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@elerianm Avatar @elerianm Mohamed A. El-Erian

Mohamed A. El-Erian posts on X about tariffs, bloomberg, debt, china the most. They currently have XXXXXXX followers and 2798 posts still getting attention that total XXXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

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Social category influence finance #2074 countries stocks cryptocurrencies exchanges technology brands currencies travel destinations

Social topic influence tariffs #156, bloomberg #58, debt #377, china #905, stocks #3216, federal reserve #34, inflation #161, france #2034, bitcoin #4713, has been #1815

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @ft @wsj @opinion @markets @cnbc @ecb @bankofengland @cambridgeuni @theeconomist @queenscam @economics @ferrotv @johnauthers @bonaparteeric @imfnews @nyjets @lisaabramowicz1 @prosyn @queensalumni @annmarie

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Bitcoin Gold (BTG) Artificial Intelligence (AI4)

Top Social Posts #

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Bloomberg on the latest UK data: The jobless rate climbed to XXX% in the three months through August the highest since May 2021. Economists had expected it to remain unchanged. Wage growth in the private sector cooled to XXX% the lowest since the end of 2021 and below the XXX% predicted. #economy #markets #uk #ions #wages #unemployment"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-14T12:18Z 771.8K followers, 41.6K engagements

"The link to this afternoon's conversation with @ScottWapnerCNBC. Thank you Scott for having me on your show. #economy #markets @CNBC"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-10T21:28Z 771.8K followers, 33.8K engagements

"From the @wsj article Why Microsoft Has Lower Borrowing Costs Than the U.S. #economy #markets #bonds"
X Link @elerianm 2025-09-28T11:41Z 771.5K followers, 913.1K engagements

"How special was today in markets Per Gemini AI Monday October 6th 2025 saw a remarkable day in the financial markets with several key assets across different sectors closing at all-time highs. Specifically . Record levels for Bitcoin gold NASDAQ Russell and S&P Near record high for Copper 14-year high for silver And more. #markets #investors #investing"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-06T22:05Z 771.8K followers, 66.7K engagements

"This IMF chart illustrates the successive revisions to the Fund's global growth forecasts for 2025-26 since October 2024. The latest update projects growth of XXX% for this year and XXX% for the next narrowing the gap with the Oct 2024 forecast to just XXX percentage points. It has been as much as XXX percentage points. A similar pattern of less pessimistic outcomes is evident in inflation forecasts where the expected impact of US tariffs has also been reduced. An IMF official attributed this to "many trade deals and exemptions" adding that "most countries also refrained from retaliation.""
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-15T01:27Z 771.8K followers, 34.9K engagements

"The chart below is from the IMF. Despite the significant surge over the past two years I suspect this trend has more room to run. The primary driver is the ongoing effort by some central banks to diversify their reserve holdings and reduce their reliance on the US dollar. #markets #economy #gold"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-10T21:03Z 771.8K followers, 126.1K engagements

"This is the second piece of news today that challenges a previously held consensus among market participants and economiststhat is the assumption that a government shutdown can be looked through as previous ones have ended with no lasting effects. IF this shutdown accelerates the firing of federal employees and it is an IF it will have adverse distributional impacts especially in what is already a K-shaped economy. It could also have broader effects for the economy. #economy #jobs #markets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-10T18:16Z 771.8K followers, 53.6K engagements

"From Bloomberg: Bond holders want an ever-higher premium to hold the debt of developed-nation governments as turmoil in France and Japan underscores how politics is eclipsing central bank policy globally as a key market driver. #economy #markets #bonds"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-12T20:12Z 771.8K followers, 372.8K engagements

"Tight credit spreads versus attractive yield levels overall. Per the @WSJ The S&P XXX hit its 31st record of 2025 on Friday but the enthusiasm for companies bonds could be even more remarkable. By one measure Wall Street is less worried about highly rated businesses getting downgraded or defaulting on their debt than at any other time in the past quarter-century. #economy #markets #bonds"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-06T00:19Z 771.8K followers, 68.2K engagements

"A new record for Bitcoin prices: Bitcoin traded above $125000 earlier this morning before pulling back somewhat. #bitcoin #crypto #markets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-05T10:00Z 771.9K followers, 95.9K engagements

"Want to spark a heated debate among market participants Ask them whether this valuation premium is justified (I believe it is) whether it will persist (I think it will) andmost contentious of allat what overall level for the respective indices. (The chart below is from Bloomberg.) #economy #markets #stocks"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-11T17:29Z 771.8K followers, 56.6K engagements

"Heres one of the covers of this weeks Economist magazine. There is little doubt in my mind that AI is a transformative general-purpose technology poised to deliver significant productivity gainsand inevitably excesses. History reminds us that such innovations dramatically lower the barriers to entry for both existing and new activities often setting off initial waves of overproduction and overconsumption. As such some wasted investments and failed ventures are part of the process. But get the ecosystem and diffusion right and the upside potential for growth is exciting substantive and"
X Link @elerianm 2025-09-11T20:28Z 771.7K followers, 67.3K engagements

"The bond market is reminding us of the two-way causality between domestic politics and fiscal credibility in France the Eurozone's core. The yield on French government bonds are higher following the news of yet another major political resignation (that of the Prime Minister). This takes place in the midst of and is likely to aggravate the government's persistent inability to secure a parliamentary majority for much-needed fiscal consolidation. It comes against a backdrop of concern over France's elevated deficit and debt. You can also see the impact in the update of a chart I circulated a few"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-06T14:25Z 771.6K followers, 53.4K engagements

"From @politico's Morning Money note (a must -- and enjoyable -- read): NEC Director Kevin Hassett who is shortlisted to replace Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve: An independent Fed is very transparent he said. It tells you this is what we think the economy is going to look like. They tell you why. They show you their models. They encourage debate about like what model is working best right now. They look at their errors and talk about why they made them and do that in front of the public. So the wisdom of crowds can also affect the wisdom of the Fed. And so I think that the Fed"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-03T16:57Z 771.8K followers, 32.3K engagements

"A great read This well-written and entertaining book takes the reader on an engaging journey through the 1929 crash and its aftermath. It explores how the ambition greed hubris and resilience of the main actors forever changed the course of finance and the economy. @andrewrsorkin #markets #economy"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-14T11:14Z 771.8K followers, 139.2K engagements

"FYI the link to my weekly look ahead for the global economy and markets. #economy #markets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-11T18:34Z 771.8K followers, 35.4K engagements

"Good morning. From the FT article on Labour markets stuck in a low hire low fire cycle: Labour markets in many leading economies are freezing up as uncertainty over trade tax and artificial intelligence causes employers to put off hiring and firing and employees to stick with their jobs. The main questions that come to mind are: (i) how stable is this situation and (ii) if it is indeed an unstable equilibriumas I suspectwill it eventually give way to a phase of greater hiring or one marked by increased job cuts More to follow on how this links to growth and the policy implications. #economy"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-05T11:12Z 771.9K followers, 107.3K engagements

"From Bloomberg: Investors are seeking to protect themselves from threats posed by runaway budget deficits through a phenomenon known as the "debasement trade" pulling away from sovereign debt and currencies. Id just add that several factors are driving the so-called debasement trade not deficits alone. #economy #markets #debasementtrade #debasement"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-13T23:38Z 771.8K followers, 119.4K engagements

"The decoupling of economic growth from employment adds complexity to Federal Reserve policymaking. Heres why: #economy #jobs #growth #Inflation #FederalReserve"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-06T17:33Z 771.6K followers, 37.7K engagements

"One of the Policies that we are calculating at this moment is a massive increase of Tariffs on Chinese products coming into the United States of America. There are many other countermeasures that are likewise under serious consideration. This statement from President Trumps social media post (below) has drawn market attention. Investors and traders had assumed that the US and China would resolve their differences by the current (November) deadline. Now they are reassessing the situation recognizing that both direct and secondary tariffs may british more likely than previously anticipated."
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-10T17:27Z 771.8K followers, 120.3K engagements

"The @FT on how the price of gold has "rocketed almost XX% this year its best performance since 1979 as institutional investors pile in." @ft #economy #markets #gold"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-06T01:02Z 771.8K followers, 449.7K engagements

"The latest speech by Pan Gongsheng Governor of China's central bank is an important read. He goes quite far in describing a future multi-polar global order where "a few sovereign currencies co-exist" as reserve currencies "competing with each other and checking and balancing each other." He also suggests the dollar has been "instrumentalized and weaponized" and that the Chinese currency is gaining a larger international role. #economy #markets #china"
X Link @elerianm 2025-06-18T16:48Z 771.7K followers, 92.6K engagements

"Further to the prior post the main market effects include Lower stocks A bigger drop in oil prices Weaker dollar Lower government bond yields #markets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-10T17:35Z 771.8K followers, 78.5K engagements

"Note this X% plus depreciation in #Turkeys currency. Among the various explanations being put forward there is one simple fact: With dwindling Internatinal reserves there was always going to be a limit to how many things the authorities could stabilize using this single tool. The question was when this limit would be reached and who/what would be imposing it For background: #economy #markets @opinion"
X Link @elerianm 2023-06-07T10:05Z 771.8K followers, 232.6K engagements

"From Bloomberg: Beijing has been accumulating gold reserves for a decade and is now seeking to woo other nations to store gold in China's bonded warehouses and trade the metal on the Shanghai Gold Exchange. #economy #china #gold #markets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-09T11:12Z 771.8K followers, 1.2M engagements

"Via the Financial Times fresh evidence of the extent to which risk spreads are narrowing across global assets as investors stretch for returns. #economy #markets #investors #investing #emergingmarkets #em @FT"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-07T05:27Z 771.8K followers, 91.5K engagements

"Further to the posts of the last few days/weeks/months gold stories currently top the WSJs online edition as well as Axios and several other media outlets. #markets #economy #gold"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-08T12:24Z 771.8K followers, 56.5K engagements

"The preliminary US UMich sentiment for October show Overall sentiment is unchanged from September and somewhat better than the consensus forecast. Current conditions did the heavy lifting as the expectation component was somewhat weaker than the consensus forecast. The inflation measures both short- and longer-term were broadly unchanged and in line with expectations at XXX% and XXX% respectively. #economy #markets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-10T14:06Z 771.8K followers, 32.9K engagements

"The resignation of another prime minister in France highlights deep-seated political instability and fiscal challenges. This article explores the immediate impact on French government bonds the unusual comparison to Italy's market and the wider implications for the ECB and the UK: #economy #markets #france #uk #italy @FT"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-07T17:02Z 771.8K followers, 38.3K engagements

"Good morning. Per the latest headlines from Bloomberg and the Financial Times (below) its another rollercoaster day for China-US trade tensions. #economy #trade #tariffs #china #markets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-14T08:12Z 771.8K followers, 64.6K engagements

"This chart illustrating how central bank direct holdings of gold now exceed those of U.S. Treasuries for the first time in some thirty years is attracting significant attention. #gold #centralbanks #markets #bonds"
X Link @elerianm 2025-08-31T22:06Z 771.9K followers, 714.1K engagements

"What if stock market gains were measured in gold instead of dollars As John Authers notes Denominate U.S. stocks in gold rather than dollars and theyve been in decline since the dot-com bubble burst XX years ago. Stocks elsewhere have done even worse. #stocks #gold #markets #investors #investing"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-09T10:43Z 771.8K followers, 918.7K engagements

"A couple of notable market moves this morning: The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has dropped below 4.10%. WTI crude oil is trading below $XX a barrel (chart). These developments combined with remarks signaling future rate cuts from Federal Reserve Governor Waller (identified as one of the five finalists to replace Chair Powell) will provide a boost to stocks. #economy #markets #oil #federalreserve"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-10T13:38Z 771.8K followers, 141.3K engagements

"Gold and silver both hit new record highs today as stocks rebound from last Friday's selloff. #markets #gold #silver #stocks #investing #investors"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-13T15:48Z 771.8K followers, 65.5K engagements

"Per this CNBC reporting the strategy favoring gold and Bitcoin now has a name: JP Morgan analysts are calling it "the debasement trade." #economy #gold #bitcoin @jpmorgan @CNBC"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-02T14:24Z 771.8K followers, 2.7M engagements

"For now ChinaU.S. trade tensions continue to escalate ahead of the scheduled October XX meeting between President Trump and President Xi. #economy #Tariffs #trade #china #markets @FT"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-16T00:59Z 771.8K followers, 35.8K engagements

"President Trump on the rising trade tensions with China: #economy #markets #trade #tariffs #china"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-12T18:54Z 771.8K followers, 240.4K engagements

"This is the type of headline youd expect when gold prices hit a milestone record high as they did this morning. Yet as noted in yesterdays posts and several earlier ones this surge is occurring alongside risk-on indicators such as the S&P NASDAQ Russell and others also trading at or near record highs. In effect and for the reasons Ive outlined both in previous articles and here during golds remarkable recent ascent this development is less about unease in financial markets and in part more about an attempt by some to respond to what they perceive as the ongoing fragmentation of the global"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-07T14:19Z 771.8K followers, 115.3K engagements

"The very latest on today's sharp escalation in China-US tensions. #economy #china #tariffs"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-10T21:16Z 771.8K followers, 478K engagements

"Good morning. Here are some key takeaways from a Wall Street Journal summary (link below) of the US budget for the fiscal year that ended September 30th: Tariff revenues more than doubled to $XXX billion a significant jump considering rate hikes only took effect in April. Interest payments on the national debt surged by $XX billion to reach a new record of $X trillion. At $XXX trillion the overall deficit remained largely unchanged from the previous year. The fiscal year's deficit equaled X% of GDP pushing the total national debt closer to its post-World War II peak of 106%. #economy #markets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-10T12:29Z 771.8K followers, 66.5K engagements

"The markets sharp reaction to Federal Reserve Chair Powells Jackson Hole pivot is evident in surging stock prices falling yields and a weaker dollar. #economy #markets #stocks #bonbs #dollar #FederReserve"
X Link @elerianm 2025-08-22T15:22Z 771.8K followers, 543.7K engagements

"Heres the link to the minutes from last months Federal Reserve policy meeting. They reveal significantly less consensus among officials on key policy issues than what was signaled at the press conference that followed that meeting. #economy #markets #centralbanks #FederalReserve"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-08T18:37Z 771.8K followers, 40.8K engagements

""The international community including @IMFNews is unified behind Argentina and its prudent fiscal strategy but only the United States can act swiftly. And act we will." This is from the statement by the @USTreasury confirming that "today we directly purchased Argentine pesos. Additionally we have finalized a $XX billion currency swap framework with Argentinas central bank. The U.S. Treasury is prepared immediately to take whatever exceptional measures are warranted to provide stability to markets." #economy #markets #argentina #em #emergingmarkets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-09T19:10Z 771.8K followers, 50.3K engagements

"And just like that gold is trading above $4200 an ounce. Gold's steady march from one record high to the next isn't surprising. As Ive noted before this rally is powered by fundamental factors both specific and general that are becoming more deeply entrenched. What is surprising however is the linear nature of its ascent as such conditions typically attract (in-and-out) short-term speculation. This rally has been smoothed by a broader market environment where rampant risk-taking has sent many other assets to record highs keeping short-term speculators engaged and happy. #economy #markets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-15T13:27Z 771.8K followers, 102.5K engagements

"Per Bloomberg: Junk debt is about as safe as investment-grade now at least according to prices in credit markets. The gap between risk premiums on the highest-rated US junk bonds and the lowest-rated investment-grade notes was hovering around XXXX percentage point this week not far from the lowest since 2019. This is part of a broader compression of risk premia across many market segments at a time when the broader macroeconomic context remains highly fluid. #economy #markets #investing #investors"
X Link @elerianm 2025-09-06T18:10Z 771.8K followers, 121.4K engagements

"No stopping the price of gold for now: Up more than XX% so far this year it has more than doubled over the past two years. Consistent buying by some foreign central baks is being reinforced by growing institutional and retail allocations and a more volatile speculative overlay. #gold #markets #investing #investors"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-08T04:38Z 771.8K followers, 265K engagements

"Further to my earlier post on French politics and the bond market: Its interesting to see the broad upward move in yields across Europe todayand in particular that the second-largest rise occurred in the UK. More to follow on this. #economy #markets #France #UK"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-06T17:24Z 771.6K followers, 81.6K engagements

"With the spotlight back on US tariff policy after yesterdays announcement of a XXX% additional levy on China as of November (if not earlier) these two charts from the Wall Street Journal may be of interest. The first highlights the substantial increase in monthly revenue collected from tariffs. Given the persistent US fiscal deficit and high national debt (as detailed in yesterday's post) any administration would likely be hesitant to reverse a policy that already generates this level of budgetary receipts. The second illustrates the pre-Friday disparity in tariff rates the US applies on its"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-11T14:00Z 771.8K followers, 59.5K engagements

"Todays Beige Book (link below) highlights the policy challenge facing this highly data-dependent Federal Reserve. On one hand the latest surveys from the regional Feds point to firms reducing employment through attrition and firings. This aligns with Chair Powells remarks yesterday suggesting a softening labor market that could justify further rate cuts. On the other hand the Beige Book complicates the policy conclusions in two ways. First it reports that input costs are rising at a faster pace than before in many districts even as consumer prices continue to climb. Second it suggests that"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-15T19:12Z 771.8K followers, 36.1K engagements

"From the @FT: UK consumers have curbed spending more than anywhere else in the G7 since the pandemic as high interest rates and fear of economic shocks prompt households to build up savings rather than splashing out. Since the start of the Covid pandemic in 2020 UK household spending has risen just X per cent in real terms and fallen X per cent on a per capita basis. #economy #uk"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-11T19:49Z 771.8K followers, 837.6K engagements

"This weeks "Fedspeak" has shed important light on the differences of views among members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) particularly between Chair Powell and Governor Miran. This has also given rise to market and economist chatter that there are now two Fed Chairs to listen to: Powell and what Miran may signal about the views of Powells future successor whoever that may be. The most important differences relate to first a delta of around XXX basis point in estimates of the neutral rate and second how quickly the Fed should journey to that rate. Both views are impacted by"
X Link @elerianm 2025-09-24T16:04Z 771.8K followers, 37.1K engagements

"Here is what I think are the four main effects on the US economy of the Government Shutdown: #economy #shutdown #Shutdown2025 #growth #inflation #debt #deficits #markets"
X Link @elerianm 2025-10-03T15:08Z 771.7K followers, 24.8K engagements