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@JaredKubin "Man read the room smh just as bad as the fake Substack sellers. Honestly its platforms like yours offering 50x leverage and these social media GRIFTERS that should be on the hot seat. Everyone that lost money they paid their penalty. FURUs are next"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-11T11:11Z 16K followers, 19.2K engagements

"@pierpointguy @mag_pl Yea what i thought"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-15T19:35Z 16K followers, XXX engagements

"@EgorBezel I agree they have been so against now for. You have been in many business strategy meanings what does that imply to you"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-16T12:36Z 16K followers, XXX engagements

"LIQUIDATION NATION 10/10: "THIS.IS.SPARTA" *murder on the dance floor edition *while private credit and oil were getting rinsed all week. high vol and p&l screenshot HUBRIS hit a fever pitch culminating Friday * all it took was one tweet - remember that . VARIANT VIEWS + RISK MANAGEMT = FREEDOM - GS HF index: broke a historic losing streak +81bp - Low quality: -440bp today - High VOL: -450bp today - Drones: -550bp today - Small Cap E&P: -650() - AI Semis: -655() - Software vs Semis: +300()"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-10T20:13Z 16K followers, 136.9K engagements

"@fawwest South Korean streamers and option degens"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-13T20:17Z 15.8K followers, XXX engagements

"@Biohazard3737 Stuff like that is said by people who dont manage anyone let alone run a billion dollar company"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-12T21:46Z 15.7K followers, XXX engagements

"LIQUIDATION NATION 10/15: "Welcome to the party pal" *intraday VOL picking up - regime is trying to change **AI SEMI complex rip city on another "deal" (see my CAPEX chart) ***unwind INDEX hitting ytd lows as Low Quality & VOL go parabolic at rolling 4+ Sharpes - 9-1-1 GS hf index -370bp today & now -18%mtd() - high VOL +180 today & now +180%() off the march pause day - low quality +120 today & now +35% ytd (crushing the index) - Minerals taking breather today -400bp - upside risk UPSIDING +200bp & now +13% mtd & XX% ytd"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-15T20:14Z 16K followers, 56.4K engagements

"@RealJimChanos from an accounting standpoint how would you get to the true profitability of these neoclouds Is the easy answer just look at FCF and dont bother normalizing income statement for faster depreciation Look for EBIT : FCF changes CAPEX acceleration"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-10T10:41Z 15.8K followers, 1011 engagements

"LIQUIDATION NATION 10/13 : "Get to da Choppa" *3std pain machine **does look like some books got LIQUIDATED today ***spreads blowing back out - GS HF INDEX -XXX on day & now -XX% mtd (worse() than fall of 2020 with vaccine news) - Shorted Stonks +510bp - High Vol +800() now +75% ytd - Value -325bp today and -XX% ytd"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-13T20:08Z 16K followers, 160.7K engagements

"@sprainhill Raising kids not couches"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-16T15:41Z 16K followers, XX engagements

"Im first to admit anything I post could be wrong its my latest thinking which I catalogue so people can see the evolution of my thoughts. Everyone always just wants the answer. In fact I hope people comment with correct info so I can course correct faster. TLDR: whenever you see a monster claim just do some iPhone math That being said I think the @FT is wrong and misleading. The OpenAI Broadcom announcement is a multi-year program to codesign and deploy up to XX GW of custom AI accelerators starting 2H26 through 2029. Financials werent disclosed. Thats a capacity target not a single PO for 10"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-15T20:53Z 16K followers, 7853 engagements

"@0xMerridew Stanley D burner"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-13T20:09Z 15.8K followers, XXX engagements

"Drum beats getting louder"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-10T13:40Z 15.8K followers, 2994 engagements

"LIQUIDATION NATION 10/9: "I love the smell of NAPALM in the morning" *now you know its getting good - high beta spec assets completely decoupled in down moves now - we are in the end game where people get knocked out or live to be heroes **mixing it up today - going with some monthly charts to show how unique this time period is - GS HF INDEX having a HORRIFIC START TO OCT (w-o-w) - HIGH VOL "RIPPA" - thats a serious X X punch - QUALITY on a disgusting X month losing streak - SHORTED NAMEs to the moon *its all one big trade - risk manage accordingly"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-09T20:09Z 15.9K followers, 27.4K engagements

"@lokoyacap Its all noise. Here is my bottom line China has been waging a trade war since 15/16. Literally XX yrs. Nothing has changed. This year. These headlines. Its all still raging. Market will do what market does. Manage risk"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-14T10:24Z 15.8K followers, XXX engagements

"LIQUIDATION NATION 10/14: "Are You Not Entertained" *trade nukes the overnight **ODTE and Powell save the abyss ***only to be throttled by a 3:30 tweet (last time the intra market tweet was the appetizer) Today was "revenge of Value & Cyclicals" - L/S ducking and hiding - CALL.THE.COPS. gs hf index -295bp and now -XX% mtd - "cheap" names +165bp & -100bp mtd - Low Quality +155bp & +1100bp() mtd - AI Semis -350bp today -Airlines +400bp - Crowded Longs vs Shorts -XXX today"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-14T20:11Z 16K followers, 71.4K engagements

"Risk Reality Check: The Two Sided Blade Imagine in 2026 the markets a volatile swing machinevol spikes launching AI plays XXX% on hype waves then slamming them with -XX% drops retail crowds surfing zero day peaks before whales dump on insider edges blue chips swinging wild from policy shocks post VOL regime change. Gone is 2025s smoother ride; now its relentless euphoria bursts and vol collapses pushing VIX to 50+ often making risk management your core survival kit for threats in markets or life while pursuing goals. Risk management goes beyond downside VOLits upside capture too as COVID era"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-14T13:43Z 16K followers, 6797 engagements

"Updated OAI Generational AI CAPEX RUN (v3) *spoke to semi specialist CIO friend just back from Asia **took feedback from below *** re-listened to a couple podcasts TLDR: quick recap for the reading impaired Total uses: $495.4B ( $495B) Funding gap: vs $40B sources $455.4B vs $90B sources $405.4B Sources (cash in) SoftBank equity (2025): +$40B Next round + IPO +$50B (model placeholder) Revenue ramp: $174200B by 2030 (reported projections) X Uses : Compute & Infra (cash out) Oracle (Stargate lease): $30B/yr (4.5 GW across multiple sites; rent/power/DC services). OAI pays Oracle annually"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-03T13:02Z 15.8K followers, 40.6K engagements

"Investor Manifesto Pt2: VIBE IS KING Nine months after the 2025 manifesto the tape feels like it is moving at 3x speed. SPACs are rising from the graveyard. AI spec energy plays are +1000%. Once laughed at future revenue metrics are moving mega caps $100s of billions in a day. My timeline is full of X figure levered retail screenshots. The casino is open chips feel free and the crowd thinks they cannot lose. This is what a blow off top feels like in real time. Modern Portfolio Theory is dead. The textbooks are lit on fire. Comps are irrelevant. Those clinging to P/E ratios and hiding in"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-09-20T12:30Z 16K followers, 119.2K engagements

"OAI & TSM: two new incremental pieces to the mosaic this week as I am back and catching up . no conclusions just more questions. 1) Where is all the TSM CAPEX My very smart CIO friend asked me this. he has covered TSM for 15+ yrs. So I will ask you all. where is all the CAPEX spend Just conservative why *TSMC FY25 CapEx $4042B; 1020% to advanced packaging (incl. CoWoS). Front-/back-end remain tight; packaging adds through 2026 (TSMC + OSAT AZ). N2 vol-prod Q425; N2P & A16 2H26 2) OAI pivoting to more advertising and adult content. Whenever a management team pivots in a short period of time."
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-16T12:23Z 16K followers, 13.5K engagements

"Its insane to me these buyouts how did this happen Forget the Gold and zero Rev company bubble Buyout Bubble"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-13T10:54Z 15.9K followers, 5365 engagements

"Risk is not a spreadsheet. Risk is survival. One liquidity drain one regulatory rug one Fed whisper and the easy money crowd is extinct. Remember how ZERO DAY gave you explosive upside it also works to the downside we just havent seen it yet because these weapons are brand new. Just wait"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-11T09:58Z 15.8K followers, 6210 engagements

"OAI on a generational AI CAPEX RUN: Sources: SoftBank equity: +$40B Next raise + IPO +$50B Uses: CoreWeave compute: $22B Oracle DC lease: $30B/yr NVIDIA infra (leasing model): $100B over time Windsurf M&A: $3B io / hardware acquisition: $6.5B Statsig acquisition: $1.1B Samsung / SK Hynix fab (900k wafers/yr): $67B Stargate ambition: up to $500B (multi-year) MSFT profit share 👉 $100B in vs $700B+ out over next few years 🧐 (some deals are layered leased or stock-based so actual cash burn may lag it seems) What did I miss doing some iPhone math"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-02T01:59Z 15.9K followers, 10.3K engagements

"1. Strategy: I would use quant tools to help identify regimes and structural shifts in the market A. Get really good at pandas B. Get data sources & become good at infrastructure builds C. Focus on identifying causal relationships and proving them statistically Bonus: think more in 6-12 month chunks X. Tactics: Once I identify those refined and shifts I would look at what worked and didnt work historically. Then I would do a lot of discretionary work around matching themes with regimes identified X. Risk: Manage risk with quant process Tie together quant tools for analysis + discretionary"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-17T01:21Z 16K followers, XXX engagements

"Its a good point. lets figure it out. what does that imply to me *pricing tailwinds of 5-10% on 3nm/5nm nodes for short-term revenue. growth hinges on existing capacity rather than rapid expansion *great for short term margins *tells me a lot of the CAPEX SUPER CYCLE will be longer in timeline (rather than shorter booms) Lets keep working on the math / timeline"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-16T12:59Z 16K followers, XXX engagements

"$ORCL questions top of mind: *seems very early to be jumping to conclusions X. FIRST PRINCIPLES: Is this an ORCL issue or an industry issue X. ORCL issue: is this timing & just a mismatch of expenses / Revenue Did OCI CFO structure deals that pull cash burn forward X. ORCL issue: what are utilization rate trends X. ORCL issue: Contract mix. usage or take-or-pay (any price resets) X. ORCL issue: why such a big discrepancy between ORCL and CRWV GMs (for my fundamental guys) X. ORCL issue: are these supposed margins after power networking and D&A X. Industry issue: are switching costs soooo low."
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-07T17:49Z 16K followers, 22.2K engagements

"@dalibali2 @MartinShkreli 🤣🤡"
X Link @JaredKubin 2025-10-14T19:32Z 15.9K followers, XXX engagements