@ArrakisGlobal Avatar @ArrakisGlobal Arrakis Global

Arrakis Global's recent discussions seem to be centered around Business Development Companies (BDCs), particularly $ARCC, $BXSL, and $MFIC, which are involved in private credit. Despite concerns about a potential credit meltdown, some investors are viewing this as an opportunity to buy yield, citing increased NAVs (Net Asset Values) as a positive sign. Meanwhile, Arrakis has structural exposure to German fiscal plans through $RWE.DE.

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Social Influence

Social category influence stocks 39.84% finance 33.59% cryptocurrencies 7.81% countries 7.81% technology brands 6.25% currencies 3.13% financial services 2.34% exchanges 1.56% travel destinations 0.78%

Social topic influence $glen 14.06%, copper 10.16%, $fnv #811, $tln #10, ai 6.25%, in the 6.25%, $ceg #47, $arcc 4.69%, trade 4.69%, gold 4.69%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @yellowlablife @sanskarimata @traderpamplona @satsfilip @enriqueabeyta @marketplunger1 @chamath @calvinfroedge @paulomacro @jackfarley96 @mrjulius007 @minnemacro @capitaljurassic @dennisihong @psyopcapital @irbezek @reecycleinc @mpmaterials @contrariancurse @jb03

Top assets mentioned Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) TALEN ENERGY CORP (DE) (TLN) Constellation Energy Corp (CEG) Ares Capital, Corp. (ARCC) Realio Network (RIO) Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Vistra, Corp. (VST) Sea Limited (SE) Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA) Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL) NRG Energy Inc (NRG) Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V. (MICC) BHP Group Limited (BHP) Newmont Corporation (NEM) Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors LLC Class A Common Stock (FTAI) Nebius Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares (NBIS) CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV) MP Materials Corp. (MP) Cornerstone Building Brands, Inc. (CNR) Williams Companies Inc (WMB) Sasol Limited (SSL) Suncor Energy, Inc. (SU) Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) Barings BDC, Inc. (BBDC) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) VALE S.A. (VALE) Viper Energy Partners LP (VNOM) Cameco Corporation (CCJ) Energy Fuels Inc. (UUUU) Metadium (META)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"$TAC TransAlta is an under the radar IPP that is a clear takeover target with good assets in nat gas and an ok renewables portfolio Like this as a catch up trade to the larger ones $VST and $CEG $TLN"
X Link 2025-08-05T20:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CAN.L (am long) $ALHG.FR Mgmt needs to continue executing and expanding its IR coms with the street. Maybe a US roadshow for Canal team to explain the scale and scope of the growth opp in Africa. https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250810857961/en/Selwood-Asset-Management-Statement-on-Progress-at-Canal-and-Hachette https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250810857961/en/Selwood-Asset-Management-Statement-on-Progress-at-Canal-and-Hachette"
X Link 2025-08-11T08:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$UAMY $CAMB.BE in any huge purchase of Antimony from the US EU and NATO Campine will be a front runner. Revenue recently 2x and Ebitda 3x"
X Link 2025-10-13T14:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ARCC on Q3 call discussing dividend coverage We just feel very confident"
X Link 2025-10-31T21:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$WMB $TRP $PPL $EPD"
X Link 2025-11-20T20:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SSL As the Ex-US trade and long EM / commodities picks up I think SA is a good place to hunt for longs. The South African central banks new inflation target released last week as been under reported on and serves as a big macro catalyst for local equities"
X Link 2025-11-23T10:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SSL $EZA Also have to love South Africans calling UK uninvestable I agree and am inclined to long SA via ETF and select equities (already own $VALT) https://youtu.be/9wlf3ICjDtksi=9rC1oY-0TKgZmixF https://youtu.be/9wlf3ICjDtksi=9rC1oY-0TKgZmixF"
X Link 2025-11-23T10:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Stopped out of energy / nat gas longs. live to fight another day $SU $CNQ $CTRA"
X Link 2025-12-16T17:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FNV 50% of probability for restart occurring After restart its 6-9 months to reach 80% capacity Think this runs to $250 🎯+ Upon CP announcement +$300"
X Link 2025-12-17T08:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$RBC summary commod views"
X Link 2025-12-26T09:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLEN Glencore is a copper stock with an iron ore multiple easy money riding this to 480p"
X Link 2025-12-28T10:08Z [----] followers, 44.7K engagements

"$ARCC $BBDC $MFIC $BXSL $TSLX Non-accrual rates at cost over time for BDCs"
X Link 2025-12-29T13:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Reminds me of Asterix & Obelix comic when the pirates decide to sink their own ships rather than allow the Gauls to sink it for them 😂 https://youtu.be/C5B4kKwriWAsi=9b9575ivvLAVgjBN https://youtu.be/C5B4kKwriWAsi=9b9575ivvLAVgjBN"
X Link 2025-12-31T08:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Long $su $cnq if they flush tomorrow Venezuela oil production in [----] will be less than in [----] Venezuela oil production in [----] will be less than in 2025"
X Link 2026-01-04T18:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SHCO Deal seems to be falling apart. Shouldn't the shares be down more if this effectively cannot be financed Here's something you don't see everyday. MCR along with Ron Burkle and Yucaipa had previously signed a definitive agreement to acquire Soho House for $2.7 billion. At the time MCR signed an equity commitment letter to fund a $200 million equity check for the deal from its MCR https://t.co/0W1OVAxmA4 Here's something you don't see everyday. MCR along with Ron Burkle and Yucaipa had previously signed a definitive agreement to acquire Soho House for $2.7 billion. At the time MCR signed"
X Link 2026-01-08T16:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$VALT $ANGPY Everytime i sell Valterra I feel serious FOMO PGM Outlook / Supply & Demand dymanics below"
X Link 2026-01-21T09:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$NEXA Prop to @calvinfroedge for highlighting this one. Love the sleeper exposure to silver when royalty rolls off this year. Also dont hate zinc and the smelting business turning around"
X Link 2026-01-23T13:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$TLN $CEG $VST Interesting to hear @enriqueabeyta view on these developments Following him got me into Talen when it was still traded OTC on the pink sheets. I continue to think this trade is done and it trades poorly. Its down around -17% from highs. $CEG even worse -28%"
X Link 2026-01-24T13:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"At some point they will become a buy again. Power generation ex-any data center deals $TLN $CEG $VST $NRG $TLN $CEG $VST Interesting to hear @enriqueabeyta view on these developments Following him got me into Talen when it was still traded OTC on the pink sheets. I continue to think this trade is done and it trades poorly. Its down around -17% from highs. $CEG even worse -28% https://t.co/LK1XsMSUwl $TLN $CEG $VST Interesting to hear @enriqueabeyta view on these developments Following him got me into Talen when it was still traded OTC on the pink sheets. I continue to think this trade is done"
X Link 2026-01-27T10:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CAN.L nice move today +13% $CAN.L (am long) $ALHG.FR Mgmt needs to continue executing and expanding its IR coms with the street. Maybe a US roadshow for Canal team to explain the scale and scope of the growth opp in Africa. https://t.co/BcVd4Cwm5N $CAN.L (am long) $ALHG.FR Mgmt needs to continue executing and expanding its IR coms with the street. Maybe a US roadshow for Canal team to explain the scale and scope of the growth opp in Africa. https://t.co/BcVd4Cwm5N"
X Link 2026-01-29T10:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Intelligent and strategic management of cash balances is going to be something really important. As a EUR 💶 denominated investor I especially like holding $AUD and $NOK"
X Link 2026-01-30T08:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$BMM bought So nice owning this on Nasdaq 😮💨"
X Link 2026-01-30T20:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$RGLD $FNV $ELE $GDX Really interesting number from GS co-head of FICC. Interested to see the same for copper / gold / platinum / silver / uranium etc 5% of gold free float available @PauloMacro"
X Link 2026-01-31T17:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FNV $RGLD $GDX"
X Link 2026-02-01T10:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$BMM European copper US tungsten Producing [----] Nasdaq listed 🙏🏼 thanks to @YellowLabLife for flagging"
X Link 2026-02-01T16:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$EWJ sogo shosha earnings by segment Personally like Mitsui a lot"
X Link 2026-02-01T16:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The maths 🧮 isnt adding up for the power / data center and utilities narrative $TLN $CEG $NRG $VST Remain short 🩳 https://youtu.be/i__iaPepixksi=vh8MFYTCxIx5V5e4 https://youtu.be/i__iaPepixksi=vh8MFYTCxIx5V5e4"
X Link 2026-02-02T10:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@TraderPamplona Right now is a time to step back disengage $COPX lunar holiday dries up liquidity tape doesnt feel stable yet. Think stuff gets buyable on the next flush"
X Link 2026-02-03T10:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GDX $SLV @TraderPamplona has talked about this at length From February [--] through 23rd will see closure of the Shanghai exchange. As these charts demonstrate a lot of action is happening overnight in When that stops I expect significant weakness and lower vol"
X Link 2026-02-03T11:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"IPPs from ATHs $TLN -24% $CEG -30% $NRG -14% $VST -27% $NRG $CEG $TLN $VST Why I am no longer long IPPs and even leaning slightly short (especially $TLN) ahead of what could be a very negative headline catalyst next year https://t.co/f1kjrmuZLw $NRG $CEG $TLN $VST Why I am no longer long IPPs and even leaning slightly short (especially $TLN) ahead of what could be a very negative headline catalyst next year https://t.co/f1kjrmuZLw"
X Link 2026-02-03T13:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@satsfilip No. I have covered $ceg short. But still think $TLN has a lot of downside"
X Link 2026-02-04T19:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$GLEN $RIO deal cancelled Great to be able to buyback full Glencore position but waiting for lower entry. And we give thanks to the market gods that were kind to us🙏 $GLEN $GLNCY And we give thanks to the market gods that were kind to us🙏 $GLEN $GLNCY"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@TraderPamplona This starts to look like their only choice $glen $glncy"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@YellowLabLife Or the Japanese TradeCos take out Whitehaven & HCC Comment from one of the TradeCos to me was they are worried Glencore now all but controls coal market and pricing and they need to diversify outside of Asia"
X Link 2026-02-10T06:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Hard assets can re rate a lot because AI cannot print more copper / coal / aluminium etc EM economies dont depend as much on blue collar jobs and are linked to commods Identifying AI winners is tricky dangerous game"
X Link 2026-02-13T12:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$BX $APO $KKR $ARES as bearish as ive ever been on this sector And i had been a big bull on it structurally for years Think it can re rate down a lot"
X Link 2026-02-16T14:41Z [----] followers, 20.8K engagements

"$OTLY Great product broad and effective distribution interesting new flavours Simply cant turn a profit if they did manage to get growth / profitability balance right could multi bag"
X Link 2025-12-23T20:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$MOS everyone will eventually join the dance 🕺🏻 Wondering when to pull the trigger on ags 🌾"
X Link 2026-01-07T09:33Z [----] followers, 12.1K engagements

"$MICC nice move today 🍨 $MICC bought a starter in this. The number of employees at Magnum 🍨is totally bonkers 19k Mgmt can massively boost margins by rationalising cost base post Unilever spinoff. Think activists come knocking QUICKLY here. https://t.co/qNnaxxIPHp $MICC bought a starter in this. The number of employees at Magnum 🍨is totally bonkers 19k Mgmt can massively boost margins by rationalising cost base post Unilever spinoff. Think activists come knocking QUICKLY here. https://t.co/qNnaxxIPHp"
X Link 2026-01-26T15:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@JackFarley96 And yet $OCSL has been a disaster"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"RT @YellowLabLife: The koala just walked out of a meeting Wow.just wow [--] years later GlenTinto ends the same way Looking forward to t"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"$MICC bought a starter in this. The number of employees at Magnum 🍨is totally bonkers 19k Mgmt can massively boost margins by rationalising cost base post Unilever spinoff. Think activists come knocking QUICKLY here"
X Link 2026-01-02T17:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$MICC $MICC bought a starter in this. The number of employees at Magnum 🍨is totally bonkers 19k Mgmt can massively boost margins by rationalising cost base post Unilever spinoff. Think activists come knocking QUICKLY here. https://t.co/qNnaxxIPHp $MICC bought a starter in this. The number of employees at Magnum 🍨is totally bonkers 19k Mgmt can massively boost margins by rationalising cost base post Unilever spinoff. Think activists come knocking QUICKLY here. https://t.co/qNnaxxIPHp"
X Link 2026-01-02T22:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$TLN JPM on Talen's nat gas deal"
X Link 2026-01-27T12:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Cant wait to see Drucks 13F loaded up on commods 👇🏾 $FNV $RGLD $GDX https://t.co/ZzIUAbOkBC $FNV $RGLD $GDX https://t.co/ZzIUAbOkBC"
X Link 2026-02-01T18:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SVAC $GFUZ only pure play fusion co. Will be a big theme in [----] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-03/washington-fusion-startup-avalanche-energy-raises-29-million https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-03/washington-fusion-startup-avalanche-energy-raises-29-million"
X Link 2026-02-03T10:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SPX amazing with so many names destroyed that spoozini isnt down more. Dangerous ⚠"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$BHP $RIO $OXY vs sogo shosha The Japanese trading cos have crushed the miners / energy cos conclusively for last few years. Interesting how seldom mintwit talks about these"
X Link 2026-02-03T09:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Im sensing a potential black swan / massive selloff here from these Anthropic models; want to be in cash for this At the other side EM equities /EM currencies as well as commods / hard assets are a buy Caution of the highest order. Market is whispering it can scream soon"
X Link 2026-02-13T11:35Z [----] followers, 18.9K engagements

"The terminal state of the AI trade may be long 10Y treasury"
X Link 2026-02-16T08:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@MrJulius007 Credit is now a black box. Allocators are going to have a big re think about PE and all are super bloated on distributions + trading on fees / carry that may never materialise. I think entire sector gets big multiple compression over years as earnings start to fall"
X Link 2026-02-16T20:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@minnemacro @CapitalJurassic $MSFT Ominous for IPPs and entire AI capex related stocks"
X Link 2025-02-21T16:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$NEM Investment thesis from GS"
X Link 2025-02-22T11:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"We are blessed to have the 🐨 @YellowLabLife 🙏🏼 Such incredible insights here. Read. Read again. $BHP $RIO $GLEN $WHC $HCC Ahead of the koalas kickoff dinner tonight a few thoughts going into the conference as the industry looks to [----] The biggest question: why doesnt the sector trade at double the current multiple If we are a growth industry we should insist on a growth multiple First off Ahead of the koalas kickoff dinner tonight a few thoughts going into the conference as the industry looks to [----] The biggest question: why doesnt the sector trade at double the current multiple If we"
X Link 2025-02-23T17:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ZIM dumping it all in pre and at open. Weak print"
X Link 2025-03-12T12:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"So we brought you $RENK.DE now. we present another play on European defense supply chain: $DEZ.DE $DEZ They make engines/components with lots of military applications. Expect mgmt to start to discuss more of this and a potential $RHM.DE announcement around supply. Getting bid on end of American Exceptionalism $R3NK.DE $RENK.DE Shoutout to @marketplunger1 who actually liked this name last year. Still not at its ATHs. Getting bid on end of American Exceptionalism $R3NK.DE $RENK.DE Shoutout to @marketplunger1 who actually liked this name last year. Still not at its ATHs"
X Link 2025-03-17T13:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$DEZ.DE and we hit the bid. And smile 😀. So we brought you $RENK.DE now. we present another play on European defense supply chain: $DEZ.DE $DEZ They make engines/components with lots of military applications. Expect mgmt to start to discuss more of this and a potential $RHM.DE announcement around supply. https://t.co/IdKAqwUE94 So we brought you $RENK.DE now. we present another play on European defense supply chain: $DEZ.DE $DEZ They make engines/components with lots of military applications. Expect mgmt to start to discuss more of this and a potential $RHM.DE announcement around supply."
X Link 2025-03-18T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$TKA.DE $RWE.DE $RENK.DE $RHM.DE Highly recommend listening to this podcast by the leading two European defense experts on Germany and the paradigm shift underway https://podcasts.apple.com/be/podcast/brussels-sprouts/id1238007695i=1000704855363 https://podcasts.apple.com/be/podcast/brussels-sprouts/id1238007695i=1000704855363"
X Link 2025-04-26T09:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLEN from RBC: Disappointing that in these volatile times with significant regional arbitrage in copper that marketing guidance was not at the top end of the range.'"
X Link 2025-04-30T12:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"In commodities: $FNV top holding like the catalyst $NEM cheap vs. peers and self help story in play $GOLD like the US redomicile $PAAS silver as a catchup / reflation trade $GLEN been hate buying this $HCC love the BC economics $SHELL buyback machine $ECOR 0.4x P/NAV"
X Link 2025-05-05T15:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ECOR.GB Trades at anywhere between 0.3-0.6x NAV (depending on what development assets you wish to value) Shifting from coal to a pure play base metals royalty Co. Using cashflows from Kestrel to pay down debt. Starting this long position"
X Link 2025-05-13T06:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$RTACU Former $DWAC CEO targeting crypto and blockchain. $DJT Grift of the highest order. Naturally long 30k of the common"
X Link 2025-05-16T16:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Reminder that you can buy $EXA.FR which is profitable growing and winning 90% of tenders. At 20x EV / EBITDA FT: Spotifys Daniel Ek leads 600mn investment in German drone maker Helsing $SPOT https://t.co/tjmwwzp7hS FT: Spotifys Daniel Ek leads 600mn investment in German drone maker Helsing $SPOT https://t.co/tjmwwzp7hS"
X Link 2025-06-17T13:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@dennisihong @psyopcapital Im not sure if $LVMH is a good business. Individual sub components may be but the collection as a whole is pretty unwieldy. Wouldnt be a buyer they need to majorly re think this entity"
X Link 2025-06-20T16:46Z [----] followers, 13.6K engagements

"Copper ripping platinum squeezing higher gold at ATHs. DJT / Bessent want to install a puppet Fed Chair to cut rates and run economy hot whilst blowing out deficit. I see a [----] style inflationary redux in the making. Bulk commodities will be the last to rip higher"
X Link 2025-06-26T12:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLEN Elk Valley site visit GS sees $0.4bn of synergies"
X Link 2025-07-01T08:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Everything is flashing bright red 🚨 in Arrakis - @chamath telling people to go levered long on his sycophantic podcast 🚩 - mkts at ATHs and few are receptive to any bearishness - mkts are underpricing the end of TACO trade. I think these tarrifs are happening"
X Link 2025-07-14T19:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Liberation Day [---] coming . Perfect example of reflexivity 🔃 TACO trade so embedded into mkt reaction function that we lose the guardrails of what created TACO to begin with. Everything is flashing bright red 🚨 in Arrakis - @chamath telling people to go levered long on his sycophantic podcast 🚩 - mkts at ATHs and few are receptive to any bearishness - mkts are underpricing the end of TACO trade. I think these tarrifs are happening Everything is flashing bright red 🚨 in Arrakis - @chamath telling people to go levered long on his sycophantic podcast 🚩 - mkts at ATHs and few are receptive"
X Link 2025-07-14T20:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Think copper stocks have to take a BIG leg higher; massively boosted $GLEN $ANTO $ATYM $AAL $ECOR.L"
X Link 2025-07-24T07:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLEN.GB $GLEN Not good. No US listing and not even a sponsored ADR"
X Link 2025-08-06T06:31Z [----] followers, 18.1K engagements

"Great breakdown of the strategic positioning of all the majors 👇🏾 $GLEN $RIO $AAL.L $BHP $VALE Totally fair question and the right question today on Glencore $GLEN $GLEN.LN You don't have a compelling "growth" angle whether through the numerator or the denominator (buybacks) If want copper / coal exposure there are pure plays So there needs to be some transformational Totally fair question and the right question today on Glencore $GLEN $GLEN.LN You don't have a compelling "growth" angle whether through the numerator or the denominator (buybacks) If want copper / coal exposure there are pure"
X Link 2025-08-06T18:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I believe only in allocating money to managers/ people who can do things that : i) You cannot do (behavioural or knowledge wise) ii) whose ideas make you uncomfortable Havent seen someone be so public and convicted in a while. $AFM.V and $X are two huge wins. $HCC next. In honor of the AlphaMoon dividend announcement gone into the eucalyptus tree records to check this: The Koala owns 60% more shares than it did the day before M23 walked into Goma This says something about the Koala but not quiet sure what In honor of the AlphaMoon dividend announcement gone into the eucalyptus tree records to"
X Link 2025-08-08T06:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"GS with $228 PT on $SE"
X Link 2025-09-04T09:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$VNOM O&G royalty co $FNV $WPM New long. This is highly cash generative very undervalued stock. Expect buybacks and big distributions"
X Link 2025-10-13T16:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$KAZ $CCJ $UUUU $SRUUF Pretty consequential update out of KAZ. Uranium supply could halve between [----] and 2040"
X Link 2025-11-03T16:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$PBR added $VALE being run hard in PA"
X Link 2025-11-05T18:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FTAI CEO buys $300k of stock COO buys $1m of stock"
X Link 2025-11-13T23:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$HMY interesting to start thinking about when gold & copper miners start to see multiple expansion vs. their pure play equivalents As a generalist I increasingly like leaning into Gold stories with underpriced copper growth same reason i liked $B and $FNV and $MUX"
X Link 2025-12-16T09:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Long book: $GLEN $FNV $HBM $ANGPY Short Book: Mag7 + AI infra $NBIS $CRWV etc"
X Link 2025-12-16T14:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$EZA There were so many metrics that made it obvious South Africa was getting better for those who cared to look Clinging to ideological narratives could get you stuck in subpar S&P500 performance in a year that South Africa is up 60% https://t.co/WfchJzWhji There were so many metrics that made it obvious South Africa was getting better for those who cared to look Clinging to ideological narratives could get you stuck in subpar S&P500 performance in a year that South Africa is up 60% https://t.co/WfchJzWhji"
X Link 2025-12-21T11:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@irbezek Prefer PEMEX debt in USD. Mexican USD sovereign bonds well above par. Don't want the headache of taking peso risk and PEMEX is a state proxy if we are all honest"
X Link 2024-10-21T13:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$TLN AWS Data center deal Is happening Raised Guidance Buying back stock $300 by year end possible"
X Link 2024-11-14T12:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLEN $RIO Merger begs some important questions and ultimately throws the ball back in the court of mgmt teams that keep dangling the carrot of returns to shareholders tomorrow but not today. PS. I worked at one of the banks advising Rio on its defense vs. GLEN in 2014"
X Link 2025-01-17T10:02Z [----] followers, 20.8K engagements

"$MP a book should be written about this "a value investment for the ages" Second leg of the story has only just begin creating a 'full stack' supply chain of rare earth production refining magnet assembling in the US One of the greatest stories in mining of the last decade"
X Link 2025-01-25T09:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$BP one of the biggest beneficiaries from Russia normalisation their stake in Rosneft could add up to 20% of their mkt cap back through impairment reversal"
X Link 2025-02-17T11:12Z [----] followers, 19K engagements

"$GLEN Fiasco for supposedly the best mgmt team in mining. Top ticked met coal taking impairment charges scattershot approach to M&A non-committal on listing change. Stock can now de-rate materially from here earnings downgrade + a great short for peace in ukraine"
X Link 2025-02-19T10:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Great way to print 4% on CPI next year. $TLT"
X Link 2025-02-19T15:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Few observations in Arrakis; Think: [--]. European investors massively long USD and $QQQ $AMZN $GOOG $MSFT $NVDA $META etc are going to get absolutely slaughtered on FX and equity downside [--]. Seeing a lot of 'buy the dip' reflexes that scare me"
X Link 2025-02-28T12:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLEN $CNR Coals Four-Year Lows Hide a Coming Global Supply Squeeze https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-01/coal-s-four-year-lows-hide-a-coming-global-supply-squeeze https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-01/coal-s-four-year-lows-hide-a-coming-global-supply-squeeze"
X Link 2025-03-02T18:10Z [----] followers, 17.7K engagements

"$HCC $GLEN - Peak bad sentiment on coal "this too shall pass". - Been fading my own bearishness and buying Warrior and GLEN through gritted teeth"
X Link 2025-03-28T11:19Z [----] followers, 15K engagements

"$GLEN.GB So Glasenberg buys around 300m worth of stock the shares have reached my max pain buy point around 250p. This is where I turn massively bullish. US listing or not doesn't matter at the point"
X Link 2025-04-17T07:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FNV this is why Franco has been biggest long so far this year. Get the gold price torque + copper whenever Cobre Panama gets resolved and thats a when not an if. I think its probably fair to say the average AISC for gold miners has shifted from $1000/oz to $1600/oz over the past 5yrs ( $NEM below). Its also probably fair to say the average AISC for copper miners has shifted from $2/lb to $3/lb over same period ( $FM.TO below) https://t.co/A7R9pybTNS I think its probably fair to say the average AISC for gold miners has shifted from $1000/oz to $1600/oz over the past 5yrs ( $NEM below). Its"
X Link 2025-04-24T11:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Top positions atm: $FNV - gold/ copper optionality with CP restart $TKA - dual fiscal beneficiary from Infra/Defense spending & TKMS spinoff catalyst $CVC - Beaten to 💀 over trade war / recession fear like as a LT hold unique Alt"
X Link 2025-04-24T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Have been building a Long basket of SPACs and a few shitcos / DJT affiliated entities: $CCIR $CLBR (nice pump today) $CEPO $BEAG $BRCC $RUM $LBRT $BGC"
X Link 2025-04-28T18:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"My top 'EU Defense' names: $TKA - TKMS spinoff pure play naval defense co $INDRA -Air defense / space angle $RENK - Estimates yet to be upgraded post-Merz $SESG - Strong backlog and alt to Starlink $RHM been cutting"
X Link 2025-05-05T15:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLEN.GB $GLNCY Glencore in need of some self-help"
X Link 2025-05-08T10:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$EXA.FR One of the most exciting growth stories I have seen in a while. Top three global player in unmanned sea faring drones (a true European gem) that is winning 90% of their tenders with large prime navies around the world (Belgium/Netherlands Singapore)"
X Link 2025-06-11T10:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLEN DB with 400p PT Seems merger with $RIO and separation of coal assets as increasingly likely. Coal prices near bottom as well. Issue is what to do with marketing business"
X Link 2025-06-13T16:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLEN $GLEN.L $GLNCY Glencore wants 350p+"
X Link 2025-07-02T09:03Z [----] followers, 12K engagements

"Rare earths recycling a huge next leg of this thesis $MP Some exciting companies in the private space @ReecycleInc This is a big deal for the western renaissance of a REE supply chain independent of China. Apple $AAPL and @MPMaterials working together on recycling magnets When the Koala invested in REEcycle ( @ReecycleInc ) in 4Q [----] a few majors factors drove the decision to get back into https://t.co/Rr1Nxi9Zc9 This is a big deal for the western renaissance of a REE supply chain independent of China. Apple $AAPL and @MPMaterials working together on recycling magnets When the Koala invested"
X Link 2025-07-15T14:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ECOR.L Trading at 0.42x P/NAV with copper and uranium royalty streams One of my favourite ways to play current weakness in metals / mining"
X Link 2025-07-28T07:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$THS.L Like this note that spells out the simple bull case for Tharisa I see this as a 180p+ stock"
X Link 2025-07-30T14:31Z [----] followers, 12K engagements

"$SE seems like they can afford loo paper again. Disc. Long"
X Link 2025-08-12T11:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SE blows through $200+ Think this can break peoples brains and takeout [----] highs"
X Link 2025-08-15T14:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FIGR Tokenisation of mortgages & home equity lines. Super interesting company with backing from $APO and Druckenmillers Duquesne $50m order at IPO Long"
X Link 2025-09-11T16:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$APO keep pressing the buy on alts. $185+ per share soon"
X Link 2025-09-15T15:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SE Firing on all cylinders. garena shopee monee PT $238 Revisit [----] highs"
X Link 2025-09-15T15:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"a lot of doom porn on BDCs. The time to get negative was at massive NAV premiums highs on the DXY in Jan [----] $ARCC $BXSL $MFIC"
X Link 2025-10-01T09:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$MFIC $ARCC $BXSL $BBDC fascinating to see where we are a year from now think this credit fear snafu is an opportunity to buy yield below b/v @ContrarianCurse @JB03 In a years time I suspect this will be a clear story of how the narrative deviated from fundamentals which remain strong / are benefitting from structural tailwinds @ContrarianCurse @JB03 In a years time I suspect this will be a clear story of how the narrative deviated from fundamentals which remain strong / are benefitting from structural tailwinds"
X Link 2025-10-08T17:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Nails it. This is a paradigm change for Europe. Position accordingly. I like $AMG.NL and $CAMB.BE Wouldnt be long $ASML leaning short The Netherlands has just crossed a geopolitical Rubicon. By seizing control of the Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia The Hague has aligned itself with Washington in the new Cold War where semiconductors data and rare earths define power hierarchies. This is no longer just a The Netherlands has just crossed a geopolitical Rubicon. By seizing control of the Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia The Hague has aligned itself with Washington in the new Cold War where"
X Link 2025-10-13T11:47Z [----] followers, 17.5K engagements

"$CAMB.BE European antimony. 5-6x EBITDA Disc. Long Think this moons when people get familiar with the name. Its the worlds second largest producer. Based in Belgium (NATO HQ) $UAMY is much smaller and less profitable in comparison"
X Link 2025-10-13T14:29Z [----] followers, 104.9K engagements

"$CNR $GLEN $EQT $CTRA"
X Link 2025-10-18T17:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FTAI Continues executing 🚀 - EBITDA guidance boosted to $1.525b from $1.4b - Quarterly dividend boost - Completes SCI with up to $2bn in equity commitments (oversubscribed) On track for $750m in FCF by FY 2025"
X Link 2025-10-27T20:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ARCC $20.01 NAV per share Love the narrative violation of seeing increased NAVs in a private credit meltdown 😂 Long"
X Link 2025-10-28T10:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Great discussion $MP $UUUU $CCJ $SRUUF Especially liked the segment around nuclear that talks about how mining sector can re-rate from a cyclical industry to an annuity like cashflow stream thanks to price floors @marketplunger1 @PurpleDrink_LLC https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/purple-drink-capital-robotics-blow-off-tops-nvda-energy/id1492171651i=1000734422159 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/purple-drink-capital-robotics-blow-off-tops-nvda-energy/id1492171651i=1000734422159"
X Link 2025-11-03T11:27Z [----] followers, 13.3K engagements

"$KMI $WMB $VNOM $CTRA Biggest longs in the book right are is nat gas + midstream players. Been steadily adding. Thesis is simple these are defensive low beta names that are currently trading with little to no AI upside priced in to the stocks"
X Link 2025-11-05T17:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$HCC $CNR Glorious to see Blue Creek come on. FCF goes to the moon. Looks like @mfwarder and @YellowLabLife won. Good ol Bruce no longer around 😂"
X Link 2025-11-06T09:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Highly recommend listening. Mick is a legend. Made bank with him in Mac Copper. Have another🤫 bet with him that is exciting (h/t @YellowLabLife) Mick McMullen treats mining like private equity. IRR over ego. Exit over empire. No romance for the rocks only returns. With eight exits under his belt the most recent being MAC Copper Limited we cover lots of territory in this conversation: What MAC tried to buy itself https://t.co/BymTWczxmd Mick McMullen treats mining like private equity. IRR over ego. Exit over empire. No romance for the rocks only returns. With eight exits under his belt the"
X Link 2025-11-07T09:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Important to look in the rear view mirror and see that significant damage has been done to the AI infra trade and associated names. stay open minded; could be bubble bursting $META -23% $ORCL - 34% $CRWV -55% $NBIS -34% $ALAB -43% $IREN -34% $CORZ -34% $ARM -25%"
X Link 2025-11-13T17:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FTAI will be a continued buyer on weakness of this"
X Link 2025-11-13T23:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"2026 predictions🔮 iii) AI trade is mostly finished as Mag7 cannibalise each other data center infra structure trade properly blows up (has already started) trade: short neoclouds / power names $NBIS $CRWV $TLN $FRMI $IREN"
X Link 2025-12-31T09:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"2026 predictions🔮 iv) private credit hysteria continues but no large default cycle BDCs end up with another boring year of paying dividends and hovering around NAVs which stay stable trade: long $BIZD $ARCC"
X Link 2025-12-31T09:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Rajiv Jain has been unquestionably the best public markets investor of the last [--] years. Nailed energy crisis of [----] Nailed GLP trend Nailed AI trend and rotation back into tech $GQG now in a big drawdown over Adani debacle Wondering if this is a buying opportunity"
X Link 2024-12-02T11:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@ExcessDefaults $PAC.AX being large shareholder likely the reason why they did it in the first place. but today it makes no sense for them. Think a lot of people would want to own a piece of $GQG and Jain if it was US listed. A rare bright spot in pub Asset Managers"
X Link 2024-12-09T11:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

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