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@ArtemisAurum "3. CEO Mike Mazzei was blunt: To increase the dividend from $XXXX to $XXXX BRSP needs to grow its loan book from $2.4B to $3.5B. Thats $1B in net originations. Not easy in a market where commercial real estate is still shaking off its post-COVID hangover"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-28 16:32:49 UTC 1740 followers, X engagements

"3. Last time this happened (2023) it was fine. The Feds reverse repo facility (RRP) was flush with cash over $2T in idle money soaking up supply. That acted as a buffer. Today Only $150B left in the RRP. The buffers gone"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-26 13:49:03 UTC 1737 followers, XX engagements

"8. The key chart to watch Reserves at the Fed. If they start to fall toward $3T or below markets will feel it. If the Standing Repo Facility lights up Thats your canary"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-26 13:49:07 UTC 1739 followers, XX engagements

"7. Risks Crypto volatility Regulatory pressure Energy pricing Data center buildout risk Approvals from ERCOT arent guaranteed But the margin of safety increases as more MWs are contracted"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-29 17:19:10 UTC 1745 followers, XX engagements

"10. TL;DR: $BRSP pays XX% yield Short-term pain long-term potential Dividend growth wont come fast but it will come if the business executes Youre being paid to wait Think like an orchardist. Plant. Water. Wait. Harvest. 🌱"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-28 16:32:54 UTC 1744 followers, XX engagements

"8. TL;DR $GLXY is a rare hybrid: Crypto trading + balance sheet optionality Emerging AI/datacenter juggernaut Real upside from Helios if execution hits If youre betting on infrastructure that fuels the AI wave this is one to watch. Want a follow-up thread diving into the CoreWeave deal economics or how GLXY compares to miners like $HUT or $MARA Let me know"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-29 17:19:11 UTC 1745 followers, XXX engagements

"4. And this isnt just about fabs. Intel still holds XX% server market share but its bleeding to $AMD. Theyve got some wins like being the host node for Nvidias DGX B300 but thats table scraps in the AI arms race. Intel isnt in the top XX for AI chips. Let that sink in"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-27 21:22:27 UTC 1742 followers, XX engagements

"5. Warning sign #1: SOFR The Secured Overnight Financing Rate is your early signal. If SOFR starts creeping toward XXX% it means liquidity is drying up. And if it crosses above Expect stress in risk assets and potential use of the Feds Standing Repo Facility"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-26 13:49:05 UTC 1738 followers, XX engagements

"5. The wildcard is Helios. Already approved for XXX MW (75% of which is under contract). Awaiting approval for the remaining XXX GW from ERCOT. If they land it and contract it at similar economics to CoreWeave this becomes a data infra powerhouse"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-29 17:19:08 UTC 1745 followers, XXX engagements

"4. BRSPs current portfolio is shrinking not growing. Q1: $116M in new loans $133M in repayments $33M foreclosed. Q2: San Joses Signia Hotel moved from loan to owned at a markdown from $135M to $80M. Bad news for book value. Good news for cash flow"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-28 16:32:49 UTC 1740 followers, X engagements

"5. Autonomous driving Still a dream. Teslas robotaxi rollout: a dozen cars in Austin. Waymo 100M+ miles and operating in multiple cities. Uber Partnering with Baidu and scaling fast. Even if Tesla lands a piece of the pie its a shared pie not theirs alone"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-24 22:58:27 UTC 1743 followers, XX engagements

"6. Why does this matter for stocks Because equity repo has exploded. Investors are pledging equities for short-term cash and recycling that cash back into the market. Its circular leverage. When liquidity tightens that loop breaks"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-26 13:49:06 UTC 1738 followers, XX engagements

"1. Galaxy Digital $GLXY just dropped a monster valuation update and if they hit full potential at their Helios site in West Texas this stock has XX% upside from here. Lets unpack the $43/share bull case 🧵"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-29 17:19:06 UTC 1745 followers, XXX engagements

"9. Retirement investing isnt about X weeks its about X decades. Buy income you can live on. Hold assets that can grow into the future. Dont overpay for potential. Dont ignore cash now"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-28 16:32:53 UTC 1744 followers, XX engagements

"7. So how do you play this If youre bullish the deal will go through: Buying $CORZ now = buying CRWV at a XX% discount But youll wear the wait the risk and the volatility Its an arbitrage play with hair on it"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-22 13:13:22 UTC 1745 followers, XXX engagements

"6. Whats the terminal value assumption Just 13x EV/EBITDA far below data center comps like $EQIX or $DLR. So even if you haircut the AI euphoria the math still works"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-29 17:19:09 UTC 1745 followers, XX engagements

"6. This is a coiled spring. If $BRSP can stabilise defaults and gradually scale back to $3.5B in loans the dividend will rise. Not in 2025 maybe late 2026. Meanwhile youre paid XX% to wait"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-28 16:32:51 UTC 1738 followers, X engagements

"2. BrightSpire Capital ($BRSP) is a commercial mortgage REIT paying a XX% dividend today. Yes 13%. The catch The dividend isnt going up anytime soon and thats not a bug its part of the plan"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-28 16:32:48 UTC 1740 followers, X engagements

"2. The U.S. Treasury is about to refill its checking account the Treasury General Account (TGA). Target $850B by September. Current balance $330B. That means $500B will be pulled out of the system. The question is: from where"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-26 13:49:02 UTC 1740 followers, XX engagements

"7. This is why I invest in income today with a lens on growth tomorrow. Short-term traders chase pops. I buy assets that let me reinvest compound and breathe while I wait for the harvest"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-28 16:32:52 UTC 1737 followers, X engagements

"Is now the time to short the S&P or Nasdaq If you think markets are stretched here are some ways to express that view: S&P XXX shorts: $SH 1x inverse $SDS 2x inverse $SPXU 3x inverse Nasdaq XXX shorts: $PSQ 1x inverse $QID 2x inverse $SQQQ 3x inverse Inverse ETFs can workbut theyre designed for short-term moves not long-term bets. So are you leaning cautious here Or staying long into earnings"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-17 08:56:42 UTC 1737 followers, XXX engagements

"Are you buying the turnaround story or fading the bounce X. A $500B liquidity drain is coming. And the market might not be ready for it. Heres whats happening why it matters and what to watch for especially if youre long risk assets 🧵"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-26 13:49:02 UTC 1742 followers, XX engagements

"3. The bad news Intels roadmap especially around 14A foundry tech is shaky. Without external demand they wont scale it. No customers no capex. Thats sensible but it delays the turnaround. Meanwhile $TSM is moving full steam ahead"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-27 21:22:26 UTC 1742 followers, XX engagements

"8. Ortbergs playbook is clear: Rebuild engineering culture Regain production control (via Spirit deal) Hit FAA targets ramp XXX MAX toward 50/month Return to FCF growth by 2025 Stay boring. Boring wins in aerospace. $BA"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-19 17:32:59 UTC 1743 followers, XX engagements

"8. $BRSP isnt alone. The entire commercial real estate REIT space has been in survival mode. But the cautious are turning opportunistic again. Risk is receding. Strategy is returning. Thats the environment I like to invest in"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-28 16:32:52 UTC 1738 followers, X engagements

"9. TL;DR $500B in new TGA demand is coming RRP cant cover it this time Reserves will take the hit Watch SOFR + Repo Facility usage Equity markets could unwind fast if liquidity tightens"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-26 13:49:08 UTC 1738 followers, XX engagements

"7. The backlog is a beast: $460B in commercial aircraft $62B in defense $42B in services Thats over $600B in future revenueand growing. Execution is the only bottleneck. $BA"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-19 17:32:58 UTC 1738 followers, XX engagements

"1. Intel just posted another rough week. While chip peers like $NVDA and $AMD race to new highs $INTC sank X% on Friday. The stock is cheap but not cheap enough to ignore this: Intels reset is long messy and full of landmines. Heres the real story 🧵"
@ArtemisAurum on X 2025-07-27 21:22:24 UTC 1742 followers, XXX engagements