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@cointradernik "H I G H E R F O R L O N G E R"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-12T20:48Z 112.7K followers, 35.9K engagements

"Gm ☕ Writing up this weeks Outlook after the chaos of the past XX hours Will be available at @OstiumLabs in a couple hours Thoughts unchanged since I wrote my Sept FOMC view if anything cemented everything I initially outlined TL;DR Compound your spot holdings into any weakness early this week - do very well by end of Nov with a view to higher for longer into Q1 after what may be another brutal shakeout in Dec 🫡"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-13T09:50Z 112.7K followers, 25.5K engagements

"Gold is now up the market cap of Bitcoin since Oct 1st $2.5trn added in less than X weeks"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-13T17:09Z 112.7K followers, 34.2K engagements

"The most devastating outcome is a 4-year bear market for alts vs BTC in which market participants progressively added leverage risk on the way down only to get zeroed out in the worst liquidation event for alts in history at the pico-bottom of said 4-year downtrend And then alts as a % of BTC bottom at the precise level they bottomed at in Dec XX Aug XX and Dec XX Would be brutal"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-13T19:21Z 112.7K followers, 144.6K engagements

"For anyone asking wen crypto because everything else is running I already gave you the TL;DR on what Im expecting time-wise BTC $125k next week and $133k end of month ETH $5k end of month November altszn / uponly / froth Dec shakeout / profit-taking Its all in the Outlook and I cannot be clearer about my view Its v fucking hard to make directional calls with both precise timings and prices if Im even half right it should be a very good rest of Q4 If Im wrong I will suffer with you all 🫡"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-15T15:14Z 112.7K followers, 185.5K engagements

"We are currently in the confluence of sell the news narratives stage of this view"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-15T16:40Z 112.7K followers, 24.2K engagements

"If this cant bottom BTC/XAU at XX we are doomed team"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-16T18:59Z 112.7K followers, 18.7K engagements

"Patiently waiting for big John to stop filling his bids so we can emerge from the thicket and enter the fast track"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-18T08:25Z 112.7K followers, 11K engagements

"@TraderLight_01 Imo now that smallcaps are in price discovery not long BTC new highs and ETH above $5k into end of month - altszn in November with OTHERS to $490bn - shakeout/profit-taking in Dec Currently how Im seeing it"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-15T09:43Z 112.7K followers, XXX engagements

"@TraderLight_01 Q1 for price discovery on OTHERS above $500bn dont think itll happen this quarter but happy to be proven wrong obvs"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-15T09:44Z 112.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@nodi_macro Also plenty of other things Im monitoring in cross-sector performance if high beta vs low vol puts in a major top and rolls over no bueno Also watching credit spreads and junk here carefully"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-16T09:10Z 112.7K followers, XXX engagements

"I think we just need to get through some growth fear stuff and financial stress short-term in the broader markets Keep an eye on junk bonds credit spreads and USDJPY Also yields up probably a good thing for the market right now so hoping bonds sell off a bit here Hard to get a clear picture when Im away from the desk tbh"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-17T13:53Z 112.7K followers, XXX engagements

"Some TL;DRs for those who cba to wait for the article on X / have the attention spans of a goldfish 🫡 And maybe Im wrong and we chop for months or maybe Im wrong and weve just started a bear market with the 4-year cycle now complete I dont think I am though"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-13T18:04Z 112.7K followers, 175.3K engagements

"This weeks Outlook is now available👇 Its another week thats light on the macro front but heavy on the speeches though we all know thats not the point of interest this week After the chaos of last Friday Ive provided updated views on Q4 & Q1 for $HTC $ETH $DXY and $SPX with a particularly detailed update on $OTHERS 👀 If youve already read it and found some value in it pls share and also go get yourselves signed up and trading on @OstiumLabs (link below) 🫡"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-13T19:38Z 112.7K followers, 72.6K engagements

"First naked swing long on $BTC since Sept 20th Punish me swiftly if I am wrong reward me greatly if I am right 🫡"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-14T07:34Z 112.7K followers, 52.8K engagements

"Which trades first $BTC"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-16T08:40Z 112.7K followers, 7649 engagements

"If Im right we shouldnt lose the zone between 98-100 on anything more than a wick and fuck sake do not wick me into XX and then run it back turbo pls"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-17T14:11Z 112.7K followers, 6585 engagements

"@Osemka8 That can be 2026 or later"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-18T10:13Z 112.7K followers, XXX engagements

"This remains my big picture view everything else is noise tbh X possible scenarios: 1) BTC is no longer correlated to macro and will experience a secular downturn whilst the business cycle inflects higher 2) Were headed into an imminent recession 3) There is still plenty of runway for macro and therefore plenty of runway for BTC going into 2026 higher for longer Subjective weighted probabilities of each scenario: 1) X% 2) XX% 3) XX% Thank you for coming to my Ted Talk"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-18T10:23Z 112.7K followers, 162.8K engagements

"Everything going according to plan for higher for longer into Q1 imo"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-14T10:03Z 112.4K followers, 10.3K engagements

"This weeks Market Outlook (and the first of Q4) is now available👇 Its a longer one than usual so apologies but should provide a decent overview of my expectations for the final quarter of 2025 for $BTC $ETH $DXY $XAU & $OTHERS Enjoy the read & pls share 🫡"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-06T22:13Z 112.4K followers, 70.7K engagements

"So are we bullish again or are we bearish again I cant keep up with all the flip-flopping and borrowing conviction from (insert KOL of the day)"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-10T09:28Z 112.4K followers, 9293 engagements

"Gm ☕ Missed all the chaos whilst at a gig Absolute classic that we got VIX/VIX3M above X and a market-wide liq event two days after my put spreads expired but cest la vie Think bidding early next week is an opportunity we all probably were not expecting and prices are significantly higher across the board by December Real rates correlation + liq correlation had this week as a potential bear trap obviously not predictive of the Covid-esque / 2022 style liquidation event we now have But thinking back to my post from Sept FOMC there had to be an event that cemented the X year cycle + altcoin"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-11T07:41Z 112.6K followers, 39.7K engagements

"Which trades first $SPX"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-11T22:21Z 112.6K followers, 9654 engagements

"Enjoy the read: Out on X shortly 🤝"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-13T15:20Z 112.4K followers, 29.5K engagements

"Think equities bottom today or tomorrow Will be looking for various divergences over the next XX hours"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-14T10:38Z 112.4K followers, 19.1K engagements

"Now we pray to the Bitcoin gods Weekly open reclaim = the bottom is in"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-14T11:16Z 112.4K followers, 28.2K engagements

"Smallcaps new highs Smallcaps were underperforming prior to the selloff and were my first sign in late Sept of potential vol event as shared on here Decent chance they are also signalling the selloff is now largely over"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-14T18:02Z 112.5K followers, 11.8K engagements

"This is not what the beginning of a bear market looks like Sorry guys higher 🫡"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-14T18:18Z 112.5K followers, 24.5K engagements

"Which outperforms from today into year-end"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-15T20:42Z 112.5K followers, 7348 engagements

"@nodi_macro BTC acceptance below 360dMA hasnt happened since the bull market began DXY acceptance back inside multi year range support XXX Both of those together = no bueno"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-16T09:07Z 112.6K followers, XXX engagements

"Basically the same MA tbf Also would want to see time spent below + flipping it into resistance Closing below and then reclaiming a week later would obvs be bullish Thing is I always go back to the idea that if Bitcoin is progressively more tied to global macro (therefore more of a macro asset now than in the past and will continue to be in the future) then we should continue to trade as such and this is where the macro cycle is:"
X Link @cointradernik 2025-10-16T09:27Z 112.5K followers, XXX engagements