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kautious @kautiousCo on x 1080 followers
Created: 2025-07-22 00:00:39 UTC
🧠 Some pros do consistently beat the S&P—with rare discipline, strategy, and time horizons far beyond most.
🏛️ Take the Tampa Firefighters & Police Pension Fund: managed by Bowen, Hanes & Co. since 1974, it has returned ~14.5% annually in equities vs. ~12.5% for the S&P. Even with ~25% in bonds, overall returns hit ~11.8%, growing from $XX M to $XXX B over XX years.
🔬 Then there’s Renaissance Tech’s legendary Medallion Fund: 66% gross (39% net) annualized returns from 1988–2018, with just one down year and massive gains in crisis years like +82% in 2008 .
What sets them apart?
1️⃣ Ultra-long-term vision – decades‑long. 2️⃣ Genuine edge – thematic stock picking & quality assets (Tampa), advanced quant/algo models & deep data (Renaissance). 3️⃣ Leverage & risk control – especially true for Medallion’s algorithmic play. 4️⃣ Scale discipline – these funds cap or return capital to preserve returns. 5️⃣ Fee mindfulness – costs matter long-term.
✅ So yes, a select few do beat the market—dramatically and consistently. ❌ But for most investors, low‑cost indices remain the smarter bet.
🧭 Lesson? Embrace long-term horizons, find an edge (even small), control costs, and stick to it.
XX engagements
Related Topics $32b $12m rating agency stocks hanes