@Scott_TrenchFI Avatar @Scott_TrenchFI Scott Trench

Scott Trench posts on X about bitcoin, youtube, if you, hashrate the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [--] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence finance cryptocurrencies social networks technology brands countries currencies fashion brands

Social topic influence bitcoin, youtube, if you, hashrate, to the, in the, investment, peak, theory, inflation

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@chasedownleads This is horsehit. Everyone knows Eldren transitioned to fitfluencing after his private equity flop with the South Sea Company. You already know how to get [--] pack abs you just dont want them bad enough"
X Link 2025-09-18T22:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@307Fool @DavidGFool Thanks for the shoutout Was a fun show and learned a lot"
X Link 2025-08-23T03:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@Rajatsoni You are a CFA. Price DOES MATTER when analyzing an investment of any type"
X Link 2026-01-31T20:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@NeilJacobs The alternative to Bitcoin is not hoarding dollars. Its buying businesses and real estate. Why do Bitcoin people pretend like its hoard dollars or buy bitcoin"
X Link 2026-01-31T20:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"To the shock horror and failed attempts at derision from Bitcoin Maxis I have gone down the Bitcoin rabbit hole. And I dont invest in it because I understand it. The Rational Investors Case Against Bitcoin via @YouTube https://youtu.be/VPxhROo8PuAsi=plOYRwoDEfmnsgYm https://youtu.be/VPxhROo8PuAsi=plOYRwoDEfmnsgYm"
X Link 2026-02-02T15:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@W2Freedom @YouTube 2) the settlement layer is the only reasonable take at this time in my view. If you believe this you implicitly also concede that btc is not useful as a medium of exchange"
X Link 2026-02-03T01:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@W2Freedom @YouTube Yes. That is why I said. And it is a fundamentally different statement than what you quoted me in earlier. This belief is very literal in the bitcoin community and it is priced in by maxis"
X Link 2026-02-03T02:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@W2Freedom @YouTube It is preposterous and absurd to question whether the USD is a medium of exchange. I can buy almost literally anything with dollars. It is not absurd to treat BTC as a theoretical settlement later. It is just its ONLY path forward. bad medium of exchange if only use is L2"
X Link 2026-02-03T02:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@W2Freedom @YouTube I guess that is theoretically possible but BTC is so volatile (as we saw this last week) that I will bet heavily against you that it will ever be stable enough to function as the unit of account"
X Link 2026-02-03T02:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@farrmacro I completely agree. But you are being too nice. You are saying with wonderful irony that the bitcoin bros havent done their homework. If you actually do your homework the analysis leads to exactly where youve arrived: https://biggerpocketsmoney.com/bitcoins-binary-endgame/ https://biggerpocketsmoney.com/bitcoins-binary-endgame/"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@farrmacro Basically - one guarantee* of the collapse is the volatility at scale. When price surges to record highs (as it must for the security budget to survive halvings) capex in mining equipment explodes. When the price crashes to below the marginal cost of electricity"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@farrmacro Huge portions of the network shut down. The lower it goes the more hashrate goes idle. Since most infrastructure built for hashrate has no alternative utility there is only one positive NPV move for each actor. Its inevitable"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@danalexanderbtc @farrmacro You dont understand. What happens when that difficulty results in 99% of the $80B in CapEx that was invested this past cycle turning off because the reward is less valuable than the power input alone The only positive NPV action for that idle CapEx is an attack"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@danalexanderbtc @farrmacro Please - do your homework on this Until fees are meaningful this is an existential risk for Bitcoin"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@danalexanderbtc @farrmacro No attack is credible right now. Watch this chart. If it goes below 5% if peak the risk I talked about is very real. You are not crazy to think there are worlds where that never happens but you are a fool to dismiss what I am saying as a credible risk"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@danalexanderbtc @farrmacro There you go. Go ahead and bet on integrity. Ill take my chances elsewhere. Do I still not understand bitcoin"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"If you cannot explain why this number going down 90% or more from peak is an existential threat to bitcoin then you as an investor in bitcoin have not done your homework"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@W2Freedom Its different when the security guards are scattered around the world and still all have the key to the vault. In the context of the better part of $80B in stranded CapEx it means multiple single actors can attack. At a 99% drop that moves from a handful to dozens"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@TheScottCarroll Safety is so hard to peg. It intersects volatility in price how fast it goes down duration how quickly miners pivot to powering AI chips instead of ASICs the clusters of mining efficiency and the completely unknowable variable of actor behavior in a game theory setting"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@W2Freedom He is right at peak hashrate but he is wrong not just about nation states but even smaller players at the moments of peak downward volatility and/or sustained low prices. The vulnerability has to be modeled into peak volatility not averages or peaks"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@W2Freedom The incentive pool remains static in terms of bitcoin mined. Both the idle miners and the surviving miners (who will have extremely low marginal positive NPV for honest mining) will have massive possible ROI And most remaining miners would be in China Russia Iran and paragu"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@W2Freedom Ok I can concede the last point. I will use that phrase going forward"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@W2Freedom At what price point or hashrate decline from peak would you concede that the risk is existential"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@shahh Well wouldnt a bitcoiner say bitcoin has stayed the same. Its the dollar thats gone up"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@FinFreedom414 The cool thing about pools of businesses and real estate is that you can ACTUALLY hold them forever. Bitcoin must be sold eventually if you ever want to enjoy your wealth"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@W2Freedom @BTCBreadMan You dont understand the halving cycle and bitcoins CapEx investment this last cycle. You clearly need to do more homework"
X Link 2026-02-06T13:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@W2Freedom @BTCBreadMan I dont think it has dropped 95% from peak in a modern halving cycle with this much debt and purpose built equipment. And even if it does everyone could play nice. Its all what you believe at the moments of peak fragility. And understanding the risk. You do. Many dont"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@W2Freedom @BTCBreadMan I concede this. You are right that this statement is unreasonable. My position is more this: "If bitcoin drops to $25K this halving cycle it's security dynamics will be tested under game theory in a way that is not comparable to it's history. This risk is underappreciated.""
X Link 2026-02-06T17:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@Breedlove22 Once you have actually done your homework you realize that: - Price CAGR needs to be 12% or more in real inflation adjusted returns (or 20% with no fees) - volatility needs to go below gold - fees need to magically materialize as a meaningful percentage if security budget"
X Link 2026-02-07T13:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Breedlove22 If these do not all come true you will invevitably see the network with near mathematical certainty see its security budget and hashrate drop 99% from peak at some point in the next [--] halvings. You are betting on a miracle"
X Link 2026-02-07T13:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@BuckSexton - That fees will replace the security budget as block subsidies are cut each halving (without fees price has to grow at closer to 20% CAGR (real inflation adjusted)"
X Link 2026-02-07T13:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@BuckSexton If this does not happen then it is almost mathematicslly certain for bitcoins security network to be desperately weakened and experience a state where 95% of a prior peaks hashrate goes offline. Multiple times. Each time game theory math gets ugly"
X Link 2026-02-07T13:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@W2Freedom @GrantCardone Got it. And inflation up = [--] yr up less debasement capacity = bitcoin down Or is it always inflation goes up/down/sideways = bitcoin up"
X Link 2026-02-08T15:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@farrmacro Almost no one is willing to do this with a bearish lens because a large percentage of the horde is so stupid and mean. This creates an echo chamber where serious issues are not discussed. My antidote is the stratification of treatments discussed above"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@way2fast4ya @MindyatBP My thesis around Bitcoin is well documented. I believe it goes to zero. The only options I would consider on MSTR or STRC would be put options. I doubt however that I can get a good price on even deep out of the money puts because of the extremely high implied volatility"
X Link 2025-12-03T02:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@ramit Your comments section is full of people who seem to think fiancial planners should not be paid and well. This is a strawman. You are not arguing that. You are pointing out the absurdity of this AUM structure. The implication is not to go without an advisor. Its for flat fee"
X Link 2025-12-19T00:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@stoolpresidente Eagles fan here. The Bills INT was one continuous movement where ball was contested before during and after the receiver hit the ground. The Bears/Rams contest happened after the catch and knee down. Refs got it right. Hard for Bills fans thought. 1st PI was BS though"
X Link 2026-01-19T03:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@kathleen_elk I'm [--] and just wrote Set for Life: Could I send you a copy I'd be delighted for #CNBC's opinion https://www.amazon.com/Set-Life-Dominate-American-Dream/dp/0997584718/ref=tmm_hrd_swatch_0_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr= https://www.amazon.com/Set-Life-Dominate-American-Dream/dp/0997584718/ref=tmm_hrd_swatch_0_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr="
X Link 2017-05-05T00:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"RT @Ritholtz: [--] Thursday AM Reads: -Fidelity Contrafunds Will Danoffs Secret Sauce [----] lines of markdown just triggered a $285 billion"
X Link 2026-02-12T19:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"10 Thursday AM Reads: -Fidelity Contrafunds Will Danoffs Secret Sauce [----] lines of markdown just triggered a $285 billion sell-off what broke -Your stocks have been slumping but you probably cant blame Trump -Bitcoins Binary Endgame -Stumped Waymos Driven From Philippines [--] Thursday AM Reads https://t.co/Dm1Rd8qXrx [--] Thursday AM Reads https://t.co/Dm1Rd8qXrx"
X Link 2026-02-12T12:31Z 243.6K followers, [----] engagements

"10 Thursday AM Reads http://dlvr.it/TQw5Ff http://dlvr.it/TQw5Ff"
X Link 2026-02-12T11:36Z 243.6K followers, 12.5K engagements

"If you cannot explain why this number going down 90% or more from peak is an existential threat to bitcoin then you as an investor in bitcoin have not done your homework"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"To the shock horror and failed attempts at derision from Bitcoin Maxis I have gone down the Bitcoin rabbit hole. And I dont invest in it because I understand it. The Rational Investors Case Against Bitcoin via @YouTube https://youtu.be/VPxhROo8PuAsi=plOYRwoDEfmnsgYm https://youtu.be/VPxhROo8PuAsi=plOYRwoDEfmnsgYm"
X Link 2026-02-02T15:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Here's my take on the huge pullback in Crypto Gold and Silver this weekend:"
X Link 2026-02-01T15:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"This. The Bitcoin crowd seems unstable The Bitcoin crowd seems unstable"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The Bitcoin crowd seems unstable"
X Link 2026-02-01T03:12Z 179.7K followers, 32.1K engagements

"This is what will happen to me if I dont invest in Bitcoin right"
X Link 2026-01-30T13:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"5 examples of a Rich Life: * [--] appetizers look good. You get both * Unlimited spending on books * Weekly date night with childcare * Giving out full-size candy bars for Halloween * Buying a beautiful house that you love every time you walk inside Your Rich Life is yours"
X Link 2025-12-17T14:03Z 299.2K followers, 43.1K engagements

"According to the data the vast majority of retirees never spend their principal. They simply live off of portfolio income (and any other income like government pensions etc.). As such all of the discussion on safe withdrawal rates guardrails the 4% rule is a waste of time. Most retirees wont follow it. Given this reality I am surprised how little attention is paid to a dividend focused retirement strategy. If most retirees only live off of portfolio income and never sell principal wouldnt a strategy focused on dividends that generally yield a higher spendable income in retirement be well"
X Link 2025-06-19T10:36Z 16.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Math aside its hard to empathize with the decision to buy a house if you earn a high income in NYC and dont have kids. Its hard to empathize with the decision to rent for decades if you live in suburban or rural America and have children you plan to send to public school"
X Link 2025-06-06T16:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"China lashed back at Trumps tariffs saying it would apply 34% levies on all imported goods from the U.S. https://on.wsj.com/3G8knIU https://on.wsj.com/3G8knIU"
X Link 2025-04-04T10:44Z 20.8M followers, 60.9K engagements

"We know that home prices have increased in this country 45% since [----] rising interest rates have caused the average mortgage payment in this country to more than double and housing affordability is at its lowest level since the early 1990s. We had an awesome conversation with @STrenchBP from @BiggerPockets about whether or not investing in real estate still makes sense. Check it out now https://moneyguy.com/2023/05/is-now-the-best-time-to-invest-in-real-estate-with-scott-trench-from-biggerpockets/"
X Link 2023-05-05T14:50Z 16.7K followers, [----] engagements

"The CEO of BiggerPockets explains why real-estate investors should have a 'healthy fear' of the market right now and why they should avoid the once-popular BRRR method entirely https://trib.al/k1PvXQd https://trib.al/k1PvXQd"
X Link 2023-05-02T13:39Z 4.1M followers, 20K engagements

"When you think about reaching Financial Independence does it scare you to actually sell assets and draw down on your nest egg Would living off the dividends of your index funds make it more palatable since it seems more like "income" than selling assets"
X Link 2023-02-04T19:08Z [----] followers, 27.1K engagements

"Why settle for less when you can spend smarter 🤔 Listen to the BiggerPockets Money Podcast with @mrmoneymustache for tips on efficient spending 💰"
X Link 2023-02-01T21:00Z 82.5K followers, 21.5K engagements

"Thank you for the very nice mention @howveryheather Please feel free to reach out to me any time if I can be helpful in the future - Scott@biggerpockets.com https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/5-tips-save-25-000-190627399.html https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/5-tips-save-25-000-190627399.html"
X Link 2022-08-16T21:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"One of the best analyses I've ever seen on any topic and the best I've seen on whether college is worthwhile (financially at least) by far. Wow"
X Link 2021-10-26T04:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Are you thinking about buying a home Debating rent vs buy What should you consider What should a #homebuyer know @STrenchBP & @MindyatBP from @biggerpockets Money podcast join the show to discuss #homebuying tips etc. Visit #personalfinance http://earnandinvest.com/210 http://earnandinvest.com/210"
X Link 2021-05-13T16:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@STrenchBP is an accomplished real estate investor author and podcaster and CEO of BiggerPockets. In this episode Scott joins us to talk about the world of financial independence and using frugality to build wealth. Anchor: https://lnkd.in/eD-CfcK https://lnkd.in/ex_vv_f https://lnkd.in/eD-CfcK https://lnkd.in/ex_vv_f"
X Link 2021-05-13T15:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Whoa Excited to be recognized in a pretty great group of finance experts here https://www.gobankingrates.com/money/financial-planning/where-do-americans-get-their-money-advice-top-authors-and-books/ https://www.gobankingrates.com/money/financial-planning/where-do-americans-get-their-money-advice-top-authors-and-books/"
X Link 2021-04-26T15:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@STrenchBP & @MindyJensen from @BiggerPockets join the guys today to talk about purchasing a home Is it a good investment How to make the buy vs rent decision. They share tips on how to avoid real estate mistakes Visit #realestate #personalfinance http://ChooseFI.com/312 http://ChooseFI.com/312"
X Link 2021-04-12T20:02Z 20.9K followers, [--] engagements

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