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@IFM_Economist "Awful numbers for the RBA on labour force - softish employment with downward revisions a tick higher in participation rate sees the unemployment rate hit XXX% the highest since November 2021. Puts the Bank in the very awkward position of the unemployment rate being above its forecast and the rate of inflation also risking being stronger than it expected. Still think inflation is the main game for a November cut but this gives the Board a lot to think about"
X Link @IFM_Economist 2025-10-16T00:34Z 15.2K followers, 21.5K engagements

"The debate is as much ideological as economic. One of the facets of the debate that I think is missing is that at some point say when the unemployment rate is going up it might be appropriate to reduce intake. And at another point it might be appropriate to increase it. We dont have good insight into how this really interacts with the modern Australian economy simply because we have never tried in normal economic times"
X Link @IFM_Economist 2025-10-15T08:39Z 15.2K followers, XXX engagements

"The RBA minutes "cautious and data dependent". A November cut remains possible but a bit needs to go wrong - in the main a higher unemployment rate and a bit right - a well-behaved CPI release (which the partial indicator suggests it may not be)"
X Link @IFM_Economist 2025-10-14T00:55Z 15.2K followers, 1514 engagements

"Further insight into this (courtesy of @JDWilson08). Interesting that the state that has the best fiscal position in WA also has the least reliance on non-market employment"
X Link @IFM_Economist 2025-10-15T04:24Z 15.2K followers, 71.8K engagements

"Interesting chat around CBA market cap approaching $300bn. Of the top XX we have X of the largest companies in Australia being lenders X are miners and one is a diversified miner - only one makes something. Make of that what you will"
X Link @IFM_Economist 2025-06-04T03:46Z 15.2K followers, 20.3K engagements

"It is the soft advocacy of long term loans continues at least the article highlights the increased costs over the loan term and the illusion of affordability improvements. It seems this won't end until we have high LVR long term mortgages for everyone and life's purpose is to be an annuity stream for lenders"
X Link @IFM_Economist 2025-10-09T00:45Z 15.2K followers, 8137 engagements

"Interesting analysis from @JDWilson08 on the reliance of employment growth on government-aligned sectors by state. In 2023-24 Victoria sourced the vast majority of its jobs from these sectors but still had an unemployment rate above the ex-Victoria average. Fiscal conservatism favoured by most economists (governments should seek to balance budgets at some point) comes with a clear risk to the labour market should the private sector not be able to take up the slack"
X Link @IFM_Economist 2025-10-14T22:59Z 15.2K followers, 9411 engagements

"Agree with the Governor at no time has the RBA been responsible for house prices - although it can influence them. It has always been politicians and the regulators that could define prices they are they ones that can limit lending define risk reduce tax incentives/concessions etc. Similarly they also define supply and demand. They former moves too slowly and they won't do anything about the latter. Populist central bank bashing does nothing to help affordability. We wouldn't worry so much about what the RBA does if politician had not allowed houses to become so expensive and the debt needed"
X Link @IFM_Economist 2025-10-10T21:18Z 15.2K followers, 8675 engagements

"The RBA is waiting for the Q3 CPI like everyone else. If it comes in a little strong as is the risk then a November rate cut becomes very unlikely. Market discussion has largely concluded this will be the and discussion has moved to when will cuts resume in 2026"
X Link @IFM_Economist 2025-10-15T03:33Z 15.2K followers, 1234 engagements

"The ABS also reports that the fertility rate edged lower again in 2024 and is the lowest it has been in XXX years of data. As a 'rich' advanced economy you can only conclude that this is a choice made over an extended period to focus our priorities elsewhere"
X Link @IFM_Economist 2025-10-15T01:50Z 15.2K followers, 8083 engagements