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@bryan_maxw46284 "You literally can't get much more perfect of a satellite presentation than this right now. The inner eyewall of this "nuclear reactor" of a tropical cyclone specimen likely carries wind gusts capable of ripping your clothes right off your body. Still intensifying too"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-26T21:07Z 2233 followers, 3638 engagements

"This just keeps getting more and more ridiculous. The fact that the cloud tops have gotten this much colder and have surrounded the eye so thoroughly is an indication that she has most likely gotten her structural issues worked out now. Intensity at XX hasn't changed but rest assured that this is in the process of intensifying very quickly right now"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-27T03:16Z 2232 followers, 3763 engagements

"One very interesting detail about Melissa is the relatively small size of her overall wind field. While her eye is fairly average in size her CDO and surrounding wind field are very diminutive. To give a little perspective if her eye were to pass directly over Key West (only given as example this will NOT happen) Miami would have very little wind damage at all. Even for Key Largo it would just be like a cat X hurricane/strong tropical storm. This reminds me of hurricane Andrew. Andrew had a fairly normal sized eye but also had a very small CDO and wind field. It hit just south of Miami and"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-27T16:17Z 2232 followers, 3934 engagements

"You might be wondering; Why has the rapid intensification with Melissa halted for the last several hours Is this where she will peak out The answer has to do with subtle structural issues. For whatever the reasons are the strongest winds have not stayed fully concentrated as perfectly into the eyewall as you would expect with a perfect hurricane structure. Hurricanes are sort of picky about how their convection is layed out kind of like how a campfire is picky with the way the logs are stacked. You can have lots of firewood sitting there ready to burn and it's all burning and looks halfway"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-27T01:45Z 2234 followers, 17.2K engagements

"If we can agree that the raw data for hurricane Dorian was sufficient to support an official max sustained winds of XXX mph then if we use the raw data from Melissa and apply it using the same algorithms there is no valid argument to assign the same XXX mph MSW here. Melissa is easily a XXX mph MSW hurricane. Dorian was very intense but the raw data was not even close to what we have seen with Melissa. Melissa is in an entirely different echelon of tropical cyclones. Even in the western Pacific it's very rare to have a storm this strong"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-28T17:03Z 2234 followers, 141K engagements

"Eye is getting smaller at landfall. This could be due to the increased friction with land. The barometric pressure might have actually just gone down even more. Why Think about what would happen if you had a tub full of water in the back of your pickup truck while driving down the road and then you slam on the brakes. The water level at the back of the tub will drop way down as the water sloshes to the front of the tub. You have all this momentum of the air rising rapidly in the eyewall of the hurricane but then all of a sudden the bottom of the storm hits land. All the air that is already"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-28T17:46Z 2234 followers, 138.3K engagements

"It's interesting how you can actually see the steering currents change in real time on this satellite loop. This is the influence of that trough associated with the cold front that is going to sweep Melissa NNE towards Jamaica. The blue line I drew isn't the front itself just the leading edge of the change in steering currents"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-28T00:35Z 2234 followers, 66.2K engagements

"@2472742c Yeah I watched a bunch of video of Dorian and saw the damage afterwards pictures videos etc and it didn't look to me like it was even quite as bad as Andrew to be honest"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-28T17:54Z 2234 followers, 4706 engagements

"I was noticing this too. The fact that the CDO appears to be expanding towards the SW may be an indicator of upcoming motion. This would be bad because it would give Melissa more time to RI before hitting Jamaica. But also maybe good if it helps the heaviest rains hold off a little longer"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-25T20:22Z 2205 followers, XXX engagements

"I honestly don't think even the most aggressive intensity guidance is capturing just how nuclear this is about to get. We may have a cat X already by tomorrow afternoon. Structure is perfect. The remaining wind shear that is still in place is basically going to be like a garden hose trying to put out a runaway nuclear power plant meltdown. Jamaica's mountains are going to look like Joplin Missouri after this passes through"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-25T23:47Z 2229 followers, 35.9K engagements

"This is the Atlantic's version of Otis. Cat X. Blink your eyes. Cat 5"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-26T00:27Z 2228 followers, 8012 engagements

"This is about as good as she has ever looked so far yet. Lots of super cold cloud tops and very symmetrical and well-cleared out eye indicates she is probably about to begin another burst of intensification. The storm has gone almost straight south in the last XX minutes or so and a lot of people are suggesting that it could be the mesovortices within the eyewall doing this. I'm not super convinced of that myself and am concerned that maybe the westward push is beginning to slack off. If so this could lead to a shift back east in the forecast track which would be bad news for the densly"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-27T02:29Z 2228 followers, 10.5K engagements

"@chazzzwx Unreal isn't it"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-27T03:21Z 2226 followers, 1095 engagements

"So if I understand this correctly the friction with the ocean surface would initially slow down the boundary layer as you would expect but in a very strong vortex you're saying that because the vortex above the boundary layer has so much angular momentum most of the incoming air has to come in at the surface and that forces the winds to be stronger in the boundary layer then above the ocean by a few hundred meters"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-27T17:13Z 2228 followers, XXX engagements

"You'd be surprised at how widely-spaced any good anemometers are even here in the US. So just imagine how hard it's going to be to get one that is reporting live from right inside the peak winds of the eyewall. There will be storm chasers later on that will probably have some data though. But if not we will see from the damage in the area where the eye moved ashore. Trust me you don't have that type of pressure gradient and eye structure without some extremely powerful winds. There just aren't many reports coming out of the hardest hit areas yet"
X Link @bryan_maxw46284 2025-10-28T20:55Z 2228 followers, XX engagements