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@truflation Avatar @truflation Truflation

Truflation has launched a new index providing real-time daily inflation tracking for the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) metric, which shapes US monetary policy. This index is powered by over XX million independently sourced price points, offering a faster and data-rich view of consumer price trends. Truflation's data is seen as more accurate and timely compared to the delayed and estimated BLS CPI data.

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Social Influence

Social category influence cryptocurrencies #567 finance #3370 countries XXXX% events XXXX% currencies #1274 travel destinations XXXX% fashion brands XXXX%

Social topic influence inflation #64, fomc #78, core 5.56%, all the 5%, chainlink #434, to the 4.44%, tariffs #289, federal reserve #522, the official 3.33%, liquidity #293

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @cpips23 @chainlink @blaqkingx @hfdbilly @shosho_406 @trufnetwork @arihbari @therealsrust @stocklnvestment @jarrydpret @realejantoni @iohewifh5934 @michailda8 @kalshi @amitisinvesting @kobeissiletter @nicktimiraos @stockmktnewz @ovgnft @cascade_43

Top assets mentioned Chainlink (LINK) TRUF.Network (TRUF) Bitcoin (BTC) USDC (USDC)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"@EFDevcon @chainlink If you want to see us speak in Buenos Aires with @TRUFNETWORK @Suku_world and @NEX_Protocol come to Chainlink House at Devconnect free upon registration"
X Link 2025-11-17T18:10Z 125.6K followers, 5344 engagements

"🏦 The Fed Continues Cutting Rates and QT Ends The FOMC has announced a XX bps rate cut lowering the federal funds rate target range to XXXX %4.00 % in line with the XX % probability priced in before the meeting. Key highlights from the statement: ✦ Economic activity continues to expand at a moderate pace but job gains have slowed and unemployment has edged higher. ✦ Inflation has moved up since earlier in the year and remains somewhat elevated. ✦ The Committee noted that downside risks to employment have risen in recent months. ✦ The Fed will conclude its balance-sheet reduction (QT) on"
X Link 2025-10-29T18:14Z 125.6K followers, 30K engagements

"Today Truflation and @trufnetwork's team are on the ground at @Chainlink SmartCon event in NYC showcasing our solution for fair transparent financial settlements. This years SmartCon features many prominent speakers from the top financial institutions federal agencies and blockchain projects including Thomas Zschach from Swift Patrick Witt representing The White House and David Mills from the Federal Reserve Board among many others. We are pleased to be on this journey with Chainlink advancing onchain data adoption and educating policymakers and trendsetters at the highest level about"
X Link 2025-11-04T18:14Z 125.6K followers, 34.8K engagements

"Many of you asked for an alternative measure of employment especially in the absence of the official data during the shutdown. Today we are thrilled to announce the launch of the new Truflation Employment Index an independent real-time measure of the U.S. labor market now LIVE on the Truflation website. The Truflation Employment Index aggregates hiring and layoff activity from over XX public and commercial data sources providing a weekly snapshot of workforce expansion and contraction as it occurs. This release comes at a crucial time in U.S. history when the record-breaking government"
X Link 2025-11-07T15:12Z 125.6K followers, 55K engagements

"The first real trading strategy based on Truflation US Inflation data created in partnership with @quantammdefi and @chainlink newest CRE solution launches this November stay tuned"
X Link 2025-11-10T14:17Z 125.6K followers, 25.6K engagements

"Our team just hit the ground in Argentina where we will visit Devconnect @EFDevcon and @Chainlink House to talk the new trading strategies that use Truflation data"
X Link 2025-11-17T17:55Z 125.6K followers, 13.9K engagements

"Going now live with our AMA with @therealsrust Today we'll cover: - The BLS job reports vs our Employment Index - FOMC minutes - FOMC flying blind without the October Jobs data - New odds for the Dec interest rate cuts - Truflation competitive comparison with some of the other providers and why all this data is valuable"
X Link 2025-11-20T16:06Z 125.6K followers, 5963 engagements

"@unusual_whales Maybe that's why the continuing jobless claims haven't gone down for a few years now"
X Link 2025-11-26T23:51Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"Happy Thanksgiving everyone Don't forget the XX% discount on all Truflation data subscriptions. Stay informed and stay ahead of inflation and labor data. With subscriptions you get more granular data with deeper insights into the U.S. economy including headline CPI and PCE inflation broken down by categories and subcategories core goods and services. The premium data includes wider historical ranges various download options and APIs. You get a premium newsletter with important alerts and the BLS CPI predictions. And exclusive webinars where our data team is happy to answer all your questions."
X Link 2025-11-27T12:12Z 125.6K followers, 5089 engagements

"@WatcherGuru Good to zoom out sometimes"
X Link 2025-11-27T12:58Z 125.6K followers, 1530 engagements

"@RealEJAntoni We see this in our data as well. Goods inflation is up while Services inflation is down and stable for now. The prices of household durables daily items and furnishings are increasing"
X Link 2025-11-27T13:08Z 125.6K followers, 6629 engagements

"Tune in for our semiweekly AMA with our CEO @therealsrust Ask anything in the chat or comments"
X Link 2025-11-27T16:09Z 125.6K followers, 5604 engagements

"Thanksgiving Dinner X% less expensive according to Statista. Do you agree 🤔"
X Link 2025-11-27T17:36Z 125.6K followers, 11.8K engagements

"Will the Fed cut rates at the FOMC meeting on Dec 10"
X Link 2025-11-28T09:22Z 125.6K followers, 17.3K engagements

"Not sure what you mean by responsiveness. The above is our data so we don't calibrate it to the official delayed model at all. We do however predict the delayed BLS model and their headline CPI with XXXXX% accuracy by delaying our data by XX days and running regression analysis"
X Link 2025-11-29T01:14Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@KobeissiLetter Everyone tends to agree this week that we'll get at least 25bps cuts 🤔"
X Link 2025-11-29T01:16Z 125.6K followers, 2401 engagements

"@AshCrypto Our audiences agree overall but are a bit more optimistic about the XX bps"
X Link 2025-11-29T01:19Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@BestCryptoPlan We recently released an employement index and working on wider jobs index. We also have a new consumer sentiment but that last one goes back only X week for now. Stay tuned. For debt the US debt clock"
X Link 2025-11-29T18:58Z 125.6K followers, XX engagements

"@Stocklnvestment The answer is no. We continue to collect massive amounts of price data from commercial aggregators to calculate CPI"
X Link 2025-12-03T23:50Z 125.6K followers, XX engagements

"Markets seem to be adamant that it will happen and the Fed backpedalled a bit on their caustious initial stance with multiple officials speaking out for the cuts so we think it will happen unless the September PCE data tomorrow really rattles them. We see some uptrend so it could happen even with the BEA's 3-month old data"
X Link 2025-12-04T20:52Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@stanisloou it's not the first time either it kinda keeps the global liquidity in check supposedly Japan is in trouble but can't help think the central banks still coordinate a bit"
X Link 2025-12-05T00:31Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"It's been cooling for a while but now it's kind of picking up again. Given that our data have at least a 45-day lead on official inflation trends and up to 70-day lead when there are big fluctuations in prices we might still see more surges from the official data albeit their data is always more smoothered than ours"
X Link 2025-12-05T15:56Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@CryptoSocietyHQ @Coinvo @grok The fact that only one person had the clarity of thought to ask if this is true is scary"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:11Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@iohewifh5934 Meanwhile JPow 🙃"
X Link 2025-12-08T17:47Z 125.6K followers, XX engagements

"@realMinus0 We have a separate egg index that has also been dropping over the past few months but good point. Will raise it with the data team"
X Link 2025-12-08T23:48Z 125.6K followers, XX engagements

"@TheDustyBC Expectations for September September data were estimated"
X Link 2025-12-09T17:22Z 125.6K followers, XX engagements

"Truflation just launched the Breakfast Index a new real-time benchmark built on our high-frequency food data. It tracks daily price movements for nine essential breakfast commodities including coffee tea cocoa orange juice milk sugar oats wheat and lean hogs. These items sit at the heart of US food consumption and often react early to supply disruptions weather events freight bottlenecks and demand shifts. Although commodities usually move faster than traditional CPI Inflation baskets the Breakfast Index follows a similar trend to our real-time US food inflation data which has been in a"
X Link 2025-12-08T23:43Z 125.6K followers, 7931 engagements

"After some new data streamed in last night our labor change got amended to -26k new payrolls in November and 143.05M total non-farm payrolls. Our data is less negative than the ADP non-farm payrolls for November at -32k but shows a similar pattern. We aggregate information from XX different data providers. Currently the Truflation Employment Indexes provide monthly updates but the data streams in at various intervals throughout the month. We're working on making this a weekly index for more real-time insights into the labor market. The Labor Change Index (in red) is only available to"
X Link 2025-12-09T11:59Z 125.6K followers, 8225 engagements

"Dec XX we should have gotten the US government official Headline Inflation report for November which is the CPI (Consumer Price Index) calculated by the BLS. Due to the record-long government shutdown that affected the collection of the price surveys used to calculate its data (surveys about what the consumers and sellers remember the prices were 🙃) October CPI was cancelled and November CPI due today delayed till Dec XX. Meanwhile Truflation continues to report US inflation and other global macroeconomic metrics daily. Truflation US Headline Inflation today is XXXX% In times when price data"
X Link 2025-12-10T14:26Z 125.6K followers, 11.2K engagements

"T - 3h till the FOMC decision today and 3.5h till Powell's press conference. Will it be the usual rollercoaster or did the markets price everything in no surprises Let us know in the comments below"
X Link 2025-12-10T16:09Z 125.6K followers, 7437 engagements

"@StealthQE4 There is some bank liquidity issue in the background he mentioned repos as well. Also risks on both mandates.🤔"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:03Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@DeItaone Yes if they had any data. The data missing was definitely a hero of the story from our pov"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:36Z 125.6K followers, 1795 engagements

"Last week most of you said the Fed will cut rates this December by either XX bps (71.2%) or XX bps (15.1%). Only XXXX% of you said it would not cut rates and XXX% said it would increase rates. Now we'd love to hear what you think they SHOULD do in the current economic situation. And share why in the comments below"
X Link 2025-12-08T15:56Z 125.6K followers, 5887 engagements

"@GSR_io Haha that's a common pattern for Powell speaches sometimes with trillions USD wiped off the stocks and crypto"
X Link 2025-12-10T12:33Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@NorthmanTrader There were some mutually exclusive sound bites. I guess this way everyone can hear what they want"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:47Z 125.6K followers, 1858 engagements

"The BLS confirmed there won't be an October US Inflation (CPI) release while the November CPI will be delayed till Dec XX. Here is our data that's available all the time and updated daily: Truflation US Inflation (CPI) today: XXXX% Truflation US PCE today: XXXX% Truflation US Inflation aggregated since Jan 2020: XXXXX% And monthly: Truflation Employment Index in October: 143M total non-farm payroll Truflation Labor Change in October: +62k new payrolls The BLS data collection method mainly involves surveys that require employees and cannot be collected retroactively. Only some of their index"
X Link 2025-11-21T17:33Z 125.6K followers, 144.4K engagements

"State of the U.S. Economy today Nov 28: Truflation U.S. CPI Inflation: XXXX% Truflation U.S. Aggregated CPI: XXXXX% Truflation U.S. PCE: XXXX% Truflation U.S. core PCE: XXXX% Truflation U.S. Employment: XXXXXX M total non-farm payrolls in October Truflation U.S. Labor Change: +62k non-farm payrolls in October We aggregate +30M data points daily from over XX providers and data aggregators to get a comprehensive view of U.S. inflation in real time. This is even more crucial now when the official data are missing or severely delayed: BLS: September CPI - delayed from Oct XX to Oct XX currently"
X Link 2025-11-28T19:29Z 125.6K followers, 30.6K engagements

"In an economy completely reliant on the Federal Reserve (and by extension on all the delayed and cancelled BEA and BLS data) the crypto and stock markets await today's balance sheet announcement. 🤡"
X Link 2025-11-28T19:57Z 125.6K followers, 74.8K engagements

"@KobeissiLetter Sounds like trying desperately to keep something from breaking"
X Link 2025-11-28T21:41Z 125.6K followers, 4896 engagements

"The Federal Reserve's balance sheet is shrinking to 6.55T in total assets from the previous 6.56T. No sudden moves they are playing it safe"
X Link 2025-11-28T21:59Z 125.6K followers, 31K engagements

"@OddConcepts Aggregated rate since Jan 2020 is 28.47%. We don't have an independent wage growth index. BEA provides one"
X Link 2025-11-29T19:02Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"Missed our Black Friday You can still catch Cyber Monday XX% off on all Truflation Premium subscriptions. Some of the biggest names in the industry already use our data to get an edge. Now you can too Use code CYBERMONDAY at checkout ➡"
X Link 2025-12-01T15:54Z 125.6K followers, 8696 engagements

"BoJ is where liquidity starts for global commertial banks and big investors. Big boys borrow money in yen where interest rates are hitorically and famously low and use that money to invest in the US. They can either put that cash into savings accounts to get the difference on the interest rates between Japan and the US and earn healthy 3-4% return. Or they invest in stocks and bonds to get way more. BoJ also has a long standing policy of keeping yen cheap to stimulate their economy so the effects combine and potentially give the US investors massive gains. But if the stocks go suddenly down"
X Link 2025-12-01T17:14Z 125.6K followers, XX engagements

"So it's not just the Federal Reserve but all of the central banks controlling the global stock prices and liquidity with their policies and they often work together and coordinate policies especially BoA and BoJ"
X Link 2025-12-01T17:26Z 125.6K followers, 3940 engagements

"@intocryptoverse Do we think BoJ and BoA coordinated this Regardless of the situation in Japan the Fed also seems afraid to be a bit too lose into what they think is still a X% inflation"
X Link 2025-12-01T18:17Z 125.6K followers, 3810 engagements

"Truflations real-time inflation data is now powering a new Bitcoin Blockchain Traded Fund built by @QuantAMMDeFi and automated through the @Chainlink Runtime Environment (CRE). The strategy uses our inflation regime model to shift between BTC and USDC based on macro conditions. This is a concrete step for onchain products that react to real-time inflation data. This exciting development is an example of how Truflation can be used to gather alpha signals and build trading strategies"
X Link 2025-12-01T19:34Z 125.6K followers, 19.9K engagements

"Read more about QuantAMM's new Truflation Bitcoin BTF on our blog"
X Link 2025-12-01T19:34Z 125.6K followers, 4164 engagements

"Tuesday AMA with our CEO @therealsrust is LIVE Today we'll discuss: - Truflation data - Yen Carry Trade - The Fed QT coming to an end - Stock and crypto markets - New Truflation products"
X Link 2025-12-02T16:02Z 125.6K followers, 5342 engagements

"Today's snapshot of the US economy using independent data from over XX commercial and public providers: Truflation US Headline Inflation: XXXX% edging back up after holidays Truflation US Aggregate Inflation since Jan 2020: XXXXX% Truflation US PCE: XXXX% Truflation US core PCE: XXXX% Truflation Non-farm Employment: XXXXXX Million employed Truflation Labor Change: +62k more non-farm payrolls in October We saw a brief dip in headline US inflation this weekend driven by: - Household Durables & Daily Use Items - Food & Non-alcoholic Beverages - Alcohol prices that went into a temporary Black"
X Link 2025-12-02T17:14Z 125.6K followers, 23.7K engagements

"@Langerius It's so crazy to see this one day dip of over XX% when all the Black Friday data and discounted budles stream in especially on alcohol and then to see it bounce back again almost immediately. That's real time macroeconomic data for you"
X Link 2025-12-02T17:21Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"We aggregate millions of data points every day from +80 providers and professional data aggregators. Our data is now recognized and used by top global hedge funds commercial banks macro analysts and quants. With Truflation Premium subscriptions you unlock granular category and subcategory data detailed monthly inflation reports historical data and the official CPI forecasts ahead of public releases. Now also at -XX% with code CYBERMONDAY"
X Link 2025-12-02T17:57Z 125.6K followers, 16.2K engagements

"@Kalshi If it's down to one then it's XXX% Hasset 😅"
X Link 2025-12-02T21:08Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"Last chance to catch our Cyber Monday discount Ends midnight EST today"
X Link 2025-12-03T09:55Z 125.6K followers, 12.2K engagements

"All the official government data is streaming in with a 3-month delay or not at all. And that's opposed to their standard XXX month delays. The government shutdown which caused this ongoing data crisis also shed major light on how official inflation GDP and other macroeconomic data are collected. The majority of the official data is collected by hand through email or phone surveys and in-person follow-ups conducted by staff who could not work during the shutdown. Data that was not collected cannot be collected anymore which is why many October releases have been cancelled. That data will be"
X Link 2025-12-03T23:21Z 125.6K followers, 14.5K engagements

"Our data team thinks the current inflation spike mainly in our CPI is driven by tariffs on goods with goods going up while services mainly stabilized or edged lower and food inflation going down significantly. Our PCE hasn't edged up yet interestingly. We use the same price data but sort it into BEA's PCE categories and weights to get that number. But our core PCE is indeed still quite high even if it's lower than in the past few months. Why do you think the rate cut will push core PCE back up"
X Link 2025-12-04T17:38Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"Some people are strong proponents of deflation actually. The X% inflation target has been used in the past as a tool to sustain economic growth. It was created as a construct because economists noticed that the rich kept sitting on their savings and never investing worsening conditions for the poor and the country. Applying a "target inflation" caused their savings to erode over time meaning they had to find new ways not to lose money like investing in businesses production and assets. That investing led to growth and improvement of living conditions for everyone for a while. Now the system"
X Link 2025-12-04T17:47Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"🚨 Tomorrow we have a special guest on our X Spaces. @proof_of_sam from @chainlink will join our CTO @jarryd_pret to discuss the future of financial and economic data onchain. 🗓 Dec X 🕣 8AM ET Chainlink has been doing tremendous work over the years spearheading blockchain adoption and educating institutions and policymakers about decentralized data. Tomorrow we'll discuss the future of finance which we think will run fully on blockchain. Set reminder and post your questions below"
X Link 2025-12-04T20:45Z 125.6K followers, 17.9K engagements

"@BullTheoryio Thanks for mention. Our PCE is definitley dropping but the headline CPI not sure yet. Definitely higher than in March to May and Services stabilized but there was a temporary boost from the Goods probably around tarrifs"
X Link 2025-12-04T21:04Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"📢 T-2h Remember to join our spaces with @chainlink in 2h We'll discuss the future of economic data on-chain"
X Link 2025-12-05T11:09Z 125.6K followers, 8637 engagements

"Core PCE is indeed the Fed's favorite and it did increase so it will be interesting to see the minutes of the upcoming FOMC. In our data the CPI is heading up from its March-May lows while the Core PCE remains at XXX% but lower than the elevated numbers we saw in September"
X Link 2025-12-05T15:18Z 125.6K followers, 8899 engagements

"Exactly We saw so much fluctuation in the recent months in our real price data. Data from September seems really outdated and we have great report coming up about how our data leads 45-70 days so their data could be as much as 4-5 months behind current price trends"
X Link 2025-12-05T15:59Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@RealEJAntoni Such old data indeed. We have a great report about our data having a 45-day lead on normal inflation releases which in times of high price increases and decreases expands to as much as XX days"
X Link 2025-12-05T16:02Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@WhaleInsider Hm but the Fed has been caustiously cutting rates since August 2024. (chart - trading economics)"
X Link 2025-12-05T16:06Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@WatcherGuru What does he mean by "start cutting" though They have been cutting cautiously since August. If anything the use of word "cautiously" could be read as bearish 🤔"
X Link 2025-12-05T16:10Z 125.6K followers, 2445 engagements

"@Mr_Derivatives New face of shrinkflation 🙃"
X Link 2025-12-05T17:30Z 125.6K followers, 5365 engagements

"@NickTimiraos And it had the effect on all the economic data which is now barely coming out delayed or cancelled and adding to waves of market speculation"
X Link 2025-12-05T20:58Z 125.6K followers, 3897 engagements

"@Mayhem4Markets Brilliant infographic We're also very curious what the Fed should do now. With our data now edging back up it doesn't seem the situation is clear-cut anymore"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:00Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@Kalshi Interesting we definitely see some upward price pressure on goods vs services which could suggest the tariffs' effect"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:02Z 125.6K followers, 2592 engagements

"@grok @Jeremybtc @MaxCrypto This forecast was related to the September JOLTS release that got cancelled. The current release was October data and they added September data estimates which came at 7658M and were produced using partial data or data collected after the shutdown in November"
X Link 2025-12-09T17:22Z 125.6K followers, XX engagements

"Slow and steady unless Trump manages to oust Powell as the chair ahead of his scheduled exit. We see inflation edging up a bit but we are not sure when that will show in the official headline inflation reports especially now after all the data blackout; their inflation is usually 3-5 months behind our data in shifting trends"
X Link 2025-12-10T16:25Z 125.6K followers, XX engagements

"We are proud to announce that Truflations U.S. Inflation and Truflation PCE Indexes are now officially displayed on @Bloombergs solution for alternative economic index worksheets on the Bloomberg Terminal which is trusted by the financial services industry to bring transparency and innovation to the capital markets. This milestone marks a pivotal step toward bringing real-time independent economic data to institutional investors and corporate decision-makers. Truflation provides a daily view of US inflation by processing over XX million data points from more than XX trusted sources including"
X Link 2025-11-06T14:58Z 125.6K followers, 123K engagements

"Small explanation of why Bank of Japan (BoJ) has a wide effect on stock and crypto markets and the news of their interest rate hikes can hit hard. Big institutional investors and commertial banks borrow money in Yen where interest rates are hitorically and famously low and use that money to invest in the US. They can either put that cash into savings accounts to get the difference on the interest rates between Japan and the US and earn healthy 3-4% return. Or more often they invest in stocks and bonds to get way more. BoJ also has a long standing policy of keeping Yen cheap agains't the"
X Link 2025-12-01T17:24Z 125.6K followers, 36.3K engagements

"Truflation CPI today is: XXXX% edging up since its mid-year lows. This was mainly driven by the price of household goods and natural gas. Truflation PCE is now stabilized at XXXX% one of the lowest levels this year while Truflation core PCE is at a moderate XXXX% today. This week in macro has been dominated by Central Banks with all eyes on the Fed's upcoming FOMC meeting and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Markets are pricing in a high probability of another XX bps cut by the Fed at the December XXX meeting. The last FOMC meeting in October also saw a XX bps cut but the commentary and minutes"
X Link 2025-12-04T17:28Z 125.6K followers, 53.5K engagements

"It never gets old to repost Anthony Pompliano's real-time Truflation updates. Thank you for all your support sir"
X Link 2025-12-04T20:54Z 125.6K followers, 12.2K engagements

"Join us for X Spaces with Sam Friedman @proof_of_sam and Jarryd Pretorius @jarryd_pret who'll discuss how Chainlink and Truflation work together to put economic data on blockchain the next evolutionary step in finance the "info finance""
X Link 2025-12-05T12:56Z 125.6K followers, 8420 engagements

"BEA just released their September () PCE data. September PCE: XXX% (previous XXX% expected 2.8%) September Core PCE: XXX% (previous XXX% expected 2.9%) Meanwhile Truflation has been reporting daily PCE data using independent data sources: Truflation PCE today: XXXX% Truflation Core PCE today: XXX% We obtain our PCE index by taking millions of price data and assigning them to BEA's categories and subcategories and their BEA's weighting to make our index directly comparable but using more current and real prices from real purchases as opposed to surveyed prices"
X Link 2025-12-05T15:04Z 125.6K followers, 22.2K engagements

"Another cancelled release by the BLS is no surprise. The US Labor Department uses survey data largely collected by its staff to estimate consumer and producer price inflation (CPI and PPI). Due to the recent record-long government shutdown the survey data could not be collected and most of it cannot be collected or sourced retroactively. So most of the October data releases were now cancelled. The BLS approach differs greatly from how Truflation sources our data. We go directly to merchants and institutions that collect real price data rather than consumer surveys or we purchase price data"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:42Z 125.6K followers, 12.7K engagements

"Today's snapshot of the US economy Dec X ahead of the Fed's upcoming FOMC meeting 9-10 Dec: Truflation US Inflation (CPI) today: XXXX% Truflation US Core CPI: XXXX% Truflation US PCE: XXXX% Truflation US Core PCE: XXXX% Truflation Employment November: 143.11M Truflation New Payrolls November: +37k What do you think this data could tell the Federal Reserve"
X Link 2025-12-09T00:05Z 125.6K followers, 31.5K engagements

"US October JOLTS (Job Openings and Turnover) increased from XXX million in August to XXXXX million in September (estimated from partial data and XXXX million in October. Trying to track which month releases are coming out with the 2-4M delay after the government shutdown can get quite confusing: Here are the labor releases still happening: - Dec 9: October JOLTS (7.67 in October) - Dec 10: Q3 Employment Cost Index - Dec 11: The September State of Employment and Unemployment - Dec 16: The November Employment Situation - Dec 30: The October State Job Openings and Labor Turnover And the"
X Link 2025-12-09T17:06Z 125.6K followers, 7684 engagements

"@lisaabramowicz1 Uncertain times = stay where you are"
X Link 2025-12-09T17:17Z 125.6K followers, 3581 engagements

"Today the FOMC will decide if we're getting the last interest rate cut of the year. The market already priced in a 25bps cut and some hope for a 50bps cut while others call for a pause as most major economic metrics were delayed or cancelled following the government shutdown. Here is the Truflation's macroeconomic data for Dec 10: Truflation US Inflation (CPI) today: XXXX% Truflation US Core CPI: XXXX% Truflation US PCE: XXXX% Truflation US Core PCE: XXXX% Truflation Employment November: 143.05M total non-farm payrolls Truflation New Payrolls November: -26k new non-farm payrolls Our data is"
X Link 2025-12-10T12:05Z 125.6K followers, 29.1K engagements

"@t_r277 Yes but does the Fed know Not sure they have or use the current data or just sit in the dark making decisions based on reports from X months ago 🤔"
X Link 2025-12-10T12:11Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@M_McDonough Let us guess he's gonna mention the lack of data driving in fog and needing to go slow. Meanwhile all the data"
X Link 2025-12-10T15:56Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@VladTheInflator Interesting take would you cut rates or hold We have all this data but our audiences differ in their take on what they mean or what the Federal Reserve should do"
X Link 2025-12-10T15:57Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@EricLDaugh Based on our data the Fed could have cut in Q2 2025. But they also use 1.5-3 months old data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics so they are always behind"
X Link 2025-12-10T15:59Z 125.6K followers, 5989 engagements

"Can't buy with money you don't have. Aggregated inflation shows XX% inflation since Jan 2021. And that's just price inflation on common goods. Asset inflation is sky high and decoupled from price inflation so of course there is an affordability crisis. Everything in the economy is propping assets up to satisfy WS and shareholders and those who can't afford any are getting poorer at an alarming rate"
X Link 2025-12-10T16:05Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@StealthQE4 Can't help but notice an uptrend in inflation over the past couple of months; still pretty low in our data but it's accumulating"
X Link 2025-12-10T16:47Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@cryptogoos The boring 25bps"
X Link 2025-12-10T17:03Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"Fed cuts rates by XX bps no surprises there. Powell's press release has started. - Very little data on Inflation has been released since October (due to the government shutdown). Inflation for goods has picked up reflecting tariffs but lowered for services - the same we see in Truflation's independent data. - Inflation eased significantly but remains somewhat elevated. Risks tilted to the upside but Powell hopes for the effects of tariffs to pass through. - The layoffs and hiring remain low. Unemployment edged up. More risks there. - The Fed assessed market conditions as reserved and will"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:39Z 125.6K followers, 28.8K engagements

"You can see the presser live here"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:39Z 125.6K followers, 3453 engagements

"@NickTimiraos It's all about the missing data again. Love that he mentioned they have to scrutinize the potentially distorted data because of the delayed and missing data collection after the gov shutdown"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:59Z 125.6K followers, 8978 engagements

"@jameslavish Good for the asset holders. Not sure about everyone else"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:00Z 125.6K followers, 4427 engagements

"@amitisinvesting He also mentioned there are no good policies cause risks are rising everywhere. A bit late on everything. And missing all the data"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:01Z 125.6K followers, 2645 engagements

"@NorthmanTrader Powell mentioned they are so sensitive to families and their situation"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:22Z 125.6K followers, 1265 engagements

"@Geiger_Capital @federalreserve Once you start manipulating the whole stock market and the economy it's hard to stop"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:24Z 125.6K followers, 2554 engagements

"@LynAldenContact Those liquidity issues caught our attention. Is that due to Japan"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:55Z 125.6K followers, 4170 engagements

"They see liquidity risks and reserved market conditions. They must have noticed something outside of inflation and labor data because as Powell said himself they had almost no new data released since their October meeting. The BLS completely stopped collecting and now future data will be distorted by belated or incomplete surveys. So if it wasn't the data what was it: the Yen carry trade the bond market or maybe the completely QE-addicted stock market 🤔"
X Link 2025-12-10T21:21Z 125.6K followers, 5592 engagements

"The US cumulative inflation since Jan 2021 is XXXXX% according to our independent price data so nearly X% higher than the stats below. And a whopping XXXXX% for the UK also since Jan 2021. And that's just an average basket of goods across all regions of the US for all income groups based on their combined purchases"
X Link 2025-12-11T03:00Z 125.6K followers, 9206 engagements

"The US Economy today Dec 11: Truflation US Inflation Index (CPI) today: XXXX% Truflation US PCE today: XXXX% Truflatiom Employment in November: XXXXXX million non-farm payrolls Truflation Labor Change in November: -26k new non-farm payrolls Today our US Inflation Index jumped from XXXX% to XXXX% driven by higher prices of food household items and alcohol. We think this move is related to seasonal price increases for Christmas shoppers following the Black Friday discounts. Today we also zoom out a bit into the 5Y view to show that despite the recent inflation uptrend we've come a long way"
X Link 2025-12-11T16:36Z 125.6K followers, 5382 engagements

"Yesterday Truflation Premium subscribers received our forecast of the November BLS CPI inflation due to be released Dec XX. Truflation data leads the BLS CPI data by 45-72 days; the standard lead time is about XX days but it widens during periods of steep price increases and decreases as the BLS struggles to catch up with the changing trends. That does not mean Truflation numbers from XX days ago are what the BLS CPI would report now. The two indices are calculated differently. To get BLS CPI predictions Truflation data team ages our data and runs a prediction model that in the past XX months"
X Link 2025-12-11T17:37Z 125.6K followers, 4739 engagements

"Great visualisation of inflation by product type by Visual Capitalist. Not sure what data sources they use but it's a great reminder that your personal inflation depends on the products you buy. You can check your personal inflation using our inflation calculator. It uses your spending budget and our infation data per product category to estimate how much more $ you pay every month due to inflation"
X Link 2025-11-28T23:20Z 125.6K followers, 22.5K engagements

"All eyes on the Federal Reserve this week as they prepare for the December FOMC meeting. Markets already priced in a 25bps interest rate cut currently at XXXX% chance by FedWatch with Polymarket odds oscillating between 94-99.8%. The Fed keeps operating in low visibility as the government headline Inflation (CPI and PCE) and labor data were severely delayed or cancelled. The BEA has only just released the September () PCE Inflation data last week which was XXX% for PCE and XXX% for Core PCE (excl. volatile food and energy prices). And the Bureau of Labor Statistics cancelled the October US"
X Link 2025-12-08T14:58Z 125.6K followers, 39.1K engagements

"Today the US Labor Department will release the delayed October Job Openings and Labor Turnover (JOLTS) data one of the last official Labor data we'll see ahead of the FOMC decision tomorrow Dec XX. The last available JOLTS for August showed 7.2M new jobs added while the September JOLTS were cancelled. The latest US nonfarm payrolls reported by the BLS showed -4k non-farm payrolls in August and an unexpected +119K in September 2025 well above the predicted 50k. Now another +55k is predicted for October. Meanwhile Truflation's new Employment Index reported: -24k non-farm payrolls in August"
X Link 2025-12-09T13:41Z 125.6K followers, 10.1K engagements

"Did they release the estimated September data alongside October just to be able to say "unchanged" Seems they used partial self-reported business data and then surveys from November for both September and October. "Publication of the September 2025 JOLTS news release was canceled due to a lapse in appropriations. September JOLTS estimates reported in this release include partial data that businesses self-reported electronically during the shutdown and data collected in November following the shutdown""
X Link 2025-12-09T17:19Z 125.6K followers, XXX engagements

"To learn more about Truflation Premium features visit our pricing page"
X Link 2025-12-10T14:26Z 125.6K followers, 2978 engagements

"@amitisinvesting Hoping the effects of tariffs are 'transitory' 🙃"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:45Z 125.6K followers, 5570 engagements

"@jameslavish Looks like something made them panic and it wasn't the data because there was barely any. Was it Japan and the bond market"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:49Z 125.6K followers, 1021 engagements

"@KobeissiLetter Not only dissent but general confusion is growing. We see some confusing data on our side and the Fed also did a surprisingly dovish cut and early QE but with so much data missing it'ss not immediately unclear why"
X Link 2025-12-10T20:54Z 125.6K followers, 5261 engagements

"And the "reserves management" part also seemed out of character for Powell who's usually so caustious and doesn't do anything without multiple data releases and solid trends but now we see barely any releases and trends are actually a bit up on inflation even his hopes that tariff effects are temporary were weird"
X Link 2025-12-11T18:55Z 125.6K followers, XX engagements