# ![@BoaBias Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1641173500508491776.png) @BoaBias BoaBias

BoaBias posts on X about $btc, bearish, bullish, crypto the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1641173500508491776/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1641173500508491776/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +203%
- [--] Month [---] +2.30%
- [--] Months [-----] -75%
- [--] Year [------] +33%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1641173500508491776/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1641173500508491776/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] no change
- [--] Month [--] -6.90%
- [--] Months [---] -66%
- [--] Year [---] +72%

### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1641173500508491776/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1641173500508491776/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [---] no change
- [--] Month [---] +1.90%
- [--] Months [---] -0.91%
- [--] Year [---] +160%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1641173500508491776/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1641173500508491776/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  60% [finance](/list/finance)  55% [stocks](/list/stocks)  17% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  6% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  6% [currencies](/list/currencies)  4% [vc firms](/list/vc-firms)  2% [countries](/list/countries)  2% [nfts](/list/nfts)  1%

**Social topic influence**
[$btc](/topic/$btc) 17%, [bearish](/topic/bearish) #1050, [bullish](/topic/bullish) 16%, [crypto](/topic/crypto) 12%, [bnb](/topic/bnb) #1422, [$bnb](/topic/$bnb) #333, [sol](/topic/sol) 11%, [market](/topic/market) 10%, [strong](/topic/strong) 10%, [$sol](/topic/$sol) 10%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@nestcredit](/creator/undefined) [@eliz883](/creator/undefined) [@layerzerocore](/creator/undefined) [@plumenetwork](/creator/undefined) [@securitize](/creator/undefined) [@apolloglobal](/creator/undefined) [@hamiltonlane](/creator/undefined) [@vaneckus](/creator/undefined) [@blackrock](/creator/undefined) [@solanas](/creator/undefined) [@bitelite17](/creator/undefined) [@cryptorover](/creator/undefined) [@pendlefi](/creator/undefined) [@coinbasemarkets](/creator/undefined) [@cointelegraph](/creator/undefined) [@codycarbonedc](/creator/undefined) [@defiwimar](/creator/undefined) [@imcryptopus](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [BNB (BNB)](/topic/$bnb) [Solana (SOL)](/topic/$sol) [Chainlink (LINK)](/topic/$link) [Syrup (SYRUP)](/topic/$syrup) [Monero (XMR)](/topic/$xmr) [Ethena (ENA)](/topic/$ena) [Morpho (MORPHO)](/topic/$morpho) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/$eth) [Aave (AAVE)](/topic/$aave) [Metronome (MET)](/topic/$met) [Optimism (OP)](/topic/$op) [PancakeSwap (CAKE)](/topic/$cake) [JUST (JST)](/topic/$jst) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Plume (PLUME)](/topic/$plume) [Polygon Ecosystem Token (POL)](/topic/$pol) [BabySwap (BABY)](/topic/$baby) [Lido DAO (LDO)](/topic/$ldo) [API3 (API3)](/topic/$api3) [Polyhedra Network (ZKJ)](/topic/$zk) [World Liberty Financial (WLFI)](/topic/$wlfi) [Berachain (BERA)](/topic/$bera) [Hedera (HBAR)](/topic/$hbar) [Pendle (PENDLE)](/topic/$pendle) [Aptos (APT)](/topic/$apt) [Aerodrome (AERO)](/topic/$aero) [Avantis (AVNT)](/topic/$avnt) [PumpBTC (Governance token) (PUMP)](/topic/$pump) [BlackRock Inc (BLK)](/topic/blackrock)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"1H: sub-15% above. Structure is broken this is flush territory. Almost nothing is holding its short-term levels. 4H: 50%. The market is stuck in no-man's land. Chop zone. Neither side has conviction. 1D/1W: 26% / 20%. The macro skeleton is bearish. Most crypto is underwater on trend timeframes. Risk-off is the regime not the exception. Notice the pattern on the chart every breadth spike since late December gets sold immediately. That's the Sawtooth in action. Until 1D breadth reclaims bounces are rentals not purchases. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023209895705637042"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2023209895705637042)  2026-02-16T01:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Deviation & Overheat The Rubber Band Is Stretched This is the slide that should make bears uncomfortable. 1W deviation at 2.48x. 3D at 1.86x. Over half the market is already extended to the downside. The rubber band doesn't stretch forever. Series overheat confirms it: 66.7% of assets are overheated short on 1H. 59.4% on 1D. That's not a setup that's a crowded exit. The math is simple. When everyone is already short and deviation is this extreme the asymmetry flips. The next violent move isn't another leg down it's the squeeze that liquidates the latecomers. Trend is your friend. Until the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2023209899417583693)  2026-02-16T01:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Market Physics Where the Bounce Dies Price action signals are dead neutral. [--] bull vs [--] bear. Net balance: [---]. The market is telling you nothing and that IS the signal. But structure isn't neutral. [--] HTF bearish FVGs formed. That's a ceiling made of concrete. Here's the playbook: mean reversion bounces get pulled toward these gaps like gravity. FVGs are the magnet. Then they become the wall. Bounce into the gap rejection continuation lower. That's the Sawtooth mechanic visualized. If you're playing longs here the FVG overhead is your exit not your target. Take the R/R the market gives you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2023209903901270505)  2026-02-16T01:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@eliz883 $ZRX dead project ☠"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2020290535370682470)  2026-02-08T00:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Probability Forecast Three Paths One Base Case No predictions. Just probabilities. Base case (55-65%): Relief bounce rejection at FVG Sawtooth continues. The 1W deviation at 2.48x forces a technical snapback. Then the bears reload at resistance. Chop continues. This is the highest-probability path and exactly why sizing matters more than direction. Negative case (20-30%): 4H breadth breaks below 40% while deviation stays elevated. That's the liquidation cascade trigger. No bounce just a flush that takes everyone's stops and keeps going. Positive case (10-20%): 4H breadth reclaims 60%+ and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2023209915871834345)  2026-02-16T01:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Risk Management Capital Preservation Mode Gross: 25-35%. No exceptions. This isn't the regime to be a hero. Net: -5% to -15%. Slight short bias fully hedged. You're renting exposure not owning it. Long/Short ratio 1:1.4 for every $1 long $1.40 short. The hedge is the trade. 1D/1W breadth says bear market. Respect it. Survive first profit second. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023209920087138401 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023209920087138401"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2023209920087138401)  2026-02-16T01:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Portfolio update Active risk is 35.6% of equity with a net short tilt: Longs 14.3% / Shorts 21.3% / Cash 64.4%. This is a more defensive stancekeeping plenty of dry powder while leaning into tactical shorts. New / refreshed shorts added today: $ETH $CAKE $OP $ZK $ENA $XMR $WLFI with shorts also held in $JST $SYRUP $BNB. Selective longs remain smaller: $MORPHO (new) plus $BERA $HBAR $PENDLE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023148831915798692)  2026-02-15T21:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$BTC VWAP Strategy VWAP Swing (4H): - Signal: LONG (Touch VWAP Low from swing-low) - Plan: hold while VWAP-low support holds - TP/Exit: first Touch VWAP High (take-profit) Follow + turn on notifications so you dont miss the exit alert. NFA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023156220081958941)  2026-02-15T22:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$HBAR VWAP Strategy VWAP Swing (4H): - Signal: LONG (Touch VWAP Low from swing-low) - TP/Exit: first Touch VWAP High (take-profit) Stats: PF [-----] Win rate 54.32% (365/307) Total P&L +22.16% Max DD 14.71% Follow + turn on notifications so you dont miss the exit alert. Not financial advice"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023160018023977145)  2026-02-15T22:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Portfolio update Active risk is 30.3% of equity with a net short tilt: Longs 7.3% / Shorts 23.0% / Cash 69.7%. This is a defensive stancekeeping most capital sidelined while leaning into tactical shorts. Whats working so far:$CNT long is leading (+15.03%) Shorts in $SYRUP $BNB $BUSD $GEOD $XMR $JST are green What Im cutting / keeping tight:Longs in $BERA $PENDLE $HBAR are red and remain on a short leash Newer shorts ( $WLFI $ETH $CAKE $OP $ENA $ZK) are still early and choppy (small drawdowns / positioning phase)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023192351657636337)  2026-02-16T00:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#Crypto Market structure: 1.86x downside deviation HTF bearish (1W: 20.3% 1H: 14.5%) 4H saw zone (49.3%). Positioning: 25-35% gross exposure slight net-short bias. Avoid chasing shorts at extremes. Mean-reversion longs tactical only exit fast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023194526207160375)  2026-02-16T00:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The Sawtooth Regime HTF structure is bearish. 1H broken. 4H neutral. Shorts look obvious and that's the problem. 1W deviation at 2.48x. The trade is crowded. Everyone's a genius bear right now. This is the Sawtooth: sharp risk-on impulses immediate rejection. Rinse repeat. The market wants to trap both sides. The play Stay light. Gross 25-35% net slightly short. Prioritize mean reversion longs over chasing the trend into stretched levels"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023209891653996561)  2026-02-16T01:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Tactical Execution The Anti-Pattern Shorts: Do NOT initiate here. 1W deviation 2.48x = garbage R/R. Fix profits trail stops keep your hedge. Longs: Mean reversion only. Cherry-pick high Long Score names. Exit at the FVG no exceptions. Golden rule: if 1H breadth is above-65% you're holding for minutes not days. This is a scalper's regime not a swing trader's"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023209924273242553)  2026-02-16T01:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Closing Every chart every metric every scenario in this thread built on proprietary indicators and processed through a system I developed from scratch. No copy-paste alpha. No recycled narratives. Raw data signal execution framework. The goal: daily market reports that actually tell you something. If this thread gave you even one edge like repost follow @BoaBias. More coming tomorrow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023209928777695260)  2026-02-16T01:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Bear-market rally running on borrowed time. 1H & 4H say risk-on. Weekly says 14.3% breadth - harsh risk-off. When timeframes diverge this hard the higher one wins. It's just a matter of when. Price action balance: [---]. [--] bearish signals vs [--] bullish. The bounce doesn't have structural backing - it's momentum on a leash. 4H overheat at 33.3%. One-third of the market already stretched long. Next move is a correction or a sideways park not continuation. Playbook: slight long bias (1.1-1.3 : 1) gross exposure capped at 30-45% mandatory hedges on everything. If 1H breadth drops below 55% - trim"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023544076704817171)  2026-02-16T23:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Portfolio update Active risk is 37.6% of equity with a net short tilt: Longs 15.5% / Shorts 22.1% / Cash 62.4%. This keeps the book defensive while still participating tactically; equity is up +12.2% on the current run (snapshot Feb [--] 21:46). Whats working $ICNT long is the main driver (+14.2%) $SYRUP short strong (+9.5%) $MORPHO long green (+5.7%) Shorts in $XMR / $BNB are contributing; smaller green in $LIT and $JST long Whats dragging (kept on a tight leash) Longs: $BERA (-8.1%) $PENDLE (-3.6%) $AAVE (-1.3%) $HBAR (-1.1%) Shorts: $CAKE (-3.6%) $MNT (-3.0%) $ETH (-2.9%) $WLFI (-1.4%) $ZK /"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023547459746611676)  2026-02-16T23:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$AAVE 1h ALMA Avg Strategy 💸"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023569143484567661)  2026-02-17T01:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"IRS goes full Rambo on crypto taxes: new rules Form 1099-DA warning letters galore and historic audits on the horizon. Anything untracked Now its income even if you just shuffled coins between wallets. Who benefits IRS & Treasury: record fines and phantom taxes exploiting chaos and user confusion. Accountants & tax shops: flood of panicked clients sky-high crypto consulting fees. Tracker devs: SaaS hype round two sell your CSV auto-magic to the masses. Insiders: long gone offshore or already have airtight reports while retail just realized that DeFi yield might cost them a new car. What to do"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1942639398194971050)  2025-07-08T17:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$APT DeFis RWA Powerhouse: Institutional Flows Regulatory Tailwind Investor rounds $350M+ raised $150M seed (a16z Binance Multicoin) $200M Series A (Tiger Global Jump FTX). The elite in the cap table but eyes are on post-FTX cleanup and compliance. Metrics: RWA TVL: $537.5M (now #3 after ETH/ZKsync up 55% in weeks) $5.4B DEX volume (monthly ATH) $835K app rev $1.3B in stables $450M BTC bridged $200M+ in ecosystem grantsreal fuel not vapor Stablecoin liquidity +3275% since mainnet; RWA up 140% in [----] User/tx activity stabilizing not just farming Narrative catalyst: GENIUS Act (signed July"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1949557851426345004)  2025-07-27T19:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"💼 Grayscale dives deeper into Sui Launched [--] new trusts DeepBook $DEEP & Walrus $WAL giving accredited investors clean exposure to Suis core infra: DeFi order books & decentralized data storage. Behind the scenes: Not for the community its infra token accumulation via off-chain institution-only rails. No staking yield for investors but Grayscale stacks underlying + backend profit. If liquidity shifts to institutions retail chases higher. Beneficiaries: Grayscale mgmt fees + liquidity control. Mysten Labs/Sui institutional entry point. OTC desks spot supply drain. Market now: Another step"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1955256822979285385)  2025-08-12T13:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"SOL Open Interest = record $SOL OI now $13B (USD-notional). We briefly saw similar prints on Aug [----] but dailies couldnt hold above. For context: at Januarys blow-off to $295 peak OI was only $9.67B. Price is still well below ATH leverage is bigger than ever. #SOL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1960839050509660259)  2025-08-27T22:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Market still in balancewe get another leg up or stay flat. A clean 0.5% cut could lift $BTC toward 115k but that doesnt change the core setup: sideways structure no conviction trend yet. NFA #BTC #macro Globally indicators allow either range or mild push higher. CPI/Core CPI m/my/y data near consensus keeps tone firm; only a strong dovish shift (0.5 bp) unlocks upside to 115k. Personally 112115k makes no real differencethe real question is which alts start outperforming. Im not diving into $BTC for a 23k swing. Waiting for proper reversals strong divs clear structureeither a big short or big"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1982027250837987597)  2025-10-25T10:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Sep [--] 08:30 ET US CPI release short-term volatility trigger. Consensus: compiled expectations minimal deviation priced. Impact pattern: CPI exp. hawkish Fed repricing USD  risk assets (incl. $BTC) . CPI exp. dovish odds  BTC on liquidity repricing. Historical note: BTCs inflation hedge story fails intraday; reaction depends on liquidity not ideology. Correlation low only extreme surprises (1 pp) moved BTC materially last [--] yrs. Post-CPI window (Sep [--] pmSep 14) liquidity hunt across FX/Fed-rate space; watch DXY 10Y yields OI spikes. Macro lens market trades path not print. Close-to-consensus"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1988904542373581234)  2025-11-13T09:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"EigenZero is exactly the kind of infra catalyst $ZRO needs: $5M in token-backed slashing + DVN economics = real verifier revenue not just emissions. If DVNs become the default security layer for cross-chain apps LayerZeros TVS and fee capture scale with it. NFA #ZRO .@LayerZero_Core and EigenCloud have launched EigenZero the first implementation of the CryptoEconomic DVN Framework a decentralized verifier network powered by EigenClouds slashing infrastructure and backed by $5 million in $ZRO https://t.co/q8vgh5O6i1 .@LayerZero_Core and EigenCloud have launched EigenZero the first"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1988911271190667611)  2025-11-13T10:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Extreme fear at [--] after a month in fear mode usually means positioning is already cleaned up. NFA #crypto #sentiment 🚨 UPDATE: Crypto Fear and Greed Index drops to [--] (Extreme Fear) down from [--] yesterday. https://t.co/ytwATOwGXv 🚨 UPDATE: Crypto Fear and Greed Index drops to [--] (Extreme Fear) down from [--] yesterday. https://t.co/ytwATOwGXv"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1988913078658797847)  2025-11-13T10:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"📈 $SYRUP #4h #long on-trend setup in institutional credit/RWA ($MAPLE) with 3.9R to prior high backed by growing fees and buybacks. NFA #RWA Context: $SYRUP = Maple Finance token (on-chain institutional credit). Price 0.440.45 mcap $510M pullback 31% from [------] ATH = mid-trend not dead cat. My 4h On-Trend Long system re-triggered after a higher low at the EMA band; 15m3D all above trend only 1W still lagging. Plan: Entry [-----] SL [-----] (break of local demand/4h EMA stack) TP 0.5330.537 (prior high + resistance cluster) Upside +18.6% vs downside 4.8% R:R [---]. System stats (4h On-Trend Long"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1989128928766628308)  2025-11-14T00:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"📈 $ZEN #4h #long EMA deviation bounce from 11.612.0 demand after 38% weekly flush and Base migration selloff; 93% from ATH with perp OI heavy but funding flat. R:R [---] back to breakdown zone. NFA #bullish Context: price stair-stepped below the 4h EMA band into stacked demand; legacy mainchain deprecated ZEN now ERC-20 on Base with liquidity on Uni/Aerodrome. Plan: Entry [----] SL [-----] (below demand & recent sweep) TP 14.214.3 (4h EMA + last impulse origin). System: EMA Deviation strategy on $ZEN #4h shows winrate 68.9% avg trade +3.9%; this setup compresses risk to 3% with target near the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1989132425251697113)  2025-11-14T00:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"🔎 Base + AgentFi infra snapshot Leader(s): $AERO (53% of Bases $4.7B DeFi TVL ve(33) deflationary heavy locks and bribe APR) and $MORPHO (EF treasury deposits srUSD loops cross-chain growth named first beneficiary of JPM deposit-token flows on Base). Challengers: $VIRTUAL (agent infra + bank acquisition but catalysts expired / priced in) $AVNT (early Base infra bet little confirmed edge yet) the eventual $BASE token itself as the L2 beta wrapper. Momentum: JPM deposit tokens on Base + bank chain narrative AERODROMEVELODROME merge Animoca/Coinbase size locks Morpho integrations and whale"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1989139580524560854)  2025-11-14T01:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$RHEA quick scan: fundamentals look strong but the chart is still digesting the last vertical move. Post-pump consolidation not a clean uptrend yet. 📊 Fundamentals: protocol is doing monthly buybacks from lending + DEX revenue with solid 30d fees and revenue plus a fresh CEX listing (Kraken) to help spot access. Staking & product: net stake has pushed into the mid-eight figures with triple-digit weekly volume growth more active stakers/txs and new lending pairs like native $ZEC live with real yield. Token design risk: long 36-month vesting schedule remains an overhang; recurring oRHEA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1990404517884555446)  2025-11-17T12:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"NVIDIA just printed another monster: $57.01B rev vs $55.19B est data center $51.2B and guiding $63.766.3B next quarter. Thats not AI slowing down thats still full-throttle CAPEX which keeps the late-cycle risk-on narrative alive for now but the more perfect the numbers the nastier the unwind will be when $NVDA finally misses. *NVIDIA 3Q ADJ EPS $1.30 *NVIDIA 3Q REV. $57.01B EST. $55.19B *NVIDIA 3Q ADJ GROSS MARGIN 73.6% *NVIDIA 3Q DATA CENTER REVENUE $51.2B EST. *NVIDIA SEES 4Q REV. $63.70B TO $66.30B EST. $61.98B$49.34B *NVIDIA 3Q ADJ EPS $1.30 *NVIDIA 3Q REV. $57.01B EST. $55.19B *NVIDIA 3Q"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991257336263168259)  2025-11-19T21:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"My bounce bet isnt on random memes its on $SOL beta and the Base ecosystem. ETF flows yield products and banking rails are quietly lining up there while sentiment stays nervous. Id rather ride real flows than pure hopium on this NVDA/Fed squeeze. #SOL #BASE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991302720100397399)  2025-11-20T00:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Why $SOL for the bounce Only 811% of crypto assets currently earn passive yield vs 5565% in TradFi. The gap is closing via staking and RWA. Solana sits right in that stream: mSOL / jitoSOL and friends turn SOL into yield-bearing collateral not just a trading chip"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991302722159796515)  2025-11-20T00:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Yield stack is getting Pendle-fied: Exponent splits xSOL into PT/YT with PT-xSOL offering 63% fixed APY for [--] days (2.4% for the period). Kamino lets you loop PT as collateral (3) pushing the effective 2-week return toward 7% if you manage liquidation and spread risk. Thats serious carry for a L1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991302725565583822)  2025-11-20T00:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"On top of that you have Solana ETFs pulling in money while BTC/ETH ETFs bleed: 13+ straight days of SOL ETF inflows $46M on the 13th day; Fee waivers on the first $1B conversions and new products stacking up; Institutions buying SOL around $160 with 6% staking yield baked in fear index at [--]. Theyre not scalping volatility theyre anchoring allocations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991302727712858432)  2025-11-20T00:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The irony: the bullish flow comes with real overhangs. Active addresses are slumping. FTX/Alameda unlocked another [-----] $SOL ($30.7M). Forward Industries moved [-------] $SOL to Coinbase. So SOL isnt clean; its an ETF + yield + unlock cocktail. For a bounce I like that mix as long as sizing is sane"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991302729751220673)  2025-11-20T00:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Why Base for the same window Because its quietly wiring normies and banks. Doodles integrated directly into Braves 100M users with wallets already installed. Entertainment CAC is $520 vs $200 for DeFi liquidity mining. Even a 0.5% conversion = 500k new Base users on paper. Transactions on Base hit 102M (+20%) with weekly growth +8.7%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991302935406391457)  2025-11-20T00:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Under the hood the banking rails are forming: Circle ARC testnet validated by 100+ banks with token + mainnet hinted for Q2 [----]. JPM deposit tokens already processing up to $10T in daily payments on Base pitching it as the default banking chain with Coinbase as compliance moat. First in line for this flow: Aerodrome Morpho Uniswap v4 on Base all trading at a huge narrative discount vs potential TVL/volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991302941542699075)  2025-11-20T00:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"So my bounce exposure is skewed toward: $SOL: ETF + LST + RWA yield machine with real unlock risk and strong institutional demand. Base: L2 where normies banks and deposit tokens might converge at much better economics than classic liquidity mining"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991302948370993572)  2025-11-20T00:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"📈 $MET #4h #long my bounce bet is that the first real flush post-Upbit listing is building a base not confirming a top. Meteora prints Uniswap-tier fees at a fraction of the mcap; if the valuation gap meme sticks this bounce has room. Context Protocol reportedly generates 70% of Uniswaps fees at 3% of its mcap plus $10B tokenized stock volume in [--] months and dominant launchpad share. Narrative kicker: market is already front-running potential buybacks. Flows: Upbit listing added new liquidity Setup (structure #4h) Price just swept local liquidity into the demand stack around $0.340.35 and is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991304728039379100)  2025-11-20T00:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"📈 $JUP #4h #long bounce setup in a tokenomics crossfire: 130M burn + ICO/airdrop narrative vs market-share bleed unlocks and ugly sentiment. Im trading the squeeze out of a crowded short zone not marrying the perp DEX meta. Context 130M $JUP burn (4% circ) approved by Jupiter DAO real supply removal. Perp exchange still printing steady revenue and rolling out an ICO platform + Saros DLMM integration (deeper liquidity / new flow). Bear side: monthly unlocks continue (another chunk late November) Solana perp dominance crashed from 61% 31% in [--] days as Pacifica/Drift ate share. Fresh airdrop"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991305972866846832)  2025-11-20T00:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"📈 $PUMP #4h #long this is my high-beta bounce ticket: first real flush into multi-tap lows quick reclaim attempt and a fresh AI agents trade memes catalyst from Mayhem Mode. Im treating it as a range-mean reversion trade not a new regime. Context Extended bleed after the last vertical spike volatility compressed near the bottom of the range. Price swept the prior lows tagged the demand stack and is trying to close back above short EMAs on #4h. launching Mayhem Mode (AI agents trading meme tokens) is a pure activity/volatility story good for volume terrible for anyone forgetting this is still"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991306770124325196)  2025-11-20T00:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"📈 $AVNT #4h #long high-beta bounce attempt after a clean 9-bar bleed into local demand and ATR lows. Im trading the first reclaim not calling the end of the downtrend. Context Multi-day waterfall from the mid-0.50s into the low-0.40s with a fresh sweep of the prior low around 0.400.41. Price wicked into stacked demand and is trying to close back above short EMAs on #4h. Volatility is elevated but compressing classic squeeze zone if sellers start to tire. Plan Long in the current compression area with risk defined below [----] where the latest low + demand stack breaks. First target: prior"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991309144654336413)  2025-11-20T00:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"📈 $AERO #4h #long Bases main liquidity engine is merging with Velodrome controls 53% of Bases $4.7B DeFi TVL 45% of supply is locked for [---] years and bribes pay 3545% APR yet Ignition launches keep overpricing tokens and dumping on retail. Im trading the bounce into this merger/banking narrative not canonizing the token. #Base Context AERODROME + VELODROME one AERO live on Ethereum and Circles ARC with current AERO holders getting 94.5% of the new token. On Base protocols are hoarding veAERO instead of mercenary farming weekly bribes sit in the $24M range and AERO trades at 12x fees vs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991310003165159459)  2025-11-20T00:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Market after US jobs data: $DXY spiked above [---] and got sold now [----]. $ES futures squeeze to [----] risk bouncing. $BTC trades around 91k after a sharp flush lower. Bounce yes but BTC still heavy vs equities. ETF flows: about +$75M today small but green. Whales buying the dip on-chain retail still hiding. Playbook: trade the bounces keep risk tight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991524217414672683)  2025-11-20T15:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@plumenetwork @Securitize @apolloglobal @hamilton_lane @vaneck_us @BlackRock @NestCredit so why is $PLUME the weakest performer in my portfolio right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991550380485013997)  2025-11-20T16:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Cost: staking yield steps down from 641% to 504% / 348% / 242% in years 1/2/3; some smaller validators go negative. Benefit: $SOL turns into a harder L1 and capital gets pushed from passive staking into Solana DeFi (DEX lending perps LST). 🚨JUST IN: @Solanas new inflation reduction proposal SIMD-0411 is now live. It aims to accelerate the chains disinflation rate by 2x with no reward cuts or added mechanisms. https://t.co/SFZ5xw6djn 🚨JUST IN: @Solanas new inflation reduction proposal SIMD-0411 is now live. It aims to accelerate the chains disinflation rate by 2x with no reward cuts or added"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1992294748934304243)  2025-11-22T18:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Trading view: $SOL as core asset if you already believe in the ecosystem; buy dips dont chase narrative spikes. Track the SIMD-0411 vote + DeFi metrics (TVL volume LST share). Bullish SOL + strong Solana DeFi vs high-inflation L1s. #SOL #DeFi"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1992294758740287915)  2025-11-22T18:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@BitElite17 My models point up into month-end [----] Nov and [--] Dec look like danger windows. Base case: classic ABC bounce here then another leg down after. #BTC #alts Hope to see the same dates from you bro 🤜🤛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1993060123053531632)  2025-11-24T20:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Quick $ENA take: sUSDe yield 43% (30d avg 469%) while borrowing $USDC on Aave V3 Ethereum costs 5156%. USDC USDe perps loop is firmly negative carry. USDe TVL dropped from $148B to $76B (50%) spread vs 3m UST [--] or negative 80% weekly APY in 010% perp funding 15% with 89% of days positive. This is survival not farming. Im not averaging into $ENA here using strength to unload exiting overlevered DeFi lends and only looking for new entries after a proper flush in leveraged positions. #ENA #DeFi #RiskManagement ethena usde yields at 5.1% now cost more to farm than aave's 5.4% usdc borrow rate."  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1994094357994181066)  2025-11-27T17:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@cryptorover @NestCredit @pendle_fi $PLUME price action is like 💩"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1994108831920697584)  2025-11-27T18:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@CoinbaseMarkets $PLUME 👀👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1996375925030842530)  2025-12-04T00:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Kevin Hassett is already talking about a Fed cut next week while Japans 30y yield is at all-time highs and the yen carry keeps unwinding. Short term: BOJ tightening Fed easing = volatility and pullbacks for $BTC and alts. Bigger picture: liquidity stress now is how the next base for the cycle gets built. JAPAN'S BOND MARKET IS NOW BROKEN 🚨 Today Japans 30-year bond yield hit a new all-time high. Here's why this matters for Bitcoin and crypto. For years global investors borrowed yen at near-zero rates and used that money to buy stocks bonds and crypto. This yen carry https://t.co/CS0fs239pR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1996702436271300659)  2025-12-04T22:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Sovereign wealth funds buying $BTC is now a fact not a meme. Abu Dhabis Mubadala disclosed 8.2M IBIT shares ($437M 0.14% AUM) Luxembourgs FSIL put 1% of its portfolio into BTC via ETFs. These are slow sticky allocators shrinking free float not chasing candles but building multi-year exposure. #BTC #macro #bullish https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1996711263267627410 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1996711263267627410"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1996711263267627410)  2025-12-04T22:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Tomorrows risk window: Core PCE m/m expected at 0.2% UoM Consumer Sentiment at [----] (prev 51.0) UoM Inflation Expectations at 4.5% Market is already in a small #4h pullback next move in $BTC/$ETH will hinge on whether inflation expectations ease or stay sticky. #macro"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1996712920281976921)  2025-12-04T22:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Truflation is at 2.48% vs 3.0% BLS leading data points to softer US inflation. Official print drops tomorrow while crypto is already in a small #4h pullback. Better to let this correction play out and buy levels on confirmation. https://x.com/cryptorover/status/1996599876604264771s=20 US INFLATION IS DROPPING NOW. Bullish for crypto. https://t.co/5ugp7Xbwhc https://x.com/cryptorover/status/1996599876604264771s=20 US INFLATION IS DROPPING NOW. Bullish for crypto. https://t.co/5ugp7Xbwhc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1996713754235462002)  2025-12-04T22:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Working Format: TRADING ONLY not investing. Objective: Capture local movements and bounces do not build "permanent" positions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2002973264080257180)  2025-12-22T05:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Market Context: - Almost no new major liquidity flowing into crypto we're only making money on volatility - Deleveraging across the crypto market is largely complete - This is still a bounce phase not a bull run"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2002973266034717067)  2025-12-22T05:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Base Scenario: Growth/bounce until the first week of January. Risks: - Delisting from MSCI index of stocks that hold crypto on balance sheet - Additional risk in January US shutdown"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2002973267976708347)  2025-12-22T05:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Development Scenarios: [--]. Optimistic: Pullback down enter long growth [--]. Alternative: They may "mess with heads" prolong the pullback then flight upward"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2002973271818686584)  2025-12-22T05:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Key Markers: [--]. BTC-ETF BlackRock Wallet** inflows/outflows [--]. DXY dollar strengthening = pressure on risk [--]. **Short bonds (near end)** should fall; yield increase = strengthening risk-off [--]. JPY against the backdrop of BOJ (Bank of Japan) rate hike"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2002973273739678116)  2025-12-22T05:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Cointelegraph This list has some hidden winners and trap assets that will never get proper liquidity pumped into them. DYOR before aping into Grayscale's watchlist"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2011157920881524885)  2026-01-13T19:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@CodyCarboneDC CLARITY Act vote tomorrow 10:00 ET. Bull: clear rules majors (BTC ETH top L1s) get commoditystyle status beta unlocks for alts. Bear: harsh stablecoin/DeFi tweaks or delay = riskoff BTC holds better highbeta alts get hit first"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2011239867653767575)  2026-01-14T00:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#BOABIAS_DASHBOARD At 12:00 UTC on Jan [--] 1D/4H market breadth is still positive (roughly 6070% of assets above) but the charts show cooling after the impulse as breadth momentum fades. Long overheating is concentrated on 4H/1D (Cur/Avg Long 1.92x) while price action signals keep a bearish skew (balance -31) raising pullback/rotation risk. Higher timeframes (3D/1W) remain predominantly below so the focus is on selective setups and tighter risk control rather than chasing longs. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011814013525528864 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011814013525528864"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2011814013525528864)  2026-01-15T14:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#BOABIAS_PORTFOLIO 16/01 Right now only 21.4% of capital is deployed with a long bias: 80.7% longs vs 19.3% shorts so the book is positioned for continuation of the current uptrend rather than marketneutral hedging. Long risk is concentrated in $XAU $BNB and $ETH so the priority here is execution discipline: take +1% at Point B move to breakeven then let the rest ride in Price Discovery instead of adding size emotionally. Shorts are focused in #API3 $SOL and $ORDI which act as targeted hedges rather than a full offset; any squeeze there will hit PnL fast so no averaging down and all changes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2011931387226370472)  2026-01-15T22:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#BOABIAS_SNAPSHOT @BoaBias shifts short: avg Long Score [----] vs avg Short Score [---] and price action is heavily bearish (51 bearish vs [--] bullish balance -45; ALMA Short 11; [--] fractal highs formed). Breadth is mixed by timeframe: 15m is bullish (67.6% above) but 1H breaks down (80.3% below) and 4H stays weak (62.0% below) while 1D still holds up (60.6% above) the charts show deterioration accelerating on lower TFs while daily breadth remains comparatively resilient. Overheating adds a volatility/squeeze setup: Long overheat is elevated (Cur/Avg 2.49x; 1D 43.7%) and 1H short overheat is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2011959908019945510)  2026-01-16T00:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#BOABIAS_SNAPSHOT 16/01 00:00 UTC @BoaBias shifts short: avg Long Score [----] vs avg Short Score [---] and price action is heavily bearish (51 bearish vs [--] bullish balance -45; ALMA Short 11; [--] fractal highs formed). Breadth is mixed by timeframe: 15m is bullish (67.6% above) but 1H breaks down (80.3% below) and 4H stays weak (62.0% below) while 1D still holds up (60.6% above) the charts show deterioration accelerating on lower TFs while daily breadth remains comparatively resilient. Overheating adds a volatility/squeeze setup: Long overheat is elevated (Cur/Avg 2.49x; 1D 43.7%) and 1H short"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2011967497935769690)  2026-01-16T01:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#BOABIAS_DASHBOARD shifts short: avg Long Score [----] vs avg Short Score [---] and price action is heavily bearish (51 bearish vs [--] bullish balance -45; ALMA Short 11; [--] fractal highs formed). Breadth is mixed by timeframe: 1H breaks down (80.3% below) and 4H stays weak (62.0% below) while 1D still holds up (60.6% above) the charts show deterioration accelerating on lower TFs while daily breadth remains comparatively resilient. Overheating adds a volatility/squeeze setup: Long overheat is elevated (Cur/Avg 2.49x; 1D 43.7%) and 1H short overheat is extreme (67.6%) implying continued downside"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2011997654041895294)  2026-01-16T03:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#BOABIAS_PORTFOLIO UPDATE Overall positioning: light exposure (25% deployed) net long bias (64% longs / 36% shorts). Long book is anchored by $XAUT and $BNB while the short book is concentrated in #API3 $SYRUP $POL $MET #PENDLEso Im keeping upside participation but hedging with a defined shorts basket. Todays changes: Closed $SOL short for a small profit. Flipped $POL and $SYRUP to shorts. Added a $XMR scalp long. Added shorts on $ENA and $MET. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011998736243687539 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011998736243687539"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2011998736243687539)  2026-01-16T03:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$ENA Short (speculative) Bias: Global + local narrative = short Key driver: Strong unlock pressure (downside supply) Setup: Compression + price below EMAs + low fakes Invalidation/SL: [------] (above nearest fractal) Targets: [------] [----] 0.15"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012003983796429133)  2026-01-16T03:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$MET #SETUP_SHORT Long/Short Score: 32-34.5 Panel context: - Phase: bearish EMA stack - Series: 1H overstretched below EMA (pullback continuation risk) - Fakes: clean trend / fewer traps - PA: Fractal High formed (LH confirmed) + LL/LH downtrend - Levels: Res [------] / [------] Sup [------] / [------] / [------] / [------] - FVG: Support 0.2470.2495 + 0.23680.2377; Bear FVG overhead 0.35740.4271 (far) - Liquidity: hunt up possible wait for confirmation - Unlocks: next unlock [--] Jan (extra supply risk) Plan: Entry: [------] (confirmed rejection / failed EMA reclaim) Stop: [------] Take [--] (Point B): [-----] +1%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012007351650292081)  2026-01-16T03:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#BOABIAS_DASHBOARD 16/01 after USA open Market breadth is in a twostorey regime: 1D breadth is holding a 6065% above plateau while 1H remains depressed after the dump and 4H is only starting to rebound the daily time frame is still supporting the market but intraday trend quality is fragile and rotational. Intraday state stays bearish despite a bullish tilt in scoring (avg Long [---] vs avg Short -8.4) with 1H/4H mostly below and PA balance still negative even after improving versus [--] UTC. Longs on 1D are already meaningfully stretched (40% overextension) while shorts are crowded on 1H/3D"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012200658733019385)  2026-01-16T16:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$BTC (1D): oscillators flashing sell / risk-off. RSI(9) [--] (overbought) RSI(14) [--] (stretched) pullback risk rising. Plan (process opinion): take partials into highs tighten risk. Shorts only with confirmation (breakdown / failed retest)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012261193675665451)  2026-01-16T20:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$BABY Long/Short Score: [----] (me) / [--] (dashboard) Panel context: - Narrative: global + local = LONG - Fundamentals: a16z invested $15M (positive catalyst) - Phase/EMA: trend-break phase break to LONG (needs confirmation) - Dev: 4H + 1D normal (no major overheat) - Unlocks: strong unlock pressure (risk factor) - PA/Structure: HH/HL microstructure + flag / rounded bottom; shelf support area - Liquidity: hunt up possible expect spikes stick to invalidation https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012271791176040610 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012271791176040610"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012271791176040610)  2026-01-16T21:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"SNAPSHOT 16/01 00:00 UTC What the charts + table say together:1H breadth snapped back to 63.6% above (yesterdays intraday breakdown has been largely retraced). 4H is still weak at 40.9% above so the rebound isnt structurally confirmed yet. 1D holds near 63.6% above (daily framework remains supportive). PA is neutral overall (38 bullish / [--] bearish balance 0) but ALMA Long [--] vs ALMA Short [--] tilts signal quality toward longs. Overheat: 1D long overheat is elevated (40.9% Cur/Avg 2.40x) chasing is risky. 3D short overheat (43.9%) keeps bounce/squeeze risk alive while higher TFs remain heavy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012327883436429478)  2026-01-17T00:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Total exposure is now 33.7% of capital with a steady bias: 80.4% longs vs 19.6% shorts so the book remains protrend not marketneutral. I closed $MORPHO and $XMR in profit per system rules and exited $LDO at breakeven while increasing $BNB and opening a new $LINK long; long risk is still anchored in $BNB (21%) $BTC (17%) and $XAU (18%). Shorts stay spread across $SYRUP $API3 $PENDLE and $POL keeping the hedge cleaner but the rules dont change: take +1R at Point B move to breakeven after Take [--] and no adds without a fresh setup via the dashboard and checklistno averaging into drawdown."  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012330100197294420)  2026-01-17T01:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Top Long / Top Short (Scores + Signals) Long basket ( $AAVE $ZK $GIZA $LINK $CRV $SOL) Bias: mostly Above on the lower/mid timeframes (15m1D) bullish momentum/structure dominates intraday. Trend quality: several names keep Above even on 1D but on 3D/1W you often see Below bigger picture is still short / not fully flipped. Short basket ($ENA $APT $CC $AVAX $ZEC) Bias: predominantly Below across 1H1W bearish structure is cleaner and more consistent on higher TFs than the long basket. Context: several have Bearish_FVG_Formed in Price Action supports rally-to-sell / continuation scenarios. Quick"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012334946036101132)  2026-01-17T01:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"🎯 $LINK Long/Short Score: [----] (my) / [--] (system) Panel context: - Narrative: global + local = LONG - Fundamentals: strong institutional adoption + ETF headlines (bullish cluster) - Phase/EMA: TOTAL_BULL EMA stack (trend-follow bias) - PA: HH/HL + liquidity sweep + long-wick rejection (demand defended) - Key levels: Bull FVG support 12.94913.016; invalidation below key level https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012348028783333582 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012348028783333582"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012348028783333582)  2026-01-17T02:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"SNAPSHOT 17/01 12:00 UTC 1H breadth flipped back into riskon (53% above) after yesterdays flush 4H is climbing but still near neutral (47% above) while 1D breadth holds a supportive plateau around 63% above. Intraday squeeze phase has morphed into an upside extension: short overheat on 1H has cooled off and long overheat has migrated into 1H/1D (1H 39.7% 1D 37.2% Cur/Avg Long 2.41x) so the tape is in push higher but with rising overextension risk. Scoring is clearly longtilted (avg Long [----] vs avg Short -12.7) breadth is constructive on 1H/1D but not yet fixed on 4H and higher TFs (3D/1W)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012503451754799379)  2026-01-17T12:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#BOABIAS_PORTFOLIO UPDATE Total exposure is now 33.5% of capital with the same bias: 80.1% longs vs 19.9% shorts so the book remains protrend not marketneutral. I closed the $H long in profit and took profit on shorts in $POL and $VVV while opening fresh longs in $AAVE and $ARB; core long risk is still concentrated in $BNB (19%) $XAU (16%) and $BTC (16%) with $LINK and $AAVE now in the mix (8% each). Im waiting for limit orders to fill on $OP and $NEAR but the rules stay unchanged: take +1R at Point B move to breakeven after Take [--] and no adds without a fresh setup via the checklistno"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012522746182267118)  2026-01-17T13:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$OP Long Score: [----] (me) / [----] (system) Panel context: - Narrative: global + local = LONG - Fundamentals: buyback proposal (vote Jan 22; 50% Superchain rev) + institutional push + RLUSD to OP (bullish) - Risk: major unlock supply (next unlock Jan 31) expect volatility - Phase/EMA: TOTAL_BULL EMA stack (trend-follow bias) - PA: HH/HL + ascending channel; hunt up possible - FVG: bull support 0.330.3488 / 0.280.3035; nearby bear FVG 0.340.366 (reaction zone) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012532398282481729 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012532398282481729"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012532398282481729)  2026-01-17T14:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$ARB quick snapshot (17 Jan 2026) Positives (weighted) Fundamentals: Grayscale funds list (+1) Arbitrum stablecoin settlement layer (+1) ARB in Grayscale candidates (+1) Wyoming stablecoin on Arbitrum (+1). TA components: EMA order +30 (strong trend) deviations +5 (normal range) series +0.5 (mild impulse) spreads +3 (healthy spread) FVG +7 (bullish gaps) liquidations +2.5 (short squeeze) narrative +20 (long bias) plan +14 (validated plan). Price action: downtrend slowdown +2 HH/HL +4 microstructure +1 rising channel +2. Total positive weight: +95.0 Negatives (weighted) Fundamentals: ARB share"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012555231842726262)  2026-01-17T15:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Snapshot 18/01 00:00 UTC Breadth rolled over on lower TFs: 1H back to 31% above 4H 36% above after the recent improvement while 1D still holds a 63% above plateau daily frame keeps the structure intraday pressure is back. Shortoverheat is extreme on 15m (67%) so microtimeframe selling is stretched and skews nearterm odds to a fast bounce; at the same time 1D longoverheat is high (Cur/Avg Long 2.79x 1D 38.8%) which makes chasing the trend riskier on a swing horizon. State: micro/intraday weak (15m 19% above; 1H 31%; 4H 36%) daily strong (1D 62.7% above) higher TFs still bearish (3D 70% below;"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012688883478049231)  2026-01-18T00:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Market is shifting into a choppy defensive regime: after yesterdays improvement 1H/4H breadth rolled back down to 35% above while 1D breadth slipped toward neutral around 52% above meaning upside momentum is weakening even as the broader structure is not fully bearish yet. At the same time elevated shortoverheat on 1H/3D (48%) points to squeezedrubberband conditions where sharp countertrend bounces are likely but those are more oversold reactions than confirmed new trends. All current metrics show a conflict: scoring still leans long (avg Long [----] vs avg Short -11.8) PA signals are strongly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012864702775214375)  2026-01-18T12:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Total exposure is now 24.0% of capital with a still heavy directional tilt: 95.2% longs vs 4.8% shorts so the book remains protrend with only a light hedge. I cut $NEAR and $ACE for a loss took profit on $THETA and $SYRUP and flattened $MET and $POL at breakeven; on the long side I added to $LINK while trimming $OP to reduce risk. Long risk is still anchored in $BNB (21%) $XAU (14%) $BTC (14%) and $TON (11%) with $LINK (7%) now a bigger contributor. Rules remain unchanged: take +1% at Point B move to breakeven after Take [--] and no adds without a fresh setup via the checklistno averaging into"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012915687744802861)  2026-01-18T15:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#CRYPTO Market is in a hard riskoff: breadth has broken down across the curve (1H 9.5% above 4H 17.6% 1D 29.7%) which is a broad deterioration not just sector rotation. Short overextension has shifted higher (notably 4H 31% and 3D 42%) so sharp countertrend bounces are likely but within a bearish regime rather than a confirmed reversal. Snapshot data: [--] assets scoring almost neutral with a slight defensive tilt (avg Long [---] vs avg Short -0.7; top Long [----] top Short 40.5). State is washedout from micro to HTF (15m 8% above / 91% below; 1H 10% / 89%; 4H 18% / 81%; 1D 30% / 69%; 3D 26% / 73%;"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2013047255029223786)  2026-01-19T00:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Total exposure has been aggressively reduced to 10.1% of capital with a new mix: 75.4% longs vs 24.6% shorts. I closed everything except $XAU on the $ES1 open: losses were taken in $TON $AAVE $LINK $OP $MNT $BABY breakevens in $BNB and $CAKE and profits locked in $ETH and $BTC plus short wins in $API3 and $ORDI. The book is now essentially $XAU as the core long (dominant share of remaining exposure) and a fresh $XMR short as the hedge. Rules stay unchanged: take +1R at Point B move to breakeven after Take [--] and no new size without a fresh setup via the checklistno averaging into drawdown."  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2013070895741382881)  2026-01-19T02:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Market mode: broad riskoff. Breadth is weak across the curve (Above: 15m 32.3% 1H 16.1% 4H 17.7% 1D 29.0%) with 3D/1W still depressed (24.2% / 12.9%) which usually means rising correlations and pressure on altbeta. The key spring is a massive 1H shortoverheat at 79% (plus 3D 46.8%): high odds of a sharp squeeze/bounce but more likely bounce to sell until breadth repairs above 50%. Portfolio stance Spot only: derisk especially alts while 1H/4H breadth sit below 50%. No knifecatching; fresh buys only after a proper repair (1H & 4H 50% above and 1D back above 50%). With futures/hedge: keep the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2013227872509456583)  2026-01-19T12:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Phase: cascading riskoff. Breadth is weak across intraday and daily (1H 25.8% above 4H 16.1% 1D 30.6%; 3D 24.2% 1W 12.9%) which is the mode where alts usually fall together and bounces get sold. Scoring flips to the short side (avg Long [-----] vs avg Short 9.5) and PA confirms pressure with a [---] balance and a cluster of fresh bearish FVGs giving fuel to sell into any rallies. The only real spring is short overheat: 1H 48.4% 4H 40.3% 3D 48.4% (15m also elevated) so the risk of a sharp squeeze is high but typically as bounce another leg lower / sideways lower not a clean trend reversal. It is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2013409074436579668)  2026-01-20T00:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"This snapshot is broad riskoff not just rotation: breadth is already sub30% on the daily and sub20% intraday (1H 18.8% above 4H 14.1% 1D 21.9%) a regime where alt beta usually stops working and correlations spike. But the selloff is now shortcrowded: shortoverheat is extreme on 1H at 70.3% and high on 4H/3D around 46.9% which more often maps to squeeze / bounce renewed pressure or lowerrange chop than to a clean continuation straight down. PA does not scream panic extension to fresh lows: balance is only [---] (33 bullish vs [--] bearish) with 59% signal coverage so structure is bearish but"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2013601043821560049)  2026-01-20T13:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Global macro update: $VIX just popped back above [--] with a +5% spike $DXY is sliding hard and $EURUSD is pushing higher. This isnt a clean riskon move its a riskoff repricing around US politics and trade noise: investors are paying up for equity volatility while rotating out of the dollar and into $EUR. For $BTC & #crypto that usually means choppy price action: sharp squeezes on headlines but still a defensive backdrop where bounces are for reducing risk not chasing breakouts. Bottom line for now: respect the volatility fade emotional spikes and treat strength as an opportunity to tidy up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2013618924307243074)  2026-01-20T14:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The current fresh exposure is a new set of longs on the bounce excluding the core $XAU position which stays as a separate anchor; the $XMR short was closed in profit so the hedge is off for now. Breadth context is key: the market is still riskoff on all timeframes (above breadth stuck around 2025%) while intraday shorts are overheated (shortoverheat 70% on 1H and 66% on 4H) which makes bounces likely but keeps the base case as bouncetosell not a full shift to riskon. New $BTC $LINK $JST $BNB $CC $MORPHO $SOL longs are managed in defensive mode: treating any strength as a chance to rebalance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2013790741663813638)  2026-01-21T01:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"#Crypto Market is in a repair rally not full riskon yet: breadth is off the lows but still below healthy levels with only about 3134% of assets above trend across 15m3D (1H 33.7% 4H 32.6% 1D 33.7%) while 1W remains weak around 21%. Price Action has flipped clearly bullish (balance +53 with 95% signal coverage) which means the tape wants to bounce and stabilize even though breadth has not fully recovered. The hidden asymmetry: shorts are still vulnerable with 4H shortoverheat around 56% and 3D near 36% so squeezes and continuation of the bounce are likely on spikes up. Long overheat is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2013960210226835486)  2026-01-21T13:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Portfolio update: repairrally mode. Current exposure is 42.8% of capital with the book 100% long / 0% short so this is repairrally positioning not a stable riskon regime. $BNB was cut at a loss and rotated into $SOL / $HYPE / $ENA / $WLFI with partial fills on $ASTER and $PUMP; the structural core is $XAU (20%) and $BTC (14%) then a balanced block in $LINK / $SOL / $JST / $MSFT (10% each) plus small satellites. Market context: On the eventrisk side (Trump speech) in a tape where $SPX is under pressure and geopolitics/tariffs swing sentiment any headline can flip riskon/riskoff within minutes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2013969271408275744)  2026-01-21T13:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#Crypto Market regime: 1H bounce inside a bearish HTF context. Intraday breadth is strong (1H 68.1% above) but higher TFs are still in riskoff (4H 29.0% 1D 27.5% 3D 27.5% 1W 20.3%) classic countertrend impulse profile where the local move is strong but structure remains weak. The "spring" on HTFs: shortoverheat is elevated (4H 65% 3D 42%) with DevShort stretched on 4H (1.99x) and 1W (1.98x) so pressing shorts "at market" is statistically risky while squeezes and meanreversion pops are more likely than a smooth continuation lower. Meanwhile DevLong 1W 2.61x shows some names remain stretched"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2014135204865077533)  2026-01-22T00:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$AAVE Labs launches Horizon an institutional stablecoin lending service secured by tokenized assets (RWA). Read: a formal on-ramp for funds/corps into Aave credit rails. Bullish AAVE if it converts into real volumes. #AAVE #DeFi #RWA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1960692548197929141)  2025-08-27T13:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Why it matters Institutional venue (KYC/KYB) larger stickier borrow demand. Collateral = tokenized T-bills/MMFs/other RWAs lower credit risk cleaner balance sheet economics. Flywheel: TVL protocol revenue stkAAVE yield  governance token reprices"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1960692551167422895)  2025-08-27T13:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@DefiWimar $ETH is seeing corporate unloading. FG Nexus sold [-----] $ETH for buybacks (FGNX already green); SharpLink Gaming is moving $ETH to Galaxys OTC desk likely prepping a sale. $MARA the largest US miner is sending $BTC back to exchanges after the we dont sell talk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/1991688177921495424)  2025-11-21T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"#BOABIAS_PORTFOLIO UPDATE Total exposure increased after adding to $BTC opening fresh longs in $CAKE and $BABY flipping $MET back to long and getting the $LDO limit buy filled. On the short side $API3 and $ORDI were trimmed per system rules with +1R realized at Point B. Plan stays unchanged: lock +1% at Point B move stops to breakeven after Take [--] and only add size on a fresh setup via the checklistno averaging into drawdown. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012204797928075601 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012204797928075601"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012204797928075601)  2026-01-16T16:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"#BOABIAS_PORTFOLIO UPDATE 17/01 Total exposure is now 33.7% of capital with a steady bias: 80.4% longs vs 19.6% shorts so the book remains protrend not marketneutral. I closed $MORPHO and $XMR in profit per system rules and exited $LDO at breakeven while increasing $BNB and opening a new $LINK long; long risk is still anchored in $BNB (21%) $BTC (17%) and $XAU (18%). Shorts stay spread across $SYRUP $API3 $PENDLE and $POL keeping the hedge cleaner but the rules dont change: take +1R at Point B move to breakeven after Take [--] and no adds without a fresh setup via the dashboard and checklistno"  
[X Link](https://x.com/BoaBias/status/2012334617399865717)  2026-01-17T01:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

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