@dwarkeshpatel Dwarkesh Patel
Dwarkesh Patel has been hosting and discussing various YouTube videos on his channel, featuring guests such as Sarah Paine, a historian and expert on geopolitics, and other notable researchers. The videos cover a wide range of topics, including World War II, the rise and fall of empires, and the impact of AI on society. Recently, his channel has featured discussions on the intersection of history, politics, and technology.
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Social Influence
Social category influence countries 32.43% celebrities 8.11% technology brands 5.95% finance 3.24% social networks 1.62% stocks 1.62% travel destinations 0.54%
Social topic influence sarah 21.62%, china 11.89%, ai 11.35%, russia 7.57%, agi 5.95%, history 5.41%, war 5.41%, japan 5.41%, elon musk 4.86%, musk 3.78%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @3blue1brown @asianometry @warrenredlich @primerblobs @rebeltechnologist @analyticsvidhya @a16z @scienceadam
Top assets mentioned Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"What counts as AI - Andrej Karpathy"
YouTube Link 2025-10-20T16:22Z 1.2M followers, 32.5K engagements
"Why You Never Fight a Bully Alone - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-11-09T17:31Z 1.2M followers, 337.3K engagements
"The Tragedy Of Russia - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-23T20:59Z 1.2M followers, 678.3K engagements
"Why Winning TOO MUCH Can Lose a War - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-08-30T19:42Z 1.2M followers, 1.1M engagements
"Hitlers Greatest Miscalculation - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-10-02T18:30Z 1.2M followers, 2.7M engagements
"AGI is still [--] years away Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu have 2045+ timelines think the whole "alignment" framing is wrong don't think an intelligence explosion is plausible but are convinced we'll see explosive economic growth (with the economy literally doubling every [--] or [--] years). This discussion offers a totally different scenario than my recent interview with Scott and Daniel. Ege and Tamay are the co-founders of Mechanize (disclosure - Im an angel investor) a startup dedicated to fully automating work. Before founding Mechanize Ege and Tamay worked on AI"
YouTube Link 2025-04-17T16:20Z 1.2M followers, 130.3K engagements
"How the US-China AI Race Will Play Out Leopold Aschenbrenner Full Episode: https://youtu.be/zdbVtZIn9IM Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/leopold-aschenbrenner Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leopold-aschenbrenner-china-us-super-intelligence-race/id1516093381i=1000657821539 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/5NQFPblNw8ewxKolIDpiYNsi=6NaTHAugT2SxZrspW3lziw Read the new essay series from Leopold this episode is based on here: https://situational-awareness.ai/ Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp Follow Leopold on Twitter:"
YouTube Link 2024-06-06T16:00Z 1.2M followers, 18.9K engagements
"OpenAI believes they will create Artificial Superintelligence"
YouTube Link 2024-06-06T19:30Z 1.2M followers, 28.6K engagements
"Partition Was Brutal and the US Missed That - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-05-11T16:35Z 1.2M followers, 5.5M engagements
"How the Pope Helped Poland Break From Communism - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-26T19:00Z 1.2M followers, 308.8K engagements
"Japanese Psyops - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-08-06T17:49Z 1.2M followers, 905.6K engagements
"Russia will have to pay reparations to Ukraine - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2024-03-01T20:00Z 1.2M followers, 5.8M engagements
"Why Putin's NATO Nightmare Is Self-Inflicted - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-10-01T19:11Z 1.2M followers, 8.1M engagements
"Space Will Be the Cheapest Place to Put AI - Elon Musk"
YouTube Link 2026-02-11T21:45Z 1.2M followers, 15K engagements
"How Jimmy Carter Undermined Communism - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-27T20:11Z 1.2M followers, 333.1K engagements
"Why Germany Could Never Defeat Britain at Sea - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-17T21:24Z 1.2M followers, 1.6M engagements
"Richard Sutton Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end Richard Sutton is the father of reinforcement learning winner of the [----] Turing Award and author of The Bitter Lesson. And he thinks LLMs are a dead end. After interviewing him my steel man of Richards position is this: LLMs arent capable of learning on-the-job so no matter how much we scale well need some new architecture to enable continual learning. And once we have it we wont need a special training phase the agent will just learn on-the-fly like all humans and indeed like all animals. This new paradigm will render our current"
YouTube Link 2025-09-26T16:01Z 1.2M followers, 674.3K engagements
"Stalin Did What Nobody Else Could - Stephen Kotkin"
YouTube Link 2025-07-20T16:40Z 1.2M followers, 616.9K engagements
"The Real Reason Elon Bought Twitter"
YouTube Link 2026-02-11T19:55Z 1.2M followers, 18.4K engagements
"The Cost of Democracy - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-24T17:13Z 1.2M followers, 780.4K engagements
"Music People Aren't Math People - Grant Sanderson @3blue1brown"
YouTube Link 2024-03-09T18:00Z 1.2M followers, 618.6K engagements
"How Invading Taiwan Would End China - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-10-08T14:34Z 1.2M followers, 4.8M engagements
"Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think Sergey Levine Sergey Levine is one of the worlds top robotics researchers and co-founder of Physical Intelligence. He thinks were on the cusp of a self-improvement flywheel for general-purpose robots. His median estimate for when robots will be able to run households entirely autonomously [----]. If Sergeys right the world [--] years from now will be an insanely different place than it is today. This conversation focuses on understanding how we get there: we dive into foundation models for robotics and how we scale both the data and the"
YouTube Link 2025-09-12T15:32Z 1.2M followers, 220.8K engagements
"Could Germany Have Won WWII - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-08T17:50Z 1.2M followers, 3.4M engagements
"Sarah Paine How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview) In this episode Prof Paine looks at Maoist China. How did Mao go from military genius to peacetime disaster How did the patriotic hero inflict historys worst catastrophe on China How can someone shrewd enough to win a civil war outnumbered [--] to [--] make decisions like "let's have peasants make iron in their backyards" and "let's kill all the birds" Lecture is followed by a Q&A with me. The first nationwide famine in Chinese history; Mao's lasting influence on other insurgencies; broken promises to Chinese minorities and the peasantry;"
YouTube Link 2025-01-30T16:33Z 1.2M followers, 2.2M engagements
"Only Losers in Territorial Wars Sarah Paine #history #geopolitics #internationalrelations"
YouTube Link 2025-02-06T18:15Z 1.2M followers, 7M engagements
"The Difference Between Chinese and US Leadership - Victor Shih"
YouTube Link 2025-09-01T18:33Z 1.2M followers, 4.1M engagements
"Will AI be Conscious - Mark Zuckerberg"
YouTube Link 2024-10-19T19:29Z 1.2M followers, 74.8K engagements
"Is RL + LLMs enough for AGI Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken New episode with my good friends Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken. Sholto focuses on scaling RL and Trenton researches mechanistic interpretability both at Anthropic. We talk through whats changed in the last year of AI research; the new RL regime and how far it can scale; how to trace a models thoughts; and how countries workers and students should prepare for AGI. See you next year for v3. Enjoy * Transcript: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/sholto-trenton-2 * Apple Podcasts:"
YouTube Link 2025-05-22T21:06Z 1.2M followers, 191.5K engagements
"What Putin Learned From Stalin Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-01-26T17:46Z 1.2M followers, 5.1M engagements
"How China's Government Actually Works - Victor Shih"
YouTube Link 2025-06-05T17:00Z 1.2M followers, 1M engagements
"The Atrocities of WWII - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2024-04-24T06:16Z 1.2M followers, 15.5M engagements
"Satya Nadella How Microsoft thinks about AGI As part of this interview Satya Nadella gave me and Dylan Patel (founder of SemiAnalysis) an exclusive first-look at their brand-new Fairwater [--] datacenter. Microsoft is building multiple Fairwaters each of which has hundreds of thousands of GB200s & GB300s. Between all these interconnected buildings theyll have over [--] GW of total capacity. Just to give a frame of reference even a single one of these Fairwater buildings is more powerful than any other AI datacenter that currently exists. Satya then answered a bunch of questions about how Microsoft"
YouTube Link 2025-11-12T17:02Z 1.2M followers, 312K engagements
"How Helmut Kohl Bought East Germany - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-30T21:12Z 1.2M followers, 535.9K engagements
"Can synthetic data unlock AI recursive self-improvement Mark Zuckerberg Full Episode: https://youtu.be/bc6uFV9CJGg Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/mark-zuckerberg-llama-3-open-sourcing-%2410b-models-caeser/id1516093381i=1000652877239 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/6Lbsk4HtQZfkJ4dZjh7E7ksi=GOqj7hUdSaWSgi7ULWXjMA Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/mark-zuckerberg Me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp"
YouTube Link 2024-04-22T16:12Z 1.2M followers, 68.6K engagements
"How WWII Actually Started - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-04T22:23Z 1.2M followers, 5.5M engagements
"The reality under the Communist Party of China Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2024-04-02T01:00Z 1.2M followers, 2.4M engagements
"When India Outsmarted Pakistan in Kashmir - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-02-28T18:16Z 1.2M followers, 8.2M engagements
"How Did the USSR Survive So Long - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-22T16:00Z 1.2M followers, 868.8K engagements
"Why the Soviet Union Became One Big Rust Belt - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-23T18:26Z 1.2M followers, 1.4M engagements
"How the Soviets Backstabbed China - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-11-08T21:40Z 1.2M followers, 1.6M engagements
"Elon Musk "In [--] months the cheapest place to put AI will be space In this episode John and I got to do a real deep-dive with Elon. We discuss the economics of orbital data centers the difficulties of scaling power on Earth what it would take to manufacture humanoids at high-volume in America xAIs business and alignment plans DOGE and much more. * Transcript: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/elon-musk * Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dwarkesh-podcast/id1516093381i=1000748400389 * Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4nah0x1qQF2hxgJnv8PlmNsi=88be1f9b1a8b47b4 - Mercury"
YouTube Link 2026-02-05T17:02Z 1.2M followers, 829.5K engagements
"The US Navy's Deadliest Mistake of WW2 - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-19T16:32Z 1.2M followers, 3.4M engagements
"Identifying garbage history books Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-01-17T17:45Z 1.2M followers, 18.4M engagements
"Thatchers Worst Geopolitical Take - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-14T21:32Z 1.2M followers, 2.5M engagements
"America Will No Longer Lead The West Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-11-05T15:09Z 1.2M followers, 2.1M engagements
"Why is Putin So Popular - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-19T17:54Z 1.2M followers, 1.6M engagements
"The Soviet Union Was Too Big to NOT Fail Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2024-03-02T17:00Z 1.2M followers, 9.1M engagements
"When Russia Sabotaged Its Own Naval Fleet - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-06T22:06Z 1.2M followers, 3.5M engagements
"Soviet Economy Ran on Fake Data - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-16T21:44Z 1.2M followers, 633.9K engagements
"Sarah Paine Why Russia Lost the Cold War This is the final episode of the Sarah Paine lecture series and its probably my favorite one. Sarah gives a tour of the arguments on what ultimately led to the Soviet Unions collapse diving into the role of the US the Sino-Soviet border conflict the oil bust ethnic rebellions and even the Roman Catholic Church. As she points out this is all particularly interesting as we find ourselves potentially at the beginning of another Cold War. As we wrap up this lecture series I want to take a moment to thank Sarah for doing this with me. It has been such a"
YouTube Link 2025-12-19T17:53Z 1.2M followers, 1.2M engagements
"Roman Slavery Was Not Like America's Kyle Harper"
YouTube Link 2025-04-25T16:45Z 1.2M followers, 10.8M engagements
"Are We Being Too Optimistic About AI Andrej Karpathy"
YouTube Link 2025-10-17T20:30Z 1.2M followers, 61K engagements
"Why America failed in Afghanistan and Iraq"
YouTube Link 2024-04-16T07:07Z 1.2M followers, 3.5M engagements
"Sarah Paine On Her Time In Moscow"
YouTube Link 2025-12-17T20:30Z 1.2M followers, 1M engagements
"The Real Reason America Needs Robots - Elon Musk"
YouTube Link 2026-02-11T00:40Z 1.2M followers, 26K engagements
"Lee Kuan Yews [--] key decisions that made Singapore rich Tony Blair Full Episode: https://youtu.be/zSLWR3AbF3c Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/tony-blair Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/tony-blair-life-of-a-pm-the-deep-state-lee-kuan/id1516093381i=1000660321397 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/1Cw5hF5dUyMFHdxXuSe3Wp Me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp"
YouTube Link 2024-06-27T13:00Z 1.2M followers, 347.7K engagements
"Sarah Paine How Imperial Japan defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China After my last lecture series with Sarah Paine ended I still had so many questions. I knew wed only scratched the surface of Sarahs scholarship so I immediately invited her back for another series: she graciously agreed and well be releasing the results online over the coming weeks and months This first lecture is focused on the balance of power in East Asia at the turn of the 20th century. Specifically how did Japan (population 47M) defeat China (400M) and Russia (130M) to become Asia's dominant power For me the most"
YouTube Link 2025-07-25T17:26Z 1.2M followers, 1.4M engagements
"Why Communists Won in China - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-03-13T18:00Z 1.2M followers, 831.8K engagements
"Putin's Navy is Trapped in Its Own Waters - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-10-09T14:45Z 1.2M followers, 6.1M engagements
"Why We Need Fewer Politicians and More Statesmen - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-06T19:17Z 1.2M followers, 531.8K engagements
"Sarah Paine The war for India (lecture & interview) How the rivalry between China and India reshaped Asia forever. Im thrilled to launch a trilogy of episodes: a lecture series by Professor Sarah Paine of the Naval War College each followed by a deep Q&A. In this first episode Prof Paine talks about key decisions by Khrushchev Mao Nehru Bhutto & Lyndon Johnson that shaped the whole dynamic of South Asia today. This is followed by a Q&A with me. Come for the spy bases shoestring nukes and insight about how great power politics impacts every region. Huge thanks to Substack for hosting this *"
YouTube Link 2025-01-16T21:28Z 1.2M followers, 4.9M engagements
"Why did other human species go extinct David Reich"
YouTube Link 2024-10-06T17:18Z 1.2M followers, 1.8M engagements
"Americas Biggest Blind Spot - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-25T16:10Z 1.2M followers, 450.3K engagements
"Europe Needs to Start Paying for Its Defense - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-08-13T17:21Z 1.2M followers, 2.3M engagements
"Saddam Husseins Kuwait Gamble - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-17T22:41Z 1.2M followers, 2.1M engagements
"Hedge funds make billions from simple secrets From my conversation with Nat Friedman former CEO of GitHub. Watch the full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watchv=qcvMjoJdck4 Or read the transcript here: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/nat-friedman Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3oBack9 Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3S5g2YK"
YouTube Link 2023-08-28T15:00Z 1.2M followers, 34.6K engagements
"How Bismarck United Germany Without Overthrowing Anyone - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-21T19:24Z 1.2M followers, 6.5M engagements
"Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) The hidden pattern behind every AI breakthrough Here is my conversation with Dario Amodei CEO of Anthropic. Dario is hilarious and has fascinating takes on what these models are doing why they scale so well and what it will take to align them. * Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/dario-amodei * Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3rZOzPA * Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3QwMXXU * Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp --- Im running an experiment on this episode. Im not doing an ad. Instead Im just going to ask you to pay for whatever value you feel"
YouTube Link 2023-08-08T13:40Z 1.2M followers, 270.6K engagements
"How a Tiny Taiwan Outclassed China - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-01-31T20:01Z 1.2M followers, 2.9M engagements
"How Tsar Nicholas Controlled Russia - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-08-05T18:39Z 1.2M followers, 2.3M engagements
"Why The USSR Was Doomed From the Start - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-29T17:30Z 1.2M followers, 268.5K engagements
""The Brilliance of Communism" Sarah Paine Full Episode: https://youtu.be/4l3Sa8ImGFQ Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/sarah-paine-china Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dwarkesh-podcast/id1516093381 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4JH4tybY1zX6e5hjCwU6gF Twitter: https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp From Episode [--] of my lecture series with Sarah Paine Enjoy"
YouTube Link 2025-02-01T17:45Z 1.2M followers, 649.5K engagements
"Human Rights Killed Communism - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-31T15:45Z 1.2M followers, 1.3M engagements
"Why China and the USSR Turned Against Each Other - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-11-30T21:13Z 1.2M followers, 1.7M engagements
"The [--] Events That Defeated WWII Japan Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-04-20T17:15Z 1.2M followers, 12.8M engagements
"How America Made The Great Depression Worse - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-07-28T17:33Z 1.2M followers, 2.5M engagements
"The Only Thing That Can Solve The US Debt - Elon Musk"
YouTube Link 2026-02-08T18:51Z 1.2M followers, 54.8K engagements
"Sarah Paine How Russia sabotaged China's rise In this lecture military historian Sarah Paine explains how Russiaand specifically Stalincompletely derailed Chinas rise slowing them down for over a century. This lecture was particularly interesting to me because in my opinion the Chinese Civil War is [--] of the top [--] most important events of the 20th century. And to understand why it transpired as it did you need to understand Stalins role in the whole thing. * Transcript: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/sarah-paine-russo-chinese * Apple Podcasts:"
YouTube Link 2025-10-31T15:30Z 1.2M followers, 1.5M engagements
"Was FDR a Communist Sympathizer - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2024-08-08T23:00Z 1.2M followers, 3.1M engagements
"Communism is Overrated"
YouTube Link 2024-04-07T18:37Z 1.2M followers, 1.5M engagements
"Sarah Paine How Hitler almost starved Britain In this lecture Sarah Paine explains how Britain used sea control peripheral campaigns and alliances to defeat Nazi Germany during WWII. She then applies this framework to today arguing that Russia and China are similarly constrained by their geography making them vulnerable in any conflict with maritime powers (like the U.S. and its allies). * Transcript: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/sarah-paine-ww2 * Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/how-hitler-almost-starved-britain-sarah-paine/id1516093381i=1000725163932 * Spotify:"
YouTube Link 2025-09-05T15:31Z 1.2M followers, 1.2M engagements
"How Africa Bankrupted the Soviet Union - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-04T16:00Z 1.2M followers, 3.1M engagements
"Xi says China will invade Taiwan Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2024-09-04T19:26Z 1.2M followers, 5.1M engagements
"We Thought We Were Losing the Cold War Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-01-24T18:20Z 1.2M followers, 4.8M engagements
"David Reich How one small tribe conquered the world [-----] years ago I had no idea how wild human history was before chatting with the geneticist of ancient DNA David Reich. Human history has been again and again a story of one group figuring something out and then basically wiping everyone else out. From the tribe of 1k-10k modern humans who killed off all the other human species [-----] years ago to the Yamnaya steppe nomads [----] who killed off 90+% of (then) Europeans and also destroyed the Indus Valley Civilization. So much of what we thought we knew about human history is turning out to be"
YouTube Link 2024-08-29T16:04Z 1.2M followers, 1.9M engagements
"The Fastest Way to AGI Demis Hassabis"
YouTube Link 2024-03-03T17:00Z 1.2M followers, 34.3K engagements
"Soviet Union's Biggest Mistake - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-20T18:14Z 1.2M followers, 836.3K engagements
"How Lee Kuan Yew Made Singapore - Tony Blair"
YouTube Link 2024-06-29T16:30Z 1.2M followers, 12.1M engagements
"How Poland Recovered From Communism - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-22T20:08Z 1.2M followers, 452.7K engagements
"Westernize or Die: Japans Meiji Calculation - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-08-28T18:29Z 1.2M followers, 3.6M engagements
"Stephen Kotkin How Stalin became the most powerful dictator in history Stephen Kotkin is arguably the worlds foremost expert on Joseph Stalin and has written a massive 2-volume biography about him (with a 3rd volume in the works). No other individual had more of a profound impact on the 20th century than Stalin. He held the power of life and death over every single person across [--] time zones and he killed tens of millions of people utterly consumed by an ideology aimed at building paradise on Earth. And he was one half of the biggest and most consequential military confrontation in history"
YouTube Link 2025-07-10T16:50Z 1.2M followers, 734.3K engagements
"Sarah C. M. Paine Why dictators keep making the same fatal mistake I learned so much from Sarah Paine Professor of History and Strategy at the Naval War College. We discuss: * how continental vs maritime powers think and how this explains Xi & Putin's decisions * how a war with China over Taiwan would shake out and whether it could go nuclear * why the British Empire fell apart why China went communist how Hitler and Japan could have coordinated to win WW2 and whether Japanese occupation was good for Korea Taiwan and Manchuria * plus other lessons from WW2 Cold War and Sino-Japanese War * how"
YouTube Link 2023-10-04T13:42Z 1.2M followers, 4.6M engagements
"The Real Reason Japan Surrendered in WWII"
YouTube Link 2024-05-19T04:00Z 1.2M followers, 10M engagements
"The Day Russia Asked America Permission to Nuke China - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-12T16:37Z 1.2M followers, 882.7K engagements
"The caste system transformed Indian genetics - David Reich"
YouTube Link 2024-09-27T18:48Z 1.2M followers, 19.9M engagements
"Sarah Paine Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview) The fatal flaw in Japan's military culture that cost them WWII. This is the second in a trilogy: a lecture series by Professor Sarah Paine of the Naval War College. In this episode Prof Paine dissects the ideas and economics behind Japanese imperialism. The oil shortage which caused the war; the culture of honor and death; the surprisingly chaotic chain of command. This is followed by a Q&A with me. Huge thanks to Substack for hosting this * Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/sarah-paine-japan * Apple Podcasts:"
YouTube Link 2025-01-25T23:31Z 1.2M followers, 1.7M engagements
"Adam Marblestone AI is missing something fundamental about the brain Adam Marblestone is CEO of Convergent Research. Hes had a very interesting past life; Research Scientist at Google Deepmind on their neuroscient team; has worked on brain computer interfaces to quantum computing and nanotech to formal mathematics. Where we discuss how the brain learns so much from so little what the AI field can learn from neuroscience and the answer to Ilyas question: how does the genome encode abstract reward functions Turns out theyre all the same question. * Transcript:"
YouTube Link 2025-12-30T17:32Z 1.2M followers, 185.9K engagements
"What are we scaling Read the transcript here: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-ai-progress-dec-2025 Toby Ord: How Well Does RL Scale https://www.tobyord.com/writing/how-well-does-rl-scale Beren Millidge: Most Algorithmic Progress is Data Progress by https://www.beren.io/2025-08-02-Most-Algorithmic-Progress-is-Data-Progress/ TIMESTAMPS 00:00:13 What are we scaling 00:03:11 The value of human labor 00:05:19 Economic diffusion lag is cope 00:06:36 Goal-post shifting is justified 00:08:23 RL scaling 00:09:33 Broadly deployed intelligence explosion"
YouTube Link 2025-12-23T20:28Z 1.2M followers, 103.7K engagements
"Gwern Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary Gwern's blog: https://gwern.net/. Gwern is a pseudonymous researcher and writer. After the episode I convinced Gwern to create a donation page where people can help sustain what he's up to. Please go here to contribute: https://donate.stripe.com/6oE9DTgaf6oD0M03cc. Thank you to my friend Chris Painter for doing an amazing job voice acting Gwern. * Jane Street is looking to hire their next generation of leaders. Their deep learning team is looking for ML researchers FPGA programmers and CUDA programmers. Summer internships"
YouTube Link 2024-11-13T18:58Z 1.2M followers, 169.1K engagements
"Why Vibe Coding Fails - Ilya Sutskever"
YouTube Link 2025-11-26T19:04Z 1.2M followers, 1.2M engagements
"Ilya Sutskever We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research Ilya & I discuss SSIs strategy the problems with pre-training how to improve the generalization of AI models and how to ensure AGI goes well. * Transcript: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/ilya-sutskever-2 * Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dwarkesh-podcast/id1516093381i=1000738363711 * Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7naOOba8SwiUNobGz8mQELsi=39dd68f346ea4d49 - Gemini [--] is the first model Ive used that can find connections I havent anticipated. I recently wrote a blog post on RLs information"
YouTube Link 2025-11-25T17:29Z 1.2M followers, 1.2M engagements
"Mark Zuckerberg Llama [--] $10B models Caesar Augustus & [--] GW datacenters Zuck on: * Llama [--] * open sourcing towards AGI * custom silicon synthetic data & energy constraints on scaling * Caesar Augustus intelligence explosion bioweapons $10b models & much more Enjoy * Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/mark-zuckerberg * Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/mark-zuckerberg-llama-3-open-sourcing-%2410b-models-caeser/id1516093381i=1000652877239 * Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/6Lbsk4HtQZfkJ4dZjh7E7ksi=GOqj7hUdSaWSgi7ULWXjMA * Me on Twitter:"
YouTube Link 2024-04-18T16:00Z 1.2M followers, 876.1K engagements
"How They Became Leading AI Researchers in Just [--] Year Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken Full Episode: https://youtu.be/UTuuTTnjxMQ Website & Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/sholto-douglas-trenton-bricken Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/2dtDauiE4v8ldNRqPFq0uPsi=7S4n69QuTjeYz0lZwW4xIw Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sholto-douglas-trenton-bricken-how-to-build-understand/id1516093381i=1000650748087 Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp Trenton Bricken's Twitter: https://twitter.com/TrentonBricken Sholto Douglas's Twitter:"
YouTube Link 2024-03-29T17:42Z 1.2M followers, 134.2K engagements
"How Reagan Bankrupted the Soviet Union - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-28T16:57Z 1.2M followers, 606.7K engagements
"Mao Did What Nobody Else Could - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-04-01T18:00Z 1.2M followers, 3.5M engagements
"Putins Great Naval Problem Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-10-05T14:46Z 1.2M followers, 14.5M engagements
"Americas Golden Moment - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-07T16:26Z 1.2M followers, 1.1M engagements
"How the Soviets Became Asias Biggest Postwar Winner - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-11-19T22:43Z 1.2M followers, 1.8M engagements
"Attacking America Is a Devastating Miscalculation Sarah Paine Full Episode: https://www.youtube.com/watchv=Znk5QINe01A Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/sarah-paine-japan Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sarah-paine-episode-1-the-war-for-india-lecture-interview/id1516093381i=1000684289338 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/6beCTbPFOXKXNYPAsU7vQaMe on Twitter: https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp From Episode [--] of my lecture series with Sarah Paine Enjoy"
YouTube Link 2025-01-28T18:30Z 1.2M followers, 1.3M engagements
"Putins Real Problem Isnt NATO - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-24T18:41Z 1.2M followers, 9.7M engagements
"The Problem With Math Textbooks - Grant Sanderson @3blue1brown"
YouTube Link 2024-02-28T22:00Z 1.2M followers, 1.1M engagements
"How Long Will The Kim Dynasty Last - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-21T18:48Z 1.2M followers, 825.4K engagements
"How Opium Killed The Manchu Dynasty - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-07T15:11Z 1.2M followers, 929K engagements
"Why China Turned on the USSR - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-05-18T16:52Z 1.2M followers, 5.7M engagements
"Could China Have Avoided Communism - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-02-02T18:45Z 1.2M followers, 2.2M engagements
"The Mistake That Ended the USSR - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-11T17:40Z 1.2M followers, 1.9M engagements
"Why AI Won't Show Up in GDP - Andrej Karpathy"
YouTube Link 2025-10-24T19:10Z 1.2M followers, 177.6K engagements
"How America Actually Broke the Soviets - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-10T23:44Z 1.2M followers, 1.3M engagements
"America's Most Repeated Foreign Policy Mistake - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-02-05T18:16Z 1.2M followers, 2.4M engagements
"Britain's Worst WW1 Mission - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-10T16:59Z 1.2M followers, 1.5M engagements
"The Great Leap Forward - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-02-08T19:44Z 1.2M followers, 22.6M engagements
"Andrej Karpathy Were summoning ghosts not building animals The Andrej Karpathy episode. During this interview Andrej explains why reinforcement learning is terrible (but everything else is much worse) why AGI will just blend into the previous [---] centuries of 2% GDP growth why self driving took so long to crack and what he sees as the future of education. It was a pleasure chatting with him. * Transcript: https://dwarkesh.substack.com/p/andrej-karpathy * Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/andrej-karpathy-agi-is-still-a-decade-away/id1516093381i=1000732326311 * Spotify:"
YouTube Link 2025-10-17T17:15Z 1.2M followers, 1.2M engagements
"The Problem With The Soviet Economy - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-09T18:33Z 1.2M followers, 676.6K engagements
"How Unpopular Reforms Saved Japan - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-08-02T16:05Z 1.2M followers, 2.2M engagements
"Dario Amodei We are near the end of the exponential Dario Amodei thinks we are just a few years away from a country of geniuses in a data center. In this episode we discuss what to make of the scaling hypothesis in the current RL regime how AI will diffuse throughout the economy whether Anthropic is underinvesting in compute given their timelines how frontier labs will ever make money whether regulation will destroy the boons of this technology US-China competition and much more. * Transcript: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/dario-amodei-2 * Apple Podcasts:"
YouTube Link 2026-02-13T17:11Z 1.2M followers, 279K engagements
"Mao the Psychopath - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-02-01T19:05Z 1.2M followers, 14.2M engagements
"How Hedgehogs Hunted Hitlers U-Boats Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-07T15:45Z 1.2M followers, 4.4M engagements
"Gulf War vs Iraq War - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-02-12T17:45Z 1.2M followers, 4.7M engagements
"Why Mark Zuckerberg never sold Facebook"
YouTube Link 2024-04-19T05:30Z 1.2M followers, 1.9M engagements
"Why China Couldn't Adapt Like Japan - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-07-27T17:15Z 1.2M followers, 1.9M engagements
"@Asianometry & Dylan Patel How the semiconductor industry actually works Dylan Patel runs Semianalysis the leading publication and research firm on AI hardware: https://www.semianalysis.com/. Jon Y runs @Asianometry the worlds best YouTube channel on semiconductors and business history. * Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/dylan-jon * Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dylan-patel-jon-asianometry-how-the-semiconductor/id1516093381i=1000671564456 * Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/6q1XODE2L5bqqBwe7434S7si=seXQ6K_LQZeAV6776H6MhQ * Me on Twitter:"
YouTube Link 2024-10-02T14:59Z 1.2M followers, 354.7K engagements
"How hard is money laundering - Patrick McKenzie"
YouTube Link 2024-07-24T14:35Z 1.2M followers, 18M engagements
"How Much Will China Risk for Taiwan Sarah Paine (Naval War College) Full Episode: https://youtu.be/YcVSgYz5SJ8 (October 2023) Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/sarah-paine Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sarah-c-m-paine-how-xi-putin-think-maritime-vs-continental/id1516093381i=1000630184469 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/073V9sl5GLf7R0JlMSFdK7si=Z3Eu2BZiQiCe1rDINzCZDQ Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp"
YouTube Link 2024-03-12T16:00Z 1.2M followers, 2.1M engagements
"How to Wreck a Nation - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-05-12T17:58Z 1.2M followers, 5.8M engagements
"The Greatest Tragedy in Human History - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-02-14T19:30Z 1.2M followers, 6.9M engagements
"The Neighbors Russia Erased From History - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-31T21:06Z 1.2M followers, 951.6K engagements
"Mark Zuckerberg AI will write most Meta code in [--] months Zuck on: * Llama [--] benchmark gaming open vs source * Intelligence explosion business models for AGI * DeepSeek/China export controls & Trump * Orion glasses AI relationships and not getting reward-hacking by our tech * Transcript: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/mark-zuckerberg-2 * Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dwarkesh-podcast/id1516093381i=1000705423020 * Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7Brv4vg9P8a8CNvAN5UsMvsi=d548a8aef39e4b65 * Scale is building the infrastructure for safer smarter AI. Scales Data"
YouTube Link 2025-04-29T16:07Z 1.2M followers, 358.8K engagements
"How Russia Missed the Plastics Revolution - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-26T21:41Z 1.2M followers, 3M engagements
"Soviet Supermarkets - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-18T20:31Z 1.2M followers, 3M engagements
"Fascism - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-10-07T16:28Z 1.2M followers, 2M engagements
"Some thoughts on the Sutton interview I have a much better understanding of Suttons perspective now. I wanted to reflect on it a bit. Read the transcript here: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-sutton TIMESTAMPS 00:00:00 The steelman 00:02:42 TLDR of my current thoughts 00:03:22 Imitation learning is continuous with and complementary to RL 00:08:26 Continual learning 00:10:31 Concluding thoughts"
YouTube Link 2025-10-04T17:49Z 1.2M followers, 107.7K engagements
"Why German U-Boats Never Stood a Chance - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-22T21:19Z 1.2M followers, 1.6M engagements
"What Communists Won't Tell You Sarah Paine #history #coldwar #russia #ussr"
YouTube Link 2025-01-25T18:02Z 1.2M followers, 4.9M engagements
"How bad strategy caused millions of deaths in WWI - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2024-07-23T03:00Z 1.2M followers, 5.1M engagements
"The Secret Weapon That Ended The Cold War - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-03T15:20Z 1.2M followers, 963.8K engagements
"The Consequences of Xi's Death"
YouTube Link 2025-05-29T17:01Z 1.2M followers, 9.6M engagements
"The Biggest Problem With Starship - Elon Musk"
YouTube Link 2026-02-09T17:45Z 1.2M followers, 32.5K engagements
"Gorbachev's Biggest Mistake - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-13T16:30Z 1.2M followers, 941.5K engagements
"How China Betrayed India - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-05-15T16:40Z 1.2M followers, 12.3M engagements
"The ancient humans who wiped out 90% of Europeans David Reich"
YouTube Link 2024-09-02T19:17Z 1.2M followers, 13.7M engagements
"Leopold Aschenbrenner [----] AGI China/US super-intelligence race & the return of history Chatted with my friend Leopold Aschenbrenner about the trillion dollar cluster unhobblings + scaling = [----] AGI CCP espionage at AI labs leaving OpenAI and starting an AGI investment firm dangers of outsourcing clusters to the Middle East & The Project. Read the new essay series from Leopold this episode is based on here: https://situational-awareness.ai/ * Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/leopold-aschenbrenner * Apple Podcasts:"
YouTube Link 2024-06-04T16:00Z 1.2M followers, 363.6K engagements
"Why the Soviet Economy Collapsed - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-11-17T16:14Z 1.2M followers, 1.6M engagements
"Why Fully Autonomous Businesses Will Win - Elon Musk"
YouTube Link 2026-02-07T18:56Z 1.2M followers, 24.3K engagements
"Sam Bankman-Fried - Crypto FTX Altruism & Leadership I flew to the Bahamas to interview Sam Bankman-Fried the CEO of FTX He talks about FTXs plan to infiltrate traditional finance giving $100m this year to AI + pandemic risk scaling slowly + hiring A-players and much more. Episode website + Transcript: https://dwarkeshpatel.com/p/sbf Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3KxGOFI Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3B11Vgv Follow me on Twitter for updates on future episodes: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp Unfortunately audio quality abruptly drops from 17:50-19:15 TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Preview 01:03 How"
YouTube Link 2022-07-05T06:55Z 1.2M followers, 18.2K engagements
"Andrej Karpathy on AI's Cognitive Deficits"
YouTube Link 2025-10-21T22:58Z 1.2M followers, 56.2K engagements
"How China Fell as the Dominant Civilization - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-08-01T16:34Z 1.2M followers, 3.5M engagements
"Hitler as a General vs Western Generals in WW2"
YouTube Link 2024-03-01T18:00Z 1.2M followers, 25.7M engagements
"The Most Complex Machine Ever Built - Elon Musk"
YouTube Link 2026-02-05T17:07Z 1.2M followers, 26.7K engagements
"How Hitler could have won #ww2 #podcast"
YouTube Link 2023-10-05T15:00Z 1.2M followers, 2.7M engagements
"Japan's Fatal Mistake in WW2 - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-08-26T20:20Z 1.2M followers, 926.7K engagements
"Stalin Had More Power Than Hitler or Mao - Stephen Kotkin"
YouTube Link 2025-07-13T17:12Z 1.2M followers, 167.8K engagements
"Why Solar Isnt Scaling Fast - Elon Musk"
YouTube Link 2026-02-06T19:43Z 1.2M followers, 32.1K engagements
"Stalin's EQ was off the charts Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-11-16T15:45Z 1.2M followers, 1.7M engagements
"Russia Did Everything Wrong and Expected Gratitude - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-15T17:54Z 1.2M followers, 531.5K engagements
"The Trillion-Dollar Opportunity of AI Workers - Elon Musk"
YouTube Link 2026-02-05T21:15Z 1.2M followers, 19.6K engagements
"Why next-token prediction is enough for AGI - Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) Full episode: https://youtu.be/Yf1o0TQzry8 Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/ilya-sutskever Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/42H6c4D Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3LRqOBd Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp Descript Descript"
YouTube Link 2023-12-13T16:00Z 1.2M followers, 217.1K engagements
"Black Death changed Europe's demographics - David Reich"
YouTube Link 2024-09-04T22:18Z 1.2M followers, 889.1K engagements
"How China Cracked Down on Tech Elite"
YouTube Link 2025-07-14T16:30Z 1.2M followers, 2M engagements
"The Decision That Ended East Germany - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-15T18:23Z 1.2M followers, 720.8K engagements
"China's Forgotten Civil War - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-12-01T19:20Z 1.2M followers, 845.2K engagements
"How Unfair was WW2 Lend Lease Aid - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-20T18:55Z 1.2M followers, 2.6M engagements
"Why Japan Had Only [--] Years to Build an Empire - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-08-29T20:43Z 1.2M followers, 1.4M engagements
"How WW2 Ruined Japan's Greatest Achievement - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-07-24T17:15Z 1.2M followers, 6.6M engagements
"Why Stalin Looks Genius in Hindsight - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-10-30T21:39Z 1.2M followers, 477.1K engagements
"The Strategy That Turned Japan Into a Superpower - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-11-20T15:35Z 1.2M followers, 3.7M engagements
"How Japan Defeated Russia Despite Being Outnumbered - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-09-02T21:58Z 1.2M followers, 4.6M engagements
"Building an Elevator to Outer Space Adam Brown"
YouTube Link 2025-01-08T17:05Z 1.2M followers, 23.1M engagements
"Why I dont think AGI is right around the corner I wrote this blog post after some of my recent AI interviews where I was thinking through why I disagreed with their especially bullish projections. If you want to read the original post you can check it out here: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/timelines-june-2025. And subscribe to my blog if you want to see how I'm personally thinking through the topics I interview people about on the podcast: https://www.dwarkesh.com/ 00:00:00 Continual Learning 00:08:06 Computer Use 00:11:27 Reasoning 00:12:45 So what are my predictions 00:16:21 Dwarkesh.com"
YouTube Link 2025-08-01T17:47Z 1.2M followers, 193.2K engagements
"Mao the Feminist Dictator - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-02-25T18:00Z 1.2M followers, 2.8M engagements
"How Putin stole Pakistan's nuclear weapons strategy From my conversation with Richard Rhodes historian and author of "The Making of the Atomic Bomb." Watch the full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watchv=tMdMiYsfHKo Or read the transcript here: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/richard-rhodes Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3oBack9 Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3S5g2YK"
YouTube Link 2023-09-14T15:00Z 1.2M followers, 362.4K engagements
"How India and Pakistan Got the Bomb"
YouTube Link 2024-06-23T00:00Z 1.2M followers, 6.7M engagements
"Why LLMs might fail to become intelligent Excerpt from my conversation with Dario Amodei CEO of Anthropic. Watch the full episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/Nlkk3glap_U Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3oBack9 Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3S5g2YK"
YouTube Link 2023-08-13T11:35Z 1.2M followers, 12.5K engagements
"The VCR That Revealed the Truth About Communism - Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2026-01-18T21:30Z 1.2M followers, 695.5K engagements
"What Determines Global Power Sarah Paine"
YouTube Link 2025-07-31T18:07Z 1.2M followers, 1.6M engagements
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