[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@Prithvir12 Avatar @Prithvir12 PJ

Prediction markets are gaining traction, with notional volumes reaching $XXX billion and over XXX million transactions across platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket, and others. Regulatory clarity is being sought, with a joint SEC-CFTC roundtable discussing the need for clear rules on DeFi, event contracts, and tokenization. The industry is also exploring new tools, such as leverage and modern portfolio theory, to further develop prediction markets.

Engagements: XXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

Mentions: X #

Mentions Line Chart

Followers: XXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence #

Social category influence finance XXX% automotive brands XXXX% stocks XXXX% exchanges XXXX% cryptocurrencies XXXX%

Social topic influence prediction 1.9%, autonomous 0.63%, tesla 0.63%, events 0.63%, ads 0.63%, futures 0.63%, insurance 0.63%, life insurance 0.63%, hyperliquid 0.63%, bitcoin XXXX%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @polymarket @kalshi @trylimitless @myriadmarkets @askpolymarket @rektdiomedes @kennyakins10 @tradefoxai @sxtvik @thedefisaint @chainmonky @banethedev @moomsxxx @cryptolinn @mariagora24 @pendlefi @datadashboards @chadbtcord @rainmaker1973 @j0hnwang

Top assets mentioned Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Bitcoin (BTC)

Top Social Posts #

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"despite the shenanigans and liquidations working in this industry is a privilege participants range from theoretic math phds to founders who sold their autonomous tractor companies everyday i log on here and connect with the smartest people in the world"
X Link @Prithvir12 2025-10-12T12:28Z 8444 followers, 2475 engagements

"blows my mind that XX% of the world can see state-sponsored lottery ads plastered across highways but cant legally invest in: - macro events - political elections - the next private tesla - sports teams they follow religiously"
X Link @Prithvir12 2025-10-15T16:23Z 8446 followers, 1578 engagements

"Every New Financial Market Is First Called Gambling From life insurance in the 1700s to stock options grain futures index futures weather futures CFDs and spread bets and prediction markets today - the cycle is the same. Step 1: This is gambling Step 2: This is useful Step 3: This is indispensable Insurance started as wagers on lives - In the 1700s people bought policies on strangers and bet on their deaths. Scandals forced Parliament to act. - Two laws created the modern rule: you must have an insurable interest. Marine Insurance Act 1745 banned wager-like ship policies. Life Assurance Act"
X Link @Prithvir12 2025-09-15T11:05Z 8440 followers, 12.8K engagements

"What are your predictions for the most widely adopted use cases for HIP-3 Hyperliquid"
X Link @Prithvir12 2025-10-13T15:16Z 8447 followers, 1782 engagements

"Interesting idea from @CryptoHayes on how to think about selling bitcoin. Don't look at BTC in fiat terms. Look at BTC's price in energy terms. Today X BTC is worth XXX barrels of oil. If X BTC = 10k barrels of oil maybe sell BTC to buy energy producing assets. but not to hold fiat"
X Link @Prithvir12 2024-03-20T06:27Z 8447 followers, 260.8K engagements

"@JohnneyWeb3 anything more specific"
X Link @Prithvir12 2025-10-13T15:18Z 8443 followers, XX engagements

"Prediction Market Weekly Update Notional Volume: X. @Kalshi $956m X. @polymarket $464m X. @trylimitless $29m X. @MyriadMarkets $3.9m Total: $1.4b Transactions: X. @Kalshi 3.41m X. @polymarket 1.77m X. @trylimitless 0.27m X. @MyriadMarkets 0.03m Total: 5.4m Users: X. @Kalshi - indeterminate X. @polymarket 119k X. @trylimitless 171k X. @MyriadMarkets 2.5k Total: 139k Open Interest: X. @Kalshi $201m X. @polymarket $165m X. @trylimitless $0.746m X. @MyriadMarkets $0.717m Total: $368m I post these every Friday Lmk what other data is interesting to add h/t to @datadashboards for the @Dune dashboard"
X Link @Prithvir12 2025-10-10T10:28Z 8446 followers, 55.2K engagements

"@BTC_y_tho @tradefoxintern lol what. how would that work"
X Link @Prithvir12 2025-10-14T08:39Z 8443 followers, XX engagements

"The Search for a Black-Scholes of Prediction Markets TLDR: - Options only took off once Black-Scholes gave traders a shared model for pricing risk. - Prediction markets lack that: no universal way to structure probabilities hedge event risk or map uncertainty. - A probability surface could be the missing piece. X. How Options Found Liquidity Before 1973 options were opaque and illiquid. Pricing was guesswork. Black Scholes and Merton published a model that gave traders a common language. Black-Scholes introduced: (1) Implied volatility (2) Dynamic hedging (3) A replicable pricing framework"
X Link @Prithvir12 2025-09-19T07:34Z 8442 followers, 39.2K engagements