@philoinvestor Avatar @philoinvestor Philoinvestor

Philoinvestor posts on X about ai, $fig, $duol, stocks the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence stocks 45.76% finance 33.05% technology brands 22.88% cryptocurrencies 8.47% social networks 5.08% countries 5.08% currencies 5.08% products 0.85% fashion brands 0.85% luxury brands 0.85%

Social topic influence ai 11.86%, $fig 8.47%, $duol 6.78%, stocks 6.78%, business 6.78%, money 6.78%, in the 5.93%, major 5.08%, $goog 5.08%, open ai 5.08%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @davidkatunaric @ian46282541 @kristovski @k_ristovski @etienneffm @boringbiz @melefante6 @traderdante @mrderivatives @longshorttrader @thestalwart @ericbalchunas @toddsohn @walterschloss @highyieldharry @tiktokinvestors @breadcrumbsre @texasoncologist @macaronicapital @alphapicks

Top assets mentioned Figma, Inc. (FIG) Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Coursera, Inc. (COUR) Ethereum (ETH) Bitcoin (BTC) Strategy (MSTR) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Metadium (META) CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV) Transocean LTD. (RIG) Validity (VAL) BITMINE IMMERSION TECH (BMNR) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Columbia Sportswear Co (COLM) PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) Zoom Video Communications Inc (ZM) T-Mobile (TMUS) AT&T Inc. (T) Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Creative Destruction / Race to the Bottom. $AMZN etc"
X Link 2026-02-14T10:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Megacaps announcing pause in AI capex How Are they all going to hold hands and go on TV and say "PEOPLE WE WERE STUPID WE ARE CUTTING BACK ON AI CAPEX BY 80% AS OF TOMORROW" No the market needs to punish their stock valuations first and then they will react. See reply tweet"
X Link 2026-02-13T23:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"It's not the multiple that makes it cheap or expensive here you need more context than that. What if Sales go up by 10X with major contribution margins to the bottom line It's about range of outcomes don't you agree I touched on that optionality in my first piece on $DUOL here: free for all now https://www.philoinvestor.com/i/51156687/back-of-the-envelope https://www.philoinvestor.com/i/51156687/back-of-the-envelope"
X Link 2026-02-14T13:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$AAPL Selling for $3.43trln. FY [----] Net Income at $94bln so 34X Earnings. Yet no growth. In fact PRODUCTS had a negative growth saved by Services"
X Link 2024-10-31T20:55Z [----] followers, 122.4K engagements

"$CRWV NOT ONLY is CoreWeave effectively an off-balance sheet arrangement for Hyperscalers. But the company doesn't even get PAID for the compute that they produce (at a loss mind you) SHOW YOUR WORKINGS 👇 - $2.2bln in Revenue for H1 [----] - Accounts Receivable Dec 31st [----] at $416.5mln - Accounts Receivable H1 [----] at $1.94bln - Netting off the two gives you an - increase of $1.524bln in the absolute AR figure Therefore a $1.5bln increase in AR in a [--] month period which reported sales of $2.2bln. -- That simply means the company got paid 32cents for every dollar of revenue it booked during"
X Link 2025-08-13T21:43Z [----] followers, 64.8K engagements

"You need to be a philosopher to make it in markets make no mistake. cc: @Trader_Dante"
X Link 2025-10-06T10:36Z [----] followers, 19.9K engagements

"UK-listed stocks that are uncorrelated to the AI hype. I own all four of them right now. #InterestingRiskReward Dr. Martens $DOCS.L Iconic brand rebooting. Expanding beyond boots overhauling distribution. Post-IPO collapse may be overdone. 🥾 Fever-Tree $FEVR.L Premium mixer leader trading at [--] sales after a brutal slump. Supply issues easing growth runway intact. Robust to weakening alcohol consumptions per capita 😉 Greggs $GRG.L The UKs fast-food royalty. Efficiency and expansion levers ahead. Still cheap for its moat. King of the Sausage Roll 👑 Clarksons $CKN.L Shippings quiet"
X Link 2025-10-13T08:36Z [----] followers, 11.2K engagements

"*MICHAEL BLOOMBERG SAID TO WRITE DOWN HIS NET WORTH BY 50% BECAUSE AI"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:29Z [----] followers, 155.3K engagements

"Are the Dutch on the hook for UNREALIZED capital gains tax now If so thoughts"
X Link 2026-02-13T07:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Am I missing any important events for $OKLO"
X Link 2026-02-14T15:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$DOCS.L up 65% since this. It's crazy how inefficient the UK can get sometimes. Still selling for less than 1X sales Permira owns 370mln shares in Dr Martens. GS tried to broker-sell 70mln shares today at 10% below market. Share price tanked 20%. $DOCS.L HOWEVER sources say Permira wasn't involved in this sale. I don't know who the seller(s) could be but it doesn't matter really. https://t.co/4N8JFJi8wf Permira owns 370mln shares in Dr Martens. GS tried to broker-sell 70mln shares today at 10% below market. Share price tanked 20%. $DOCS.L HOWEVER sources say Permira wasn't involved in this"
X Link 2025-08-18T10:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Five Under-the-Radar stocks with potentially big upside. [--]. $FEVR.L Fever-Tree - leader in the premium mixers category (and more). Growth ahead and selling for 3X sales after a deep price slump. Issues being fixed. [--]. $COUR Coursera - leader in EdTech pushing on cost control and growing year by year. Fortress balance sheet and could execute on a sector-changing acquisition going forward. Dumped their CEO recently. No AI isn't going to kill them probably the contrary. [--]. $CROX - category leader with a brand strong enough to be copied. Executed on pointless acquisition with HeyDude and now"
X Link 2025-08-27T11:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Columbia Sportswear down 50% since [----]. $COLM Sales stable Gross Margins stable EBIT Margins split by half -- SGA up 10-11 points from [----] to Q3 [----] Do you own it Did you own it Thoughts https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1998732642510942330 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1998732642510942330"
X Link 2025-12-10T12:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"FinTwit going from oblivious on $DUOL Duolingo to hating it when it spikes 5X on a business model they never cared to understand and think on. To then automatically concluding that the business has been disrupted (because of AI) and is finished. Meanwhile I wrote two pieces on the company one before the major rally started and the second before the major crash happened - laying out the exact setup with the optionality and why. And yet I have STILL not seen ONE big account on FinTwit share my work somewhere 😂 I thought people were here to learn Maybe change their minds Sometimes Note: This"
X Link 2026-01-15T09:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"BOT some more $DOCS.L here. Down 12% on the day post results. $DOCS.L up 65% since this. It's crazy how inefficient the UK can get sometimes. Still selling for less than 1X sales https://t.co/Mb1JA6p3O7 $DOCS.L up 65% since this. It's crazy how inefficient the UK can get sometimes. Still selling for less than 1X sales https://t.co/Mb1JA6p3O7"
X Link 2026-01-27T11:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$WTIC Saudi got the message. Cutting back on mega projects and rationalising the investment not the rumours are official. They tried to build it all in one swoop painfully realising it doesn't work that way. But that's not all - Saudi is preparing for an oil price war against (FIRST and foremost) the other OPEC+ members that fell out of line. (They see it as a discipline building exercise) This is one of the [--] major risks we flagged in the end-of-year [--] Worries for [----] piece: https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/3-worries-for-2026-and-their-analogies Saudi Aramco - pristine balance sheet"
X Link 2026-01-28T10:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Actually it was never supposed to protect from inflation or currency devaluation. That was the other story that creeped up when the previous one failed too Bitcoin reminds me of stocks like PayPal ( $PYPL ) and Zoom ( $ZM ). PayPal was the future of money. Zoom was the future of communication. In the concept phase prices went parabolic-no PE no valuation anchor just a story. Then growth stopped. Suddenly they had a PE. Some https://t.co/ZAV2bISDVS Bitcoin reminds me of stocks like PayPal ( $PYPL ) and Zoom ( $ZM ). PayPal was the future of money. Zoom was the future of communication. In the"
X Link 2026-02-01T10:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Is this going to zero $CRWV $CRWV NOT ONLY is CoreWeave effectively an off-balance sheet arrangement for Hyperscalers. But the company doesn't even get PAID for the compute that they produce (at a loss mind you) SHOW YOUR WORKINGS 👇 - $2.2bln in Revenue for H1 [----] - Accounts Receivable Dec 31st https://t.co/RMwEyut7EK $CRWV NOT ONLY is CoreWeave effectively an off-balance sheet arrangement for Hyperscalers. But the company doesn't even get PAID for the compute that they produce (at a loss mind you) SHOW YOUR WORKINGS 👇 - $2.2bln in Revenue for H1 [----] - Accounts Receivable Dec 31st"
X Link 2026-02-02T15:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$FIG down 83% since posting this. Views: [--] https://youtu.be/JKaOhnmd-c8si=WBPPCRzd_JD-03pE https://youtu.be/JKaOhnmd-c8si=WBPPCRzd_JD-03pE"
X Link 2026-02-04T10:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"50% or so left. $FIG This is going to cross $10 $FIG https://t.co/A4gQwFGLsA This is going to cross $10 $FIG https://t.co/A4gQwFGLsA"
X Link 2026-02-04T12:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Disruptors or Disrupted Duolingo $DUOL https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/disruptors-or-disrupted-duolingo https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/disruptors-or-disrupted-duolingo"
X Link 2026-02-06T15:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$RIG Management and every offshore bull on FinTwit has been dunking on $VAL management for years. Now apparently it makes sense to merge with them. Why so Excerpt from https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/state-of-offshore https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/state-of-offshore"
X Link 2026-02-09T13:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Now what $ETH $BMNR Why is Ethereum up 100% in the past two months $ETH THEY BECAME THEIR OWN CATALYST On June 30th $BMNR BitMine Immersion Technologies announced a private placement to raise $250 million and become an Ethereum Treasury Company with grand aspirations. The stock gapped up and https://t.co/yg1EnCX0Xo Why is Ethereum up 100% in the past two months $ETH THEY BECAME THEIR OWN CATALYST On June 30th $BMNR BitMine Immersion Technologies announced a private placement to raise $250 million and become an Ethereum Treasury Company with grand aspirations. The stock gapped up and"
X Link 2026-02-09T18:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"*must be over for Duolingo then 😂 $DUOL *DUOLINGO FALLS 6% PREMARKET AS T-MOBILE SET TO BEGIN AI-TRANSLATION FOR PHONE CALLS $DUOL $TMUS $T $VZ You know all the carriers will be rolling this out in rapid succession. *DUOLINGO FALLS 6% PREMARKET AS T-MOBILE SET TO BEGIN AI-TRANSLATION FOR PHONE CALLS $DUOL $TMUS $T $VZ You know all the carriers will be rolling this out in rapid succession"
X Link 2026-02-11T14:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"A stake in WHAT now. $1.7trln market cap company To do what with it 😂 get announced get faded immediately https://t.co/V97hj5BANm get announced get faded immediately https://t.co/V97hj5BANm"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$GOOG confirms it. "Im willing to go bankrupt rather than lose this race. Google cofounder Larry Page on the AI spending race Sometimes you should believe what people say. https://t.co/D91DaCRCyT "Im willing to go bankrupt rather than lose this race. Google cofounder Larry Page on the AI spending race Sometimes you should believe what people say. https://t.co/D91DaCRCyT"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"NARRATIVE FOLLOWS PRICE. If you expect to get a GOOD price the narrative has to be shit out there. Don't get it twisted. The money comes from your variant perception. That presupposes you have one first. Take the narrative on $DUOL right now it's easy. Scroll FinTwit have a look at the chart. Then study the business by yourself. Use your findings to value the company. Range of outcomes optionality etc. Compare the two. What do you get https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021701149477531986 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021701149477531986"
X Link 2026-02-11T21:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Etienneffm More frees more paids more ARPU. More sales and a greater profits. Duo is def not terminal rn growth is stellar. Duo waiting for the vibe coded version of himself"
X Link 2026-02-12T10:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@LongShortTrader Einhorn/Greenlight/AROD"
X Link 2026-02-12T10:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Me: OpenAI is raising at a trillion but losing $16bln a year. Sam: The Dow is at 50K"
X Link 2026-02-12T11:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"*CLAUDE MAX USER CLONES YOUTUBE ON HIS MACBOOK AIR IN [--] MINUTES *ANALYSTS TURN SUPER BEARISH ON $GOOG *QUOTE: "AI DISRUPTION EXPECTED TO WEIGH ON ALPHABET""
X Link 2026-02-12T13:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Another rout in the market today because of: 1) name 2) your 3) reason. - Worries include excessive capital spending - Microsoft pulling back even more from OpenAI - Softbank casts doubt on their OpenAI investment I dusted off our model (see image) of the Techno-Imperial Cycle and started to write a follow up piece. Dumbed Down Conclusion: The cycle may now go in reverse as the market penalises AI and AI Capex if proof of ROI is not solid. But OAI still wants to solidify their balance sheet and IPO its all part of their grand strategy. As discussed in Zooming out on AI."
X Link 2026-02-12T22:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@TheStalwart When it went from $35 to $120 did aliens steal tons of Silver and take it back with them to their planet"
X Link 2026-02-12T22:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Ian46282541 Creation of private co that will get the margin. You mean they will start to implement any measures to skim off the value off the public co towards private firms right"
X Link 2026-02-13T08:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Ian46282541 Is this unrealised capital gains tax thing only for listed equities"
X Link 2026-02-13T13:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@david_katunaric 🎯"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@k_ristovski @david_katunaric I don't see why this won't be applied to PE. They can force sponsors to approximate value creation by year market or no market and charge the partners on that Boom"
X Link 2026-02-14T11:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"From Narrative to Fundamentals: The Exact Research Process on TradingView. $COUR #tradingtech https://youtu.be/P1gGS1K8Nvo https://youtu.be/P1gGS1K8Nvo"
X Link 2026-02-01T15:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$RIG x $VAL"
X Link 2026-02-09T13:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Down 57% in the last year. $SNAP Evan Spiegel sold $1.7bln worth of stock in the past [--] years though. Still owns 30mln shares"
X Link 2026-02-13T23:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$AMZN is now a sum of parts play $AMZN under $200 feels like $GOOGL at $160. And dont forget $AMZN stake in Anthropic is now worth $60.6 billion. $AMZN under $200 feels like $GOOGL at $160. And dont forget $AMZN stake in Anthropic is now worth $60.6 billion"
X Link 2026-02-14T00:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$AVGO P/E 70X $NVDA P/E 30X This makes no sense at all"
X Link 2026-02-14T11:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@k_ristovski @david_katunaric I didn't realise Private Equity owned every single SME in the Netherlands"
X Link 2026-02-14T12:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@k_ristovski @david_katunaric Cool and my point is this: 1) They can do it if they want and 2) It's stupid to apply such a heavy tax on listed stocks and leave non-listed shares out of it. Good luck to the Dutch this is a major fuck up. You FA with capitalism and you FO soon enough"
X Link 2026-02-14T13:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@EricBalchunas @Todd_Sohn Just sick"
X Link 2026-02-15T00:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@walter_schloss HAHA legendary. Ok awesome - do you mind sharing some of your successful past investments and also how you define "deep value""
X Link 2025-06-09T16:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@BoringBiz_ Now if he can just remove that degree from his resume"
X Link 2025-06-17T15:50Z [----] followers, 109.4K engagements

"PE has shifted from primarily using Debt Leverage -- to now using Tech Leverage/Platform Leverage (i.e. Operating Leverage) 1) Business models changed: biggest companies decades ago were capital intensive. Banks major conglomerates etc. 2) Now biggest businesses are tech and tech-led 3) In addition the traditional LBO model was not scalable - and the PE boys had major ambitions 4) They decided to add value by pulling the "quality" lever rather than plain old financial leverage. 5) The above are the reasons which I believe caused this shift. I wrote a short piece on the Private Equity setup"
X Link 2025-06-20T21:51Z [----] followers, 24.7K engagements

"@HighyieldHarry Did that without anyone forcing me to do it🥲"
X Link 2025-06-21T21:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@BoringBiz_ I always knew hoteliers knew something I did not"
X Link 2025-07-22T12:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$DOCS.L up 67% since this. This seller sold the bottom basically. Philoinvestor featured Dr Martens last August and the stock is up 21% since then. Permira owns 370mln shares in Dr Martens. GS tried to broker-sell 70mln shares today at 10% below market. Share price tanked 20%. $DOCS.L HOWEVER sources say Permira wasn't involved in this sale. I don't know who the seller(s) could be but it doesn't matter really. https://t.co/4N8JFJi8wf Permira owns 370mln shares in Dr Martens. GS tried to broker-sell 70mln shares today at 10% below market. Share price tanked 20%. $DOCS.L HOWEVER sources say"
X Link 2025-07-25T11:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Everyone is losing it over $META results and the jump in EBIT margin - good job there META. But context check: Capex doubled y/y for the quarter from $8bln to $16bln"
X Link 2025-07-30T20:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$META's numbers look amazing - until you follow the cash"
X Link 2025-07-31T15:51Z [----] followers, 20.1K engagements

"$FIG Figma currently at $65bln in the after hours. Expected revenue for [----] probably around $1.2 bln normalising that FCF margin at 30% gives us $350mln in free cash. That's 200X FCF. Video dropping in a bit"
X Link 2025-08-01T10:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FIG Why FIGMA is a GREAT company but NOT a great stock"
X Link 2025-08-01T12:04Z [----] followers, 23.8K engagements

"$AAPL is not worth $3 trillion. Peter Lynch wouldn't even buy it at $1.5 trillion"
X Link 2025-08-05T23:37Z [----] followers, 32.4K engagements

"$NQ Any chance we re-test the [----] lows again What underpinned this cycle: - Multiple Expansion (look at $AAPL) - Expectations of AI driving valuation premiums - Massive capex by Hyperscalers and Big Tech $AMZN $GOOG - That benefitted companies like $NVDA - But also beneffited the hyperscalers themselves. - Partially via self-funded demand as $MSFT and $NVDA became their own catalyst: - $MSFT backstopped Open AI's compute and gave all of us a free ticket to play on AI -- AI Cloud Growth - But also "demand" backstopped by VC and SWF money that allowed AI companies run at losses while they try"
X Link 2025-08-11T21:26Z [----] followers, 24.6K engagements

"@melefante6"
X Link 2025-09-03T15:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@TikTokInvestors vibe https://x.com/philoinvestor/status/1963269339919827026 @melefante6 https://t.co/5D76uygppX https://x.com/philoinvestor/status/1963269339919827026 @melefante6 https://t.co/5D76uygppX"
X Link 2025-09-03T15:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Please daddy please Son: Can I have Warner Bros Discovery too Dad: Son you already got $PARA Paramount. You said thats all you wanted. Son: But daaad if you buy me $WBD too and I play with both I could yield major power in Hollywood. I could actually attack $NFLX Netflix head-on Son: And merging them would create enormous scale economies. Billions to the bottom line. BILLIONS DADDY Dad: Oracle did go up by a quarter of trillion dollars the other day just on the Open AI agreement that we announced LOL Dad: Oh well I guess you can have Warner Bros too soon Son: Oh daddy Im SO happy right now"
X Link 2025-09-12T07:25Z [----] followers, 19.3K engagements

"Need to start writing more investment-related stories for you guys. $BELA.AT 🧸 $BELA.AT A TALE OF BUSINESS OWNING AND FINANCIAL MARKETS In the summer of [----] amidst the Tsipras/ SYRIZA government and the subsequent negotiations between Greece and the "Troika" - I had a somewhat large position on Jumbo shares. It must have been 20% of the 🧸 $BELA.AT A TALE OF BUSINESS OWNING AND FINANCIAL MARKETS In the summer of [----] amidst the Tsipras/ SYRIZA government and the subsequent negotiations between Greece and the "Troika" - I had a somewhat large position on Jumbo shares. It must have been 20%"
X Link 2025-09-21T09:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Interesting businesses down 50%+ from highs pain is obvious upside could be too: [--]. $STZ: tariffs + Hispanic consumer hit guidance cut. Debt profile sets up major undervaluation soon. 2/ $FEVR: margins crushed by glass/shipping but inventor of premium mixers. [--]. $DOCS.L: struggling post-IPO pivoting from wholesale to DTC. Brand equity still intact. [--]. $LULU: US slowing yet global cult brand expanding into mens and Asia. [--]. $CROX: Hey Dude acquisition tough but core product strong. Balance sheet + buybacks provide support. [--]. $BALL : debt heavy volumes weak but undisputed category leader with"
X Link 2025-10-01T11:57Z [----] followers, 17.6K engagements

"$COUR Coursera x Open AI partnership Is it a major shock that Open AI needs content partners to further their causes. It shouldn't be See attached thread from last may. 👇 A.I. confusions and misunderstandings in the EdTech market. $COUR Coursera's share price closed at $8.50 today that's a market cap of $1.33bln. Last qtr the company had a net cash of $700mln (52% of market cap) Ok.but does the company burn cash Let's see 👇 A.I. confusions and misunderstandings in the EdTech market. $COUR Coursera's share price closed at $8.50 today that's a market cap of $1.33bln. Last qtr the company had"
X Link 2025-10-06T18:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"6/ But more importantly OAI gets a new tool - that it did not have before. You see OAI is not public yet so it's harder to mobilise its valuation to raise equity or debt. Yes it has done that effectively but if the 4-5 biggest funders BAIL - OAI is cornered and screwed. So what happened here"
X Link 2025-10-07T10:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"7/ All of a sudden OAI has the potential to own 10% of $AMD if $AMD is worth a trillion - OAI has $100bln of equity right there. The next time Masa Son questions the future of Open AI or the Saudi PIF pushes them - they can say we have created $100bln in equity out of thin air. fuck you pay me https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1975513432787951927 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1975513432787951927"
X Link 2025-10-07T10:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Down 35% since this but still not there. $FIG $18bln for Figma is still too much especially considering one can buy NED Stock #8 for considerably less. Sending out in a few minutes. Value Trap ❌ Great Business Trap ✅ 1/ Figma $FIG cannot be called a value trap because the numbers do not superficially show that it's "value". But from what I hear and see it's a "great business" trap. People trying to find analogies between Figma and other stocks that https://t.co/8U0iGpak8z Value Trap ❌ Great Business Trap ✅ 1/ Figma $FIG cannot be called a value trap because the numbers do not superficially"
X Link 2025-11-27T08:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The market is no longer in love with the $COCOA $COCOA Short Cocoa quick 😅 https://t.co/8nlkdOZPKB Short Cocoa quick 😅 https://t.co/8nlkdOZPKB"
X Link 2025-12-02T07:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Bombshell. $COUR $UDMY"
X Link 2025-12-17T12:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@breadcrumbsre $URBN did a few of those swings too"
X Link 2026-01-10T20:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@TexasOncologist If you save $5 per day for the remainder of this year you will end up with $1.8mln"
X Link 2026-01-17T22:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"I'm not paying 30X FCF for Ferrari. I don't care about your luxury thesis or the cool looking chart and historical CAGR. $RACE $RACE -38% 52-week 🏎 One of the few companies where demand increases when price increases. Potential opportunity 29x P/FCF 23x EV/EBIT https://t.co/vI98yEffVX $RACE -38% 52-week 🏎 One of the few companies where demand increases when price increases. Potential opportunity 29x P/FCF 23x EV/EBIT https://t.co/vI98yEffVX"
X Link 2026-01-18T11:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Stop thinking about companies like Figma $FIG and Duolingo $DUOL using conventional valuation methods like current P/E and P/S. Try to answer the question: -Does the business truly have a moat -How big is the TAM -What are normalised FCF margins at maturity Only then will you start thinking about these businesses properly. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013128093536231543 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013128093536231543"
X Link 2026-01-19T05:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"twitter is cool. but its 100x better when your timeline is full with people who invest and trade markets. if youre into tech AI or stocks in general. global macro and forex quality of life dividend investing or just learning - say hi 🦉"
X Link 2026-01-19T08:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@macaronicapital I planned to write a piece on $FIG and $DUOL on Philoinvestor as soon as we clear out the current backlog. Too many bad takes on these companies"
X Link 2026-01-19T19:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Shorted the pair a few days ago after a long time of playing the long side in and out. $USD $JPY Only ones I saw who came out bearish on this was the @AlphaPicks team. From the other day on Philochat. $USD $JPY https://t.co/8pIy3ow1WZ From the other day on Philochat. $USD $JPY https://t.co/8pIy3ow1WZ"
X Link 2026-01-20T10:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

". $FIG Value Trap ❌ Great Business Trap ✅ 1/ Figma $FIG cannot be called a value trap because the numbers do not superficially show that it's "value". But from what I hear and see it's a "great business" trap. People trying to find analogies between Figma and other stocks that https://t.co/8U0iGpak8z Value Trap ❌ Great Business Trap ✅ 1/ Figma $FIG cannot be called a value trap because the numbers do not superficially show that it's "value". But from what I hear and see it's a "great business" trap. People trying to find analogies between Figma and other stocks that https://t.co/8U0iGpak8z"
X Link 2026-01-20T19:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"This is going to cross $10 $FIG"
X Link 2026-01-20T20:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@grok @shanaka86 Oh ok so google owning its own data centers doesnt cost does it. developing Gemini doesnt cost Developing TPUs doesnt cost Some of my points dufus"
X Link 2026-01-21T20:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Shorted $USD / $JPY at that point exactly. Almost 3Yen in the money now. Chronicled the whole process in the Philochat"
X Link 2026-01-23T19:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Thoughts on the $JPY from here and the Japanese election trade. https://open.substack.com/chat/posts/4cacb6f1-b942-4799-b4cc-332cdb41ab9d https://open.substack.com/chat/posts/4cacb6f1-b942-4799-b4cc-332cdb41ab9d"
X Link 2026-01-23T19:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@DeItaone Let's go team $USD / $JPY"
X Link 2026-01-25T06:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"So where is the USD/JPY opening at later 🫡 JAPAN PM TAKAICHI: GOVT WILL TAKE NECESSARY STEPS AGAINST SPECULATIVE ABNORMAL MARKET MOVES JAPAN PM TAKAICHI: GOVT WILL TAKE NECESSARY STEPS AGAINST SPECULATIVE ABNORMAL MARKET MOVES"
X Link 2026-01-25T06:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"50% the BOJ and the rest the Japanese and Jap financial institutions right The MOF have many levers to force money back home but at the same time that's a game that risks blowing up in one's face. Because for how long can you run a managed-narrative monetary regime without "unintended consequences" What I see is that even at 3% yield under a Takaichi Trade/Abenomics-style fiscal regime inflation could be at 3% therefore the real rate is still at [--]. That's not to say that the Japanese haven't had that for a long time but who is to say that they will stand for it much longer JGB Yields are"
X Link 2026-01-26T08:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Covered at [------] $USD $JPY Over 3% gain on full position. First USD/JPY short in ages 🦉 Gives out free alpha Both on macro and stonks All around good guy Has less than [-----] followers on X @nikitabier you are so screwed lmao Shorted $USD / $JPY at that point exactly. Almost 3Yen in the money now. Chronicled the whole process in the Philochat. https://t.co/M3snODy5Vf Shorted $USD / $JPY at that point exactly. Almost 3Yen in the money now. Chronicled the whole process in the Philochat. https://t.co/M3snODy5Vf"
X Link 2026-01-26T08:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"It's all good when the money feels free and lifts all (economic) boats. Everyone gets free fun coupons wealth effect compounds and it's all good baby baby. But then the turkeys come home to roost. 👇 THE TURKEY PROBLEM comes to Gov DEBT After [--] decades Japan is starting to get its debt spiral which would wipe out ALL previous cumulative benefits. It had been used by deficit lovers as an example of effective debt financing No debt w/o punishment No tail risk w/o a bust https://t.co/WivrGJP5yv THE TURKEY PROBLEM comes to Gov DEBT After [--] decades Japan is starting to get its debt spiral which"
X Link 2026-01-27T11:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Citrini7 This is my [----] piece on $DUOL where I touch on "Value Creation is NOT Cash Generation" One needs to distinguish between the two. https://www.philoinvestor.com/i/51156687/value-creation-is-not-cash-generation https://www.philoinvestor.com/i/51156687/value-creation-is-not-cash-generation"
X Link 2026-01-27T11:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@nntaleb @fiat_money 😂😂😂😂😂"
X Link 2026-01-28T06:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"A new existential risk for $ORCL has just emerged. Labubu Larry couldn't have possibly managed this worse than he has 🚨 BREAKING: Gracie Abrams has deleted her TikTok account. She had approximately [---] million followers. https://t.co/LAaLquSqjG 🚨 BREAKING: Gracie Abrams has deleted her TikTok account. She had approximately [---] million followers. https://t.co/LAaLquSqjG"
X Link 2026-01-28T10:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Someone ping me when it drops another 65% from here $FIG Figma is down 75% since its IPO. https://t.co/3DpHDYQhHb Figma is down 75% since its IPO. https://t.co/3DpHDYQhHb"
X Link 2026-01-28T22:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Maybe that's because they need the spigots to stay on as they shift all of that money back to their pockets PLUS keep the game going as they keep their stocks up and farm SBC. Meme from early December Wake Up Call (now released from $) OpenAI is in talks for a massive funding round that could reach $100B at about a $730B pre-money valuation. Reportedly Nvidia could invest up to $30B Amazon up to $20B and Microsoft under $10B. https://t.co/MttprDN5pm OpenAI is in talks for a massive funding round that could reach $100B at about a $730B pre-money valuation. Reportedly Nvidia could invest up to"
X Link 2026-01-29T12:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Also because of the setup here Vs $GOOG which I will discuss more in Zooming out on AI coming up on Philoinvestor. https://x.com/philoinvestor/status/2014335997023051967s=20 https://x.com/philoinvestor/status/2014335997023051967s=20 Google is Game Theory-ing OpenAI Don't believe them they are executing a strategy in the battle with OpenAI. 1) Suck the air out of OpenAI by pushing Gemini for free 2) Bundling Gemini with their other offerings (Google Drive etc.) to extend more value to the users for similar https://t.co/u6c93fYROy https://x.com/philoinvestor/status/2014335997023051967s=20"
X Link 2026-01-29T12:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The algo has me shadow banned but there are at least THREE people who see this. This one's for you 🫡🦉 $BTC $ETH Crypto Twitter is kinda stupid* so let me make it short. $BTC $ETH $MSTR I should be getting tons of traffic on my tweets right now. Let me explain 👇 https://t.co/VEBLNTAvr6 Crypto Twitter is kinda stupid so let me make it short. $BTC $ETH $MSTR *I should be getting tons of traffic on my tweets right now. Let me explain 👇 https://t.co/VEBLNTAvr6"
X Link 2026-01-29T18:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Throwback to good times on the $JPY How I got lucky and bottom ticked the USD/JPY mid-September [----]. $USD $JPY A small thread on this trade and my previous theses on the Yen. https://t.co/0CooS1uZw2 How I got lucky and bottom ticked the USD/JPY mid-September [----]. $USD $JPY A small thread on this trade and my previous theses on the Yen. https://t.co/0CooS1uZw2"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I've thought deeply about the Kevin Warsh ("KWAR") nomination as Fed Chair"
X Link 2026-01-30T12:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$META announced "blow out" earnings so the market is letting Mark stay on his AGI crusade but. 1) $15bln increase in EBIT y/y with share count steady 👇 2) is MORE THAN OFFSET by an extra +$45bln in cash outflow y/y from share buybacks and "capex" 👇 3) I say "capex" because only 20% of that compute capacity is needed for META's Generative Ads Recommendation Model (GEM). With the rest needed for Mark's Superintelligence crusade. How much of that should be expensed and how much capitalised. 🚩🚩🚩 4) Not to mention that META has gone too far out on the "risk" curve of ads and is serving the"
X Link 2026-01-30T13:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Paper Gains Paper Hands Two weeks ago on the Philochat I wrote that a 20% down day in Silver was going to happen soon. A few days after that I had a tentative idea that the change in margin calculation from dollar value to % value was of major importance and that it would affect market structure. To test my hypothesis: I tried to calculate/figure out how a % value (9% for Silver) margin requirement - transitioning from a dollar value ($x per contract) would affect market structure - LEADING to said major crash. On the first level I found that a % based margin system is MORE robust because the"
X Link 2026-01-31T13:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Was trying to visualise a sell-off/liquidation event in the market comparing the two types of margin calculation"
X Link 2026-01-31T13:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Agreed. Epstein files leaking because Donald won't attack Iran is a decoy. Was about to tweet that and saw Dugin's tweet as I was scrolling. I think that the suggestion about Israel blackmailing Trump to oblige him to strike Iran with leak of some files from Epstein dossier is too narrow. Something much more serious is going to happen. I think that the suggestion about Israel blackmailing Trump to oblige him to strike Iran with leak of some files from Epstein dossier is too narrow. Something much more serious is going to happen"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"CRYPTO WINTER. $MSTR $BTC $ETH "As we've said during [----] Saylor (i.e. MSTR) is the only buyer left for BTC." Released from paywall. https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/crypto-winter-just-in-time https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/crypto-winter-just-in-time"
X Link 2026-01-31T15:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"NGMI $BTC Funny how $BTC is now basically a proxy for how Trump [---] is doing or not doing. Funny how $BTC is now basically a proxy for how Trump [---] is doing or not doing"
X Link 2026-01-31T15:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@CasinoCapital How does IBKR not tell you what your capital gains are"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@evfcfaddict Released this piece from paywall earlier today. I did not attack the margin/collateral argument head on but rather took an indirect approach to trying to gauge where $MSTR is going. I'm sure you'd like it. https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/crypto-winter-just-in-timeutm_source=publication-search https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/crypto-winter-just-in-timeutm_source=publication-search"
X Link 2026-01-31T20:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@silvia_sb_"
X Link 2026-01-31T23:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@darioperkins Bessent's Pipe Dream https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/the-bessent-pipe-dreamutm_source=publication-search https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/the-bessent-pipe-dreamutm_source=publication-search"
X Link 2026-02-01T10:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Johnie36149708 If it's not on the blockchain we don't believe you"
X Link 2026-02-01T15:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"OAI is aiming to bag a major funding round to buy years of runway yes. That will give them space to test out and implement ads and also ramp up their Atlas browser. OAI knows $GOOG is out to get them and they are reacting accordingly. OAI also wants to make sure they execute on the AMD deal effectively building their way up to having a "captive" chip company in their stack. For me this doesn't make it a certainty that everything will rip from here as there are other things happening. But ofc that doesn't mean the market will see them https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018631284122099818"
X Link 2026-02-03T10:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"A key driver to the stock market rally was margin expansion. As inflation was creeping in businesses pushed that inflation to consumers. Thing is they over-priced and expanded their real margins in the process. Now the pendulum is swinging the other day. Watch out for your margins $PEP https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018663076736700595 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018663076736700595"
X Link 2026-02-03T12:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"It seems that [----] will be the year of the cope. Generational It is well worth exploring whether there might be a genuinely ominous backstory. @AndrewMarr9 puts forward the possibility of a Russian connection to Jeffrey Epsteins criminal activity. https://t.co/QCNW9uYmaP It is well worth exploring whether there might be a genuinely ominous backstory. @AndrewMarr9 puts forward the possibility of a Russian connection to Jeffrey Epsteins criminal activity. https://t.co/QCNW9uYmaP"
X Link 2026-02-03T22:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"On the politics game theory and balance of power of the major AI players. https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/zooming-out-on-ai-part-1 https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/zooming-out-on-ai-part-1"
X Link 2026-02-04T07:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"That's Josef Ackermann. Russian Oligarch could be Victor Vekselberg who was actually born in Ukraine and is officially Russian-Israeli. He owned a big chunk of Bank of Cyprus post haircut. Yes Wilbur Ross led a group post haircut that put a lot of money in BOC (equity injection) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019139494193095019 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019139494193095019"
X Link 2026-02-04T20:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Maybe advertising is now a capital intensive business. $META $GOOG Has anyone thought of that *Now deduct capex from OCF and tell me what FCF you get"
X Link 2026-02-05T00:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@IranObserver0 NGMI"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"-Creative Destruction -Race to the Bottom -Survival over Profit -Game Theory Fading Rihard's read of what's happening with $GOOGL and the space in general. This is not about "future revenue growth" or sane decisions. This is about game theory strategy posturing politics - call it what you want. $GOOGL is a company that doesnt do hype. For them to go and increase CapEx from $90B to $180B is probably the most bullish thing long-term investors can see as it shows the scale of future revenue growth. I am shocked that at this stage most still dont understand this. $GOOGL is a company that doesnt"
X Link 2026-02-05T14:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@yieldsearcher I wrote a piece on $BMNR and $ETH Tsy Cos in August here: If one big account RT's it and it gets some traction I'll release it from paywall for everyone. Released this one a few days ago: https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/crypto-winter-just-in-time https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/ethereum-treasury-companies https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/crypto-winter-just-in-time https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/ethereum-treasury-companies"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Wall Street 3: BTC Never Sleeps $MSTR $BTC "You're gonna owe.""
X Link 2026-02-05T21:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

""The market is the guiding light for whether AI Capex is good or bad." Market was OK with capex bumps if this turns now 🔄🔄🔄 Expect big AI names to revise planned capex programs (downward) ASAP"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I remember when $AAPL was an AI loser and Tim Cook should have been fired. https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/no-apple-doesnt-need-to-buy-perplexity Apple - you spend the capex for us - we will buy back stock. https://www.philoinvestor.com/p/no-apple-doesnt-need-to-buy-perplexity Apple - you spend the capex for us - we will buy back stock"
X Link 2026-02-06T10:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

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