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@truflation Truflation

Truflation has launched a new index providing real-time daily inflation tracking for the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) metric, which shapes US monetary policy. This index is powered by over XX million independently sourced price points, offering a faster and data-rich view of consumer price trends. Truflation's data is seen as more accurate and timely compared to the delayed and estimated BLS CPI data.

Engagements: XXXXXXX #

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Social Influence #

Social category influence cryptocurrencies #480 finance #1853 countries XXXX%

Social topic influence inflation #12, realtime #16, shutdown #491, unlock #2160, fed #758, government shutdown #660, clarity #980, powell 0.37%, cuts #1037, tariffs #1569

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @kobeissiletter @apompliano @trufnetwork @watcherguru @deitaone @unusualwhales @cpips23 @therealsrust @brianferoldi @cascade_43 @zerohedge @simplybitcointv @charliebilello @investingcom @bravosresearch @secscottbessent @stockmktnewz @financialjuice @nuonfinance @thecryptolark

Top Social Posts #

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"At Truflation: ✦ Free members access to real-time headline inflation. ✦ Premium subscribers unlock full category & subcategory detail powered by millions of prices including which areas are driving inflation shifts. 🔐 (Use code GOV20 for XX% off)"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-09T18:40Z 123.7K followers, 4689 engagements

"📰 Reports say the BLS has recalled furloughed staff to finish processing the September CPI. CPI is critical for Fed policy decisions. Meanwhile Truflation keeps reporting every day even when official data keeps us in this limbo. Do you think it will be released on time"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-09T23:17Z 123.7K followers, 12.4K engagements

"And remember Truflation is now on Bloomberg"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-15T16:51Z 123.7K followers, 6842 engagements

"Our take on this matter:"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-09T18:40Z 123.7K followers, 8275 engagements

"6/ Across todays remarks a common message emerged the economy is shifting and data quality is eroding just as policymakers need clarity most. At Truflation we track this in real time offering independent high-frequency data ahead of gov. releases"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-07T20:41Z 123.7K followers, 5080 engagements

"@Ketta132 It truly is happy to get on the official TradFi stage and more incoming"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T14:53Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"3/ A slowing job market Powell described hiring as weak and layoffs as limited a job market thats losing momentum but hasnt cracked. The main risk now is job losses. Thats an important shift the Fed is watching labor softness as long as inflation doesn't spike"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T19:54Z 123.7K followers, 1255 engagements

"Yesterday reports said the BLS was recalling furloughed staff to finish processing the September CPI numbers. We even asked the public if they thought theyd manage to release it on time. Today its confirmed: the CPI will be published on October XX (originally scheduled for the 15th). While its good news that the release will happen its also deeply concerning that such delays are still possible in 2025 especially with the technology available today. Weve previously discussed how status quo methodologies already create a natural lag in data. Our own Truflation index identifies trend inflection"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-10T17:22Z 123.7K followers, 284.5K engagements

"5/ Policy stays data-driven Powell made clear the Fed isnt locked into a preset path. Decisions will depend on how inflation jobs and liquidity evolve not on a timeline. Markets see this as cautiously dovish: balance-sheet tightening could end soon and rate cuts remain possible later this year if the economy weakens further"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T19:54Z 123.7K followers, 6004 engagements

"$291B. This was the US government deficit in July Revenues covered only XX% of expenses and the US national debt exceeded $XX billion. Debt and high interest rates are jeopardizing the budget. This situation needs to change before it becomes irreversible"
X Link @truflation 2025-08-12T22:19Z 123.7K followers, 21K engagements

"@The_Ant_Hill_07 We are truly happy to be recognized on this scale"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T12:50Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"At Truflation: ✦ Free members get access to real-time headline inflation. ✦ Premium subscribers unlock full category & subcategory detail powered by millions of prices including a breakdown of which areas are driving inflation shifts. 🔐"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-06T20:00Z 123.7K followers, 4583 engagements

"Hi @TOzgokmen appreciate the comment. Truflations index isnt a sample-based estimate like the CPI. Its built from millions of live prices so classical error bars wouldnt apply in the traditional sense. The daily ups and downs partly reflect genuine short-term price movements (category volatility) rather than statistical sampling noise. We also maintain a smoothed unfrozen version that adapts each data point to the exact day it was collected rather than received offering a more continuous (and less "noisy" as youd interpret) view of inflation dynamics. That version is available within our"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-07T17:49Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"2/ If we zoom out to a five-year horizon our real-time inflation data shows that for nearly two and a half years after the post-COVID price surge inflation has remained within a steady slightly downward-trending channel. On shorter timeframes we identified an inflection point around April 2025 partly overlapping with early tariff developments. Even so the recent uptick has stayed within the broader trend. If short-term dynamics ever break that long-term channel youll be the first to know. Moments like these demand real-time insight"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-10T22:11Z 123.7K followers, 14.4K engagements

"Truflation US Inflation (YoY): XXXX % Were now on Day XX of the U.S. government shutdown. As expected theres no BLS CPI report today while Truflation continues reporting in real time and has released its latest monthly insights to keep our community informed. Labor & Fiscal Impact: Cuts have accelerated. Over 4000 federal employees have been permanently dismissed while air traffic control remains under severe strain with more than 13000 controllers affected. The White House says it is preparing to ride out the shutdown as the Senate remains gridlocked over funding. All these disruptions blur"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-15T16:51Z 123.7K followers, 12.8K engagements

"Heres our thread explaining the quantitative findings from the report:"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-06T20:00Z 123.7K followers, 7911 engagements

"@ARiHBARi Still can't believe it ourselves. Kudos to the team for navigating months of negotiations. More high-profile partnerships incoming"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T16:46Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"2/ On a 5-year view our real-time data shows inflation has spent XXX years in a slightly downward channel (post-COVID surge). The debate goes on: soft landing recession risk or tariffs-driven inflation Moments like these demand real-time data"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-03T20:04Z 123.6K followers, XXX engagements

"📹 Truflation is LIVE now 🔴"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-09T16:37Z 123.7K followers, 4447 engagements

"The U.S. gov. just announced a XXX% tariff on Chinese goods and markets reacted with fear wiping out months of stock market gains. Tariffs take effect Nov. X with new export controls on critical U.S. software responding to Chinas recent restrictions on rare-earth metals"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-10T22:11Z 123.7K followers, 17K engagements

"Truflation US Inflation (YoY): XXXX% We are on Day X of the U.S. government shutdown. The longer it lasts the deeper the data blackout becomes. Labor threat: - The White House continues to warn that federal layoffs could begin soon. The IRS has announced the furlough of more than 34000 employees. - The Senate remains deadlocked over funding. Prolonged furloughs could distort near-term employment and wage data key drivers of inflation expectations. Missed releases so far (the list keeps growing): ✦ Oct 2: Weekly Jobless Claims (Department of Labor). Reuters ✦ Oct 3: September Employment Report"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-09T18:40Z 123.7K followers, 19.6K engagements

"Last week we covered the ISM Manufacturing PMI release breaking down the quantitative results in a recent thread. Beyond the numbers the qualitative data reveals what people inside these industries are actually experiencing. Heres what respondents across multiple manufacturing sectors had to say: ✦ Tariffs and trade frictions remain a major concern ✦ Orders and production are softening ✦ Input costs and uncertainty are rising ✦ Companies are cutting overhead and delaying projects Across industries the message is clear: businesses are still facing cost pressures and uncertainty from tariffs"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-06T20:00Z 123.7K followers, 14K engagements

"6/ At Truflation: ✦ Free members access to real-time headline inflation ✦ Premium subscribers unlock full category & subcategory detail powered by millions of prices including which areas are driving inflation shifts 🔐 (Use code GOV20 for XX% off)"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-08T20:50Z 123.7K followers, 4866 engagements

"3/ During the 20182019 shutdown the BEA couldnt release spending data for two months. With the Census Bureau closed December and January PCE reports were delayed until March X but because no retail or trade surveys were collected the source data for January PCE werent captured on time. On March X the BEA could only publish income. January PCE outlays didnt appear until April and they had to rebuild missing values from later data. That wasnt a delay. It was a break in Americas economic record"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-16T18:30Z 123.7K followers, 5001 engagements

"2/ Blackouts have happened before each one erasing part of the countrys data trail. 19951996: A 21-day shutdown froze much of the Commerce Department halting Census and BEA work and delaying economic reports. 2013: A 16-day shutdown suspended BLS surveys and Census data collection forcing the delay of the September jobs and inflation reports. 20182019: The longest shutdown in history (35 days) closed the Census Bureau entirely cutting off key inputs for PCE and GDP. Each time the damage went beyond missing release dates it broke the continuity of U.S. economic measurement"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-16T18:30Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"5/ Government Shutdown = Data Blackout The shutdown has taken the Bureau of Labor Statistics offline: ✦ No Jobs Report ✦ No CPI ✦ No PPI Markets the Fed and households are blind. However Truflation keeps publishing its real-time inflation"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-03T20:04Z 123.7K followers, 9266 engagements

"@glass_it Thank you we appreciate your support 🙏"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T14:53Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"2/📍Fisk Univ. Nashville: Bostic said AI is disrupting jobs and could be quite challenging for workers urging preparation and retraining. He described todays environment as one of the hardest to manage for policy given structural shifts and cautious business behavior"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-07T20:41Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"Our take on this matter:"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-07T15:02Z 123.7K followers, 7337 engagements

"Our take on this matter:"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-08T14:24Z 123.7K followers, 6840 engagements

"Truflation US Inflation (YoY): XXXX% Were now on Day X of the U.S. government shutdown and the data blackout keeps expanding. Labor threat: The White House continues to warn that federal layoffs could begin soon while the Senate remains deadlocked over new funding bills. Prolonged furloughs could distort near-term employment and wage data (key drivers of inflation expectations). Missed releases so far: - Oct 2: Weekly Jobless Claims (Department of Labor) - Oct 3: September Employment Report (BLS) - Oct 7: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services (BEA) Next at risk: - Oct 10: Consumer"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-08T14:24Z 123.7K followers, 14.8K engagements

"4/ Data blackout and private signals With the government shutdown halting key reports like CPI PCE and payrolls the Fed will need to rely on private data and business surveys to fill the gap. Thats when real-time sources like Truflations daily inflation readings become critical for policymakers and markets alike"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T19:54Z 123.7K followers, 1275 engagements

"Truflation US Inflation (YoY): XXXX% Were on Day X of the government shutdown and the impasse continues. ✦ Still halted: BLS jobs surveys Census monthly economic indicators American Community Survey ✦ Missed releases: Oct X Jobless Claims Oct X Employment Report ✦ Next at risk: Oct XX CPI Oct XX PPI Oct XX Retail Sales Oct XX GDP ✦ Congress update: The Senate reconvened Monday with no deal in sight. The White House warns mass federal layoffs may begin if talks stall further. At times like these when official data goes dark real-time independent metrics become essential. Truflation continues"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-06T13:18Z 123.7K followers, 11.8K engagements

"Truflation US Inflation (YoY): XXXX% Were on Day X of the government shutdown and with each passing day the data gap widens. - Labor impact: The White House warns mass federal layoffs could begin this week potentially distorting near-term employment and wage data key drivers of inflation expectations. - Missed releases so far: Oct X Jobless Claims Oct X Employment Report. - Next at risk: Oct XX CPI Oct XX PPI Oct XX Retail Sales Oct XX GDP. - Data collection halted: BLS jobs and wage surveys Census economic indicators and most price data collection for the CPI. All are critical inputs for"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-07T15:02Z 123.7K followers, 303.4K engagements

"The U.S. government shutdown has taken the Bureau of Labor Statistics offline. ✦ No Jobs Report (Oct 3). ✦ No CPI (Oct 15). ✦ No PPI (Oct 16). And the list goes on. The government has gone dark at a time when clarity is needed most. Here's the cost of this: ✦ The Federal Reserve heads into its Oct 2829 meeting with little visibility on inflation or employment. ✦ Markets and investors lose benchmarks that guide expectations. ✦ Businesses and households are left without metrics for hiring pricing and spending. Every shutdown chips away at global confidence in the U.S. commitment to transparent"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-02T16:27Z 123.7K followers, 116.1K engagements

"@cpips23 Bringing Truflation to where it matters the most"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T12:50Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"5/ To sum up: The Feds focus is shifting from fighting inflation at all costs to balancing both sides of its mandate: protecting jobs while keeping inflation anchored. With inflation "stable" policymakers see room to move toward a neutral stance after two years of tight policy. The message: the easing cycle has begun but will only continue as long as the data permits"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-08T20:50Z 123.7K followers, 4910 engagements

"We are proud to announce that Truflations US Inflation Index is now officially featured on Bloomberg Terminal one of the most trusted platforms in global finance powering decisions for thousands of banks hedge funds asset managers and research desks. This milestone marks a pivotal step toward bringing real-time independent economic data to institutions and decision-makers. Truflation provides a daily view of US inflation by processing over XX million data points from more than XX trusted sources including Amazon Zillow and Nielsen. Our comprehensive high-frequency data updated daily has been"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T12:31Z 123.7K followers, 398K engagements

"For reference:"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-15T21:34Z 123.7K followers, 8859 engagements

"We recently covered the FOMC minutes released a few days ago:"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-13T21:06Z 123.7K followers, 9501 engagements

"Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a key speech tomorrow at the NABE conference in Philadelphia outlining the Feds outlook on inflation growth and interest rates. It comes at a tense moment: ✦ Markets are still digesting Trumps new XXX% tariffs on Chinese imports though signs of an agreement are emerging. ✦ The government shutdown has frozen official economic data. ✦ Investors are split between expecting rate cuts or a longer higher for longer stance. Powells words could move everything and set the tone for the rest of Q4. What do you think Will Powell keep rates high Or double down on the"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-13T21:06Z 123.7K followers, 20.6K engagements

"3/ The tone: dovish yet cautious. ✦ Most members see room for more cuts later this year ✦ Inflations rise is seen as tariff-driven not wage-driven ✦ Progress toward X % has stalled but upside risks arent rising ✦ The Fed dropped the line that the labor market remains solid"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-08T20:50Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"Truflation US Inflation (YoY): XXXX % Were now on Day XX of the U.S. government shutdown. The longer it lasts the deeper the data blackout becomes. Labor & Fiscal Impact: The first formal layoffs have begun (the IRS alone has sidelined over XX XXX workers) while the Senate remains at a standstill and back-pay uncertainty adds to the strain. All these disruptions blur wage and employment data distorting inflation expectations. Missed releases so far (the list keeps growing): ✦ Oct X Weekly Jobless Claims (Dept. of Labor) ✦ Oct X September Employment Report (BLS) ✦ Oct X U.S. International"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-13T15:56Z 123.7K followers, 21.2K engagements

"Today Jerome Powell gave a detailed speech focused on the Feds balance sheet and liquidity. Highlights: ✦ QT could end soon as reserves tighten (balance-sheet rate cuts). ✦ Job market is cooling: low hiring low firing. ✦ Data blackout forces Fed to rely on private indicators. ✦ Policy stays meeting-by-meeting. Lets unpack this 🧵"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T19:54Z 123.7K followers, 25.6K engagements

"🚨 The Fed just released its FOMC Minutes revealing what policymakers really debated behind closed doors. The message is clear: ✦ They are now trying to cushion rising job risks while while guarding against another inflation flare-up. Heres what you need to know 🧵"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-08T20:50Z 123.7K followers, 24.3K engagements

"A reminder: When we say that year-over-year U.S. inflation has been in a slightly downward steady channel over the last XXX years it doesnt mean prices are falling theyre still rising just at a slower pace. What everyone is experiencing today is the impact of years of accumulated inflation. Since 2020 aggregate inflation has climbed nearly XX% meaning your purchasing power is on its way to being cut in half. Real-time independent data matters. Inflation doesnt stop when official reports do"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-15T21:34Z 123.7K followers, 27K engagements

"2/ At that meeting the Fed cut rates by XX bps bringing the federal-funds range to 4.004.25 %. XX of XX members supported the cut one (Governor Miran) wanted a deeper XX bps move. The cut itself was known then. What todays minutes add is why: ➡ Labor-market risks have increased ➡ Inflation pressures have softened"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-08T20:50Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"1/Today four Federal Reserve officials gave speeches across the country each touching on key economic themes. From AI disruption to rate-cut timing and data quality heres what they said. This provides context from the people shaping the future of U.S. monetary policy. 🧵"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-07T20:41Z 123.7K followers, 21K engagements

"📹 Todays live stream hit some technical issues but Stefan made sure to record it so you dont miss it. He gives a sneak peek into Truflations Monthly Inflation Update and more 🔴"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-16T21:56Z 123.7K followers, 5357 engagements

"Additional details regarding our data:"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-10T17:22Z 123.7K followers, 7835 engagements

"6/ At Truflation we'll keep you up to date: ✦ Free members access to real-time headline inflation. ✦ Premium subscribers unlock full category & subcategory detail powered by millions of prices including which areas are driving inflation shifts. 🔐"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T19:54Z 123.7K followers, 5872 engagements

"Truflation US Inflation (YoY): XXXX% Were on Day X of the government shutdown and heres the impact so far: ✦ Missed releases: Oct X Jobless Claims Oct X Employment Report ✦ Data collection halted: BLS jobs surveys Census monthly economic indicators ACS ✦ Next releases at risk: Oct XX CPI Oct XX PPI Oct XX Retail Sales Oct XX GDP At times like these when official channels fall silent transparent and timely data matters most. Thats why Truflation keeps reporting every day"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-03T14:24Z 123.7K followers, 12.4K engagements

"4/ The Fed noted inflation is still elevated but partly tariff-related. A pattern our real-time data had shown long before official reports caught up. Our data captured this tariff-linked uptick months ahead of official reports while inflation stayed within its long-term downward channel"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-08T20:50Z 123.7K followers, XXX engagements

"1/ The worst part of the gov. shutdown isnt the delayed CPI PCE or Jobs reports. Its that some of the data may never be published. When the gov. shuts down data collection itself stops. Surveys price checks and employment sampling are suspended. The BLS and BEA cant catch up later those missed collection windows are gone for good. So if the shutdown lasts through October there wont just be a delay therell be no October data to publish in November. Part of inflation spending and labor data would go dark until December. Thats why real-time independent data as Truflation exists because economic"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-16T18:30Z 123.7K followers, 14.1K engagements

"1/ The Sep. ISM Manufacturing PMI is out. On the surface a small uptick. But the story underneath is more complicated demand is weakening jobs are shrinking and prices remain elevated (as also shown by the Truflation US Inflation data). Here's all you need to know. 🧵"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-01T20:45Z 123.6K followers, 20.1K engagements

"Truflation US Inflation (YoY): XXXX% Day X of the government shutdown. This is why real-time independent data matters. Not only because it runs ahead of official metrics but because it ensures were never left flying blind when those very metrics stop being released"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-02T21:20Z 123.7K followers, 279.8K engagements

"1/ In case you missed what happened this week in the US Markets had plenty to digest from inflation trends and labor market shifts to manufacturing data and an ongoing government shutdown. Here are the key macro highlights to have on your radar:"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-03T20:04Z 123.7K followers, 11.3K engagements

"📹 Truflation is LIVE now 🔴 ✦ Truflation on Bloomberg ✦ Powells speech today ✦ Day XX of the U.S. gov shutdown ✦ Trumps XXX% China tariffs and more"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T16:17Z 123.7K followers, 5594 engagements

"5/📍Managed Funds Assoc. New York Miran said the calm bond market supports faster rate cuts arguing that easing could happen without destabilizing markets. He also warned about declining quality in official data citing survey response drops that complicate policy decisions"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-07T20:41Z 123.7K followers, 5039 engagements

"4/ At Truflation: ✦ Free members access to real-time headline inflation. ✦ Premium subscribers unlock full category & subcategory detail powered by millions of prices including which areas are driving inflation shifts.🔐 (Use code GOV20 for XX% off)"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-16T18:30Z 123.7K followers, 4883 engagements

"As well as what other Fed officials have been discussing in various meetings over the past few weeks:"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-13T21:06Z 123.7K followers, 8780 engagements

"At Truflation: ✦ Free members get access to real-time headline inflation. ✦ Premium subscribers unlock full category & subcategory detail powered by millions of prices including which areas are driving inflation shifts.🔐 Use code GOV20 for XX% off"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-07T15:02Z 123.7K followers, 4219 engagements

"2/ QT may be nearing its end Powell said the Fed could soon slow or stop shrinking its balance sheet because liquidity in the banking system is starting to thin out. In practice this means the Fed wants to avoid draining too much cash from banks and money markets. So quantitative tightening might pause earlier than expected"
X Link @truflation 2025-10-14T19:54Z 123.7K followers, 1379 engagements