@DianeSwonk Diane Swonk
Diane Swonk posts on X about inflation, more than, in the, tariffs the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
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Social Influence
Social category influence finance 47.83% social networks 3.48% technology brands 2.61% stocks 1.74% countries 0.87% financial services 0.87%
Social topic influence inflation #373, more than 8.7%, in the 6.09%, tariffs #967, we are 5.22%, federal reserve #1032, the first 5.22%, core 4.35%, this is 4.35%, the most 3.48%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @jasonfurman @federalreserve @joebailitz @meganmesserly @harvardbiz @chadjonesecon @ft @nyfedresearch @bloombergradio @tomkeene @mckonomy @cnni @richardquest @benbernanke @beanews @esastats @bcappelbaum @brianbeutler @grantthorntonus @paulkrugman
Top assets mentioned Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Useful 🧵 on how the COVID recession hit women much harder than men. Parents hit much harder - notably Black & Hispanic Women. Has highlighted issues for women more broadly. Too many forget that women in US have lagged other develop counties in participation. We are now live-tweeting for this event We are now live-tweeting for this event"
X Link 2021-03-22T19:40Z 56.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Here is my full analysis of the personal consumption and income report with the breakdown on the Federal Reserves target for inflation the PCE index which is still simmering. My deepest apologies for typos. I have dyslexia and sleep depression makes worse. Not an excuse just my cross to bear. So very sorry for those my typos offended. https://kpmg.com/us/en/articles/2026/november-2025-pce.html https://kpmg.com/us/en/articles/2026/november-2025-pce.html"
X Link 2026-01-22T18:17Z 55.9K followers, [----] engagements
"PPI data was hot. The three month and six month moving averages hottest since [----]. The components that feed into the Federal Reserves target measure of inflation the PCE index were not as bad but underscore why the Fed needs to pause and see what shows up. It is the reason that Chair Powell was cautious on not declaring victory over inflation yet. Here is my colleague Meagans post on the PPI data. 🔥"
X Link 2026-01-30T14:48Z 55.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Yep. Components that feed into PCE not as bad but there is a lot of pipeline inflation in that number in the service sector as well Much hotter-than-expected US PPI inflation: Monthly PPI inflation for December jumped to 0.5% significantly above the consensus forecast of 0.2%. Core PPI was even more startling coming in at 0.7% monthly and pushing the annual core measure to 3.3% (well above the anticipated Much hotter-than-expected US PPI inflation: Monthly PPI inflation for December jumped to 0.5% significantly above the consensus forecast of 0.2%. Core PPI was even more startling coming in"
X Link 2026-01-30T14:50Z 55.9K followers, [----] engagements
"Interesting paper gaming out AI impacts. Ultimatelythe effect of A.I. will be much larger than the internet perhaps by more than 10x the internet albeit over a half century or more. It would be prudent to spend the intervening time making preparations for the potentially large consequences for labor markets inequality and catastrophic risk. Now contrast with this @HarvardBiz survey What we found is that AI is behind at least some layoffs but that these are almost completely in anticipation of AIs impact. In other words the job losses and slowed hiring are real even though companies are still"
X Link 2026-02-07T21:31Z 56K followers, 17.5K engagements
"Deficits as far as the eye can see & now piling up faster than previously estimated due to OBBBA. Highly leverage hedge fund picking up Treasury bond purchase at the margin instead of institutional investors - central banks & pension. Hedge funds are more sensitive to prices & shocks. More likely to bolt which makes us more susceptible to spikes in bond yields and all other rates as well. We are still the reserve currency of the world but the run up in gold over last year is worrisome sign. Trust across our closest allies and trading partners is eroding. That is not good."
X Link 2026-02-11T18:37Z 56.3K followers, [----] engagements
"This was a huge factor for vehicle producers which in many cases were paying more than importer to produce in the US. The margin compression was larger & showed up in layoffs in the industry as producers were forced to eat the costs for fear of further sapping demand with price hikes. BOMBSHELL @FT scoop: Trump admin mulls cutting steel/aluminum tariffs bc these taxes 1) raise US prices; 2) are insanely complicated; 3) had other unintented consequences (incl lobbying). They're admitting in other words that gravity exists. Good. https://t.co/o4RkfMWxlF BOMBSHELL @FT scoop: Trump admin mulls"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:13Z 56.4K followers, [----] engagements
"The CPI data came in cooler than expected which is always welcome. The headline is obscuring some of the underlying inflation due to the loss in data associated with the government shutdown. The overall index posted its coolest reading since May [----] with a 2.4% increase. However a loss of data during the October government shutdown resulted in a zeroing out of many price hikes in October. We also saw an update to seasonal factors which means we did not get the usual bump in January. Still goods prices soared at the fastest pace since [----] buoyed by tariffs. Service sector prices are proving"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:14Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Typically tariffs represent a one-time bump in price levels. The challenge is that tariffs were not announced all at once. The challenge for the Fed is whether increases in prices persist or plateau. It takes a long time for wages to catch up to the level of prices even if they are outpacing inflation. Price hikes have compounded post pandemic to make the level of prices out of track to too many. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022344622966439948 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022344622966439948"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:18Z 56.4K followers, [--] engagements
"@jasonfurman The jump in goods inflation continued and was the largest since [----]. That is where tariff waivers could help alleviate some pressure down the road but not yet. Still wait and see for the Fed"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:16Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Tariffs have yet to peak but will do so at half the pace we saw in April [----] but more than four - fold the pace of January [----]. Some firms held off by cutting heads but have reached a tipping point. Goods prices - the tell on tariff inflation accelerated. Moreover are your health insurance costs falling. We are seeing largest increase in [--] years - yet dropped in Jan. Earlier declines due to subsidies. Big unknown is role that curbs immigration & fiscal stimulus will have on inflation. So much still influxfood for thought. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022417957062692873"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:09Z 56.4K followers, [--] engagements
"This is something that gets diminished too much. Thank you for pointing it out. The stagflation of the 1970s had many culprits; one was an unmooring of expectations. We tend to get the inflation we expect and we still expect more than we did before the tariff tantrum in April [----]. Normalized inflation. Now add fiscal dominance and worries deepen. Unlike in [----] households' medium-term inflation expectations spiked in [----] and have remained elevated. https://t.co/EHMEyCHtGZ Unlike in [----] households' medium-term inflation expectations spiked in [----] and have remained elevated."
X Link 2026-02-13T21:32Z 56.4K followers, [----] engagements
"The CPI data came in cooler than expected which is always welcome. The headline is obscuring some of the underlying inflation due to the loss in data associated with the government shutdown. The overall index posted its coolest reading since May [----] with a 2.4% increase. However a loss of data during the October government shutdown resulted in a zeroing out of many price hikes in October. We also saw an update to seasonal factors which means we did not get the usual bump in January. Still goods prices soared at the fastest pace since [----] buoyed by tariffs. Service sector prices are proving"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:26Z 56.4K followers, [----] engagements
"I have been quieter than usual on many of my platforms. The vitriol & threats scared my kids. That is 💔. With a month devoted to love I will just say I have seen a shift on my own feeds that is rooted in more healthy debate & learning. I appreciate that. My own view on life is that the older I get the less I realize I actually know. That creates a hunger to learn and grow. Thank you for the respectful dialogue. May whatever enables you to see love and joy amidst the chaos fill your heart this Valentines Day weekend. We all face challenges. I have plenty of my own whether they be my health"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:26Z 56.4K followers, 17.1K engagements
"More on the K-shaped economy. Spoiler it persists and is still harder on non college grads after adjusting for inflation. Breakdown of data from @NYFedResearch https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/02/a-new-dataset-for-consumer-spending-in-the-economic-heterogeneity-indicators/ https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/02/a-new-dataset-for-consumer-spending-in-the-economic-heterogeneity-indicators/"
X Link 2026-02-15T15:04Z 56.4K followers, [----] engagements
"If US downgraded again #Fed would have to intervene on regulatory basis so banks could continue to hold Treasury bonds as Tier [--] capital"
X Link 2013-10-01T13:46Z 49K followers, [--] engagements
"FOMC likely to continue tapering pace. Very disappointing jobs report could slow pace to $5 billion in treasury bonds only; long shot. #Fed"
X Link 2014-02-28T15:04Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"I do expect to see more quality jobs created but still see a lot of slack in labor market. More @BloombergRadio w @tomkeene @mckonomy"
X Link 2014-06-04T12:15Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Would welcome a temporary increase in unemployment rate bc more people feel confident there are jobs to be had & look for work #NFP"
X Link 2014-08-01T13:36Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"#Yellen validates that improvement in #unemployment rate overstates improvement in #labormarket conditions; not a good summary stat now"
X Link 2014-08-22T14:22Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"#Fed largely abandoned #unemployment rate as signal for labor market health bc drop in participation & flat wages. http://t.co/6cT2SYNPJT http://tinyurl.com/nbyezsr http://tinyurl.com/nbyezsr"
X Link 2014-10-03T14:37Z 49K followers, [--] engagements
"#Federal will look past tepid 0.8% yoy increase view it as transfer to consumers from falling #gasprices. #CPI http://t.co/AvuVIOhNWJ http://tinyurl.com/nyabl6u http://tinyurl.com/nyabl6u"
X Link 2015-01-16T14:46Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Several questions about the nature of #inflation & pricing power. Quick primer: http://t.co/JmtklWDN9B http://tinyurl.com/prdcnyy http://tinyurl.com/prdcnyy"
X Link 2015-01-21T20:31Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Consumers doing more than their fair share despite some disappointment in the numbers in December. #personalincome #PCE"
X Link 2015-02-02T14:39Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Fed has to walk fine line with its primary target inflation failing to perform consistently"
X Link 2015-09-03T13:04Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Fed could raise in Oct but bet still on Dec: could use some signs inflation will reaccelerate"
X Link 2015-09-21T13:22Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"I will be on @CNNI in [--] hour talking to @richardquest about the slowdown in #China and how that may affect Federal Reserve policy. #Fed"
X Link 2015-10-16T19:05Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"She is also hedging a lot of scenarios; she has learned and has confidence of unanimous vote https://x.com/elerianm/status/677221621011193857 Following historic decision @FederalReserve Chair #Yellen is responding effectively to press conference questions and in a gracious manner https://x.com/elerianm/status/677221621011193857 Following historic decision @FederalReserve Chair #Yellen is responding effectively to press conference questions and in a gracious manner"
X Link 2015-12-16T20:28Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Retail sales were even better given the dampening effects of East Coast storm which hit on weekend. #retailsales"
X Link 2016-02-12T14:28Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Wage acceleration and tariffs could put Fed in tough posiition https://x.com/wsjcentralbanks/status/823268115765194752 Fed has met its jobs mandate. On inflation not so much https://t.co/b676hY6nyQ https://x.com/wsjcentralbanks/status/823268115765194752 Fed has met its jobs mandate. On inflation not so much https://t.co/b676hY6nyQ"
X Link 2017-01-22T22:43Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"I think we are on the verge of the most signficant rise in inflation and bond yields in almost forty years. https://x.com/traceyryniec/status/824657480387063808 New home buyers might not have locked in yet. But the 30-year average was "just" 4.2% in Dec. Imagine when it's 5% Affordability problem. https://t.co/kuuI9tB5kJ https://x.com/traceyryniec/status/824657480387063808 New home buyers might not have locked in yet. But the 30-year average was "just" 4.2% in Dec. Imagine when it's 5% Affordability problem. https://t.co/kuuI9tB5kJ"
X Link 2017-01-26T20:58Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Trade is an ecosystem something critical to understand fallout of trade barriers. https://x.com/bcappelbaum/status/832660633761898500 https://x.com/bcappelbaum/status/832660633761898500"
X Link 2017-02-17T20:15Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Bernanke pushed back on Fed's balance sheet reduction until short term rates much higher; concerns about fin stability https://x.com/brookingsecon/status/833527101395439616 How much and how quickly should the Fed shrink its balance sheet @benbernanke with more https://t.co/JdLudftCYd https://t.co/6eTXJ62Ejh https://x.com/brookingsecon/status/833527101395439616 How much and how quickly should the Fed shrink its balance sheet @benbernanke with more https://t.co/JdLudftCYd https://t.co/6eTXJ62Ejh"
X Link 2017-02-20T13:06Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Yellen's exit may prompt the Fed to pare its balance sheet sooner rather than later Goldman says http://www.cnbc.com/id/104350859 http://www.cnbc.com/id/104350859"
X Link 2017-03-20T01:26Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Fed minutes likely to reveal balance sheet debate heated; a political liability for Fed w no clear consensus on how to reduce. https://x.com/nhendersonwsj/status/845266049150922753 Feds Bullard thinks short-term interest rates should stay low https://t.co/XQZbC62VET https://x.com/nhendersonwsj/status/845266049150922753 Feds Bullard thinks short-term interest rates should stay low https://t.co/XQZbC62VET"
X Link 2017-03-24T14:02Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"MBS is the critical aspect of the Fed balance sheet in terms of unknowns when they stop reinvestment. https://x.com/stlouisfed/status/845269000145850368 Bullard: Now may be a good time to consider allowing the balance sheet to normalize by ending reinvestment https://t.co/J0ooHKcDzq https://t.co/IQOjMZ3GZv https://x.com/stlouisfed/status/845269000145850368 Bullard: Now may be a good time to consider allowing the balance sheet to normalize by ending reinvestment https://t.co/J0ooHKcDzq https://t.co/IQOjMZ3GZv"
X Link 2017-03-24T14:19Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"And the beat goes on.Fed singing in near unison on rate hikes. Less so on timing/structure of balance sheet reduction. https://x.com/barronsonline/status/846800695772811264 Fed's Fischer Sees Two More Rate Hikes this Year https://t.co/hrU6UglYNp https://t.co/B66vu15Box https://x.com/barronsonline/status/846800695772811264 Fed's Fischer Sees Two More Rate Hikes this Year https://t.co/hrU6UglYNp https://t.co/B66vu15Box"
X Link 2017-03-28T19:07Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"It is critical that the Federal Reserve is staffed. Understaffing compromises the ability of the Fed to act and make changes to policy or not. Indecision is as much as a decision and anything else. https://x.com/gregdaco/status/932955760878899200 With #Yellen announcing that she will leave the #Fed Board once Governor Powell is sworn in as Chair there will be [--] vacancies to fill in early [----]. https://t.co/psMKiJPWGs https://x.com/gregdaco/status/932955760878899200 With #Yellen announcing that she will leave the #Fed Board once Governor Powell is sworn in as Chair there will be [--] vacancies to"
X Link 2017-11-21T13:27Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Core stable at 1.4% year over year for two months up only slightly from recent trough. Lodging which was boosted by FEMA payments to people displaced by disasters adding to core service inflation. https://x.com/uscensusbureau/status/936226022143479808 Oct [--] PCE price index up 1.6%. Core PCE price index up 1.4% https://t.co/J6gh8eVAEh @BEA_News @ESAstats https://x.com/uscensusbureau/status/936226022143479808 Oct [--] PCE price index up 1.6%. Core PCE price index up 1.4% https://t.co/J6gh8eVAEh @BEA_News @ESAstats"
X Link 2017-11-30T13:47Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Notes the role of slowing health care services inflation which is being held down by policy changes not cyclical shifts in economy. Implicit conclusion: Hawks will dominate and raise rates next year even inflation measures "appear" subdued. https://x.com/richmondfed/status/936677579813281793 https://t.co/Kh2hEZCLf7 https://x.com/richmondfed/status/936677579813281793 https://t.co/Kh2hEZCLf7"
X Link 2017-12-01T19:40Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"The decision to have children is not the issue. The larger issue being lost is that well structured child credits for low income hh pay dividends for decades into the furure. They can alter educational attainment and narrow gap on inequality. https://x.com/jimzarroli/status/936965691437146113 @BCAppelbaum @brianbeutler Seriosu question: How many people really decide to have more children because they get a tax credit https://x.com/jimzarroli/status/936965691437146113 @BCAppelbaum @brianbeutler Seriosu question: How many people really decide to have more children because they get a tax credit"
X Link 2017-12-02T14:35Z 50.4K followers, [--] engagements
"Inflation up retail sales down. Harsh winter weather in the South which shut down some tourist cites contributed to bad numbers. Spending in February may not rebound as hoped because of a delay in tax refunds into March. Rocky road for markets"
X Link 2018-02-14T14:23Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Retail sales were boosted by higher prices at the pump. Vehicle sales also held up better than expected. There are few signs however that tax cuts are helping much. The little that low and middle income hh gained were wiped out by higher gas prices"
X Link 2018-05-15T14:24Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Solid 4.1% second quarter growth following upward revisions to first quarter. An improvement in trade accounted for more than 1% of those gains. Our trading partners were stockpiling soybeans ahead of tariffs not sustainable"
X Link 2018-07-27T13:32Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"We now expect to see the next recession in the first half of [----] six months sooner than prior estimates. Macroeconomist @DianeSwonk @GrantThorntonUS shares her forecast for the economy in 2019: Storm Clouds on the Horizon https://t.co/DIBl579dFz Macroeconomist @DianeSwonk @GrantThorntonUS shares her forecast for the economy in 2019: Storm Clouds on the Horizon https://t.co/DIBl579dFz"
X Link 2018-12-05T22:17Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I cant express how much it affected my core being when a highly talented and qualified Chair Yellen was not nominated for a second term. Nothing against Jay Powell who I admire but another of a thousand cuts to being an economist who is also a woman. Janet Yellen tells @paulkrugman on becoming the first female chair of the Fed: I wanted to do what I could possibly do as an example and to promote the careers of women in the Fed. @GC_CUNY @stone_lis Janet Yellen tells @paulkrugman on becoming the first female chair of the Fed: I wanted to do what I could possibly do as an example and to promote"
X Link 2018-12-11T12:17Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Over half the whopping 3.2% GDP figure due to surge in inventories and slower trade. Imports fell. Consumer spending and business investment slowed to a crawl. Federal government flatlined in wake of gov shutdown"
X Link 2019-04-26T12:37Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"DOW [-----]. Important to remember that the stock market is not the economy and even less representative of the economy than in the past. The DOW and S&P more reflective of largest and most profitable companies than in the past a concentration that has also undermined wage growth"
X Link 2020-01-10T15:19Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I repeat. Without a recession and any other changes to our laws deficits and debts will skyrocket. Moreover those increases will be more oriented toward supporting current spending than investments in the future. They compound losses instead of seed productivity grth or equity. The U.S. national debt will rise to 98% of GDP by [----] CBO projects https://t.co/WSMtkCU7tK The U.S. national debt will rise to 98% of GDP by [----] CBO projects https://t.co/WSMtkCU7tK"
X Link 2020-01-30T11:49Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"This is the hardest day I have ever been an economist - to bear witness and give a voice to the millions upon millions who have lost their jobs. So much lost. I admire and respect with every ounce of my being those who are on the front lines of this crisis every day"
X Link 2020-05-08T10:48Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Ok Twitter - My mom has her 80th birthday today. Please wish her a happy day. Had to change how we celebrate to be safe. We are separated by many states - not what I planned. Her name is Phyllis Swonk. She is not on twitter but does google my account. Thanks much in advance"
X Link 2020-05-16T12:48Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"This needs to be repeated over and over again. Stock market indices less reflective of overall economy than ever before. Consolidation post COVID likely to exacerbate. Also less tethered to actual profits. Poor indicator of economy. Structural change in making for decades. Stock market is increasingly driven by a handful of companies. The weight of the top five stocks in the #SP500 has nearly doubled since [----] via @WSJ @SoberLook https://t.co/CT4Xfn67Wb Stock market is increasingly driven by a handful of companies. The weight of the top five stocks in the #SP500 has nearly doubled since 2013"
X Link 2020-06-10T06:56Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Singing off for now. 31/2 mos [--] minor surgeries battery of tests and tomorrow less minor surgery in COVID era. Quarantined. No COVID. Must go alone no phone please bring power of attorney - protocol these days. Hope to be back soon. Be safe be well wear a mask"
X Link 2020-06-15T00:21Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"NO CANCER Feel like I have been hit by a truck but know that pain has an end date. More tests - big hurdle cleared"
X Link 2020-06-16T14:37Z 56.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Last photo I have of my father before he passed. He was terminal and in incredible pain but on top of the world at my daughters graduation. My son couldnt believe his pain tolerance - he was a proud man and never gave up"
X Link 2020-06-21T14:56Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Congress is debating UI benefits as if this is a traditional recession. There is nothing traditional about it and frankly we are have lost a lot by how stingy we have been for workers who lost their jobs in previous recessions. I will repeat: THIS TIME is DIFFERENT"
X Link 2020-07-29T12:13Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I am adding to my warning about those who post hateful messages on my twitter feed. I will block you. That includes those who call me names as well. It is a waste of everyones time and not a productive way to find common ground"
X Link 2020-08-10T12:13Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The pain is not over. The risk is that the recession metastasizes into a longer more traditional recession with consequences for the wealthy as well as those who are not. There is a false sense of security that some are feeling which is undermining aid talks. "the recession is over for people at the top while the working class is still in a depression" @byHeatherLong to @IAmAmnaNawaz https://t.co/RMtfeos5Dy "the recession is over for people at the top while the working class is still in a depression" @byHeatherLong to @IAmAmnaNawaz https://t.co/RMtfeos5Dy"
X Link 2020-10-03T13:23Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Controlling the spread of COVID is economic policy - full stop"
X Link 2020-10-25T14:19Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I was working on a long thread of all the work I have done on the risk we are going into a double dip recession - we are - and the scars left by COVID. I realized no one reads it. So here is the short version. Spoiler - it still long"
X Link 2020-11-18T13:49Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Janet Yellen is amazing. A highly talented and gifted economist. She will make a great Treasury Secretary at a critical time and write yet another chapter in the history books. I cried when she became Fed Chair and will shed a tear of joy today. Deep bench. Great choice"
X Link 2020-11-23T21:11Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Personal news. I was diagnosed with breast cancer on December [--]. I caught it early which is a reminder of the need to keep your checkups current despite the pandemic"
X Link 2021-01-12T11:18Z 56.4K followers, [----] engagements
"I may have lost some my body this year but it wont change the essence of who I am. I plan to stick around a lot longer and cross the metaphorical finish line on this crisis with a very large crowd. To my family I love you forever and a day more than the universe"
X Link 2021-01-12T11:18Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Personal Note. Surgery went well - in pain but will heal. Results from pathology next week. Tough being alone but need to do it. I am lucky to get in with COVID - beds rationed but not as bad as other in other areas. They do much same day. Learned a lot ab post op care last [--] mo"
X Link 2021-01-16T12:29Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Those who spew hate gross inaccuracies ab COVID & the economy and/or threaten me will be blocked and reported to Twitter. My dealing w cancer or any other medical issue does not stop me from being who I am. I share info ab COVID bc the virus determines the course of the economy"
X Link 2021-01-17T12:11Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Powell strongly agrees that systemic bias - racial gaps and inequality - undermined the potential of the economy to grow. It is important for the Fed to discuss because they have a role to play when talking about the labor market"
X Link 2021-01-27T20:22Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I know this data but @JStein_WaPo is right. Most people do not know how dire poverty is in the US. Poorest 20% avg income of ab $10K a year. That is horrific. Seems like many people do not realize that the average income for the poorest 20% of Americans is roughly $10K The $1400 stimulus payments alone provide $5600 for a family of four Seems like many people do not realize that the average income for the poorest 20% of Americans is roughly $10K The $1400 stimulus payments alone provide $5600 for a family of four"
X Link 2021-02-09T19:08Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Silver lining to cancer - I got my first COVID vaccine dose this week. I teared up. A friend asked why It has been a long year for all of us & I had the privilege and luck to be here for that - too many did not"
X Link 2021-03-12T13:13Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Another reminder. Make sure you dont overlook routine tests because of COVID. Just had to get another two biopsies and thankfully they were benign. I still have to see a surgeon but for the first time in more than a year I am cancer free. Knock on wood"
X Link 2021-03-19T00:09Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Made it another year for another birthday on this earth. So very lucky. Beat cancer more than once. Still working hard to avoid COVID. Got 2nd jab yesterday to help myself those I love & those I dont know. Kids isolated & got 1st jab so I could feel their embrace - pure joy"
X Link 2021-04-08T09:57Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Personal note. The amazing staff knows my name now. Please if you can get those checkups & screenings delayed during pandemic. My heart weeps for those without insurance. I a very lucky. Losing body parts but not the essence of who I am. I heal well. Be preemptive if you can"
X Link 2021-05-11T18:21Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I love you mom - happy belated birthday. It took a while to celebrate in person. Surgeries were hard vaccines rock. Glad to make it to this moment as a cancer survivor"
X Link 2021-05-24T11:19Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I hit a pandemic high amidst a Delta low. Needed the boost. Thank you @ratemyskyperoom Love the composition. Perfect lamp work. Art. Floral arrangement. 10/10 @DianeSwonk https://t.co/KyE1WR49VB Love the composition. Perfect lamp work. Art. Floral arrangement. 10/10 @DianeSwonk https://t.co/KyE1WR49VB"
X Link 2021-09-03T20:17Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Shortage of workers We lost a lot of immigrant (mostly legal) workers since 2016"
X Link 2021-11-10T23:43Z 56.4K followers, [----] engagements
"This is my public good announcement. I know it is scary going to routine tests and doc appts during pandemic. Had a hard week seeing three more docs myself. BUT it was my persistence that kept cancer at bay & kept me here. Worth overcoming the fear. Stay safe & well"
X Link 2022-01-29T14:42Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Housing is in a recession: Mortgage demand has plummeted to nearly half what it was a year ago and is at the lowest level since [----]. Home buyer and building are cratering and home values are decelerating according to Core-Logic index at fastest pace on record"
X Link 2022-10-26T12:28Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Data from @BLS_gov. Absences from work due to Childcare problems hit a record high in October [----]. Trifecta of kids filling ICUs with RSV flu and out sick to COVID"
X Link 2022-11-09T13:03Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Been a really tough day as in heart breaking. Taking a break for now. Let the people you care about know you care. Even a call or text can make a difference. Spent a lot of time doing that after a shock this am - devoting more time now. Be well. Be safe. Be kind. Pay it forward"
X Link 2022-12-16T20:50Z 56.4K followers, 135.1K engagements
"Why is the Fed still so hawkish They see fighting inflation as a marathon not a sprint. The first phase - getting inflation off its peak - is relatively easy. BUT wages and prices can get sticky especially in the service sector where labor shortages are the most acute"
X Link 2023-01-10T12:39Z 56.4K followers, 57.7K engagements
"The other issue most overlook is high tolerance for infections and the staffing shortages surge in those out sick each months cause. They are costly to individuals family and overall economy. Health of economy is dependent on health of workers. My god"Close to a half a million who would have been working . died from #COVID" says Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Dont forget disabled by #LongCovid too. Dont risk infection. Protect your family. #CovidIsNotOver https://t.co/MLxbWBaOgY https://t.co/a6nZN8CWLy My god"Close to a half a million who would have been working . died from #COVID" says"
X Link 2023-01-15T14:53Z 56.4K followers, 71.5K engagements
"Doesnt add up. Powell said that financial conditions were not tight enough to fully derail inflation. The statement and his comments in Dec revealed that the Fed worries that financial markets will undo progress made on inflation. Yet he led a rally in fin markets today"
X Link 2023-02-01T23:42Z 56.4K followers, 47.4K engagements
"Labor hoarding was alive and well in January. The bulk of the stunning 517K surge in hiring was due to the fact that firms held onto seasonal hires longer than usual. January is typically the largest layoff month of the year. Gains in the public sector were boosted by"
X Link 2023-02-03T15:31Z 56.4K followers, 75.4K engagements
"The upward revisions to core CPI measure on inflation in late [----] due to an update of the seasonal adjustment of the data is important on several fronts: 1) The move up in core CPI from a initial estimate of 3.1% to 4.3% suggests that inflation is still 🔥"
X Link 2023-02-11T13:33Z 56.4K followers, 88.6K engagements
"🔥The core PCE data for fourth quarter revised up from 3.9% to 4.3% 👀 Tomorrow get core services PCE which excludes shelter and accounts for more than half of PCE inflation measure. It looks even hotter - with airfares and medical insurance rising. Wrong direction for Fed"
X Link 2023-02-23T19:57Z 56.4K followers, 55.4K engagements
"#NewProfilePic"
X Link 2023-03-22T22:26Z 56.4K followers, 21.6K engagements
"Been in non stop meetings trying to map out the consequences of recent financial market fragilities for the economy inflation and monetary policy. More to come as I collect my thoughts but I will take a brief reprieve to celebrate the fact that I made it to another birthday on this planet. Been an obstacle course with lots of hurdles in recent years. Feeling like the battery bunny on this holiday weekend. Never give up. 💕"
X Link 2023-04-08T12:37Z 56.4K followers, 81.6K engagements
"Stunning 497k surge in payroll gains in ADP report. Gains dominated by front facing consumer services jobs with nearly half in leisure hospitality - travel has surged especially travel abroad. Wages growth slowed and the premium for switching jobs narrowed; both still strong"
X Link 2023-07-06T13:52Z 56.4K followers, 46.4K engagements
"My Lake Michigan. Peace"
X Link 2023-08-13T01:49Z 56.4K followers, 16.2K engagements
"Economics is the study of collective human behavior - how all of our individual spending preferences/biases/limits or lack there of - affect our decisions on what and how we spend. I get a bit frustrated when some forget that the economy is about peoples lives and livelihoods. Just needed to put that out there"
X Link 2023-08-18T00:55Z 56.4K followers, 49.8K engagements
"Been a week. This is my reminder to anyone who is postponing tests. Dont. Early detection is important. Found a spot on my lung in a cat scan for my heart - NOT CANCER an infection. (Exhale.) Still recovering from one of the tests yesterday. Anesthesia is hard but better than alternative. One foot in front of the other eyes on horizon"
X Link 2023-10-20T13:00Z 56.4K followers, 20.9K engagements
"One lesson I learned early in my career was that consumer will resist with everything in their power reductions in their standard of living. Later I learned that it was not just the amount people accumulated that mattered but the pace at which they accumulated stuff that became so entrenched. A version of keeping up with the Jones played out en mass"
X Link 2023-11-08T12:33Z 56.4K followers, 96K engagements
"What is the Federal Reserve doing and what is it trying to accomplish. The statement and the press conference following the December meeting were much more dovish than many expected and ignited a massive rally in stock and equity prices. First the Fed had to know that their statement which highlighted that we might not need any additional rate hikes and that inflation has eased over the last year would trigger a rally"
X Link 2023-12-17T14:30Z 56.4K followers, 80.2K engagements
"My reminder to get all your routine doctors visits and tests done. I have more than most and they do reveal things many unpleasant. The last four months have been rough. A few more scars and uncertainty about how to address some issues. My kids convinced me to embrace my scars as they are an emblem to my endurance. Still have a lot of uncertainty about treatments but for the moment I am a riddle wrapped in an enigma. I am far too healthy to warrant aggressive treatment and may be healing myself. Docs are befuddled. Take the small wins where you can. 💪"
X Link 2024-01-21T20:06Z 56.4K followers, 29.2K engagements
"Have two straight weeks of meetings with economist and policy experts across countries. Taking a breather after my first week of meetings. Here is some issues that bubbled to the top. 1) Is the US economy really as good as it appears - what can and cant be trusted in our economic models Households debt: consumers demised has been greatly exaggerated. Be careful with extrapolating household debt & delinquency data. Record delinquencies every month for subprime vehicle borrowers last year did not equate to defaults or a vicious cycle for lenders and borrowers. Why Most who went delinquent kept"
X Link 2024-02-10T15:42Z 56.4K followers, 101.5K engagements
"Spent last night at a dinner with Economists from the National Association for Business Economics and the heads of the Statistical Agencies and various other groups c including the Federal Reserve. Most people do not understand how the official data on the U.S. economy is computed and the steps involved in ensuring it is both timely and accurate"
X Link 2024-02-14T17:16Z 56.4K followers, 390.3K engagements
"I know we live in a polarized world. My job is to talk about the economy. I understand that many peoples perceptions of the economy are distorted through the prism of partisan lenses; that is not my job or intent. I will not tolerate hate on my feed. Threats will be reported and blocked. Kindness and respectful debate are welcome"
X Link 2024-02-17T15:04Z 56.4K followers, 37.8K engagements
"After reading a lot of hot takes on inflation I realized a few things are worth underscoring. A Top [--] List 1) The Fed made no commitment to cut rates at todays meeting; they just didnt change expectations that rate cuts are likely this year. 2) The median forecast is for three cuts BUT the number of people expecting to cut two or less rose"
X Link 2024-03-21T00:49Z 56.4K followers, 38.3K engagements
"Momentum & heat Real GDP rose at a 1.8% pace in the first quarter a sharp slowdown from the 3.4% pace of the fourth quarter. Much of that slowdown could be attributed to a widening of the trade deficit a DROP in federal spending and a further liquidation of inventories. The latter two will be reversed in the second quarter. Underlying demand remained solid"
X Link 2024-04-25T14:15Z 56.4K followers, 63K engagements
"🔥Inflation internals hot spending stronger than inflation-adjusted incomes and savings drained to lowest pace since fall [----] when consumers were using their savings to cushion blow. Debt is being leveraged but defaults have not risen with delinquencies as borrowers still have jobs. The data on inflation was bad on many fronts. Core goods prices increased on a three-month moving average basis for the first time since June [----] while services inflation got sticker and more broad based"
X Link 2024-04-26T14:26Z 56.4K followers, 35.7K engagements
"🥶The ice is thinningred flags are emerging for the US economy. A 🧵Sahm Rule & how elusive soft landings truly can be. What is often touted as a victory the 1994-95 tighten and easing cycle was more about luck than skill"
X Link 2024-07-06T13:24Z 56.4K followers, 372K engagements
"Next Friday the employment report for July will be released and there is a very high probability that the unemployment rate triggers what is known as the Sahm Rule a recession indicator named for @Claudia_Sahm. She herself has warned that it might not be signaling what it did in the past given the unique nature of the post pandemic economy. Rules much like Olympic records are meant to be broken"
X Link 2024-07-28T12:59Z 56.4K followers, 78.1K engagements
"Note to all who have had health issues. We often get the results of tests before we can talk to a doctor. I appreciate the data but it can be jarring. I still have mountains to climb and my lungs are under attack. BUT still defying the odds and have docs that are humble and admit they dont get my stamina. They are not willing to kill me with the cure. Thankful. Be kind be well and as my dad always said never give up"
X Link 2024-08-03T19:58Z 56.4K followers, 36.8K engagements
"One of the most missed stories in the downward revision to payroll employment regardless how big it ends up it reinforces evident that productivity growth is improving and seems to be sustaining above pre-pandemic trend. That is really important for soft landing scenario"
X Link 2024-08-22T13:00Z 56.4K followers, 30.9K engagements
"Had a rough couple of weeks. Five deaths in family and among friends. Too many young. Be careful and never forget to let the people you love know it. Be kind pay it forward. 💔"
X Link 2024-11-15T19:45Z 56.4K followers, 15.3K engagements
"The world is awash in uncertainty; it now exceeds the onset of the pandemic in 2020"
X Link 2025-02-16T13:34Z 56.4K followers, 52.9K engagements
"Hate and threats will not solicit a reaction from me. Reasonable debate about ways to get us on a more sustainable fiscal path with knowledge of the actual math always welcome. Been working to try to wake DC up to unsustainable budget path for decades. Deaf ears in Congress"
X Link 2025-03-10T02:43Z 56.4K followers, 16K engagements
"If tariffs announced they could go to the highest effective rates since the early 1900s. That is a major regressive tax on consumers. The probability of a recession has just gone upbut so has inflation Worst place to be for the Federal Reserve. Hard day for economy"
X Link 2025-04-02T21:49Z 56.4K followers, 28.7K engagements
"Why do economists worry so much about the economic impact associated with tariffs Putting this out there so there is some clarity on why most economist worry about tariffs which are at best a blunt tool to cure what ails us. When used to cure so many problems at once beware of law of unintended consequences. A top [--] list 1) Regressive - tariffs are a tax which raise the cost of goods across the boards with no wiggle room for what household or firms earns. That tends to hit low & middle income households and smaller & midsized businesses with narrow profit margins larger disproportionately"
X Link 2025-04-03T12:22Z 56.4K followers, 22.1K engagements
"A $10 per barrel increase in the price of oil is equivalent to about [--] cents per gallon of gas. The CPI effect is about 0.2% but there are secondary effects if oil price remain elevated on the supply chain. Those increases are in addition to a surge in shipping"
X Link 2025-06-22T17:38Z 56.4K followers, 36.9K engagements
"Employment stalls out in July with huge downward revisions to previous months. We only saw 85K jobs per month year to date down from 168K average in [----]. The three legs of job gains since mid [----] - state & local healthcare & social assistance & leisure & hospitality -"
X Link 2025-08-01T15:06Z 56.4K followers, 31.9K engagements
"9/11. [--] years & cancer but I am still here. Time is best shared instead of spent. Random acts of kindness are underrated. Break bread not ties. Be kind; pay it forward. Thank you to those who remembered. Touched. ❤🩹"
X Link 2025-09-11T22:37Z 56.4K followers, 11.1K engagements
"Wealth has become more concentrated among the top 0.1% - 10% of households. This data is from the @federalreserve Top 10% hold a whopping 67.4% of all wealth in the US as of the second quarter. Bottom 50% hold 2.5% - mostly in their home"
X Link 2025-09-25T09:32Z 56.4K followers, 78.5K engagements
"Working on a new piece laying out why we are experiencing a jobless boom. Research by JP Morgan suggests that AI and related investment in infrastructure accounted for 3/4 of the 1.6% average growth of the first half of the year. That and the wealth it generated for the most affluent households suggest that growth has gotten more concentrated in a few firms and households. Preliminary data on 3Q suggest growth came close to the 3.8% pace of 2Q which would make those six months the strongest since the back half of [----]. We do not have official data for September except CPI. Payrolls slowed"
X Link 2025-11-01T02:59Z 56.4K followers, 127K engagements
"Craig brings up a critical issue. Companies have lost the muscle memory of what it means to operate in a tight labor market. They have been able to skim the cream from the top of the milk for so long they have forgotten how to churn the milk into butter. https://x.com/ctorresreporter/status/956919626264440832 https://x.com/ctorresreporter/status/956919626264440832"
X Link 2018-01-27T12:13Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Critical issue. Disappointed that the role of a plummet in male fertility is not also discussed. It underscored why we need diversity in what we do. We only get partial answers when we look at only parts of a large societal problem. https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-births-hit-lowest-number-since-1987-1526529661 https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-births-hit-lowest-number-since-1987-1526529661"
X Link 2018-05-17T11:18Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
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