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@nickgerli1 Avatar @nickgerli1 Nick Gerli

The US housing market is experiencing a correction, with over XX states showing a monthly contraction in home values. Inventory is surging, with over X million resale listings on the market, and home prices are dropping in over half of the US. The market is shifting in favor of buyers, with sellers cutting prices and months of supply increasing.

Engagements: XXXXXX #

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Mentions: XX #

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Followers: XXXXXXX #

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Social Influence #

Social category influence finance #4435 travel destinations

Social topic influence housing market #7, homes #123, longterm #23, over the, lack of #646, mortgage rate #95, metro #504, rates #966, capital gains #32, los angeles #2275

Top assets mentioned Array Technologies, Inc. Common Stock (ARRY)

Top Social Posts #

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"2) The reason behind collapsing demand and rising DOM is the complte and utter lack of affordability in California's housing market today. Right now homebuyers in California need to pay around $4800/month to afford a house including mtg tax insurance. The long-term average is $2555/month. So buyers are on the sidelines"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-07T22:35Z 141.3K followers, 2454 engagements

"2) Any push to get more homes listed for sale and to sustainably increase inventory needs to focus on investors. For instance investors own over XX million single-family homes in the U.S. according to the Census Bureau while there are only X million homes listed for sale. If only XX% of investors sold their houses inventory would theoretically double"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-15T16:35Z 141.3K followers, 3840 engagements

"7) First-time buyers right now have very little reason to jump into the market based on how much more expensive it is to buy v rent. They're kind of feeling something similar to sellers right now who are holding a low mortgage rate. Which payment goes up most (existing mortgage holder payments or renter rents) is going to determine where the housing market heads in the next 1-2 years"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-09-30T17:29Z 141.3K followers, 8883 engagements

"5) Those investors were purchasing most of their homes in the north/northeastern parts of the metro which is why inventory in those locations has gone up the most and prices are dropping. The areas of Charlotte with more resilient prices are primarily owner-occupant areas with strong income levels"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-10T23:54Z 141.3K followers, 7187 engagements

"3) Demand is down with home sale activity about XX% lower in 2025 compared to pre-pandemic norm. This lower demand is a principal driver of the higher inventory and lower prices. Access the historical Home Sales data here:"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-09T18:12Z 141.3K followers, 8012 engagements

"1) Las Vegas is feeling a major homebuyer strike caused by a historic lack of affordability. Currently local households need to spend XXXX% of their income to afford mortgage payments. Before the pandemic it was 23.7%. Signaling that home prices and mortgage rates have risen much faster than incomes in the Sin City"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-10T00:37Z 141.3K followers, 3424 engagements

"Is anyone else concerned that the U.S. economy and consumer spending is now almost entirely reliant on the 2nd largest stock market bubble on record Long-term average Shiller P/E Ratio is 17.8x Today we're at 39.8x. Only time that stock market valuations were richer was in 1999"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-06T17:19Z 141.3K followers, 95.8K engagements

"California's DOM just hit the highest level in a decade. Homes sat for XX days on market in September. XX% longer than normal. The longer homes sit the more likely sellers are to cut the price. (Or to de-list their homes and wait until next year). California has mostly dodged this housing market downturn so far. But the more that DOM rises the more downward pressure on prices there will be"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-07T22:31Z 141.3K followers, 21.7K engagements

"1) The central story in California's housing market since the middle of 2022 has been a total and utter collapse in demand. Sales volume is down to multi-decade lows and is about XX% off the pandemic peak. Thus far there has been no indication that buyer demand in California is rebounding"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-07T22:32Z 141.3K followers, 3868 engagements

"6) Of course - there's huge variation within Las Vegas about where prices are rising and dropping and where the best areas to buy for the long-term will be. Head to Reventure App to search your ZIP code in Vegas and see the recent price and inventory trends. We're now in the app store for Apple and Android so download the mobile app if you haven't yet. Or head to"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-10T00:46Z 141.3K followers, 6759 engagements

"5) The whole idea here is to find a way to increase the carrying cost of the houses for investors (reducing depreciation expense which increases tax liability) while creating an off-ramp to sell (lower capital gains tax on sale). Employing these practices would free-up much needed housing inventory in a wide array of markets and neighborhoods across the U.S"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-15T16:56Z 141.3K followers, 3870 engagements

"3) Now one might ask what is driving the increasing spending share of the Top XX% of Income households Is it the fact that they are doing better in their jobs and that the lower XX% is doing worse Potentially. However the real drivers of the shifting distribution of spending appear to be related to generational factors specifically stock market wealth accumulation"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-06T17:27Z 141.3K followers, 5535 engagements

"1) On this listing the current owner purchased it for $820000 in 2015. And is now selling for $499000 - a XX% loss"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-02T16:52Z 141.3K followers, 4780 engagements

"Charlotte is another market rapidly shifting in favor of homebuyers. Inventory in the metro just breached 10000 listings the first time in a decade. Thats a XXX% increase in supply in just two years. The result of this inventory spike is declining values as Charlotte is now on the verge of a housing correction. Access the data for your city on"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-10T23:41Z 141.3K followers, 42.4K engagements

"3) However despite this record lack of affordability and horrific demand California's home price environment has remained relatively resilient. With home values essentially flat over the last 3+ years since mortgage rates have risen. That's impressive to a certain degree"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-07T22:37Z 141.3K followers, 2031 engagements

"1) Due to the excess inventory on Dallas' housing market home values have dropped by -XXX% over the last year according to Zillow's value index. That's the biggest annual decline DFW has experienced in XX years"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-09T18:10Z 141.3K followers, 4268 engagements

"There's an alarming decline in homebuyer activity in Las Vegas. Four years ago there were 4200 sales. Now there are only 2300. That's a XX% drop in demand the biggest of any major metro in the U.S. Worse yet Vegas home sales are now at the lowest level in over a decade. What's going on in Las Vegas Access market data for your city at"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-10T00:35Z 141.3K followers, 36.3K engagements

"4) By generation Baby Boomers account XX% of the ownership rate of the stock market according to the Federal Reserve. Gen X is next at 21.9%. Silent Generation (older than Baby Boomers) is 16.1%. Millennials are 8.5%. Gen-Z isn't even listed"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-06T17:28Z 141.3K followers, 5952 engagements

"Dallas TX housing inventory is going through the roof. There's now over 30000 homes for sale across DFW. That's up XX% the last two years. And the highest level of inventory in a decade. It seems like there's an exodus occurring from the Texas housing market. Access the inventory data for your city at"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-09T18:07Z 141.3K followers, 71.5K engagements

"Markets with the biggest apartment rent declines over the last X years. Austin is #1 at an XXXX% rent drop. Fort Myers #2 at 15.3%. Colorado Springs #3 at 12.5%. Rents in these markets have corrected by double digits since 2022 bringing sorely needed rental affordability back for renters. Landlords on the other hand are not so happy about this"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-01T20:08Z 141.3K followers, 39.6K engagements

"@barefoot_lender That's why the government should consider mechanisms for making it more of a no-brainer for investors to sell. Reduce depreciation ability lower capital gains tax on sales etc"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-15T16:49Z 141.3K followers, XXX engagements

"2) You can see DFW is typically a stable market at least to the downside with the biggest value drop in the last XX years being -XXX% in 2011 followed by -XXX% in 2025. Access the full 25-year value history in DFW at this link:"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-09T18:11Z 141.3K followers, 4022 engagements

"7) But the demand destruction is everywhere. Sales volumes down 30-40% across LA Orange County Los Angeles San Diego San Francisco and San Jose. Buyers are on ice until home prices/mortgage rates drop further"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-07T22:44Z 141.3K followers, 6703 engagements

"6) Currently the number of X% mortgage holders is rising significantly every quarter (by about 400k). While rent growth is currently forecast XXX% over the next XX months for single-family rents by Zillow"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-09-30T17:26Z 141.3K followers, 8184 engagements

"4) Now.how to go about getting more investors to sell It's pretty simple if the government has the wherewithal to do it. -Increase the depreciation timeline for single-family structures from XX years to XX years. -Install a transfer tax for 1031 exchanges on single-family structures. -Create a temporary waiver on long-term capital gains tax so long as a home is sold to a primary occupant"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-15T16:45Z 141.3K followers, 6266 engagements

"3) There's XX million single-family homes in the U.S. XX million are owned by investors (some estimates show more but I'm using the Census Bureau for this analysis). That means XXXX% of the single-family stock is owned by investors primarily mom-and-pop owners"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-15T16:36Z 141.3K followers, 5886 engagements

"2) The current list price of $499000 is below what the list price was back in 2009. One reason why might be the HOA fees. The monthly HOA is $1000/month and Zillow is estimating the total month payment at $4600/month. However relative to historical norms that's a pretty good deal for downtown SF"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-02T16:55Z 141.3K followers, 5171 engagements

"Home builders have XXXX% of all the homes currently listed for sale on the U.S. housing market. The long-term average is only 15%. While it would be great for builders to build more we really need more existing owners to sell. Particularly investors"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-15T16:17Z 141.3K followers, 31.5K engagements

"We ran the numbers and there's one metric that explains why home prices are dropping in certain cities and going up in others: Inventory Surplus The markets with the biggest inventory surplus (Dallas Tampa Austin) all have declining prices YoY. Meanwhile the markets where inventory is still in a deficit (bottom right) all have increasing prices. Look at Inventory Surplus/Deficit to predict where prices are heading in your area. This data point can be accessed under a premium plan at under our Market Trends section"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-09-24T14:53Z 141.3K followers, 89.4K engagements

"6) SoCal has faired better. Los Angeles San Diego up 3-5% since 2022. Riverside flat. El Centro up an astonishing 16%"
X Link @nickgerli1 2025-10-07T22:42Z 141.3K followers, 2073 engagements