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@MichaelPruser "Oregon Voter Registration Update - October 2025"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-07T17:00Z 37.9K followers, 19K engagements

"The New Jersey Early Voting file is in for 11/01. Democrats begin putting the EV pressure on Republicans down the stretch and now have a five-figure early in-person turnout lead. 🔴Republican In Person - 195298 🔵Democratic In Person - 207509 🟡All Others In Person - 108129 🔵DEM Raw Vote Edge: 12211 (D +2.39%) On mail there are no surprises as the initial D+240000 ballot lead going into election day appears oddly neat. 🔵DEM Absentee Raw Vote Edge: 233620 Two more days of in-person early voting remain and I expect the final raw vote edge for Dems to grow to roughly 35000. (3x of today)."
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-01T16:05Z 38.3K followers, 128.8K engagements

"New Jersey Voter Registration Update - November 2025"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-03T14:00Z 38.3K followers, 103.3K engagements

"For those wondering Republicans have been matching Democrats pretty closely in turnout rates. 🔵Democrats - XXXXX% 🔴Republicans - XXXXX% 🟡All Others - XXXX% The issue of course is that Democrats have XXX million registered voters in the city while Republicans have 537k"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-03T14:11Z 38.3K followers, 70.7K engagements

"Big turnout Day #1 of the General Election in NYC and you can see that we're in line to get a larger share outside Brooklyn (Kings County) and Manhattan (New York County) than we did in the Primary. Early voting lasts for X days in NYC and ends on Sunday November 2nd"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-25T21:42Z 38.3K followers, 32.6K engagements

"New York Voter Registration Update - November 2025"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-01T21:41Z 38.3K followers, 791.1K engagements

"North Carolina Voter Registration Update - November 2025"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-03T16:00Z 38.3K followers, 23.5K engagements

"The New Jersey Vote By Mail file is in for 10/24. Democrats pick up another 7000 raw votes and expand on their return rate edge by XX basis points. 🔴Republican Return Rate - XXXXX% 🔵Democratic Return Rate - XXXXX% 🔵DEM Raw Vote Edge - 182068 Early in-person voting opens tomorrow and the Sunday morning report will give us our first glimpse of valuable data. Seeing Brian Stack run up turnout in Union City (Hudson County) and Republicans doing well with areas like Monmouth and Ocean counties is a given. What will be most interesting to me is looking for these three things: 1Can Democrats keep"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-24T16:29Z 38.2K followers, 33K engagements

"The Virginia Early Voting file is in for 10/25. 🟩Absentee Mail Returns - 253430 🟧Early In Person - 645098 (58.05% vs. same day 2024) TOTAL Early Voting - 898528 My apologies for not posting VA more frequently; Virginia's 45-day EV schedule is a bear and this year different satellite schedules made early analysis challenging. Alas with all satellites now opened two important takeaways are known. 1Turnout is on track to be lower than in 2021. 2Turnout is on track to be slightly more Democratic than 2024 and significantly more Democratic than 2021. The most tidy emerging trend is in turnout"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-25T14:46Z 38.2K followers, 83.2K engagements

"In the New Jersey counties reporting turnout today most came in between XX% and XX% of their Day #1 2024 totals. This would put us on track for 80000-95000 total votes on day one. All five counties are also reporting a party turnout more favorable to Democrats than in 2024. The full report will come tomorrow with details on county turnout by party"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-26T01:11Z 38.2K followers, 174.4K engagements

"The New Jersey Early Voting file is in for 10/26. DAY X 🔴Republican In Person - 35533 🔵Democratic In Person - 38060 🔵DEM Raw Vote Edge - 2527 (D +2.79%) A very strong day for Democrats as this represents a shift of XXX% left vs. day X 2024 (where they won by just over a single point). Any shift leftward of the early vote when the nine-day period wraps up is a welcomed sigh for Mikie Sherrill and Democrats hopes for retaining the Governor's mansion. Sunday's report will be available tomorrow morning and you can compare the turnout vs. 2024 (or 2021) using the NJ Sheet link below"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-26T16:17Z 38.3K followers, 222.6K engagements

"The New Jersey Early Voting file is in for 10/27. First Two Days 🔴Republican In Person - 63178 🔵Democratic In Person - 68665 🔵DEM Raw Vote Edge: 5487 (D +3.36%) Another strong in-person voting day for Democrats as they improve their margin and raw turnout edge. Republicans find themselves about X points behind where they were on this day in 2024 which is about XX points behind where they want to be"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-27T16:09Z 38.3K followers, 45.3K engagements

"The New Jersey Early Voting file is in for 10/28. Cumulative In-Person Through Day X of X 🔴Republican In Person - 94555 🔵Democratic In Person - 98796 🔵DEM Raw Vote Edge: 4241 (D +1.77%) Republicans win the turnout edge on day three by a little more than 1200 votes bringing down the raw vote edge of Democrats a smidge. Once again we are mirroring the trends of 2024 so we should expect the GOP to find a few more winning days before we see Democrats take back the daily advantage on Friday or Saturday"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-28T15:43Z 38.3K followers, 56.4K engagements

"The New Jersey Early Voting file is in for 10/29. Cumulative In-Person Through Day X of X 🔴Republican In Person - 122628 🔵Democratic In Person - 127543 🟡All Others In Person - 61030 🔵DEM Raw Vote Edge: 4915 (D +1.58%) Democrats won Tuesday's turnout by just under XXX votes; all four early voting days have mirrored the '24 General Election but with turnout 2-4 points more blue. Absent a very unusual change in direction during the second half of early in-person voting we're on track for a bluer electorate vs. both 2024 and 2021. 🟦2021 - D+10.9% 🟦2024 - D+11.5% 🟦2025 - D+11.8% (Estimate)"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-29T16:12Z 38.3K followers, 93.5K engagements

"Whenever you're looking at an election where the favorite to win is consistently ahead by double digits you look for any signal that polling is wrong. Enthusiasm turnout dynamics early voting trends demographics and a few other factors can sometimes make you say "Wait a minute this doesn't quite align with an easy W." Every once in a while you find that signal but most of the time the favorite wins as expected. The NYC mayoral race is shaping up to be the latter. Brooklyn is flying; the electorate is plenty young and the number of Republicans and Independents who have voted so far is less"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-30T01:34Z 38.3K followers, 146.8K engagements

"The New Jersey Early Voting file is in for 10/30. Cumulative In-Person Through Day X of X 🔴Republican In Person - 149130 🔵Democratic In Person - 156432 🟡All Others In Person - 76895 🔵DEM Raw Vote Edge: 7302 (D +1.91%) Democrats win day five and improve on their early turnout margin; it's easy to expect the margin and raw vote edge to keep rising from here on out with the most significant jump likely on Sunday. Tracking toward a final Democratic edge in the early in-person vote of 4.5%"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-30T15:47Z 38.3K followers, 29.7K engagements

"On the mail side Democrats continue to add bricks. 🔴Republican Return Rate - XXXXX% 🔵Democratic Return Rate - XXXXX% 🔵DEM Raw Vote Edge - 221197 Team Blue has a return rate edge of 1.72%; still on track for a raw vote edge of 240k by ED. NJ Sheet -"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-10-30T15:49Z 38.3K followers, 15.9K engagements

"California Voter Registration Update - November 2025"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-01T15:00Z 38.3K followers, 364.5K engagements

"Florida Voter Registration Update - November 2025"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-01T16:00Z 38.3K followers, 637.3K engagements

"Connecticut Voter Registration Update - November 2025"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-01T17:00Z 38.3K followers, 184.1K engagements

"The New Jersey Early Voting file is in for 11/02. A massive day for Democrats who more than doubled their raw vote lead. 🔴Republican In Person - 226189 🔵Democratic In Person - 253810 🟡All Others In Person - 135325 🔵DEM Raw Vote Edge: 27621 (D +4.49%) Absentee mail saw another 15000 ballots added extending the raw vote Democratic edge to 🔵DEM Absentee Raw Vote Edge: 239245 Today is the last day of early in-person voting and it is always the most Democratic friendly; expect even wider margins than yesterday when the final EV report hits tomorrow at noon"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-02T17:30Z 38.3K followers, 136.2K engagements

"Louisiana Voter Registration Update - November 2025"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-03T15:00Z 38.3K followers, 22.4K engagements

"The XX am ET update in New Jersey turnout shows a slightly improved environment for Democrats. Burlington moved slightly to the right while the other three counties moved slightly to the left. Not a whole lot of "wow" here but tracking toward a more left ED turnout vs. '24"
X Link @MichaelPruser 2025-11-04T15:14Z 38.3K followers, 48.4K engagements