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@ryanl_hass "9 senior Chinese military officials including CMC Vice Chair He Weidong latest to fall. Space to watch"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-17T12:41Z 36.2K followers, 71.2K engagements

"Ahead of President Trump's visit to Korea next week I am sharing @AndrewIYeo's smart analysis on how Trump and Lee can advance the alliance"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-24T17:21Z 36.2K followers, 1310 engagements

"1/ As President Trump's attention returns to North Korea questions linger about whether China will seek to play the role of stabilizer or spoiler in addressing the DPRK nuclear challenge. @BrookingsChina asked experts with a range of views to weigh in:"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-20T20:08Z 36.2K followers, 3265 engagements

"1/ There is truth in the arguments that Bessent Greer Hassett and others are making. China's economy is unbalanced and export dependent. Deflation and debt are major challenges for Beijing. These issues are not going to compel Chinese capitulation though. Here's why (🧵)"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-24T18:22Z 36.2K followers, 71.6K engagements

"2/ China's leaders are confident in their negotiating position. PRC overall exports are up they're on track to hit X% growth target and they have coalesced around a 5-year plan. They believe they're closer to parity with US and that rare earths provide them powerful leverage"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-24T18:23Z 36.2K followers, 26.4K engagements

"5/ Beijing still is vulnerable to the US on many fronts. I don't believe Xi sees national or personal advantage to inflaming tensions with the US or Trump. I expect both leaders will find a way toward a truce or a pause that allows space for negotiators to work toward a deal"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-24T18:24Z 36.2K followers, 16.7K engagements

"This piece usefully highlights the perishable nature of Chinas rare earths threats. The more Beijing leans on this lever the more it pulls forward global efforts to reduce dependence on Chinese supply and develop alternatives"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-15T12:25Z 36K followers, 89.7K engagements

"Beijing hosted separate ministerial-level meetings yesterday with Tim Cook Ray Dalio Steve Schwarzman and possibly others. Theyre playing for keeps in terms of transmitting their preferred narrative to people who are in touch with President Trump and his advisors"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-17T00:05Z 36.2K followers, 67.9K engagements

"@GordonGChang Thanks for your post @GordonGChang. The US accounts for XX% of global imports. US accounts for less than XX% of China's total exports and that number is declining by the year. The US will need tools other than tariffs if it wishes to compel Beijing to recalculate"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-23T14:58Z 36.2K followers, 8862 engagements

"@Brad_Setser @GordonGChang Thanks @Brad_Setser. I agree with your macroeconomic point and am persuaded by it. My point is a bit different - US tariffs or the threat of their imposition are not the skeleton key Trump and others believe they are to unlock leverage with PRC in upcoming negotiations"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-24T12:31Z 36.2K followers, XXX engagements

"2/ Relatedly Brookings non-resident senior fellow and former US diplomat Evans Revere weighs in: If Russias and Chinas shift means that denuclearization is now dead then what is left for US and PRC to talk about when it comes to North Korea"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-20T20:11Z 36.2K followers, 1298 engagements

"The train is leaving the station in terms of international efforts to build a secure supply chain for critical minerals and reduce dependence on China. Countries and companies will need to pay a premium for security of supply. I expect they will"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-24T11:37Z 36.2K followers, 2980 engagements

"Singapore PM Wong observes a messy period of transition of the international order as the US pulls back and China is not able or willing to replace the US as dominant force. He sees the PRC as a middle-income country with a lot of domestic challenges"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-24T11:56Z 36.2K followers, 15.7K engagements

"3/ As Beijing looks at US it sees a country divided a government shut down a leadership that wants to avoid market disruptions and an economy heavily reliant on its AI sector. Rightly or not they judge Trump wants to avoid escalation and will make concessions to avoid it"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-24T18:23Z 36.2K followers, 156.2K engagements

"4/ More broadly Beijing does not view Trump as the solution to its problems. They lack confidence in the durability of any deals reached with Trump. And they are more focused on advancing self-reliance than seeking bonhomie with the US"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-24T18:24Z 36.2K followers, 19.9K engagements

"6/ My broader point is that if US believes China will feel compelled to make concessions out of an acknowledgement of its relative weakness it will be disappointed. The same is true in reverse. Neither side will do the other any favors or accept a lopsided deal. END"
X Link @ryanl_hass 2025-10-24T18:26Z 36.2K followers, 23.6K engagements