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@TheShortBear "$CEP -Building out a new MSTR. -Softbank & Tether backers -Lutnick son involved (PR potential) -trading 1.5x NAV or at discount to $MSTR initially -10mil float with shorts from arbitrage play -Spac limiting offering or sellers $DWAC used as a template. This had a lot of parallels including the technicals to start with. Played it accordingly. X. Started on day X afterhours ending in a $XX buy via 100k (see print ah). (23rd) X. Sold into parabolic the next day and bought dips into the close. (24th) X. Sold partial into retest of the highs and left the rest on looking at $DWAC as the"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-05-01 22:46:21 UTC 161.2K followers, 124.2K engagements

"Healthcare has never been this cheap vs the S&P500. Its entering the bottom third percentile in terms of price to earnings ratio as well"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-22 20:46:03 UTC 161.3K followers, 43.9K engagements

"$UNH adds 45min to the call to allow for investors and analysts to have clarity. This and the proactive stance towards the DOJ is what I want to see to allow for the situation to clear up and through it the uncertainty"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-26 20:45:23 UTC 161.3K followers, 52.7K engagements

"Global equities are breaking out higher. Emerging markets are breaking out as well. Never seen so much bullish behavior and Im not sure how to feel about it. Global easing and liquidity increase"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-22 22:31:28 UTC 161.3K followers, 17.3K engagements

"$PYPL x $MELI. and many more $PYPL will connect many of the worlds largest payment systems and digital wallets on a single platform"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-23 05:31:01 UTC 161.3K followers, 16.8K engagements

"Pure panic in healthcare. Capitulation feels near as people rush to exit the space"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-21 15:12:11 UTC 161.3K followers, 42.9K engagements

"Rotation from momentum to quality today. Rotation out of unprofitable growth into quality growth"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-21 22:01:55 UTC 161.3K followers, 45.9K engagements

"My chinese holdings have not look better in quite some time. $PDD $BABA Ever since the Iran war wrap up when China stood aside the charts started to show true strength. The recent trade deal news flow added to the backwind"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-22 16:32:08 UTC 161.3K followers, 19.5K engagements

"Quality at a fair price pays. A lesson I thought I knew but once again too small no matter the size $BN was quality at a bargain"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-16 20:49:49 UTC 161.3K followers, 26.2K engagements

"$BABA Make or break. Multiyear support XX & 200ema convergence. Tariffs still carry risk into the summer but is it perhaps priced in Full disclosure added to my position over the past week. The RR is tight and there is plenty of room to continue higher if it wants to turn"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-14 21:40:58 UTC 161.3K followers, 113.1K engagements

"What was initially feared to be an EPS downturn turned out to be one of the fastest earnings recoveries in recent history"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-27 14:34:46 UTC 161.3K followers, 4619 engagements

"Asset managers are selling into the rally. Everyone is trying to anticipate a pullback and no one believes the breakout over all time highs"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-26 07:33:58 UTC 161.3K followers, 44K engagements

"China finding new trade and export partners. The new trade deal will tell us if this is a sustainable trend or not. Exports are up XXX% Y/Y vs X% estimate"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-23 05:52:14 UTC 161.3K followers, 13.3K engagements

"The market is about make an important decision"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-24 23:31:47 UTC 161.3K followers, 31.3K engagements

"Rolling losses are the most dangerous ones because most undisciplined players hold on and by the time you try to exit not only do you have a bigger loss than anticipated but often it fastens up into a panic without liquidity. Cutting losers quickly is not just about doing whats uncomfortable and needed(which goes contrary to your emotional nature) but also prevents bigger drawdowns which need a higher percentage growth to recover(eg. XX% drawdown needing a XXX% recovery)"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-26 14:02:05 UTC 161.3K followers, 34.3K engagements

"If this happens welcome back to 2020. Speculation mania"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-26 21:04:44 UTC 161.3K followers, 111.2K engagements

"Emerging markets are coming out of a 15y range This is the type of breakout that carries multiple XXX% higher"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-19 01:44:42 UTC 161.3K followers, 34.8K engagements

"Margin to gdp is an interesting way to compare the frothiness of this market. Still below 2020 Hut at the same time we had rates at X and QE then"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-26 13:57:47 UTC 161.3K followers, 12.4K engagements

"JP Morgan on $UNH Investment Thesis UNH occupies a unique position within the U.S. healthcare delivery system not only as a dominant payor of scale (in commercial Medicare and Medicaid markets) but also as a large and growing presence in local care delivery (physicians and ambulatory via OptumHealth) scale in pharmacy benefits management (OptumRx) and a fast-growing HCIT/consulting/ RCM business leveraging its own data warehouse (Optuminsight). Despite its large size we believe UNH can deliver double-digit earnings growth while returning capital to shareholders over the next three to five"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-26 22:32:11 UTC 161.3K followers, 42.8K engagements

"Why did we see rotation out of high beta Exhibit A"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-22 00:04:49 UTC 161.3K followers, 26.8K engagements

"Tariffs expectations by Goldman Sachs. If this happens. good luck Tariffs just started to impact prices as inventories run out and corporations adjust their pricing this would only be the start given tariffs have been revised higher by the admin into the August deadline"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-20 10:33:37 UTC 161.1K followers, 45.1K engagements

"China remains a top focus as a trade and position. Great multiples multi year base volume and news flow shaping up as good economical data starts to add up"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-21 04:39:00 UTC 161.1K followers, 13.5K engagements

"@DavidTaggart @PayPal @Venmo $PYPL ceo is a beast it was just a matter of time. His work at Intuit was amazing it just takes time to turn such a large ship"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-23 05:38:13 UTC 161.2K followers, XXX engagements

"The market is currently in full short squeeze mania similar to what we saw in 2020 during the $GME episode. This Goldman Sachs chart shows the 1-month returns of the Hi/Lo Short Interest Pair (GSPUWSHI Index) essentially tracking the performance spread between the most shorted U.S. stocks and the least shorted ones over time. We are crossing extremes which also means we are likely within the final innings of the short squeeze"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-27 09:14:13 UTC 161.3K followers, 18.1K engagements

"@CYCLEFUNDCAP Yes small caps and emerging markets"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-19 10:33:57 UTC 161.2K followers, XXX engagements

"China is on the verge of exploding higher. Trade talks finally wrapping up could be the finally event to push this back into a proper uptrend. The biggest companies just successfully retested their long term moving averages recent economical data beat and emerging markets as a whole just broke out of a 15y long consolidation phase. The dollar is being weakened and profits are rising. The biggest trade of the next months/years could really well be emerging markets"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-19 22:46:41 UTC 161.2K followers, 68.6K engagements

"The global stock market is breaking out to the upside after a 3.5-year consolidation phase. We are seeing most central banks and economies shifting toward easing policies while AI is introducing a new wave of technological innovation. When it comes to the ideal setup for a bubble to form conditions rarely align more perfectly. Short- to medium-term risks such as tariffs higher interest rates geopolitical conflicts and similar disruptions may create bouts of volatility. Yet its easy to lose perspective and forget to zoom out focusing instead on broader long-term drivers like liquidity cycles"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-05 22:31:02 UTC 161.1K followers, 68.5K engagements

"Thoughts about risks. Perhaps the greatest risk isnt a recession or economic slowdown its getting too distracted by the noise. The drama and headline theatrics surrounding the Trump administration and its legislation could overshadow a more subtle force: AI-driven growth quietly accelerating beneath the surface. This isnt even my base case but markets rarely stumble where everyones looking. A stealth bull market unfolding amid policy chaos and indecision would make it exceptionally difficult for investors to be properly positioned. A sort of market where the admin drives a -XX% move hidden"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-05-11 19:50:01 UTC 161K followers, 34.7K engagements

"GS forecasts that U.S. households will buy $150bn in stock in 2022 following last years record of roughly $390bn"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2022-05-10 17:56:41 UTC 161.1K followers, XX engagements

"@skeptic_humble Whats expecting something to happen and starting to sell/buy based on it"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-26 08:15:03 UTC 161.3K followers, 2286 engagements

"$UNH position thoughts $UNH has minimal direct impact from ACA subsidy cuts (less than X% of revenue at risk) with Medicare Advantage stability though minor adjustments (up to X% margin impact) could occur depending on 2026 policy updates. The Admin and politics dont carry as much risk in my view and understanding of the matter - Medicare Advantage (MA) Cuts: The proposed $150-200 billion Medicare cut over XX years (1-2% annually of the $XXX billion budget) includes a 2-4% annual cut to MA payments ($320 billion in 2025). With MA driving 40-45% of earnings ($70-75 billion revenue) this could"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-19 23:05:53 UTC 161.3K followers, 44.1K engagements

"@EBUYUKARSLAN I was buying heavily. How about you"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-25 13:05:37 UTC 161.3K followers, XXX engagements

"Wild thing to see happen Quick research shows alliance"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-21 18:02:27 UTC 161K followers, 21.1K engagements

"$ELV reported Q2 2025 earnings: $XXXX billion revenue (up XXXX% year-over-year beating $XXXXX billion expected) and adjusted EPS of $XXXX (below $XXXX expected) with FY25 guidance cut to $XX (from $34.15-$34.85). $UNH set to report Q2 on July XX 2025 saw a slight dip today but this reaction appears unjustified given a misinterpretation of ELVs earnings and the stark contrast between the two firms. ELV Earnings Misinterpretation: The markets X% stock drop reflects an overreaction to the EPS miss and guidance cut overshadowing key strengths. The cut driven by ACA and Medicaid challenges (90%"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-17 14:32:47 UTC 161.2K followers, 14.4K engagements

"$CNC These are the calls we need for need for people to realize they are currently selling a business at 8x earnings that is going to be back to full profitability within 1-2y"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-25 12:59:41 UTC 161.3K followers, 21.7K engagements

"The theme as the admin tries to make the USA more competitive on the global trade stage"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-25 15:17:10 UTC 161.3K followers, 21.4K engagements

"Great volatility and panic are not the same as risk. The risk associated with volatility whether intraday daily or even weekly is not due to volatility itself. Instead it arises from position sizing. Many traders fail to adjust their sizing to reflect the increased volatility and continue trading as if conditions were normal. When an asset panics or moves parabolically in either direction most traders miscalculate the situation. They keep trading without acknowledging the expanded range which leads to unnecessary losses. Although it is difficult to manage expanding ranges there are still ways"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-26 16:02:13 UTC 161.3K followers, 47.5K engagements

"I played $CNC according to the zero bound and bought into 23s prior to the call. Well see what $UNH earnings bring if positive Id expect the space to bounce. Wed have a stock specific and sectoral catalyst which combined with deep extension can lead to big moves. Could see $CNC back above XX quickly or a quick XX% gain with what I considered to be minimal risk of 5$. XX% odds 2.5RR"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-26 18:07:58 UTC 161.3K followers, 1012 engagements

"Full disclosure currently long $BABA and $PDD on the Chinese side while I am seeing potential in $JD and Tencent as well. (Missed $TSM when I had the chance) Emerging markets overall holding $MELI and $NU $ARGT"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-19 22:51:22 UTC 161.2K followers, 9413 engagements

"$UNH For those scared or wondering about the DOJ investigation make sure you dig into current dynamics. The investigation has been shifting focus this isnt what an easy case looks like. On top WSJ and the Guardian have been recycle old news from 2019 that was proven wrong. The Department of Justice (DOJ) Antitrust leadership is considering redirecting its investigation into $UNH to focus on the companys pharmacy benefits management (PBM) unit according to The Capital Forum citing sources familiar with the matter. The potential shift comes as top DOJ antitrust division officials have been"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-20 00:49:13 UTC 161.1K followers, 29K engagements

"Got lucky this morning. $CNC earnings came out and the business got so cheap I bought a sizable position into the 23s. I then proceeded to buy $ELV into the mid 270s. $UNH holding a big position from the $XXX Basically long healthcare insurers as a sector now. Bought them all between 8-12PE"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-25 13:03:03 UTC 161.3K followers, 42.1K engagements

"Margins bottom guidance and comments shifting to positive and one of the leading companies to beat meaningfully. For some of them like $UNH perhaps litigation resolution or similar. Hard part is they often price it in prior to the news and by that time its too late or like $NFLX its simply an earnings gap up and its hard to position after. For me its all about earnings yield moat and sentiment"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-22 22:34:18 UTC 161K followers, XXX engagements

"@bhavjotsingh007 @bespokeinvest In this case also more clarity or a resolution in regards to the admin fight to cut healthcare spending"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-22 22:34:51 UTC 161K followers, XXX engagements

"@EBUYUKARSLAN The earnings call was after. How can I post about smth that had not happened. I talk about my long term positions when there is something to say. If I just post my positions without any info to explain whats the point"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-25 13:22:16 UTC 161.3K followers, XXX engagements

"China putting pressure to close off the tariff deal"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-26 20:46:31 UTC 161.3K followers, 20.7K engagements

"87% of companies are beating so far. Extreme strength likely pushed by an AI led margin expansion"
@TheShortBear Avatar @TheShortBear on X 2025-07-27 14:36:00 UTC 161.3K followers, 2807 engagements