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@fallacyalarm "@DerivativesDon @AugurInfinity yes. it's actually quite low compared to market cap or liquidity measures. but then there's probably $60bn in debt in $tqqq alone. i also believe there is implicit leverage hidden in the overvaluation of the USD which makes Americans overconsume like explicit borrowing would do"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-26 01:54:02 UTC 9193 followers, XX engagements

"@Alex_FS31 yes LLM train on that media which is the root cause. LLMs can maybe thought of as an amplifier of the issue"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-26 23:00:04 UTC 9193 followers, XX engagements

"Tracking Fiscal Flows in REAL TIME As of this Friday the @USTreasury has incurred $1.6tn in deficits for the 2023 calendar year so far which is XX% higher than at the same time last year. Looking at November 2023 in isolation the month-to-date fiscal deficit is $257bn $30bn more than the previous November record of $227bn as of November XX 2021 which coincided with the $SPX all time high that occurred at that time. The enormous fiscal deficit spending of the US Treasury is in my opinion the main reason why the S&P is up XX% YTD. It often feels like public deficit spending is in a continuous"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2023-11-27 00:30:07 UTC 9193 followers, 7244 engagements

"In Nov'23 $SMR's landmark project in Idaho was cancelled bc costs exploded from $3.6bn to $9.3bn. Ironically that marked the bottom. Imagine you short the stock thinking it's a confirmation that the tech sucks. And then this thing runs 2300%. We live in incredible times"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-23 06:23:00 UTC 9193 followers, 1547 engagements

"@deusexdividend tldr which has best durability"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-25 17:50:38 UTC 9193 followers, XXX engagements

"The most dangerous aspect of AI If you define democracy as the rule of the majority then AI is democratic. An LLM will almost always give you the answer that is supported by most people. Because that answer is statistically most significant based on its training data. However truth isn't democratic. It's not something that the majority can decide. It is what it is no matter who and how many people acknowledge it. For example let's say millions of people some day decide to flood the internet with statements that "the sky is green". Whether they actually believe so or whether they are"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-26 22:01:09 UTC 9193 followers, 1299 engagements

"Whoever shorted $OPEN in the context of this chart deserves the beating they got (and probably will continue to get)"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-24 00:27:36 UTC 9193 followers, 1641 engagements

"@TuckerCarlson what a blow this is to your credibility"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-23 17:04:20 UTC 9193 followers, 6736 engagements

"If all OpenAI staff moved from OpenAI to $META how much of OpenAI's $300bn valuation should transfer to Meta"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-23 00:04:32 UTC 9193 followers, XXX engagements

"@JattRetarded Very hard to have a price target. XX% of their revenues are from MA. If that was scrapped tomorrow the US tax payer would save $84bn likely without negative implications for patients. Very dangerous overhang"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-18 19:10:08 UTC 9193 followers, XX engagements

"Easy to dunk on the EU for a trade deal that looks like a complete rip-off for them. However we shouldn't forget that $ has devalued against by about X% since Liberation Day. Lowers the value of the annual output of the US economy by $2tn. Really a success for Trump"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-27 20:48:27 UTC 9193 followers, XXX engagements

"@qcapital2020 If MA was scrapped tomorrow the US tax payer would save $84bn a year"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2025-07-21 22:48:14 UTC 9193 followers, 1359 engagements

"How is the fiscal impulse doing Not well. Net flow for March was just $159bn the weakest March since 2020. The theme remains the same as before tax receipts are outpacing outlays (which is not unusual in a cyclical recovery). CYtD non withheld taxes are $60bn higher than 2023. Remember Feb/Mar is fiscal flow prime time. On a seasonally adjusted basis the cumulative fiscal impulse for the last XX days is a pitiful $60bn. All of this confirms that April will likely come with a huge $300bn+ fiscal drain in part because all of you degens will have to declare huge capital gains from last year. I"
@fallacyalarm Avatar @fallacyalarm on X 2024-04-02 22:06:34 UTC 9193 followers, 3217 engagements