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@ArmchairW
"Y'know the joke about socialism working fine until you run out of other peoples' money to spend Yeah. turns out it's actually about neoliberalism"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T02:40Z 133.7K followers, 113.3K engagements
"Meanwhile the US military appears to be forbidden from utilizing considerably superior Israeli air defense systems. despite the fact they're mostly manufactured in the US by American companies"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T15:45Z 133.7K followers, 12.7K engagements
"Ukraine's cope drone campaign is going so well that they're (checks notes) pressing the technicians into front-line infantry service where their remaining life expectancy will be measured in days"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-06T02:46Z 133.7K followers, 53.1K engagements
"The thing I find most amusing is that this entire Ukrainian cope drone campaign against Russian oil refineries has accomplished nothing at all. Russian refinery downtime cycles and production volumes haven't diverged in any significant unusual way from industry expectations"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-11T04:31Z 133.6K followers, 29.4K engagements
"Additional analysis pointing out the discrepancy directly:"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-11T04:37Z 133.7K followers, 11.5K engagements
"There's a reason why they're called "cope drones." The primary objective of the Ukrainian cruise drone campaign is not to inflict military or economic damage on the Russian Federation but rather to start fires in Russia for propaganda intended to help Ukraine's supporters cope"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-11T04:43Z 133.7K followers, 10K engagements
"@Diogenease What probably happened was they had a few frontnik and MoD sources at the start of the war lost contact with those sources as OPSEC tightened and reverted to relying on Ukrainian TG and guesswork like a lot of lazy Russian analysts do"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-11T04:55Z 133.6K followers, 2212 engagements
"It's a testament to the deep and wretched stupidity of Ukraine shills that this moron thought he could constantly defame and dox people - and in fact literally build an online brand around it - without eventually getting into real-life legal trouble. Good hit target burning"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T00:10Z 133.7K followers, 15.6K engagements
"More evidence that Ukrainian deep strike capabilities have been effectively neutered - the Russians constructing yet more static launchers for cruise drones in the open view of God and everyone with what seems like absolute impunity"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-11T02:06Z 133.7K followers, 23.6K engagements
"A war. Any war. Realistic"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T00:43Z 133.7K followers, 23.7K engagements
"At this point I'm lowkey expecting Trump to declare the Nobel Committee a foreign terrorist organization if he doesn't get this"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T23:55Z 133.7K followers, 14.8K engagements
"@FtwSte It's the route I'd suspect. Alternatively he could go via Romania which might be somewhat safer"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T01:28Z 133.7K followers, XXX engagements
"(inhales) (exhales) (inhales) What the f-ck did I just read. This is the dumbest most insane statement bar none posted by a Western leader in the entire Ukrainian War. And that is a LOW bar to limbo under considering Trump is competing with Biden and Ursula von der Leyen. Let's start from the top. X. Trump reveals that the US intelligence community is so comically incompetent that he's still trying to figure out what the hell exactly is going on in Ukraine nine months after his inauguration but he's pretty sure he's got it right this time.* * he doesn't he's pushing trivially debunked"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-09-23T23:17Z 133.7K followers, 401.5K engagements
"@GeromanAT At this point I'm about XX% sure @AMK_Mapping_ has better situational awareness of what's going on in Ukraine than the EUCOM JOC"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-13T23:15Z 133.7K followers, 3613 engagements
"A very interesting data point. but we also need to be aware that most of that will be going into the civilian sector. I'm guessing the stagnation of production from 22-24 had to do with cancelled exports to Europe"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T00:20Z 133.7K followers, 10.7K engagements
"The Revolution literally happened because the British government was denying British people who lived in the Thirteen Colonies in North America their rights as British subjects"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T00:35Z 133.7K followers, 16.4K engagements
"These photos of collision damage to the USS Harry S. Truman were taken eight months apart. All those people clamoring for war with China don't seem to realize that when USN ships are lost or damaged - as they will be - they will not be replaced and they will not be repaired"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-06T23:51Z 133.7K followers, 304.6K engagements
"In Ukraine to prompt the large Russian strikes we've seen lately Probably the collapse of negotiations with the United States. The Russians were willing to take their foot off the gas to give us the chance to bring the Ukrainians to the table for a negotiated settlement"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-11T02:01Z 133.7K followers, 66.1K engagements
"I'm not sure what's funnier that the Taliban clearly have a more effective air force than the old Afghan government did despite zero tech support or that they're just casually doing deep strikes with it in an age when most air forces are terrified to penetrate enemy airspace"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-12T05:57Z 133.7K followers, 105.3K engagements
"318 tanks XXX APCs and XXX guns. This is an army and not a particularly small one - in fact it represents a force comparable in size to the present British or French Army. And as RWA points out this isn't a full listing - they're underballing some categories"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-12T18:04Z 133.7K followers, 31.9K engagements
"We've gone from claims of 19500 kidnapped Ukrainian children to XXX identified Ukrainian child war refugees to eight (8) children actually in need of reunification including one sent to family in Russia from Ukraine. Vladimir Putin was indicted by the ICC over this"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-12T19:15Z 133.7K followers, 331.4K engagements
"While the Ukrainians were promoting fantasy encirclements elsewhere the Russians closed the largest one of the war thus far today - that of the twin cities of Pokrovsk and Mirnograd. Tens of thousands of Ukrainian troops kept in position far too long are now "in the kettle." "But AW you say the Russians haven't physically surrounded the cities yet" And they don't have to. The Russians are now physically sitting on every high-speed avenue of approach into the cauldron and the gap between their pincers is narrow enough to be swept by direct fire. The only way in or out of Pokrovsk right now"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-12T23:02Z 133.7K followers, 179.1K engagements
"This is a regular pattern - almost every time the Ukrainians use HIMARS the now-omnipresent Russian reconnaissance-strike complex spots the launch finds the launcher tracks it to its base and destroys it and kills its crew. This was probably the launcher terrorizing Belgorod"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-13T14:30Z 133.7K followers, 105.9K engagements
"Of all the things that didn't happen in this war this didn't happen the most"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-13T22:43Z 133.7K followers, 69.3K engagements
"This is actually rather interesting because it allows us to roughly estimate kill drone production volumes. Certainly the Russians produce their own fiber-optic cable and some of this likely goes into infrastructure but we can certainly see how many drones this would support. Now what's important to realize is this likely represents a bulk buy to build a stockpile to support production going forward into the future. With that being said we can see that the Russian Federation has imported approximately 650000 miles of fiber-optic cable from China in 2025 after importing about 200000 miles in"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-14T23:49Z 133.7K followers, 83.1K engagements
"Trump is somehow managing to compete with Joe Biden's delusional "THE RUBLE IS RUBBLE" address. almost four years in when factual information on the war and the state of the Russian economy and civil life is readily available to anyone with internet let alone an embassy"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T01:51Z 133.7K followers, 38.5K engagements
"Ukrainian deep strike campaign: (long internet argument about whether an additional 2-3% of total oil refinery downtime is attributable to enemy action or sanctions making maintenance more time-consuming) Russian deep strike campaign: Ukraine takes a trip to the 19th century"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T23:19Z 133.7K followers, 43.7K engagements
"By now I suspect the US intelligence community outsources most of its actual collection and analysis to brOSINT and unvetted claims by allies. Civilians DIED in Yemen because a brOSINT account speculated about Houthi sites from potato satellite imagery and the USN dropped bombs"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T23:30Z 133.7K followers, 24K engagements
"Does this seem difficult to believe - XX agencies (or whatever the number is now) and they all sit around expecting someone else in the endless spy bureaucracy to do the actual work Yes. But government in the US is astonishingly good at making money disappear for no results"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T23:34Z 133.7K followers, 8371 engagements
"These morons are probably going to be slapping themselves on the back about outsourcing their jobs to AI when Israel's AI-driven targeting made Hamas larger while killing civilians at a hundred times the rate of traditional methods"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T23:41Z 133.7K followers, 7003 engagements
"So much of the cope around Trump's obscene volte-face on Ukraine boils down to the claim that he's only pretending to be an idiot and there's some 4d chess scheme at work here. The truth I suspect is that Davos found his pressure point - an overwhelming fear of appearing weak"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-15T23:59Z 133.7K followers, 31K engagements
"The simple truth about Trump's first term is there were few crises from 2017-19. Trump faceplanted in 2020 dealing with COVID the Summer of Love and electoral shenanigans - all real crises requiring serious leadership. I hate to say it - I think Trump is a choke artist"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-16T00:16Z 133.7K followers, 20.5K engagements
"On one hand I really want to point and laugh at fragile journalists. On the other hand we've watched the Russians have to build a wartime media ecosystem from the ground up because the Ukrainians were running rings around them in 2022 - a failure with strategic consequences"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-16T00:43Z 133.7K followers, 15.7K engagements
"Also who the hell formatted this announcement If this is how the Pentagon Press Corps does they all deserve to be fired anyways"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-16T00:48Z 133.7K followers, 6582 engagements
"If this summit actually happens Putin will fly into Hungary and out of Hungary mug for the camera with Trump and Orban and the Europeans will seethe about it. The end of this war will involve a long string of humiliations as Europe is forced to back down again and again"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T01:06Z 133.7K followers, 17.9K engagements
"A short summary of the Tomahawk drama: Trump: I'm gonna give Tomahawks to Ukraine Putin: No. Trump: Let's have a peace summit Yet I open up my feed after taking a day off and I'm reading doom dissertations from pro-Russians about this. Sorry Putin didn't start WWIII I guess"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T01:13Z 133.7K followers, 9937 engagements
"I love the implication that Putin was unflappably continuing his lecture on Catherine the Great's Black Sea policy agenda leading up to the annexation of Crimea while Trump was yelling at him to shut up. If they're gonna push fiction as news they need to hire better writers lol"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T01:24Z 133.7K followers, 24K engagements
"(looks at the map) Zelensky's about to lose six cities"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T02:07Z 133.7K followers, 23K engagements
"I'm at a bit of a loss for content at the moment so. Open Q&A"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T02:25Z 133.7K followers, 12.1K engagements
"Of course the guy didn't have the stones to tell Hegseth to go put another can of hairspray into his duck's ass haircut and try to fire him if he had a problem with it but you take what you can get"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T02:42Z 133.7K followers, 7257 engagements
"Another Patriot turned into confetti. When the Ukrainians drag these systems to the front line they die. When they remain in the rear they die. And they shoot down practically nothing. Patriot joins a long line of prestige Western weapons rendered useless in this war"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T15:15Z 133.7K followers, 80.1K engagements
"This is probably tied to the Ukrainian collapse in Kupyansk. That entire shoulder of northeast Kharkov Oblast is now looking quite shaky. Clearing this area will set conditions to return to Balakleya and Izyum to the south supporting the seizure of Slavyansk and Kramatorsk"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T15:35Z 133.7K followers, 40.5K engagements
"Every time I see stuff like this from Ukraine shills I just roll my eyes. More than ten Ukrainian soldiers die for every Russian they somehow manage to kill. The Russians have no shortage whatsoever of ammunition vehicles or supplies and they are not taking heavy casualties. Also if my math is mathing Twerpetua is admitting that the Russians have "only" taken 300000 personnel KIA - which is probably five times or more than the true amount but for a Ukraine shill in an information environment where claims of millions of Russian dead are routinely bandied about is an extraordinary admission"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T15:42Z 133.7K followers, 36.6K engagements
"@german_hiking They're already in Kupyansk. That's already happened"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T15:44Z 133.7K followers, 1651 engagements
"The Western cope for the next decade is going to be that it took the Russians five years to get to the Dniper when they should have secured left bank Ukraine by the middle of March 2022 or something"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T16:12Z 133.7K followers, 22.3K engagements
"@peraperic486209 The data suggests Ukrainian losses well north of a million while there's little evidence to suggest Russian losses of more than a tenth that"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T16:13Z 133.7K followers, 4563 engagements
"Postmodern nihilism is neither based nor redpilled - Game of Thrones is actually drawing from the same poisoned intellectual well as Disney-era Star Wars and other woke media abominations. GRRM was just a somewhat better writer. Past tense because the books won't be finished"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T16:35Z 133.7K followers, 15.9K engagements
""We pay for all of that. Shut up. I'd tell you the alternative is learning Russian but I know that you speak it perfectly already.""
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-18T18:58Z 133.7K followers, 14.3K engagements
"How is this even a matter of controversy A Song of Ice and Fire isn't even finished which one would think would be a basic prerequisite to even be included in the conversation"
X Link @ArmchairW 2025-10-19T03:52Z 133.7K followers, 9749 engagements