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Created: 2025-07-23 21:54:33 UTC
William F. Hall, adjunct professor at Webster University, told Newsweek that Ocasio-Cortez poses a "serious threat" for the nomination, citing her "huge rally turnouts" and strong poll numbers. Jacob Neiheisel, an associate professor in the Department of Political Science at the University at Buffalo noted that her prospects hinge on how Democrats interpret their 2024 defeat—whether they believe Harris being "too moderate" hurt the party or not.
"In the wake of a loss, parties tend to 'double down' on whatever strategy they had in the previous campaign," he said. "Typically, this means being more conservative or more liberal if the perception among insiders is that they weren't sufficiently 'pure' enough to excite the base. It's not clear what Democrats are thinking on this dimension. If the internal narrative is that Harris tried to be too moderate, then someone like AOC might have some appeal. I simply don't know where the party is in terms of the narrative that they are constructing surrounding Harris' loss."
AOC Faces Same Challenges as Bernie Sanders While there has been much soul-searching and analysis about Harris' election defeat, according to polling conducted after the election by J.L. Partners for the two main reasons the then-vice president lost was because of voter's reticence to elect a woman and because of economic concerns.
Thomas Gift, a political scientist who runs the Centre on U.S. Politics at University College London (UCL) agreed and said Ocasio-Cortez was likely to come up against opposition similar to the opposition Sanders faced when he ran for the Democratic nomination.
In 2016, the Independent from Vermont garnered around XX percent of the vote in the Democratic primary. He dropped out in 2020 after receiving over XXXXX delegates.
"AOC is a celebrity with a near cult following," Gift told Newsweek. "However, the same problem that Bernie Sanders ran into is the one AOC will run into if she aspires for the White House. It's hard for a quasi-avowed socialist to win a national election in the U.S. America remains a center-right country, and that's not changing anytime soon.
"While AOC clearly speaks to the populist, left-wing base of her party, it remains unclear whether she widen her circle of support and pick off a certain fraction of former Trump voters and moderate Democrats. In a Democratic primary, she'll be picked apart for fringe views on a litany of cultural issues and her big government approach to policymaking."
Ocasio-Cortez would likely be up against a host of moderate Democrats, including several prominent state governors, such as Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan and Andy Beshear of Kentucky.
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