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@invest091
"Reading through Morningstars latest report on Omnicom $OMC their Strategy & Outlook highlights: - Digital ad spend now XX% of total (vs. XX% in 2016) - Agencies shifting from Mad-Men creativity data-driven media planning - Omnicom adding analytics & AI (ex: Flywheel Digital IPG) to stay competitive ๐ก For investors: the pivot to data + AI is key. Scale & client relationships are assets but execution in digital will define long-term returns"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-24T23:02Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"If you own $TYL Tyler Technologies expect 2-3 acquisitions a year and XX% of FCF going to M&A"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-05T22:55Z 1943 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ Tyler Technologies $TYL Episode Premieres Oct X Heres how the numbers stack up at $520: โ
EV/(EBIT+R&D) Implied $XXX ๐ก SBC Adj FCF Yield $XXX in XX ๐ก Reverse DCF XX% growth needed โ DCF $XXX fair value (38% overvalued) ๐ Full breakdown this Wednesday on Stock Spotlight (Spotify Apple YouTube) #StockSpotlight #Investing #TYL"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-05T17:55Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"Stock Level Extremes ๐ Most loved stocks by Wall St. analysts: $WMT XX% Buy $MSFT XX% Buy $BSX XX% Buy $AMZN & $FANG XX% Buy $NVDA XX% Buy โ Most under fire: $GRMN XX% Sell $EXPD XX% Sell $BEN XX% Sell $ED XX% Sell Source: FactSet #StockMarket #Investing"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T21:10Z 1946 followers, XXX engagements
"$CTAS Reddit reviews are pretty scathing but I think this comment summarized how us investors should approach reading reviews and experiences of businesses on places like Reddit. ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"In addition to my 33-question Quality Checklist I also run each company through a quick Quality Growth Screen. Heres $TYL scorecard: โ Predictability: 1/2 โ
Profitability: 2/2 โ
Growth & Conversion: 3/3 โ Value Creation: 0/2 Total: 6/9 ๐ง Full breakdown on the pod ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T14:20Z 1943 followers, XXX engagements
"@Apollo_21mil Solid list could add $ROL"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-10T00:08Z 1924 followers, XX engagements
"๐ Fascinating clip from $UNP CEO on the upcoming $NSC merger. Pros: Potential efficiencies from a more unified U.S. rail network Improved service + pricing power from reduced fragmentation Cons: Regulatory hurdles & anti-competition concerns Integration risks + uncertain synergy realization No position but always been fascinated by the rail industry. What do you think net positive or risky consolidation #Railroads #Investing"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-15T18:59Z 1939 followers, XXX engagements
"Update: Couldn't resist and updated $SFM tonight. Their Quality Score improved to a XX% (78th percentile overall 95th sector) of XXX stocks analyzed in my database. Impressive"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T06:32Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"My Tyler Technologies $TYL business overview in one slide. Be sure to check out Episode XX for my deep dive into this entrenched gov't software provider ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-09T18:32Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"How much of $MANH's cash flow comes from customers paying upfront In some years - a lot. Deferred revenue made up over XX% of OCF at its peak. Even now it's a meaningful driver. Something to watch if you're evaluating their SaaS durability.๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-08-11T10:55Z 1934 followers, XXX engagements
"$MANH as a Share Cannibal โ
Yes - $MANH qualifies. Despite modest annual buyback yields (2-3% of Market Cap) the no stock issuance and -XXX% share count CAGR over a decade confirms it. This is the kind of "quiet compounder" behavior that often flies under the radar. #StockTypes #ShareCannibals"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-15T10:30Z 1933 followers, XXX engagements
"$TYL pullback starting to look more intriguing"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-07T09:34Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"@JerryCap I see $CTAS in there too ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-26T05:37Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ $RMS.PA $HESAY H1 XX snapshot from Sept '25 shareholder letter: ๐นRevenue 8B (+8% FX-neutral) ๐นOp. income 3.3B (41% margin) ๐นNew workshops in France + store openings in Florence Macao Taichung Seoul We will continue to invest and recruit to ensure the groups sustained success. Axel Dumas"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-23T15:30Z 1946 followers, XXX engagements
"$SPGI $MCO $FDS Business Model comparison. ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-09T13:15Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Just updated $PAYC (Paycom) for the first time since 2023 and it still screened well this time around. ๐ Quality Score: XX% Down slightly from XX% ๐ Top Quartile threshold is XX% ๐Rank: #41 of XXX companies screened ๐78th percentile overall (was 85th) ๐Schwab: C ๐ GuruFocus: XX (95th percentile in my database) Strengths: Clean balance sheet (5% D/E high Altman Z) Narrow moat rating Solid FCF EPS and ROE growth vs. peers EPS beat in last X of X Q + XX upward revisions Drags: Gross margin slipped slightly over the last X years Growth forecast slowing vs historical averages Not in top"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-11T22:03Z 1934 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ซ $BKNG CEO recently tackled the biggest AI bear case on CNBC head-on. Instead of fearing disruption he framed partnerships as the real driver of value. ๐ A refreshing perspective: its not about AI vs travel its about AI with travel"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-04T20:00Z 1948 followers, 1343 engagements
"$TDG just dropped a $90/share special dividend funded with $5B in new debt. Their model hinges on leverage + stable FCF. The XX year 5-YR Trailing FCF Stability chart shows why management leans on debt: low cash flow volatility allows for aggressive payouts. But interest costs are rising and rolling $20B+ net debt in todays rate environment is very different than the post-GFC playbook. ๐ Investors face a tradeoff: strong defensiveness + returns via special divs vs. higher refinancing costs and a leveraged capital structure. TransDigm certainly is one of the most polarizing capital allocators"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-03T23:39Z 1948 followers, 1436 engagements
"$CTAS First Aid & Safety Services is the companys workplace safety products and training arm. It's XX% of revs but FY25 +15% organic growth and XX% gross margin. Only two negative quarters since 2018. Why so steady Regular restocking and training are driven by workplace safety regulations creating recurring non-discretionary demand Cintas leverages its existing delivery routes to service these accounts keeping costs low and margins high"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-13T17:09Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"No wonder $MSCI has been able to maintain margins. Excellent cost control the last X years. ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-12T13:30Z 1935 followers, 1337 engagements
"Historically $MTN has commanded mid-teens EV/EBITDA multiples. Today: 8.9x. Thats not just cheap vs. its own history its pricing in structural decline. If the ski industry can hold steady visits & margins how does this setup not work"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-11T18:08Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Looking at $TYL vs peers $ORCL $WDAY $IIIV over the past decade Tyler and Workday were neck-and-neck on returns until Oracle's breakout this year. Who would you pick for the next X years"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-03T18:19Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ New Episode is Live Episode 18: A deep dive into $BMI Badger Meter is a U.S. leader in smart water metering for utilities and municipalities. With decades of steady growth they blend industrial durability with IoT-enabled tech. โ Business breakdown & competitive edge โ Quality growth profile and financial statement analysis โ Valuation framework and long-term outlook ๐ง Now streaming: Spotify + Apple Podcasts + YouTube links to follow ๐ #BMI #Investing #Podcast #StockSpotlight #QualityStocks"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-10T13:30Z 1948 followers, 2377 engagements
"Yeah $FICO moat runs deep"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-13T20:02Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ New Episode is Live Episode 19: A deep dive into $TYL Tyler Technologies is the largest U.S. provider of software and services for the public sector powering courts schools police departments and local governments. With high switching costs and recurring revenue $TYL has quietly compounded for decades. โ Business breakdown & competitive edge โ Quality growth profile and financial statement analysis โ Valuation framework and long-term outlook ๐ง Now streaming: Spotify + Apple Podcasts + YouTube links to follow ๐ #TYL #Investing #Podcast #StockSpotlight #QualityStocks"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T13:30Z 1948 followers, 1606 engagements
"If $SFM can grow its store base to 1000 in the 2035-2037 timeframe that implies 7-9% annual unit growth"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T04:46Z 1948 followers, 1101 engagements
"๐งฎ Why I like EV / (EBIT + R&D) for valuing $TTD: It levels the playing field. The Trade Desk reinvests heavily in R&D instead of M&A but GAAP punishes that by expensing it. This multiple adds R&D back treating it like growth capex - great for innovation-first companies. #TTD #Valuation"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-14T16:00Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ Took it further: tested lags to see if housing starts lead $BMI results. Best fit = 3-quarter lag for YoY growth (corr 0.56) ๐ +100 housing starts (SAAR 000s) +3.4 pts growth X mo later ๐ Housing activity today can hint at $BMIs growth next year"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-03T20:05Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"$ALGN enterprise value ๐ณ"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-22T00:10Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Morningstar on $KLAC (KLA Corp) ๐ฐMoat: Wide anchored in intangible assets + high switching costs. KLAC dominates process control & inspection with XX% market share. Chipmakers depend on its tools for yield management. ๐ TAM: Semi capex market projected to exceed $200B by 2030 with process control growing faster than overall WFE. KLAC is positioned to keep expanding as node complexity (e.g. EUV) drives inspection demand. ๐ A textbook wide moat semi name scale IP and customer lock-in cement KLACs role as the backbone of process control"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-07T15:27Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ R&D Efficiency = Avg revenue growth (this yr + last yr) Avg R&D % of sales (lagged X yr) Ex: 2024 = (2023 & 2024 rev growth avg) (2022 & 2023 R&D % avg). $BMI clocks in at 7.6x leaner & more efficient than peers like $ITRI and $XYL"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-17T19:44Z 1945 followers, XXX engagements
"One area of opportunity with $SFM is scaling its new loyalty program to drive personalization via 1P shopper data"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-14T15:56Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"$TYL Episode XX YouTube link:"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T14:00Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"$MANH SBC going the wrong way"
X Link @invest091 2025-07-28T16:46Z 1934 followers, XXX engagements
"$TYL Episode XX Spotify link:"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T13:58Z 1943 followers, XX engagements
"๐จ Reverse DCF on $CTAS ๐จ TTM FCF/share: $XXXX Discount Rate: X% Exit Multiple: XX Horizon: XX yrs ๐ Implied FCF/share CAGR: XXXX% ๐ History: 3YR: XXXX% 5YR: XXXX% 10Y: 18.7%. ๐ธ Sensitivity Analysis: XX XXXX% XX XXXX% XX XXXX% ๐ Valuation looks fair not cheap. Great biz. Probably a buy the dip not back up the truck moment"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-13T00:00Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Nice deep dive on my favorite grocer $SFM. Hard not to like the long-term story here with store expansion a new loyalty program and an improving margin profile. Could be worth keeping an eye on if price drops below $100"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T03:39Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ Operating Leverage in Action Over the past X years $MANH has scaled efficiently: ๐น R&D: XX% XX% of gross profit ๐น G&A: XX% XX% ๐น S&M: Steady at 1315% All major OpEx buckets are shrinking as a % of gross profit - a sign of durable margin expansion. #SaaS #Investing"
X Link @invest091 2025-08-02T13:00Z 1934 followers, XXX engagements
"So I couldn't resist doing a $RACE TSR given the drop today so here we go. $RACE TSR Forecast (20252030) Starting FCF Yield: XXXX% (40.1 P/FCF) FCF/Share Growth: XXXX% (from 1.3B 2025 FCF 180M shares 1.6B 175M in 2030 using 8B cumulative 2026-2030 & 10-YR Median XXX% buyback yield) Valuation Multiple Change: XXXX% (target 2030 P/FCF XX median 2016-2024 36.6) โก Base Case TSR XXX% annually. FCF per share growth captures revenue margins & capital returns in one clean number. Full sensitivity matrix below"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-09T15:06Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Tyler Technologies $TYL has averaged just XX% Investment Intensity over the past decade vs. current industry avg XXX% (@AswathDamodaran DB). Thats CapEx falling while D&A climbs. โก Capital efficiency masterclass โก Or a risk of falling behind peers How do you view this trend #TYL #StockSpotlight"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-06T22:36Z 1943 followers, XXX engagements
"@long_equity Nice to see Williams Sonoma $WSM on there I don't usually invest in retail but eComm is a huge aspect of their business and I love their CEO (great capital allocator). Been one of my bigger winners so holding on"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-07T17:22Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ Momentum check-in $QMOM ETF As of today the fund remains heavily tilted toward tech: Sector Allocation: ๐ฅ Tech: XXXX% ๐ก Comm. Services: XXXX% ๐ Cons. Disc.: XXXX% ๐ข Energy: XXX% ๐ญ Industrials: XXX% Top X Holdings: $INSM Insmed (2.27%) biotech momentum name $BE Bloom Energy (2.23%) alt energy exposure $SNOW Snowflake (2.19%) cloud software $TWLO Twilio (2.16%) comms/API infra $KTOS Kratos Defense (2.15%) defense tech"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-14T00:01Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Fresh off Q4 XX earnings Vail Resorts $MTN shows a mixed fair value picture: ๐DCF FV: $XXX (Undervalued) ๐Adj DCF FV (net debt): $XXX (Overvalued) ๐Forward P/E: 21x vs 10Y avg 37x FV $XXX ๐EV/EBITDA: 12x vs 10Y avg 15x FV $XXX ๐P/FCF: 14x vs 10Y avg 17x FV $XXX Range of outcomes is wide ($74-$288) but multiples suggest some upside potential"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-11T22:13Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Ive been updating my Quality Score on $PAYC (still ranked high) and one interesting note as I play around with a DCF: ๐ Using X years of analyst FCF estimates + a reasonable next X years of XX% FCF growth the stock screens as about fairly valued ($229). Might be worth a deeper dive: - How accurate have analyst FCF estimates been historically - What has mgmt guided or hinted at for future FCF expectations"
X Link @invest091 2025-08-21T01:00Z 1934 followers, XXX engagements
"$TYL Tyler Technologies Glassdoor Ratings: ๐น74% recommend in 1000+ reviews (vs. XX% median / XX% top-quartile in my XXX stock database) ๐น84% CEO approval ๐น75% positive outlook Solid sentiment across the board just below top quartile on NPS"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-30T18:40Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"Rule of XX Check: $MANH Using cloud subscription growth and unadjusted FCF margin Manhattan Associates clears the XX% benchmark by a wide margin. 5-YR Avg: XX% 5-YR Median: XX% #RuleOf40 #SaaS #StockSpotlight #Investing"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-07T20:26Z 1933 followers, XXX engagements
"$BMI doesnt just measure water it buys growth too. โก10-YR Median Acquisition Intensity: XXX% โกTTM: XXX% (SmartCover) Pattern = disciplined tuck-ins most years not reckless shopping sprees. Low-to-medium acquisitive overall but willing to swing when it counts"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-03T23:28Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"@MH1411996 @hataf_capital You don't invest in $RACE for a 2030 return. You invest in it to give your children"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-13T16:44Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Will AI make $MH obsolete In this clip from a CNBC interview the McGraw Hill CEO shares how generative AI is being used to personalize learning at scale. Is that enough to keep their business model in-tact I'm not so sure"
X Link @invest091 2025-08-11T23:20Z 1930 followers, XXX engagements
"$TDG $1300 ๐ค"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-02T16:21Z 1948 followers, 1719 engagements
"Just updated my $BMI Reverse DCF spreadsheet after Q2 earnings. ๐ฐ 20x terminal P/FCF multiple markets baking in XXXX% FCF/share growth for the next decade ๐ Below X X & 10-YR averages but in line with 5-YR trend ๐ฐAt 15x multiple growth needs to be XXXX% ๐ I used a 5-YR normalized avg (heavier recent weighting) instead of TTM FCF/share which naturally makes the implied growth rate higher but keeps it conservative given the big recent jump Not a steal but valuations down a lot and the setup is more intriguing for a high-quality essential utility cash register. Full disclosure: Ive dipped my"
X Link @invest091 2025-08-19T19:00Z 1948 followers, 1356 engagements
"@long_equity $CTAS $ADP no surprise there both under discussed quality companies on X only issue is that Cintas is hardly ever "cheap" while ADP has at least pulled back a decent amount recently. Really cool"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-03T15:42Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"$MANH Bulls vs Bears Investment Case ๐ Bull Case: - 10/12 Quality Growth score - High ROIC strong FCF Conversion - Sticky enterprise software w/ recurring rev - Clean balance sheet + smart buybacks ๐ป Bear Case: - 3037% overvalued (DCF & FCF Yield) - Cloud growth slowing RPO still strong - New CEO = execution risk - Stuck under key resistance ($197$220) ๐ Verdict: High quality but wait for better price or clarity on new leadership. Where do you stand with Manhattan Associates Check out Episode XX on Spotify Apple Podcasts or YouTube to learn more about them. #StockSpotlight"
X Link @invest091 2025-08-29T13:30Z 1934 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ $MANH has delivered an impressive 10-YR average Combined ROIC of XXXX% far surpassing the software industrys 2024 average of XXXX% and my portfolio weighted avg of 22.3%. This consistent capital efficiency is a major reason it stands out as a high-quality compounder. Note: Combined ROIC = avg of Stock Analysis ROIC and QuickFS ROIC #ROIC #Investing #MANH"
X Link @invest091 2025-08-01T20:30Z 1934 followers, XXX engagements
"$CTAS continues to quietly execute. SBC as a % of Operating Cash Flow has fallen from XX% in 2016 to XXX% today well below the 10-year median of 8.6%. Lower SBC less dilution more FCF per share for shareholders. They are also the feature company of Episode XX launching in November"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-10T17:52Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Fantastic overview of Balance Sheets in general with a focus on Vail Resorts $MTN. Worth a read ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-04T15:01Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"$TYL is 3-5% above my starter position entry point. Looking at the 5-YR weekly EMAs in the screenshot below"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-06T21:23Z 1941 followers, XXX engagements
"$TYL now trades at about 21x its 2030 FCF target (13% multiple compression since mid-August)"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-06T21:27Z 1938 followers, XXX engagements
"$TYL Episode XX Apple link:"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T13:59Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"๐จ $MTN Q4 '25: Deeper Seasonal Loss Flat FY26 Guide Eyes on FY27 Reacceleration ๐ฟ Q4 '25 Results: ๐ Revenue: $271.29M vs. $273.69M est. (2.2% YOY XXXX% miss) ๐ฐ EPS (GAAP): -$5.08 vs. -$4.74 est. (8.1% deeper loss YOY XXX% miss) Key Metrics: โท North American Skier Visits (FY25): -X% YOY ๐ซ Non-Pass Effective Ticket Price: +5.1% YOY Balance Sheet: ๐ฐ Net Cash (Debt): -$2.75B ๐ Net Debt / EBITDA: 3.2x FY26 Guide: ๐ Net Income: $201M$276M (vs. $280M FY25 midpoint implies decline) ๐ Resort EBITDA: $842M$898M (flat to modest growth) Q4 results highlight the seasonal loss pattern and a slight"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-29T20:45Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ฆท New Quality Score for $ALGN Align Technology Align makes clear aligners (Invisalign) and 3D scanners for dentists & orthodontists. ๐Overall: XX% (55th percentile overall 47th in sector) ๐Rank: T-99 / XXX stocks analyzed โ
Strong on: Fundamentals Industry comps Valuation Liquidity Solvency โ Weak on: Momentum Growth Efficiency metrics Schwab Grade: C GuruFocus: XX (14th percentile sector) Visual breakdown #StockSpotlight #QualityScore #ALGN"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-09T21:34Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"$CPRT Forward PE now below both its 5-YR (30x) and 10-YR avg (28x) ๐ง I'll be doing a guest episode soon on the podcast to discuss the current state of the business and whether now is the right time to invest in this compounder"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-01T18:04Z 1943 followers, XXX engagements
"@NickBInvesting @andycyau Good list. Mine: $CPRT $APP $TYL"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-26T23:23Z 1941 followers, XXX engagements
"@DurableCreators Thats a great point about Xylem and is reflected in the numbers. I feel like $ROP is coming up a lot through my research in other companies and Neptune seems to be one of their gems within the larger business"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-07T02:22Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"@SayNoToTrading I also bought some today very small starter position I'm hoping I can build up over time nice job beating me on cost basis I got it at $XXX ๐
"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-14T20:48Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Or $TDG is counting on meaningful margin expansion to make that deal accretive over time. Need to check the commentary on it. What would have really added to your post would have been a comparison of that 10.9x to its historical norms. Is that higher Lower You left me wanting more so maybe Ill run this analysis myself :)"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-13T12:23Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ Smart Water Metering: $BMI vs $XYL vs $ITRI vs $ROP Badger Meter shows why investors treat it as a "quality compounder." With gross margins near XX% and FCF margins of XX% it outpaces water peers like Xylem and Itron and its ROIC (18% 5-yr avg) is best-in-class. Efficiency is also a strength generating $70K of free cash flow per employee nearly double Xylem and Itron. Growth outlook is steadier: revenue is projected to rise X% annually but free cash flow growth lags peers at XX% versus Itrons 17%+. That maturity explains its premium valuation 38x forward earnings and 41x EV/FCF investors"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-06T20:35Z 1948 followers, 3007 engagements
"Morningstar on $ALGN (Align Technology) ๐ฐMoat: Wide rooted in intangible assets + switching costs. Invisalign has strong brand equity FDA approvals and a massive IP portfolio. Dentists/orthos face high retraining & process-switching friction. ๐ TAM: Global orthodontics market $20B today expanding with rising disposable income + aesthetic demand. Morningstar projects Align can sustain double-digit share growth as clear aligners keep taking share from traditional braces. ๐ A wide moat disruptor brand IP and embedded workflows seem to give ALGN durable advantages in a growing market. Do you"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-12T21:26Z 1948 followers, 1454 engagements
"$TYL Analysts see revenue climbing to $2.84B in 27e. Thats an XX% CAGR over the next X years. Reasonable Tylers annual industry market growth is only guided at 4-6% annually so analysts are clearly banking on share gains + maybe federal expansion. Do we investors buy this pace"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-10T20:15Z 1943 followers, XXX engagements
"$BMI episode Apple Podcasts link:"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-10T15:27Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"@stonkmetal Interesting moves Here Ive been researching $TYL and everyone else is adding $CSU.TO ๐ Tyler is more of the pure play public sector software pick but Constellations valuation is certainly better right now"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-01T13:51Z 1943 followers, XXX engagements
"@EACinvestor Welcome to the $BMI club"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-20T14:02Z 1948 followers, XX engagements
"Everyone saw $SFM's re-rating. Few are watching what comes next. Even after the pullback consensus calls for: โก Revenue up XX% by 2029 โก EPS up 60%+ โก Margins still trending higher At this valuation its starting to look interesting again"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-15T21:01Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Stocks with 30%+ Gross Margin 10%+ 5-YR ROIC XX% Rev Growth Next Year and trading at 2030x Forward PE (with XX% price target upside): X. Eli Lilly $LLY X. Freeport-McMoRan $FCX X. STMicroelectronics $STM X. James Hardie $JHX X. Universal Display $OLED X. Cohen & Steers $CNS X. Himax Technologies $HIMX"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-29T14:19Z 1946 followers, XXX engagements
"@stonkmetal and here I was thinking this was $CAT vs $DE at first"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-06T16:11Z 1945 followers, XX engagements
"UPDATE: $BMI is now trading at 32x FCF according to multiple sources so Ill have to check my spreadsheet again as it was only updated about a week ago Apologies"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-07T02:30Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"@BourbonCap $NSSC - 40%+ recurring revenue increasing ROIC long regulatory tailwinds and a clean balance sheet"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-15T02:07Z 1948 followers, 1910 engagements
"$CPRT $XX now ๐ค"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-30T02:41Z 1943 followers, 4771 engagements
"$CTAS up on a down day after reporting pretty solid earnings yesterday"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-25T15:59Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"Just finished my 5-YR TSR forecast on $TYL Tyler Technologies: โก Base Case TSR: XXX% annualized ๐น XXX% ๐ Starting FCF Yield ๐น XXX% ๐ต FCF/Share Growth ๐น (3.6%) ๐ Multiple Compression ๐ Sensitivity matrix shows that even with mid-single digit FCF/share growth TSR holds up well but valuation discipline is the swing factor. Durable compounding will hinge more on execution than multiple expansion"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-28T22:10Z 1943 followers, XXX engagements
"$BMI Valuation Multiple Deep Dive Over the last decade Badger Meters EBIT growth has shown XXXX linearity meaning EV/EBIT is a solid anchor multiple to use here. โก 10-yr median EV/EBIT 36x โก Todays multiple has compressed into a more reasonable entry zone Not cheap but quality rarely is. Looks like an attractive setup for long-term holders"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-02T20:46Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Of course I buy a very small starter position in $TYL yesterday before my new episode launched this morning since it was getting so close to my buy range ($486 vs. $80) and it's already up 4-5% today ๐ค"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T16:41Z 1943 followers, XXX engagements
"@DurableCreators I agree although probably not a lot of M&A opportunity in credit ratings and indices and management seems to want to make moves. I still like SPGI over MCO but hard to go wrong with either"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-15T13:38Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ New Quality Score for $COUR Coursera Coursera runs one of the worlds largest online learning platforms and scored XX% on my 33-question checklist โ
๐ง Strengths: Momentum Valuation Solvency Liquidity โ Weaknesses: Growth Efficiency Industry Rating Management Schwab rating: B GuruFocus: XX (17th percentile sector) Rank: T-170 / XXX overall Sector: 31st / Consumer Discretionary #StockSpotlight #QualityScore #CourtOrder"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-01T20:30Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"@Compound_life_ Good story. I see the same when parking. You can often pay the parking fee using a Visa or Mastercard but not an Amex"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-15T02:59Z 1948 followers, XX engagements
"Kinda wild to look at this chart For nearly a decade $SFM massively trailed the S&P XXX as a broken grocer. Then in 2023-24 the market suddenly rewarded its turnaround: smaller stores higher margins strong FCF clean balance sheet. Now its just giving some of that re-rating back"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-09T00:00Z 1948 followers, 1101 engagements
"My top X stock holdings as of today. Do you own any of them too $NVDA $ASML $IDXX $BKNG $NTODY"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-03T00:00Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"What I like is that SaaS is only X% of current sales so margins should continue to expand as this % slowly increases each year. With $BMI you also have to consider that a large industrial like $EMR might find them attractive from an acquisition standpoint so thats another nice exit possibility. The HSD growth is what management has guided to long-term (TTM is 12%) which is fine with me as long as FCF per Share growth is higher. For my podcast episode I looked at X different valuation methods. They look attractive on an EV/EBIT basis but less so on a DCF or Reverse DCF basis"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-07T02:15Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"$CTAS Forward PE now at 37x 10-YR avg is 34x. $XXX would be a nice entry price based on the chart below but I might not be able to wait that long. ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-14T10:06Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Dual y-axis charts like this on $PYPL are everywhere on FinX and they often mislead unintentionally. Plotting Forward P/FCF & revenue with different scales makes it look like they should move together. But the chart is showing two independent series over time not a causal relationship. Better: scatter plot or separate axes. ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-13T12:12Z 1944 followers, 1937 engagements
"$BMI New podcast episode is out Listen to the below clip where I break down their executive compensation structure. ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-26T20:26Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"Most early slides in retail decks are all revenue revenue revenue. $SFM Expanding ROIC and we're not even on slide X. Theyre aiming to: โ
Add stores intelligently โ
Own fresh distribution โ
Increase local offerings โ
Drive personalization & loyalty Early signs of a capital-efficient compounder. Might be time to start a position. #Sprouts #InvestorDecks"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-12T00:22Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"@Jimmy_Investing back-tested financial statement ratings on Bloomberg: Income Statement โ
predictive Cash Flow Statement โ
predictive Balance Sheet โ less predictive (acquisitions distort cash/debt ratios) On $CPRT Investors Grow scores it: Income: Fair (2) Balance Sheet: Strong (3) Cash Flow: Well-Positioned (3) Copart stacks up well"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-04T16:30Z 1942 followers, XX engagements
"With $FOUR likely holding at least XX% of the global payments market its forward P/E of 13x is starting to look quite reasonable again. The market may be pricing in concerns over growth volatility and whether Square has the same pricing power it once did especially with competition ramping up. Still with a dominant position in SMB payments and expanding ventures this could be a steal at current levels. Im also a fan of $TOST though its more niche"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-06T02:27Z 1944 followers, 2861 engagements
"@LlamaBravo @mply_cap @DimitryNakhla Listen to the Business Breakdowns podcast on Heico. First episode Ive listened to of a company where I immediately wanted to invest in their competitor. $TDG has a superior business model at this time. Regulatory changes is of course a key risk"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-15T15:46Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"$SFM doesnt need to be $WMT to have a moat. Lets map it against Morningstars X sources ๐ ๐ง Intangible Assets: Health-focused brand & positioning soft edge ๐ Switching Costs: Low but loyal niche base ๐ Network Effects: โ none ๐ฐ Cost Advantage: Small box + focused SKUs = margin edge ๐ช Efficient Scale: Targeted suburban markets Cost Advantage + Efficient Scale narrow moat"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-11T01:12Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"@TacticzH $CBOE is about to score well on my quality checklist glad you talked about them"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-15T12:29Z 1948 followers, XX engagements
"๐ $BMI Inventory Deep Dive Key Stats: ๐ Revenue 2015 TTM: $378M $874M ๐ฆ Inventory 2015 TTM: $79M $147M ๐ % Change Correlation: XXXX ๐ Days Inventory: XXX (2015) XXX (2024) With hardware-heavy products inventory management is key to cash flow and customer delivery. The moderate correlation and overall decline in DIO is nice to see. New episode out now"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-10T20:17Z 1946 followers, 1095 engagements
"@DurableCreators Might have to introduce you to $CTAS.then again I know youre already a fan ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-15T16:17Z 1948 followers, XX engagements
"Skier visits in NA: 75M in FY14 78M in FY24. Thats XX years for 3m more skier days. $MTN wants to create loyalty in low growth industry. But can they actually make the pie bigger or just charge more for the same pie"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-14T22:30Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ Welcome to Valuation Friday Every few Fridays Ill either: โ
Run a valuation (DCF reverse DCF yield-based or multiples) โ
Or share how I think about valuation depending on the business model and life stage This week: $CDNS Cadence Design Systems What they do: ๐ง Cadence builds EDA software (electronic design automation) used to design chips. Theyre a critical pick-and-shovel in the semiconductor supply chain. What to use to value them: EV/EBIT. Captures strong profitability without the noise of high stock-based comp EV/(EBIT+R&D). R&D is their lifeblood and this metric treats it more like"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-03T13:30Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Funny you mention that because my Dad just sent me a text that said "I used to own Sprouts when it was $XX a share and it didn't do anything until last year." Ha Store growth looks sustainable as long as new unit economics stay strong (30% cash-on-cash returns by year X and margins above chain average). Comps are still MSD and they are talking about moving to smaller box sizes (30000 sq ft to 23000 sq ft in certain new formats) with the goal of lower cost to build"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T06:25Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"$TTD runs a tight OpEx ship: ๐ข Sales & Marketing (28% of GP): fuels growth ๐ง๐ป Tech & Dev (23-26%): powers the platform ๐ G&A (26-40%): the wild card driven by exec comp & overhead CEO stock awards = the swing factor behind G&A volatility. #TheTradeDesk #AdTech"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-02T20:02Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"Note: $SFM scored a XX% Quality Score (71st percentile overall 90th sector) back in Aug '23 might be time to refresh that again ๐ค"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-08T04:27Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ $TTD's Interest Coverage is elite. 10-YR avg: 92x 2024: 283x ๐ณ Industry median Just 11x. Minimal debt. Strong EBIT. Another reason The Trade Desk stays on my watchlist. #TTD #QualityStocks #StockSpotlight #FinTwit"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-11T14:27Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Both $CTAS and $TYL now trade at a 40x Forward P/E. A little bit about each: ๐งพ Tyler Technologies (TYL) recurring govt SaaS 98%+ retention minimal churn high switching costs. ๐ Cintas (CTAS) uniform & facility outsourcing 90%+ retention durable pricing power steady margin gains While not cheap just yet Id keep my eye on these two in the weeks ahead"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-07T05:11Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"Now for FCF per Share growth that XXXX% is way below all their historical averages so I wouldn't be surprised if management is being conservative w/the 8B cumulative 2026-2030. Historical (2014-2024): 10-YR FCF per Share growth rate: XX% 5-YR FCF per Share growth rate: XX% 3-YR FCF per Share growth rate: 18%"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-09T15:09Z 1948 followers, XX engagements
"@SayNoToTrading Weirdly enough Im going Cintas despite owning Ferrari (maybe its bc I prefer B2B). Hoping Cintas drops a little more so I can start a position there soon"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-09T19:11Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"๐ฐ Badger Meter: Quietly Crushing Efficiency 20152024 Combined ROIC trend: ๐ From XX% XXXX% Crossed my XX% benchmark Well ahead of the 2024 industry avg (13.1%) $BMI showing consistent operational excellence improving returns and an increasingly wide gap vs peers. Combined ROIC = avg of Stock Analysis + QuickFS"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-01T15:40Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"Tyler Technologies $TYL has averaged XXX% FCF Conversion over the past decade (median 179%) vs. a XX% benchmark. ๐ Formula: FCF per Share Diluted EPS Measures how much of accounting earnings actually turn into free cash flow. Tyler consistently converts well above what I look for. #QualityStocks #FCF #Investing"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-23T17:07Z 1943 followers, XXX engagements
"3-YR Rolling Correlation of housing starts vs $BMI growth (3 yrs = XX qtrs recalculated each qtr): - Went near zero/negative during COVID volatility - Strengthened in the post-COVID housing rebound (0.6+ in 2022-23) - 2023-24 dip most likely due to housing starts softening while BMI growth was fueled by large municipal infrastructure projects and grant-driven spending - Now rebounding to XXXX Not perfect but when housing trends up $BMI often follows with a lag"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-08T13:00Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"2 KPIs you should watch if you're an investor in $MANH: X Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) X Cloud Subscriptions Revenue Growth ๐ Deep dive in Episode XX of Stock Spotlight - on YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts. #Investing #SaaS #KPIs #ManhattanAssociates"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-22T14:37Z 1933 followers, XXX engagements
"$CPRT with a XX% beat rate on EPS over the last X years heading into Q4 '25 earnings today. All eyes ๐"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-04T17:29Z 1948 followers, 1047 engagements
"Only thing Id nitpick here is those ROIC percentages are rather unimpressive (I usually want minimum 15%+ or an increasing trend upward) but thats also the case with competitors $TYL $ORCL and $WDAY. Because of Tylers similar acquisitive history I used an Adjusted ROIC metric which helped but still didnt get them into elite ROIC territory"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-01T11:17Z 1943 followers, XXX engagements
"@chitchatstocks Damn $BMI would be my choice but its slightly above"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-04T15:03Z 1948 followers, XXX engagements
"๐จ $CTAS Q1 '26 Earnings: Raised FY Guide on Strong Business Expansion Q1 '26 Results: ๐ Revenue: $2.72B vs. $2.70B est. (+8.7% YOY in line) ๐ฐ EPS (GAAP): $XXXX vs. $XXXX est. (+9.1% YOY in line) Key Metrics: ๐ฆ Organic Revenue Growth: +7.8% ๐ง๐ง Uniform & Facility Services: $2.09B revenue (+8.1% YOY) ๐ฉน First Aid & Safety Services: $335M revenue (+14.4% YOY) Shareholder Distribution: ๐ Buybacks: $266M ๐ฐ Dividends: $158M ๐ธ Free Cash Flow: $312.5M ๐ Total Shareholder Distribution: XXX% of FCF FY26 Guide (Updated): ๐ Revenue: raised ๐ต EPS: raised Cintas delivered healthy top-line"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-24T15:08Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"Maybe 2026 is the year ๐ค Been a tough year for railroads as $CSX is the only one up double digits in 2025. $UNP $CP $CNI all negative to single digits YTD"
X Link @invest091 2025-10-10T03:59Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"$CTAS scored a strong XX% Quality Score back in Nov '24 which ranked in the 94th percentile in my database of XXX stocks analyzed"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-24T15:09Z 1944 followers, XXX engagements
"Just ran a Reverse DCF on $TDG: Assumptions: - FCF per Share: Used a 5-YR Weighted Normalized FCF/share as my base (vs. TTM) which lowers the starting point and implies higher growth. - Terminal Multiple: 25x P/FCF (premium to market but below current 37x). Could also argue 20x which balances out the normalized FCF choice. - Result: XXXX% implied FCF/share growth right in line with TDGs long-term average. Not cheap but reasonable. Good starter position here with flexibility to add if growth assumptions get more attractive"
X Link @invest091 2025-09-09T19:38Z 1948 followers, 3065 engagements