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@StranAmorePFS "Thread.🧵 X. Today's data releases while not indicative of recessionary economic conditions in the U.S. are still not consistent with S&P500 operating earnings growth achieving the XXXX% mean target that analysts are expecting in order to explain the current multiples;"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-24 21:39:54 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements

"🧵Here are a few reasons why we're upbeat on $UHS one of the quintessential value-growth names in US healthcare services (trading at a P/E of XXX which compares EXTREMELY favorably to the industry's avg P/E of 22.1) despite a BofA analyst's view that we consider UNINFORMED:"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-22 12:18:40 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements

"2. The FOMC won't be cutting unless a recession manifests itself which is not likely. And while some optimists may perceive this as good news it's also appropriate to note that 2022 wasn't a recessionary environment either and yet that didn't stop $SPY from crashing"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-24 21:39:55 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements

"3. In this market environment other options are too attractive on an implied risk-adjusted return basis. There are too many compelling opportunities across single equity names and different asset classes to be taking a MINIMUM drawdown risk of -XX% on $SPY or $QQQ allocations;"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-24 21:39:57 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements

"5. All of the above is the reason why our bottom-up intrinsic value target (i.e. the price we expect the stock to reach in order to equalize a FWD '25 annual P/E of XXX which is TOO CONSERVATIVE considering the above-mentioned large relative P/E discount at which it's trading"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-22 12:18:53 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements

"Since 2022 U.S. total housing inventory has nearly DOUBLED while existing home sales have exhibited a cumulative decline of -39.3%. The financial position of firms exposed to housing and mortgage market risks with high revenue source concentration within them is deteriorating"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-23 17:43:03 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements

"4. One of those different asset classes is US investment grade corporate credit which we've talked about in the post below. Favorable supply/demand dynamics and rock-bottom default risk are powerful tailwinds in the context of current U.S. fiscal policy;"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-24 21:39:58 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements

".which is an event that even if our risk management system wasn't signaling heightened price crash risk we'd still view as too probable to consider an equal weight allocation to said index fund as US economic earnings and policy surprise risks are currently too great;"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-24 21:39:56 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements

"to $XXXXX Billion which further assuming that the '24 levels of cost parameters will inflate at a rate equal to the current YoY headline inflation rate and that the latter will end up at the same level at year-end than it is today leads us to expect $XXXX Bil. '25 earnings;"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-22 12:18:48 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements

"@dampedspring It's unlikely that all of these possible influences will matter given that the current risk discount is consistent with the marginal S&P500 index fund buyers effectively equating said products to savings vehicles. It's a fun crossword-like mental excercise though"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-26 09:58:50 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements

"Crazy times Should AI firms get "training content" (educational information and data) for free while people need to pay to get an education Our view is clear and simple: no they shouldn't"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-24 10:31:52 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements

"1. The sell rating issued by said analyst doesn't take into account the relative discount that we highlighted a fact evinced by the informationless forward expectation itself (they expect EV/EBITDA to fall to 6.7x in the NTM i.e. share PRICE to fall which is a baseless view);"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-22 12:18:42 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements

".that annual '25 EPS will approximate $XXXXX representing a +29.2% jump relative to the current TTM figure ($18.1) which also represents the MINIMUM uncorrelated return that investors deciding to make an allocation to UHS can expect to harvest at the current per-share price;"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-22 12:18:52 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements

"5. Follow our X page to access updates on our medium and short term outlooks across global equities precious metals commodities bitcoin credit and macroeconomic trends"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-24 21:40:00 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements

"Seems like it takes much longer for Wall St to notice the obvious these days. Bloomberg headline: "JPMorgan Warns of Stocks Complacency as Earnings Outlook Dims". Consider the mathematical weights and you'll realize that the headline should've said "S&P500" instead of "Global""
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-25 10:32:31 UTC XXX followers, 1951 engagements

"4. Assuming that the firm won't end up conducting any other buyback operation in 2025 (which is what the market seems to think given that sentiment is EXTREMELY downbeat even though management has stated that they will do so to the tune of $XXXXX Mil.) our estimates imply"
@StranAmorePFS Avatar @StranAmorePFS on X 2025-07-22 12:18:49 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements