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@Giovann35084111 "What an idiot. Stay poor it is your choice"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-09T07:46Z 52.3K followers, 9929 engagements

"@dotkrueger It is in essence what I proposed in my article. I proposed to use an exponential that fitted the residuals. I said this is what the quantile model needed to be a useful model for Bitcoin"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T15:25Z 52.4K followers, 2081 engagements

"I cannot emphasize enough the importance of this paper (link in comments). It shows that many techs follow power law growth and not as claimed often by FIdelity and other groups as S-curves (that are exponentials). Cars cellulars scientific ideas all scale as power laws. Possible mechanisms are given we will study if they are relevant to Bitcoin"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-04T10:58Z 52.3K followers, 18.1K engagements

"First of all this post shows he really beiieves 444K is not at some unspeficied point in the cycle (that is nonsense given a cycle than can be anything) but in a month or so. Second this shows how irresponsible this "prediction" was and still is. It was never based on some deep understanding of Bitcoin but ego and arrogance after the fame that Josh got through a pretty good and lucky guess (with some true insight that Bitcoin was going to correct). He used this fame to push this narrative of time travel matrix operators and delusional and irrational superstitions in a field that requires"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T09:39Z 52.4K followers, 45.2K engagements

"If one focuses on the real statistical behavior of Bitcoin one arrives at counterintuitive conclusions. For example did you know that Bitcoin statistical behavior has not changed for X years Volatility is exactly the same since X years if adjusted for the decay predicted by the power law. This cannot be revealed by regression including the quantile regression"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T15:09Z 52.4K followers, 4629 engagements

"@dotkrueger Is this not the same model I created here some time ago"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T15:37Z 52.4K followers, 2462 engagements

"@TheRealPlanC Same model I proposed several months ago what is different"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T15:42Z 52.4K followers, 2921 engagements

"@disco1392 You still don't get it. Josh would have declared victory at any reasonable price around the predicted price. People attribute mystical power to the particular price. It is idiotic. It really worries me that the Bitcoin community is so gullible"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T03:43Z 52.4K followers, XXX engagements

"Bitcoin is pure principle"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-11T20:39Z 52.4K followers, 7517 engagements

"If you reduce the number of Bitcoins by half at most you can hope for price to go up by 2x. If you sell that Bitcoin and double the number of Bitcoiners we know by data available Bitcoin goes up by 4x. Is X bigger than X or not Now you know why understanding Bitcoin with scarcity arguments is stupid"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-05T19:58Z 52.3K followers, 14.8K engagements

"I'm going to X conferences and events around Bitcoin in the next month. Not to gold conferences if they exist at all. Bitcoin is a network a movement a worldview a lifestyle it impacts your sense of identity. Gold is none of these things. This is why Bitcoin is adopted and gold is not"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T05:55Z 52.4K followers, 5864 engagements

"It is actually an insult to call Bitcoin the digital gold it is gold that is the analog Bitcoin"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T07:22Z 52.4K followers, 6975 engagements

"This remains my best interview to date. It is the best because @Breedlove22 is a genuine person he was well prepared (he even has a series of interviews with physicist G. West a world expert in power laws) and a bright and curious mind. Also the live interview vs one over the internet changed our dynamics. If you want to really go deep on the Power Law Theory and understand its significance watch this interview you will learn about the beauty and power of Bitcoin from a scientific point of view. The link is in the comments"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-05-08T14:03Z 52.4K followers, 112K engagements

"The essence of Bitcoin is that it follows a t-stable distribution with a precise mean that is the global power law slope. Everything we need to know about both the local behavior and long-term behavior is contained in it. This information can tell us how far we are from the power law what the possible range of action is and so on"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T15:17Z 52.4K followers, 4869 engagements

"Super bullish signal"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T09:58Z 52.4K followers, 11.9K engagements

"Evidently because it is not a speculative risk asset at all"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-14T17:23Z 52.4K followers, 6519 engagements

"We were so advanced in the Renaissance. I hope we go back to that level of excellence"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-11T09:13Z 52.4K followers, 7626 engagements

"This is really good and tells the relationship between gold and Bitcoin. Gold is the past a memory Bitcoin is the future a vision"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T05:13Z 52.4K followers, 5440 engagements

"Tell the difference"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T15:42Z 52.4K followers, 24.1K engagements

"@JRFL_GA He had a very good insight or intuition that Bitcoin was going to retrace after a blowoff. I recognize that. The precise price was guesswork and luck. People do not I did a similar precise (within XXX dollars) about the price at the end of the year in 2024"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T14:52Z 52.4K followers, XXX engagements

"This is actually good. Using AI will improve many things relative to using dumb algorithms or human intervention"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T08:37Z 52.4K followers, 4757 engagements

"Actually the fact that Bitcoin doesn't need to be a daily payment system to be valuable makes it even more valuable"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-14T14:47Z 52.4K followers, 6200 engagements

"Ryanair is worse than Spirit airlines. I will make a full report later but you should know it is not even possible to make a video of the interaction with their customer service at the airport because they call the police given "privacy laws""
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T09:33Z 52.4K followers, 2783 engagements

"Genova was an economic super power at a point"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-12T13:04Z 52.4K followers, 6140 engagements

"@bitstratford @disco1392 The winner of every lottery ticket thinks that too. How improbable it is that I have won"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T05:30Z 52.4K followers, XX engagements

"Gold is not adopted. There is nothing to adopt. It is an asset used in uncertain times as a hedging tool. China is playing anti-dollar games with it. Bitcoin is a scaling phenomenon. It will be 100x in XX years. Gold cannot because people would find ways to mine much more even in non efficient ways for example if it did and price will collapse and then stabilize. Gold is Temu Bitcoin"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T04:56Z 52.4K followers, 17.2K engagements

"This is going to push me to publish my article on the Bitcoin Value Triad. Bitcoin IS INTRINSIC VALUE. In fact it has a powerful triad of values that makes it an unbreachable fortress of value. Much more than all the assets on earth. This is not fully expressed yet but we will go there in due time"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-08T17:46Z 52.3K followers, 18K engagements

"Yes you needed to be crazy in a way to invest in Bitcoin in 2012 when I did in particular if the idea was long term holding and not short term speculation. It was very hard psychologically it created frictions with relationships and social situations. But it was completely worth it"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T09:55Z 52.4K followers, 17.5K engagements

"The Mountain of Madonna della Guardia or Guarding Madonna that is overlooking Genova and protecting it. View from my brother's apartment. I will do my usual shows in the next few days with this background"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-06T10:02Z 52.3K followers, 4534 engagements

"I have not read the book so we will see but this is not a good start. Description of what exactly Every attempt to dismiss the power law as less than what it is a scaling law is not understanding its true significance. I will reserve further criticism after reading the book"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-13T19:34Z 52.4K followers, 11K engagements

"No because the power law is the story of how Bitcoin beat the dollars that is still the monetary standard and it will be for many years. But in the end it doesn't matter all these other things are flat relative to Bitcoin. Bitcoin beats inflation by growing much faster than it"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T05:21Z 52.4K followers, 5079 engagements

"But it is fantasy because adoption is absolutely NOT a S curve"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-13T19:29Z 52.4K followers, 11.6K engagements

"The power law is really about BTC/USD. It is true it is still valid when expressed in Gold or other commodities or currencies. But this is true only as a scaling phenomenon. If gold doubles or triples in a short time there will be deviations. They still don't matter I'm the long term given gold doesn't scale over several orders of magnitude. Also breaking a pattern would require sustained time away from the pattern not a few data points"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T04:19Z 52.4K followers, 17.3K engagements

"This type of window fixture is called persiana Genovese and it is typical of my town. Also very typical are these painted architectural details like the window frames or the large stone blocks in the corner. They are not real like fiat but at least these fakes are beautiful"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-11T21:14Z 52.4K followers, 5683 engagements

"No. The quantile model is simply another way to show the power law. It is based on the power law. Observation of what It is a nonsense phrase. If you really want to characterize the behavior of Bitcoin in full one has to do what I have done that is look at the real distribution of returns. That is the ultimate characterization of Bitcoin. The quantile model doesn't do that at all"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T14:56Z 52.4K followers, 12.6K engagements

"The ultimate representation of Bitcoin doesn't focus on price but on the distribution of returns. That is the way to really understand the behavior of Bitcoin and make predictions on the future. The graph above is useful and aesthetically pleasing but it has not the full information"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T14:59Z 52.4K followers, 2046 engagements

"The fact we will have the singularity in XX years is one of the reasons I don't do Bitcoin projections beyond that date"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-14T06:59Z 52.4K followers, 10.5K engagements

"444K was superstition then and it is even more now. There is no need to give explanation given this is not based in any deep understanding of Bitcoin. Just some arrogant guess done when Bitcoin was more bullish. You can be lucky with these guesses once not multiple times as reality as shown"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-15T09:41Z 52.4K followers, 4742 engagements

"@PGreenaway81 How Bitcoin follows it perfectly"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T08:14Z 52.4K followers, XXX engagements

"@bitstratford @disco1392 There are thousands of people mentioning prices of stocks and assets every day. Josh himself mentioned other prices and moves that didn't happen at all. This is not dissimilar from noticing XXX in a clock at random time and thinking it is a sign"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-16T05:38Z 52.4K followers, 2205 engagements

"Interview with the main financial Italian newspaper: Il sole XX ore"
X Link @Giovann35084111 2025-10-13T09:37Z 52.4K followers, 5310 engagements