@valentir_cap Avatar @valentir_cap Valentir Capital

Valentir Capital posts on X about $asst, $iren, iren, bitcoin the most. They currently have [--] followers and [--] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence stocks 53.19% finance 36.17% cryptocurrencies 25.53% technology brands 2.13% currencies 2.13%

Social topic influence $asst 25.53%, $iren #137, iren #170, bitcoin 14.89%, $cifr 12.77%, ai 10.64%, target 6.38%, $alab #142, $nbis 6.38%, $ibit 6.38%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @midascabal @leotraydes @ausstockchick @thebigdegen @bitcoinbutcher1 @fransbakker9812 @danroberts0101

Top assets mentioned Asset Entities Inc. (ASST) Iris Energy Limited (IREN) Bitcoin (BTC) Cipher Mining Inc. Common Stock (CIFR) Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) Nebius Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares (NBIS) iShares BTC Trust (IBIT) Atlassian Corporation PLC (TEAM) HUBSPOT, INC. (HUBS) monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) Adobe, Inc. (ADBE) Strategy (MSTR) AppLovin Corporation (APP) Block, Inc. (XYZ) The Official [--] Coin (89) (89) Hive (HIVE) CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV) TeraWulf Inc. (WULF)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"The most exposed names in the AI shift are the ones that sit on top of the work - 1Y return: $TEAM 72% $MNDY 77% $HUBS 71% $ADBE 43% Application-layer risk gets repriced first. Meanwhile the picks & shovels are what AI actually runs on. LONG $IREN 208% $CIFR 179%"
X Link 2026-02-13T02:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"$ASST mini $MSTR less debt preferred only leverage 13k BTC NAV discount growing BTC/share Structurally cleaner option"
X Link 2026-02-07T12:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"See my article on $IREN Q2 result. Price target $80-110 (base) $2.3B ARR already signed Targeting $3.4B ARR by [----] $5B+ funding secured 4.5GW power moat https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/iris-energy-nasdaq-iren-q2-fy26-ther=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/iris-energy-nasdaq-iren-q2-fy26-ther=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-07T06:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"$IREN deep dive after Q2 - market still missing the point. $2.3B ARR already contracted - $3.4B exit [--] 95% of GPU capex financed + customer prepayments - minimal dilution CEO: air-cooled DCs = months to deploy vs years for liquid - faster revenue + lower capex"
X Link 2026-02-07T12:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"What is your $IREN [--] month price target $55-$82 $90-$110 $130+ $55-$82 $90-$110 $130+"
X Link 2026-02-07T12:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$IREN GPU cloud isnt capital intensive anymore. $5.8B GPU cost $5.5B financed $1.9B prepayments blended 36% cost 95% funded off-balance sheet. Theyre effectively renting GPUs to earn cloud margins"
X Link 2026-02-08T09:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$IREN: Q2 FY26 DCF Valuation & Share Price Outlook (Price Target: $83.12 base) https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/iren-q2-fy26-dcf-valuation-and-sharer=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/iren-q2-fy26-dcf-valuation-and-sharer=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-09T02:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Buying gets the attention. Selling determines returns. Most investors hold losers too long and cut winners too early. Part [--] - My Selling Discipline https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/part-6-my-selling-discipliner=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/part-6-my-selling-discipliner=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-10T05:08Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Astera Labs $ALAB: Q4 FY2025 Analysis Good beat on top and bottom line but pullback on higher expectations Base case PT $178.72. https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/astera-labs-alab-q4-fy2025-analysisr=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/astera-labs-alab-q4-fy2025-analysisr=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-11T02:12Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"$ALAB DCF Analysis - Current Growth Priced in PT Base: $178.72 Bull: $270+ Bear: $89 Current valuation already implies 60% growth and a 39% adj. EBITDA margin - to be bullish would like to see 70% revenue growth margin 40%+ - is this possible https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/astera-labs-alab-dcf-analysis-currentr=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/astera-labs-alab-dcf-analysis-currentr=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-11T05:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"$ALAB is down 10% post-earnings. Revenue +92% YoY. Guidance raised. Sold off on margin compression + OpEx ramp. I initiated in April [----] and even after FX drag (-10%) its still positive for me overall. Theres a difference between owning a company and renting a ticker"
X Link 2026-02-12T11:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Anthropics Claude just found 500+ real high-severity bugs in live codebases - this isnt a toy chatbot cycle its AI moving into mission-critical infrastructure. https://thehackernews.com/2026/02/claude-opus-46-finds-500-high-severity.html https://thehackernews.com/2026/02/claude-opus-46-finds-500-high-severity.html"
X Link 2026-02-13T02:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Application-layer AI names repricing hard: $TEAM 73% $MNDY 77% $HUBS 72% $ADBE 43% Meanwhile hyperscalers are guiding $600B+ in capex. AI isnt a workflow story but a power + compute story. Own the bottlenecks. https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/the-pullback-no-one-enjoysbut-everyr=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/the-pullback-no-one-enjoysbut-everyr=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-13T04:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"November was my toughest month of 2025: 16.32% TWRR. But it forced the portfolio into the strongest position its been in all year. Exited $APP $XYZ $NBIS due to transparency + capital discipline issues. Added $ASST + $IBIT for asymmetric Bitcoin exposure. Core winners remain $IREN $CIFR. Full portfolio update (with charts): https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/portfolio-update-november-2025r=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2025-12-02T03:06Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"2/ Major exits: $NBIS - no transparency on MSFT deal economics high dilution risk asset-light model margins unclear $XYZ - governance issues SBC blowout inconsistent investor communication $APP - valuation compressed asymmetry These werent sell-offs. They were process-driven exits"
X Link 2025-12-02T03:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Concentrated high-conviction and asymmetric by design. Core exposure stays in AI infrastructure ($IREN $CIFR) and Bitcoin-linked vehicles ($ASST $IBIT $HIVE). Quality diversification"
X Link 2025-12-02T22:43Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"The thing people underestimate about $CIFR isnt the dip - its the structural cost advantage. Black Pearl gives them some of the lowest all-in power + infrastructure costs in the sector which matters a LOT as AI/HPC demand accelerates. This isnt a buy the red story. Its a own the operators with real cost moats story"
X Link 2025-12-03T09:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"The funny part is most people debating legality dont even understand the mechanics of $ASST. This isnt a trading vehicle - its effectively a public Bitcoin treasury that can increase BTC per share through capital raises and preferred structures. If you understand the model insider buying is the least surprising thing here"
X Link 2025-12-03T09:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Because $ASST doesnt trade on spot BTC - it trades on BTC per share which fluctuates every time they raise capital or issue preferreds. A lot of people expect it to move tick-for-tick with Bitcoin but ASST is a leveraged Bitcoin treasury not a spot ETF. BTC drives the long-term direction. Capital structure changes drive the short-term volatility"
X Link 2025-12-04T01:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Not opposite - just different mechanics. My $IBIT position moves almost 1:1 with spot BTC because its a pure clean exposure. $ASST is a different tool: its a leveraged Bitcoin treasury so short-term moves are driven by BTC/share changes from capital raises. Over time if BTC grows and the company executes BTC/share should trend higher - but the path is way more volatile"
X Link 2025-12-04T01:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Not exactly - dilution only hurts if BTC/share falls faster than the value of the BTC theyre acquiring. The whole idea behind $ASST is that each raise should increase the companys total BTC faster than it increases the share count. If management keeps executing that way BTC/share trends upward over time - which is what ultimately drives the stock. Its a long term leveraged stake you make if youre bullish BTC"
X Link 2025-12-04T02:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Big milestone for $ASST. The Semler vote date being set gives the market a clear timeline and removes a major uncertainty. Post-merger the BTC-per-share math becomes even more important to track"
X Link 2025-12-04T12:56Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"MSCIs proposal to exclude Bitcoin-treasury companies makes little analytical sense. Equity benchmarks already include firms whose balance sheets are dominated by oil gold and other commodities. Bitcoin is simply another reserve asset - no different in principle. Index providers should remain neutral and reflect the investable universe not impose asset-specific bias. Let the market decide. Long $ASST"
X Link 2025-12-05T22:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"It still amazes me that in [----] many exchanges continue to operate on T+2 settlement. The U.S. moved to T+1 because faster settlement reduces counterparty risk lowers capital requirements and improves liquidity. For active investors waiting an extra day to deploy capital or close risk is unnecessary friction. Technology isnt the constraint anymore - legacy systems are. If were serious about market efficiency T+1 should be the universal standard"
X Link 2025-12-06T01:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"2/ Faster settlement frees up capital. Institutional desks must reserve capital for trades that havent settled yet. When settlement drops from T+2 to T+1 those capital requirements fall meaningfully"
X Link 2025-12-06T01:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"3/ Liquidity improves when capital recycles faster. If funds settle a full day earlier investors can redeploy capital sooner. That accelerates turnover and reduces the dead time between trades"
X Link 2025-12-06T01:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Great breakdown. The thing that gets lost in the should have raised more at the highs argument is that capital markets dont scale linearly with share price. A $1B 0% coupon with a 42% premium is already an outlier for a company of $IRENs size - pushing that too far risks flipping terms from exceptional to punitive very quickly. In practice you raise as much as the market will naturally absorb without signaling stress or destabilizing your own cap table. Viewed through that lens I think they sequenced the raises about as well as anyone could have reasonably expected. The optionality they"
X Link 2025-12-08T10:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"2/ My approach has been the same since day one: Concentration. Discipline. Patience. No leverage. No derivatives. No frantic guessing. A Stoic process executed consistently - through mania through fear through doubt"
X Link 2025-12-10T05:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"3/ From December [--] [----] to December [--] [----] my capital compounded at: 👉 26.49% p.a. (MWR) SPY adjusted into AUD with dividends reinvested: 👉 12% p.a. Outperformance wasnt the goal. Clarity and discipline were"
X Link 2025-12-10T05:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@midascabal $IREN $CIFR $WULF $NBIS $CRWV"
X Link 2025-12-22T08:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@Leo_Traydes Charlie Munger said 100k back in [----]. Adjusted for inflation (2.6% p.a average) thats 200k today. By that point the contributions would pale to the growth the portfolio can generate unless you were contributing massive amounts"
X Link 2025-12-23T00:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Charlie Munger famously said the first $100k is a b**** - at a Berkshire meeting in the late 1990s. Adjusted for inflation $100k in [----] $200k today. So the modern milestone isnt six figures - its closer to $200000 invested. Thats when compounding stops being theoretical and starts doing real work. The principle hasnt changed. Only the number has. 📈"
X Link 2025-12-23T00:07Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$ASST vs $MSTR - same thesis different structure. $MSTR uses convertible debt + common dilution to accumulate BTC. $ASST uses perpetual preferred equity (SATA) to fund BTC without issuing new common. Both aim to grow BTC-per-share. $ASST shifts risk from dilution execution. Structure matters"
X Link 2025-12-24T07:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Every paradigm shift looks like a bubble until it isnt. Please dont make fun of children today for believing in Santa. I know fully formed adults who think AI is a bubble. Please dont make fun of children today for believing in Santa. I know fully formed adults who think AI is a bubble"
X Link 2025-12-26T00:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"The markets treating CIFR like a pure beta miner but the underlying story has shifted. The real inflection isnt hash price - its time-to-power + secured interconnection + optionality. Barber Lake + Ulysses arent about next quarter EPS. Theyre about who can actually deliver MWs to hyperscalers when the queue is years long. Price can overshoot on tax loss selling but infrastructure like this doesnt get rebuilt overnight. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006293597042430159 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006293597042430159"
X Link 2025-12-31T09:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@ausstockchick [----] was about staying disciplined while others chased noise. [----] feels like the year conviction starts paying rent. Wishing you a strong one"
X Link 2025-12-31T09:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@TheBigDegen PLTR has the narrative. IREN has the infrastructure + operating leverage. Different games different asymmetry"
X Link 2025-12-31T09:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@bitcoinbutcher1 @FransBakker9812 @danroberts0101 The key is that the upside isnt coming from price multiple expansion - its coming from capacity conversion. If H5 executes with real customers and power comes online on schedule ARR inflects structurally. Thats what the market is still underpricing"
X Link 2025-12-31T09:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"2026 starts with clarity. Less noise. Better positioning. Real compounding ahead. Lets see who did the work"
X Link 2026-01-01T11:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"New Kingmaker in Bitcoin Treasury Wars Deep Dive on Strive ($ASST) Strive (ASST) Pre-Earnings Deep Dive (free) https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/strive-asst-pre-earnings-deep-diver=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/strive-asst-pre-earnings-deep-diver=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-01-31T01:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"In markets the biggest edge isnt leverage. Its psychology. Anyone can boost returns with borrowed risk. Few can survive drawdowns without breaking their process. Character compounds. Leverage magnifies - then liquidates. The same is true in life. Shortcuts work until stress tests expose who you are. Long-term outperformance is behavioural not mechanical. #Investing #Markets #Edge #BehaviouralFinance"
X Link 2026-01-03T02:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Portfolio Update - December [----] now on Substack for free December was a brutal risk-off month. Valentir Capital: 18.99% S&P500 (SPY): 1.92% Thats the cost of running a concentrated asymmetric portfolio when volatility spikes. But zoom out. Despite December: 3-month: +4.38% vs SPY +1.63% Since inception: +10.80% vs SPY +7.54% Performance was driven by a small number of high-conviction winners - $IREN (+42.9%) and $ALAB (+30.7%) - offsetting losses elsewhere. Short-term volatility is the price. Long-term convexity is the goal. Full breakdown 👇 #Investing #PortfolioManagement #LongTermThinking"
X Link 2026-01-08T11:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Diversification feels safe. Concentration feels uncomfortable. Only one produces exceptional results. Heres how I build a concentrated high-conviction portfolio without blowing up: https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/part-4-how-i-build-a-concentratedutm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/part-4-how-i-build-a-concentratedutm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web"
X Link 2026-01-08T17:05Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Diversification reduces volatility but it also dilutes insight. Beyond a certain point adding more positions does not reduce risk but instead reduces conviction"
X Link 2026-01-08T21:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Buying isnt about being right. Its about sizing uncertainty correctly. I start small demand proof and only scale when the thesis strengthens. Part [--] - The Buying Framework (FREE) https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/part-5-the-buying-frameworkr=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/part-5-the-buying-frameworkr=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-01-29T23:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"New Kingmaker in the Bitcoin Treasury Wars $ASST Strive $ASST Pre-Earnings Deep Dive (free) https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/strive-asst-pre-earnings-deep-diver=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/strive-asst-pre-earnings-deep-diver=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-01-31T01:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Portfolio Update - January [----] $IREN $CIFR $ASST December punished concentration. January rewarded it. https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/portfolio-update-january-2026r=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/valentircapital/p/portfolio-update-january-2026r=91pu4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-02T00:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

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