@joao_wedson Avatar @joao_wedson Joao Wedson

There is no news or social post specifically about Joao Wedson. The provided tweets appear to be general cryptocurrency market updates and analysis from various users.

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Social Influence

Social category influence cryptocurrencies #2150 finance 36.45% countries 3.74% stocks 3.74% exchanges 2.8% social networks 1.87% currencies 1.87% fashion brands 0.93% celebrities 0.93%

Social topic influence bitcoin #914, crypto #3252, market #1703, the most #2355, onchain 13.08%, level 12.15%, this is 9.35%, liquidity #782, in the 9.35%, sentiment 7.48%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @alphractal @grok @goodwillhurtin @gstradingteam @l1mmortale @decodejar @jakanthrax @claymedici @cryptohaaster @crypter20181 @mskurious @alcryp_pk @poloaddict @alcryppk @francoscandizzo @jhonnycoelho123 @darkfost_coc @thomas_mullee @nomadfulcrum @toospooky

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Ethereum (ETH) Dogecoin (DOGE) Strategy (MSTR)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Aggregated Liquidation Levels over the past [--] days for BTC ETH BNB and DOGE The market continues to build both Long and Short positions consistently. The result of this is that a strong move is likely to occur in the coming days. I still believe we should account for approximately [--] days after BTC reached $60K before the market takes a clear direction. Many still believe further capitulation is the most likely path while others continue to expect a price recovery. But as I mentioned neither scenario is likely to fully unfold until the market consolidates for at least [--] days."
X Link 2026-02-13T16:26Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Differences in sentiment between Crypto and Stocks Crypto Fear and Greed Index: [--] Extreme Fear Stocks Fear and Greed Index: [--] Fear Crypto vs Stocks: Fear is not the same The current sentiment reveals a clear divergence between the crypto market and the traditional market. Crypto Fear and Greed Index: [--] Extreme Fear🔴 Stocks Fear and Greed Index: [--] Fear 🟠 While the stock market remains in moderate https://t.co/3J8qKTKa7D Crypto vs Stocks: Fear is not the same The current sentiment reveals a clear divergence between the crypto market and the traditional market. Crypto Fear and Greed Index: 9"
X Link 2026-02-13T22:36Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Dogecoin and memecoins are trying to attract attention A dead cat bounce or the return of demand for memes Memecoins jump before BTC. But end Sunday in correction. Over the past few days memecoins have significantly outperformed BTC and other altcoins. What stood out the most was Dogecoin where the number of trades surpassed all others in its category. The memecoins index https://t.co/sLsmw4lv9r Memecoins jump before BTC. But end Sunday in correction. Over the past few days memecoins have significantly outperformed BTC and other altcoins. What stood out the most was Dogecoin where the number"
X Link 2026-02-15T11:13Z 14.9K followers, 11.1K engagements

"Global liquidity is contracting across multiple regions. And the data shows exactly where this is happening now. Over the last [--] days M2 has fallen across multiple countries: Libya: 13.83% Congo: 2.49% India: 0.23% Qatar: 0.13% Angola: 0.03% At the same time central bank reserves are also declining: Saudi Central Bank: 2.43% Kazakhstan Central Bank: 2.18% Federal Reserve (RRP and TGA): 1.90% Central Bank of Turkey: 1.19% This is how liquidity contraction begins. Quietly. Unevenly. Invisibly to most investors. But here is the key part. Global M2 is not collapsing. Because China is expanding."
X Link 2026-02-15T16:09Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"If you are long on Doge you will likely be liquidated soon Dogecoin rallies have always been seen as a risk signal for Bitcoin. This applies across both lower timeframes such as [--] minutes and higher timeframes like daily charts. When Dogecoin rises it is a classic sign that volatility is approaching. This usually happens when https://t.co/W2MMcaacfM Dogecoin rallies have always been seen as a risk signal for Bitcoin. This applies across both lower timeframes such as [--] minutes and higher timeframes like daily charts. When Dogecoin rises it is a classic sign that volatility is approaching. This"
X Link 2026-02-15T20:15Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"🐳Whales are closing their long positions and positioning into shorts Meanwhile retail traders are doing the opposite. In my last post the whales were right. Will they be right again this time Well find out in the next few days. Chart: @Alphractal 🐋 Whales are now entering long positions relative to retail according to the Whale vs Retail Delta metric. Chart: @Alphractal https://t.co/kJkidZGDeM 🐋 Whales are now entering long positions relative to retail according to the Whale vs Retail Delta metric. Chart: @Alphractal https://t.co/kJkidZGDeM"
X Link 2026-01-14T14:21Z 14.9K followers, 22K engagements

"Despite Bitcoins recent pullback several altcoins have outperformed over the past [--] hours leading to a short-term decline in Bitcoin dominance. Notably RIVER has emerged as the top-performing altcoin of [----] so far. 📊@Alphractal"
X Link 2026-01-26T20:00Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"The CYS altcoin is moving against the broader market. Open Interest is rising across all short- and medium-term timeframes. A pump becomes the most likely scenario. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017612695000756241 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017612695000756241"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:55Z 14.6K followers, [----] engagements

"⚠BTC & ETH Aggregated Liquidation Levels Last [---] Days https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018037155679850551 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018037155679850551"
X Link 2026-02-01T19:02Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"The Bitcoin price bottom only happens when ✅ Short-Term Holders are in loss (this has already happened) Long-Term Holders start carrying losses (this has not happened yet this is when the real bottom forms)) Additionally: 🔴 The bear market only ends when the STH Realized Price falls below the LTH Realized Price. 🟢 The bull market begins when the STH Realized Price moves back above the LTH Realized Price after the bear market has fully played out. We track this with a dedicated chart to alert you when it happens. Data Narratives @Alphractal"
X Link 2026-02-02T17:55Z 14.7K followers, 53.7K engagements

"🐳Whales are closing longs opened around $75K on BTC while retail does the opposite. The Whale vs Retail Delta is a powerful metric because it often anticipates what price will do next. Institutional traders are opportunistic. They hunt volatility open longs and shorts aggressively and later reduce exposure. Retail on the other hand tends to be stubborn holding positions longer than they should driven by greed rather than structure. Now that whales are closing longs or opening new shorts at these levels two outcomes become highly probable: [--] BTC moves sideways for a few days before making a"
X Link 2026-02-03T14:40Z 14.7K followers, 31K engagements

"@GoodwillHurtin People are impatient and greedy. There is no resilience or patience in the age of AI. Many blame cryptocurrencies but the truth is that human behavior is what corrupts decisions. Patience + good data = success"
X Link 2026-02-03T15:01Z 14.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Investor Price is the structural cost basis of active Bitcoin capital after excluding historical miner revenue. Interestingly it has also been an effective way to identify past Bitcoin cycle bottoms. Investor Price is an intriguing metric for analyzing Bitcoin market bottoms as it represents the average cost of capital that truly remains invested in the market after subtracting the historical revenue accumulated by miners. The calculation removes from the Realized Cap the https://t.co/nVJ6PD85kD Investor Price is an intriguing metric for analyzing Bitcoin market bottoms as it represents the"
X Link 2026-02-03T15:46Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"⚠ Strategy (MSTR) is now sitting on US$100K in unrealized losses. The accumulation trajectory was not efficient. Ill reinforce it again: the average entry price is poor. For a truly solid long-term strategy the average price should be at least between US$30K and US$40K. Buying the top is not conviction. Its poor risk management execution. Strategy is on the verge of seeing its entire Bitcoin position in unrealized losses. OGs wont spare even the wealthiest players. Are ETFs next Data Narratives https://t.co/EQVuRVEXFG Strategy is on the verge of seeing its entire Bitcoin position in"
X Link 2026-02-03T17:26Z 14.7K followers, 11.7K engagements

"Bitcoin has just reached the March [----] price level. At that time the market was entering its first stage of online euphoria driven by rising prices the breakout above the [----] ATH and impulsive behavior following the ETH launch. Now sentiment is widespread fear. Its fascinating how price action drives opposite emotions in people and how clearly this shift is reflected in the data. Chart: @Alphractal https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018762416516129061 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018762416516129061"
X Link 2026-02-03T19:04Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"A potential bottom for the Total Market Cap over the coming months may be around $1.48T. Currently the market stands near $2.47T which implies there could still be a reduction of $1T in total market value. This is not investment advice. Just sharing a personal view and interpretation of the current market environment. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019098895025123603 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019098895025123603"
X Link 2026-02-04T17:21Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Alpha Quant Signal continues to maintain a Sell Signal on Bitcoin and Ethereum. In fact if you had followed at least half of these signals you would be sitting on significant profits by now. I followed some of them myself even with limited time lately. Alpha Quant Signal once again proved to be extremely accurate on BTC. Now that it is pointing to the downside an acceleration in volatility is almost inevitable. Exchanges and OGs will push aggressively to trigger stop-limit orders further reducing the residual liquidity in https://t.co/RynUAZi6li Alpha Quant Signal once again proved to be"
X Link 2026-02-05T04:24Z 14.7K followers, 12K engagements

"Ethereums price bottom will occur months before Bitcoins price bottom. This is highly likely due to the faster liquidity cycle of altcoins. Some charts already indicate that Q2 [----] could mark a potential price bottom for ETH. Capitulation has arrived and realized losses are set to increase sharply. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019436534827561057 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019436534827561057"
X Link 2026-02-05T15:42Z 14.7K followers, 16.5K engagements

"🚨 Bitcoin has entered CAPITULATION and you need to understand this On-chain data is making this very clear. 🔴 Market Capitulation Oscillator We are officially in a capitulation phase marked by large realized losses. This metric is powerful because it is not binary. It measures the intensity of capitulation on a continuous scale (01) combining: Severity of hash rate decline Magnitude of the price drawdown Level of on-chain supply activity The higher the value the greater the capitulation pressure. Lower values suggest stabilization or the early stages of recovery. This allows for more"
X Link 2026-02-06T02:52Z 14.7K followers, 16.5K engagements

"The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has reached [--] its lowest level since [----]. However the lowest value ever recorded was on August [--] [----] when it dropped to 5"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:17Z 14.6K followers, [----] engagements

"I think whales will start positioning short again very soon. What do you think"
X Link 2026-02-06T15:55Z 14.7K followers, 26.1K engagements

"The Global M2 Money Supply has had a low correlation with Bitcoin for quite some time. It keeps rising while BTC remains in a bear market. Regardless of what is happening in the macroeconomy Bitcoin will continue to follow its own fractal. ⚠Regardless of Bitcoins recent decline and what is happening with the S&P [---] one key data point continues to be overlooked by the market. Global M2 Money Supply keeps rising consistently. When analyzing Global M2 Money Supply on a YoY basis it becomes clear that its https://t.co/5r1O8DFDUH ⚠Regardless of Bitcoins recent decline and what is happening with"
X Link 2026-02-06T21:17Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoin miners are in crisis mode On January [--] I shared that Bitcoin miners were likely entering a capitulation phase. This is the moment when financial pressure forces miners to shut down ASICs and reduce network activity. Some pointed to the recent snowstorm as the cause but the reality is that the mining sector was already showing clear signs of weakness well before that event. The outcome of this capitulation was historic. We witnessed the largest Hash Rate change in Bitcoins history and in recent days the network has been experiencing significant volatility. I am one of the few who"
X Link 2026-02-07T00:13Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Whales are closing longs and opening shorts relative to retail. This confirms exactly what we discussed yesterday. In other words there is a high probability that Bitcoin will not move straight up endlessly but instead enter a consolidation phase ranging and building structure over the next [--] days. That is my read of the current market. Chart -- @Alphractal I think whales will start positioning short again very soon. What do you think I think whales will start positioning short again very soon. What do you think"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:42Z 14.7K followers, 18.6K engagements

"We are redesigning the entire Alphractal experience. And not just the design. Alpha AI is now significantly smarter and capable of answering questions with the depth and clarity you would expect from a top-tier market analyst. I genuinely cannot wait for you to test this soon. Were rebuilding the entire experience from the ground up. Faster. Cleaner. Smarter. A new standard for how on-chain macro derivatives and sentiment data are consumed and acted upon. Designed for focus. Built for decision-making. Our biggest update yet. Stay close. https://t.co/YgvBHOtp6U Were rebuilding the entire"
X Link 2026-02-07T17:34Z 14.6K followers, [----] engagements

"The supply held by Short-Term Holders is declining. This is typical of bear-market dominance. It is a phase where only strong hands survive amid declining on-chain demand. This is a moment to set Alpha-level alerts and accumulate calmly. Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Update The supply held by Short-Term Holders is declining. At the same time the 90-day net position change shows a clear lack of interest from new addresses to accumulate at these levels. This signals weak marginal demand and reinforces a market https://t.co/Imx1eOpfea Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Update The supply held by Short-Term"
X Link 2026-02-07T23:47Z 14.8K followers, [----] engagements

"Altcoin Season Index over a 60-day period. Unlike the commonly used 90-day window the 60-day version better captures rapid shifts in Altcoin dynamics. You can also analyze it across any timeframe and period on @Alphractal"
X Link 2026-02-08T14:30Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"ADA (Cardano) Open Interest has collapsed from $1.6B to $334M. But theres a detail very few are noticing. Major players have closed their ADA positions aggressively. The key insight lies in where open interest is now concentrated. Back in [----] Binance controlled over 80% of ADA open interest while [--] other exchanges together held less than 20%. In [----] that structure has completely changed. Binance now holds only 22% of open interest while Gateio leads the market with 31% dominance. This shift matters more than most people realize. A clear parallel can be seen with Solana. When SOL rallied"
X Link 2026-02-08T21:12Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"So far it has been working. But things are about to change. In [----] I shared here and on TradingView the incredible Bitcoin fractal. Now Im willing to share a new finding that is even more impressive. Well build a dedicated chart on Alphractal for better visualization. For now Ill leave here the link to the [----] post. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/moTzicJe-Bitcoin-The-Fascinating-Repetition-Fractal-in-Its-Price-History/ Unlocking #Bitcoin Price Secret: The Mesmerizing Repetition Fractal. 📈🔍 A closer look at the fascinating patterns in Bitcoin price history 🔗🔥"
X Link 2026-02-09T00:15Z 14.7K followers, 28.1K engagements

"@decodejar Yes the fractal is post-2015"
X Link 2026-02-09T01:38Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"If Bitcoin stays in an accumulation zone for the same length of time as it did at the end of [----] (10 months) the projected target lies between $260k and $282k in [----]. But this is not automatic. Everything depends on whether the accumulation phase extends for a solid number of months allowing enough time for supply absorption a reset in expectations and the rebuilding of structural demand. That is exactly what we are preparing for. Bitcoin [----] Plan 0%"
X Link 2026-02-09T18:54Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Many long positions have been opened in BTC over the past three days. So its natural for the market to go after these impatient traders"
X Link 2026-02-10T13:14Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"BTC Buy/Sell Pressure Delta is still negative. Be patient. The market will spend many months doing everything it can to push you out. Resilience is what will ultimately define who succeeds in this game. @Alphractal https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021259361901756651 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021259361901756651"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:25Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"We are working to deliver conditional alerts on Alphractal. Something I have always wanted to build. You can now combine macroeconomic metrics with sentiment on-chain or derivatives metrics to create truly intelligent and personalized alerts. For example you can set an alert when global liquidity starts to slow down while Open Interest rises aggressively and sentiment enters a complacency zone. This type of combination anticipates risk movements that are very hard to detect when looking at a single metric in isolation. Soon these alerts will also be available for DeFi and Prediction Market"
X Link 2026-02-10T17:06Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"High interest in Satoshi Nakamoto also surged in [----] when Bitcoin was deep in a bear market. Even this pattern is repeating. Search interest for Satoshi Nakamoto on Wikipedia has reached the 3rd highest level in history. It is only behind the [----] euphoria and the [----] documentary Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery. The recent spike is closely linked to the sharp drop in Bitcoins price and the https://t.co/TPDFwQrAJh Search interest for Satoshi Nakamoto on Wikipedia has reached the 3rd highest level in history. It is only behind the [----] euphoria and the [----] documentary Money Electric: The"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:33Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoin On-Chain Price Levels Here are the current values of the main on-chain price-based metrics for Bitcoin. These levels update daily and represent the real cost of capital across the network. CVDD $49153 The most accurate model ever created to identify price bottoms. Historically this is a zone to buy everything. LTH Realized Price $44349 When price reaches this level the network enters extreme fear. A classic region of asymmetry. Investor Price $50581 A level where historically the decision is simple: buy Bitcoin. Nothing more. Realized Price $55098 The global on-chain cost basis. Below"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:26Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"The number of leveraged trades in HYPE had exploded last week reaching levels never seen before. But now it has dropped sharply signaling the exit of institutions and whales along with their high-frequency trading algorithms. Open Interest has also declined slightly. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021735651629031461 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021735651629031461"
X Link 2026-02-11T23:58Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"You may believe in any narratives you want. But Bitcoin will continue to follow its cycle. Accepting this is part of the game. Bitcoins fractal suggests the next cycle bottom may form around October [--] [----]. Based on historical cycle symmetry the most favorable time window for accumulation would likely be concentrated between: 🗓 October [--] [----] and October [--] [----] 📉 Estimated price range: $41500 https://t.co/vm6tOJvYS6 Bitcoins fractal suggests the next cycle bottom may form around October [--] [----]. Based on historical cycle symmetry the most favorable time window for accumulation would likely"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:10Z 14.8K followers, [----] engagements

"The crypto market sentiment is already very bearish. But it still needs to reach extreme bearishness to truly mark the bottom. Stay calm. We are getting close. @Alphractal 👇"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:18Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"We will also launch Dashboards on Alphractal. You will be able to bring together charts from every type of analysis in one place including derivatives on-chain macroeconomics sentiment DeFi and screeners. In addition there will be a Dashboard Marketplace where I will make available a complete panel with metrics focused on identifying market bottoms tops and high-value informational opportunities. And if any questions arise simply ask Alpha AI. It was built to help you interpret data generate insights and make decisions with greater confidence. This is an important step in building the market"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:37Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"This is one of the most precise metrics ever created to identify structural changes in Bitcoin. When the Realized Cap Impulse (Long-Term) turns negative it confirms that the market has entered a phase of fear. This is not opinion. It is capital flow. This signal shows that even with ETFs accumulating and large institutions like Strategy increasing their positions it is still not enough to offset the period when supply exceeds demand. Bitcoin is driven by supply absorption. If incoming capital cannot absorb the supply that is exiting or remaining inactive the result is structural weakening in"
X Link 2026-02-12T19:28Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"@JakAnthrax @Alphractal This metric is different from the Crypto Fear and Greed Index"
X Link 2026-02-13T00:29Z 14.7K followers, [--] engagements

"The United States and China have accumulated enormous amounts of Bitcoin through judicial seizures hacks and the collapse of major entities in the sector. Without needing to buy on the open market both have become some of the largest holders of a truly scarce monetary asset. At the same time we are witnessing the return of the space race something that profoundly shaped the technological and economic cycles of the 1960s and 1970s. Major technological rivalries between global powers have always driven new waves of innovation and the emergence of new financial systems. We may be at the"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:36Z 14.7K followers, [----] engagements

"🚨Whales and Sharks are aggressively distributing their ETH positions The first natural question is: Is this just movement into exchange reserves The answer is no. Exchange reserves remain relatively stable which rules out that hypothesis. This is not operational transfer this is real selling. What we are seeing are entities with massive ETH positions reducing exposure directly pressuring the market. The outcome is clear: Progressive capitulation Cascading liquidations Dominant selling pressure This type of move does not originate from retail. It starts at the top of the structure with"
X Link 2026-02-04T23:42Z 14.8K followers, 15.9K engagements

"When Memecoins Weaken Pay Attention Elon Musk stated that he intends to take Dogecoin to the Moon in [----]. But to me that is not concrete data it is narrative. What the data shows today is different. Currently FLOKI dominates 39.7% of the number of trades BONK holds 32.2% and DOGE stands at 30%. Meanwhile the Memecoin Index is at historical lows and the aggregated top of this segment has been declining since late [----]. But the most interesting point is something else. Once again memecoins appear to have anticipated the Bear Market. Historically they tend to mark their tops before other"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:49Z 14.8K followers, [----] engagements

"🚨Today marks the key day that closes Bitcoins fractal cycle If the price drops significantly from here it will prove that everyone who believed the 4-year Bitcoin cycle wouldnt work anymore was wrong In my last post I share a bit more openly about what I truly believe👇 I want to be completely honest and straightforward about what I think: has the Bitcoin cycle and the market ended or not The first thing I want to share is a reflection on whether the 4-year BTC cycle is really repeating. We've gone through many moments and a lot of people say https://t.co/U2wD2yqdTf I want to be completely"
X Link 2025-10-16T16:30Z 14.9K followers, 194.2K engagements

"Bitcoins fractal suggests the next cycle bottom may form around October [--] [----]. Based on historical cycle symmetry the most favorable time window for accumulation would likely be concentrated between: 🗓 October [--] [----] and October [--] [----] 📉 Estimated price range: $41500 $45000 ⚠ This is not a fixed rule nor a deterministic price forecast. It represents a fractal rhyme of market cycles something Bitcoin has historically respected more often than ignored. Markets do not repeat exactly but they rhyme with an uncomfortable frequency. @Alphractal Bitcoin Cycle Intelligence 🚨Today marks the key"
X Link 2025-12-26T13:44Z 14.9K followers, 79.1K engagements

"It wouldnt be unrealistic. I actually see it as very realistic. It rose about 2000% between [----] and [----]. In the last cycle up to [----] it climbed roughly 700%. And by [----] it would rise at most around 500% starting from roughly $48k. In other words performance continues to decline with each cycle"
X Link 2026-02-09T19:27Z 14.9K followers, [---] engagements

"While BTC corrects global liquidity continues to expand. In recent years China has expanded its monetary base at a much faster pace than the United States. Today Chinas money supply is approximately [---] times larger than that of the U.S. Something structural is happening in Asia. Information flows in the West rarely capture in depth what is unfolding on the other side of the world. Much of macro analysis remains overly centered on the U.S. and Europe. If you closely follow Asian data you are ahead of most Western investors. Global liquidity is not a narrative. It is monetary mathematics."
X Link 2026-02-11T16:55Z 14.9K followers, 10.4K engagements

"Have you ever used a 3D chart to discover opportunities in cryptocurrencies There are studies and books that discuss R-mode which stimulates creativity and enhances pattern recognition. It may sound unusual but 3D analysis can be a more powerful and intuitive way to identify patterns and opportunities compared to traditional tables and charts. @Alphractal https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022407609119105392 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022407609119105392"
X Link 2026-02-13T20:28Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Another curious way to identify Bitcoin bottoms. 👀 Historically the major bottoms occurred when the price reached the [----] standard deviation level of the LTH Realized Price. This point marked classic capitulation phases and the final opportunity to buy before a new Bull Market began. Today the behavior is different. The price is unable to sustain moves above the +1 standard deviation indicating that bears continue to sell aggressively in these regions. These bands act as natural support and resistance zones throughout market cycles. When the price approaches extreme negative levels the"
X Link 2026-02-14T00:31Z 14.9K followers, 14.3K engagements

"Watch it live on http://Alphractal.com http://Alphractal.com"
X Link 2026-02-14T00:32Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Massive withdrawal of counterfeit and unregistered notes from circulation (including suspicions of Russian involvement to benefit eastern factions). Tighter monetary policy to combat inflation and currency devaluation (the country remains divided between rival authorities (east and west) which prevents a unified monetary policy). Persistent physical liquidity crisis (cash crunch). https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023076067192250584 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023076067192250584"
X Link 2026-02-15T16:44Z 14.9K followers, [---] engagements

"Bitcoins Next Bull Run Starts When This Turns Red The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) for Long-Term Holders measures the average unrealized profit or loss of the most resilient investors in the market. Currently the value stands at [----] meaning long-term holders are still on average in profit. But the most important signal appears when this metric turns negative. When Long-Term Holders NUPL enters negative territory it means even the most convicted participants are holding unrealized losses. Historically this marks the phase of maximum market depression. This stage reflects seller"
X Link 2026-02-16T06:04Z 14.9K followers, 57K engagements

"http://Alphractal.com http://Alphractal.com"
X Link 2026-02-16T06:04Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"@POLO_ADDICT It does even if it feels counterintuitive. On-chain has consistently proven to be the most accurate set of metrics. At least I take it very seriously"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:19Z 14.9K followers, [---] engagements

"Every day Short-Term Holders are becoming more anxious about Bitcoin. This is not opinion. This is visible in the on-chain data. Short-Term Holders are the most reactive participants in the market. They buy late sell under pressure and amplify volatility during critical phases. If you do not understand on-chain metrics and the power they provide you will inevitably experience frustration in crypto investing. On-chain data reveals market structure before narratives change. It shows where fear concentrates. It shows where conviction begins. Data is not noise. It is your edge. Bitcoin is"
X Link 2026-02-16T16:42Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Now Strategy (MSTR) is sitting on $7.5B in unrealized losses. ⚠ Strategy (MSTR) is now sitting on US$100K in unrealized losses. The accumulation trajectory was not efficient. Ill reinforce it again: the average entry price is poor. For a truly solid long-term strategy the average price should be at least between US$30K and US$40K. https://t.co/mc1iZnAtlv ⚠ Strategy (MSTR) is now sitting on US$100K in unrealized losses. The accumulation trajectory was not efficient. Ill reinforce it again: the average entry price is poor. For a truly solid long-term strategy the average price should be at"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:25Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"http://alphractal.com http://alphractal.com"
X Link 2026-02-13T20:28Z 14.9K followers, [---] engagements

"The 6-month and annual change in Realized Market Cap is one of the most reliable ways to identify when demand for Bitcoin begins to weaken and the probability of a bear market increases. Whether measured in absolute terms or percentage growth Realized Cap is now losing strength just as it did in previous cycles. The charts tell the story. You just have to follow them. Data Narratives. @Alphractal https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022785011108516067 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022785011108516067"
X Link 2026-02-14T21:28Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"http://Alphractal.com http://Alphractal.com"
X Link 2026-02-14T21:28Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Something is breaking beneath the surface of the S&P [---]. While the S&P [---] continues to rise companies tied to Blockchain Web3 and Crypto infrastructure are already falling. This divergence is not random. It is a warning. iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF is falling while the S&P [---] rises. Global X Blockchain ETF is falling while the S&P [---] rises. Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF is falling while the S&P [---] rises. iShares Blockchain and Tech ETF is falling while the S&P [---] rises. This pattern has appeared before. The Crypto and Blockchain sector is structurally more sensitive to"
X Link 2026-02-14T22:11Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"http://Alphractal.com http://Alphractal.com"
X Link 2026-02-14T22:11Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"For a brief moment I thought Donald Trumps social disapproval was a crypto chart on a log scale. Tell me it doesnt look like one 😆 But why is the disapproval so high"
X Link 2026-02-15T11:28Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Dogecoin rallies have always been seen as a risk signal for Bitcoin. This applies across both lower timeframes such as [--] minutes and higher timeframes like daily charts. When Dogecoin rises it is a classic sign that volatility is approaching. This usually happens when Bitcoin is moving sideways. Remember this the next time you make a trade. Dogecoin and memecoins are trying to attract attention A dead cat bounce or the return of demand for memes Dogecoin and memecoins are trying to attract attention A dead cat bounce or the return of demand for memes"
X Link 2026-02-15T14:59Z 14.9K followers, 14.3K engagements

"@claymedici Because the price during COVID did not fall below the Long-Term Holders price"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:20Z 14.9K followers, [---] engagements

"Ive been in the crypto market for many years and have witnessed every type of narrative. Futures launch CME Bitfinex hack QuadrigaCX collapse China mining ban COVID crash FTX and countless other moments driven by fear and excessive optimism. In every cycle the same pattern repeats. Narratives change emotions change but the underlying structure remains the same. One thing has consistently proven reliable: on-chain analysis. It is cyclical behavioral and grounded in real data. My advice is simple. Focus on what the data is telling you. Do not waste your time on biased news political opinions or"
X Link 2026-02-16T16:59Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"If you want to chat with our Telegram community Im sure youll learn a lot. https://t.me/alphractal_group https://t.me/alphractal_group"
X Link 2026-02-16T17:01Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"This famous cartoon known as Wall Street Alps was created during the period surrounding the Great Depression when markets were driven by speculation public emotion and heavy reliance on expert opinion. The image shows a chaotic wagon labeled Experts Ice Wagon being pulled uphill overloaded with people desperately trying to get on after the move has already begun. Behind it more participants run in panic saying theyve been itching to buy stocks but had to wait till the experts told them. Meanwhile at the top of the mountain a quiet car labeled Modern 16-Cylinder Methods is already far ahead"
X Link 2026-02-16T18:45Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Seek the Truth http://Alphractal.com http://Alphractal.com"
X Link 2026-02-16T18:45Z 14.9K followers, [---] engagements

"Bitcoin is approaching a support level as highlighted in the latest post. This is a moment that requires attention with an increased risk of larger liquidations. Data over narratives. Bitcoin cannot lose $81K under any circumstances according to on-chain analysis. If this level breaks a capitulation process similar to [----] may unfold. The next major support would sit around $65500. Hard to believe for many but this same disbelief about how far price https://t.co/IcGLelt2pP Bitcoin cannot lose $81K under any circumstances according to on-chain analysis. If this level breaks a capitulation"
X Link 2026-01-30T01:46Z 13.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Gold Bitcoin Capital Rotation One week ago I published this analysis. Less than a week later the Buy Climax (BC) in gold was confirmed and the sharp sell-off in gold over the last hours led to a strong decline in Bitcoin. This is not prediction. Its not coincidence. Its the outcome of broad data analysis statistical validation and institutional-level market behavior analysis resulting in an Alpha Signal. The process continues. When late sellers emerge in gold price tends to react sharply to the upside. As optimism and complacency return gold typically fails to sustain the move and transitions"
X Link 2026-01-30T03:30Z 14.9K followers, 15.2K engagements

"⚠ Bitcoins Sharpe Ratio is declining and weakening faster than price. This signals a deterioration in risk-adjusted returns even before a proportional decline in BTC. Simply put: the market is taking more risk for less return. 📉 With the normalized Sharpe Ratio already turning lower historically this move anticipates a loss of momentum or extended consolidation phases. Data Narratives. Price reacts later. Risk-adjusted metrics change first. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017222806346375204 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017222806346375204"
X Link 2026-01-30T13:06Z 13.9K followers, [----] engagements

"TRX and BNB have been the most resilient altcoins relative to BTC over the past [--] years. Interestingly both were founded by creators of Chinese origin. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017261851541741861 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017261851541741861"
X Link 2026-01-30T15:41Z 13.9K followers, [----] engagements

"On-chain doesnt change narratives. It exposes structure. In December I shared why the CVDD Channel is one of the most powerful tools in the entire crypto market. It maps real holder behavior and defines long-term structural support and resistance with precision. Today the update is clear and uncomfortable for many. This Bitcoin cycle is structurally different. Performance is less than half of the post-COVID cycle. And more importantly: Bitcoin has now lost a key CVDD Channel level. This chart is the holy grail of long-term support and resistance analysis. These are not lines drawn by opinion"
X Link 2026-01-31T03:08Z 14.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Alpha Quant Signal once again proved to be extremely accurate on BTC. Now that it is pointing to the downside an acceleration in volatility is almost inevitable. Exchanges and OGs will push aggressively to trigger stop-limit orders further reducing the residual liquidity in the order book. Lets keep monitoring. The Alpha Signal did not stabilize and a Sell signal was triggered [--] days ago remaining the latest active signal on the daily chart. This metric is highly reliable and was specifically designed to minimize risk in high-volatility environments such as the current crypto"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:42Z 14.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Is AVA AI in depression and potential accumulation The risk here is also high but the increase in Open Interest in the very short term shows a possible long opportunity as well in a scalping-style setup. I still believe the market is extremely sensitive to BTC. However many altcoins that are off most peoples radar can help recover a small portion of recent losses. Use leverage wisely and with small position sizes. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017616079963492763 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017616079963492763"
X Link 2026-01-31T15:08Z 13.9K followers, [----] engagements

"For the first time since [----] Bitcoin is trading below its major moving averages. Historically this type of market structure does not appear by chance. The past makes it very clear what tends to happen in these scenarios. For more conservative investors and based on the current chart structure it now makes sense to begin a DCA strategy preferably on a weekly basis taking advantage of periods of fear selling pressure and red candles. Its important to be clear: 👉 This early accumulation phase can last many months. Capital management is critical. Avoid deploying all capital at once."
X Link 2026-01-31T16:04Z 14.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Market Cycle Loading. 33% The crypto bear market has completed 1/3 of its journey. This is not the end. Its not the bottom. Its the normalization phase. Cycles dont end in panic. They end in silence. Data over narratives. Process over emotion"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:09Z 14.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Strategy is on the verge of seeing its entire Bitcoin position in unrealized losses. OGs wont spare even the wealthiest players. Are ETFs next Data Narratives Strategy continues to accumulate BTC and the current price is getting closer and closer to its average acquisition price around $76000 USD. My feeling is that OG whales will do everything they can to push the price down and revisit this level at some point. What do you https://t.co/XwChEblZR4 Strategy continues to accumulate BTC and the current price is getting closer and closer to its average acquisition price around $76000 USD. My"
X Link 2026-01-31T19:39Z 14.5K followers, 12.3K engagements

"⚠ Crypto market sentiment is the most bearish since [----]. Even worse: 👉 Its now at the same level as the most aggressive bear markets in history. Data first. Narratives later"
X Link 2026-01-31T21:26Z 14.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Alpha Crypto Sentiment now includes data going back to [----]. Explore more at https://app.alphractal.com/sentiment https://app.alphractal.com/sentiment"
X Link 2026-01-31T21:26Z 14.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoins bottom is likely between -60% and -70%. Make sure to note this on the chart. ⚠Bitcoin has already fallen -37% from its all-time high. This does not signal a market bottom according to this metric. In every major cycle Bitcoin experienced much deeper drawdowns before the bearish phase was completed. 📉 Historical drawdowns: 2011: -93% 20132015: -85% https://t.co/ZP8uHNC6cU ⚠Bitcoin has already fallen -37% from its all-time high. This does not signal a market bottom according to this metric. In every major cycle Bitcoin experienced much deeper drawdowns before the bearish phase was"
X Link 2026-02-01T01:58Z 14.2K followers, 13.5K engagements

"If you truly understand what Bitcoin is you should feel conflicted about this. Governments holding Bitcoin. Banks holding Bitcoin. Bitcoin ETFs. This is not network adoption its institutional centralization of the asset. Bitcoin was created to eliminate intermediaries not to be custodied by them. Yes it may look bullish for price. But it goes directly against Satoshi Nakamotos vision. So the real question is: Do we want Bitcoin as a network and ideology or Bitcoin as a financial asset https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017915841875222689 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017915841875222689"
X Link 2026-02-01T11:00Z 14.3K followers, 10.8K engagements

"Bitcoin ETFs are now officially in unrealized loss. Were heading into a turbulent week with a wave of headlines trying to shake the crypto market. But this is nothing new. Its part of every cycle and personally Im used to it"
X Link 2026-02-01T18:02Z 14.2K followers, [----] engagements

"@AlCryp_Pk @Alphractal Im just sharing the current liquidity. This chart doesnt say much about where the market is going. Price can still fall even with liquidity above just like what happened in 2022"
X Link 2026-02-01T19:36Z 14.2K followers, [--] engagements

"Its normal for liquidity to concentrate in the opposite direction and even so price doesnt go there immediately. This happens because Supply (selling) vs Demand (buying) for BTC was very weak in [----] leading to distribution. As a result it became much easier for market makers to push price down since supply was greater than demand. In short: It was far easier for them to make money liquidating longs than shorts because demand was weak. Liquidation Levels are best used for sentiment analysis even though they can be very accurate at key levels. I suggest combining them with on-chain metrics +"
X Link 2026-02-01T19:40Z 14.2K followers, [---] engagements

"The largest deleveraging in dollar terms in the history of the crypto market in one of the shortest timeframes ever recorded. BTC is going through the largest deleveraging in its history. Open interest is now half of what it was at the October ATH. Thats a 50% drop in less than [--] months. Across all exchanges open interest keeps falling signaling institutional exit and traders closing positions https://t.co/ct63qqbjSp BTC is going through the largest deleveraging in its history. Open interest is now half of what it was at the October ATH. Thats a 50% drop in less than [--] months. Across all"
X Link 2026-02-01T20:10Z 14.2K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoin has now lost the $81K level. This was a key on-chain support highlighted days ago. Losing it was never supposed to be neutral. With this break historical data becomes straightforward. Capitulation risk increases. On-chain metrics now point to the next major support area around $65500. The idea that price cant fall that much is familiar. It was the same narrative in [----]. On-chain data doesnt forecast headlines. It maps structure. @Alphractal Bitcoin cannot lose $81K under any circumstances according to on-chain analysis. If this level breaks a capitulation process similar to [----] may"
X Link 2026-02-01T21:16Z 14.2K followers, [----] engagements

"@francoscandizzo @Alphractal Excellent work"
X Link 2026-02-02T18:28Z 14.3K followers, [---] engagements

"Strategy (MSTR) continues to fall and partially follow the Fractal The most curious thing isnt that but rather that since I mentioned in November [----] that Strategys director sold exactly at the top of the stock price and since then never returned; it entered distribution and is still in Mark Down I estimate that a good price is around [--] to [--] per share since in each bear market cycle the drawdown tends to get smaller Strategy (MSTR) appears to be repeating the same bear market fractal from [----] to [----] a pattern that lasted [---] days. If this structure is indeed repeating the projected end"
X Link 2026-02-02T20:52Z 14.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Do you really think Bitcoin follows the ISM In [----] everyone believed it was Global M2 With or without offset. The truth is what you can measure. And the truth lives in Bitcoins on-chain data. Data Narratives https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018489432060391899 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018489432060391899"
X Link 2026-02-03T00:59Z 14.5K followers, [----] engagements

"The Long/Short Ratio is rising across the entire crypto market. However the demand for long positions in Bitcoin is even stronger than in altcoins.A global sense of skepticism and a refusal to accept that the market is falling is spreading. This is dangerous because many investors end up losing significant money due to excessive leverage. @Alphractal https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019069584314089841 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019069584314089841"
X Link 2026-02-04T15:24Z 14.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Buy/Sell Pressure Delta shows that selling pressure is dominating Ethereum. And its coming from whales. Ill explain why very soon. Buy/Sell Pressure Delta shows selling pressure remains dominant across BTC ETH BNB and XRP. Understanding how this metric behaves is key as in certain conditions it has historically marked market bottoms.👇 Buy/Sell Pressure Delta shows selling pressure remains dominant across BTC ETH BNB and XRP. Understanding how this metric behaves is key as in certain conditions it has historically marked market bottoms.👇"
X Link 2026-02-04T20:53Z 14.5K followers, 15.7K engagements

"Forget macroeconomics for now. In addition many technical metrics have shifted into sell territory and are likely to remain there for a long time. Focus on on-chain metrics. They are the holy grail of crypto analysis. Bitcoin has now lost the $81K level. This was a key on-chain support highlighted days ago. Losing it was never supposed to be neutral. With this break historical data becomes straightforward. Capitulation risk increases. On-chain metrics now point to the next major support https://t.co/Ed1qExVnGI Bitcoin has now lost the $81K level. This was a key on-chain support highlighted"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:20Z 14.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Ethereum cannot lose the $2000 level. If it does the situation will become drastic. This drop is not being caused by Binance or any other exchange. It is being driven by the OGs the ones who truly control and have always controlled the market. Believe me. @Alphractal 🚨Whales and Sharks are aggressively distributing their ETH positions The first natural question is: Is this just movement into exchange reserves The answer is no. Exchange reserves remain relatively stable which rules out that hypothesis. This is not operational transfer https://t.co/IFb8NvCIa8 🚨Whales and Sharks are"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:32Z 14.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Invert the chart. You will see that Bitcoin is in a Mark Up phase. Thats exactly what the Chinese OGs are looking at. Inverting the chart literally changes our confirmation bias"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:41Z 14.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoins fractal remains intact. Many people try to associate Bitcoin with traditional markets but this simply does not work when viewed through cycle theory. What disappointed me the most was seeing even strong on-chain analysts analytics company founders and respected market voices abandoning solid on-chain principles to embrace forced macroeconomic narratives. Fed this Fed that biased metrics and recycled talking points pushed by influencers. I have never seen so much noise created with a single purpose: to blind the majority. The [----] and [----] cycles were clear examples of structural"
X Link 2026-02-05T15:11Z 14.6K followers, 15.3K engagements

"The DASH signal was pure Alpha. We sold near the top around $89 and now its trading at $36. This was shared live on Telegram. Link below 👇 The signal on DASH worked I held it as long as possible to lock in gains. Soon well be sharing posts explaining how to use these metrics and theyll also be easily accessible to anyone using Alpha AI. Were working hard to make @Alphractal truly helpful for everyone. https://t.co/t7DD2VJ94G The signal on DASH worked I held it as long as possible to lock in gains. Soon well be sharing posts explaining how to use these metrics and theyll also be easily"
X Link 2026-02-05T17:49Z 14.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Ethereum has just reached the Investor Price ($1950 USD) a level that historically prompts buyers to step in and try to defend it. We recently explained what this metric is and why it is so important for the crypto market. Forget the news. Focus on Alpha data. @Alphractal Investor Price is the structural cost basis of active Bitcoin capital after excluding historical miner revenue. Interestingly it has also been an effective way to identify past Bitcoin cycle bottoms. Investor Price is the structural cost basis of active Bitcoin capital after excluding historical miner revenue. Interestingly"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:58Z 14.5K followers, [----] engagements

"LINK (Chainlink) has lost an important on-chain level and new capital has been leaving its ecosystem for quite some time. In other words LINK is likely to enter a long accumulation phase which could last many months or even years as on-chain analysis clearly shows. Upside threats along the way may be common but data comes first. @Alphractal https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019493238877593715 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019493238877593715"
X Link 2026-02-05T19:28Z 14.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Altcoins following their master BTC. Interesting The correlation between altcoins and BTC is extremely high. This means that whatever happens to Bitcoin will be reflected across the entire crypto market. https://t.co/MgcOqab771 https://t.co/ysQvvlNDie The correlation between altcoins and BTC is extremely high. This means that whatever happens to Bitcoin will be reflected across the entire crypto market. https://t.co/MgcOqab771 https://t.co/ysQvvlNDie"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:41Z 14.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Chart: https://app.alphractal.com/sentiment/crypto-fear-and-greed https://app.alphractal.com/sentiment/crypto-fear-and-greed"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:17Z 14.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoin is at the Alpha Price. An ideal moment for OG Whales to take profits. I'm not saying the price will stop rising But given the incredible accuracy of this Onchain pricing metric everyone should be more cautious and wait for an oversold condition at some point in the future. Access this metric at @Alphractal"
X Link 2025-05-12T14:18Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Everyone is discouraged with Ethereum. but it's just a matter of time before the buying pressure comes back. But hold on. The Buy/Sell Pressure Delta is still red but it's pointing upwards Even with selling pressure in the short term everything indicates that in the next couple of months the scenario could change drastically turning this current pessimism into euphoria. Heads up: I dont rule out high volatility and potential rug pulls. Risk analysis still shows an unstable region with low short-term returns. But. opportunity lives in fear. The next Ethereum dip could be a great accumulation"
X Link 2025-05-25T03:05Z 14.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Historic Opportunity: Trade Gold for Bitcoin. 🟡 Bottom signals in the BTC/Gold ratio are extremely rare and they tend to appear during high-volatility moments and sharp BTC drawdowns. Well were exactly there right now. The blue signal marks the current bottom revealed by a normalized oscillator thats basically screaming: time to sell gold and buy Bitcoin. The green signal on the other hand is even stronger. It shows up when both metrics align at their lows and historically those moments have been the best BTC/Gold opportunities ever recorded. My message goes out to institutional gold"
X Link 2025-10-18T06:23Z 14.8K followers, 115.5K engagements

"DASH has more than doubled in price since our last analysis in less than a month. Patience and solid metrics are the real keys to making serious money in the crypto market. Dash may soon reach $100 and if things heat up it could jump past $200. The On-chain cost basis such as the Realized Price has just been broken and other key metrics like Alpha Price Active Realized Price and True Market Mean Price could be the next resistance levels for https://t.co/HZh6I6C0hq Dash may soon reach $100 and if things heat up it could jump past $200. The On-chain cost basis such as the Realized Price has"
X Link 2025-11-02T12:07Z 14.8K followers, [----] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing