# ![@100trillionUSD Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::918804624303382528.png) @100trillionUSD PlanB

PlanB, a prominent figure in the Bitcoin space, has been warning about hundreds of impersonators on social media platforms, specifically on X, who are trying to scam people into paid Telegram groups. He emphasized that he is not on Telegram and advised his followers to be cautious. This issue has become a significant concern for him, and he is seeking advice on how to stop these impersonators.

### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::918804624303382528/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::918804624303382528/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] -37%
- [--] Month [---------] +50%
- [--] Months [----------] -16%
- [--] Year [----------] -46%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::918804624303382528/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::918804624303382528/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +2.30%
- [--] Month [--] +64%
- [--] Months [---] +37%
- [--] Year [---] -42%

### Followers: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::918804624303382528/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::918804624303382528/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [---------] +0.01%
- [--] Month [---------] +0.09%
- [--] Months [---------] +1.60%
- [--] Year [---------] +3.60%

### CreatorRank: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::918804624303382528/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::918804624303382528/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #917 [finance](/list/finance)  #2761 [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  5.14% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  2.34% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  2.34% [countries](/list/countries)  1.87% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  1.4% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  0.47%

**Social topic influence**
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #386, [bull](/topic/bull) #1441, [gold](/topic/gold) 7.48%, [$100k](/topic/$100k) 6.54%, [red](/topic/red) 6.07%, [imo](/topic/imo) #702, [$34k](/topic/$34k) 5.14%, [fud](/topic/fud) 5.14%, [elon musk](/topic/elon-musk) 5.14%, [this is](/topic/this-is) #2279

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@58l15](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@pulseclear](/creator/undefined) [@willba2022](/creator/undefined) [@xyz3677](/creator/undefined) [@cryptaxpt](/creator/undefined) [@dumpdetected](/creator/undefined) [@d_lennertz](/creator/undefined) [@duyenh20](/creator/undefined) [@vohnj43](/creator/undefined) [@ni_v_lek_btc](/creator/undefined) [@pepecoins](/creator/undefined) [@fproperty94411](/creator/undefined) [@btcsignal97](/creator/undefined) [@nextgencrypto37](/creator/undefined) [@cryptograssini](/creator/undefined) [@dumontiskooo](/creator/undefined) [@my_xra](/creator/undefined) [@swinggorilla](/creator/undefined) [@crettig1](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Bitcoin Gold (BTG)](/topic/bitcoin-gold)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Gold and bitcoin investors love to argue about who is smarter. But gold and bitcoin are in the same team and risk/return profile (calmar) is almost identical. Best investment is a combi of gold AND bitcoin. E.g. 80% gold + 20% bitcoin has LESS risk and 2x MORE return than gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2013573381472284927)  2026-01-20T11:24Z 2.2M followers, 186K engagements


"Bitcoin ($87500) is currently (pink dot) way off its historic correlation with stocks ($6900) and gold ($4500). This happened before when BTC was below $1k and resulted in a 10x pump. But correlation could also be broken and then this time will be different. Time will tell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2004855518826037582)  2025-12-27T10:02Z 2.2M followers, 441K engagements


"IMO bitcoin is extremely undervalued. Bitcoin is scarcer than gold and real estate but valued 10x to 100x lower. Interesting times ahead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2005951533104464227)  2025-12-30T10:38Z 2.2M followers, 318.6K engagements


"Happy [----] Bitcoin closed [----] at $87496 Down -6% from $93381 end 2024"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2006698622797443194)  2026-01-01T12:06Z 2.2M followers, 223.5K engagements


"Glad to see gold finally catching up with bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2016467893077021003)  2026-01-28T11:06Z 2.2M followers, 275.4K engagements


"Most graphical comparisons of bitcoin gold and global stock market cap have incorrect scale. This is a graph of the $2T bitcoin market $35T gold market and $140T stock market with correct scale:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2016501137872949556)  2026-01-28T13:18Z 2.2M followers, 173.7K engagements


"New video on YouTube Bitcoin bull market was weak so will the bear market be shallow 👉 http://m.youtube.com/watchv=FWfk-21lSSY http://m.youtube.com/watchv=FWfk-21lSSY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2019044290543108350)  2026-02-04T13:44Z 2.2M followers, 88.3K engagements


"Bitcoin bear market scenarios: 1) -80% from ATH $126k = $25k 2) down to 200w MA / realized price = $50k-60k 3) down to just above previous ATH = $70k 4) something else 1) $25k 2) $50k-60k 4) something else 3) $70k 1) $25k 2) $50k-60k 4) something else 3) $70k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2019186935412191633)  2026-02-04T23:10Z 2.2M followers, 216.5K engagements


"Gold added roughly $10 trillion in marketcap last year. It wouldn't surprise me if some of that profit is rotated/diversified into bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2012945181490712799)  2026-01-18T17:48Z 2.2M followers, 379.8K engagements


"Bitcoin closed January at $78635 (-38% from ath) [---] Week Moving Average $58k Realized Price $55k decreasing RSI dropped below [--] blue: official bear territory Historically BTC could drop to 200WMA/RP levels However bull has been weak (no red) so bear might be shallow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2017919784092877295)  2026-02-01T11:15Z 2.2M followers, 444K engagements


"Bitcoin price currently tracks difficulty better than powerlaw (time) or stock-to-flow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2022622041141096557)  2026-02-14T10:40Z 2.2M followers, 200.1K engagements


"Classic - step 1: liquidate all leveraged longs - step 2: 🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1453294080457334791)  2021-10-27T09:34Z 2.2M followers, 35.7K engagements


"First [--] halvings were not priced in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1767333956154781795)  2024-03-11T23:37Z 2.2M followers, 1.2M engagements


"I refitted [----] S2F model with 5y new data. I also simplified (halving cycle average instead of monthly no Satoshi coins) to make it easily understandable. Result: almost same parameters (BTC=0.25*BTC3) and predictions: 2024-2028 $500k 2028-2032 $4m. http://m.youtube.com/watchv=67eetLooEQc http://m.youtube.com/watchv=67eetLooEQc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1786453589377888612)  2024-05-03T17:51Z 2.2M followers, 486.9K engagements


"Periodic reminder. 2016-2017 bull market (which current bull market mimics) had multiple -30% dips on the way up. Have to get rid of the tourists"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1894478686201508138)  2025-02-25T20:04Z 2.2M followers, 970.5K engagements


"Bitcoin $100000 . you know what's next🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1920500513524613464)  2025-05-08T15:26Z 2.2M followers, 514.1K engagements


"Whether you like it or not bitcoin's value is very much linked to its scarcity. Fiat will be printed bitcoin will rise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1970832254969524442)  2025-09-24T12:46Z 2.2M followers, 360K engagements


"New December video is live on YouTube 👉 http://m.youtube.com/watchv=EGDRHgCM1ME http://m.youtube.com/watchv=EGDRHgCM1ME"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1996544073113522392)  2025-12-04T11:36Z 2.2M followers, 136.8K engagements


"@pepecoins Yup. Old people buy gold. Young people buy bitcoin. Together strong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2016480074359341542)  2026-01-28T11:54Z 2.2M followers, [----] engagements


"@fproperty94411 Yes gold did 2x in [--] year from a $17T to a $35T asset. Imagine what bitcoin ($2T) could do in [--] year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2016503408320999835)  2026-01-28T13:27Z 2.2M followers, [----] engagements


"IMO there are [--] bitcoin bear market scenarios: 1) -80% from ATH $126k = $25k 2) down to 200w MA / realized price = $50k-60k 3) down to just above previous ATH = $70k 4) yesterday's $72.9k was the bottom I discuss these scenario's in my new video: 👉 http://m.youtube.com/watchv=FWfk-21lSSY http://m.youtube.com/watchv=FWfk-21lSSY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2019056958481866861)  2026-02-04T14:34Z 2.2M followers, 474K engagements


"RT @adam3us: Thought for the day: if you are advocating for incentive incompatible features or other features push to rearchitect Bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2020809843146109182)  2026-02-09T10:39Z 2.2M followers, [--] engagements


"Let's skip September and go straight to October😎 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1437464168408436737)  2021-09-13T17:12Z 2.2M followers, 15.1K engagements


"If you look through #bitcoin volatility you see [---] week moving average always going up and BTC never closing a month below 200WMA. The trend is your friend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1447980518377721859)  2021-10-12T17:40Z 2.2M followers, 14.7K engagements


"I like where this is going😎"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1448677872261029896)  2021-10-14T15:51Z 2.2M followers, 15.8K engagements


"I guess this classic is appropriate 🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1449055697845559300)  2021-10-15T16:52Z 2.2M followers, 15.4K engagements


"#bitcoin looking strong: RSI70 and in ATH mode (red)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1451128329176768514)  2021-10-21T10:08Z 2.2M followers, 16.2K engagements


"Stay strong 💪"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1481397138613542913)  2022-01-12T22:46Z 2.2M followers, 15.6K engagements


"🔴RED DOT Accumulation phase has ended: no more easy buying opportunities in orderly and slowly increasing markets. Bull market has started. If history is any guide we will see [--] months of face melting fomo: extreme price pumps combined with multiple -30% drops. Enjoy🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1763547197126156519)  2024-03-01T12:49Z 2.2M followers, 2.7M engagements


"Are you ready"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1815316679137628587)  2024-07-22T09:23Z 2.2M followers, 813.8K engagements


"Just a scenario: - Oct: classic pump month. BTC 70k - Nov: Trump wins election ends democrats Biden/Harris/Warren/Gensler war on crypto. BTC 100k - Dec: massive ETF inflow. BTC 150k - Jan: crypto people/companies return to US. BTC 200k - Feb: Power Law crew sells. BTC 150k - Mar: bitcoin legal tender in Bhutan Argentina and Dubai. BTC 300k - Apr: Trump/US start building strategic BTC reserve. BTC 400k - May: Other countries (except EU) join rat race. BTC 500k - Jun: several AI start using bitcoin to autonomously arb tradfi. BTC 600k - Jul/Dec: face melting FOMO. BTC ATH 1M - 2026:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1838624330176922033)  2024-09-24T16:59Z 2.2M followers, 5.9M engagements


"So it begins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1913176427459166527)  2025-04-18T10:23Z 2.2M followers, 3.1M engagements


"Bears think $126k was the top and btc will fall below $100k and [----] will be a bear market mainly because . the [--] year cycle IMO that is a BIG misunderstanding. Yes there is a 4y halving cycle that doubles S2F-ratio and [--] months before until [--] months after a halving was very profitable last [--] cycles. But [--] cycles is not enough for a reliable pattern and it is absolutely not guaranteed that the top is again [--] months after the halving (Oct'25). Also S2F model says nothing about tops or bottoms only about the average price level in a halving cycle assuming a fundamental phase transition (as"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1980259495902109832)  2025-10-20T13:07Z 2.2M followers, 716.7K engagements


"Now that you are all freaking out about some [--] week moving average . . this Oct [----] tweet (when BTC was $8k and most people were freaking out about miner capitulation after [----] halving and I was predicting $55k) feels relevant"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1990380065188888752)  2025-11-17T11:22Z 2.2M followers, 643.2K engagements


"My view has not changed since [----]. In [----] btc market cap was $100B ($5k btc). This chart said btc mcap would grow to $1T ($50k btc) in 2020-2024 halving period (blue arrow). It did. The same chart shows $10T mcap / $500k btc for [----] (red arrow). That is still my view"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1992521484913521070)  2025-11-23T09:11Z 2.2M followers, 536.5K engagements


"Bitcoin November close: $90382 . mixed signals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1995452148960702643)  2025-12-01T11:17Z 2.2M followers, 412.7K engagements


"Bitcoin monthly RSI at [--] . My analysis in this video 👉 http://m.youtube.com/watchv=EGDRHgCM1ME http://m.youtube.com/watchv=EGDRHgCM1ME"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1996666475906539964)  2025-12-04T19:42Z 2.2M followers, 215.3K engagements


"💥My monthly view on the bitcoin market in this video: https://www.youtube.com/watchv=EGDRHgCM1ME https://www.youtube.com/watchv=EGDRHgCM1ME"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1996872596881891522)  2025-12-05T09:21Z 2.2M followers, 230K engagements


"Bitcoin [---] week moving average $57k rising and diverging from geometric mean "  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1999482580635385982)  2025-12-12T14:12Z 2.2M followers, 387.2K engagements


"Why is bitcoin not pumping Because 50% is selling (OGs traumatized by [----] technical investors looking at RSI 4y cycle fans expecting a bear 2y post halving) while the other 50% is buying (fundamental investors tradfi banks). Epic battle . until sellers are out of ammo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2001018515785154979)  2025-12-16T19:56Z 2.2M followers, 391.9K engagements


"4 year cycle is NOT the same as stock-to-flow model. The [--] year cycle says that the year after a halving is a bull year like [----] [----] [----] 🟩🟥🟩🟩 and [----] did obviously not fit that pattern. But S2F says nothing about bull or bear top or bottom. S2F is the thesis that scarcity drives value that bitcoin should (ultimately) be more valuable than gold because BTC is scarcer than gold. S2F models the rough path of nonlinear phase transitions towards $30T+. S2F roughly models the average price during a [--] year cycle (regardless of which years are bull or bear). Current cycle average is $90k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2011463240551743691)  2026-01-14T15:39Z 2.2M followers, 442.6K engagements


"Periodic reminder. You can't keep the ball underwater forever. MtGox returning 140k BTC German govt selling 50k BTC US govt selling 10k BTC miners forced to sell BTC after the halving . that's all done now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1825850149807010095)  2024-08-20T10:59Z 2.2M followers, 321.3K engagements


"R.I.P. Netherlands Make no mistake this is not government stupidity this is what the Dutch majority wants it's what the majority voted for (D66 CDA VVD GLPvdA). The majority wants immigrants in and investors/entrepreneurs out. More to come (e.g. exit tax)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/2022645145947312454)  2026-02-14T12:12Z 2.2M followers, 336.1K engagements


"Back in blue Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d) 2021-10-17 23:59 UTC ln(actual / model) Actual price: $61462.22 Model price: $100380.17 S2F multiple: [-----] https://t.co/5ZdahhXFP8 Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d) 2021-10-17 23:59 UTC ln(actual / model) Actual price: $61462.22 Model price: $100380.17 S2F multiple: [-----] https://t.co/5ZdahhXFP8"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1450006483014406145)  2021-10-18T07:51Z 2.2M followers, 16.9K engagements


"$63K✅ Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1450455686110978052)  2021-10-19T13:35Z 2.2M followers, 35.4K engagements


"Countdown to new ATH🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1450560626749755395)  2021-10-19T20:32Z 2.2M followers, 39.9K engagements


"2013 vibes🔥 - [---] week moving average up (black) - realized cap up (grey) - in ATH mode (red: distance to all time high 1)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1451871595455303682)  2021-10-23T11:22Z 2.2M followers, 14K engagements


"When #bitcoin is in all time high mode (color turns red) it usually stays in ATH mode (red) for a couple of months"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1452206099344547842)  2021-10-24T09:31Z 2.2M followers, 24.6K engagements


"#bitcoin bull market 2nd leg has started"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1452921820051558409)  2021-10-26T08:55Z 2.2M followers, 22.9K engagements


"👀 Wow this is getting crazy . +350K followers in October For all new followers: make sure you read my [--] articles and listen to [--] or [--] recent interviews on https://planbtc.com/ https://planbtc.com/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1453350399738589190)  2021-10-27T13:18Z 2.2M followers, 13.4K engagements


"In normal markets RSI30 means buy and RSI70 sell. In #bitcoin RSI hardly ever goes below [--] and RSI can go as high as [--] because BTC has a continuous upward trend (RSI50). Currently BTC RSI is [--]. BTC is also in (monthly close) ATH mode (color red). Very interesting🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1454017856392269824)  2021-10-29T09:30Z 2.2M followers, 14.9K engagements


"Imagine selling BTC now🤣"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1454039384915910656)  2021-10-29T10:56Z 2.2M followers, 23.2K engagements


"Aug $47K✅ Sep $43K✅ Oct $61K new monthly close ATH✅ Ok ok 3% rounding error . close enough for me Next targets: Nov$98K Dec$135K🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1454962054297788417)  2021-11-01T00:02Z 2.2M followers, 48.5K engagements


"Like clockwork"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1455456858752397313)  2021-11-02T08:48Z 2.2M followers, 30.9K engagements


"Relative Strength Index [--] . #bitcoin looking strong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1455973745047261184)  2021-11-03T19:02Z 2.2M followers, 15.7K engagements


"Are you ready for +$10K daily candles"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1456581634497581059)  2021-11-05T11:18Z 2.2M followers, 38.7K engagements


"Some people think Nov close $98K is too big a jump. It is +60% from current level. Yes that is a big jump. But #bitcoin did this many times before: May [----] +62% Aug [----] +66% May [----] +66% Nov [----] +451% Oct [----] +61% Mar [----] +181% Feb [----] +63% etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1456741682272260098)  2021-11-05T21:54Z 2.2M followers, 25.7K engagements


"#bitcoin long term momentum is rising fast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1457318613703090176)  2021-11-07T12:06Z 2.2M followers, 22.7K engagements


"As you know S2F model predicts $100K average for this halving period (and based on floor model we reach $100K this yr). But S2FX model predicts $288K average this cycle (we need some real fireworks in [----] for that). Let's see where this 2nd leg of the bull market will take us🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1457725830805827593)  2021-11-08T15:04Z 2.2M followers, 27.2K engagements


"I am #bitcoin only Pls do NOT reply/comment with info on other coins/tokens; I consider that noise. I block people who do that. Pls do NOT ask me to do S2F on other coins; there is no shitcoin S2F-price relation. Also do NOT @ me in giveaways & airdrops; it's a waste of my time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1458069734293901317)  2021-11-09T13:51Z 2.2M followers, 18.2K engagements


"Like clockwork Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d) 2021-11-08 23:59 UTC ln(actual / model) Actual price: $67541.76 Model price: $98543.87 S2F multiple: [-----] https://t.co/HUbRBsVn7K Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d) 2021-11-08 23:59 UTC ln(actual / model) Actual price: $67541.76 Model price: $98543.87 S2F multiple: [-----] https://t.co/HUbRBsVn7K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1458193722638839808)  2021-11-09T22:04Z 2.2M followers, 17.4K engagements


"Leveraged longs liquidated . and go"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1458430116996988930)  2021-11-10T13:43Z 2.2M followers, 18.7K engagements


"As you know S2F model predicts $100K average this halving cycle (white line). I dumbed that down to "$100K Dec [----] close" because to make $100K average mid-cycle we should be above that average. My floor model (not S2F) predicts $135K Dec close: roughly in line with S2F model"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1458776821932048387)  2021-11-11T12:41Z 2.2M followers, 25.2K engagements


"Price discovery on markets sometimes reminds me of the prisoner's dilemma. If everybody today decides not to sell #bitcoin under $100K the price would rise over $100K today. However some people chicken out "  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1458890358155268097)  2021-11-11T20:12Z 2.2M followers, 18.4K engagements


"To clarify: 98K Nov prediction is NOT based on S2F model but on my floor model. As I said before (in tweets and latest podcasts) I use [--] models: 1) S2F 2) Floor model 3) On-chain model If for example 98K Nov floor model prediction fails that does NOT mean S2F or on-chain fails. Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1 Bitcoin is below $34K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1460921876444852229)  2021-11-17T10:44Z 2.2M followers, 17.7K engagements


"I am sailing limited internet connection . BTFD 😎"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1461404298038980616)  2021-11-18T18:41Z 2.2M followers, 17.4K engagements


"Floor model $98K Nov close will probably be a first miss (after nailing Aug Sep Oct). S2F model not affected and indeed on track towards $100K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1463849685924388866)  2021-11-25T12:38Z 2.2M followers, 36.7K engagements


"#bitcoin has better risk-adjusted returns than all other assets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1464937737828679688)  2021-11-28T12:42Z 2.2M followers, 14.1K engagements


"$98K❌ Floor model first miss (after nailing AugSepOct). No model is perfect but this is a big miss and the first in 10y Outlier/black swan I will give Floor model [--] more month. S2F model unaffected and on track to $100K. Watch out for trolls confusing Floor and S2F model Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1465833345384919045)  2021-12-01T00:01Z 2.2M followers, 25.5K engagements


"#bitcoin looking strong (RSI 68) despite macro headwind (omicron induced March [----] flashbacks and potential FED tapering)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1466732993775607810)  2021-12-03T11:36Z 2.2M followers, 13.9K engagements


"For context [----] bull market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1467045232676151300)  2021-12-04T08:16Z 2.2M followers, 57.3K engagements


"On days like this I switch off the computers and go for a long run"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1467063028571156484)  2021-12-04T09:27Z 2.2M followers, 26.4K engagements


"#bitcoin realized cap still increasing after March $58.8K close . you can not keep the ball under water forever "  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1467568298757869579)  2021-12-05T18:55Z 2.2M followers, 25K engagements


"#Bitcoin status"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1467813941699129347)  2021-12-06T11:11Z 2.2M followers, 36.5K engagements


"I don't think $69K was the top for this halving cycle. If $69K were the top than a typical bear market -80% drawdown would bring the bottom to $14K . below [----] ATH ($20K) and below 200WMA ($18K). Nah that has never happened and IMO will never happen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1469252163776000004)  2021-12-10T10:26Z 2.2M followers, 31.7K engagements


"$50K-60K #bitcoin since March patience is key"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1470136658372841483)  2021-12-12T21:01Z 2.2M followers, 22.3K engagements


"Bitcoin needs a small miracle for a 100K Christmas. Will I ditch S2F model if this does not happen Nah I actually like being at the lower bands. In fact I published the model at the lower bands in March [----] with btc below 4K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1472241754837557256)  2021-12-18T16:26Z 2.2M followers, 24.1K engagements


"Money printing (QE debasement) is the only reason why governments can mandate drugs close businesses fire doctors and nurses spinn main stream media enforce lockdowns destroy our liberties and society. That is why I tweet about current geopolitical events. #bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1472529832961576969)  2021-12-19T11:30Z 2.2M followers, 16.6K engagements


"Imagine thinking a model that has stayed within [--] standard deviation band for 3yrs has failed. IMO we are in the exact same spot as March [----] when I published S2F model: at the low end of the 1sd band. DYOR. Look at the chart. Your choice"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1474707018447532037)  2021-12-25T11:42Z 2.2M followers, 21.4K engagements


"I use models to protect myself from emotions. Right now most people incl myself fear further decline of btc price and want to sell. But S2F model shows btc is at the low end of 50k-200k 1sd band a buy signal. Likewise 200k will feel like btc will rise forever but S2F says sell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1476160416678125575)  2021-12-29T11:57Z 2.2M followers, 15.9K engagements


"Happy New Year 2021: #Bitcoin +60% Real Estate +35% Stocks +27% Bonds -2% Gold -4%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1476892780576354309)  2021-12-31T12:27Z 2.2M followers, 28.9K engagements


"I know some people have lost faith in this #bitcoin bull market. However we are only halfway into the cycle (2020-2024). And although BTC experiences some turbulence at $1T the yellow gold cluster at S2F60/$10T (small black dots are 2009-2021 gold data) is still the target IMO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1480159024112934913)  2022-01-09T12:46Z 2.2M followers, 13.9K engagements


"The bounce will be epic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1481254465642668034)  2022-01-12T13:19Z 2.2M followers, 24.4K engagements


"nO oNe SaW iNfLaTiOn cOmInG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1484155054483509249)  2022-01-20T13:25Z 2.2M followers, 14.8K engagements


"In [----] I bought my first #bitcoin at $400 March [----] I published S2F model at $4000 btc Now Jan [----] btc dropped below $40000 (within 2sd band) Some are worried about current dip but I am quite sure that btc will add another zero next couple of years. Embrace volatility"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1484654762045984778)  2022-01-21T22:30Z 2.2M followers, 24.6K engagements


"Next level candle painting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1485605576000393217)  2022-01-24T13:29Z 2.2M followers, 32K engagements


"As you know I track many indicators & models besides S2F: RSI 200WMA Realized Cap Logarithmic Regression etc. Chart below combines S2F log regression & RSI. #Bitcoin price currently tracks log regression better than S2F. My money is still on S2F. [----] will be very exciting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1487106008157757446)  2022-01-28T16:51Z 2.2M followers, 14.5K engagements


"#bitcoin weekly RSI looking incredibly bullish🔥"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1493660892743016456)  2022-02-15T18:58Z 2.2M followers, 14.9K engagements


"#bitcoin [---] week moving average still increasing. Ignore volatility focus on the trend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1495836741680435202)  2022-02-21T19:04Z 2.2M followers, 14.9K engagements


"Intel embraces new technology and invested billions in proof of work mining. Meanwhile Europe wants to ban that same proof of work technology which is just math. Europe is at peak stupidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1503306239488499712)  2022-03-14T09:45Z 2.2M followers, 14K engagements


"Ripple co-founder wants to change Bitcoin into a shitcoin a la Ripple🤣"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1508787456740634629)  2022-03-29T12:45Z 2.2M followers, [----] engagements


"Reason why you are not buying BTC below 30k now is the same reason why you did not buy BTC at 4k during Mar2020 covid bottom or 3k during Dec2018 bear market bottom: FEAR. Fear that BTC could drop to 20k. But 3k 4k or 5k does not matters now. Nor will 20k 30k or 40k in 2yrs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1524381824398602241)  2022-05-11T13:32Z 2.2M followers, 15.2K engagements


"On days like this I switch off the monitors and go for a run. Yes I hodled from 69K to 22K did not sell a sat because I thought BTC would go to 100K. But no reason to stare at screens all day. Best to switch off do something you like and come back in a week or so"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1536637954935951365)  2022-06-14T09:13Z 2.2M followers, 15.8K engagements


"#bitcoin Relative Strength Index (RSI) bounced back in June. Bear market over"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1555836145489035265)  2022-08-06T08:40Z 2.2M followers, [----] engagements


"Disbelief . "this is a bull trap""  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1615305031397347328)  2023-01-17T11:08Z 2.2M followers, 1.7M engagements


"#Bitcoin bull market . so it begins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1625936524503093258)  2023-02-15T19:14Z 2.2M followers, 1.3M engagements


"Bitcoin $70000 . so it begins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1798012599461912576)  2024-06-04T15:23Z 2.2M followers, 838.3K engagements


"This is where the fun begins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1816773896198119872)  2024-07-26T09:53Z 2.2M followers, 749.8K engagements


"Bitcoin is entering the vertical part of the S-curve (and S2F-curve) . probably nothing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1855542116526465171)  2024-11-10T09:24Z 2.2M followers, 946.6K engagements


"Happy $100k🥳🍾🥂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1864551480079827243)  2024-12-05T06:04Z 2.2M followers, 476.5K engagements


"So it begins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1881282866635813085)  2025-01-20T10:09Z 2.2M followers, 703.4K engagements


"2003 . first Gold ETF. When #bitcoin ETF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1268662668048715779)  2020-06-04T21:55Z 2.2M followers, [----] engagements


"Gold value has been quite stable since [----] - House in [----] costs $5K [---] ounce of gold - House [----] costs $350K [---] ounce of gold - Car 1900: $1K [--] ounce of gold - Car 2020: $70K [--] ounce of gold - S&P 1900: $10 [---] ounce of gold - S&P 2020: $3300 [--] ounce of gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1309860811469393920)  2020-09-26T14:22Z 2.2M followers, [----] engagements


"How will there be diminishing returns when debasement is exponential All asset prices increased exponentially last 10y (driven by money printing): - gold 3x ($1k to $3k) - S&P 3x ($2k to $6k) - bitcoin 250x ($400 to $100k) IMO it is a unit of account phenomena"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1961083175750250709)  2025-08-28T15:07Z 2.2M followers, 169.8K engagements


"What a difference [--] months makes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1338087843042893825)  2020-12-13T11:46Z 2.2M followers, [----] engagements


"Aug47k✅ Sep43k✅ Next targets: Oct63k Nov98k Dec135k🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1443727392657350656)  2021-10-01T00:00Z 2.2M followers, 65.6K engagements


"Aug47k✅ Sep43k✅ Next targets: Oct63k Nov98k Dec135k🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1443727392657350656)  2021-10-01T00:00Z 2.2M followers, 65.6K engagements


"For context [----] bull market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1467045232676151300)  2021-12-04T08:16Z 2.2M followers, 57.3K engagements


"Aug $47K✅ Sep $43K✅ Oct $61K new monthly close ATH✅ Ok ok 3% rounding error . close enough for me Next targets: Nov$98K Dec$135K🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1454962054297788417)  2021-11-01T00:02Z 2.2M followers, 48.5K engagements


"Countdown to new ATH🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1450560626749755395)  2021-10-19T20:32Z 2.2M followers, 39.9K engagements


"Are you ready for +$10K daily candles"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1456581634497581059)  2021-11-05T11:18Z 2.2M followers, 38.7K engagements


"#Bitcoin status"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1467813941699129347)  2021-12-06T11:11Z 2.2M followers, 36.5K engagements


"Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1406577006230245376)  2021-06-20T11:37Z 2.2M followers, 46.1K engagements


"Floor model $98K Nov close will probably be a first miss (after nailing Aug Sep Oct). S2F model not affected and indeed on track towards $100K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1463849685924388866)  2021-11-25T12:38Z 2.2M followers, 36.7K engagements


"$63K✅ Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1450455686110978052)  2021-10-19T13:35Z 2.2M followers, 35.4K engagements


"Classic - step 1: liquidate all leveraged longs - step 2: 🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1453294080457334791)  2021-10-27T09:34Z 2.2M followers, 35.7K engagements


"#Bitcoin Sept closing price $43834 . like clockwork"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1443893179196002307)  2021-10-01T10:58Z 2.2M followers, 34.6K engagements


"🔴RED DOT Accumulation phase has ended: no more easy buying opportunities in orderly and slowly increasing markets. Bull market has started. If history is any guide we will see [--] months of face melting fomo: extreme price pumps combined with multiple -30% drops. Enjoy🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1763547197126156519)  2024-03-01T12:49Z 2.2M followers, 2.7M engagements


"Next level candle painting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1485605576000393217)  2022-01-24T13:29Z 2.2M followers, 32K engagements


"Periodic reminder"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1484519386815909894)  2022-01-21T13:32Z 2.2M followers, 31.3K engagements


"Are you ready"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1449737886358818823)  2021-10-17T14:03Z 2.2M followers, 31.5K engagements


"Like clockwork"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1455456858752397313)  2021-11-02T08:48Z 2.2M followers, 30.9K engagements


"I don't think $69K was the top for this halving cycle. If $69K were the top than a typical bear market -80% drawdown would bring the bottom to $14K . below [----] ATH ($20K) and below 200WMA ($18K). Nah that has never happened and IMO will never happen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1469252163776000004)  2021-12-10T10:26Z 2.2M followers, 31.7K engagements


"🔥1000000 followers thank you all This has been a wild ride: [--] years [--] articles [--] interviews. So much energy and great people in this space. Honored to be part of this epic journey🙏"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1445515147942916113)  2021-10-05T22:24Z 2.2M followers, 26.6K engagements


"Happy New Year 2021: #Bitcoin +60% Real Estate +35% Stocks +27% Bonds -2% Gold -4%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1476892780576354309)  2021-12-31T12:27Z 2.2M followers, 28.9K engagements


"On days like this I switch off the computers and go for a long run"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1467063028571156484)  2021-12-04T09:27Z 2.2M followers, 26.4K engagements


"As you know S2F model predicts $100K average for this halving period (and based on floor model we reach $100K this yr). But S2FX model predicts $288K average this cycle (we need some real fireworks in [----] for that). Let's see where this 2nd leg of the bull market will take us🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1457725830805827593)  2021-11-08T15:04Z 2.2M followers, 27.2K engagements


"On-chain analyses finished tonight: IMO we are midway no sign of weakness (red) yet. Note color overlay is not months to halving but an on-chain signal. My guess: this 2nd leg of the bull market will have at least [--] more months to go"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1444228421228417024)  2021-10-02T09:11Z 2.2M followers, 28K engagements


"#bitcoin realized cap still increasing after March $58.8K close . you can not keep the ball under water forever "  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1467568298757869579)  2021-12-05T18:55Z 2.2M followers, 25K engagements


"Some people think Nov close $98K is too big a jump. It is +60% from current level. Yes that is a big jump. But #bitcoin did this many times before: May [----] +62% Aug [----] +66% May [----] +66% Nov [----] +451% Oct [----] +61% Mar [----] +181% Feb [----] +63% etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1456741682272260098)  2021-11-05T21:54Z 2.2M followers, 25.7K engagements


"$98K❌ Floor model first miss (after nailing AugSepOct). No model is perfect but this is a big miss and the first in 10y Outlier/black swan I will give Floor model [--] more month. S2F model unaffected and on track to $100K. Watch out for trolls confusing Floor and S2F model Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1465833345384919045)  2021-12-01T00:01Z 2.2M followers, 25.5K engagements


"As you know S2F model predicts $100K average this halving cycle (white line). I dumbed that down to "$100K Dec [----] close" because to make $100K average mid-cycle we should be above that average. My floor model (not S2F) predicts $135K Dec close: roughly in line with S2F model"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1458776821932048387)  2021-11-11T12:41Z 2.2M followers, 25.2K engagements


"The bounce will be epic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1481254465642668034)  2022-01-12T13:19Z 2.2M followers, 24.4K engagements


"When #bitcoin is in all time high mode (color turns red) it usually stays in ATH mode (red) for a couple of months"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1452206099344547842)  2021-10-24T09:31Z 2.2M followers, 24.6K engagements


"In [----] I bought my first #bitcoin at $400 March [----] I published S2F model at $4000 btc Now Jan [----] btc dropped below $40000 (within 2sd band) Some are worried about current dip but I am quite sure that btc will add another zero next couple of years. Embrace volatility"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1484654762045984778)  2022-01-21T22:30Z 2.2M followers, 24.6K engagements


"Imagine selling BTC now🤣"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1454039384915910656)  2021-10-29T10:56Z 2.2M followers, 23.2K engagements


"Bitcoin needs a small miracle for a 100K Christmas. Will I ditch S2F model if this does not happen Nah I actually like being at the lower bands. In fact I published the model at the lower bands in March [----] with btc below 4K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1472241754837557256)  2021-12-18T16:26Z 2.2M followers, 24.1K engagements


"#bitcoin long term momentum is rising fast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1457318613703090176)  2021-11-07T12:06Z 2.2M followers, 22.7K engagements


"$50K-60K #bitcoin since March patience is key"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1470136658372841483)  2021-12-12T21:01Z 2.2M followers, 22.3K engagements


"#bitcoin bull market 2nd leg has started"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1452921820051558409)  2021-10-26T08:55Z 2.2M followers, 22.9K engagements


"Imagine thinking a model that has stayed within [--] standard deviation band for 3yrs has failed. IMO we are in the exact same spot as March [----] when I published S2F model: at the low end of the 1sd band. DYOR. Look at the chart. Your choice"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1474707018447532037)  2021-12-25T11:42Z 2.2M followers, 21.4K engagements


"#bitcoin is $55K now . only +15% to $63K🚀 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1446819492781244417)  2021-10-09T12:47Z 2.2M followers, 20.4K engagements


"Just a scenario: - Oct: classic pump month. BTC 70k - Nov: Trump wins election ends democrats Biden/Harris/Warren/Gensler war on crypto. BTC 100k - Dec: massive ETF inflow. BTC 150k - Jan: crypto people/companies return to US. BTC 200k - Feb: Power Law crew sells. BTC 150k - Mar: bitcoin legal tender in Bhutan Argentina and Dubai. BTC 300k - Apr: Trump/US start building strategic BTC reserve. BTC 400k - May: Other countries (except EU) join rat race. BTC 500k - Jun: several AI start using bitcoin to autonomously arb tradfi. BTC 600k - Jul/Dec: face melting FOMO. BTC ATH 1M - 2026:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1838624330176922033)  2024-09-24T16:59Z 2.2M followers, 5.9M engagements


"BREAKING . I quit my job (PlanA) and start focusing on #bitcoin (PlanB) full time as of March 1st 😎"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1358820031497445379)  2021-02-08T16:48Z 2.2M followers, 19.9K engagements


"Happy $100k🥳🍾🥂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1864551480079827243)  2024-12-05T06:04Z 2.2M followers, 476.5K engagements


"I am #bitcoin only Pls do NOT reply/comment with info on other coins/tokens; I consider that noise. I block people who do that. Pls do NOT ask me to do S2F on other coins; there is no shitcoin S2F-price relation. Also do NOT @ me in giveaways & airdrops; it's a waste of my time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1458069734293901317)  2021-11-09T13:51Z 2.2M followers, 18.2K engagements


"Leveraged longs liquidated . and go"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1458430116996988930)  2021-11-10T13:43Z 2.2M followers, 18.7K engagements


"Price discovery on markets sometimes reminds me of the prisoner's dilemma. If everybody today decides not to sell #bitcoin under $100K the price would rise over $100K today. However some people chicken out "  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1458890358155268097)  2021-11-11T20:12Z 2.2M followers, 18.4K engagements


"Are you ready"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1815316679137628587)  2024-07-22T09:23Z 2.2M followers, 813.8K engagements


"#bitcoin is $50K now . only +26% to $63K Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1445445917369274374)  2021-10-05T17:48Z 2.2M followers, 18.1K engagements


"Bitcoin is entering the vertical part of the S-curve (and S2F-curve) . probably nothing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1855542116526465171)  2024-11-10T09:24Z 2.2M followers, 946.6K engagements


"I am sailing limited internet connection . BTFD 😎"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1461404298038980616)  2021-11-18T18:41Z 2.2M followers, 17.4K engagements


"Like clockwork Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d) 2021-11-08 23:59 UTC ln(actual / model) Actual price: $67541.76 Model price: $98543.87 S2F multiple: [-----] https://t.co/HUbRBsVn7K Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d) 2021-11-08 23:59 UTC ln(actual / model) Actual price: $67541.76 Model price: $98543.87 S2F multiple: [-----] https://t.co/HUbRBsVn7K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1458193722638839808)  2021-11-09T22:04Z 2.2M followers, 17.4K engagements


"Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d) 2021-11-08 23:59 UTC ln(actual / model) Actual price: $67541.76 Model price: $98543.87 S2F multiple: -0.38"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1457947382079950848)  2021-11-09T05:45Z 39.9K followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin August closing price $47156 . like clockwork"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1432858533213638659)  2021-09-01T00:11Z 2.2M followers, 17.1K engagements


"Back in blue Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d) 2021-10-17 23:59 UTC ln(actual / model) Actual price: $61462.22 Model price: $100380.17 S2F multiple: [-----] https://t.co/5ZdahhXFP8 Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d) 2021-10-17 23:59 UTC ln(actual / model) Actual price: $61462.22 Model price: $100380.17 S2F multiple: [-----] https://t.co/5ZdahhXFP8"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1450006483014406145)  2021-10-18T07:51Z 2.2M followers, 16.9K engagements


"Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d) 2021-10-17 23:59 UTC ln(actual / model) Actual price: $61462.22 Model price: $100380.17 S2F multiple: -0.49"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1449959741015437317)  2021-10-18T04:45Z 39.9K followers, [---] engagements


"#bitcoin looking strong: RSI70 and in ATH mode (red)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1451128329176768514)  2021-10-21T10:08Z 2.2M followers, 16.2K engagements


"To clarify: 98K Nov prediction is NOT based on S2F model but on my floor model. As I said before (in tweets and latest podcasts) I use [--] models: 1) S2F 2) Floor model 3) On-chain model If for example 98K Nov floor model prediction fails that does NOT mean S2F or on-chain fails. Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1 Bitcoin is below $34K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1460921876444852229)  2021-11-17T10:44Z 2.2M followers, 17.7K engagements


"Relative Strength Index [--] . #bitcoin looking strong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1455973745047261184)  2021-11-03T19:02Z 2.2M followers, 15.7K engagements


"I like where this is going😎"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1448677872261029896)  2021-10-14T15:51Z 2.2M followers, 15.8K engagements


"Money printing (QE debasement) is the only reason why governments can mandate drugs close businesses fire doctors and nurses spinn main stream media enforce lockdowns destroy our liberties and society. That is why I tweet about current geopolitical events. #bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1472529832961576969)  2021-12-19T11:30Z 2.2M followers, 16.6K engagements


"On days like this I switch off the monitors and go for a run. Yes I hodled from 69K to 22K did not sell a sat because I thought BTC would go to 100K. But no reason to stare at screens all day. Best to switch off do something you like and come back in a week or so"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1536637954935951365)  2022-06-14T09:13Z 2.2M followers, 15.8K engagements


"#Bitcoin bull market . so it begins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1625936524503093258)  2023-02-15T19:14Z 2.2M followers, 1.3M engagements


"Bounce or break that is the question"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1417040781660114948)  2021-07-19T08:37Z 2.2M followers, 16.4K engagements


"Just to confirm: both my S2F(X) model and on-chain signal point towards a second run of this bull market🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1404845184819544067)  2021-06-15T16:56Z 2.2M followers, 16.3K engagements


"My first Medium article Combining all my tweets about modeling bitcoin's value with stock-to-flow the halving power laws fractals and questions & answers to one logical story. https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25 https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1109168697250377728)  2019-03-22T19:03Z 2.2M followers, 15.1K engagements


"Periodic reminder. 2016-2017 bull market (which current bull market mimics) had multiple -30% dips on the way up. Have to get rid of the tourists"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1894478686201508138)  2025-02-25T20:04Z 2.2M followers, 970.5K engagements


"I use models to protect myself from emotions. Right now most people incl myself fear further decline of btc price and want to sell. But S2F model shows btc is at the low end of 50k-200k 1sd band a buy signal. Likewise 200k will feel like btc will rise forever but S2F says sell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1476160416678125575)  2021-12-29T11:57Z 2.2M followers, 15.9K engagements


"I keep staring at this weekly chart . if RSI goes above [--] like in [----] and [----] . 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1453104489247002632)  2021-10-26T21:01Z 2.2M followers, 14.7K engagements


"Stay strong 💪"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1481397138613542913)  2022-01-12T22:46Z 2.2M followers, 15.6K engagements


"Let's skip September and go straight to October😎 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K Nov98K Dec135K https://t.co/hDONOVgxH1 Bitcoin is below $34K triggered by Elon Musk's energy FUD and China's mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June and possibly July. My worst case scenario for [----] (price/on-chain based): Aug47K Sep43K Oct63K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1437464168408436737)  2021-09-13T17:12Z 2.2M followers, 15.1K engagements


"#bitcoin weekly RSI looking incredibly bullish🔥"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1493660892743016456)  2022-02-15T18:58Z 2.2M followers, 14.9K engagements


"#bitcoin July closing price $41490 . it bounced from the lows like clockwork"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1421725631365238785)  2021-08-01T06:52Z 2.2M followers, 14.9K engagements


"#bitcoin [---] week moving average still increasing. Ignore volatility focus on the trend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1495836741680435202)  2022-02-21T19:04Z 2.2M followers, 14.9K engagements


"nO oNe SaW iNfLaTiOn cOmInG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1484155054483509249)  2022-01-20T13:25Z 2.2M followers, 14.8K engagements


"If you look through #bitcoin volatility you see [---] week moving average always going up and BTC never closing a month below 200WMA. The trend is your friend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1447980518377721859)  2021-10-12T17:40Z 2.2M followers, 14.7K engagements


"In normal markets RSI30 means buy and RSI70 sell. In #bitcoin RSI hardly ever goes below [--] and RSI can go as high as [--] because BTC has a continuous upward trend (RSI50). Currently BTC RSI is [--]. BTC is also in (monthly close) ATH mode (color red). Very interesting🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1454017856392269824)  2021-10-29T09:30Z 2.2M followers, 14.9K engagements


"Reason why you are not buying BTC below 30k now is the same reason why you did not buy BTC at 4k during Mar2020 covid bottom or 3k during Dec2018 bear market bottom: FEAR. Fear that BTC could drop to 20k. But 3k 4k or 5k does not matters now. Nor will 20k 30k or 40k in 2yrs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1524381824398602241)  2022-05-11T13:32Z 2.2M followers, 15.2K engagements


"#bitcoin It is time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1438138778695122956)  2021-09-15T13:52Z 2.2M followers, 14.4K engagements


"I guess this classic is appropriate 🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1449055697845559300)  2021-10-15T16:52Z 2.2M followers, 15.4K engagements


"What will trigger the next leg of the #bitcoin bull market - ETF approval (SEC) - Nation adoption (next El Salvador) - LN/Strike surprise (Jack Mallers) - Apple/Amazon/Google/MS adoption - RSK killer use case (Blockstream) - Next Michael Saylor/Paul Tudor Jones - China U-turn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1443275220555550722)  2021-09-29T18:03Z 2.2M followers, 15.3K engagements


"#bitcoin has better risk-adjusted returns than all other assets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1464937737828679688)  2021-11-28T12:42Z 2.2M followers, 14.1K engagements


"As you know I track many indicators & models besides S2F: RSI 200WMA Realized Cap Logarithmic Regression etc. Chart below combines S2F log regression & RSI. #Bitcoin price currently tracks log regression better than S2F. My money is still on S2F. [----] will be very exciting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1487106008157757446)  2022-01-28T16:51Z 2.2M followers, 14.5K engagements

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