@waterboystocks Avatar @waterboystocks waterboy

No specific company named "Waterboy" appears in the provided tweets. However, various stocks are being discussed, including $TAP, $DEO, $CRGB, $CLDT, $CVNA, $CMCSA, $KHC, $BBWI, and $MCK, with topics ranging from share buybacks, dividend yields, and CEO actions. Several write-ups are also mentioned on Substack.

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Social Influence

Social category influence finance 48.15% stocks 45.37% technology brands 6.48% cryptocurrencies 4.63% fashion brands 3.7% automotive brands 1.85% countries 1.85% financial services 0.93%

Social topic influence market 11.11%, market cap 11.11%, stocks 11.11%, cash flow 10.19%, flow 10.19%, debt 6.48%, dividend 5.56%, share 5.56%, ceo 5.56%, $psix 5.56%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @joinyellowbrick @johnhuber72 @brownmarubozu @leevalueroach @valuestalker @joshlacey33 @johnhuber72s @atelicinvest @recoverytrade @anomaly_invest @mzakaria @aportnoi1 @the_pro_invest @dismassetbkd @danielseyde

Top assets mentioned Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Steven Madden Ltd (SHOO) SR Bancorp, Inc. (SRBK) Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) Carvana Co. (CVNA) AMREP Corporation (AXR) Falcon Finance (FF) PVH Corp (PVH) Sirius XM Holdings Inc (SIRI) Constellation Brands, Inc. Class A (STZ) Presidio Property Trust, Inc. (SQFT) Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) Culp, Inc. (CULP) Mosaic Co (MOS) CarMax, Inc (KMX) PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Coca-Cola Co (KO) Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) Doug The Duck (DOUG) Davita Inc (DVA) Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A) Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc (ARE) Fastenal Company (FAST) Spotify Technology (SPOT)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"$LMNR -- "Pursuant to the Transaction Incentive Agreements Messrs. Edwards and Hamm will be eligible to receive cash and restricted share awards (Restricted Shares) totaling five percent (5%) and three percent (3%) respectively of profits on asset sales or development earnings (the PPP Bonuses) received from the sale of certain land or water assets of the Company or real estate development earnings after the date of the Transaction Incentive Agreements through October [--] [----]. The Transaction Incentive Agreements are intended to encourage Messrs. Edwards and Hamm to continue to transition the"
X Link 2026-02-06T04:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

""In connection with Mr. Hamms new position he will receive a base salary of $350000. His existing transaction bonus agreement will also be amended to align with the terms of Mr. Palamountains transaction bonus agreement such that it will provide for a base amount of $2225000 (the Transaction Bonus) provided that the price per share of common stock received in qualifying transactions is at least equal to $28.00 per share (the Base Share Price). Mr. Hamms Transaction Bonus will increase for any increase in share price above the Base Share Price in $0.25 increments up to but not including $40.00"
X Link 2026-02-06T04:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"link: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/concentration-squared https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/concentration-squared"
X Link 2026-02-08T02:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$LGL market cap is $37 million. Cash on the balance sheet is $42 million. No debt. Mario and Marc Gabelli own nearly 40% of shares outstanding. Gabelli Funds another 8.5%. On Dec. [--] [----] Mario Gabelli purchased [-----] shares at $4.75 ($453088). Current price is $6.68"
X Link 2026-02-05T17:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Saber Q4 [----] 13F"
X Link 2026-02-15T04:34Z [----] followers, 54.3K engagements

"https://open.substack.com/pub/waterboystocks/p/an-actuarial-approachr=6wst38&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/waterboystocks/p/an-actuarial-approachr=6wst38&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-14T22:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Berkshire operating companies and founding dates Earliest Founding: [----] (Fechheimer) Median Year: [----] Company -- Founding Date Insurance & Financials GEICO -- [----] Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group -- [----] (Start of BH Insurance) General Re -- [----] Berkshire Hathaway Direct (THREE) -- [----] BH Homestate Companies -- [----] BH Specialty (BHSI) -- [----] GUARD Insurance Companies -- [----] MedPro Group -- [----] MLMIC Insurance Companies -- [----] National Indemnity Primary Group -- [----] RSUI -- [----] CapSpecialty -- [----] TransRe Group -- [----] United States Liability Insurance (USLI) -- [----] Central"
X Link 2026-02-16T00:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SHOO write-up "Steve Madden trades for 8.93x earnings (trailing) and offers a 3.52% dividend yield. 3G Capital recently acquired Skechers for 15x earnings." https://waterboyinvesting.substack.com/p/steven-madden-ltd https://waterboyinvesting.substack.com/p/steven-madden-ltd"
X Link 2025-05-12T15:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Presidio Property Trust $SQFT is down 91.46% from its peak sporting a $5.3 million market cap and a $99.5 million enterprise value (levered [----] to 1). Maybe a smaller activist fund could liquidate and turn a nice profit"
X Link 2025-06-26T02:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SRBK trades at 0.78x TBV per share -- "Share buybacks insider buys even hedge funds like Mangrove and Stilwell Value are buying the stock. Its a buying frenzy Now when does SRBK get bought" https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/srbk https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/srbk"
X Link 2025-08-12T18:52Z [----] followers, 10.9K engagements

"$AVBC $MKZR -- "Insider: Robert D. Cozzone CEO Trade: Bought $49999 (3436 shares @ $14.55) Ownership: +76% Company: Avidia Bancorp Inc. (AVBC) Market Cap: $294.12 million Avidia better than Nvidia" https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/avbc-mkzr https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/avbc-mkzr"
X Link 2025-08-15T21:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$CVNA Stock is up about 80% since Hindenburg's short report in January. Subpoenaed by the SEC in June. Subprime auto delinquencies are climbing. Trades at lofty multiples of manipulated earnings. Write-up on substack: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/carvana https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/carvana"
X Link 2025-10-08T17:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The Right Stuff Why Walter Schloss Is Such a Great Investor (February [--] 1985) -- It's called Potlatch and it's a timber company out on the West Coast. It's not spectacular but it's got a lot of timber and I think the timber's worth a lot more than the market price of the stock. Now that's something you have to look at the figures for see how much money they put back into these plants and so forth. One of the drawbacks to it from some people's point of view is that management owns about 40% of the stock. So a lot of people say Oh I don't want that; it can't be taken over. But on the other"
X Link 2025-12-14T20:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Some stocks that are cheap relative to tangible book value $AXR $BRID $CLW $CULP $FF $HLX $IMKT.A $IPI $JAKK $MOS $LMNR $CLDT $SGA $ARE $STRS"
X Link 2026-01-06T03:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CNVA is up 139.87% on the year. $KMX is down 42.3% on the year. $CVNA Stock is up about 80% since Hindenburg's short report in January. Subpoenaed by the SEC in June. Subprime auto delinquencies are climbing. Trades at lofty multiples of manipulated earnings. Write-up on substack: https://t.co/eFGePPM1z7 https://t.co/yabLSYvwjR $CVNA Stock is up about 80% since Hindenburg's short report in January. Subpoenaed by the SEC in June. Subprime auto delinquencies are climbing. Trades at lofty multiples of manipulated earnings. Write-up on substack: https://t.co/eFGePPM1z7 https://t.co/yabLSYvwjR"
X Link 2026-01-09T23:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@JohnHuber72 @BrownMarubozu @leevalueroach ValueLine snapshot of Apple in [----] when Buffett was buying. 11x trailing earnings"
X Link 2026-01-18T21:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Burry on 8/2/1998 @ 4:08:00 PM -- "I agree on Fastenal. It is on my 'Buffett watch' list but I'm worried about it's relatively short history (short in Buffett terms that is). So I'm waiting on it. Anyone looking at Fair Isaac This looks to me like a Buffet company with Buffett qualities. It's been on my list for [--] mos now but I'm waiting for a Buffett-like price/return estimate. Mike" https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014175978910810189 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014175978910810189"
X Link 2026-01-22T03:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"this doubled sell -- https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/steven-madden-ltd $SHOO write-up https://t.co/6eMiaM7LvN. "Steve Madden trades for 8.93x earnings (trailing) and offers a 3.52% dividend yield. 3G Capital recently acquired Skechers for 15x earnings." https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/steven-madden-ltd $SHOO write-up https://t.co/6eMiaM7LvN. "Steve Madden trades for 8.93x earnings (trailing) and offers a 3.52% dividend yield. 3G Capital recently acquired Skechers for 15x earnings.""
X Link 2026-01-25T15:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Two apparel stocks that Im adding to my watchlist: $GIII and $PVH https://open.substack.com/pub/waterboystocks/p/two-apparel-stocks-that-im-addingr=32epni&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/waterboystocks/p/two-apparel-stocks-that-im-addingr=32epni&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-01-26T23:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$PVH Delivering on its commitment under the PVH+ Plan to return excess cash to stockholders the Company repurchased [---] million shares of its common stock for $561 million in the first quarter through accelerated share repurchase (ASR) agreements and open market purchases. During the third quarter of [----] the ASR agreements were settled and the Company received an additional [---] million shares of its common stock bringing the total shares repurchased to [---] million for the first nine months of [----]. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015941790994710770"
X Link 2026-01-27T00:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Pzena Investment Mgmt which has been specializing in deep value since [----] and owns 13.7% of $PVH $PVH Delivering on its commitment under the PVH+ Plan to return excess cash to stockholders the Company repurchased [---] million shares of its common stock for $561 million in the first quarter through accelerated share repurchase (ASR) agreements and open market purchases. $PVH Delivering on its commitment under the PVH+ Plan to return excess cash to stockholders the Company repurchased [---] million shares of its common stock for $561 million in the first quarter through accelerated share"
X Link 2026-01-27T00:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CLW seems like a Schloss stock. Schloss actually bought Potlatch in [--] and Clearwater was spun off from them in [--]. Clearwater trades at 0.36x book value. Debt jumped to $50 million in Q2 and now accounts for 50% of equity. Id like that lower given the low quality of earnings and lack of insider ownership/buying. But I do like their debt trend. CLW acquired a mill from Graphic Packaging for $700 million sold its consumer products division to Sodifel for $1.1 billion and used the $850 million of net proceeds to paydown debt. Now theyre a pure paperboard manufacturer an attractive acquisition"
X Link 2026-01-27T22:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$PYPL is down 84.5% over the past five years. Market cap is $39.0 billion. Free cash flow last year was $6.2 billion. Share buybacks totaled $6.1 billion. $PLTR is up 363.7% over the past five years. Market cap is $376.1 billion. Free cash flow last year was $449.6 million. Net share issuance totaled $627.4 million last year. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018909381803528289 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018909381803528289"
X Link 2026-02-04T04:48Z [----] followers, 53K engagements

"Great points thanks for sharing. I agree that was a very backward-looking post and the future is certainly all that matters. I don't understand either business but think it is intersting PayPal's market cap is 1/8 that of Palantir's. It's similar to $CVNA and $KMX $SPOT and $SIRI https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019104662948069584 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019104662948069584"
X Link 2026-02-04T17:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Below is an interesting article explaining the games asset managers life insurance and retirement businesses are playing to juice their returns on equity. The influx of private equity into the U.S. life insurance and annuity market has altered what has traditionally been viewed as the safe and secure sector of the financial marketplace. In this new era U.S. life insurersmainly acquired by or partnered with private equity firmshave progressively shifted risk offshore primarily to Bermuda in the initial years. Although regulators and credit rating agencies have issued quiet warnings some astute"
X Link 2026-02-05T00:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$HNNA is a small asset manager with a $80 million market and $47 million enterprise value. $4.3 billion in AUM. Trailing EBIT of $13.2 million so trading at 3.5x EV/EBIT. CEO owns 26% of shares outstanding. $DHIL is set to be acquired by First Eagle for around 9x EV/EBIT"
X Link 2026-02-05T02:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$MCS owns [--] theatres and [---] screens across [--] states as well as [--] hotels. Stock is down about a third on the year. Market cap is $465 million and enterprise value is $800 million. Gross property and equipment is $1.5 billion. Of the [--] theaters $MCS owns 68% of the real estate beneath them. This segment produced roughly $80 million in EBITDA last year and the hotels $40 million. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019261059610341874 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019261059610341874"
X Link 2026-02-05T04:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$NEN great write up here -- "The portfolio consists of [----] apartment units [--] condos and about [------] square feet of commercial space. It is concentrated in Eastern Massachusetts with one property in Southern New Hampshire." "The JV portfolio includes [---] apartment units [-----] square feet of commercial space and a 50-car parking lot. NERAs affiliate The Hamilton Company serves as property manager for the portfolio and joint venture investments." "With $564 million of net debt (including unconsolidated JV net debt) and a $242 million market cap NERA trades at a 7.5% cap rate on my 2026"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$NVDA $AAPL $MSFT $AMZN $GOOG $META $TSLA make up 33% of the S&P [---]. The wealthiest 1% owns 50% of the stock market and the top decile owns 90%. This decile also accounts for 50% of consumer spending roughly 35% of GDP. Stocks go up confidence rises and spending follows so stocks go up. At some point this cycle will flip. S&P 500: [----] -- Shiller ratio is 40x so $170 of cyclically adjusted earnings. Capitalize this figure at 16x (long-term median) and the S&P 500's fair value is [----]. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019537384485036487 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019537384485036487"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$AXR insider buy"
X Link 2026-02-13T07:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"ValueLines Lowest P/Es list (01/23/26) Out: Matador Resources Ziff Davis Meritage Homes TRI Pointe Homes Asbury Automotive. In: MGIC Investment Synchrony Financial Apogee Enterprises MetLife Kemper Corp"
X Link 2026-01-24T04:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Portfolio holdings Oldest: American Express (1850) Median Founding Year: [----] Apple (AAPL) [----] American Express (AXP) [----] Coca-Cola (KO) [----] Bank of America (BAC) [----] Chevron (CVX) [----] Occidental Pete (OXY) [----] Moodys (MCO) [----] Chubb (CB) [----] Kraft Heinz (KHC) [----] Mitsubishi (Japan) [----] Mitsui & Co (Japan) [----] Alphabet (GOOGL) [----] Itochu (Japan) [----] DaVita (DVA) [----] Marubeni (Japan) [----] Sumitomo (Japan) [----] Kroger (KR) [----] Sirius XM (SIRI) [----] Visa (V) [----] Verisign (VRSN) [----] Mastercard (MA) [----] Amazon (AMZN) [----] Constellation (STZ) [----] UnitedHealth (UNH) [----] Capital"
X Link 2026-02-16T00:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$SRBK buyback announcement. Trades at 0.64x BV. John Huber of Saber Capital has written about the stock here -- https://basehitinvesting.substack.com/p/a-gem-of-a-thrift-conversion $SRBK Stock Buybacks: On July [--] [----] SR Bancorp Inc. announced a stock repurchase program allowing the company to buy back up to 10% of its outstanding shares which amounts to [------] shares. https://t.co/5KpMszOuBV https://basehitinvesting.substack.com/p/a-gem-of-a-thrift-conversion $SRBK Stock Buybacks: On July [--] [----] SR Bancorp Inc. announced a stock repurchase program allowing the company to buy back up to 10%"
X Link 2025-07-08T20:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FF with some insider buying"
X Link 2025-07-09T00:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$ONL "Board Determined Proposal Significantly Undervalues the Company and is Not in the Best Interests of Orion and its Stockholders" -- https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250709082078/en/Orion-Properties-Board-of-Directors-Unanimously-Rejects-Unsolicited-Proposal-from-Kawa-Capital-Management https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250709082078/en/Orion-Properties-Board-of-Directors-Unanimously-Rejects-Unsolicited-Proposal-from-Kawa-Capital-Management"
X Link 2025-07-10T17:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$SQFT up 194.52% today Presidio Property Trust $SQFT is down 91.46% from its peak sporting a $5.3 million market cap and a $99.5 million enterprise value (levered [----] to 1). Maybe a smaller activist fund could liquidate and turn a nice profit. https://t.co/P8Lween0It Presidio Property Trust $SQFT is down 91.46% from its peak sporting a $5.3 million market cap and a $99.5 million enterprise value (levered [----] to 1). Maybe a smaller activist fund could liquidate and turn a nice profit. https://t.co/P8Lween0It"
X Link 2025-07-14T17:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CNC write-up: The stock nearly halved in a single day and now returns are red for the decade. Irrational selling has spat some ultra-depressed valuation metrics. In [----] net investment earnings were $1.08 billion so shares are effectively being offered at [--] times trailing earnings excluding the managed care business. Also Centenes five-year average free cash flow is $4 billion. Plugging that as the denominator the stock trades at an enterprise value/free cash flow multiple of [---]. Note: In Q4 [----] David Einhorn (Greenlight) Bill Nygren (Oakmark) and Lee Ainslie (Maverick) were buying shares"
X Link 2025-07-17T15:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$KHC $LKQ $OLN $WPP $GTIM A journal entry of some depressed stocks "What about paying for KHC today For $33.94 billion you get $3.7 billion of earnings that are likely to drag though a fat 5.58% dividend awaits. KHC nibbles on their stock too. Plus theres speculation of a breakup. Supposedly KHC wants to spin off its grocery business and retain its flagship sauces and spreads. Because as of late Mars and Ferrero acquired Kellanova and WK Kellogg for [----] and [----] times trailing earnings. A galaxy away from KHCs 9.2x multiple." https://waterboyinvesting.substack.com/p/stock-block"
X Link 2025-07-28T17:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$HLX $SIRI A couple of stocks in the dog house -- "Small caps valued at a fraction of their book are often crummy businesses saddled with debt and shoddy management. Helix is a rare exception." https://open.substack.com/pub/waterboystocks/p/siri-hlxr=32epni&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://open.substack.com/pub/waterboystocks/p/siri-hlxr=32epni&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web"
X Link 2025-08-04T17:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$BRK.A loading more $SIRI $HLX $SIRI A couple of stocks in the dog house -- https://t.co/uEmdn8dJ3A "Small caps valued at a fraction of their book are often crummy businesses saddled with debt and shoddy management. Helix is a rare exception." $HLX $SIRI A couple of stocks in the dog house -- https://t.co/uEmdn8dJ3A "Small caps valued at a fraction of their book are often crummy businesses saddled with debt and shoddy management. Helix is a rare exception.""
X Link 2025-08-05T03:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"-- $CFND $LUMN $BRBR -- "Listed above are the cluster buys from last Friday filed post market. Loosely defined a cluster buy is a purchase from multiple insiders on the same day or over consecutive days." https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/cfnd-lumn-brbr https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/cfnd-lumn-brbr"
X Link 2025-08-18T15:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Farris Wilks a billion-dollar oil baron is rocking out with a $10 million purchase of $ACDC. The stock nearly halved last week"
X Link 2025-08-18T19:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CCEL nano cap purchases"
X Link 2025-08-20T02:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Q2 Gate City buys $BTU $IMKTA $DOUG"
X Link 2025-08-20T02:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Malone $GLIBK"
X Link 2025-08-21T13:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$CROX $SHOO https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/crox-shoo https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/crox-shoo"
X Link 2025-08-21T13:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@ValueStalker you might like $SRBK -- https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/srbk https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/srbk"
X Link 2025-08-21T22:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$PSIX might be a Chinese pump and dump -- https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/psix https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/psix"
X Link 2025-08-22T18:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$WU CEO McGranahan Buys $1.5 Million of Shares"
X Link 2025-08-25T20:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ALSN COO Bohley Buys $265500 of Shares"
X Link 2025-08-25T20:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$PSIX Weichai America Sells $3.48 million of Shares"
X Link 2025-08-25T21:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CXI trades at an EV/EBITDA (LTM) of 1.65x and an EV/FCF (using a trailing three-year average) of 1.84x. Insiders are buying and they just announced an approval to repurchase 10% of float"
X Link 2025-08-25T23:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$STZ -- Breaking to new lows. Trades at 13.7x free cash flow. They're cutting wine spirits brands and focusing on Modelo Corona and Pacifico. Beer operating income has grown at 6% 8% and 10% in [----] [----] and [----] respectively. Berkshire owns 7.6% of shares out"
X Link 2025-08-26T17:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@joshlacey33 @JohnHuber72's piece "Thoughts on Ben Graham's 'Unpopular Large Caps': A Still-Effective Strategy" might have you think differently about large-caps. https://basehitinvesting.substack.com/p/thoughts-on-ben-grahams-unpopular https://basehitinvesting.substack.com/p/thoughts-on-ben-grahams-unpopular"
X Link 2025-08-26T19:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$PSIX another sale for $7.7 million"
X Link 2025-08-26T20:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$PSIX another day another dump"
X Link 2025-08-27T18:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$PSIX Weichai with another $4.6 million #PumpAndDump"
X Link 2025-08-27T23:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$PSIX Weichai sells another $7.83 million. Insiders have sold $92.3 million of stock within the last month"
X Link 2025-08-28T21:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$VIX -- https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/it-takes-two-to-contango https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/it-takes-two-to-contango"
X Link 2025-08-29T15:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$STZ drifted lower this week. Wrote about it some here: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/fiesta-con-berkshire $STZ -- Breaking to new lows. Trades at 13.7x free cash flow. They're cutting wine spirits brands and focusing on Modelo Corona and Pacifico. Beer operating income has grown at 6% 8% and 10% in [----] [----] and [----] respectively. Berkshire owns 7.6% of shares out. https://t.co/FSglSMF4ky https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/fiesta-con-berkshire $STZ -- Breaking to new lows. Trades at 13.7x free cash flow. They're cutting wine spirits brands and focusing on Modelo Corona and"
X Link 2025-09-04T14:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Burry bought a good chunk of $LULU last quarter but he's probably exited the position by now. He usually buys a stock within 10% to 15% of a [--] week low and sells if it breaks to a new one. Write up here: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/burry-shopped-50000-shares-of-lulu https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/burry-shopped-50000-shares-of-lulu"
X Link 2025-09-08T18:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ELV Trades at 11x free cash flow. Share count has shrunk by 8.5% over the last [--] months and $8 billion remains on the current authorization (11% of market cap). CEO bought $2.4 million of stock in July. Seth Klarman is buying as well"
X Link 2025-09-12T16:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$STZ -- Now at $140 trading at a roughly 8% free cash flow yield. Berkshire is likely buying some more here. $STZ -- Breaking to new lows. Trades at 13.7x free cash flow. They're cutting wine spirits brands and focusing on Modelo Corona and Pacifico. Beer operating income has grown at 6% 8% and 10% in [----] [----] and [----] respectively. Berkshire owns 7.6% of shares out. https://t.co/FSglSMF4ky $STZ -- Breaking to new lows. Trades at 13.7x free cash flow. They're cutting wine spirits brands and focusing on Modelo Corona and Pacifico. Beer operating income has grown at 6% 8% and 10% in [----] 2023"
X Link 2025-09-12T17:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Marc Rowan Shows Mercy to Fraudster $APO Capital Group's Casey Gets Orange-Pilled $MSTR & Berkshire's Davita $DVA Substack: https://open.substack.com/pub/waterboystocks/p/marc-rowan-shows-mercy-to-fraudsterr=32epni&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/waterboystocks/p/marc-rowan-shows-mercy-to-fraudsterr=32epni&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2025-09-15T20:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

""I write 'Madoff-like' because the CCFLX has booked [--] positive months out of [--] for a 96% hit rate. Madoffs Fairfield Century Fund only had [---] positive months out of its entire [---] months for an inferior 92%." Substack: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/a-bone-to-pik-with-private-credit https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/a-bone-to-pik-with-private-credit"
X Link 2025-09-17T17:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Managed care stocks have made the rounds among the value crowd but what about the providers $DVA Operates in a duopoly. Trades at 7x trailing free cash flow. Repurchased $1.4 billion of stock last year with $2.5 billion on the current program. $BRK owns 45%. Weschler owns 3%"
X Link 2025-09-17T21:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$RICK -- Adam Wyden's Strip Club Bet https://waterboystocks.substack.com/ https://waterboystocks.substack.com/"
X Link 2025-09-19T17:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$JAKK Toy manufacturer with a $200 million market cap. Stock is off about 50% from its 52-week high. Trades at an EV/EBITDA of 3.83x (trailing) and an EV/FCF of 5.53x with a 5.56% divvy to boot. Balance sheet is good. Write-up on Substack: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/ https://waterboystocks.substack.com/"
X Link 2025-09-22T16:40Z [----] followers, 18.6K engagements

"$TAP Fifth largest brewery in the world with a $8.5 billion market cap. Stock is down 31% from its 52-week high. Trades at 6.4x free cash flow. Dividend yield is 4.26%. Net debt/EBITDA is down to 2.5x. Share buybacks are ramping. Write up on Substack: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/molson-coors https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/molson-coors"
X Link 2025-09-24T16:14Z [----] followers, 60.2K engagements

"In his recent Bloomberg article long-time $BRK.B investor Guy Spier writes "For [--] years my advantage as an investor was painstaking research. AI just made it worthless." I wrote about his views on Substack: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/guy-spier-is-bullish-on-ai https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/guy-spier-is-bullish-on-ai"
X Link 2025-09-26T17:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$DEO has dropped about 60% from its highs in [----] and still trades at 20x free cash flow"
X Link 2025-09-29T00:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"From AVM's [----] investor presentation"
X Link 2025-09-29T17:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$CRGB Spun off from AIG in [----]. Share count is down 14.8% since then. Major buybacks coming. Trades at 0.88x adjusted book value and 8.7x trailing EPS. Harris Associates Pzena Hotchis & Wiley and Arbiter all own shares. I'm weary of the balance sheet and don't like the stock. Write-up on substack: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/corebridge-financial https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/corebridge-financial"
X Link 2025-10-01T17:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$MFC has sold $118 million of single-name CDS on corporate debt"
X Link 2025-10-01T21:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$BBWI Home fragrance and body care retailer that is down 37.9% from its 52-week high. Trades at 7-8x forward free cash flow. Debt has been reduced. Aggressive share repurchases. New CEO from $NKE. Write-up on Substack: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/bath-and-body-works https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/bath-and-body-works"
X Link 2025-10-03T16:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FC Leadership development company with a $247 million market cap and $216 million EV. Trades at an EV/FCF of 6x (trailing). Repurchased $8.3 million of stock last quarter"
X Link 2025-10-03T22:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

""Warren wants franchises and good businesses. We do too but were not willing to pay for them so we dont buy them. I guess we buy difficult businesses. As Warren would say he likes to row downstream and we like to row upstream." -- Walter Schloss (OID June [--] 1989)"
X Link 2025-10-05T08:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$DHIL Value-oriented asset manager with a $380 million market cap. Dividends and buybacks have averaged $56.2 million over the last three years around a 15% yield on today's price. Current div yield is 4.33% Write-up on substack: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/diamond-hill-investment-group https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/diamond-hill-investment-group"
X Link 2025-10-14T17:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"great site thanks @atelicinvest http://ticker-notes.com http://ticker-notes.com"
X Link 2025-10-15T17:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CLDT Hotel REIT with a $309.5 million market cap and a $765.6 million enterprise value way below its investment portfolios book value of $1.14 billion. Trades at a cap rate of 17.8%. Debt has decreased and they're starting to repurchase shares -- Link in bio for write-up"
X Link 2025-10-17T17:13Z [----] followers, 14.5K engagements

"@RecoveryTrade NOI/EV -- $136 million / $766 million. My qualm with $CLDT is that they authorized a $25 million buyback in May but have only repurchased $140000 of stock so far. The CEO also said on their last earnings call that they will ramp up buybacks just a little bit more"
X Link 2025-10-18T19:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$CMCSA Cable and media giant. Twenty-ninth largest company in the US by revenue. Stock is down 34% from its 52-week high. Market cap is $110 billion. Trades at 6.8x free cash flow. Dividend yield is 4.43%. Net debt/EBITDA is 2.64x. Large buybacks. Link to write up in bio"
X Link 2025-10-21T17:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CPHC $83.3 million market cap. Casino. Gate City owns 8.8%. Gabelli owns 11.2%. Black Diamond owns 16.8%. Insiders own 34%. Slot machines HHR or sports betting would improve valuation. Churchill Downs could acquire. Link in bio for write-up"
X Link 2025-10-24T16:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SGA is a radio broadcaster with an $80 million market cap and $60 million EV. Trades at 0.5x book value. Trailing free cash flow yield is 12.4%. Dividend yield is 8%. Sold [--] towers for $10.7 million. Buyback inbound. Gate City owns 13.4%. Write up in bio"
X Link 2025-10-30T17:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$PLTR bundles operating and maintenance services (O&M) into subscription and license sales rather than conservatively accounting for them as separate obligations like Snowflake Workday Salesforce etc"
X Link 2025-11-14T20:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Gate City Q3 13F. New position in $JAKK. Fully exited $BSET $DOUG. Added to $ALCO $BTU $HTLD $IMKTA $CPHC $FF and sold $EVC $HLX $MOS $CULP $AXR $TG"
X Link 2025-11-15T01:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$INVE is a net-net with a catalyst. Trades at $3.25 with fully diluted cash per share of $3.76. Small-cap activist Bradley Radoff owns 9.8% of shares and is pushing for a take-private. Write up: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/identivutm_source=activity_item https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/identivutm_source=activity_item"
X Link 2025-11-20T18:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$LMNR is an agribusiness and land development company with a $250 million market cap. Net asset value is around $600 million. Peter Nolan former managing partner at Leonard & Green owns 6.1% of the company. Write-up: https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/limoneira https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/limoneira"
X Link 2025-12-04T20:53Z [----] followers, 11.3K engagements

"$STRS -- https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/stratus-propertiesutm_source=activity_item https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/stratus-propertiesutm_source=activity_item"
X Link 2026-01-22T22:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Burry on shorting $KO-- 4/18/1997 @ 10:24:00 AM "What's there to understand about Coke The business is a KISS model. This gets to my value/short strategy. When people start claiming a business deserves a special valuation above all reasonable fundamental analysis (because of the "franchise" because there's so little institutional ownership for a big cap growth stock because Buffett's in it because global expansion will provide endless opportunity because ROE is so damned high because it's nearly a monopoly because Buffett's in it.) that's a short IMO.""
X Link 2026-01-27T07:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Burry 3/3/1998 5:31:00 PM In value investing as defined by its two greatest practitioners Graham and Buffett there are two main methods of finding undervaluation - looking at the present and looking way beyond Wall Street to points 5+ years in the future. The key to knowing when to sell is to know why you bought. If you bought based on an undervaluation of the company's current situation a la Graham then you should look to sell when fair valuation is approached. You should gladly give up any further momentum-driven appreciation. If you bought based on future expectations a la Buffett thenyou"
X Link 2026-01-29T22:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"When I make that statement of course I do not mean to lay down the inflexible rule that any company that gives you a sufficiently great margin in its past earnings can be regarded as having sound securities for investment. If the investor has occasion to be fearful of the future of such a company it is perfectly logical for him to obey his fears and pass on from that enterprise to some other security about which he is not so fearful. But the point I am making -- and I hope you can understand it -- is that in the selection of high-grade securities you start with a demand for an adequate"
X Link 2026-01-31T02:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"My basic conclusion is that investors as well as speculators must be prepared in their thinking and in their policy for wide price movements in either direction. They should not be taken in by soothing statements that a real investor doesnt have to worry about the fluctuations of the stock market. Graham https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017454201593597995 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017454201593597995"
X Link 2026-01-31T04:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

""The first [--] securities were owned prior to [----]. I don't have a record of them. The rest are stocks owned in the 1990's. Stocks were owned by Walter & Edwin Schloss Associates." https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5886cbc4a5790a5c18741c5a/t/669f37b82eb5af1a35bfa05f/1721710521163/schloss+-+list+of+stocks+-+january+2007.pdf https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5886cbc4a5790a5c18741c5a/t/669f37b82eb5af1a35bfa05f/1721710521163/schloss+-+list+of+stocks+-+january+2007.pdf"
X Link 2026-02-04T00:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ECRO https://cowboystatedaily.com/2024/09/13/kemmerer-coal-mine-operation-sold-to-southern-california-real-estate-company/ https://cowboystatedaily.com/2024/09/13/kemmerer-coal-mine-operation-sold-to-southern-california-real-estate-company/"
X Link 2025-04-16T03:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Dan Sundheim's Ten Year Stock Picks $SMNEY $CLH -- https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/dan-sundheims-ten-year-stock-picksutm_source=activity_item https://waterboystocks.substack.com/p/dan-sundheims-ten-year-stock-picksutm_source=activity_item"
X Link 2025-11-05T18:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Gate City thinks $IPI is worth $49.34 and it currently trades for $33.88 -- https://www.latticework.com/p/intrepid-potash-fertilizer-recovery https://www.latticework.com/p/intrepid-potash-fertilizer-recovery"
X Link 2026-01-23T04:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

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