic/money) 7%, [big beautiful](/topic/big-beautiful) #81, [the first](/topic/the-first) 4%, [food](/topic/food) 4%, [debt](/topic/debt) 4%, [fed](/topic/fed) 4%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@bbkogan](/creator/undefined) [@budgetmodel](/creator/undefined) [@thebudgetlab](/creator/undefined) [@donfschneider](/creator/undefined) [@centeronbudget](/creator/undefined) [@richardrubindc](/creator/undefined) [@uscbo](/creator/undefined) [@repdonbeyer](/creator/undefined) [@parrottcbpp](/creator/undefined) [@pdriessentax](/creator/undefined) [@socraticbloke](/creator/undefined) [@econjaredb](/creator/undefined) [@amprog](/creator/undefined) [@georgeacallas](/creator/undefined) [@marcgoldwein](/creator/undefined) [@lorickfoxpa](/creator/undefined) [@brendanduke](/creator/undefined) [@ft](/creator/undefined) [@michaelslinden](/creator/undefined) [@bharatramamurtis](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [General Motors Company (GM)](/topic/general-motors) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [DoorDash Inc. (DASH)](/topic/doordash)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"When I worked at the White House I rigorously stuck to just three cups of coffee a day. But there was a vending machine that sold Celsius and I thought it some weird tasting seltzer water and so I had a couple of those in addition to my three cups of coffee and felt amazing. I have never consumed Celsius and subsequently felt any less than 110%. To me this is the elixir of life. Idk what it is no other caffeine source comes anywhere close. If anyone has any redpill info about it I really dont want to know unless it is life or death. https://t.co/7gB4KIl96D I have never consumed Celsius and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2017792464136909272)  2026-02-01T02:49Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"@BudgetModel @The_Budget_Lab The megabill also makes a 20%+ cut to SNAP by [----] by forcing states to should the cost of SNAP for the first time trapping families in red tape through work requirements and more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018693387541491927)  2026-02-03T14:29Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"@BudgetModel @The_Budget_Lab Part of the megabill receiving less attention is changes to student loan repayment for low-income borrowers (esp. folks who didn't finish degrees). For first time someone w/ earnings below poverty line will have to make payments helping offset tax cuts tilted to the wealthy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018694645115416786)  2026-02-03T14:34Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"CBO estimates that the SNAP policies in One Big Beautiful Bill including work requirements will increase labor supply by a whole 0.02%. This is a benefit cut not much else. A shame new SNAP work requirements are rolling out. Yet research shows they don't increase employment just kicks people off. Now people 55-64 + those who are homeless face more paperwork and barriers. Another major cut to food assistance in the U.S. https://t.co/DjWwgW2iPV A shame new SNAP work requirements are rolling out. Yet research shows they don't increase employment just kicks people off. Now people 55-64 + those"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2019392211256033532)  2026-02-05T12:46Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Guess Claude Code has rendered Bitcoin useless"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2019575000253280732)  2026-02-06T00:52Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Disagree with @econJaredB. @BBKogan couldn't be any more different from Richard and has *not* joined the family business After all Bobby has worked for the Senate Budget Committee and @amprog while Richard has worked for the House Budget Committee and @CenterOnBudget"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021237588602868146)  2026-02-10T14:59Z 10K followers, [--] engagements


"The deficit has fallen relatively quickly in the first four months of fiscal year [----] (October-January) compared to [----]. $152B in nominal deficit reduction or 20% but $91B of that (60 percent) is a result of Trump's regressive legally questionable tariffs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021242142585221437)  2026-02-10T15:17Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"My personal view is that we should have a big asterisk on the economic effects of tariffs until we get a SCOTUS decision on the IEEPA tariffs and the Trump Admins potential replacement regime has been in place for a bit. Firms know this could all be changing soon If tariffs are not yet accounting for such a substantial share of core goods inflation this suggests either a) tariffs effects are smaller than some estimates suggest or b) that tariffs effects have yet to show up in consumer prices. 10/12 If tariffs are not yet accounting for such a substantial share of core goods inflation this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2022338183841677752)  2026-02-13T15:52Z 10.1K followers, [---] engagements


"Wow. CBO estimates that U.S. consumers bear [--] PERCENT OF THE TRUMP TARIFFS. Basically foreign firms bear 5% of them U.S. companies bear 30% of them but other U.S. companies get to raise prices on consumers from less competition so that nets to zero. And consumers pay rest"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021601874554618095)  2026-02-11T15:07Z 10.1K followers, 145.2K engagements


"@BBKogan CBO makes clear that the GOP megabill achieves cost savings by taking health care away. Real Medicaid costs are supposed to rise just 5% over the decade despite aging population (as opposed to 61% for Medicare). The reason it's so low is decline in people receiving Medicaid"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021608613190541802)  2026-02-11T15:33Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"My updated list of estimates of the cost of the GOP megabill including its effects on growth including today's CBO estimate. Contrary to claims the law will produce such stupendous economic growth it will pay for itself all independent estimates find it will cost trillions. NEW: @USCBO has posted its budget and economic outlook--the first full one we've had in a year so the first one reflecting One Big Beautiful Bill and the Trump tariffs. Going to post observations as I move through it. 🧵 https://t.co/K0hFtAC2l9 NEW: @USCBO has posted its budget and economic outlook--the first full one"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021645376214962468)  2026-02-11T17:59Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"They told me eating two large pizzas would make me gain weight but that didnt happen after I threw up the pizza. Every time a tariff is rolled back ten How Did Economists Get Tariffs Wrong articles are created in the future Every time a tariff is rolled back ten How Did Economists Get Tariffs Wrong articles are created in the future"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2022354675664662950)  2026-02-13T16:58Z 10.1K followers, 40.1K engagements


"@George_A_Callas What I find frustrating is that his decisions around the opinion page (predictably) caused financial losses/prevented it from getting a revenue surge and now a major metro is going to see its local news coverage decimated. https://x.com/BenjySarlin/status/2016526249552679104s=20 Pretty simple story. The Post was primed to get a massive influx of subscribers and interest in the Trump [--] era and they've produced major scoops consistently in this period and then something very obvious stopped it all from happening. https://x.com/BenjySarlin/status/2016526249552679104s=20 Pretty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2019183877672026384)  2026-02-04T22:58Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@BBKogan CBO provides a reason why tariffs are a poor source of revenue. They are bringing in crazy amounts of money right now (1.3% of GDP in revenue) but that is projected to decline to 0.9% by the end of the decade as businesses/consumers avoid them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021609204419580233)  2026-02-11T15:36Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@BBKogan An interesting note--One Big Beautiful Bill cut Medicaid by $1.2 trillion over the decade which proponents said was necessary to pay for tax cuts. But an unexpected increase in Medicare prescription drug costs basically wipes all of that away ($1T)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021611595109966163)  2026-02-11T15:45Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@BBKogan A motivation behind the GOP megabill was increasing investment incentives by cutting taxes--partially financed with higher deficits. But a problem with that theory in the current macroeconomic environment higher interest rates wipe away half of those incentive benefits"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021612641823641831)  2026-02-11T15:49Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"My view is that super growth from AI doesnt help w/ the fiscal outlook: 1.) If automation causes mass job loss there will be demand to help with $. 2.) AI buildout raises interest rates. Robot buildout would do similar. 3.) We have a harder time taxing capital than labor. @MarcGoldwein Well an AI executive told me earlier this week there's going to be [--] percent annual GDP growth soon so maybe it'll all work out _()_/ @MarcGoldwein Well an AI executive told me earlier this week there's going to be [--] percent annual GDP growth soon so maybe it'll all work out _()_/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021661309469962668)  2026-02-11T19:03Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@LorickFoxPA @RepDonBeyer They can accept a lower pre-tariff price. i.e. widget costs $10 and faces a 25% tariff. Instead of importer paying $10 to the exporter and $2.50 to the government exporter charges $8 and the U.S. company pays $2 to the government. In this case it is bearing all of the tariff"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021695885541847276)  2026-02-11T21:20Z 10.1K followers, [---] engagements


"Daniel Tiger is kind of a loser TBQH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021744651900731838)  2026-02-12T00:34Z 10.1K followers, [---] engagements


"Yep--$405B in higher interest costs from the law's increase in interest rates is bigger than the $280B boost from higher economic growth resulting from lower tax rates. 👀🔥👀 CBO says macroeconomic effect of new tax law increases deficits but it's not because they say tax cuts don't cause growth. It's this: Tax cuts--growth--higher inflation--higher interest rates. And higher US interest costs on large debt revenue from growth. 👀🔥👀 CBO says macroeconomic effect of new tax law increases deficits but it's not because they say tax cuts don't cause growth. It's this: Tax cuts--growth--higher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021604643399180358)  2026-02-11T15:18Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@DonFSchneider @RichardRubinDC Ignoring the different signs of the deficit impact I dont think Ive ever claimed that extending something I liked was free including when it would be to my advantage like enhanced PTCs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021926236751380839)  2026-02-12T12:35Z 10.1K followers, [--] engagements


"NEW: @USCBO has posted its budget and economic outlook--the first full one we've had in a year so the first one reflecting One Big Beautiful Bill and the Trump tariffs. Going to post observations as I move through it. 🧵 https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61882 https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61882"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021600717069283460)  2026-02-11T15:02Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@BBKogan CBO estimating that AI will raise productivity growth by [---] percentage points annually. Overall they project productivity growth will be somewhat higher than in recent years (1.6% in 2026-2030 vs 1.3% 2008-2025)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021605669829218369)  2026-02-11T15:22Z 10.1K followers, 13.8K engagements


"One if the most dependable laws of political gravity is second term presidents becoming lame ducks within their party. 🚨🚨 Little by little week after week a subtle but significant shift is unfolding in American politics:Institutions and even a small but growing number of Republicans are standing up to President Trump. https://t.co/Ez5raIKSzz 🚨🚨 Little by little week after week a subtle but significant shift is unfolding in American politics:Institutions and even a small but growing number of Republicans are standing up to President Trump. https://t.co/Ez5raIKSzz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2022273051899863071)  2026-02-13T11:34Z 10.1K followers, 20.5K engagements


"Fun discovery: on an apples-to-apples basis Trump's tariff taxes are larger than the tax increases in the House-passed version of Build Back Better in [----]. Of course the distribution of Biden's tax hikes on corporations and millionaires are different from Trump's tariffs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2022408377713013194)  2026-02-13T20:31Z 10.1K followers, [---] engagements


"RT @Brendan_Duke: They told me eating two large pizzas would make me gain weight but that didnt happen after I threw up the pizza"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2022422045397569596)  2026-02-13T21:26Z 10.1K followers, [--] engagements


"BOMBSHELL @FT scoop: Trump admin mulls cutting steel/aluminum tariffs bc these taxes 1) raise US prices; 2) are insanely complicated; 3) had other unintented consequences (incl lobbying). They're admitting in other words that gravity exists. Good. https://t.co/o4RkfMWxlF BOMBSHELL @FT scoop: Trump admin mulls cutting steel/aluminum tariffs bc these taxes 1) raise US prices; 2) are insanely complicated; 3) had other unintented consequences (incl lobbying). They're admitting in other words that gravity exists. Good. https://t.co/o4RkfMWxlF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2022288652345217039)  2026-02-13T12:36Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"CBO also makes one of my favorite @BBKogan points here--that the fiscal deficit right now (and in its projections) is particularly high given that the unemployment rate is relatively low. We're running recession-level deficits without well a recession"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021602591658909838)  2026-02-11T15:09Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@BBKogan A reasonable defense of the Trump tariffs is that they are tax increases and reduce the deficit. That is needed even if it temporarily reduces economic activity. But CBO points out here some of the downsides of Trump's tariff approach that is unique to it--the uncertainty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021603458176991375)  2026-02-11T15:13Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@BBKogan The money for immigration enforcement in the GOP megabill (including ICE and CBP) reduces the size of the workforce because of more immigration enforcement. That reduction in the number of workers is larger than the tiny increase in workers from Medicaid/SNAP requirements"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021613789154566154)  2026-02-11T15:54Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"If the megabill hadn't passed it would be 75% in [----] (based on the Jan [----] CBO numbers). In [----] it was 78%--a good proxy for continuing current policy. And shows there was some reform in the [----] law such as the SALT cap relative to expiration. But the [----] number is now 76%--indicating much of that broadening is gone. 2/2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2021626249890648527)  2026-02-11T16:43Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"RT @MichaelSLinden:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022390492445708729)  2026-02-13T19:20Z 10.1K followers, [--] engagements


"The reason to think LLMs are advancing very rapidly isnt the press releases and CEO quotes from the companies making them or claiming to use them. Theyd be saying this stuff regardless. Its individual people doing increasingly impressive stuff with them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2022423024319033612)  2026-02-13T21:29Z 10.1K followers, [---] engagements


"How could the founder of Trump University do this. In the past year Trump has promised. -$5000 stimulus checks via "DOGE dividend" -$2000 stimulus checks via "tariff dividend" -$1000+ checks via "savings" from expiring ACA subsidies So far no checks have materialized. https://t.co/iSN5EO7bnA In the past year Trump has promised. -$5000 stimulus checks via "DOGE dividend" -$2000 stimulus checks via "tariff dividend" -$1000+ checks via "savings" from expiring ACA subsidies So far no checks have materialized. https://t.co/iSN5EO7bnA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2022426745581006881)  2026-02-13T21:44Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Urge anyone thinking about a [----] or [----] policy agenda to read @BharatRamamurtis piece here three times carefully. And @davidckamins masterfully piece here: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfmabstract_id=5775982 If a Democrat wins the presidency in [----] there is a ticking time bomb awaiting them that threatens to blow up their hopes of enacting their economic agenda. My piece today gets into the ugly math -- and what Democrats can do to avoid this outcome. 1/ https://t.co/7Wv1l1LLN2 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfmabstract_id=5775982 If a Democrat wins the presidency in [----] there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2001664806722654640)  2025-12-18T14:44Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"New from me: far from helping Americans who are demanding policies to improve affordability the Trump Administration is making the following less affordable: 🍊Food 💊Health care 🏠Housing 🎓Education 🔌Energy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2001734501295153383)  2025-12-18T19:21Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"San Diego Zoo=cool as heck (actually pretty warm)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2002914767720382524)  2025-12-22T01:31Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Lets seriously think about thisthe House Speaker is promising $10000 in additional take-home pay starting next April. Thats a ludicrous number. Does anyone other than a comms staffer whos five Celsius deep [--] days before Christmas think this is actually going to happen Hardworking families will see the LARGEST tax cuts in American history next year putting more money in their pockets thanks to Congressional Republicans and @POTUSs Working Families Tax Cuts. This HUGE win includes: ➡ NO tax on tips ➡ NO tax on overtime ➡ Tax relief Hardworking families will see the LARGEST tax cuts in American"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2003256744705950058)  2025-12-23T00:10Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Johnson's stat is from this White House Council of Economic Advisors analysis which combines the effect of the tax cut and economic growth projections. Putting aside that the economic growth projections are cuckoo for cocoa puffs they're for *Year 4* which is not next April"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2003259035425054911)  2025-12-23T00:19Z 10.1K followers, [---] engagements


"@mattyglesias @MattZeitlin Didnt you make this case Though Kansas City is a weak version because the property values arent insanely high like in DC. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-05-07/nfl-s-washington-commanders-deserve-new-stadium-but-in-suburbs https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-05-07/nfl-s-washington-commanders-deserve-new-stadium-but-in-suburbs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2003471238140953029)  2025-12-23T14:22Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"While its unclear whether there is a k-shape to recent income/consumption growth we know that low- & moderate-income families struggle the most to afford the basics and Trump policies have worsened/will worsen affordability for precisely that group. https://www.cbpp.org/research/poverty-and-inequality/trump-administration-congressional-republicans-are-worsening I share @JasonFurman's grain of salt. We don't measure the distribution of either total income or consumption well in real-time so no measure we have right now--including the ones I cite below--is dispositive and I'm open to being"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2004752550139228235)  2025-12-27T03:13Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Betting this victory will *not* go viral in MAHA-land as we are all too addicted to the dopamine hit of conspiratorial negative news disseminated via social media"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2005261453943824798)  2025-12-28T12:56Z 10.1K followers, [---] engagements


"Same with the tariffs. The Supreme Court will likely blow up the rickety tariff regime the Trump Admin has assembled and so theyll have to set a new regime that the next President can remove on January [--] [----]. Why not try to do the normal thing and pass tariff legislation Under-discussed that for all the deranged immigration-posting the Trump administration has not even *tried* to get any legislation changing immigration law enacted. Under-discussed that for all the deranged immigration-posting the Trump administration has not even *tried* to get any legislation changing immigration law"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2005472112803455108)  2025-12-29T02:53Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Turns out not enough. #GoNiners Still a lot of time on that clock Still a lot of time on that clock"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2005497664214065440)  2025-12-29T04:34Z 10.1K followers, [---] engagements


"The tell backing @AlecStapps point is pet services including veterinary rose 170% over the period in the chart. That is not a highly government regulated sector like medical services (130%) but it still exploded. Lots of people like to interpret this chart as government regulation bad free market good But its really a story about Baumols cost disease and manufactured goods vs labor-intensive services https://t.co/d8jlBuTBYh Lots of people like to interpret this chart as government regulation bad free market good But its really a story about Baumols cost disease and manufactured goods vs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2005651576161980842)  2025-12-29T14:46Z 10.1K followers, 12.3K engagements


"Guess we know who the University of Austin Business School dean is going to be. Almost nothing makes my blood boil more than when a large powerful institution unfairly destroys someones reputation and its principal reason for doing so is to minimize bad publicity in an effort to protect its own reputation. Sadly I have seen this occur in many academic Almost nothing makes my blood boil more than when a large powerful institution unfairly destroys someones reputation and its principal reason for doing so is to minimize bad publicity in an effort to protect its own reputation. Sadly I have seen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2007167161933189244)  2026-01-02T19:08Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Additional thoughtto the extent that the Trump Admin is counting on BIG REFUND to solve their political problems the booming stock market is not helpful as people pay taxes on capital gains and dividends then. Not relevant to most people but perhaps for the group thats supposed to be grateful for the higher SALT deduction. It's an interesting move for Trump's Treasury Department to suggest Americans will receive a $3750 tax cut and $7200 in higher wages this year. I'm skeptical it's going to work well for them because Americans are unlikely to see anything like this. 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2009068100461973863)  2026-01-08T01:02Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"This will if anything raise house prices. This benefits a buyer if they get to do it but other competing buyers dont. Letting everyone tap 401ks and college savings means they all just bid up house prices against one another. NEWS from me & @meredithllee: The WH is drafting an EO broadly targeted at addressing Americans frustration with the cost of living including a push to allow people to dip into their retirement & college savings accounts to afford down payments on homes https://t.co/dqFZ3v4yYA NEWS from me & @meredithllee: The WH is drafting an EO broadly targeted at addressing Americans"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2009094751405133920)  2026-01-08T02:48Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"The shortcoming of this measure is it doesn't take into account the total amount a country taxes A fiscal package eliminating Social Security/Medicare/Medicaid & all taxes except for $1 paid by Jeff Bezos would *increase* our tax system's progressivity according to this measure "US Has the Most Progressive Tax System in the Developed World" https://t.co/mUf8GoMjzz https://t.co/LunCvRk5VF "US Has the Most Progressive Tax System in the Developed World" https://t.co/mUf8GoMjzz https://t.co/LunCvRk5VF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2009302927182070097)  2026-01-08T16:35Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"The spectacle of paying Greenlanders to join the U.S. while cutting nutrition assistance and health care from low-income Americans and taxing clothing imported from Vietnam is wild. 🚨 TRUMP ADMINISTRATION CONSIDERS PAYING GREENLANDERS TO JOIN U.S. U.S. officials have discussed offering Greenlanders $10000$100000 each to support secession from Denmark and possible U.S. affiliation sources say. The plan is part of broader White House deliberations which 🚨 TRUMP ADMINISTRATION CONSIDERS PAYING GREENLANDERS TO JOIN U.S. U.S. officials have discussed offering Greenlanders $10000$100000 each to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2009335067219218711)  2026-01-08T18:43Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"@ModeledBehavior I've long preferred prime-age EPOP but prime-age EPOP has a blindspot given that we know current weakness is concentrated in the under [--] range. The [----] Dec EPOP ratio for that group is below the EPOP ratio for every Dec from [----] to [----] with the exception of 2020's"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2009632142855393771)  2026-01-09T14:23Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"What does it mean for the President to "call for" a cap on credit card interest rates Is it a rule Is it a law Is he just posting Trump: "AFFORDABILITY Effective January [--] [----] I as President of the United States am calling for a one year cap on Credit Card Interest Rates of 10%." https://t.co/494a1RuN4E Trump: "AFFORDABILITY Effective January [--] [----] I as President of the United States am calling for a one year cap on Credit Card Interest Rates of 10%." https://t.co/494a1RuN4E"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2009807913922245077)  2026-01-10T02:02Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"This further underlines that Trump intends for his Fed pick to be a puppeteven if he doesnt fire them he can order a criminal investigation if they make monetary policy choices Trump disagrees with. *FEDERAL PROSECUTORS OPEN INQUIRY INTO FED CHAIR POWELL: NYT *FEDERAL PROSECUTORS OPEN INQUIRY INTO FED CHAIR POWELL: NYT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2010509602354262249)  2026-01-12T00:30Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Jay Powell bringing the 🔥here The Federal Reserve received grand jury subpoenas from the Justice Department on Friday that threaten a criminal indictment relating to Chair Jerome Powells testimony last summer about the central banks building renovation project Powell statement: https://t.co/qDMqOngobs The Federal Reserve received grand jury subpoenas from the Justice Department on Friday that threaten a criminal indictment relating to Chair Jerome Powells testimony last summer about the central banks building renovation project Powell statement: https://t.co/qDMqOngobs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2010511028275012002)  2026-01-12T00:35Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Need a polymarket for which top GOP lawyer represents Powell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2010687473509179532)  2026-01-12T12:17Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Trump White House Official Navvaro says Powell is "the worst Chairman since Arthur Burns began running the money pump for Richard Nixon for reelection." Does he realize that Trump WANTS an Arthur Burns who will run the money pump ahead of the [----] and [----] elections Peter Navarro: "Spare me this 'Fed independence' stuff" https://t.co/Xsfzs9LQ4c Peter Navarro: "Spare me this 'Fed independence' stuff" https://t.co/Xsfzs9LQ4c"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2010729807173365924)  2026-01-12T15:05Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Trump White House Official Navarro says Powell is "the worst Chairman since Arthur Burns began running the money pump for Richard Nixon for reelection." Does he realize that Trump WANTS an Arthur Burns who will run the money pump ahead of the [----] and [----] elections Peter Navarro: "Spare me this 'Fed independence' stuff" https://t.co/Xsfzs9LQ4c Peter Navarro: "Spare me this 'Fed independence' stuff" https://t.co/Xsfzs9LQ4c"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2010735230999793841)  2026-01-12T15:26Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Pour one out for financial services legislative assistants on Capitol Hill who are getting [--] meeting requests an hour to meet with the credit card and retailer lobbies. 🚨🚨🚨President Donald Trump appears to endorse the Credit Card Competition Act and gives an attaboy to Sen. Roger Marshall The banks will not like this one bit https://t.co/kVkvTNgq2D 🚨🚨🚨President Donald Trump appears to endorse the Credit Card Competition Act and gives an attaboy to Sen. Roger Marshall The banks will not like this one bit https://t.co/kVkvTNgq2D"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2011075552678129979)  2026-01-13T13:59Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"@econwonk I would urge them to reflect to think about the fun things a Democratic trifecta could do using Section [---] to use OMB scoring. Not even particularly nefarious but that is significantly more revenue from increasing IRS enforcement money and raising corporate tax rates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2011079169023885359)  2026-01-13T14:13Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"One proposal would *further* increase premiums for most people in ACA marketplace plans beyond the failure to extend the PTC enhancements. They picked this up from the cutting room floor of the megabill negotiations as the GOP Senate refused to enact it. Now its back"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2011198567575404916)  2026-01-13T22:07Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Another idea goes even further: REPLACING ACA tax credits with cash accounts Cash accounts will never provide the kind of access to health care or financial protection that health insurance provides to people who become ill get into an accident or have pre-existing conditions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2011198570725335530)  2026-01-13T22:08Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Unsurprisingly the RSC framework continues where last summers megabill left off on cutting taxes for the rich. The most ludicrous of these affordability tax cuts is ELIMINATING the estate taxa tax only affecting heirs to fortunes worth over $30 MILLION DOLLARS per couple"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2011198576219865180)  2026-01-13T22:08Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Another tax cut for the rich is the elimination of cap gains taxes on home sales under certain conditions. There currently is a $500k exemption on cap gains so this proposal would ONLY benefit 10% of homeowners whose homes are worth $1.4M on average"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2011198579361169908)  2026-01-13T22:08Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Finally the framework is filled with regulatory giveaways to the fossil fuel industry but does nothing to make it easier to build wind or solar energyto say nothing of reversing the cuts to investments in those sources of cheap and clean electricity. https://www.cbpp.org/research/climate-change/cuts-to-climate-energy-funding-in-house-bill-would-mean-higher-costs-fewer https://www.cbpp.org/research/climate-change/cuts-to-climate-energy-funding-in-house-bill-would-mean-higher-costs-fewer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2011198581798289884)  2026-01-13T22:08Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"@marthagimbel @The_Budget_Lab No organization chases clicks harder than @The_Budget_Lab with clickbait slop like How to Distribute Deficit-Financed Policies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2011473437013782542)  2026-01-14T16:20Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"JUST IN: Trump's offer to buy Greenland would cost less than the annual interest payments on the federal gov't debt. JUST IN: Trump's offer to buy Greenland would cost less than the annual interest payments on the federal gov't debt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2011518358207049892)  2026-01-14T19:18Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Me paying $100000 a year in interest payments on my credit card debt: "We can buy an $80k cybertruck for less than our annual interest spending.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2011518757559288296)  2026-01-14T19:20Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"I consume a lot of protein (like 200g a day) and even I think that Starbucks advertising protein coffee is nuts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2013273171680469140)  2026-01-19T15:31Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Y'all aren't turning the Titanic around--you're hunting for icebergs. The Trump Administration has taken several active policy steps that make groceries health care housing education and energy less affordable. Vance on the economy: "You don't turn the Titanic around overnight" https://t.co/eknSoXWkj8 Vance on the economy: "You don't turn the Titanic around overnight" https://t.co/eknSoXWkj8"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2014407597265150239)  2026-01-22T18:39Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Cruz was wrong about that because Trump chickened out of the April [----] tariffs Theyre not nearly as high now. Im losing my mind. This quote is from April [----] with Cruz warning Trump about the inflationary effect of tariffs. Cruz warned of a situation where "people's 401(k)s are down 30% and prices are up 1020% at the supermarket." So far it appears Cruz was wrong about that. This quote is from April [----] with Cruz warning Trump about the inflationary effect of tariffs. Cruz warned of a situation where "people's 401(k)s are down 30% and prices are up 1020% at the supermarket." So far it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2015448330084430169)  2026-01-25T15:35Z 10K followers, 21K engagements


"As @ParrottCBPP explained the DHS funding bill is one place to address them. https://x.com/ParrottCBPP/status/2015452576271974456 In the wake of another horrific shooting death in MN by federal immigration officers -on top of wrongful detentions violence & fear there & across the country- it is appropriate for the Senate to use the budget process to push for critical protections for people & communities. https://x.com/ParrottCBPP/status/2015452576271974456 In the wake of another horrific shooting death in MN by federal immigration officers -on top of wrongful detentions violence & fear there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2015903224742428770)  2026-01-26T21:42Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"@ParrottCBPP Figuring out a bipartisan approach on holding DHS accountable may take time. No reason the Social Security Admin housing funding & troop pay should wait. Stalling those bills while agreement on DHS is hammered out doesnt make sense. Even the House voted for DHS separately"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2015903386114175175)  2026-01-26T21:43Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"We think Svalbard and not American consumers will pay the tariff due to currency appreciation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/1907560734290018361)  2025-04-02T22:28Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Calls to split the DHS funding from the current 6-bill minibus arent calls for a shutdown. The other [--] bills+ the already enacted bills provide 95%+ of total discretionary $. The other [--] bills have solid bipartisan support in both houses & should move on their own. NEW Senate GOP leaders pushing ahead with funding package despite Dem opposition. GOP leadership aide: Government funding expires at the end of the week and Republicans are determined to not have another government shut down. We will move forward as planned and hope NEW Senate GOP leaders pushing ahead with funding package despite"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2015903048963338582)  2026-01-26T21:41Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Gonna start the Greenland @CenterOnBudget affiliate because the weather is nicer there than in Washington DC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2015933553054232672)  2026-01-26T23:43Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Useful and generalizable public policy lesson: do we think that Nvidia and Coinbase putting money in their employees' kids Trump accounts is a huge policy win Their parents are generally well off by definition since those companies don't have many (any) low-wage workers. 1/2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2016658719728128329)  2026-01-28T23:44Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Policies that focus on the compensation of employees of highly profitable companies frequently ignore that a lot of those companies (Silicon Valley Wall Street etc.) don't have a lot of low-wage workers. So focusing on pay within those firms is kind of red herring"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2016659788449415423)  2026-01-28T23:48Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Around 2/3 of the increase in wage inequality between [----] and [----] came from more inequality between different companies (i.e. General Motors vs. Google) while only 1/3 came from inequality within companies (i.e. GM CEO vs. front line workers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2016660205346476399)  2026-01-28T23:50Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"@EconBerger Consistent with the idea that the people bearing basically all of the weakness in the labor market are young people trying to get hired for their first job"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2016871060126212390)  2026-01-29T13:48Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"From my experience Bowles Simpson was a direct contributor to what is a couple hundred billion between friends because a lot of people said that the debt was going to cause a crisis and it didnt happen. Ownwhen I mention to policymakers maybe you shouldnt put non-emergency spending on the credit card they dont believe there is a downside because talking about fiscal risks has been discredited"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2016897109283213576)  2026-01-29T15:31Z 10K followers, [--] engagements


"@PhilipWallach (I suspect if Bowles Simpson had passed and given the high unemployment rate/low interest rates of the teens that additional deficit reduction would have just given more room for deficit-increasing tax cuts in 2017)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2016897607545626822)  2026-01-29T15:33Z 10K followers, [--] engagements


"Ask people to think about what it would mean for the credibility and reputation of the Fed when Warsh obeys his boss and keeps rates low while Trump is in office but unleashes his inner hawk if a Democrat is elected President. BREAKING via @rachaelmbade: "SCOOP: Hassett officially out Trump leaning toward Warsh for Fed Chair" "The president met with his two finalists at the White House today" https://t.co/E3yq84EsMu BREAKING via @rachaelmbade: "SCOOP: Hassett officially out Trump leaning toward Warsh for Fed Chair" "The president met with his two finalists at the White House today""  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2017025896675151990)  2026-01-30T00:03Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Dollar still worth one dollar as far as I can tell. Breaking Silver News: Just minutes later and now silver is down 25% and at $86. #Silver Breaking Silver News: Just minutes later and now silver is down 25% and at $86. #Silver"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2017296490910130590)  2026-01-30T17:58Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"When I worked at the White House I rigorously stuck to just three cups of coffee day. But there was a vending machine that sold Celsius and I thought it some weird tasting seltzer water and so I had a couple of those in addition to my three cups of coffee and felt amazing. I have never consumed Celsius and subsequently felt any less than 110%. To me this is the elixir of life. Idk what it is no other caffeine source comes anywhere close. If anyone has any redpill info about it I really dont want to know unless it is life or death. https://t.co/7gB4KIl96D I have never consumed Celsius and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2017791876603036057)  2026-02-01T02:47Z 10K followers, [--] engagements


"Need an FDIC but for Washington DC grocery stores three days before a blizzard"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2014711905806426270)  2026-01-23T14:48Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Unbelievable that the cofounder of Anthropic wants liberal democracy to be bound in the Beatles the Rolling Stones Led Zeppelin and other "classical" rock. Co-Founder of Anthropic: My deep loyalty is to the principles of classical liberal democracy. If this is what they say publicly this is how their AI model is programmed. Woke and deeply leftist ideology is what they want you to rely upon. Co-Founder of Anthropic: My deep loyalty is to the principles of classical liberal democracy. If this is what they say publicly this is how their AI model is programmed. Woke and deeply leftist ideology"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2015904599794684327)  2026-01-26T21:48Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"The deficit hysteria of the early 2010s when the unemployment rate was 9%+ and interest rates were zero was inappropriate macroeconomics and discredited "what about the deficit" for many policymakers today. A substantive and political mistake. https://www.slowboring.com/p/trump-embraces-affordability-sloputm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=159185&post_id=185960033&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=u1ox&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2016881116574105811)  2026-01-29T14:28Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Successfully taxing the very highest income households means successfully taxing unrealized capital gains in some way (and unfortunately it isn't just limiting "buy borrow and die"). Now out in @JPubEcon -Unrealized gains are 40% of economic income for top 1% (29% adjusted for inflation) so most econ income is taxed -Borrowing is just 1-2% of econ income for them -Super rich buy save die" not buy borrow die - they don't need to borrow to consume Now out in @JPubEcon -Unrealized gains are 40% of economic income for top 1% (29% adjusted for inflation) so most econ income is taxed -Borrowing is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018373512822460808)  2026-02-02T17:18Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"Many possible approaches for getting at unrealized capital gains of the wealthy such as the Wyden Billionaire Income Tax proposal the Biden Billionaire Minimum Tax proposal or addressing the stepped up basis loophole (such as taxing unrealized capital gains at death)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018376613293904344)  2026-02-02T17:30Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Thomas Massies wife is a former Rand Paul staffer. Trump: "People are saying that Thomas Massie became a Liberal because his new wife blessed be their marriage is supposedly a Radical Left flamethrower. This new union all went so fast that maybe he didnt know what he was getting into but nevertheless he is an absolutely https://t.co/yRWpQl5aLR Trump: "People are saying that Thomas Massie became a Liberal because his new wife blessed be their marriage is supposedly a Radical Left flamethrower. This new union all went so fast that maybe he didnt know what he was getting into but nevertheless he"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018426294254387556)  2026-02-02T20:48Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"I think the more depressing implication of the NYT DoorDash article isn't substitution of delivery food for groceries (data indicate this isn't happening in a population-wide way). It's substitution of delivery food for eating out with friends"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018434500808593691)  2026-02-02T21:21Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"New 25-page @CenterOnBudget paper from me summarizing the distributional fiscal and economic effects of One Big Beautiful Bill's tax cuts and cuts to health care food assistance student loans and climate investments. https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-tax/republican-megabill-trades-essential-support-to-low-income-people-for-skewed https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-tax/republican-megabill-trades-essential-support-to-low-income-people-for-skewed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018691332139553060)  2026-02-03T14:21Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"A @BudgetModel analysis of the megabill's combination of tax cuts cuts to programs and higher deficits will make the bottom [--] percent of kids born today worse off in the long run"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018691989877776670)  2026-02-03T14:24Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"@BudgetModel Another view is taking seriously the Trump Admin's claim that regressive economically destructive and legally questionable tariffs offset the megabill's deficits. When we include those in the distribution the bottom 70% is worse off from the bill according to @The_Budget_Lab:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018692629760761983)  2026-02-03T14:26Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"@BudgetModel @The_Budget_Lab @JesseJenkins An example of the poor choices in the megabill: they expanded the amount of state and local taxes affluent households can deduct from $10k to $40k. This came at a cost of $140B--about [--] percent of the cut to SNAP that make low-income families pay more for groceries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018696426478272714)  2026-02-03T14:41Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"God millennials are cool. BREAKING: Lindsey Vonn says she ruptured her ACL but will still compete at the Milan Cortina Olympics. https://t.co/EldbjYLVNa BREAKING: Lindsey Vonn says she ruptured her ACL but will still compete at the Milan Cortina Olympics. https://t.co/EldbjYLVNa"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018709300764430641)  2026-02-03T15:32Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"The House marks up the Incentivize Savings Act tomorrow. It incentivizes impoundments not savings. It gives Trump Admin officials *bonuses* for refusing to spend $ on programs Congress appropriated $ for including medical research K-12 ed & Social Security customer service"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018736832087748932)  2026-02-03T17:22Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


""President Trump--you need to resurrect the enhancements to the Obamacare premium tax credits roll back the cuts to Medicaid in One Big Beautiful Bill and take other steps to expand government-subsidized health care coverage if you want Greenlanders to join America" The U.S. social contract is horrifying to the rest of the world -- including Greenlanders. "A new poll shows 76% of Greenlanders say they wouldnt benefit from becoming part of the U.S. noting their concerns about exchanging the Danish welfare system for American healthcare https://t.co/ViKQSe9hlK The U.S. social contract is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2018744556813263233)  2026-02-03T17:53Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"What about Randy Clark for Washington Post publisher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2019158845537317090)  2026-02-04T21:19Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"DHS Secretary Christopher Waller coming to a theater near you. Consolation prize to Waller Rieder and Hassett: perhaps some other job in the admin Why the square quotes around his own name in all caps https://t.co/ZgYTCrCYv7 Consolation prize to Waller Rieder and Hassett: perhaps some other job in the admin Why the square quotes around his own name in all caps https://t.co/ZgYTCrCYv7"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/2017226455948603769)  2026-01-30T13:20Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements

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