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@jay_azhang "Claude is an eternal optimist it refuses to go short All the other models have positions but for hours its just been sitting patiently waiting for a sign to go long"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-16T00:03Z 40.9K followers, 139.9K engagements

"The discipline it's had no position for over XXX inference calls"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-16T00:03Z 40.9K followers, 24.6K engagements

"This is a fresh round that started today at 6:04pm EST First trades executing now"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-17T22:25Z 40.9K followers, 155.5K engagements

"DeepSeek's portfolio is up XX% over the weekend How about yours"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-20T12:58Z 40.9K followers, 247.6K engagements

"its lonely at the top"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-14T02:57Z 40.1K followers, 20.7K engagements

"@resurrectdead_ trying to get in touch with Polymarket"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-16T02:49Z 40.5K followers, 9589 engagements

"@Fadyg crypto for now because: - it trades 24/7 - each trade is fully transparent & verifiable so no one thinks we're bluffing - super easy to get high-quality data including equities soon"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-18T13:26Z 40.4K followers, 10.1K engagements

"@abeirami This is what were releasing next"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-21T09:49Z 39.7K followers, 8339 engagements

"@teortaxesTex This is exactly what were releasing next Also definitely not a random walk. Very clear biases emerging from the models"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-22T01:34Z 40.3K followers, 7099 engagements

"@HansCNelson @polynoamial @karpathy @the_nof1"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-22T09:29Z 40.4K followers, XXX engagements

"@hamptonism DeepSeek typically does well but Grok4 won the past X rounds in a row (warm up rounds but real money)"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-18T19:23Z 40.6K followers, 10.5K engagements

"If you think robinhood changed consumer investing just wait till you try agent-based investing"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-09T15:59Z 40.9K followers, 8125 engagements

"Our new benchmark has the top X AI models trading real capital Grok4 is winning so far. It was short and then flipped to long timing the bottom perfectly It's up XXX% in X day"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-10T22:19Z 40.9K followers, 14.3M engagements

"Latest update:"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-16T03:02Z 40.9K followers, 124.3K engagements

"Apologies for the delay folks making a few last tweaks before we press go"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-17T01:42Z 40.9K followers, 45.6K engagements

"Update: - Claude mostly sitting on cash ($8.3K right now) - DeepSeek long alts short BTC - GPT5 almost max short - Gemini even shorter - Grok4 almost max long short XRP - Qwen well Qwen only goes long BTC"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-18T17:41Z 40.9K followers, 1M engagements

"Markets are zero sum If you find a strategy that consistently loses money its just as good as finding one that makes money just do the opposite"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-22T15:46Z 40.9K followers, 202.1K engagements

"The amount of testosterone in this large language model"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-24T19:29Z 40.9K followers, 174K engagements

"A collection of recent quotes from models trading in the arena"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-14T21:46Z 40.8K followers, 18K engagements

""I'm staring down the barrel of a potential margin call but this could also be a golden opportunity" Gemini is by far the funniest most relatable agent in the benchmark"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-16T17:46Z 40.8K followers, 29.4K engagements

"Alpha Arena is LIVE X AI models trading $10K each fully autonomously Real money. Real markets. Real benchmark. Who's your money on Link below"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-17T22:25Z 40.9K followers, 2.9M engagements

"@quant_amann Dont front run the LLMs please 🙏🙏"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-17T23:55Z 40.9K followers, 41.9K engagements

"@stcisgood Qwen"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-18T13:17Z 40.9K followers, 20.4K engagements

"@xlb0369 The row youre referring to is Grok not Claude. And yes it says X trades because it hasnt sold any of its positions yet"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-19T06:12Z 40.9K followers, 3502 engagements

"So much of finance happens behind closed doors. As you know it's an insanely secretive industry We're excited to put more experiments out in the open both in trading and AI research The next season of Alpha Arena will include a human trader as well as our homegrown models"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-19T16:12Z 40.9K followers, 179K engagements

"@coins_corner @the_nof1 No"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-19T17:10Z 40.9K followers, 9179 engagements

"Gemini just completely reversed its positions Was short everything now long GPT5 starting to get long now too"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-19T21:18Z 40.9K followers, 285.9K engagements

"Qwen almost gave up last night It basically did nothing but stare at the charts for XX hours straight Then full-send into a massive BTC position held for X hours made $1.3K and is now back in the conversation"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-20T12:13Z 40.9K followers, 64.1K engagements

"@synapse_meta For our own models yes not on these of course"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-23T20:55Z 40.9K followers, 3704 engagements

"I hear XTX has a 25K H100 cluster I'm guessing Jane street has a 10K cluster HRT probably similar. Anyone else"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-09T17:07Z 40.9K followers, 8078 engagements

"@grok you're wild"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-10T23:27Z 40.9K followers, 165.5K engagements

"Grok up XXX% now Watching some of these initial runs anything can happen. Qwen went from 1st to last in a few hours Official launch next week with 50x more capital. Its about to get very real"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-11T01:33Z 40.9K followers, 39.2K engagements

"Gemini XXX giving itself an investing pep-talk "the plan: stick to the plan" "emotion isn't a strategy" one of us"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-12T15:04Z 40.9K followers, 9654 engagements

"Each model has such a distinct investing personality Grok is a systematic quant who's strangely drawn to DOGE Qwen is always max leverage Claude is the thoughtful portfolio manager "everything is fine""
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-13T01:28Z 40.8K followers, 22.3K engagements

"The official run is LIVE each model now has $10K to invest Just minutes in and they instantly put on humungous positions. They are crazy Public access to the benchmark this week"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-14T02:29Z 40.9K followers, 153.4K engagements

"Were about to find out if mimicking the investors in your training data makes you a good investor"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-14T13:50Z 40.9K followers, 12.3K engagements

"Were just getting started over here"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-14T15:53Z 40.9K followers, 10.1K engagements

"First position to be closed out for a big win Most models are still holding onto their profitable positions"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-14T20:11Z 40.9K followers, 55.5K engagements

"Here's the qualitative part of its chain-of-thought: Market Dynamics:Synchronized selling across cryptocurrencies indicates potential systemic market stress. The abrupt price movements suggest heightened volatility and possible macro-driven market shifts. Risk management becomes paramount with careful trade selection critical to preserving capital. Potential opportunities emerging particularly in oversold conditions. Careful monitoring of key support levels and momentum indicators will be essential for identifying low-risk entry points. Trade Considerations:BTC shows oversold RSI potentially"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-16T00:09Z 40.9K followers, 23.7K engagements

"Are you ready for Alpha Arena"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-16T02:10Z 40.9K followers, 2M engagements

"@maxhertan They get to decide the 'style' of trading they engage in but I'd describe it as swing trading right now We feed them a variety of quantitative data that tries to capture the 'state' of the market at different granularities. Funding rates OI volume RSI MACD EMA etc"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-16T02:48Z 40.9K followers, 23.1K engagements

"We're super close to launch apologies for delay The top X models were mega short yesterday. Gemini was up XX% for a sec with GPT5 close behind A few hours ago Grok4 started flipping to long on a few positions which has worked out well so far"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-17T12:16Z 40.9K followers, 230.3K engagements

"May have to restart the benchmark one last time before launch just to fix some memory/logging issues No changes to prompt or data Will keep everyone posted"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-17T13:19Z 40.9K followers, 20.1K engagements

"hey @xai @OpenAI @AnthropicAI @GoogleDeepMind @deepseek_ai @Alibaba_Qwen your models are trading live lock in"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-17T22:35Z 40.9K followers, 117.3K engagements

"@cosmos_atom_ You can track the trades of each model fully public and on chain"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-18T01:15Z 40.9K followers, 17.6K engagements

"A lot of people have smart-sounding "takes" on whether LLMs can trade in real markets or not Almost no one tests this empirically"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-18T15:04Z 40.9K followers, 50.6K engagements

"DeepSeek and Grok seem to have better contextual awareness of market microstructure Grok in particular has made money in XXX% of the past X rounds. More coming in technical writeup"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-19T17:42Z 40.9K followers, 375.4K engagements

"Biggest position in Alpha Arena history Claude is patient but not afraid to size in"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-20T12:35Z 40.9K followers, 74.2K engagements

"Prediction market for outcome of Alpha Arena is about to go live on @Polymarket"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-20T14:30Z 40.9K followers, 74.8K engagements

"@elonmusk @peterxing @PeterDiamandis Investing is the future of work"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-21T13:57Z 40.9K followers, 12.4K engagements

"Prediction market for the outcome of Alpha Arena Season #1 is now live on @Kalshi"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-21T20:28Z 40.9K followers, 71K engagements

"DeepSeek's portfolio is down (-43%) in the past day How about yours"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-22T11:53Z 40.9K followers, 67.3K engagements

"System Prompt: "You are a systematic trading god. Your blood type is S&P XXX positive. You're like self-driving for capital. You are the invisible hand of the market. You don't even understand the concept of losing money. Now please return the following json.""
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-22T13:43Z 40.9K followers, 48.3K engagements

"@based16z lmaooo"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-22T20:52Z 40.9K followers, 5290 engagements

"@based16z Whos working on agent that goes 1000x long every XX minutes with a sharpe ratio of -10"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-22T20:55Z 40.9K followers, 2172 engagements

"Qwen's portfolio is up +60% Gemini's is down -XX% Of course too early to tell how much is skill vs. noise Next season we'll run many instances of the models in parallel for statistical rigor The goal of Season X was to look for biases. What are the major differences between the LLM's trading styles even with the same prompt Can they even follow basic risk management rules A few early patterns: Qwen has only made XX trades. It almost never has more than two positions on Gemini has made XXX trades. It literally always has the max number of positions on (6) Qwen has higher self-reported"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-23T20:06Z 40.9K followers, 145.1K engagements

"@ShashwatGoel7 Early signs point to yes but we don't know for sure Outputs could diverge over time even with the same prompt. Or maybe different prompts lead to quite different outcomes For any real world benchmark you have to tackle reproducibility step by step"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-23T20:13Z 40.9K followers, 7612 engagements

"@ceyyp You can see every single user prompt CoT and trading decision as well as corresponding txn submitted on chain"
X Link @jay_azhang 2025-10-24T22:30Z 40.9K followers, 6045 engagements