@i3_invest Guilherme Tavares
Guilherme Tavares posts on X about this is, market, in the, history the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
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- [--] Year [---------] +19%
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- [--] Week [--] +29%
- [--] Month [--] +6.30%
- [--] Months [---] -12%
- [--] Year [---] -48%
Followers: [------] #
- [--] Week [------] +1.20%
- [--] Month [------] +2.40%
- [--] Months [------] +17%
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Social Influence
Social category influence finance 41.8% countries 4.1% cryptocurrencies #7641 stocks 2.46% exchanges 1.64% technology brands 1.64%
Social topic influence this is 14.75%, market 14.75%, in the 9.02%, history #2575, liquidity #58, bullish #1589, has been 4.92%, times 4.92%, close 4.92%, end of 4.1%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @don_simpaticon @seunghee1976 @bernierbeau @i3invest @mcclellanosc @ra81516 @plpivotto @bullsvsbearman @scott_tactical @jordankirs97407 @4thaccount99 @mysaltlight @cfialdini @dvogel4 @jtradle @matheus_kellerr @scottmeeuwsen @dipsoking @shawzeider @bqvistsports
Top assets mentioned SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) Vixco (VIX)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"This is not exactly a timing indicator or a sell everything signal. In any case it shows that when the correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq [---] gets too low (below -0.5) the Nasdaq [---] usually experiences a much deeper drawdown. BTC is more sensitive to liquidity and tends to lead"
X Link 2025-12-15T17:00Z 25.4K followers, 48.1K engagements
"This indicator has been incredibly accurate and since the previous post the pattern appears to have worked very well with a solid rebound. Now the analogy suggests potential downside into the end of the month. Lets see if it holds. There is no perfect indicator but some work better than others. This might sound a bit ambiguous but Ive observed that the liquidity model has alternated between a 3- and 4-month lead at different times in the past. Since November [----] the 4-month lead has been particularly accurate. This suggests that February could be a month of https://t.co/CUXQpgjYcJ This might"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:15Z 25.4K followers, 36.3K engagements
"After so many years is this finally setting up for a reversion to the mean We still need confirmation by the end of the month but the bearish divergence combined with a drop below [--] on the RSI(14) could be a solid signal. Many variables are at play but Im keeping a close eye on this. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022313561037611029 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022313561037611029"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:15Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"We appear to be in the extreme phase of the leverage cycle. Investors are heavily in risk-on mode. Any deleveraging at this stage would be a warning sign. History doesnt repeat but it often rhymes"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:00Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Make or break. I believe it will be a bullish breakout"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:00Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Copper/SPX ratio is set for a breakout. This possible move could be driven by a combination of rising copper demand (from green energy and industrial growth) supply constraints SPX valuation pressures and geopolitical factors like U.S. tariffs. It could definitely mark a shift in medium/long term cycle"
X Link 2025-07-14T13:55Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"It's about cycles and capital rotation. Maybe a big move is about to happen here"
X Link 2026-01-09T14:55Z 25.4K followers, 100.1K engagements
"This analogy/leading indicator continues to work quite well and suggests further downside for the dollar relative to the Chinese yuan. Copper/Gold and trade war. A higher CNY/USD reduces Chinese export competitiveness potentially weakening Chinese equities and impacting U.S. companies reliant on Chinese imports or markets with ripple effects across global equity and currency markets. According to this chart https://t.co/9ZnNGNpfTN Copper/Gold and trade war. A higher CNY/USD reduces Chinese export competitiveness potentially weakening Chinese equities and impacting U.S. companies reliant on"
X Link 2026-01-14T17:00Z 25.2K followers, [----] engagements
"This might sound a bit ambiguous but Ive observed that the liquidity model has alternated between a 3- and 4-month lead at different times in the past. Since November [----] the 4-month lead has been particularly accurate. This suggests that February could be a month of pullbacks with a major bottom potentially forming toward the end of the month. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018368819287208388 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018368819287208388"
X Link 2026-02-02T17:00Z 25.4K followers, 23.7K engagements
"Retail tradersoften referred to as dumb moneyare clearly not betting on the downside for equities. They usually trade leveraged ETFs on both sides and in the last [--] instances when the short allocation was this low they were wrong [--] times with the SPX subsequently facing significant downside risk. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018429217713672527 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018429217713672527"
X Link 2026-02-02T21:00Z 25.3K followers, 34.2K engagements
"XLEs positive performance in January suggests upward momentum over the next year. When the monthly ROC is 14% it has historically been bullish for energy stocksespecially when the signal triggers after an extended period without triggering"
X Link 2026-02-03T14:15Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"The insiders buy vs. sell ratio in the basic materials sector has triggered a bullish signal for XLB. Historically when they have been above the "buy zone" in the chart the following [--] months have had an average return of around 13%. Buckle up"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:00Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Rotation: I believe this may be in its early stages. Were seeing a classical reversal pattern near the top of the channel. And thats without even factoring in fundamentals and macro which IMHO favor XLB over SOXX in the short to medium term"
X Link 2026-02-04T14:15Z 25.1K followers, [----] engagements
"This still looks like the early stage of a strong upward move. Since then oil has risen by around 14%. History suggests it's definitely time for OIL. https://t.co/42gYMUst6V History suggests it's definitely time for OIL. https://t.co/42gYMUst6V"
X Link 2026-02-05T14:15Z 25.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Are you buying BTC here Although it may look appealing the US02Y vs. US10Y spread projected two years forward (as previously shared) still suggests a bear market lasting until [----]. Perhaps only a small entry for now"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:00Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Nothing is certain but we should remain open-minded about the possibility of a long-term rotation from equities to other asset classes. Household equity allocation resembles the patterns seen in the late 1960s and late 1990s. This is not the end of the world its simply how cycles behave. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021328319816638501 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021328319816638501"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:00Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Who's lying here"
X Link 2026-02-11T14:15Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"This is risk-off at its finest"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:00Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"This is another interesting chart that reinforces the bullish oil thesis. It reflects interest rate dynamics among G7 countries. When they begin lowering interest rates it can take around one year for the effects to reach the real economy which in turn has a direct impact on commodities including oil. This chart illustrates previous cycles and the corresponding behavior of Brent prices. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019878772443427051 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019878772443427051"
X Link 2026-02-06T21:00Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"This is not exactly a sell everything timing tool but it is definitely worth paying attention to. Since BTC became an asset class every time the correlation with the NDX dropped below [----] and then turned upward it occurred very close to points that were followed by meaningful drawdowns"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:15Z 25.4K followers, 37.2K engagements
"IMO this is set for a breakout. I believe XLE will outperform SPY until year-end. After years of relative underperformance the energy sector now offers a compelling mean-reversion opportunity. XLE trades at attractive valuations with a solid dividend yield making it appealing for investors rotating out of overvalued tech-heavy names into more reasonably priced high-yield areas. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018327294775799944 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018327294775799944"
X Link 2026-02-02T14:15Z 25.4K followers, 22.8K engagements
"You've been warned. IMO this is set for a breakout. I believe XLE will outperform SPY until year-end. After years of relative underperformance the energy sector now offers a compelling mean-reversion opportunity. XLE trades at attractive valuations with a solid dividend yield making it https://t.co/Q1UCZfxXLo IMO this is set for a breakout. I believe XLE will outperform SPY until year-end. After years of relative underperformance the energy sector now offers a compelling mean-reversion opportunity. XLE trades at attractive valuations with a solid dividend yield making it"
X Link 2026-02-12T14:15Z 25.4K followers, 25.4K engagements
"There have only been three times in history when the DJI was this far above its exponential growth trendline: [--------] [--------] Today. But of course the bull market is just beginning. And its obvious that it will appear endless if the local currency continues to devalue driven by the only real force keeping the wheel spinning: liquidity injections and rising debt. Measured against gold however the story looks very different"
X Link 2025-09-23T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 21.8K engagements
"History suggests it's definitely time for OIL"
X Link 2025-12-19T14:55Z 25.4K followers, 99.9K engagements
"The big commodity rotation may be about to happen. This does not necessarily mean gold will decline but rather that oil could outperform. Possible double top combined with bearish divergence"
X Link 2026-02-10T17:00Z 25.4K followers, 16.4K engagements
"According to the US02Y-US10Y Yield spread the rotation is likely to continue until 2028"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:00Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"It is perfectly ok to see both commodities and long-term bonds rising as happened during one of the strongest commodity bull cycles from [----] to 2008"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:00Z 25.4K followers, [----] engagements
"$VIX [----] vs today"
X Link 2024-08-27T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 76.7K engagements
"It's all about cycles and we can't run from it. "The market is a pendulum that forever swings between unsustainable optimism and unjustified pessimism." Howard Marks"
X Link 2024-08-29T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 123.9K engagements
"This is the largest divergence between the Conference Board LEI and the S&P [---] EVER. I ask you: Is this indicator worthless or are we simply delaying the inevitable *The Conf. Board LEI is an indicator that usually predicts shifts in economic activity several months ahead"
X Link 2024-08-30T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 73K engagements
"Significant bear markets (SPX down more than 30%) are rare. However the un-inversion of the 2Y vs 10Y Yield spread combined with the SPX crossing below its 4-Year cycle moving average should serve as a reliable indicator for identifying the continuation of a major drawdown"
X Link 2024-09-03T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 94.4K engagements
"The blood indicator is very close to cross its 100-week MA. The last [--] times it didn't ended well. Is this time different"
X Link 2024-09-12T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 32.2K engagements
"Does valuation still matter"
X Link 2024-09-24T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 63.5K engagements
"Another chart that probably doesn't mean anything for a long-term investor. Right"
X Link 2024-10-09T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 38.6K engagements
"Small traders are extremely long in US equities"
X Link 2024-10-10T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 90K engagements
"Bearish engulfing patterns above the upper Bollinger Band are quite rare. One occurred recently leading to a maximum drawdown of around 9% in the S&P [---]. Will the pattern repeat"
X Link 2024-10-16T13:00Z 25.4K followers, 99.8K engagements
"$SPY vs $TLT - Place your bets"
X Link 2024-10-16T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 60.8K engagements
"Valuations are stretched and small speculators are heavily invested in equities. We have seen this before"
X Link 2024-11-08T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 51.3K engagements
"Don't worry about a thing"
X Link 2024-11-22T22:00Z 25.4K followers, 131.2K engagements
"The current scenario for equities: -Stretched valuation according to Shiller P/E; -Tight credit spreads; -Largest allocation to equities by small speculators. The sum of their percentiles has reached extreme levels"
X Link 2024-11-26T22:00Z 25.4K followers, 94.6K engagements
"Enjoy the final weeks of elevated equity prices and narrow credit spreads before a reversion to the mean. Only a miracle can fix this chart"
X Link 2024-12-02T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 72.2K engagements
"NO one is buying it. Mag [--] just reached its lowest volume in years. Last time we had similar conditions it was very close to a significant top"
X Link 2024-12-04T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 305.9K engagements
"Ladies and gentlemen this is the largest divergence ever between the real economy and the stock market. Nothing can make stonks go down"
X Link 2024-12-12T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 49.8K engagements
"The last time breadth was this bad it marked the exact previous major top. History Doesn't Repeat Itself but It Often Rhymes Mark Twain"
X Link 2024-12-17T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 29.9K engagements
""In the end trees don't grow to the sky and few things go to zero." Howard Marks"
X Link 2024-12-24T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 39.7K engagements
"Ladies and gentlemen US stocks are extremely expensive and guess what The great majority believes the stock market will be up in a year. What a terrible combination. The last time we had exactly the same combination It was right before the dot-com bubble burst"
X Link 2025-01-08T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 21.7K engagements
"We live in a simulation"
X Link 2025-01-10T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 20.8K engagements
"This is not a black-box tool; however Ive observed that over the past year reverse repo activity has been leading the stock market by approximately [--] days. Based on this the chart suggests the possibility of a rebound before a major sell-off. Will it happen again Im not sure but its certainly worth watching"
X Link 2025-01-14T14:55Z 25.4K followers, 75.7K engagements
"The Mag Seven 1-year moving average volume is ticking up for the first time in a long time after reaching extremely low levels. Last time this happened November 2021right before the [----] bear market. Volume typically spikes when panic sets in. Will the pattern repeat"
X Link 2025-02-03T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 44.6K engagements
"There have been only [--] times in history when the 4-year correlation between Gold and the S&P [---] was this high: October/2007 and Feb/2025"
X Link 2025-02-05T14:55Z 25.4K followers, 40.6K engagements
"During times of EUPHORIA it's not unusual to see one of the most dangerous combinations: -High level of debt to trade stocks. -High Valuation level. We are at an extremely dangerous level right now. When the indicator starts dropping from extreme levels it will be a clear WARNING signal"
X Link 2025-02-10T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 35.6K engagements
"The blood indicator hasn't triggered yet. I don't know when it's going to trigger but it's definitely worth watching"
X Link 2025-02-12T14:55Z 25.4K followers, 169.1K engagements
"Few understand this"
X Link 2025-02-24T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 212.3K engagements
"Why would it be different this time"
X Link 2025-02-25T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 51.3K engagements
"The monthly divergence is now confirmed"
X Link 2025-03-01T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 56.7K engagements
"Not sure if the buy the dip strategy will work over the next [--] years"
X Link 2025-03-04T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 56.7K engagements
"This is it: The notorious blood indicator has just triggered a warning signal. Will this time be different"
X Link 2025-03-11T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 113.9K engagements
"Probably nothing"
X Link 2025-04-03T12:55Z 25.4K followers, 95.8K engagements
"I dont think its the same situation but imagine this: A blow-off top that whips out all the bears before the real secular bear market begins. Keep an open mind nothing is obvious here"
X Link 2025-04-14T17:00Z 25.4K followers, 63.2K engagements
"It's all about Japan now"
X Link 2025-04-17T13:00Z 25.4K followers, 51K engagements
"This chart shows a disconnect between the real economy and the S&P [---]. A similar pattern occurred during the dot-com bubble. Back then the euphoria was around internet-based companies; now it's A.I"
X Link 2025-05-12T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 52.6K engagements
"Here we go with Japan again. Japans 40-year bond yield hit 3.48% a 20-year high. This could definitely unwind yen carry trades draining capital from U.S. equities"
X Link 2025-05-19T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 56.4K engagements
"Guess what 30Y Yields are at their highest level since the [----] market top. Probably nothing"
X Link 2025-05-20T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 64.1K engagements
"The S&P [---] is very close to ATH while M&A deals have just reached their lowest level ever. This is a symptom of a very fragile economy and financial system that depends on ongoing liquidity injections. Probably nothing"
X Link 2025-05-29T12:55Z 25.4K followers, 30K engagements
"The meaning of liquidity injection and an artificial economy in one chart"
X Link 2025-06-03T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 42K engagements
"Moment of truth for the S&P 500"
X Link 2025-06-03T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 60.1K engagements
"Moment of truth for the S&P 500"
X Link 2025-06-20T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 100.5K engagements
"The unwinding of the Japan carry trade will definitely be a scary trade if it materializes"
X Link 2025-07-09T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 44.6K engagements
"This is the S&P [---] adjusted for inflation. That's it. This is the post"
X Link 2025-07-18T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 100.7K engagements
"Is this healthy Asking for a friend"
X Link 2025-07-24T22:00Z 25.4K followers, 34K engagements
"This first weekly reversal is likely to be a bear trap. But the second"
X Link 2025-08-04T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 37.3K engagements
"For those who believe the S&P [---] is reasonably valued. What an illusion"
X Link 2025-08-05T22:00Z 25.4K followers, 46.7K engagements
"My man if you're a long-term buy-and-hold here Ive got to admityou have balls"
X Link 2025-08-06T22:00Z 25.4K followers, 290.9K engagements
"This is the S&P [---] adjusted for inflation. Make or break"
X Link 2025-08-12T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 48.5K engagements
"This breadth indicator is heavily diverging from the S&P [---] as the % of industries above the [---] DMA is clearly declining while the S&P [---] is close to its ATH. Similar conditions occurred in November [----] and September 2018"
X Link 2025-08-18T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 59K engagements
"Who's lying here The Heavy Truck Index has clearly been signaling a shift in the real economy for months"
X Link 2025-08-25T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 50.9K engagements
"The Fed meeting and rate cut look like a sell the news event. According to our liquidity leading indicator (although not 100% perfect) the data suggest limited upside a potential short-term market top and increased downside risk. This could lead to a bottom around mid-October followed by a rally. On top of that seasonality lines up perfectly with this thesis. Taken together we have two strong indicators suggesting that the next rate cut will at least in the short term be a sell the news event"
X Link 2025-09-17T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 74K engagements
"Moment of truth. The Fed meeting and rate cut look like a sell the news event. According to our liquidity leading indicator (although not 100% perfect) the data suggest limited upside a potential short-term market top and increased downside risk. This could lead to a bottom around https://t.co/bfMTddVRE6 The Fed meeting and rate cut look like a sell the news event. According to our liquidity leading indicator (although not 100% perfect) the data suggest limited upside a potential short-term market top and increased downside risk. This could lead to a bottom around https://t.co/bfMTddVRE6"
X Link 2025-09-23T13:00Z 25.4K followers, 71.5K engagements
"If youre short OIL Ive got some bad news for you. The correlation between crude oil and the 5-year breakeven inflation rate is deeply negative right now which is a rare event. Historically whenever this weekly correlation stayed below [----] the following 12-month performance for oil has been extremely bullish up 82% of the time with an average gain of 32%"
X Link 2025-10-08T13:00Z 25.4K followers, 96.2K engagements
"Gold often serves as an insightful leading indicator for crude oil. Buckle up"
X Link 2025-10-13T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 118K engagements
"Only a recession could break this correlation. Otherwise like it or not XOP could very well go to the moon in [--------]. Intermarket relationships matter whether you think its coincidence or not"
X Link 2025-10-20T17:00Z 25.4K followers, 86.2K engagements
"The markets are in a highly speculative mode. Over the past [--] years whenever the 2-year ROC rose above 70% it didnt bode well for stocks. Maybe this time is different maybe not. In any case the last time the ROC was this high was in July 2007"
X Link 2025-10-22T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 99.1K engagements
"The massive bull run in commodities is yet to start. [----] will be huge"
X Link 2025-11-12T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 68K engagements
"a.k.a the blood indicator. So far nothing to worry. When it crosses I will update. $SPY $QQQ $TBIL"
X Link 2024-04-08T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 57.9K engagements
"This is getting absolutely insane. A reversion is inevitable. [----] vs now"
X Link 2024-07-09T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 308.1K engagements
"This is what happened when the Nasdaq [---] dropped more than 3.5% in one day and at least 20% of the yield curve was inverted. Place your bets"
X Link 2024-07-25T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 84.4K engagements
"Heavy Truck and Recessions. Historically the Heavy Truck Index has been a leading indicator of economic cycles. Decelerations in this index have often preceded economic downturns and recessions. But I guess this time is different due to A.I right"
X Link 2024-08-07T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 46.3K engagements
"The blood indicator is very close to cross its 100-week MA. I hope this time is different"
X Link 2024-08-14T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 116.7K engagements
"You can postpone it for weeks or months but it will be hard to avoid at some point. 1-Rates went from almost [--] to 5% in [--] years 2-Longest YC inversion ever 3-Largest divergence ever from Conference Board LEI and the stock market But no worries we have A.I"
X Link 2024-08-20T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 170.3K engagements
"If you are bearish maybe now is your time"
X Link 2024-08-23T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 124.6K engagements
"My new bet for $NVDA. Too bold"
X Link 2024-08-29T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 81.2K engagements
"The Chaikin Money Flow isnt a perfect indicator but it has been highly accurate in identifying recent market tops"
X Link 2024-10-24T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 51.5K engagements
"$TLT just had its highest outflow since the covid-19 crash. It was a GREAT contrarian indicator back then. And I have the same feeling this time"
X Link 2024-11-19T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 371.3K engagements
"Heavy Truck Index is sending a clear message while the SPX has been ignoring it. Someone is wrong here"
X Link 2024-11-21T22:00Z 25.4K followers, 89.2K engagements
"A reversion to the mean is inevitable"
X Link 2024-11-28T14:55Z 25.4K followers, 161.8K engagements
"The blood indicator is VERY close to cross its 100-week MA. The last [--] times this signal was triggered it proved to be highly accurate in predicting recessions"
X Link 2024-12-10T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 50.2K engagements
"The last time the 52-week MA volume of SPY presented a similar pattern: Feb/2020"
X Link 2024-12-23T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 52.3K engagements
"This is the LOWEST 2-month net flow into TLT in history. "The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell." Sir John Templeton"
X Link 2025-01-02T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 122.4K engagements
"I'm still fascinated by this setup I've discovered. It's been unfolding perfectly and I'm eager to see the next move. If the market is about to dip it would align perfectly with today's interest rate decision. Not the most robust setup but definitely an interesting one. 👀 This is not a black-box tool; however Ive observed that over the past year reverse repo activity has been leading the stock market by approximately [--] days. Based on this the chart suggests the possibility of a rebound before a major sell-off. Will it happen again Im not https://t.co/lVnT1bqoBB This is not a black-box tool;"
X Link 2025-01-29T14:00Z 25.4K followers, 64.1K engagements
"High-yield bond traders are among the smartest on Wall Street. They definitely know what they are doing"
X Link 2025-02-03T23:00Z 25.4K followers, 45.7K engagements
"This trend is starting to show signs of exhaustion. We have seen a similar pattern beforefollowed by a small blow-off top and then the beginning of the [----] bear market"
X Link 2025-02-07T23:00Z 25.4K followers, 26.3K engagements
"Who's lying"
X Link 2025-02-13T14:55Z 25.4K followers, 94.1K engagements
""History Doesn't Repeat Itself but It Often Rhymes". Mark Twain"
X Link 2025-02-21T21:00Z 25.4K followers, 34.6K engagements
"We now have the name of the event linked to the "blood indicator.""
X Link 2025-04-04T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 19.6K engagements
"History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes This is a crucial signal related to liquidity and market risk suggesting something big is about to happen. I hope Im wrong but the signals are becoming increasingly clear"
X Link 2025-04-11T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 50.5K engagements
"That's it folks. The S&P [---] has just triggered a death cross for the first time following a CAPE ratio that exceeded two standard deviations above its long-term exponential trend. The other [--] times this happened: - Nov/1929 - Oct/2000 - Mar/2022 Place your bets"
X Link 2025-04-17T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 123.5K engagements
"Yields are more likely to crash in the coming months not the opposite"
X Link 2025-04-25T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 40.3K engagements
"It's all about Japan (liquidity/carry trade) and it still needs a bullish breakout here"
X Link 2025-05-13T12:55Z 25.4K followers, 240.1K engagements
"I have no doubt that this market is overvalued by many metrics. Thats why I wrote this on my wall: "Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent""
X Link 2025-05-27T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 41.5K engagements
"I definitely have a clear direction. There's a huge difference between posting charts (content/analysis) here on X (whether bearish or bullish) and actually being net long or net short in reality. Ive always been transparent about that. Most of my charts reflect a bearish view because I remain "macro bearish" as I believe markets are overvalued and that were closer to the end of the cycle than the beginning at least for U.S. equities. However I always said that price is king and at the end of the day opinions and views are just opinions and views and what really matters is what markets are"
X Link 2025-05-29T16:00Z 25.4K followers, 97.7K engagements
"There is no cash on the sidelines"
X Link 2025-06-11T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 129.9K engagements
"We've been here before. A similar divergence occurred during the dot-com bubble. "History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes." Mark Twain"
X Link 2025-06-17T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 46K engagements
"Something very weird is going on in the financial market. The US10Y vs. JP10Y yield spread typically shows a strong correlation with the US10Y yield. However the current 10-week correlation is at its lowest level ever a similarly low level was last seen in May [----]. 2008"
X Link 2025-06-24T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 47.1K engagements
"If history is any guide this is definitely not the best time for a long-term allocation to U.S. equities. Or maybe this time is different Who knows"
X Link 2025-06-24T22:00Z 25.4K followers, 63.6K engagements
"Markets decoupled from fundamentals Probably nothing"
X Link 2025-06-25T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 29.5K engagements
"The S&P [---] relative to the U.S. money supply looks incredibly similar to the [----] blow-off top"
X Link 2025-06-30T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 195.5K engagements
"It's all about Japan and the risk of the unwinding carry trade. The current head and shoulders pattern looks similar to the one in 07/08 and imo is one of the most important charts right now. Probably the last hope for bears in the short term. Yen carry trade at serious risk"
X Link 2025-07-03T13:55Z 25.4K followers, 146K engagements
"Where do you think the risk vs. reward is The last (and only) time the % distance was above 100% was guess when December [----]. This shift is inevitable"
X Link 2025-07-28T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 54.5K engagements
"Can any PhD explain this to me like Im 5"
X Link 2025-08-29T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 145.3K engagements
"I have to admit that this chart is not what I wanted to see. If a run like this happens in yields it is definitely not going to bode well for the markets. Thanks @McClellanOsc very insightful. People think that news events control what interest rates do but much of it is predestined. The movements of gold prices provide a 20-1/2 month leading indication for long term interest rates. So a big up move in rates is coming due in November. I'm sure the media will think of https://t.co/n2gPS2LCc8 People think that news events control what interest rates do but much of it is predestined. The"
X Link 2025-09-08T11:55Z 25.4K followers, 58.1K engagements
"Dear Market No matter the excuse or reason you cant hide this forever without it having a significant impact on the financial markets. A debt- and liquidity-driven market will eventually give in"
X Link 2025-09-08T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 40.7K engagements
"FEW understand this. And no it's not because of A.I"
X Link 2025-09-30T20:00Z 25.4K followers, 351.8K engagements
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