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@aaronjmars Avatar @aaronjmars @aaronjmars

@aaronjmars posts on X about prediction markets, hyperstitions, polymarket, crypto the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

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Mentions: XX #

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Followers: XXXXX #

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Social Influence

Social category influence cryptocurrencies XXXX% finance XXXX% stocks XXXX% technology brands XXXX% social networks XXXX% exchanges #4499 events XXXX% travel destinations XXXX% nfts XXXX%

Social topic influence prediction markets #351, hyperstitions #2, polymarket #475, crypto #4557, kalshi #551, ai 3.98%, the first 3.98%, future 2.27%, $hst #2, $1m #201

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @hyperstiti0ns @polymarket @hulknobanner @trendlefi @khrnnsarz @llamaonthebrink @kalshi @papageorgious @butterygg @joshvancuyck @crexsol @0xen0va @grok @madame1829 @indexyxyz @combinatortrade @poppunkonchain @lordofafew @connorking @meleemarkets

Top assets mentioned Host Hotels and Resorts Inc (HST) Monad (MON) Ethereum (ETH) Daydreams (DREAMS) PunkStrategy (PNKSTR) REKT (REKT) Zcash (ZEC) Celestia (TIA) OG Fan Token (OG) Solana (SOL) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"my main thesis for crypto : tokens are reflexive coordination engines but reflexivity requires commitmentyou have to go all-in i'm launching smth new : @hyperstiti0ns is the weird baby of OlympusDAO Polymarket & MetaDAO"
X Link 2025-11-25T21:44Z 5397 followers, 23K engagements

"prediction markets will replace buying stuff. i want someone to bring kiwis to my house. i make a prediction market about whether someone will deliver X kiwis to my doorstep and load $XX into "no". a guy with an ebike sees it and picks up some kiwis. before dropping them off on my doorstep he bets yes. he drops them off. the market resolves to "yes" and he gets $XX. rest in peace amazon doordash ubereats etc"
X Link 2025-12-05T04:38Z 5396 followers, 5.6M engagements

"@madame1829 @indexy_xyz @hyperstiti0ns @combinatortrade kalshi onchain is bullshit polymarket is onchain but have no composability use offchain CLOB & is on a dead chain"
X Link 2025-12-08T13:37Z 5396 followers, XXX engagements

"you can now edit hyperstitions market cards on have a good shitpost"
X Link 2025-12-08T14:58Z 5397 followers, XXX engagements

"skin in the game or stfu when ppl tell me @hyperstiti0ns is just a "bounty program with prediction markets" they dont understand that incentives are linked to risk taking so you incentivize believing & not mercenary behavior"
X Link 2025-12-08T18:54Z 5397 followers, XXX engagements

"top gainer prediction markets top gainer monad ecosystem $1m daily volume next market will be fun $hst"
X Link 2025-12-09T01:44Z 5397 followers, 1445 engagements

"@PopPunkOnChain @pumpcade why parimutuel"
X Link 2025-12-09T20:36Z 5397 followers, XXX engagements

"my prediction market thesis we're in the polkastarter era of PMs lots of capital but a shitty interface bad ideas and no real narrative the "truth market" thesis doesnt stand up because liquidity is tiny and no one can edge any bet the only markets with volumes are sports (nothing new) & politics politics is interesting because for the first time reality can be shaped by capital - people start to rely on polymarket / kalshi to understand whos going to win it's not something new either before politics polls existed & influenced the election pretty hard but for the first time ever capital can"
X Link 2025-11-06T17:17Z 5315 followers, 4417 engagements

".@no__________end sharing about "a consensus driven hyperstitional engine" on Ethereum in 2018. crazy early"
X Link 2025-11-27T22:03Z 5313 followers, 1528 engagements

"it's hard for a founder to go the liquid TGE route but I think it will be the future i have huge respect for @lordOfAFew on $dreams he's built in public for X year one of the most exciting AI project i've seen a dozen of x402 infra deck @ 20/40M valuation while dreams has been sitting around 3M for X months it's a fucking sick industry"
X Link 2025-11-28T19:56Z 5326 followers, 6652 engagements

"ICOs are just a new way to exit on retails the best performers of the past years have been liquid plays accessible to EVERYONE $zcash is up XXX% yearly $pnkstr did a x64 in one month $rekt did a x30 in four months $ore did a x40 in two FUCKING WEEK"
X Link 2025-11-28T22:50Z 5323 followers, XXX engagements

"meanwhile on VC land (by/ @belizardd) @celestia: raised $156M now at $X in TVL and $XX in daily fees. - @0G_labs: raised $357M now at $1.5M in TVL and $OG is -XX% from TGE. - @StoryProtocol: raised $216M now at $12M in TVL and $XXX in daily fees. - @movementlabsxyz: raised $41M now $201M in TVL but. $X in daily fees and $7M of DEXs volume"
X Link 2025-11-29T17:14Z 5324 followers, XXX engagements

"@jasonkimvc very cool"
X Link 2025-12-02T20:14Z 5321 followers, XXX engagements

"@lorexx_xx @0xChessMaster @hyperstiti0ns we're live"
X Link 2025-12-04T18:33Z 5321 followers, XXX engagements

"@crexsol sounds cool how do i try"
X Link 2025-12-05T22:15Z 5317 followers, 55.2K engagements

"@surfcoderepeat pieter wouldnt survive one day as a memecoin dev"
X Link 2025-12-05T23:56Z 5321 followers, XX engagements

"@socialgraphvc @hyperstiti0ns new kind of Prediction Market"
X Link 2025-12-07T04:35Z 5318 followers, XX engagements

"havent read that shit yet but i can make a prediction market on the fact he will complain about i joined crypto bc it has cool values (wrong) now its bad bc speculation gambling hopefully a part where he say he tried to build some infra / app but he didnt want to lean into speculation so he stopped"
X Link 2025-12-07T04:38Z 5321 followers, 1547 engagements

"hyperstitions markets at devconnect @JakeHartnell 🔥"
X Link 2025-11-20T19:03Z 5377 followers, XXX engagements

"brian armstrong didnt manipulate the market the market manipulated him hyperstitions"
X Link 2025-11-26T15:13Z 5377 followers, XXX engagements

""We're not getting the futarchy that Robin Hanson imagined where prediction markets guide governance through wisdom. We're getting something much weirder: markets that pay people to make specific futures happen." hyperstitions"
X Link 2025-11-26T18:19Z 5378 followers, 1291 engagements

"a few prediction markets I'm excited about : - @theclearingco probably the closest shot at a Polymarket / Kalshi competitor - @pythiamarkets the first opportunity market (afaik) - @butterygg a very cool tweak on Futarchy enabling you to get leverage on tokens permisionlessly - @functionspaceHQ distribution market for forecasting - @belegends_ok first no-loss prediction market very exciting model for long term / consumer bets - @0xEN0VA cool experiment around reflexivity for PMs - @context best experience for long tail markets on X - @MyriadMarkets PMs for media / cool embedding strategy -"
X Link 2025-11-26T20:37Z 5328 followers, 27.1K engagements

"the path to hyperstitions ---- announced @hyperstiti0ns two days ago. wanted to trace how i got here & give props to everyone who shaped the thinking. joined crypto in 2020 during covid lockdown. at the time i was a grad student writing a thesis on utopia/dystopia and how fictional futures reshape the present. that's where i first encountered the idea that time isn't a clean arrow from past to present to future. most technological breakthroughs were fictional first. jules verne wrote abt the submarine. arthur c. clarke described the satellite. kubrick showed us the tablet. bitcoin itself has"
X Link 2025-11-27T15:50Z 5396 followers, 1811 engagements

"whos building the first quantum market launchpad"
X Link 2025-11-27T21:58Z 5363 followers, 3726 engagements

"A SMALL PREDICTION MARKET TAXONOMY ---- Binary Markets (@Polymarket @Kalshi) Standard Yes/No betting on outcomes Bonding Curve Markets (@meleemarkets) AMM-style pricing where early bettors get better prices Opinion Markets (@factmach) Bet on crowd consensus not ground truth Leverage Markets Tranched risk exposure on same event Distribution Markets (@trepa_io @functionspaceHQ) Bet on numeric ranges or exact values Opportunity Markets (@pythiamarkets) Private-price discovery bounties for alpha hunting Hyperstitions Markets (@hyperstiti0ns @0xEN0VA) Coordinate capital to manifest outcomes"
X Link 2025-11-27T23:17Z 5397 followers, 19K engagements

"@gemchange_ltd hyperstitions coded"
X Link 2025-11-28T15:16Z 5391 followers, XXX engagements

""Information laundering will become a business model as big positions manufacture their own narratives" hyperstitions"
X Link 2025-11-29T15:41Z 5369 followers, XXX engagements

"Polymarket / Kalshi are mostly just sport / politics They are constrained to pick only non-reflexive markets so sell boring markets "what will be the weather in london tomorrow" Hyperstitions open a whole new design space one where manipulation / social coercion / information assymetry is incentivized"
X Link 2025-11-29T23:20Z 5377 followers, 2576 engagements

"is this a real problem like does anyone here required a human to do a verification bc "AI is good at faking things""
X Link 2025-11-30T00:34Z 5389 followers, XXX engagements

".@noicedotso docs are really cooking a glimmer of hope in this ICO meta"
X Link 2025-11-30T18:35Z 5395 followers, 2449 engagements

"probably the best prediction market thesis every market with human actors is secretly a bounty marketnot predicting outcomes but paying people to make them happen @0xTulipKing thinks this is an emergent bug at @hyperstiti0ns we think it's the feature"
X Link 2025-11-30T20:26Z 5346 followers, 6901 engagements

"some have been reading my tweets about prediction markets lately and their main reaction is "it's like black mirror" but here's what they miss: the future is already being manufactured. polymarket shaped the 2024 election narrative. VCs coordinate around outcomes they want to see. media manufactures consent. the difference is who gets to do the manufacturing. right now it's institutions algorithms and concentrated capital operating in the dark. @hyperstiti0ns makes the mechanism explicit public and accessible. black mirror's dystopia is manipulation without agency. what we're building is"
X Link 2025-11-30T20:29Z 5349 followers, 1421 engagements

"ethereum in 2022 : you should build on a L2 ethereum in 2023 : you should build on a L2 ethereum in 2024 : you should build on a L2 ethereum in 2025 : you should build on ETH what happened there"
X Link 2025-11-30T21:05Z 5349 followers, 106.7K engagements

"if you have been wondering "can hyperstitions replace futarchy" thats the article you need to read"
X Link 2025-12-01T16:49Z 5378 followers, 2561 engagements

"cool article on reflexivity & hyperstitions"
X Link 2025-12-01T17:48Z 5369 followers, 1202 engagements

"crypto is so fucking cooked AI is a XX trillion bubble with $400B spending doing cross company partnership every day w/ amount they dont own claiming AGI & building nuclear reactors every few days the last thing crypto needs is valuing Pump Fun using P/E metrics bro WE NEED TO SELL A DREAM AGAIN"
X Link 2025-12-02T19:40Z 5369 followers, 25.6K engagements

"Futarchy: bet on which policy is better winning policy executes Problem: your bet doesn't help build the policy. You're still a spectator. Hyperstitions completes the circuit. The bet is the execution"
X Link 2025-12-02T21:38Z 5369 followers, XXX engagements

"still working on a piece to explain the exact mechanism of hyperstitions & underlying coordination but i really like this phrasing : "the goal of hyperstition is not to convince but to impregnate""
X Link 2025-12-03T11:32Z 5369 followers, 1071 engagements

"sell dreams not P/E"
X Link 2025-12-03T11:38Z 5348 followers, XXX engagements

"launch day for @hyperstiti0ns $HST goes live in X hour & the first hyperstition market goes live tomorrow. what started as a passion project is about to become something much bigger. two years ago i wrote an article called "the fabric of hyperstitions" that ended with this: "We live in a new world. A world where ideas are permissionless and free floating. But we don't have the means to capture them at scale. Ideas are constrained: owned by corporations who leverage them to build business models. It's a vicious cycle one that harms our world. Let's free ideas. Open-source everything. Make it"
X Link 2025-12-03T15:55Z 5392 followers, 9889 engagements

"FOMO trenches are on fire"
X Link 2025-12-03T19:48Z 5373 followers, 1207 engagements

"crypto is a coordination game"
X Link 2025-12-04T18:32Z 5396 followers, 2169 engagements

"hyperstitions"
X Link 2025-12-04T19:43Z 5369 followers, XXX engagements

"hyperstitions"
X Link 2025-12-04T19:49Z 5369 followers, XXX engagements

"whats the next type of hypersititions market we should drop anything fun anything that can shake up CT lets manipulate that shit"
X Link 2025-12-05T04:31Z 5374 followers, XXX engagements

"if you are trying to build a consumer app please do it on Monad very sharp feedback on UI/UX great distribution & cool ecosystem"
X Link 2025-12-05T04:47Z 5364 followers, 4373 engagements

"prediction markets feels so early i expect a third competitor to emerge against polymarket/kalshi like uniswap emerged against binance/coinbase more decentralized more degen more fun"
X Link 2025-12-05T05:43Z 5369 followers, 3768 engagements

"hyperstitions"
X Link 2025-12-05T16:03Z 5370 followers, XXX engagements

"i love the vibes of this image"
X Link 2025-12-05T19:45Z 5385 followers, XXX engagements

"price reflexivity was a cool experiment a few learnings : 24h cycles are not optimal we can cook something more fast paced we have a very unique PM design which means mechanics should be highlighted better to avoid confusion - working on that coordinating w/ people from around the world is really fun - im happy w/ our interface & how "real time" it feels - will focus toward that cooking new types of markets for next week appreciate every feedback hyperstitions market narrative is already big - we're making sure product follow the narrative :)"
X Link 2025-12-06T00:27Z 5386 followers, 2014 engagements

"@Nomo_derek jk its a copypaste"
X Link 2025-12-06T15:21Z 5370 followers, XX engagements

"5M views on this shit says a lot about how mainstream prediction markets are and how the zeitgeist is shifting from "bloomberg for reality" to "hyperstitions machine" biggest possible validation for @hyperstiti0ns"
X Link 2025-12-07T04:24Z 5385 followers, 3220 engagements

"prediction markets feels so early i expect a third competitor to emerge against polymarket/kalshi like uniswap emerged against binance/coinbase i've created an index on @indexy_xyz to bet on this thesis called Prediction Markets XXX added @hyperstiti0ns @combinatortrade @predictandpump @pmx_trade & @truemarkets"
X Link 2025-12-07T20:33Z 5397 followers, 3967 engagements

"@Jebus hyperstitions"
X Link 2025-12-07T20:55Z 5386 followers, 10.6K engagements

"next @hyperstiti0ns market tomorrow 12PM EST docs have also been modified & simplified please lmk if there is anything you'd like to see there"
X Link 2025-12-08T03:53Z 5366 followers, XXX engagements

"@hyperstiti0ns"
X Link 2025-12-08T03:53Z 5366 followers, XXX engagements

"new wave of PM XXX projects launching (hyperstitions did $1M volume in X hours)"
X Link 2025-12-08T03:56Z 5366 followers, XXX engagements

"there are tons of MM on Polymarket & Kalshi so liquidity providing is not an issue / works for most markets imo the issue is that : 1) there are very few markets that motivate people to participate & thus attract real liquidity 2) most of those markets get rekt by insider info / manipulation that effectively kill MM but thats not a market issue not a liquidity issue imo"
X Link 2025-12-08T13:49Z 5369 followers, XX engagements

"i was the biggest farcaster hater in 2024 but i think their pivot is interesting & a potential to become the new paradise for traders you dont realize how powerful apps like FC & Fomo are going to become"
X Link 2025-12-08T14:00Z 5396 followers, 2296 engagements

"The most interesting markets can't be traded on Polymarket or Kalshi. We fix that @hyperstiti0ns"
X Link 2025-12-08T14:21Z 5396 followers, XXX engagements

"$2M of volume actually (we x2 our data like Polymarket)"
X Link 2025-12-08T23:02Z 5397 followers, XXX engagements

"it's funny how when you challenge the status quo some people will dunk on you for trying something new we've built an open protocol for coordination - where people can incentivize influencer publicly to shill a token the other alternative is hidden deals market making deals where KOL gets undisclosed tokens & dump on their community"
X Link 2025-12-09T01:39Z 5385 followers, XXX engagements

"it's funny how when you challenge the status quo some people will dunk on you for trying something new we've built an open protocol for coordination - where people can incentivize influencer publicly to shill a token the other alternative is hidden deals where KOL gets undisclosed tokens & dump on their community"
X Link 2025-12-09T02:02Z 5385 followers, 1535 engagements

"be me hedge my house by buying $1000 on "Tsunami flooding in downtown San Francisco" XX% spread ends up with $XX of value gets hit by the flood UMA holders dont consider it a flood loose my house and my money"
X Link 2025-12-09T18:46Z 5397 followers, XXX engagements

"you can say farcaster failed which is probably true yet it's the most interesting space of Base a $60B MC backed chain. it also spawned a $700M token (degen) a great ecosystem of app builders & have a very cool wallet moat. so idk"
X Link 2025-12-09T18:50Z 5397 followers, XXX engagements

"Kalshi's main competitor isn't Polymarket it's a brand new Prediction Market design that makes reflexive bets interesting & unlock XX% of the market +2m (real) volume with X markets @hyperstiti0ns"
X Link 2025-12-09T19:18Z 5397 followers, 1216 engagements

"@hulknobanner @hyperstiti0ns we're still really very early - it's mostly whales right now"
X Link 2025-12-09T20:26Z 5390 followers, XX engagements

"AI is building dyson sphere to unlock alien intelligence Crypto is building another L1"
X Link 2025-12-09T20:38Z 5397 followers, XXX engagements

"imo intelligence should be evaluated by level of context switching - or much time you take to understand a new topic / work on something new / change your behavior about something how fast can you load a new context and perform i don't fear the man who spent 10000 hours on one thing. I fear the man who became dangerous in ten domains in 1000 hours each"
X Link 2025-12-09T22:35Z 5397 followers, 1368 engagements

"just got the craziest hyperstition market idea lots of fun incoming will make trenches great again see you on thursday 12PM EST"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:58Z 5397 followers, 1484 engagements

"thats it prediction markets are over the first large scale hyperstition / manipulation just happened who the fuck is d4vd no one knows but he won Kalshi & Polymarket #1 Searched Person on Google this year markets whenever you have a feedback loop system that gets super close to "predicting" the outcomes that system's input in itself can indeed change the event output"
X Link 2025-12-04T03:46Z 5397 followers, 77.6K engagements

"bitcoin was an experiment twitter was an experiment slack was an experiment uniswap was an experiment cryptopunks was an experiment the best things starts as a toy"
X Link 2025-12-08T14:16Z 5397 followers, 4681 engagements

"you can manifest WNBA dildos by clicking on the right buttons from the other side of the planet and you are joking"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:29Z 5397 followers, XXX engagements

"btw polymarket have this weird decimal conversion bug where $X traded account for $X XXX XXX XXX XXX (one gazillion)"
X Link 2025-12-09T18:40Z 5396 followers, XXX engagements

"prediction markets will replace therapy"
X Link 2025-12-11T00:40Z 5397 followers, XXX engagements

"thank god no one will see you gooning on balajis zora DMs"
X Link 2025-12-11T00:51Z 5398 followers, XX engagements