@tyillc Avatar @tyillc Richard Field

Richard Field posts on X about in the, fed, opacity, inflation the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence finance 46.28% countries 14.36% social networks 2.13% technology brands 2.13% automotive brands 1.06% stocks 1.06% cryptocurrencies 0.53% travel destinations 0.53%

Social topic influence in the 12.23%, fed 9.04%, opacity #5, inflation #664, financial #888, money 5.85%, economy #951, fdic 4.79%, wall street 4.79%, the great #514

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @stephen57908892 @mishgea @langwiser @dapstats @markh9222812974 @usroute41 @tonynashnerd @gratkewealth @grok @bbm010 @squirma1967 @amlivemon @fragermk @jlounsbury59 @mtmalinen @jimiuorio @jonfrasertf @dgsommersmkts @pinotandpizza @federalreserve

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Big if true . if solar is going to dominate future electricity production why doesn't the US have as a policy being the leader in solar . Solar will utterly dominate future electricity production Solar will utterly dominate future electricity production"
X Link 2026-02-14T20:14Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"So who is holding the losses on all this commercial real estate . Record Office Delinquencies Quiet Ratings: Why Stability and "normalizing" are the Wrong Words The real estate crisis the media will barely acknowledge The sheer amount of vacancy out there is truly staggering. The fact that few of the cities are doing anything to https://t.co/VCBoDXLX1q Record Office Delinquencies Quiet Ratings: Why Stability and "normalizing" are the Wrong Words The real estate crisis the media will barely acknowledge The sheer amount of vacancy out there is truly staggering. The fact that few of the cities"
X Link 2026-02-14T19:46Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Repeating myself but Economics profession needs to be shut down and removed from all policy discussions until it can prove it is actually capable of consistently outperforming Astrology . Between [----] and [----] only 0.1% of publications in the top [--] economics journals were replication studies. That's [--] years. Thousands of papers. Almost none replicated. We've built careers on findings no one has verified. When economists finally replicate studies 40-67% fail Between [----] and [----] only 0.1% of publications in the top [--] economics journals were replication studies. That's [--] years. Thousands"
X Link 2026-02-15T16:32Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"@langwiser However if you bought a leveraged portfolio of the S&P500 at the same time would your after management fee return have been higher with PE The chart in the WSJ article clearly shows PE would not have outperformed "
X Link 2026-02-15T20:19Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"We are in agreement they found exactly the result they were hoping to find as it supported a narrative they knew would catch the attention of policymakers/elites . Did they knowingly lie . I wouldn't go there . I have met Rogoff and he is plenty smart enough not to have shared his Excel model if he was deliberately lying . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023187411363303828 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023187411363303828"
X Link 2026-02-16T00:07Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@USRoute41 We are well past the time to break-up the Fed . send monetary policy to Treasury where it belongs . send supervision & regulation to FDIC where it reinforces market discipline on the banks "
X Link 2026-02-03T15:40Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Been calling for breaking up the Fed for decades . send monetary policy back to Treasury where it belongs . send supervision/regulation to FDIC where it reinforces market discipline . Warsh or Not The Feds Next Chair Will Inherit Too Much Power by @n_cachanosky https://t.co/keAWk397GY https://t.co/4wJppqkW5w Warsh or Not The Feds Next Chair Will Inherit Too Much Power by @n_cachanosky https://t.co/keAWk397GY https://t.co/4wJppqkW5w"
X Link 2026-02-05T19:57Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@DA_Stockman Time to break up the Fed. Send monetary policy back to Treasury where it belongs. Send supervision/regulation to FDIC where it will reinforce market discipline on bank risk taking"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:32Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Or was it because the Fed recognizes monetary policy is ineffective except in extremely limited circumstances . cutting rates does not guarantee economic growth or increased hiring (does guarantee more financial speculation) . raising rates does not slow supply side driven inflation (only type US has faced since the mid-1970s) . Both. Both"
X Link 2026-02-07T20:33Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Make the Fed great again by breaking it up . send monetary policy to Treasury where it belongs . send supervision/regulation to FDIC where it reinforces market discipline on bank risk taking . From @WSJopinion: How can Kevin Warsh make the Fed great again Restoring independence and credibility means getting politics out of central banking writes Joseph Sternberg. https://t.co/KkAqxAmzZw From @WSJopinion: How can Kevin Warsh make the Fed great again Restoring independence and credibility means getting politics out of central banking writes Joseph Sternberg. https://t.co/KkAqxAmzZw"
X Link 2026-02-07T20:50Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"If the Fed acknowledges the US has only faced supply-side driven inflation since the mid-1970s Fed opens the door to people asking why interest rates have changed as raising rates doesn't slow monetary policy and lowering rates doesn't guarantee economic growth/increased hiring . Federal Reserve governor Philip Jefferson at a conference on supply side causes of inflation says that he doesn't think about monopolization or other 'micro-dynamics' because it doesn't matter for price levels. But somehow he also thinks supply chains and tariffs do matter. https://t.co/t2TWap9388 Federal Reserve"
X Link 2026-02-07T22:06Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Warsh is very close to acknowledging the truth about monetary policy . it is a great narrative with extremely limited real world application . lowering rates doesn't guarantee either increased economic activity or more hiring . raising rates doesn't slow supply-side driven inflation . Warsh best course of action is to say Fed won't change its interest rate for the next [--] to [--] decades as it is already slightly below the average interest rate for the last [--] decades and there is no evidence Fed moving the rate above or below this average has increased economic growth or reduced inflation . Your"
X Link 2026-02-08T15:55Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@Stephen57908892 If you look at the period from the mid-1930s through the late 1970s you will see Wall Street was the servant of Main Street. It was only after Reagan administration allowed opacity to re-enter the financial system that Wall Street became the master of Main Street "
X Link 2026-02-08T17:50Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Was reading Kevin Warsh's article (Challenging the Groupthink of the Guild) and realized he too is a victim of this groupthink. The groupthink asserts monetary policy is anything more than a great narrative. It isn't. Not useful for spurring economic growth/increased hiring as neither is guaranteed when Fed lowers rates. Not useful for slowing supply side driven inflation. In fact Warsh's article lays out a great case for the Fed taking a pledge not to change interest rates again for the next 2-3 decades and letting the real economy recover from all the harm Fed's increasing/decreasing"
X Link 2026-02-08T18:05Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"It isn't the role of speculative capital that is bad for the real economy . it is the opacity of the financial system that is bad for the real economy . For example Wall Street pushes high margin opaque financial products over low margin transparent financial products . this results in Wall Street making excess profits . For example Wall Street hides its own risk taking behind a veil of opacity. When questions about its solvency emerge policymakers socialize the losses Wall Street incurred (see the Great Financial Crisis). https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020566023393673346"
X Link 2026-02-08T18:30Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@SamanthaLaDuc @RepThomasMassie Sunlight is the best disinfectant . why . there is a tendency to engage in bad behavior behind the veil of opacity "
X Link 2026-02-08T18:34Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Was it actually the Fed's choice to pursue ZIRP/QE or was the Fed told by the White House and Treasury it had to adopt policies in [----] to save the banks Asking because it was obvious even to the casual observer these polices were going to be bad for the real economy and society. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020567455819776281 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020567455819776281"
X Link 2026-02-08T18:36Z 11.2K followers, 10.9K engagements

"@KeithMcCullough Understand as Bernanke made inter-generational wealth upon leaving the Fed. However it isn't clear to me he wasn't following his marching orders as opposed to leading the response . say this because of how he looked when testifying to Congress in support of TARP "
X Link 2026-02-08T19:12Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@SamanthaLaDuc Not sure Trump is going to war against Iran for Israel . you are ignoring all the Trump family properties in the Middle East as well as the jet he was given if you believe he is doing this for Israel "
X Link 2026-02-08T19:14Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Nah . ultimately China's economy depends on US importing goods either directly from China or through third countries . losing the US as a consumer leaves China with excess capacity and no place to sell the goods it can produce . in turn leads to massive unemployment and puts the CCP at risk "
X Link 2026-02-08T19:17Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"@TonyNashNerd @EconstratPB I admire your campaign telling people to move anywhere but Texas . particularly your emphasis on what Texas has to offer like rattlesnakes oil rigs hot humid summers and bitter cold winters . 😉"
X Link 2026-02-08T20:00Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"So the best thing the Fed can do is not change interest rates at all and instead take the pledge it won't change interest rates for the next 2-3 decades . Apollo's Torsten Slok: "The bottom line is that it is very difficult to be bearish on the US economic outlook and later this year the conversation in markets will change from talking about Fed cuts to instead talking about the Fed having to hike" Apollo's Torsten Slok: "The bottom line is that it is very difficult to be bearish on the US economic outlook and later this year the conversation in markets will change from talking about Fed cuts"
X Link 2026-02-08T20:21Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@Socred6 It is true in order to make their models work the Economics profession has to make a series of assumptions that divorce these models from the reality of the real world"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:23Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Bankers think they will be bailed out because they are operating behind a veil of opacity that allows them to sell regulators on the idea not bailing them out will make the situation worse. As for depositors they are exhibiting the classic behavior of every investor who buys an opaque security based solely on Trust. When the story Wall Street told is called into doubt they "run" to get their money back. Why They don't have the info needed to independently confirm if Wall Street's story still holds or not (recall investors are suppose to Trust but Verify the story)."
X Link 2026-02-10T01:25Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Shorter: Trump administration letting anyone into banking with no oversight . The OCC is supporting a healthy economy that provides the American people with access to banking services that meet their unique needs by aligning innovation with proper supervision. https://t.co/2xdPPQawCB https://t.co/yiISFFupJM The OCC is supporting a healthy economy that provides the American people with access to banking services that meet their unique needs by aligning innovation with proper supervision. https://t.co/2xdPPQawCB https://t.co/yiISFFupJM"
X Link 2026-02-10T01:35Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@amlivemon Except the jobs AI can replace and the jobs opened by retirement are not necessarily one and the same . For retirement I am thinking plumbers electricians . For replacement I am thinking law firms accounting firms "
X Link 2026-02-10T19:07Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Did someone mention private equity is opaque and hence not appropriate for retirement plans . Private Equity Wants In On Your 401(k). This Lawyer Is Ready to Fight As money management giants look to stuff private assets into millions of retirement plans theyll face a formidable skeptic: Jerry Schlichter. There is huge exposure to risk that people are beingwill https://t.co/VCh3CJfNoi Private Equity Wants In On Your 401(k). This Lawyer Is Ready to Fight As money management giants look to stuff private assets into millions of retirement plans theyll face a formidable skeptic: Jerry Schlichter."
X Link 2026-02-12T15:20Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"What Iceland showed is banks are actually designed to absorb losses and in doing so protect the underlying real economy . In [----] while the world rushed to bail out "too big to fail" banks tiny Iceland did the unthinkable: they let their bloated banks collapse. The krona crashed 50% protesters banged pots outside parliament and economists predicted doom. But here's the twist - Iceland recovered https://t.co/hgcNXsJdBK In [----] while the world rushed to bail out "too big to fail" banks tiny Iceland did the unthinkable: they let their bloated banks collapse. The krona crashed 50% protesters"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:28Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@Aarondklein Truly is time to break up the Fed . send monetary policy back to Treasury where it belongs . send supervision/regulation to the FDIC where it reinforces market discipline "
X Link 2026-02-12T22:43Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@squirma1967 btw Sweden did the same thing in the 1990s when faced with a financial crisis . are you now going to complain because Sweden doesn't have enough people "
X Link 2026-02-13T00:26Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"hmmm . has a trigger been identified to cause investors to "run" from the opaque private equity/private credit space . UBS WARNS CREDIT MARKETS ARE UNDERPRICING AI DISRUPTION RISK WITH LEVERAGED LOANS MOST VULNERABLE AND POTENTIAL SPILLOVERS THREATENING BROADER FUNDING CONDITIONS AND THE AI INVESTMENT BOOM. UBS WARNS CREDIT MARKETS ARE UNDERPRICING AI DISRUPTION RISK WITH LEVERAGED LOANS MOST VULNERABLE AND POTENTIAL SPILLOVERS THREATENING BROADER FUNDING CONDITIONS AND THE AI INVESTMENT BOOM"
X Link 2026-02-13T00:58Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"#TransparencyLabelInitiative was formed in response to SEC's abandonment of its mission to ensure investors had the info they needed to know what they own . See http://www.InstituteForFinancialTransparency.com 📣📣SEC NEEDS TO BE INVESTIGATED AND ABOLISHED🚨 How many time does it need to be said that the SEC is "Turning a blind eye" 🙉🙈🙊 This is a ongoing accusation but zero investigation of this corrupt agency. https://t.co/h8AMi99Eke http://www.InstituteForFinancialTransparency.com 📣📣SEC NEEDS TO BE INVESTIGATED AND ABOLISHED🚨 How many time does it need to be said that the SEC is"
X Link 2026-02-13T02:43Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"How can you have a discussion of the US outsourcing its manufacturing base without discussing how much money management and investors made in the short run . Important strategy speech at Davos from U.S. Trade Rep Jamieson Greer on tariffs and Trump's current approach. Worth a read. Thanks to @LukeGromen for highlighting. https://t.co/eWi9STY7Sx https://t.co/5hnBHroSoD Important strategy speech at Davos from U.S. Trade Rep Jamieson Greer on tariffs and Trump's current approach. Worth a read. Thanks to @LukeGromen for highlighting. https://t.co/eWi9STY7Sx https://t.co/5hnBHroSoD"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:41Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@squirma1967 UK wasn't taking losses in [----] . doing so would have shown EU and US were "outliers" "
X Link 2026-02-13T15:43Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Stephen57908892 I am worried you are right "
X Link 2026-02-13T18:33Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Stephen57908892 In the age of AI we may already have gone through the asset deflation stage and now we are on to the defaults stage "
X Link 2026-02-13T20:48Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Please notice the role of opacity in preventing accountability . Also our financial system is designed so investors are suppose to have the info they need to know what they own . investors are incentivized to use this info as they are responsible for losses on their investments . this is the mechanism by which risk is managed in our financial system (as opposed to financial regulators who are not fit for the purpose of managing risk) . Accountability sinks are a huge problem in general; the Fed is the worst Accountability sinks are a huge problem in general; the Fed is the worst"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:08Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"In [----] US policymakers responded to the Great Financial Crisis as if Americans couldn't handle the truth . I am a firm believer in the people. If given the truth they can be depended upon to meet any national crisis. The great point is to bring them the real facts. Abraham Lincoln https://t.co/hpYQKzquA5 I am a firm believer in the people. If given the truth they can be depended upon to meet any national crisis. The great point is to bring them the real facts. Abraham Lincoln https://t.co/hpYQKzquA5"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:23Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@amlivemon The subtitle to my book is "How Bankers rig the world of finance" so you won't see me saying the market isn't rigged "
X Link 2026-02-14T02:11Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Complexity is another word for opacity . If it is hard to value a spinoff that reflects how opaque the business reporting was prior to the decision to pursue a spinoff . Complexity is not a competitive advantage. Its often a liability waiting to be exposed. For years complexity was tolerated. Cheap capital allowed businesses to carry overlapping divisions protect weak segments and avoid hard decisions. Blended results hid inefficiency. That https://t.co/AdNGyuq52V Complexity is not a competitive advantage. Its often a liability waiting to be exposed. For years complexity was tolerated. Cheap"
X Link 2026-02-14T18:53Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@fragermk Not sure I understand your tweet. Could you expand on the points you are trying to make Thanks"
X Link 2026-02-16T00:55Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"China's manufacturing base facing liquidity pressures as in "not enough cashflow" . 3/3 Large manufacturers many of which have been having trouble making payments out of cashflow earnings have paid their suppliers instead with (mostly six-month) IOUs which has created additional debt and has passed on liquidity pressures down the line. 3/3 Large manufacturers many of which have been having trouble making payments out of cashflow earnings have paid their suppliers instead with (mostly six-month) IOUs which has created additional debt and has passed on liquidity pressures down the line"
X Link 2026-02-14T17:02Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Answer to your question of why are loans not being written down . Financial policymakers think forcing these write downs will result in making a bad situation worse . For example turn the economic malaise we are experiencing into a recession . or turn a recession into a depression . Of course this ignores our financial system is designed so investors (including banks) take losses and this protects the real economy "
X Link 2026-02-14T18:46Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"The combination of ZIRP and regulatory forbearance gave a dramatic boost to the growth of debt zombies . these firms went from being less than 4% of all firms in [----] to over 20% of all firms in [----] (from BIS) . the borrowing associated with these firms grows exponentially as they don't have the cash flow to make interest and principal repayments "
X Link 2026-02-14T18:49Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"I am so old I remember Ronald Reagan announcing a shift at the SEC so Wall Street was the SEC's client and not investors . fast forward [--] years and the SEC's client had manufactured a financial crisis and spent almost [--] decades hollowing out America's industrial base . now tell me why this "claim" is wrong . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022774054155870425 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022774054155870425"
X Link 2026-02-14T20:44Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Doug_Hnuts If not fraud at least highly unlikely to result in a return of the investment principal let alone any return on this principal "
X Link 2026-02-14T20:46Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@FM_NoAlgos @MishGEA @jlounsbury59 @USRoute41 @mtmalinen @jimiuorio @JonFraserTF @GratkeWealth @grok @dgsommersmkts Or maybe just maybe the mercantilist subsidies offered by other countries result in the cost of doing business in America to look uncompetitive "
X Link 2026-02-14T20:48Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Stephen57908892 Agree with you unless Musk is planning on putting solar capturing capacity in space and sending electricity to earth (I assume his AI related satellites will use solar power) . I think Japan announced it had a satellite that was capturing solar energy and sending it to earth"
X Link 2026-02-15T16:17Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Realize the lead time to build nuclear power plants is long but suspect it is shorter than the time it will take for fusion to come on line. Also why do we need "big" nuclear power plants Asking because the military has been using "micro" nuclear power plants (see submarines) for years. Why can't this technology be rolled out in a distributed fashion"
X Link 2026-02-15T18:45Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Stephen57908892 Thanks for the insights"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:05Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Stephen57908892 Thanks for background and helping me understand the shortfalls of nuclear"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:06Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"After promising "Hope and Change" Obama went all in on saving the banks and pushing their losses onto the real economy/society . While this was a continuation of Bush II's policies it was Obama's actions that unleashed the Populists as he effectively ended the social agreement investors take losses and law breakers go to jail . Its annoying that Obama bailed out banks while millions were foreclosed on which created backlash conditions for Trumps ascent and Obama now only does interviews with worshipful influencers guaranteed to never ask him even one uncomfortable question about this. Its"
X Link 2026-02-15T20:50Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@HighspedSenior Competition for "worst economist alive" is much more competitive . there are literally hundreds of Econ PhDs in the running . you are simply pointing to one with a greatly inflated net worth because policymakers liked the BS narrative he was pushing "
X Link 2026-02-15T21:11Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@HighspedSenior You have made a very strong argument for why he is the worst . but I can hear the other Economic PhDs saying "hold my beer what about us" "
X Link 2026-02-15T21:35Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"No surprise private equity holds many debt zombie firms in its portfolio . back in [----] policymakers decided to engage in regulatory forbearance . as a result the 4% of firms that were debt zombies then were allowed to hollow out every industry they were in and create more debt zombies (BIS says we are over 20% of firms now) . Why Private Equity Is Suddenly Awash With Zombie Firms via @forbes https://t.co/bbLS4ntPBd Why Private Equity Is Suddenly Awash With Zombie Firms via @forbes https://t.co/bbLS4ntPBd"
X Link 2026-02-15T21:38Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@rcwhalen PE has always been a fund manager compensation scheme . the return on a leveraged portfolio of publicly traded stocks (say the S&P500) beats the similarly leveraged PE portfolio after manager compensation "
X Link 2026-02-15T21:47Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@CharterhouseSq Your April [--] [----] post is GREAT Nice concise summary of how opacity hides risk (and allows for the mis-pricing of risk) "
X Link 2026-02-16T00:02Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@SMatteoMiller Actually stems from easily observable behavior by Economists "
X Link 2026-02-16T00:39Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Of course this ignores the notion our government should be sized for what we want it to do . reducing the number of employees when Congress wanted the government to have certain capabilities doesn't guarantee government is up to the task . This is roughly at ten percent reduction in force. The savings is not just a reduction in total pay and benefits for federal government employees--who earn much more than private sector workers--but also their robust pensions. This is roughly at ten percent reduction in force. The savings is not just a reduction in total pay and benefits for federal"
X Link 2026-02-16T00:43Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@fragermk The Fed doesn't set lending rates. Its impact is on a bank's cost of funds"
X Link 2026-02-16T01:07Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"What part of my tweet or post are you saying "No. Why would you say that" Monetary policy I was at the Fed from 1980-1982 and it was well known inside the Fed Volcker's monetary policies didn't slow inflation. Or are you referring to price theory. Underlying price theory is an assumption about information. Now please read the part of my post focused on the Information Matrix. It is this matrix that is the foundation for price theory and its limits as three of the four quadrants in the matrix suggest the price of an exchange is not the price informed buyers and sellers would transact at. Turns"
X Link 2026-02-16T01:40Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@MarkH9222812974 No my phrasing suggests none of the issues you and I agree should be thought through were in fact thought through . otherwise the focus would not be on the reduced work force but also on the reduction of redundancy "
X Link 2026-02-16T02:01Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Ethan_Lou Been saying this since before the Great Financial Crisis began. Opacity is the necessary condition for a crisis and the global financial system is now more opaque than it was BEFORE the GFC began"
X Link 2026-02-16T02:39Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Stephen57908892 Shorter: Economists pick their favorite narrative and torture the data until it supports this narrative "
X Link 2026-02-16T14:50Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@PHfloor Given the army of PhD Economists who work for their organizations wouldn't be surprising if Lagarde and Powell are simply repeating the narrative they have been provided "
X Link 2026-02-16T15:24Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"I didn't say Congress could authorize anything it wants. I said it had the right to authorize governmental entities to carry out specific tasks. Then I used the military as an example . it is highly unlikely the Constitution mentions creating an Air Force . Since neither of us is a Constitutional lawyer I think we shouldn't debate what is or is not allowed. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023433060625068420 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023433060625068420"
X Link 2026-02-16T16:23Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Stephen57908892 @MarkH9222812974 The Great Depression started in 1929"
X Link 2026-02-16T16:26Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Stephen57908892 Not clear today's Supreme Court would agree with you on the Air Force . The Constitution's plain language is also clear on Congress having the authority to authorize welfare payments transfer payments . clean air clean water "
X Link 2026-02-16T17:31Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@Stephen57908892 @MarkH9222812974 FDR wasn't president until [----]. So it sounds like industrial production did well during his first term. Social security taxes started in his first term. I do agree with you the Fed tightened credit in [----] and this triggered a recession "
X Link 2026-02-16T17:34Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

""If you wanted to create conditions ideal for a financial crisis a key ingredient would be opacity. An unregulated opaque market is potting soil for uncertainty a markets worst fear which matters in a global tightly coupled financial system where a confidence crisis anywhere can become a confidence crisis everywhere." See the "layers of leverage" chart and how opacity hides the risk at each layer . Data black holes leavepolicymakers flying blindin hunt for next crash https://t.co/1AUzw6T4jo via @LauraNoonanX https://t.co/VdXPvpvnoY Data black holes leavepolicymakers flying blindin hunt for"
X Link 2026-02-16T17:43Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"I have been referring to the Economics profession as the "Priesthood of the Economic PhDs" for decades . glad to see others are pointing out it is a priesthood and the religion they are pushing needs to go away . Somebody recently sent me this post from someone who seems to understand systems dynamics. I suspect @ProfSteveKeen will find much of this hard to disagree with. Somebody recently sent me this post from someone who seems to understand systems dynamics. I suspect @ProfSteveKeen will find much of this hard to disagree with"
X Link 2026-02-15T18:40Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Think of Economic PhDs as creators of political narratives whose net worth increases if the elite like their narrative"
X Link 2026-02-15T18:52Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Economists confirmed in [----] they are all about creating political narratives to support the choices made by policymakers. It was clear they hadn't taken the time to look at a) the cause of the Great Financial Crisis; b) how the US financial system is designed to handle a crisis; or c) how their chosen policies would undermine the real economy and society. Economics research is usually not replicable supports the legitimacy crisis point on economics own metrics for accuracy. This is from [----] This should throw some doubt on those who think the dismal science is akin to the laws of physics"
X Link 2026-02-15T18:59Z 11.2K followers, 14.3K engagements

"The golden age of private equity should never have occurred . when adjusted for leverage its after management fee returns never beat what was available in the public markets . Is the "golden age" of private equity officially over The Ivy League seems to think so. Princeton Yale and Harvard are trimming their PE holdings after returns (7.4%) were dwarfed by the S&P [---] (19.7%) over the last three years. https://t.co/yMxvq1fykl via @WSJ Is the "golden age" of private equity officially over The Ivy League seems to think so. Princeton Yale and Harvard are trimming their PE holdings after returns"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:02Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Reminder: Joan Robinson observed just because you double the amount of money on the table doesn't mean it will be spent twice as fast . We didn't get inflation post [----] even though Fed printed money on a scale that was not previously thought compatible with price stability . .@willem_buiter and Anne C. Sibert explain how significant balance-sheet losses could cause even an operationally independent @federalreserve with a price-stability target to print money on a scale that it knows to be incompatible with price stability. https://t.co/J7S1wwUdY9 .@willem_buiter and Anne C. Sibert explain"
X Link 2026-02-15T20:28Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Time for my victory lap: Bloomberg discovers opacity in the financial system . Been pointing out for years the financial system is more opaque today than in the run up to the Great Financial Crisis . "Data black holes" in the financial system exist because the authors of Dodd/Frank chose not to address opacity in the financial system . Only the focused on eliminating these data black holes . http://www.InstituteforFinancialTransparency.com Policymakers think they know where to look for the next shock but have no visibility on what is lurking in some of the most risky areas of the financial"
X Link 2026-02-15T22:11Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@patrickfitzg_o I am thinking these bad debt elephants are going to converge on a solvency crisis first . this will quickly turn into a "run" as investors try to get their money out of all the opaque investments . that it turn will trigger a liquidity crisis "
X Link 2026-02-16T00:09Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@vtchakarova Reminds me of central bankers PhD economists elected officials and bank regulators during and after the Great Financial Crisis "
X Link 2026-02-16T00:13Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Everyone knows the Fed is political despite the constant bleating by the Priesthood of the Economic PhDs that it is somehow independent of the White House and Congress . Trump is trying very hard to politicize the Fed. A generalized loss of credibility in the Fed could mean global economic chaos on a scale we have not seen since the interwar period and that parallel is not encouraging. Trevor Jackson https://t.co/0LbJpwUvuQ Trump is trying very hard to politicize the Fed. A generalized loss of credibility in the Fed could mean global economic chaos on a scale we have not seen since the"
X Link 2026-02-16T00:24Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Nice definition of the exceedingly narrow scope in which Economists might have any expertise. Conducting monetary policy falls well outside this scope of expertise. What Economists have is a great narrative with extremely limited real world application. Lowering rates doesn't guarantee either economic growth or increased hiring. Raising rates doesn't guarantee slower inflation if the inflation is supply side driven (see US inflation since the mid-1970s) . And all this is before we get to Economists making recommendations about how to respond to a financial crisis . based on 1000s of"
X Link 2026-02-16T00:37Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Speaking of Economists pushing a political narrative for personal gain . If fiscal unsustainability puts more pressure on the @federalreserve to monetize sovereign debt its ability to address inflation could be seriously jeopardized note .@willem_buiter and Anne C. Sibert. https://t.co/J7S1wwUdY9 If fiscal unsustainability puts more pressure on the @federalreserve to monetize sovereign debt its ability to address inflation could be seriously jeopardized note .@willem_buiter and Anne C. Sibert. https://t.co/J7S1wwUdY9"
X Link 2026-02-16T01:03Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

""If you wanted to create conditions ideal for a financial crisis a key ingredient would be opacity. An unregulated opaque market is potting soil for uncertainty a markets worst fear which matters in a global tightly coupled financial system where a confidence crisis anywhere can become a confidence crisis everywhere." Been saying this since before the beginning of the Great Financial Crisis. Policymakers failure to restore #transparency across all the opaque sectors of the financial system has set the stage for the next crisis. https://t.co/j9ncVwSDfH via IMF / Chapter [--] / The Rise & Risk of"
X Link 2026-02-16T02:38Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Warsh has the big opportunity to break up the Fed . send monetary policy back to Treasury where it belongs . send supervision/regulation to FDIC where it reinforces market discipline . For more than a decade Kevin Warsh has advocated reining in the Feds pivotal role in the nations financial markets. Now he may finally get the chance to do it. And Wall Street is obsessed with finding out what comes next. w/@samjsutton https://t.co/w54AakRX4C For more than a decade Kevin Warsh has advocated reining in the Feds pivotal role in the nations financial markets. Now he may finally get the chance to"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:14Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@Aarondklein @federalreserve @politico @vtg2 The Fed had been pursuing QE for over a decade before Covid. Why wasn't there a dramatic rise in house prices then"
X Link 2026-02-16T17:35Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"RT @rbisrb: Seriously America"
X Link 2026-02-17T00:22Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"RT @JessicaBRiedl: If you care about a growing economy - or collecting enough taxes to fund benefits for [--] million boomers - labor force g"
X Link 2026-02-17T00:23Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"RT @MishGEA: No one believes real wages rising. @theredhombre @HouseGOP The CPI does not include property taxes or homeowner's insurance"
X Link 2026-02-17T00:29Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"RT @matthewstoller: European leaders know they have no support from their voters to spend more money on defense and they know their voters"
X Link 2026-02-17T00:30Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"This development makes it look even less promising for US oil companies investing in Venezuela . BREAKING: US calls on nationals to leave Venezuela as armed militias are 'setting up roadblocks and searching vehicles for evidence of U.S. citizenship or support for the United States' BREAKING: US calls on nationals to leave Venezuela as armed militias are 'setting up roadblocks and searching vehicles for evidence of U.S. citizenship or support for the United States'"
X Link 2026-01-10T23:39Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"hmmm . watch as the greedy credit card companies chose "no credit" over offering credit at rates where the companies likely to lose money . of course this whole conversation ignores an Act by Congress that allowed the credit card companies to set up in places like South Dakota that don't have a cap on interest rates . Just got off the phone with President @realDonaldTrump and with his full support we will be leading this legislation to lower costs for American families and to reign in greedy credit card companies who have been ripping off hardworking Americans for too long."
X Link 2026-01-10T23:41Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@chigrl You are letting the inconvenient facts get in the way of the White House narrative on Venezuelan oil "
X Link 2026-01-10T23:46Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Been pointing out insolvency of China's banks for years . Chinas banks are almost certainly insolvent on a balance-sheet basis. In short on their books they are showing bad loans as good. When the regime runs out of liquidity they will collapse in the biggest bank crisis in history. Chinas banks are almost certainly insolvent on a balance-sheet basis. In short on their books they are showing bad loans as good. When the regime runs out of liquidity they will collapse in the biggest bank crisis in history"
X Link 2026-01-10T23:47Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@chigrl Suspect Trump will claim it was his role that made the Iranian people's revolution successful "
X Link 2026-01-11T00:05Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@BillAckman @realDonaldTrump @SecScottBessent @pulte Better idea is Fed offer the "People's QE" and funds primary mortgages for first time home buyers at 2.35% . this interest rate makes housing affordable to buyers at today's house price level "
X Link 2026-01-11T00:19Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"@chigrl Complexity is another word for "opacity" . and where there is opacity there is misbehavior hiding behind the veil of opacity "
X Link 2026-01-11T00:20Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"hmmm . not sure how banks extending less credit "de-funds" the banks . it lowers their total profits but it doesn't make any of the cryptocurrency nonsense big winners . I am being told by my source that Trump's plan to cap credit card interest rates at 10% is part of his plan to de-fund the banks. Stablecoins crypto Bitcoin etc are going to win big here. Watch. I am being told by my source that Trump's plan to cap credit card interest rates at 10% is part of his plan to de-fund the banks. Stablecoins crypto Bitcoin etc are going to win big here. Watch"
X Link 2026-01-11T00:53Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

""hidden risk" in AAA-rated securities How exactly can a rating firm justify a AAA rating when opacity hides the risk the security is exposed to @bbm010 @KimGits1 @Sorenthek @dapstats @DiMartinoBooth @dailyjobcuts @ChallengerGray @WARNTracker @MacroEdgeRes @Danstringer74 @jennablan @MotherCabriniNY @m3_melody @JCOviedo6 @tyillc @GlobalMktObserv @PekalaLaw @PiQSuite @JG_Nuke @texasrunnerDFW @SamanthaLaDuc @MarketsPuke @thejobchick @Monetaryguy589 @BrynneKKelly @InEgoVeritas @zerohedge @DarioCpx Make kitchen-sink bonds great again. Orange County. https://t.co/7x9zjDYhPM @bbm010 @KimGits1"
X Link 2026-01-11T20:03Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@BoringBiz_ Let's start with solving housing affordability. Fed offers the "People's QE" . Fed funds primary mortgages at 2.35% for all first time home buyers . this is the interest rate that allows these buyers to buy homes at today's prices "
X Link 2026-01-11T20:10Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"@annmarie @pdoocy Thinking there is an oil company that lost $12B in Venezuela due to its assets being nationalized that might make Exxon the second to last oil company to go back to Venezuela "
X Link 2026-01-11T20:23Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

""Massive fraud" you cite isn't diverting attention any more as StarTribune published an article saying the most it amounts to is $200 million . As for following protocol protocol is to de-escalate. Clearly shooting someone is not de-escalation. Also no evidence officer was hit by the car as none of the videos show him moving as a result . defies physics . the mass of the car is significantly more than what the officer weighs . either the officer or the car would have to give at the moment of impact "
X Link 2026-01-11T20:48Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@TomeoBen @BillAckman @realDonaldTrump @SecScottBessent @pulte While available no reason to require first time buyers to take on interest rate risk (having their payments increase)"
X Link 2026-01-11T20:55Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"All political theatre as Fed was already pursuing the monetary policies White House wants (see lowering interest rates) . Time to end this theatre and break up the Fed . send monetary policy back to Treasury where it belongs . Powell: The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the federal reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public rather than following the preferences of the president This is about whether the fed will be able to continue to set https://t.co/InKimVUp21 Powell: The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the federal"
X Link 2026-01-12T01:25Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Fed has historically been "direct by political pressure or intimidation" . has everyone forgotten LBJ shoving a Fed Chair up against a wall at his Texas ranch . Fed Chairman Powell: "This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions; or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation." Fed Chairman Powell: "This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions; or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by"
X Link 2026-01-12T01:37Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"This is great political theatre as the Fed has been "following the preference of the president" since [----] when FDR declared a national bank holiday . reopened the banks after telling the Fed to provide all the liquidity they needed . Fed Chair Jay Powell: The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public rather than following the preferences of the president. Fed Chair Jay Powell: The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best"
X Link 2026-01-12T01:39Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@RandallSPQR @77cyko But apparently you forgot about OPEC and how its raising the price of oil drove inflation "
X Link 2026-01-12T01:49Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"hmmm . spent the day reading about the riots in Iran and no mention of "opposition leaders" but rather it is a massive protest/revolt by people who have been pushed to the brink . TRUMP SAYS HE IS IN CONTACT WITH IRANIAN OPPOSITION LEADERS TRUMP SAYS HE IS IN CONTACT WITH IRANIAN OPPOSITION LEADERS"
X Link 2026-01-12T01:52Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Fed has historically been "directed by political pressure or intimidation" . has everyone forgotten LBJ shoving a Fed Chair up against a wall at his Texas ranch . Fed Chairman Powell: "This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions; or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation." Fed Chairman Powell: "This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions; or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by"
X Link 2026-01-12T02:10Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"StarTribune leading local paper in Minnesota investigated the claims of fraud and came away with the conclusion fraud might have been as high as $200 million . a far cry from the $9 billion figure political figures floated initially . As for the Fed monetary policy is a great narrative but it is extremely limited in its real world impact. For example monetary policy doesn't impact supply side driven inflation (what we experienced post the pandemic) . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010535655684600266 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010535655684600266"
X Link 2026-01-12T02:13Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@jtjt008 @BoringBiz_ How does it make the problem worse Seriously. Doesn't drive up house prices. Makes boomers comfortable selling. So housing market unfreezes. Meantime first time buyers get the benefit of low rates "
X Link 2026-01-12T02:20Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@jtjt008 @BoringBiz_ One of the great myths sold by GOP is "smaller gov is the solution" . Think we can both agree the gov should be the right size to handle the problems a free market economy isn't fit to handle . say police fire department health insurance for the elderly "
X Link 2026-01-12T02:30Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@AvocadoPablo_ @jtjt008 @BoringBiz_ Bought my first house when mortgage rates were a whole lot higher than your mortgage rate . like you have worked hard to pay off my debts "
X Link 2026-01-12T02:33Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Since Star Tribune article haven't seen anyone debunk the article . at the same time keep seeing the total amount of fraud claimed dropping . from $9 billion originally to where a recent claim of $1.2 billion in fraud in New York is suppose to be several times bigger than fraud in Minnesota . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010541726281195663 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010541726281195663"
X Link 2026-01-12T02:37Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Did someone say the opaque Chinese banks are insolvent . bad debt showing up in personal loans as well as real estate (both residential and commercial) . [----] just started and China already dropped a financial bomb 💣 Beijing quietly EXTENDED a policy letting banks roll over [---] TRILLION yuan of bad personal loans. Translation: the debts are so bad they cant be cleaned up. Banks are dumping credit-card defaults at [----] on the https://t.co/hDssulGcrp [----] just started and China already dropped a financial bomb 💣 Beijing quietly EXTENDED a policy letting banks roll over [---] TRILLION yuan of"
X Link 2026-01-12T14:07Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@PinotandPizza Bullying Fed chairs is not new. LBJ literally pushed one up against a wall at his Texas ranch. What is new and I agree harmful is using the DOJ to do the President's bullying for him"
X Link 2026-01-12T14:19Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Of course Fed nominee could adopt my position and say he is going to break up the Fed . send monetary policy back to Treasury where it belongs . send supervision/regulation to FDIC where it reinforces market discipline . The Fed and markets have a very serious problem https://t.co/kD1m2Wowac https://t.co/PyEtALQyQw The Fed and markets have a very serious problem https://t.co/kD1m2Wowac https://t.co/PyEtALQyQw"
X Link 2026-01-12T15:33Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@EconguyRosie Not sure these "brilliant macro minds" are duped but rather well compensated for saying how well the economy is doing "
X Link 2026-01-12T20:42Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Trump is shedding the illusion the Fed is independent . he is also answering Bessent's question of what do the [---] Fed PhD Economists do . they provide the narrative support for the Fed to implement the monetary policy the President wants. Keep in mind monetary policy is a great narrative with extremely limited real world use . raising rates rapidly (say 4+% in [--] months) can slow economic growth . putting money on sale doesn't guarantee economic growth or more hiring. Every former living Fed Chair (Bernanke Greenspan Yellen) Bipartisan former Treasury Secretaries (Geithner Paulson others)"
X Link 2026-01-12T20:49Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Ending the charade of Fed independence also ends Wall Street's ability to use the Fed to protect it from the consequences of its bad bets . Trying to kill the Feds independence by criminal investigation is not good for that institution and maybe even worse for the Justice Department. Feels like an attempt at murder-suicide. Trying to kill the Feds independence by criminal investigation is not good for that institution and maybe even worse for the Justice Department. Feels like an attempt at murder-suicide"
X Link 2026-01-12T20:51Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Does anyone consider Trump is using the DOJ/Powell tussle as a way to shift the blame for the US economy's poor performance onto the Fed in the run-up to the midterm elections As in "if only the Fed hadn't kept interest rates up so high the economy would be booming and houses would be affordable" . After speaking with Chair Powell this morning its clear the administrations investigation is nothing more than an attempt at coercion. If the Department of Justice believes an investigation into Chair Powell is warranted based on project cost overrunswhich are not After speaking with Chair Powell"
X Link 2026-01-12T20:56Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@TSPsmart LOL You and I realize the next step as we move down from "good" to "okay" is to "bad" . are you sure we aren't already at "bad" and headed lower "
X Link 2026-01-12T20:58Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Your column is based on the observation: monetary policy is a great narrative with extremely limited real world impact . not at all clear the post WWII inflation was the result of monetary policy but rather the time it took to transition the supply-side from providing for war to providing for a peace time economy . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010826408159834307 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010826408159834307"
X Link 2026-01-12T21:29Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Forgive me but since [----] when I started working at the Fed to today there is zero evidence Fed lowering interest rates has boosted the economy . putting money on sale doesn't guarantee either increased economic growth or more hiring . just look at the period from [----] to [----] if money on sale was such a powerful force the economy should have been growing gangbusters "
X Link 2026-01-12T23:59Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@darioperkins Standing up to Trump makes for great political theatre and is needed by Trump so he can blame the mediocre economy on the Fed in the run-up to the midterm elections . Trump: economy would have been great except Fed kept rates too high for too long "
X Link 2026-01-13T01:36Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@TonyNashNerd Trump needs to finish the job and break up the Fed by sending monetary policy back to Treasury where it belongs . for good measure send supervision/regulation to FDIC where it would reinforce market discipline on the banks "
X Link 2026-01-13T02:51Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@TonyNashNerd First does anyone actually believe that reported inflation number Second food inflation is out of control "
X Link 2026-01-13T15:58Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Isn't the real question given the opacity of these private credit funds how does any investor know what they are buying . Five largest credit secondary funds in history all raised in the past year Ares just added $7.1B more When everyones raising billions to buy other peoples private credit stakes ask why everyones selling https://t.co/veKTpoYuen Five largest credit secondary funds in history all raised in the past year Ares just added $7.1B more When everyones raising billions to buy other peoples private credit stakes ask why everyones selling https://t.co/veKTpoYuen"
X Link 2026-01-13T16:02Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@DA_Stockman Trump needs to break-up the Fed . send monetary policy to Treasury where it belongs . supervision & regulation to the FDIC where it reinforces market discipline "
X Link 2026-01-13T21:05Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@amlivemon Fed protects Wall Street from the consequences of its bad bets . no chance Wall Street doesn't rise to Fed's defense "
X Link 2026-01-13T21:52Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Saudi Arabia and Qatar are nervous as their influence in the world greatly diminished if Iran overthrows its regime and adopts a "constitutional monarchy" . Saudi Arabia and Qatar do not want the Khamenei regime to fall and have warned the United States that toppling the Ayatollah regime would destabilize the oil sector. Saudi Arabia prefers a failed theocracy over a thriving democracy that would render it irrelevant and Qatar Saudi Arabia and Qatar do not want the Khamenei regime to fall and have warned the United States that toppling the Ayatollah regime would destabilize the oil sector."
X Link 2026-01-13T21:59Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Saudi Arabia doing everything it can to protect its influence in world affairs . removing the mullahs from power in Iran results in Saudis losing their influence . Saudi Arabia clarified to Iran that it will not take part in an attack against it and will not allow the US to operate from its airspace against Iran. Additionally Saudi Arabia ordered the media in the kingdom to reduce coverage of the protest events in Iran and not to express Saudi Arabia clarified to Iran that it will not take part in an attack against it and will not allow the US to operate from its airspace against Iran."
X Link 2026-01-13T23:23Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@MarkH9222812974 hmmm . if what you say is true why would Saudi Arabia and Qatar warn the US toppling the Ayatollah regime would destabilize the oil sector "
X Link 2026-01-14T02:13Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Another way of saying putting money on sale does not guarantee economic growth . Trump doesnt understand . Historically rates collapse in recessions they RISE in real booms. Trump thinks Powell cuts = rally but if investors do not expect PROFITS they wont borrow at 1% any more than 10%. Its CONFIDENCE that drives markets not Fed propaganda. Trump doesnt understand . Historically rates collapse in recessions they RISE in real booms. Trump thinks Powell cuts = rally but if investors do not expect PROFITS they wont borrow at 1% any more than 10%. Its CONFIDENCE that drives markets not Fed"
X Link 2026-01-14T02:21Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@MarkH9222812974 Trump's tweets aren't for the Iranian people. The tweets are aimed at a different audience (see China and EU) "
X Link 2026-01-14T02:49Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Mish be fair . the Fed doesn't have the ability to control inflation . monetary policy is a great narrative with limited real world usage . if rates raised 4+% in [--] months it can slow economic growth . putting money on sale does not guarantee economic growth (it does guarantee increased financial speculation) . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011484168551534602 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011484168551534602"
X Link 2026-01-14T17:02Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@TonyNashNerd Tariffs are on their way to also being a problem . firms held off passing through entire tariff in price increases in response to tariffs as weren't sure a) what level tariffs would actually end at and b) if tariffs would actually stay in place "
X Link 2026-01-14T17:45Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Wonder to what extent Qatar's plane and Saudi Arabia hotel/golf course partnership play a role in Trump's response to Iran revolution . In November Trump named Saudi Arabia a major non-NATO ally and committed to giving them weapons training. Now the Trump family gets to build a $7 billion hotel and golf course in Saudi Arabia in partnership with a group tied to the Saudi Crown Prince. Every Trump policy In November Trump named Saudi Arabia a major non-NATO ally and committed to giving them weapons training. Now the Trump family gets to build a $7 billion hotel and golf course in Saudi Arabia"
X Link 2026-01-14T17:49Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@Archfeldspar1 @TonyNashNerd Health care inflation isn't keeping up with people's lived experience "
X Link 2026-01-14T20:04Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"hmmm . why exactly did the US not have a carrier strike group near the Middle East . The Pentagon has ordered the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) and her Carrier Strike Group consisting of the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyers; USSSpruance(DDG-111) USSMichael Murphy(DDG-112) and USSFrank E. Petersen Jr.(DDG-121) to depart their current https://t.co/I2qfr9FlsB The Pentagon has ordered the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) and her Carrier Strike Group consisting of the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyers; USSSpruance(DDG-111) USSMichael Murphy(DDG-112) and USSFrank E. Petersen"
X Link 2026-01-15T02:23Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Nothing in life is guaranteed (other than you eventually will die) . pathetic excuse for not trying . BREAKING: Planned U.S. Strike on Iran Reportedly Halted at the Last Minute A planned U.S. military strike on Iran was reportedly called off just minutes before execution after Donald Trump personally intervened according to Walla military analyst Amir Bohbot. Iranian https://t.co/ARyJGDAZwm BREAKING: Planned U.S. Strike on Iran Reportedly Halted at the Last Minute A planned U.S. military strike on Iran was reportedly called off just minutes before execution after Donald Trump personally"
X Link 2026-01-15T22:06Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Critically important and excellent analysis on how artificially manipulating oil prices lower today sets us up for much higher prices in the future "
X Link 2026-01-16T22:17Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@dinahgirl88 @SenThomTillis "Minneapolis refuses to handover known criminal illegals from prison" . directly from your tweet . simply pointed out Minneapolis doesn't run the prisons "
X Link 2026-01-18T01:19Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@amlivemon What about the Middle East . Iran . Kurds . ISIS "
X Link 2026-01-19T20:37Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Betting Trump will still keep claiming foreign firms are paying the tariffs . By analyzing $4 trillion of shipments between January [----] and November [----] researchers found that foreign exporters absorbed only about 4% of the burden of last years U.S. tariff increases by lowering their prices while American consumers and importers absorbed 96%. The By analyzing $4 trillion of shipments between January [----] and November [----] researchers found that foreign exporters absorbed only about 4% of the burden of last years U.S. tariff increases by lowering their prices while American consumers and"
X Link 2026-01-19T20:38Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"talk . talk . talk . Jolani doesn't care . Lindesy Graham in a message to Jolani: If Syrian government forces continue to advance in the north toward Raqqa I will push for reimposing Caesar Act sanctions on steroids. Apparently no one in Syria is listening to me or other U.S. government officials. If this continues https://t.co/YYmNXP2Kr2 Lindesy Graham in a message to Jolani: If Syrian government forces continue to advance in the north toward Raqqa I will push for reimposing Caesar Act sanctions on steroids. Apparently no one in Syria is listening to me or other U.S. government officials. If"
X Link 2026-01-19T20:54Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"By "better" Graham means Senate will hold a hearing and conclude US should have militarily intervene on the Kurds behalf but now it is too late . You cannot unite Syria by the use of military force as Syrian government leader Ahmed Al-Sharaa is trying to do. This move by Syrian government forces against SDF members is fraught with peril. I would expect Congress would want to have hearings and briefings ASAP. I believe You cannot unite Syria by the use of military force as Syrian government leader Ahmed Al-Sharaa is trying to do. This move by Syrian government forces against SDF members is"
X Link 2026-01-19T20:58Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Unfair as it assumes Barrack had any dignity to begin with . if he did not clear why he would want to be associated with Trump . Tom Barrack is nothing more than Erdogans puppet a man who sold his dignity for money. Originally a nationalist Arab from Lebanon he has used his position to relentlessly attack Israel and the Kurds. his next target is Iraqi Kurdistan Since being appointed as Turkeys https://t.co/pa2SSJiqTN Tom Barrack is nothing more than Erdogans puppet a man who sold his dignity for money. Originally a nationalist Arab from Lebanon he has used his position to relentlessly attack"
X Link 2026-01-20T00:42Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@HenYeahMan @MishGEA @jlounsbury59 @USRoute41 @mtmalinen @jimiuorio @JonFraserTF @GratkeWealth @grok @dgsommersmkts You actually believe the election fraud myth Despite the GOP's best efforts it hasn't been found to exist. At what point do you think facts might matter and have an impact on your opinion"
X Link 2026-01-20T01:10Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@HenYeahMan @MishGEA @jlounsbury59 @USRoute41 @mtmalinen @jimiuorio @JonFraserTF @GratkeWealth @grok @dgsommersmkts This index hasn't been right ever . what do you think healthcare inflation is . apparently you don't pay for health insurance "
X Link 2026-01-20T02:26Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@MarkH9222812974 So you are not reading the news about Turkey and Syria attacking the Kurds . ok . once again you are demonstrating the triumph of opinion over facts "
X Link 2026-01-20T02:28Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"It appears Trump is more interested in sending US troops to places like Minnesota and Greenland than he is in helping the Kurds defeat ISIS or the Iranians throw out the Ayatollah and his regime . Just spitballing but there might be a reason Trump isn't winning the Nobel Peace Prize "
X Link 2026-01-20T15:28Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"The Economists at the IMF naturally weighed in on the sanctity of central bank independence . after all they too are members of the Priesthood of the Economic PhDs . shortly after everyone realizes the Fed has never been independent they also recognize Economics profession is long narrative and short positive real world impact . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013638766330528173 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013638766330528173"
X Link 2026-01-20T15:44Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@TonyNashNerd You are ignoring confusion . as in why is US ownership of Greenland necessary . doesn't change US ability to put military there . doesn't change US ability to increase mining of rare earth minerals there "
X Link 2026-01-20T19:55Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"My candidacy for Fed chair must still be viable . I promise my first act as Chair will be to undo the [----] Treasury/Fed Accord and send monetary policy back to Treasury where it belongs . this is consistent with the Fed's mandate for price stability and maximum employment . I've been arguing this for months. Trump does not like any of his "finalists" for Fed Chairman. He is still looking. If he picks one of the finalists it's because he cannot find anyone better. There is really only one person who meets his criteria: himself. @MarkHalperin I've been arguing this for months. Trump does not"
X Link 2026-01-20T19:58Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"hmmm . so Japan's carry trade unraveling . have to wonder how much of a selloff in US assets this will trigger . SCOTT BESSENT: Markets are going down because Japan's bond market just suffered a six-standard-deviation move in ten-year bonds over the past two days. This has nothing to do with Greenland; it's all about the Japanese bond blowout. @SecScottBessent https://t.co/sZqGdsHX3g SCOTT BESSENT: Markets are going down because Japan's bond market just suffered a six-standard-deviation move in ten-year bonds over the past two days. This has nothing to do with Greenland; it's all about the"
X Link 2026-01-20T21:27Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Lots of stories about GA in [----] . please keep in mind the Secretary of State overseeing the GA election was a Republican . he truly had and admitted to an incentive to look for and uncover voter fraud . particularly among Democratic voters . not for a lack of effort but wasn't able to find this fraud . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013797348250435904 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013797348250435904"
X Link 2026-01-21T02:14Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@onefishtwofis20 @EpsilonTheory Since [----] it has been the role of the Fed and its army of PhD Economists to come up with BS explanations for what is happening in the economy and financial markets "
X Link 2026-01-21T02:15Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Asked @Grok if voter fraud found in GA in 2020: its answer . "Investigations audits and court reviews following the [----] presidential election in Georgia identified a small number of isolated violations and procedural errors such as a handful of felons or non-citizens voting illegally and some unsigned tabulator tapes affecting around [------] ballots in Fulton County. These issues were referred for prosecution where appropriate but multiple statewide auditsincluding a full hand recountconfirmed the original results with no evidence of widespread fraud capable of altering the outcome. Claims of"
X Link 2026-01-21T02:18Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"hmmm . Wall Street buys homes with funds raised from institutional investors . this Trump EO is much ado about nothing . issued for political optics . The White House just released details of its executive order on institutional investors in single-family homes. The order doesn't actually ban institutional buyers (presumably due to legal limits) but does look to limit it through various means like blocking Fannie and Freddie https://t.co/I3SHwrlBbt The White House just released details of its executive order on institutional investors in single-family homes. The order doesn't actually ban"
X Link 2026-01-21T02:27Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@amlivemon Not sure @chigrl would say it is "easy" to replace heavy crude from Canada with heavy crude from Venezuela Guyana and Iraq . something about how the refineries have been optimized (a lot of money spent) for Canadian heavy crude "
X Link 2026-01-21T18:04Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@davidsirota Mainstream media has been mostly stenographers for the last 3+ decades"
X Link 2026-01-21T18:07Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Keep promising as the next Fed chair the first item on the agenda would be ending the [----] Treasury/Fed accord and sending monetary policy back to Treasury/Bessent where it belongs . If that happened at a Wall Street firm the CEO would be out. Last year Scott Bessent called monetary policy independence a jewel worth protecting and was seen as a voice of moderation as other Trump advisers wanted to aggressively take on the Fed. Now hes publicly If that happened at a Wall Street firm the CEO would be out. Last year Scott Bessent called monetary policy independence a jewel worth protecting and"
X Link 2026-01-21T18:22Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"I realize how desperately the Fed officials and the Priesthood of the Economic PhDs cling to the idea of Fed "independence" but the reality is it hasn't been independent of the White House since [----] . What the Fed has done since then is provide the monetary policy the WH wants along with a narrative to justify said policy . Statement from Fed governor Lisa Cook after today's SCOTUS arguments over Trump's attempt to fire her from the central bank "This case is about whether the Federal Reserve will set key interest rates guided by evidence and independent judgment or will succumb to political"
X Link 2026-01-21T18:25Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@RobMcNealy @MishGEA @jlounsbury59 @USRoute41 @mtmalinen @jimiuorio @JonFraserTF @GratkeWealth @grok @dgsommersmkts EPA isn't really stopping the mining . its regulations are making it very expensive to refine and transform the rare earths into usable end products "
X Link 2026-01-22T19:32Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Disclosure showing the funds on science didn't go to fraud and grift is very reasonable . Who decides what is "useless spending" is a different issue. Right up there with claims of "waste" in spending. There isn't an agreed upon definition of useless or waste when it comes to spending . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014431894566535571 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014431894566535571"
X Link 2026-01-22T20:16Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"How are US interests in the Middle East served by withdrawing from Syria . if US going to withdraw wouldn't it want an independent Kurdistan to go along with a Druze state supported by Israel . SCOOP: Washington is considering a complete withdrawal of American troops from Syria U.S. officials said as Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa moved to wrest control of the northeastern part of the country from an American-backed Kurdish-led militia. https://t.co/wpBL8jtfej SCOOP: Washington is considering a complete withdrawal of American troops from Syria U.S. officials said as Syrian President Ahmed"
X Link 2026-01-22T20:19Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@darioperkins It is the primary role of Fed officials to push a policy narrative that supports the monetary policy the White House wants . Warsh is just showing he knows how to champion a narrative the White House wants "
X Link 2026-01-23T18:20Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Of course the facts won't stop the GOP from asserting massive voter fraud by illegals/noncitizens . NEW: In a revelation that undercuts the GOP narrative of widespread noncitizen voting in elections a Utah audit of over [--] million voter registrations found only one apparent noncitizen on the rolls and they never even voted. https://t.co/YUFdgIkFQ4 NEW: In a revelation that undercuts the GOP narrative of widespread noncitizen voting in elections a Utah audit of over [--] million voter registrations found only one apparent noncitizen on the rolls and they never even voted. https://t.co/YUFdgIkFQ4"
X Link 2026-01-23T22:30Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"hmmmm . opaque investments that hide risk suddenly disclosing worth almost 20% less . *BLACKROCK PRIVATE DEBT FUND EXPECTS 19% NET ASSET VALUE CUT Nice casual headline for Friday after the close. *BLACKROCK PRIVATE DEBT FUND EXPECTS 19% NET ASSET VALUE CUT Nice casual headline for Friday after the close"
X Link 2026-01-24T01:04Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@Convertbond Opacity of private credit means the necessary facts are unavailable to confirm or deny your estimate . could be 1/2 as much or [--] times as much but investors don't know as they don't have the needed info . Expect investors to "run" from private credit "
X Link 2026-01-24T19:25Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

""Privae Equity is a vast scandal" . showing once again misbehavior occurs behind the veil of opacity . Like we said. Private equity is a vast scandal. Like we said. Private equity is a vast scandal"
X Link 2026-01-24T19:28Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@MarkH9222812974 @NickKristof Except under our Constitution you are entitled to peacefully protest and if licensed to carry a weapon. So apparently you don't like either of these elements of the Constitution"
X Link 2026-01-25T01:02Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"The GFC normalized government officials and "experts" lying to the American people even when it was obvious to everyone the officials and "experts" were lying . "experts" were chosen by the Mainstream media because the narrative they provided supported the government officials narrative . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015432827383210000 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015432827383210000"
X Link 2026-01-25T14:33Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Agree with you "working and middle classes been gutted since GFC" . prior to the acute phase of the crisis in [----] I said what had to be done to protect society and the real economy . when the policy of "saving the banks" was first adopted I pointed out the toxic impact it would have and we are now seeing today "
X Link 2026-01-25T17:42Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Forgive me but what exactly is the "law enforcement operation" he inserted himself in to Serious question. Videos show the demonstration was peaceful. Videos show the ICE agent shoved the woman down and sprayed a chemical in her face. Article [--] allows for peaceful demonstrations. What exactly do you think was the "law enforcement operation" that was going on https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015507411411312719 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015507411411312719"
X Link 2026-01-25T19:29Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Just saw ICE now claiming they were there to arrest someone . part of the story that is missing is how the woman who was pushed down and had chemicals sprayed in her face somehow interfered with all the other ICE agents that were there making the arrest of the individual they sought . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015523435959796006 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015523435959796006"
X Link 2026-01-25T20:33Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@nnzp1730 From the WSJ: https://www.wsj.com/us-news/in-battle-for-evidence-minnesota-sues-feds-over-fatal-border-patrol-shooting-52be59bamod=WSJ_home_mediumtopper_pos_4 https://www.wsj.com/us-news/in-battle-for-evidence-minnesota-sues-feds-over-fatal-border-patrol-shooting-52be59bamod=WSJ_home_mediumtopper_pos_4"
X Link 2026-01-25T20:46Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"So having heard a gun go off ICE agents preceded to shoot an unarmed individual in the back [--] times . What part of "unarmed" did the ICE agents have trouble with . it was clear the guy with his back to them wasn't shooting at them . To say the agents panicked at the sound of a gun shot doesn't mean their subsequent conduct is either justified or legal. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015540392192512340 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015540392192512340"
X Link 2026-01-25T21:40Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@nnzp1730 We require our officials carrying guns to use their eyes . a gun going off and no gun in the hands of the guy you are looking at should 100% of the time indicate he isn't the shooter "
X Link 2026-01-25T23:17Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Of course when Dodd-Frank was being debated I pointed out all these financial regulations were unnecessary if banks had to disclose their current exposures in real time . market include bank competitors more than capable of assessing this info and exerting discipline to restrain excessive risk taking . @ProfKateJudge The polarization on finreg has been 15+ years in the making beginning with the passage and implementation of Dodd-Frank. @ProfKateJudge The polarization on finreg has been 15+ years in the making beginning with the passage and implementation of Dodd-Frank"
X Link 2026-01-26T16:30Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"GOP MN governor candidate shows more morals and willingness to act than all the Democratic Senators . they all appear to want to go "tsk tsk tsk" . NEW: Republican Chris Madel announced hes ending his run for Minnesota governor saying he cannot support the national GOPs stated retribution on the citizens of our state nor can I count myself a member of a party that would do so. United States citizens particularly https://t.co/h5jFWeuz1O NEW: Republican Chris Madel announced hes ending his run for Minnesota governor saying he cannot support the national GOPs stated retribution on the citizens"
X Link 2026-01-26T17:32Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"Lowering interest rates guarantees increased financial speculation which is positive for assets . beyond that lowering rates have "limited impact on the economy" . So if the goal is higher asset prices then cut rates. Otherwise leave interest rates alone . Rieder would be positive for all assets but dollar negative. More importantly he sees that rates have a limited impact on the economy can actually be stimulative and acknowledges the links with fiscal. He is a good pick for a fiscal dominant regime. https://t.co/qHdtYBO98H Rieder would be positive for all assets but dollar negative. More"
X Link 2026-01-26T18:29Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@GaryHaubold @MishGEA @jlounsbury59 @USRoute41 @mtmalinen @jimiuorio @JonFraserTF @GratkeWealth @grok @dgsommersmkts True"
X Link 2026-01-26T19:05Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@langwiser Call for legislation ending ICE and saying they won't vote for a government spending bill until this legislation is passed and signed into law "
X Link 2026-01-26T22:21Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@rcwhalen If inflation the US is facing was demand driven lowering interest rates would likely lower inflation as consumers would have less to spend. Since inflation in the US is supply side driven (see tariffs) cutting interest rates won't reduce inflation "
X Link 2026-01-27T00:14Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Fed and White House lost control of the financial system starting in the 1980s when Reagan Administration made Wall Street the SEC's client rather than Main Street. Since that time the financial system has become more and more opaque. The Great Financial Crisis was simply an earthquake along the opacity fault line. Since #transparency was not restore to all the opaque corners of the financial system we can expect that to happen again . I think the Fed and White House have lost control of the financial system and do not even know it yet. Weird things will happen. This is uncharted territory. I"
X Link 2026-01-27T01:50Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"PE has always been an asset manager compensation scheme in search of an asset class . The Yale endowment model in 2025: Yale 3-year return: 6.2% Princeton: 4.3% Simple 70/30 portfolio: beat both College of New Jersey with ZERO PE: 11.5% Turns out index funds work. https://t.co/gz5UTAYfOZ The Yale endowment model in 2025: Yale 3-year return: 6.2% Princeton: 4.3% Simple 70/30 portfolio: beat both College of New Jersey with ZERO PE: 11.5% Turns out index funds work. https://t.co/gz5UTAYfOZ"
X Link 2026-01-27T14:27Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements

"@langwiser Home sellers aren't dumb . they can understand the goal of the Fed's People's QE is to allow buyers to buy their homes at today's prices . if they want to sell they won't raise prices . those that do will likely find their home isn't selling "
X Link 2026-01-27T22:30Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

"@robblackwellAB I apologize as you simply reported the narrative. You couldn't have been expected to know the narrative wasn't true and was created solely for the benefit of the bankers"
X Link 2018-05-21T19:04Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements

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