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@paulg
"Wow tariffs have increased prices dramatically for domestic goods as well as imported. Obviously because domestic goods use imported materials and components. But apparently that wasn't obvious to the people who cooked up this policy"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-16T11:17Z 2.1M followers, 432K engagements
"A hundred years from now these paintings will still be under glass. The people running the museum then won't even know why. It will just seem normal. So no one except the occasional conservator will ever see them without glass again"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-30T07:59Z 2.1M followers, 54.3K engagements
"This is common among the most successful startups. It may seem wasteful but it's a good idea to have some extra money in the bank as insurance against disasters and the most successful startups have that luxury"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-17T08:25Z 2.1M followers, 474.6K engagements
"The reason (good) investors are more optimistic is that for them the outcomes are weighted. If you're just measuring percent correct you win by predicting startups will fail. But if the outcomes are weighted you look for big wins even at the risk of many small misses"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-24T19:39Z 2.1M followers, 157K engagements
"@abierkhatib I hate it that this guy has my name"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-30T14:22Z 2.1M followers, 20.8K engagements
"One advantage of having many distinct sovereign nations instead of a single world government is that they can try different policies and we can see which work best"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-30T21:43Z 2.1M followers, 1.8M engagements
"Don't drop out of college to start or work for a startup. There will be other (and probably better) startup opportunities but you can't get your college years back"
X Link @paulg 2025-07-25T12:35Z 2.1M followers, 1.9M engagements
"The Trump administration has suspended the funding of Terence Tao and the Institute for Pure and Applied Mathematics at UCLA"
X Link @paulg 2025-08-03T13:20Z 2.1M followers, 2.6M engagements
"Vibe coding is here to stay. I'd been worried it might be a fad but I talked to the founder of an infrastructure company who's in a position to see how well vibe-coded apps are doing and he said a lot of them are making money"
X Link @paulg 2025-08-15T20:48Z 2.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"Something I just told a founder: Stay as small as you can for as long as you can. People who come to visit your office should always be surprised that such an important company has so few employees"
X Link @paulg 2025-09-02T04:36Z 2.1M followers, 699.6K engagements
"Why good comedians tend to be short"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-09T08:03Z 2.1M followers, 283K engagements
"TIL the C in ENIAC was "Computor.""
X Link @paulg 2025-10-18T16:45Z 2.1M followers, 44K engagements
"@StefanFSchubert Why Bureaucracy"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-27T13:03Z 2.1M followers, 166.7K engagements
"We stopped to get some medjool dates in the Ziz valley and they are by a huge margin the best dates I've ever tasted. Apparently the variety originated there"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-28T20:25Z 2.1M followers, 102.2K engagements
"@StefanFSchubert Yes this is very likely true"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-30T21:51Z 2.1M followers, 27K engagements
"Organizations that can't measure performance end up measuring performativeness instead"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-02T05:14Z 2.1M followers, 417.1K engagements
"Later we'll find it hard to believe that masked thugs were dragging people off the street at gunpoint. At least I hope we will since the other alternative would be to decline into the kind of country where that's normal"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-07T12:01Z 2.1M followers, 2.7M engagements
"Good cofounder no cofounder bad cofounder. This may seem obvious but a lot of people don't seem to grasp it"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-16T10:37Z 2.1M followers, 339.1K engagements
"Prediction: LLMs in their current form may not be able to do everything but AI now has enough momentum that this won't matter. Beam engines couldn't do everything either but they were enough to set off the Industrial Revolution"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-21T07:16Z 2.1M followers, 381.6K engagements
"Almost all the images on my desktop are of family. These are some of the few that aren't"
X Link @paulg 2025-11-01T22:28Z 2.1M followers, 76.9K engagements
"@garrytan Energy may also be about to get a lot cheaper due to fusion"
X Link @paulg 2025-11-02T16:37Z 2.1M followers, 33.5K engagements
"@sama I've noticed more and more in my replies. And not just from fake accounts run by groups and countries that want to influence public opinion. There also seem to be a lot of individual would-be influencers using AI-generated replies"
X Link @paulg 2025-09-03T22:27Z 2.1M followers, 148.2K engagements
"Every picture of JP Morgan published in his lifetime (and thus nearly every picture published since) was heavily retouched. This is what he actually looked like"
X Link @paulg 2025-01-16T19:07Z 2.1M followers, 13.1M engagements
"I met a founder today who said he writes 10000 lines of code a day now thanks to AI. This is probably the limit case. He's a hotshot programmer he knows AI tools very well and he's talking about a XX hour day. But he's not naive. This is not 10000 lines of bug-filled crap"
X Link @paulg 2025-08-07T02:59Z 2.1M followers, 2.5M engagements
"The reason AI coding works so well is that the source code of the median app was already slop before LLMs"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-09T07:56Z 2.1M followers, 506K engagements
"I was talking to someone renovating a museum in Italy. All the paintings will be under glass when they're rehung "because people throw soup on them." Those idiot protestors have changed the world permanently for the worse"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-30T07:47Z 2.1M followers, 145.7K engagements
"It's easier to innovate when you're the original of something. People copying you can only copy a snapshot of your current state. They don't know which aspects of the snapshot are essential and which are random things you'd been about to change anyway"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-18T09:18Z 2.1M followers, 219.3K engagements
"I've been rereading Bovill's Golden Trade of the Moors and it's even better than I remembered. Like most great books it's about way more than its title implies"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-30T21:35Z 2.1M followers, 55.1K engagements
"@JonHaidt I'm an extreme case of this. I grew up in Pittsburgh. I was XXX in 197377. The Steelers won the Super Bowl in three of those four seasons"
X Link @paulg 2025-11-03T12:16Z 2.1M followers, 9786 engagements
""Imagine: Children just walking into the cafeteria and getting fed. No accounts that parents have to keep up no time spent assessing families incomes or processing payments or running down parents who havent paid no 'lunch shaming' none of that.""
X Link @paulg 2023-07-25T18:12Z 2.1M followers, 1.5M engagements
"Something I explained to XX yo: There is no intrinsically fair price for any commodity just the market price. Most people have no problem understanding that. Until the commodity is labor. Then suddenly it becomes hard to understand"
X Link @paulg 2025-05-20T09:43Z 2.1M followers, 1.3M engagements
"@aphysicist Steam engines did no such thing. Newcomen engines the first steam engines were so inefficient that they were only useful in coal mines where the fuel was right there"
X Link @paulg 2025-10-21T15:14Z 2.1M followers, 31.9K engagements