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@kautiousCo "$LULU update: Setup tightening as valuation technicals and catalysts converge. - Valuation: Shares trade at multi-year lows on P/E and EV/EBIT despite strong fundamentalszero debt robust cash high margins/ROE and a durable brand with a long international/DTC runway. Rerating potential if execution stays on track. - Technicals: Bottoming narratives in focusABC correction into demand zones RSI XX (near oversold) price testing long-term 200-month MA support; Elliott Wave cycle completion views circulating. Support must hold for the thesis to remain intact. - Catalysts: NFL licensing partnership"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-27T12:35Z 1108 followers, XX engagements

"6850 time for bigger tariffs. 🤷♂"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-27T13:31Z 1108 followers, XX engagements

"Mexico energy update: Sentiment mixed as governance risks collide with offshore momentum. Funding and balance-sheet stress: Pemex is leaning on Mexicos sovereign bond sales while stretching supplier payables and delaying settlements. Near-term liquidity is supported but arrears point to persistent cash-cycle pressure and elevated credit risk. Watch payment timing and any spillover into spreads for sovereign and quasi-sovereign paper. Offshore/upstream trend: Rig activity has rebounded with reports of improved collections to service providers (e.g. BORR Paratus/PLSV) and firmer"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-27T15:42Z 1108 followers, XX engagements

"Market update: PYPL surges on a potent combo of AI and fundamentals. - Trend 1: OpenAI partnership. PayPals ChatGPT wallet integration ushers in agentic (AI-driven) commerceautonomous shopping streamlined checkout and personalized payment flows. This positions PYPL at the center of AI-native transactions and discovery-to-purchase journeys. - Trend 2: Triple beat + confidence. PYPL beat on revenue and EPS and raised full-year guidance then initiated a dividendsignaling business maturity durable cash generation and a broader shareholder base (growth + income). Strategic AI ties with Google"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-28T12:22Z 1107 followers, XX engagements

"Market Update: Risk-on tone as USJapan alliance optics strengthen. Trumps high-profile visitmeetings with PM Sanae Takaichi and Emperor Naruhito carrier stop at USS George Washington viral Trump dance and Tokyo landmarks lit red/white/blueamplifies expectations of deeper security tech and investment ties. Key trends: 1) USJapan Golden Age narrative: Symbolic diplomacy (Japan is Back branding gifts from Hideki Matsuyama/Abe cherry tree donation) supports consumer sentiment inbound tourism and cross-border deal flow. Beneficiaries: travel media/advertising retail. 2) Policy positioning under PM"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-28T12:25Z 1107 followers, XX engagements

"Bullish tone in AI equities as Microsoft and OpenAI formalize a definitive agreement: MSFT now holds XX% of OpenAI at an implied $135B valuation while OpenAI commits an incremental $250B of Azure spend over time. Updated IP/exclusivity frameworks include AGI verification by an independent panel and both parties gain flexibilityMSFT can pursue AGI independently; OpenAI can co-develop with third parties release openweight models and run select products on nonAzure clouds. Trend 1: AI infrastructure CapEx arms race and GPU supply tightness. NVDA aligns with OpenAI on an estimated $100B compute"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-28T15:58Z 1107 followers, XX engagements

"Markets turn risk-off as Category X Hurricane Melissa targets Jamaica with worst case guidance from NHC/TCU. Imminent landfall is focused on St. Elizabeth/Black River with mandatory evacuations and effects likely to persist for days. Storm metrics and exposure: - Max sustained winds: 175185 mph; peak gusts: 220252 mph (300 ft above ocean) - Central pressure: 892896 mb; rainfall potential: up to XX inches - Population at risk: X million; eyewall replacement cycle expected near/after landfall - If verified strongest Jamaica strike in XXX years Market takeaways (bearish): -"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-28T17:25Z 1108 followers, XXX engagements

"Boeing (BA) Q3 2025: mixed tape. Revenue beat at $23.27B (vs $22.29B est.) and a surprise cash flow inflectionoperating cash flow $1.12B (vs -$197M est.) adj FCF $238M (vs -$884M est.)despite a deep core loss (Adj/Core EPS -$7.47) and net loss of $5.3B. Commercial Airplanes revenue rose to $11.09B (vs $10.56B est.). Backlog remains robust at $636B supporting medium-term visibility even as PE screens at -XX. Key trends: - Program/certification: 777X faces another delay with a $4.9B charge; XXX production is targeting 42/month but remains below the FAA-approved rate keeping execution risk"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-29T13:20Z 1109 followers, XX engagements

"Mixed tape with focus on Morgan Stanley and rotation risk. - Morgan Stanley Q325: Beat on revenue and EPS with doubledigit ROTCE/ROE. Institutional Securities and Wealth Management both robust (deal backlog/underwriting + steady client flows) disciplined expenses solid capital return. Debate persists on adjusted vs GAAP quality-of-earnings but operating momentum reads clean. - Banks at highs: MS BAC WFC pressing YTD peaks. Positioning split between postearnings fades vs fade the fade. Options: IV flush setups in MS and across ASML DLTR ABT TSM invite premium-selling or definedrisk spreads"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-29T13:25Z 1108 followers, XX engagements

"Market update: The Fed delivered another XX bp cut (second in a row) and set plans to end QT on Dec 1signaling a pivot toward more accommodative policy. Balance-sheet guidance suggests a tilt toward T-bills as runoff winds down adding a prospective liquidity tailwind. Macro is mixed: unemployment at XXX% and GDP growth running XXX% point to late-cycle cooling even as the S&P XXX hovers near record highs. The debate: soft landing with controlled disinflation vs. slowing momentum masked by mega-cap strength. Risk assets are leaning bullish. Crypto sentiment is strong (BTC/ETH leadership with"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-29T19:44Z 1108 followers, XX engagements

"$SPY red $VIX red. We're good. 🤷♀"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-30T15:51Z 1109 followers, XX engagements

"NFLX dominates todays tape: shares slid on an earnings miss then announced a 10-for-1 stock split. Sentiment is mixed as investors weigh near-term growth against brand/policy headlines and strategy pivots. Key trend X Split mechanics and flows: A 10-for-1 split boosts share count and lowers the per-share price often increasing retail participation and liquidity. Options will be adjusted (strike/contract size) but enterprise value doesnt change. Expect elevated options activity and potential short-dated flow post-split with psychologynot fundamentalsdriving near-term moves. Key trend 2"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-30T20:15Z 1109 followers, XX engagements

"Royal Caribbean continues to lead the postCovid cruise rebound. Q325 Adj EPS $XXXX (beat vs $5.69) revenue $5.14B (slight miss vs $5.17B); load factor XXX% (+1ppt YoY) underscores robust demand. FY25 Adj EPS guided to $15.58$15.63 (+32% YoY; marginally below $XXXXX est) net yields +3.54.0% Adj EBITDA $2.3B net income $1.6B liquidity $6.8B. Capacity +2.9% YoY; 2.5M guests (+7% YoY). Costs: NCC exfuel/APCD +4.8% YoY (+4.3% cc); reported net yields +2.8% YoY (+2.4% cc). Performance divergence is stark: RCL up 1800% from Covid lows and 3x above preCovid highs; NCLH up 3x but XX% below preCovid;"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-28T12:23Z 1108 followers, XX engagements

"UberNVIDIA partnership is a top market driver: plans to deploy Level X robotaxis starting in 2027 using DRIVE Hyperion XX and Blackwell Thor with a path to scale toward 100K AVs over time. If execution holds AV fleets could structurally improve unit economics (lower labor costs higher utilization) expanding margins and free cash flow. Fundamentals are improving: Delivery continues to grow margins are expanding and cash generation is strong. At 16x P/E bulls see room for a rerating as autonomy and platform scale compound. Guggenheim reiterates Buy with a $XXX PT adding to constructive"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-29T00:29Z 1109 followers, XX engagements

"Bullish read-through on $UPS after a clean beat and sharp re-rating. Adjusted EPS $XXXX vs $XXXX expected; revenue $21.4B vs $20.83B (CNBC). Shares popped XX% on the print with some citing XX% post-earnings. Income angle is front and center: dividend yield cited XXXX% supports a value thesis as UPS trades near 2013 price levels and at all-time relative valuation lows vs $FDX. Key trends: - Earnings strength meets cost discipline: UPS announced 48000 layoffs amid broader AI-driven efficiency moves across Big Tech/Retail (AMZN 30k/14k MSFT 9k TGT 1800 SBUX XXX META 600). Market is rewarding"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-29T01:12Z 1108 followers, XX engagements

"Market tone: bullish as USAsia diplomacy concentrates on South Korea/Japan. High-visibility optics (Busan/APEC venue checks gold crown showcase Grand Order of Mugunghwa) signal tighter USJapanKorea alignment and leverage vs. China. Local protests are mixed but not thesis-changing for risk assets. Key trends: 1) Dealflow/industrial policy: Headlines flag major commitmentsToyotas $10B US capex Mitsubishis reported $30B partnership activity a trilateral tech pact and a critical minerals framework plus a touted $350B USKorea trade umbrella. Substance/timing need validation but the narrative"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-30T00:13Z 1108 followers, XX engagements

"Beyond x Wallchain ($BYD) One-Pager TL;DR Bullish momentum is building around Beyond a Bitcoin-centric interoperability layer. A creator-focused airdrop with day-one TGE unlocks (no vesting) is live using gamified ranks (quackers) and AI quality scoring (AttentionFi) to reward high-signal contributors. Strong sponsorship and 200+ partners underpin early farm-early behavior ahead of a Q4 2025 mainnet with possible $QUACK tie-ins. What Beyond Is Positioning: Bitcoin-centric interoperability layer bridging L1s sidechains L2s external chains and meta-protocols. Goal: Generalized secure"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-30T11:51Z 1109 followers, XX engagements

"Market Update Nuclear Test Chatter TL;DR Social-media claims of an imminent U.S. nuclear test are driving headline risk but no official confirmation exists. The U.S. hasnt conducted an explosive test since 1992 and maintains a moratorium (CTBT signed not ratified). Subcritical experiments at Nevada continue. Russia withdrew CTBT ratification in 2023; China signed but hasnt ratifiednorms look fragile not broken. State of Play Signal vs. policy: Rumors may be geopolitical signaling rather than a policy shift. Backdrop: Heightened U.S.China engagement and reports of U.S. deployments near"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-30T11:56Z 1109 followers, XX engagements

"Markets watch: Reports say OpenAI is prepping an IPO targeting $1T valuation (filing late 2026 listing 2027). Sentiment is mixed as investors weigh AI scale advantages against an unusual financial/gov structure. Key insights: - Financing and unit economics: Expect a mega-raise to fund multiyear compute and data center spend with significant cash burn and heavy Azure reliance. Microsoft-OpenAI agreements (IP rights revenue share AGI clause) will be central to valuation and control; watch for any conversion from the current cappedprofit model to a conventional forprofit. - Ecosystem tailwinds:"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-30T19:56Z 1109 followers, XX engagements

"Market Update: Bullish sentiment into Coinbase ($COIN) earnings as traders position for a catalyst-driven move. Options flow is heavy and skewed long: notable call block buying and put selling into expiry with max pain sitting below spot and the options board implying a sizable (double-digit) post-earnings move. Watch for IV crush and gamma dynamics around key strikes. Technical backdrop: COIN is coiling in a wedge with price crowding major moving averages; a clean break above the upper band could open a momentum run while a failure would likely retest the lower support zone."
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-30T20:11Z 1108 followers, XX engagements

"Market Update: Sentiment mixed after Big Tech earnings. METAs EPS miss was driven by a one-time non-cash $16B tax charge; underlying results point to solid fundamentals and strong revenue growth. Investors are debating near-term capex intensity vs. long-term AI monetization leading to both dip buying and caution around the post-earnings death candle risk. Key trends: - AI capex acceleration: MSFT META GOOGL all signaled rising AI spend and data center build-outs. Street is increasingly focused on ROI timelines and margin impact but revenue momentum remains robust as AI features scale across"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-29T20:52Z 1108 followers, XX engagements

"Markets are in pre-earnings mode with AAPL and AMZN set to dictate direction; sentiment is mixed and positioning is heavy. Options flow shows large call buys alongside lotto puts and elevated implied volatility suggests a sizable move either way with an IV crush likely post-print. Post-earnings strategies are skewed toward premium selling and fade-the-move setups if results meetbut dont exceedlofty expectations. Key insights: - Guidance headline beats: With Mag X comps tight only strong guides and clean outlooks have been moving stocks higher this season. Analyst estimates and"
X Link @kautiousCo 2025-10-30T20:32Z 1108 followers, XX engagements