@MacroOps Avatar @MacroOps Alex Barrow

Alex Barrow posts on X about $spy, stocks, sentiment, spy the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence finance stocks cryptocurrencies countries technology brands currencies celebrities exchanges automotive brands nfts

Social topic influence $spy, stocks, sentiment, spy, alltime, bullish, inflation, $dxy, market, strong

Top assets mentioned SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD) Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB) DisChain (DIS) Spacemesh (SMH) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Stader (SD) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) UNIPOLY (UNP) Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB) Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Boeing Co (BA) Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) Cleveland-Cliffs, Inc. (CLF) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Intel Corporation (INTC) April (APRIL) GammaSwap (GS) Nya (NYA)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@TheMarketStats 12/ Heres another $TDW a name weve traded in and out of for the past few years completed a 12m+ inverted H&S last week. We like this name for several reasons"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:26Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Anybody got a good Netflix/Hulu/prime/hbo movie suggestion Looking for something to watch"
X Link 2020-01-25T01:07Z 29.2K followers, [--] engagements

"One of my investing "idols" found my work through TWTR a few months back signed up for my research and now we talk markets weekly. Absolutely blows my mind how tech has leveled the playing field and given access to nobodies like myself. Equal parts awesome and humbling"
X Link 2020-12-29T19:16Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Bulls unphased by this week's vol. Probably some more chop and vol is in order to reset this sentiment. According to Citadel yesterday saw the 2nd most bullish notional weighted call/put direction ratio in 6-months + top [--] for highest options volume mostly calls"
X Link 2021-02-26T16:47Z 29.2K followers, [--] engagements

"2/ Our two most compelling positions are currently long CHF and long 2yr USTs. The Swissie is coiling above a seven-month rectangular base while large speculators remain heavily short; we intend to increase our position once it breaks out from this wedge"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:03Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"3/Weve tracked this setup for nearly a year. With nested compression regimes on the chart a BIG move is coming. Were leaning long (AI productivity/low inflation narrative) with a starter position but well play it either way. Watch closely a breakout is coming"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:05Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"5/ Our Aggregate Breadth + Thrusts chart remains strong at +4 indicating that weakness is concentrated rather than broad-based. Most of the selling is in tech and software with the Mag7 in particular starting to weigh on the index. Given this backdrop any market selloff is likely to be contained to under 7%. For the market to regain its footing we need to see tech and the Mag7 resume leadership. At the moment energy is the leading sector and historically broad forward market returns tend to be weak when thats the case"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:05Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"6/ $SPY is stuck in a broad trading range thats likely to frustrate both bulls and bears. Aside from maintaining small QQQ shorts as a portfolio hedge Im not interested in trading this range until we see a decisive shift in direction. My base casealbeit a weakly held oneis that SPX trades down toward its November lows before it can mount a more sustainable move higher. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023413650044620895 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023413650044620895"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:06Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"9/ This is an interesting and bullish signal for the broader growth backdrop from @DeanChristians who notes that a long-term chart (monthly data) shows the railroad sub-industry is currently experiencing the second-longest consolidation on record. Notably its prior breakout from an extended base in [----] marked the start of a value-led equity cycle. You can read his full piece here https://tpmarketresearch.com/a-textbook-base-and-breakout-pattern-in-railroad-stocks/ https://tpmarketresearch.com/a-textbook-base-and-breakout-pattern-in-railroad-stocks/"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:08Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@DeanChristians 10/ I pulled up a list of rail and rail-adjacent stocks and spent some time going through the charts. Below are my five favorites $NSC $UNP $LNN $WAB and $STEL shown on monthly timeframes. There are some great-looking setups in this space"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:08Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"1/ Druckenmiller's first mentor Speros Drelles would often tell him that "60 million Frenchman can't be wrong." Here's a thread on what that means and how to know when you should listen to or ignore the "Frenchman" (market)"
X Link 2020-06-25T17:29Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"In our continuous quest to look where few are looking here's one of our latest finds -- Mouwasat Medical Services (4002) the best healthcare services company in Saudi Arabia. Strong business good growth and a great value https://macro-ops.com/mouwasat-medical-services-4002-the-best-healthcare-services-company-in-saudi-arabia/ https://macro-ops.com/mouwasat-medical-services-4002-the-best-healthcare-services-company-in-saudi-arabia/"
X Link 2021-02-03T19:49Z 29.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Summary of this week's Chart Pack: The bull trend in the SPX continues to be supported by the tape stubborn bears a lack of retail participation strong breadth and improving liquidity. While this tape is a bit extended off its April lows we dont expect a pullback of more than 7% anytime soon due to low positioning and leverage levels. The Nikkei is breaking out to new highs as well as copper and a copper miner breaking out from a 10-year trading range. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1939684416600580506 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1939684416600580506"
X Link 2025-06-30T13:56Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"5/ Citadel reports rising household wealth particularly among the bottom 50% increasing equity market participation. Households hold near-record cash levels (98th %tile). Daily data indicate consistent "buy-the-dip" behavior"
X Link 2025-12-22T15:18Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"6/ The setup is balanced: + factors include strong breadth seasonal tailwinds and supportive internals. Challenges include elevated positioning weakening credit indicators and stretched valuations. Outlook: Gradual advance into year-end amid low-volume trading before a sentiment reset in early [----] (chart via MO's @mikegyulai). https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003123329520005127 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003123329520005127"
X Link 2025-12-22T15:19Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Expect to see a US-Israeli strike on Iran soon in order to change the narrative focus from the Epstein files. Pizza activity around the Pentagon is experiencing an extreme spike this evening. Papa Johns Pizza (2.3 miles) at 294% Extreme Pizza (0.5 miles) at 192% Domino's (1.4 miles) at 164% and District Pizza Palace (1.0 miles) at 137%. DOUGHCON level is [--]. https://t.co/gSOYhjRJtR Pizza activity around the Pentagon is experiencing an extreme spike this evening. Papa Johns Pizza (2.3 miles) at 294% Extreme Pizza (0.5 miles) at 192% Domino's (1.4 miles) at 164% and District Pizza Palace (1.0"
X Link 2026-02-06T12:44Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"These are the charts I'm tracking as we kick off the week. Our Trifecta Lens Score (a composite of macro liquidity technicals and sentiment) fell to [---] last week (bearish). /1"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:08Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"4/ However our Aggregate Breadth and Breadth+Thrust composites remain supportive of the broader uptrend. This suggests that any near-term downside should be contained (sub-7 %)"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:13Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"5/ Global CTA positioning is in the 90th %tile and has flipped from tailwind to a headwind"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:14Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"6/ GSs shorter-term measure of panic hit [----] based on 1-month S&P implied volatility VIX volatility S&P 1m put-call skew and the S&P term structure slope (1m vs. 3m). These vol metrics indicate that investors are not far off from max fear"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:15Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@TheMarketStats 10/ The Swissie is wedging after a breakout from a large 9-month rectangle/compression regime. We bought on the breakout took partial profit on the quick move and are looking to add on a move above last weeks high. Also Large Specs remain very short"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:24Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@TheMarketStats 11/ For the past month our focus has been on $XLI and $XLE and that hasnt changed. Heres another one well be adding to our book. $CTRA is breaking out of a 3-year channel within a larger 14-year channel. Thats a lot of pent-up energy for a run higher"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:25Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Burn it down Pam Bondi LOSES HER MIND when asked why she has not indicted any of Jeffrey Epsteins clients. The Dow is over 50k right now the Nasdaq smashing records thats what we should be talking about https://t.co/88SpUdGbpK Pam Bondi LOSES HER MIND when asked why she has not indicted any of Jeffrey Epsteins clients. The Dow is over 50k right now the Nasdaq smashing records thats what we should be talking about https://t.co/88SpUdGbpK"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:37Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"$MTU Mitsubishi Financial Group"
X Link 2017-01-09T12:32Z 29.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Europe and EM positions being liquidated real fast like"
X Link 2018-07-11T02:37Z 29K followers, [--] engagements

"@ktoddmorgan Same but I'd love to see it really puke down to the $61bbl level. Not sure we'll get it but I'd be buying in bulk then"
X Link 2018-10-23T17:08Z 29.2K followers, [--] engagements

"The $DXY looks like it's at a critical inflection point. Many pairs are coiling tight against significant technical levels (see $EURSUD hugging 200wma). LT fundamentals support a higher dollar (widening growth divergence btw US & RoW) but positioning still a big headwind"
X Link 2018-12-16T20:28Z 29K followers, [--] engagements

"Some interesting charts on European equities from a recent Morgan Stanley slide deck. European equity funds are seeing their longest stretch of outflows in over a decade. $FEU $EURUSD"
X Link 2019-07-09T14:27Z 29.1K followers, [--] engagements

"9/ Raise your hand if you came into [----] predicting Greek stocks and bonds to be amongst the best performing assets globally. If your hand is up then youre a liar :). $GREK $EURUSD"
X Link 2019-09-09T14:28Z 29.1K followers, [--] engagements

"10/ Theres been constant negative coverage of the European economy over the last year with the manufacturing recession in Germany and fears over Brexit and all that. But European HHs appear to be the most optimistic about their fin situation in a long time. $FEU $EURUSD"
X Link 2019-09-09T14:29Z 29.1K followers, [--] engagements

""Musings: Murder Regression to the Mean and a Stock Ripe for a Short." $COUP $EWJ https://macro-ops.com/musings-murder-regression-to-the-mean-and-a-stock-ripe-for-a-short/ https://macro-ops.com/musings-murder-regression-to-the-mean-and-a-stock-ripe-for-a-short/"
X Link 2019-09-27T14:06Z 29.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@ali_montag Alpine is a gem. Good note. Thanks for sharing it"
X Link 2020-09-11T14:23Z 29K followers, [--] engagements

"From a note I just sent out to #Collective members. The primary trend is up but we may see a soft patch before strong seasonality kicks in. Gotta respect the Hierarchy of Technicals. $SPX $QQQ https://macro-ops.com/the-hierarchy-of-technicals/ https://macro-ops.com/the-hierarchy-of-technicals/"
X Link 2020-12-11T18:20Z 29.2K followers, [--] engagements

"4/ We at MO continue to believe that the economy is set to begin materially slowing in the later part of this year due to a host of inbound factors. There are a number of leads that support this as well. @FreightAlley who tracks proprietary high-frequency freight data shared: "Worst freight market since the Great Financial Crisis." This statement is common across social media. Now we have some evidence to support it. The worst trucking market prior to the current one was in [----] the "Trucking Bloodbath." At one point [--] large trucking companies https://t.co/ntGTd85FQm "Worst freight market"
X Link 2023-05-23T11:55Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"5/ We dig deeper into the equity market nuclear Turkey and bonds in the latest Dirty Dozen chart pack: https://macro-ops.com/a-nuclear-resurgence-dirty-dozen/ https://macro-ops.com/a-nuclear-resurgence-dirty-dozen/"
X Link 2023-05-23T11:55Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"$NIKL Putting in a double bottom on the monthly. We like this one long term for a host of reasons"
X Link 2024-09-23T14:30Z 29K followers, [----] engagements

"Dirty Dozen - An Imperial Regime - Largest relative OW in Def vs Cyc since May'20 - $GLD going parabolic - A major bottom in natural gas - $NIKL bottomed out & pays 20% divvy https://macro-ops.com/blog/an-imperial-regime https://macro-ops.com/blog/an-imperial-regime"
X Link 2024-09-23T15:08Z 29K followers, [----] engagements

"This week's Dozen covers: ๐Ÿ”น $SPY: Path of least resistance remains up expect a bullish breakout soon. But. ๐Ÿ”นTF 90th % while internals & breadth data are neutral/weakening ๐Ÿ”น $GLD showing persistent institutional buying ๐Ÿ”น $NICU bull case https://macro-ops.com/soft-for-hard-swap/ https://macro-ops.com/soft-for-hard-swap/"
X Link 2025-02-10T13:58Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"4/ Side note: Bar by bar analysis is a significant part of my analytical process. I look at markets across three timeframes: daily weekly and monthly. Each candle illustrates without bias or emotion what the supply and demand picture looked like for that period. When you analyze this in the context of the candles that preceded it you can develop a good feel for where the path of least resistance is (up down sideways)"
X Link 2025-06-30T14:07Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"5/ $NKY The Nikkei is another great monthly chart . It looks set to go out on its highs. It's breaking out from an 18-month rectangle pattern so weak hands have been firmly washed out"
X Link 2025-06-30T14:11Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Citadel shared its bull case last week which we at MO are largely in agreement with. Too many people are focused on the weakening labor market which is lagging and needs to be viewed in its proper context (policy shock immigration AI etc.) Growth leads point to reflation not recession. Its tough to have a recession when the fiscal deficit is large and growing (which it is) and household/private sector balance sheets are in good shape (which they are). 1/"
X Link 2025-10-06T16:24Z 29K followers, 67.5K engagements

"Bad regime dynamics. deteriorating breadth weakening liquidity poor internals & stubbornly bullish sentiment = continued chop & vol w/ increasing downside risk https://macro-ops.com/bad-regime-dynamics/ https://macro-ops.com/bad-regime-dynamics/"
X Link 2025-11-24T15:03Z 29K followers, [----] engagements

"BofA's Global Fund Manager Survey shows managers at their most bullish on risk assets in [---] years with peak macro optimism since August [----] cash levels at lows not seen since [----] and the highest equity overweight since December [----]. /1"
X Link 2025-12-22T15:14Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"4/ $SPY Forward returns when both retail and professional investors hold similar high levels of equities (per Bloomberg's Simon White)"
X Link 2025-12-22T15:16Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"7/ Divergences between LQD and IEF often precede corrections. The current one at [---] months suggests caution though broader market resilience limits the expected magnitude"
X Link 2025-12-22T15:20Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"8/ Cyclicals outperformed defensives for 14-days a rare streak. Goldman Sachs data since [----] show that such patterns are a strong signal of positive $SPY returns over 3-9 months indicating improving macro conditions"
X Link 2025-12-22T15:22Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"10/ Crude oil presents a potential entry point with historic bearish bets amid recovering global growth. The trend remains neutral warranting modest sizing (we are long). #OOTT"
X Link 2025-12-22T15:25Z 29.2K followers, [---] engagements

"11/ The AI sector retains potential. Focus on undervalued ancillary plays post-correction such as Bloom Energy (BE) down 50% from highs after a 1502% prior advance"
X Link 2025-12-22T15:27Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"The primary trend in equities remains up with seasonality supportive of a rally into year-end. Silver is stretched but has nothing on [----] And several international indices are setting up for longs plus more https://macro-ops.com/so-many-bullish-setups/ https://macro-ops.com/so-many-bullish-setups/"
X Link 2025-12-29T17:31Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"- Record high allocation to equities - Record high valuations - No trigger yet from margin debt risk signal - SPX midterm seasonality - Aggregate bank market forecasts (bullish but not bullish enough) - Will a rebound in consumer confidence drive SPX. https://macro-ops.com/2026-30000ft-view/ https://macro-ops.com/2026-30000ft-view/"
X Link 2026-01-05T15:19Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Israel and the US are about to strike Iran again. The closest pizzeria to the Pentagon Nighthawk Brewery and Pizza is reporting above average traffic. The closest Dominos and Papa Johns are also reporting above average traffic. As of 2:23pm ET https://t.co/dc2XxwueqT The closest pizzeria to the Pentagon Nighthawk Brewery and Pizza is reporting above average traffic. The closest Dominos and Papa Johns are also reporting above average traffic. As of 2:23pm ET https://t.co/dc2XxwueqT"
X Link 2026-01-07T21:53Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"A BofA Bull-Bear Sell Signal elevated Trend Fragility and geopolitical idiocracy = a positioning rinse https://macro-ops.com/a-positioning-rinse/ https://macro-ops.com/a-positioning-rinse/"
X Link 2026-01-19T15:12Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"This week's Dirty Dozen covers: ๐Ÿ”ธA MAJOR compression in bonds ๐Ÿ”ธElevated Trend Fragility ๐Ÿ”ธCrypto dancing on key levels ๐Ÿ”ธUSD in a cyclical bear https://macro-ops.com/bonds-about-to-bomb/ https://macro-ops.com/bonds-about-to-bomb/"
X Link 2026-01-26T15:28Z 29.2K followers, [----] engagements

"$IWM $TF_F would expect a retrace to the 106ish level most likely before resuming its fall into oblivion. We'll see"
X Link 2016-02-13T23:58Z 29K followers, [--] engagements

"If you're not long commodities here you're doing it wrong. Some great trades in the energy and ag space"
X Link 2017-09-27T22:25Z 29.2K followers, [--] engagements

"$AGRO This is an Ag play that looks interesting. Solid management quality assets and top/bottom numbers moving in right direction"
X Link 2017-09-27T22:52Z 29.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Not like anybody cares but $DB made new all-time lows today and is now down 50% since the start of the year"
X Link 2018-06-28T04:06Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Fund manager cash positions remain elevated according to the latest BofA FMS"
X Link 2018-07-09T22:13Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$DB saying the US trade deficit is much smaller than whats actually reported due to tax shopping"
X Link 2018-07-15T01:45Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$DIS trying to break out of its 2+yr wedge"
X Link 2018-07-17T15:22Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Philly Fed business survey suggests higher real GDP growth is coming"
X Link 2018-08-05T15:21Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"This selloff in $JD is interesting. A company that's growing revenues at 30%+ yoy is now trading for 0.8x sales"
X Link 2018-08-15T13:37Z 28.6K followers, [--] engagements

"EM currencies 12m and ytd returns. The Ukrainian hryvnia holding strong"
X Link 2018-08-17T01:13Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$ANET on the move"
X Link 2018-08-23T14:48Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Positive analyst revisions as a % of total versus $SPY via Citi"
X Link 2018-09-15T13:54Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$SPY Market update Advisor sentiment: a little stretched at 60%+ bullish AAII sentiment: neutral Market breadth: is deteriorating w/ % of stocks in Nasdaq above 200dma approaching April lows Financial conditions: Easy. NFCI recently hit new cycle lows Conclusion: ๐Ÿคทโ™‚"
X Link 2018-10-03T02:07Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"This $NVDA chart is downright disgusting"
X Link 2018-10-19T02:11Z 28K followers, [--] engagements

"$DIS making new 52w highs ๐Ÿš€"
X Link 2018-10-19T14:39Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$DB making new all-time lows"
X Link 2018-10-24T17:35Z 28K followers, [--] engagements

"$WYNN down 12%+ AH after missing earnings. Around 70% of WYNN's revenues come from China"
X Link 2018-11-07T22:07Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"The third tool open market operations (also called QE) is used more sparingly. It only becomes necessary at large secular turning points in the debt cycle. http://macro-ops.com/spread-thin-how-the-fed-manipulates-financial-spreads/ http://macro-ops.com/spread-thin-how-the-fed-manipulates-financial-spreads/"
X Link 2018-11-10T13:10Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Sentiment Check: BofAML FMS: Allocation to cash dropped sharply as investors bought Oct correction. TD IMX: shows retail investors largely unfazed by market selloff. II: Bearish sentiment remains low despite volatility. + everyone pointing to obvious inverse H&S on $SPY"
X Link 2018-11-13T18:12Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Man some of these $ARGT names are looking good. $SUPV $GGAL"
X Link 2018-11-15T15:11Z 28.7K followers, [--] engagements

"I also remember reading about a hedge fund manager in Drobnys Invisible Hands (an excellent book by the way) who would not only stress-test against every conceivable scenario but would even war-game ridiculous scenarios like what would happe http://macro-ops.com/why-you-need-to-red-team-everything/ http://macro-ops.com/why-you-need-to-red-team-everything/"
X Link 2018-11-16T23:15Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"State Street's Investor Confidence Index for global equities at its lowest levels since [----]. $IOO"
X Link 2018-11-17T23:47Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"I wonder if Tepper is still sitting in his large (roughly 30% of fund) $MU position or if he's been reducing on this latest selloff"
X Link 2018-11-20T17:45Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$DB at making new all-time lows"
X Link 2018-11-20T19:23Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Late Cycle Behavior - Broyhill Asset Management https://buff.ly/2AiDFpF https://buff.ly/2AiDFpF"
X Link 2018-11-23T17:01Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$AAPL buy/sell/hold recommendations + price target. Largest nominal gap between consensus price target and current price. Still a consensus "buy""
X Link 2018-11-24T21:45Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"And I strongly believe the only way to make long-term returns in our business that are superior is by being a pig. I think diversification and all the stuff theyre teaching at business school today is probably the most misguided concept everywhere. https://macro-ops.com/difference-great-traders-good-traders-art-totis-porcis/ https://macro-ops.com/difference-great-traders-good-traders-art-totis-porcis/"
X Link 2018-12-09T23:15Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Big breakdown in semis $SMH today on weaker guidance out of $MU. Not a good look for the broader market"
X Link 2018-12-19T21:57Z 27.9K followers, [--] engagements

"Sentiment Check: Full capitulation reset in progress #sentiment $SPY II Net: Most bearish reading since Oct 11' Sentix Investor Confidence NA: Most bearish since 12' Reuters US Asset Allocation: Highest cash position since early 13'"
X Link 2019-01-03T20:11Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$IQ This is a good looking chart"
X Link 2019-01-07T20:13Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Australia's housing market should continue to deteriorate this year. Chart via MS"
X Link 2019-01-26T23:09Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Global residential real estate prices have rolled over. chart via MS"
X Link 2019-01-26T23:14Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Real GDP growth by country via MS"
X Link 2019-02-25T15:02Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"NEW POST: "Yield Curve Inversion and Why This Time is Different" I discuss why the signaling power of the yield curve is less reliable this cycle. What the recent inversion means for markets. And where the current pain trade is. Check it out. https://macro-ops.com/yield-curve-inversion-why-this-time-is-different/ https://macro-ops.com/yield-curve-inversion-why-this-time-is-different/"
X Link 2019-03-25T13:47Z 28K followers, [--] engagements

"NEW POST: "DISNEY MEMETICS and MARKETS" $DIS $SPY https://macro-ops.com/disney-memetics-and-markets/ https://macro-ops.com/disney-memetics-and-markets/"
X Link 2019-04-17T18:27Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$GTX is on a tear. One of our core positions that @marketplunger1 uncovered. Garrett is a deep value play with a misleading balance sheet. Really like this one"
X Link 2019-04-17T23:32Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"NEW POST: Weekly Macro Musings where I share the best things I read listened to and watched + a few trade ideas and a book review #OOTT $SD $SE $SPY $CL_F $DXY https://macro-ops.com/madness-is-the-norm-and-a-deep-value-energy-play/ https://macro-ops.com/madness-is-the-norm-and-a-deep-value-energy-play/"
X Link 2019-05-24T13:55Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Fresh off the press my "Monday Dozen CHART PACK" to start your week off right $SPY $DXY $EURUSD $DB $USDCAD https://buff.ly/2Fho2lz https://buff.ly/2Fho2lz"
X Link 2019-06-17T13:25Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$TWTR got a nice looking chart"
X Link 2019-07-15T15:18Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"I had totally forgotten that oil and gas stocks can actually go up. Interesting. $SD $WTI $EC $AR $EGY"
X Link 2019-07-30T19:45Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"This week's Musings are out "Internet Growth Hitting Its Limit A Teetering Tech Stock And Some Bear Porn" $SPY $CRM https://macro-ops.com/musings-internet-growth-hitting-its-limit-a-teetering-tech-stock-and-some-bear-porn/ https://macro-ops.com/musings-internet-growth-hitting-its-limit-a-teetering-tech-stock-and-some-bear-porn/"
X Link 2019-08-02T13:28Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Check out our new free weekly on anything and everything value investing from @marketplunger1 "Welcome To The Value Hive" Macro Ops $NTDOY $GME $EEI https://buff.ly/2LhSxLH https://buff.ly/2LhSxLH"
X Link 2019-09-03T14:31Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Semis $SMH popping hard. $NVDA breaking out of its multi-month triangle today. We may be seeing the first signs of sentiment turning to risk on"
X Link 2019-09-05T14:32Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$HG_F Copper is bottoming with record spec short positioning while $GC_F is putting in a S/T top. CESI turned positive for the first time in over 6m. 3m core inflation growing at its fastest pace this cycle. Meanwhile investors have crowded into bonds & are light on stocks"
X Link 2019-09-13T15:16Z 28K followers, [--] engagements

"$MSFT breaking out to new all-time highs"
X Link 2019-09-19T16:15Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$SMH Watch semis. They look like they're rolling over. Semis tend to lead the market. If they break then we should expect a pullback in the broader market. Chart is of $AMD"
X Link 2019-09-20T15:57Z 28K followers, [--] engagements

"$UHAL one the move. Breaking out of the 4-year consolidation range"
X Link 2019-10-24T15:19Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$DIS battling to make new highs. Chart is a weekly (I have a position). Watched @themandalorian last night. Best SW content I've seen from $DIS yet (I know I know it's a low bar but still)"
X Link 2019-11-13T19:39Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Some great value picks in @marketplunger1's "Value Hive" Letter this week. $LDO $BA $CACC $SDT $ROSE $TGA https://macro-ops.com/pubs-vs-tourists-spin-offs-and-interviews/ https://macro-ops.com/pubs-vs-tourists-spin-offs-and-interviews/"
X Link 2019-11-20T15:54Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$SEKUSD Swedish Krona is an interesting long here. Techs: Just completed inverted H&S bottom after long grinding bear & near 18yr lows against USD. Fundies: Improving yield-diffs. Low debt/GDP gov has high capacity to boost fiscal. Sentiment: Horrendous"
X Link 2019-12-11T18:22Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Top [--] most-wanted U.S. Originals % share. $NFLX $AMZN $DIS $AAPL"
X Link 2020-01-12T01:13Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Remember when just last year all the bears were saying how semis were doomed because global chip demand had stalled out $INTC is now trading at its highest level in 20-years (chart via bloomberg)"
X Link 2020-01-24T17:04Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Lowest bond yields in [---] years ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘"
X Link 2020-03-06T20:31Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

""SOFTBANK IS SAID TO PLAN $14B SALE OF ALIBABA SHARES" ahh. the old selling your winners to fund your losers strategy. Bet that'll work out well for them"
X Link 2020-03-23T22:24Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"NEW POST: THE "OUT FRONT" MANEUVER I talk about the problem with the short-term bearish take. And share how I think about sentiment and positioning as a continuous pendulum or sine wave driven by feedback loops across timeframes. $SPY $QQQ $IWM https://macro-ops.com/the-out-front-maneuver/ https://macro-ops.com/the-out-front-maneuver/"
X Link 2020-04-09T15:51Z 28K followers, [--] engagements

"From BBG: -G7 CB net asset purchases were $1.3trn in March. Roughly 5x than the previous peak in 09' -$1.1trn of that came from the Fed - We now have the Fed ECB BoJ BoE and BoC simultaneously engaged in QE for the first time ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ"
X Link 2020-04-09T16:59Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"In this weeks Dirty Dozen CHART PACK we look at: -bombed-out earnings expectations -Crap sentiment driving $SPY higher in a bull quiet - $GDX closing at 7yr highs -Global money supply going brrr. -Cover the bull case for a beaten up retailer $BBBY https://macro-ops.com/monday-dirty-dozen-chart-pack-6/ https://macro-ops.com/monday-dirty-dozen-chart-pack-6/"
X Link 2020-04-27T14:34Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Sentiment remains a mixed bag: -AAII Bulls-Bears ticked up only slightly. Still very bearish. - Put/Call 10dma has reversed now showing complacency -April's IMX fell again but retail investors were actually net buyers of stocks - Fund managers are underpositioned in stocks"
X Link 2020-05-21T15:51Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

""Trades consisting of just one contract now accounts for 13% of total volume" GS "In some popular stocks like $CMG and $GOOGL small options trades account for nearly a 1/3 of total volume" Visits to TDA's "'Education Center' hit an all-time high in April up 280%" YoY BN ๐Ÿฟ"
X Link 2020-05-22T17:25Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"97% of $SPY stocks are above their 50dma's. The only other time it's hit these levels over the last 30-years was Feb of 91'"
X Link 2020-06-09T17:22Z 28K followers, [--] engagements

"This week's Dirty Dozen CHART PACK is out. Come and get yourself some I cover: - CAPEX Trends - The US premium - Neutral market #sentiment - The future of mon policy - Speculative positioning in silver $SI_F - Oversold $DXY - And hated $INTC https://macro-ops.com/is-it-time-to-buy-intel-dirty-dozen/ https://macro-ops.com/is-it-time-to-buy-intel-dirty-dozen/"
X Link 2020-08-03T14:42Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Not like it matters but the 1-month smoothed Put/Call ratio on the FAAMG stocks is the lowest on record. $FB $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $GOOGL"
X Link 2020-08-10T18:59Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Highlights from the latest BofA Fund Manager Survey. No real surprises. -Managers are their most bullish since Feb 20' -Few still think this is a "bear market rally" -Cash levels down but still in neutral range - Bull&Bear Indicator neutral - Contra trade: long $IWM short $XLK"
X Link 2020-08-18T14:22Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$DXY My first in a series about the US dollar. This one is titled "iS tHE dOLlaR abOUt to cRaSH" https://macro-ops.com/is-the-dollar-about-to-crash/ https://macro-ops.com/is-the-dollar-about-to-crash/"
X Link 2020-08-25T13:18Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"This is a very important chart. Global equities as a % of holdings (equities/bonds/M2) is well below its LT avg. More fiscal stim = cash/bond side of the port mix goes = investors have to buy stocks just to maintain current weighting. More here ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://macro-ops.com/a-silver-miner-breaking-out-of-a-huge-base-dirty-dozen/ https://macro-ops.com/a-silver-miner-breaking-out-of-a-huge-base-dirty-dozen/"
X Link 2020-10-12T15:06Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"The #DirtyDozen CHART PACK is out. We cover: - Relative breakouts & reflation trades - Breadth thrusts and what they mean - The Global Fund Manager Consensus - Broad-based positioning data - A giant wall of money - $DXY dancing on 5yr support https://macro-ops.com/the-us-dollar-holding-at-major-support-dirty-dozen/ https://macro-ops.com/the-us-dollar-holding-at-major-support-dirty-dozen/"
X Link 2020-11-23T14:43Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$FEVR seems like a perfect zeitgeist play + it's actually interesting company/product with a nice growth runway and not insane valuation. Good writeup here from @marketplunger1 https://macro-ops.com/fever-tree-plc-fevr-attacking-the-forgotten-3-4ths-of-your-drink/ https://macro-ops.com/fever-tree-plc-fevr-attacking-the-forgotten-3-4ths-of-your-drink/"
X Link 2020-12-31T16:31Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"We're big bulls on EM with a particular focus on a few select countries that have multiple demographic/political tailwinds. $EWM Malaysia fits this bill and Top Glove $BVA.SGX is one of our favorite names. You can read about it here ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://macro-ops.com/top-glove-bva-sgx-17-returns-in-a-boring-glove-maker/ https://macro-ops.com/top-glove-bva-sgx-17-returns-in-a-boring-glove-maker/"
X Link 2021-01-06T15:30Z 28.5K followers, [--] engagements

""The way things are and the way they have to be." Love this line from Percival. Pulled from this week's #DirtyDozen #sentiment https://macro-ops.com/is-the-us-dollar-bottoming-dirty-dozen/ https://macro-ops.com/is-the-us-dollar-bottoming-dirty-dozen/"
X Link 2021-01-11T14:42Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"The equity risk premium is down to its Sep 18' lows. The last time we were here it preceded a major selloff. But there's good reason to believe that we're entering a new regime where we'll see ERP contract on a secular basis closer to its LT avg. $SPY https://macro-ops.com/is-the-us-dollar-bottoming-dirty-dozen/ https://macro-ops.com/is-the-us-dollar-bottoming-dirty-dozen/"
X Link 2021-01-14T15:27Z 27.9K followers, [--] engagements

""I better give you the most important piece of advice on how this business really works. Everything depends on if there are more idiots than stocks or more stocks than idiots". anonymous via this terrific post http://undervaluedjapan.blogspot.com/2020/11/great-stock-market-operators-never.htmlm=1 http://undervaluedjapan.blogspot.com/2020/11/great-stock-market-operators-never.htmlm=1"
X Link 2021-01-20T13:48Z 28K followers, [--] engagements

"The technological progress in the crypto space is amazing. We've gone from CryptoKitties to CryptoPunks in under [--] years' time. I can only imagine where we'll be in a decade CryptoBeanieBabies maybe #putitallontheblockchain #greaterfoolmyarse"
X Link 2021-02-22T17:32Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Sure you can buy $SNOW for 103x sales and that's great. But did you know you can also buy $POWW for 12x revs is growing 500% y/y has +EBITDA is run by exceptional management w/ tons of skin in the game and is innovating in a staid industry that's ripe for some shaking up"
X Link 2021-03-22T14:01Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"2/This is going to have profound effects across a number of markets over the coming decade The reason MC demand is exponentially greater than lower-income households + more varied Instead of just basic goods they want iphones cars & services https://macro-ops.com/wealth-s-curve-thats-driving-current-global-macro-trends/ https://macro-ops.com/wealth-s-curve-thats-driving-current-global-macro-trends/"
X Link 2021-03-30T16:22Z 28.7K followers, [--] engagements

"3/ Brookings notes that "By [----] the middle class could be consuming about $10trn more than in 16'. and $29trn more by 2030." The concentration of this growth is in Asia where "India Indonesia & Vietnam will have MC markets that are $15trn bigger than today.""
X Link 2021-03-30T16:22Z 28.7K followers, [--] engagements

"$ETHE trading at a discount to NAV now just FYI. $ETHUSD looking ready to pop https://t.co/VnZp4t66P3 $ETHUSD looking ready to pop https://t.co/VnZp4t66P3"
X Link 2021-04-01T12:47Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

""INFLOW TO STOCKS PAST [--] MONTHS ($576BN) EXCEEDS INFLOW IN PRIOR [--] YEARS ($452BN)." via BofA ๐Ÿ‘€"
X Link 2021-04-09T15:02Z 29K followers, [--] engagements

"$GOOGL is expected to blow out earnings but it looks like those expectations may be baked in. The stock currently trades over 30% above its 200dma. This says little about the short-term path but this level of overextension tends to lead to dismal returns over the following 3m+"
X Link 2021-04-27T14:08Z 28K followers, [--] engagements

"$DB Gotta like the action so far. Up 30% since I shared this back in Feb and continues to stairstep higher without much fanfare. Exactly what you want to see if you're long. https://macro-ops.com/is-gold-about-to-crash/ https://macro-ops.com/is-gold-about-to-crash/"
X Link 2021-05-25T14:23Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"The majority of FOMC members think we need more #DirtyDozen in 23'. In this week's issue we cover: $QQQ in Bull Quiet regime Bull Q regime stats Trend Fragility in the 99th %tile Retail positioning at record highs $GLD Materials & $CTVA https://macro-ops.com/bull-quiet-versus-trend-fragility/ https://macro-ops.com/bull-quiet-versus-trend-fragility/"
X Link 2021-07-12T17:15Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Some nice charts in the gas space. $SD w/ a 3-year cup-n-handle"
X Link 2022-01-31T18:52Z 27.9K followers, [--] engagements

"Here's one of the few data points that makes me think the floor on equities is a good deal lower than where we are now TD's IMX measures the positions and trading activity from a sample of their 11mn retail accounts Their last update showed retailers were net BUYERS of stocks"
X Link 2022-02-22T19:11Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"The Latest IMX reading is out. IMX slightly but clients "were net buyers of equities & were also strong buyers of fixed income. Demand for equities was generally light to start the month but accelerated as the major indices continued their strong pullback" Retail be BTFD"
X Link 2022-05-10T20:52Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"The fastest drop in Aussie Real Estate Prices in over 30yrs a secular peak in market multiples gold miners at dirt cheap prices and more in this week's Dirty Dozen. https://macro-ops.com/gold-miners-trading-at-dirt-cheap-prices-dirty-dozen/ https://macro-ops.com/gold-miners-trading-at-dirt-cheap-prices-dirty-dozen/"
X Link 2022-09-06T13:52Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Here's what Bridgewater believes we need in order to get CPI sustainably around the 2% target - Nominal spending back to 3-5% range - Wage inflation back to 1-3% range - Above [--] will require an ext period of low nominal spending growth neg real GDP growth & higher unemployment"
X Link 2023-01-24T15:38Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Looking like an intermediate bottom might be in on the $DXY and a short-term top on $GLD $SIL"
X Link 2023-02-03T02:22Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Expect the correction to continue on the back of rising yields. Market internals are still supportive so odds favor a sideways/slightly lower move over the next 1-2 weeks as sentiment gets worked down. The lower Bollinger Band should act as support if yields dont rise too fast 1/"
X Link 2023-07-10T17:12Z 27.5K followers, [----] engagements

"4/ But this is because Fed policy has been extremely accommodative at least until just very recently. Now real yields are at their highest levels since 09'. And this more restrictive policy should begin to feed into financial conditions over the coming months"
X Link 2023-07-24T14:38Z 27.6K followers, [----] engagements

"You can read more on this plus thoughts on $SIL $GBPUSD $USDJPY and more here ๐Ÿ‘‡ /fin"
X Link 2023-07-24T14:38Z 27.6K followers, [----] engagements

"4/ Furthermore [--] & 10dma Total Put/Call ratios are at or near levels that trigger a buy signal. So while we're not nearly as bullish the market as we were at the start of this year the weight of the evidence remains supportive of the uptrend (for now)"
X Link 2023-08-28T15:07Z 27.5K followers, [---] engagements

"5/ If you'd like to read more of my market thoughts along with my current take on #Oil and $NVDA you can find it all below in this week's Dirty Dozen"
X Link 2023-08-28T15:07Z 27.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Via the FT: "The US is an outlier even in a world where the majority of lawmakers are much older than the broader populace. Compared to peer countries the US is especially dominated by older elected officials; one in five congresspeople is over the age of [--] making it one of the nations most elderly professions.""
X Link 2023-09-17T18:49Z 28.1K followers, 14.1K engagements

"FX positioning yield spreads RoC market regimes and obought/osold conditions. -Large and small specs still bearish $DXY -Most crowded positioning in $GBPUSD where specs haven't come off as much as you'd expect considering recent action - Strongest yield spread oscillation in $DXY"
X Link 2023-09-18T22:00Z 27.5K followers, [----] engagements

"$EWZ Brazil was one of the best-performing global markets last week. It's trading near the bottom of the range of its relative valuation to $EEM while relative earnings growth has been accelerating higher over the past two years. BofA FMS showed a "record fall" in survey respondents allocation to EM equities this past month. Worth keeping on your radar along with $USDBRL which is trading near the bottom of its 3y sideways range"
X Link 2023-09-19T15:25Z 27.5K followers, 14.5K engagements

"Fintwit needs a bagholders anonymous for those -- and apparently there are a LOT of you -- who've been "picking bottoms" in $TLT. TLT shares outstanding are up 240% since the start of [----] (chart via BBG). There's more entertaining ways to set money on fire guys"
X Link 2023-10-20T18:07Z 27.5K followers, [----] engagements

"In this weeks Dirty Dozen we cover recent major technical signals walk through the latest returns heatmap look at the breakout in Qs update evidence on why its headed higher and end with a look at a contrarian long in soybeans plus more https://macro-ops.com/specs-short-soybeans-dirty-dozen/ https://macro-ops.com/specs-short-soybeans-dirty-dozen/"
X Link 2024-03-04T17:24Z 27.5K followers, [----] engagements

"$GBPUSD's weekly Bollinger Band width is at its most compressed point since [----]. Major compression regimes lead to major expansion regimes (ie big trends). Sentiment/positioning and fundies favor a breakout to the downside. https://macro-ops.com/is-the-pound-about-to-be-pulverized-dirty-dozen/ https://macro-ops.com/is-the-pound-about-to-be-pulverized-dirty-dozen/"
X Link 2024-04-08T13:17Z 27.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Ding ding ding. Our Trifecta Lens indicator triggered a MAJOR buy signal yesterday. The last time this signal triggered was at the April 22nd lows and before that January [----]. The TL is a composite of intermediate to long-term sentiment macro and fundamental indicators"
X Link 2024-08-22T15:03Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"The level of our collective arrogance is matched only by our numbing ignorance. This is just too much. "For decades farmers across America have been encouraged by the federal government to spread municipal sewage on millions of acres of farmland as fertilizer. It was rich in nutrients and it helped keep the sludge out of landfills. "But a growing body of research shows that this black sludge made from the sewage that flows from homes and factories can contain heavy concentrations of chemicals thought to increase the risk of certain types of cancer and to cause birth defects and developmental"
X Link 2024-08-31T19:25Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Sometimes I wonder if we never fully made it out of the Dark Ages" Our toys of torture are just more subtle and advanced but our complete lack of cultural wisdom is just about the same"
X Link 2024-08-31T19:27Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Oh shocking $GS is party to this"
X Link 2024-08-31T20:07Z 28.1K followers, [---] engagements

"Gold hitting all-time highs but news and social media attention are still near multi-year lows. $GLD $GDX"
X Link 2024-09-17T15:32Z 28.1K followers, 80.3K engagements

"Crude's relative valuation is in the 0th percentile. Green highlights mark past instances. These levels often mark of shortly precede major bottoms. $CL $XLE"
X Link 2024-09-17T20:41Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"BofA's Sep Global Fund Manager Survey Highlights:"
X Link 2024-09-18T14:03Z 28.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Watching the energy sector vs. SPX relative EPS trend (orange line) to see if it can resume its relative outperformance. $XLE"
X Link 2024-09-18T14:18Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Fidelity on the impact to equities from both lower oil and yields: "Oil and rates are now down double-digit amounts over the last twelve months something that hasnt happened since [----]. While the move is a bottom quartile event for both the two moving together at this pace (both up and down) happens only 10% of the time. "The signal itself is somewhat asymmetrical: oil and rates going up more than 15% isnt necessarily bad for stocks (they return 5% the year following) but both going down is quite good historically offering almost 20% returns. That illustrates the magnitude of the tailwind"
X Link 2024-09-18T14:23Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"This Major buy signal playing out as expected now that the FOMC is out of the way. $SPY making new all-time highs. Spreads tightening (look at LQD/IEF back near highs). The path of least resistance is up. Ding ding ding. Our Trifecta Lens indicator triggered a MAJOR buy signal yesterday. The last time this signal triggered was at the April 22nd lows and before that January [----]. The TL is a composite of intermediate to long-term sentiment macro and fundamental indicators. https://t.co/6PziqNvPj1 Ding ding ding. Our Trifecta Lens indicator triggered a MAJOR buy signal yesterday. The last time"
X Link 2024-09-19T14:29Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"I've read three articles today from different "macro" guys gnashing their teeth about how the Fed's -50bps cut "scares" them and that this is obviously doing political interference while a second wave of inflation is now guaranteed. Go take a walk guys.๐Ÿคฆโ™‚๐Ÿคฆโ™‚๐Ÿคฆโ™‚๐Ÿคฆโ™‚"
X Link 2024-09-19T16:28Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"News stories mentioning "recession" recently spiked to their highest level since Nov 22'. Thank you๐Ÿป for your enduring support. Sincerely This Bull market"
X Link 2024-09-20T00:24Z 28.1K followers, 12.8K engagements

"@BlueHorseshoe09 They're just saying growth is slowing and the fed rate is too restrictive. The Fed is adjusting the latter and I haven't seen enough broad weakness in the data to suggest a recession is imminent"
X Link 2024-09-21T13:16Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"This is the positioning you typically see near major lows not tops. Via the most recent BofA FMS: โšซ Relative net overweight in defensives (utilities & staples) vs cyclicals (energy materials & industrials) is now the highest since May20. โšซ Note FMS investors are now the most OW utilities since Dec08 at net 8% OW. โšซ Investors are the most UW energy since Dec20 (net 17% UW) and most UW materials since Jun20 (net 17% UW)"
X Link 2024-09-21T13:48Z 28.1K followers, 21.8K engagements

"Our Liquidity Indicator is in its 100th %tile meaning liquidity is flush. High readings precede strong forward equity returns"
X Link 2024-09-23T13:57Z 28.1K followers, 11.9K engagements

"We've been in a tight monetary loose fiscal policy environment. The Reagan administration ran a similar mix that Soros called the "Imperial Circle." These regimes are characterized by US vs. RoW outperformance and a strong USD. But with the Fed cutting rates the possibility of the US entering a "Vicious Circle" increases"
X Link 2024-09-23T14:02Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"UBS's Equity Market-Implied Regime Probability model currently favors a "Goldilocks" regime (ISM [--] & CPI 3m ann 3%). But the probability of an "Overheating" regime has started increasing"
X Link 2024-09-23T14:38Z 27.9K followers, [----] engagements

"$BTCUSD Sentix's Strategic Bias continues to show a perception of value which is bullish the underlying trend. Here's Sentix's explanation of what the indicator is and how to read it: "The strategic bias reflects the medium-term basic confidence of investors. Unlike sentiment this is characterised only to a small extent by emotions. Based on our experience with this indicator in relation to other asset classes the strategic bias should be understood as a perception of value. "The indicator therefore often behaves like an evaluation function. It is therefore positive when - as is currently the"
X Link 2024-09-24T19:04Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Love this bit from Coach Christopher Sommers a former US National Team gymnastics coach from @tferriss recent 5-bullet Friday. "A blue collar work ethic married to indomitable will. It literally is that simply.""
X Link 2024-09-28T14:59Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"This is why Chinese equities are to be traded and never invested in. Long-term equity market returns are a simple matter of supply and demand. And just like in exports China likes to flood the market with supply. $FXI $ASHR"
X Link 2024-09-30T17:01Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"GS: "I believe the max pain trade in the market right now is index sharply higher led by cyclicals over defensive. Most investors are currently positioned for a market selloff into election. I am watching for the $SPY to make an earlier than expected run at 6k in October." I concur"
X Link 2024-09-30T17:06Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Keeping an eye on $LIT. Fund flows short interest news/social media mentions show it's nearing max bearishness. Fundamentals look to be bottoming out. But technicals are still garbage and will likely take some time to base out"
X Link 2024-09-30T17:12Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"- A Trend Fragility warning signal - Why the Chinese equity market always makes for a bad long-term investment - Long $DAX setup - Max pain trade = a cyclical led recovery https://macro-ops.com/blog/china-is-to-be-traded-not-invested-in https://macro-ops.com/blog/china-is-to-be-traded-not-invested-in"
X Link 2024-09-30T17:26Z 27.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Dirty Dozen is out: ๐Ÿ”ธ Completed cup-n-handle in $SPY ๐Ÿ”ธ Market internals both good & bad ๐Ÿ”ธ Temper your Chinese stimulus hopes ๐Ÿ”ธ $DXY setup https://macro-ops.com/blog/hating-on-the-dollar-nbsp https://macro-ops.com/blog/hating-on-the-dollar-nbsp"
X Link 2024-10-07T14:45Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"@Credit_Junk IDF has been aggressively driving UN personnel out of the expanding area of conflict for a while now but it hasn't been reported much"
X Link 2024-10-13T20:01Z 27.9K followers, [---] engagements

"This week's Dirty Dozen is out: ๐Ÿ”ธBofA Global FMS points to increasing bullishness ๐Ÿ”ธOdds of Overheating regime at 20% and rising ๐Ÿ”ธ$ETHUSD inverse H&S bottom ๐Ÿ”ธ What Chinese stimmy means for US CPI ๐Ÿ”ธ Silver play with 2-3x upside https://macro-ops.com/blog/its-getting-hot-in-here https://macro-ops.com/blog/its-getting-hot-in-here"
X Link 2024-10-21T15:07Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"In this weeks Dirty Dozen we look at Trumps policy agenda tariff threats strange expectations sour $SMH $BTCUSD blast-off $DXY crowding and end with pitching a German arms manufacturer plus https://macro-ops.com/why-btcusd-is-our-largest-position/ https://macro-ops.com/why-btcusd-is-our-largest-position/"
X Link 2024-12-02T14:57Z 28K followers, [----] engagements

"In this weeks Dirty Dozen we look at $BTCUSD breaking out with bearish sentiment Santa stats talk $QQQ in BullQ regimes disparate sentiment measures and more https://macro-ops.com/households-are-record-long-stocks/ https://macro-ops.com/households-are-record-long-stocks/"
X Link 2024-12-16T17:20Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"These two paragraphs lay out perfectly the true nature of how markets work. The yin and yang of the bulls and bears. The Tao of the market. From one of my all-time favorite (and little-known) trading books "The Way of the Dollar" by John Percival"
X Link 2024-12-21T19:04Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"In this weeks Dirty Dozen we look at: ๐Ÿ”นVery bullish fund managers holding little cash ๐Ÿ”น Forecasters boosting SPX eoy targets at record rates ๐Ÿ”น Rare 1D vol spike historically leads to ST bottom ๐Ÿ”น What's really driving the pop in yields (not CPI) https://macro-ops.com/super-bullish-sentiment/ https://macro-ops.com/super-bullish-sentiment/ https://macro-ops.com/super-bullish-sentiment/ https://macro-ops.com/super-bullish-sentiment/"
X Link 2024-12-23T16:03Z 28.1K followers, 10.8K engagements

"@DaveyNels TY And happy holidays to you as well"
X Link 2024-12-23T22:35Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"$BTCUSD's low-volume node from 74k-86k is acting as a magnet. Doesn't mean it has to trade there just that the likelihood is up there via @ChrisDMacro"
X Link 2024-12-23T22:41Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"In this weeks Dirty Dozen I cover: - Bull Volatile regimes - Changing market structure + increased ST risks - $USDCAD breakout - Deteriorating US fiscal picture - Short-term bottom in bonds https://macro-ops.com/loonie-going-loco/ https://macro-ops.com/loonie-going-loco/"
X Link 2024-12-30T16:24Z 28.1K followers, 10.4K engagements

"This week's DD looks at: - Bullish short-term market drivers in $QQQ - TOY indicator failure for 25' - Rising market-implied odds of a "Goldilocks" regime - A MAJOR breakout in $DXY https://macro-ops.com/the-most-important-macro-chart/ https://macro-ops.com/the-most-important-macro-chart/"
X Link 2025-01-06T16:58Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"This week's DD looks at: - 10yr yield +2std move driving $SPX weakness - Breadth indicating inflection point near - Internals Aggregator nearing major Buy Signal - Key markets sniffing out inbound Chinese stimmy - Real $GLD bull hasn't even started yet https://macro-ops.com/a-significant-inflection-point/ https://macro-ops.com/a-significant-inflection-point/"
X Link 2025-01-13T15:34Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"This week's Dirty Dozen covers: - Why it's time to Buy 'em - Nuked sentiment in $TLT and $SLV - Soft + hard data = goldilocks regime of low G / stable I - Panic in $GBPUSD setting up mean reversion long - Long Andean Precious Metals $APM https://macro-ops.com/buy-em/ https://macro-ops.com/buy-em/"
X Link 2025-01-21T15:25Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

"@PrincessPragma1 I honestly couldn't come up with a cool title for just [--] or [--] charts so [--] it is ๐Ÿ˜‰. And don't worry within just a few more years you guys will be merged with the US and enjoying the USD"
X Link 2025-01-21T20:36Z 28.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Why we're long and buying here https://macro-ops.com/send-em-higher/ https://macro-ops.com/send-em-higher/"
X Link 2025-01-22T16:33Z 28.1K followers, [----] engagements

""Out of any 15-year period to be invested in equities dating back to [----] the one weve just lived through was the best. Returns have been more than double the average" Bridgewater"
X Link 2025-03-19T12:57Z 28.3K followers, [----] engagements

"$QQQ is teed up for some short-term mean reversion while crude and $CAD have a trifecta long setup in place. https://macro-ops.com/long-crude-long-loonie/ https://macro-ops.com/long-crude-long-loonie/"
X Link 2025-03-24T14:04Z 28.4K followers, [----] engagements

"RETAIL INVESTORS BOUGHT $4.7 BLN IN STOCKS ON THURSDAY LARGEST LEVEL OVER THE PAST DECADE via JPM ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคฃ"
X Link 2025-04-04T14:10Z 28.4K followers, 27K engagements

"5/ We remain big LT $GDX bulls but. The trend has turned parabolic and it's become the hot topic on the youtubes. So its likely were in for an extended pause/consolidation here"
X Link 2025-04-28T14:21Z 28.6K followers, [---] engagements

"6/ Defense stocks continue to lead Global defense ETF $SHLD making new ATHs. Rheinmetall AG $RHM up+162% since our entry last year. Recently added Rocket Lab $RKLB to our book"
X Link 2025-04-28T14:21Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"6/ $Copper looks like it might finally be gearing up for a move. If price holds up today then it will see an all-time monthly closing high"
X Link 2025-06-30T14:13Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"7/ Copper: rel-val is in the 0th %tile Chinas inventories are bone dry Credit impulse turning up LME curve screaming backwardation If Beijing accelerates restocking then ๐Ÿš€๐ŸŒ•"
X Link 2025-06-30T14:18Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"8 / The three momentum leaders in the copper mining space are $TGB $HBM and $SCCO. Here's $HBM breaking out from a decade-long trading range"
X Link 2025-06-30T14:20Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Schwab's STAXX is a fav sentiment/positioning of mine because it's hard data & not a survey It's based on a randomized sample of tens of millions of retail accounts. It's based on what they are actually doing In 18' & 21' it hit extremes 75%. Now it's at 39% Not bearish"
X Link 2025-06-30T14:39Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Our Large Spec Oscillator shows that $BTCUSD positioning is in the "Buy Zone". #Bitcoin"
X Link 2025-07-01T13:02Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"$SPY remains in a strong primary bull trend and is poised to move higher. But technicals are stretched & I expect a modest pullback 8% in coming weeks. Robust liquidity expanding breadth & improving internals will keep any dip contained. /1"
X Link 2025-07-07T15:27Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

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