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@Tannhaeuse23919
"The difference is that China's total rare earth export in 2024 is only $488million (I was surprised so I asked GPT to triple check). So the economic effect of the ban on China is negligible. Meanwhile the bans on chips and machines are in the $100billion range"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-11T04:03Z XXX followers, XXX engagements
"@henrysgao It is like the 200s sign of deglobalization"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-18T13:07Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@_PeterRyan They are mostly the only child of only children for the last few generations. The job market isn't great and they prefer to move back with their parents. Each one has two parents and four grandparents who will leave them with a lot of money"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-18T16:26Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@kazoooo_1998 @Adam_Mihalak @aphysicist Yeah this is argument by ignorance. He worked in ASML and was impressed therefore nobody else could do it"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-19T02:01Z XXX followers, XXX engagements
"@BTC_i_Hodl @fredsoda Yeah and you can't make everything unless you are as big as China. So you need to cooperate and that is where trade comes in"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-19T06:29Z XXX followers, XXX engagements
"@i_maniH @AngelicaOung US has always been busy somewhere. This is actually the reason the Taiwan Strait has been peaceful. Once the US actually pivots to Asia there will be pressure and the arms race in the Pacific will intensify and the probability of war will increase"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-19T17:24Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@i_maniH @AngelicaOung And we definitely Dont want the US to get busy in the Taiwan Strait"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-19T17:34Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@teortaxesTex Farm lobbying. They overwhelmingly voted for Trump and his tariffs"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-20T04:53Z XXX followers, XXX engagements
"@SariArhoHavren China would love this. It has been nearly a decade since Hillary's "pivot to Asia". We have still not pivoted first because of Afghanistan/Iraq. Then Syria and Iran and now Ukraine. We are about to start on Venezuela too"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-20T15:23Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@Amna_T_Ahmad @haugejostein Math is not an opinion but it is no better than the assumptions you make. It needs ultimately be grounded in psychology which is very hard and not very mathematical. There is a way out. Big data and AI may ultimately be able to make good predictions"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-21T15:16Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@krislc Things change a lot in XX years especially in Taiwan. The Republican party is not the same as it was when Lincoln was the president. It has basically switched its role with the Democrats since the 1960s"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-19T02:44Z XXX followers, 1151 engagements
"@b0n_ker @Faytuks He is pressuring both sides threatening to arm Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles and have a shouting match with Zelensky. He is trying hard"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-20T01:19Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@Daractenus These two nations have a small energy market. It won't affect Russia much. The real purpose is to crash these two economies for the next election"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-21T04:46Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@Ehnree @DoggyDog1208 Math is a lot of fun. Witness how popular Sudoku is and it is nothing compared to alg geo"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-21T14:24Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@DoggyDog1208 @xzailadinx What do you usually say wyp-something can't do statistics and probability. 😆"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-21T15:43Z XXX followers, XXX engagements
"@AngelicaOung How about "Chinese masseurse annihilates Taiwan over tea eggs" 😆"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-21T07:47Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@neilthomas123 @nytimes @ChuBailiang All authoritarian states face this problem. On the other hand I don't think they will end up with someone as incompetent as Trump or the current crowd of European leaders"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-21T15:27Z XXX followers, XXX engagements
"@cacrisalves Yeah they are trained to be rational and then assume everyone else to be rational. On the other hand it is very hard to model the irrational"
X Link @Tannhaeuse23919 2025-10-21T16:07Z XXX followers, XXX engagements