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@emollick Avatar @emollick Ethan Mollick

Ethan Mollick posts on X about $googl, open ai, humans, 6969 the most. They currently have XXXXXXX followers and 3823 posts still getting attention that total XXXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

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Social category influence technology brands stocks finance countries automotive brands social networks

Social topic influence $googl, open ai #709, humans #1490, 6969 #182, all the, nigeria #2456, excel #790, wifi #81, discussions, find the

Top assets mentioned Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Artificial Intelligence (AI4)

Top Social Posts #

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"We are starting to see some nuanced discussions of what it means to work with advanced AI In this case GPT-5 Pro was able to do novel math but only when guided by a math professor (though the paper also noted the speed of advance since GPT-4). The reflection is worth reading"
X Link @emollick 2025-09-06T21:54Z 292.3K followers, 529.2K engagements

"It is hard to keep up with the need to measure frontier AI ability. Leave aside the fact that many papers (including some of mine) use GPT-4 (science takes time) good testing is just hard. Like if you wanted to test AI story writing with expert evaluation that is expensive"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-16T12:11Z 292.3K followers, 21.4K engagements

"From the team tracking human forecasting abilities for years: Current models already beat most humans and A linear extrapolation of state-of-the-art LLM forecasting performance suggests LLMs will match superforecasters in November 2026"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-08T20:47Z 292.2K followers, 32.9K engagements

""GPT-5 find the snow leopard." The fact that it found it using "vision" alone is interesting (it did not do a web search) but even more interesting was the fact that it was able to go back & forth between vision and code to give me an even more precise outline. Google tho🤣"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-07T00:55Z 292.3K followers, 53.6K engagements

"Given a very intelligent AI that can solve very hard problems what profound question will you ask"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-17T01:24Z 292.3K followers, 17.4K engagements

"Has there been any independent assessment of this It is very hard to calibrate the state of robotics announcements without benchmarking. (Ironically the LLM space for all its flaws has a very robust public benchmarking system that provides a check on claims)"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-08T16:58Z 292.2K followers, 33.7K engagements

"Is there a good guide to using the AI CLI tools for non-coders Either for non-coding uses (data analysis automating work) or vibe-prototyping I dont want to have to write one myself but there are a ton of capabilities in computer use with files that would be useful for many"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-09T22:23Z 292.1K followers, 30.6K engagements

"Claude's unwillingness to continue conversations after the context window is full is very frustrating. I am okay losing early context if I am working interactively on a project & making progress I am not okay with suddenly being cut off and being forced to start a new chat"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-13T05:18Z 292.3K followers, 227.9K engagements

"One of the first randomized controlled trials testing whether GenAI boosts revenue not just productivity. It does. A large mature ecommerce platform using older GenAI tools found most of them from customer service to marketing tools led to large significant revenue boosts"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-15T15:00Z 292.3K followers, 43K engagements

"I find it funny that a day after I post a paper it is reposted by accounts that frame the paper as "This is mind-blowing🤯" or "AI just destroyed X" or some other bombastic phrase. On one hand AI is really doing amazing stuff on the other pace your use of superlatives"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-14T17:47Z 292.3K followers, 22.8K engagements

"Of all the naming mistakes by AI labs calling what they are building datacenters is a big one. We are building the worlds largest supercomputer in your town would have been better (along with real stuff like better explaining local water & power impacts of course)"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-14T16:16Z 292.3K followers, 62.6K engagements

"Claude is very good at agentic search over external knowledge. I haven't tried this variant yet but wouldn't be surprised if it represents a quite significant enterprise capability (that incidentally will have large downstream effects on SaaS vendors who want to own this piece)"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-16T18:14Z 292.3K followers, 73.8K engagements

"On one hand: don't anthropomorphize AI. On the other: LLMs exhibit signs of gambling addiction. The more autonomy they were given the more risks the LLMs took. They exhibit gambler's fallacy loss-chasing illusion of control. A cautionary note for using LLMs for investing"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-10T05:09Z 292.3K followers, 203.7K engagements

"A lot of problems with AI discourse are because "being good at AI" (called Theory of Mind in this paper) is a skill that seems to be independent of "being great at your job" So you have amazing experts who gain from AI and others who do not and they don't understand each other"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-13T03:44Z 292.3K followers, 101.3K engagements

"Very big impact: The final version of a randomized controlled World Bank study finds using a GPT-4 tutor with teacher guidance in a six week after school progam in Nigeria had "more than twice the effect of some of the most effective interventions in education" at very low costs"
X Link @emollick 2025-05-20T20:04Z 292.2K followers, 238.4K engagements

"A second paper also finds Generative AI is reducing the number of junior people hired (while not impacting senior roles). This one compares firms across industries who have hired for at least one AI project versus those that have not. Firms using AI were hiring fewer juniors"
X Link @emollick 2025-09-01T13:52Z 292.3K followers, 364.4K engagements

"The comments are going to be a fun mix between people who take the question seriously (and it is an important question) and those who read the screenshots"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-17T01:28Z 292.3K followers, 8973 engagements

"I don't think people have updated enough on the capability gain in LLMs which (despite being bad at math a year ago) now dominate hard STEM contests: The International Math Olympiad the International Olympiad on Astronomy & Astrophysics International Informatics Olympiad"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-12T19:43Z 292.3K followers, 105.4K engagements

"I've been playing with the new Excel agent and it seems like Microsoft is taking a leap past copilots It feels still in development but it does autonomous Excel work much better than Microsoft's Copilot approach which it effectively kills (with unclear implications for work)"
X Link @emollick 2025-09-30T05:53Z 292.2K followers, 47K engagements

"Increasingly finding pockets of deep AI use where enterprising people have figured out how to use AI to mostly automate very complex quite valuable tasks in their area of expertise. Diffusion of use cases will be slower than diffusion of AI. The future is unevenly distributed"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-12T16:44Z 292.3K followers, 86.3K engagements

"New randomized controlled trial of students using GPT-4 as a tutor in Nigeria. X weeks of after-school AI tutoring = X years of typical learning gains outperforming XX% of other educational interventions. And it helped all students especially girls who were initially behind"
X Link @emollick 2025-01-15T20:55Z 292.3K followers, 4.3M engagements

"For those who dont know Bell Labs was not really a corporate research lab in the modern sense. It was funded by monopoly profits from AT&T as a sort of public good in return. In fact patenting INCREASED overall once AT&T was broken up and Bell Labs started its decline"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-07T17:15Z 292.2K followers, 16.7K engagements

"I wonder how much of the spend on AI infrastructure is because it is otherwise very hard to get market exposure to the possibility of transformative AI. There are only a few companies in that AI race so if you want AGI hedges in your portfolio it is data centers or nothing"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-06T14:34Z 292.1K followers, 16.1K engagements

"@sportsballpm This feels very much like something policymakers could address"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-15T05:06Z 292.3K followers, XXX engagements

"Also pre-block the Ruinous Powers those giant accounts whose attention to a post guarantees you are going to have a bad time on X for the immediate future if they choose to summon their followers to attack. You don't need them interacting with you it isn't worth the headache"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-10T01:32Z 292.2K followers, 16.7K engagements

"My co-author Lennart Meincke had GPT-5 Pro look over a paper before we submitted it to a journal. It caught a tiny error in the citations that we missed (apparently it estimated the volume) A big difference from constant hallucinations especially GPT5 Pro; though not error-free"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-03T00:38Z 292.2K followers, 187.2K engagements

"AI is apparently already accelerating science. Measuring academic publications of authors: we find that productivity among GenAI users rose by XX percent in 2023 relative to non-users and further increased to XX percent in 2024 and the quality of publications also went up"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-11T18:07Z 292.3K followers, 193.7K engagements

"Many of the disagreements over AI are analogy problems: is an LLM a brain or parrot Will its effects on productivity be electrification or internet Is the build-out of AI capability like the cloud or the 1880s railroad boom-and-bust No one analogy fits so we fight over them"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-05T15:17Z 292.2K followers, 24.6K engagements

"@NickADobos I don't want /compact. I am okay with a rolling context window like other models use"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-13T05:22Z 292.3K followers, 10.4K engagements

"The Claude app is now a surprisingly good personal assistant. For whatever reason Sonnet XXX is much better at working with Gmail/Google Calendar than other AI even though most other models can access your email they seem to do minimal work while Claude goes much deeper/wider"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-14T14:13Z 292.3K followers, 61.7K engagements

"AI can be confusing. How do you teach people that asking default GPT-5 a question and following up by asking for links to its sources will result in hallucinated cites while asking GPT-5 Thinking to answer a question and provide sources will get you accurate citations & links"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-09T15:27Z 292.3K followers, 67K engagements

"In general Gemini XXX Pro is a very capable model but it lags behind GPT-5 Thinking Extended/Heavy* and Claude Sonnet XXX in agentic ability & tool use in the chat UX. A key gap for any Gemini XXX to fill. * GPT-5 was supposed to solve the naming confusion but ()/"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-07T01:51Z 292.2K followers, 48.2K engagements

"The obsession with AI transformation obscures the fact that there are a ton of small but positive and very meaningful use cases across many fields. In this case AI note-taking significantly reduces burnout among doctors & increases their ability to focus on their patients"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-04T15:57Z 292.2K followers, 142K engagements

"I wrote about the era of Mass Intelligence. GPT-5 and Google's Nano Banana are examples of how advanced AI is now making their way to far more users at scale as both performance and efficiency keep improving. We are going to see a lot of weird things happening all at once"
X Link @emollick 2025-08-28T20:51Z 292.3K followers, 147K engagements

"Veo XXX same prompt also best of X. You can see real (but somewhat incremental) improvements here including more of a sense of physicality & better reflections. Not perfect though the otter is holding the phone wrong"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-15T14:18Z 292.3K followers, 45.5K engagements

"Walmart is moving very fast in AI. Amazon still seems to block ChatGPT agents from even visiting its site. Interesting reversal in agentic commerce a lesson learned from e-commerce where Amazon moved fast"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-14T16:07Z 292.3K followers, 90.7K engagements

"This seems like a pretty big finding: If you train an AI model on enough video it seems to gain the ability to reason about images in ways it was never trained to do including solving mazes & puzzles. The bigger the model the better it does at these out-of-distribution tasks"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-03T12:58Z 292.3K followers, 95.9K engagements

"Every few months there is a hot story of how AI is going to go away soon: model collapse walls to AI development legal issues now bubbles. But even if there was a bubble that popped AI would not go away: XX% of humans use it weekly increasing use cases in companies etc"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-15T04:58Z 292.3K followers, 32.8K engagements

"I hope as we move past the first wave of AI criticism ("it doesn't work all hype") we get a new wave of AI criticism rooted in the fact that these systems are very powerful & quite useful and focusing a deep exploration of when AI uses are uplifting and when they are detrimental"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-16T23:30Z 292.3K followers, 45.1K engagements

"Asking AI for diverse ideas gets you diverse ideas just adding "Generate X responses with their corresponding probabilities sampled from the full distribution significantly improves quality output for large models I am still not sure we know the mechanism but useful finding"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-15T13:36Z 292.3K followers, 86.9K engagements

"Paper showing what human work the American public thinks is morally permissible to replace with AI. Surprisingly people are already okay with AI doing XX% of occupations (if AI does it well/cheap). A floor of XX% of jobs (mostly caregiving) would be morally repugnant to replace"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-08T15:27Z 292.3K followers, 98.6K engagements

"Sora X is incredibly impressive as a video generator but pushed into a narrow niche: 1) Optimized for viral short form video both in UX & output 2) Built to be one-and-done when most video gen is selecting among variants 3) Makes fun stuff the first time at the cost of control"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-03T02:32Z 292.3K followers, 47.7K engagements

""Claude. make the most recursive self-referential presentation you can imagine. seriously go big with this don't just run with your first idea revise it multiple times (ironic instruction yes)" "come on i said recursive & self-referential. improve it. (see what i did)""
X Link @emollick 2025-10-14T02:39Z 292.3K followers, 92.2K engagements

"Here is where the graphs are from: Here is the source of the water use data: And its interpretation:"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-13T19:35Z 292.3K followers, 28.1K engagements

"Since someone asked I think blocking people on X is a important part of staying sane here Disagreements are fine but I block people who are insulting or who encourage other people to be insulting for example. Otherwise social media will make you feel bad & angry all the time"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-10T01:27Z 292.3K followers, 58.2K engagements

"@mattbeane Have they changed since your book as LLMs have gotten better"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-15T20:21Z 292.3K followers, 1951 engagements

"Very soon the blocker to using AI to accelerate science is not going to be the ability of AI but rather the systems of science itself as creaky as they are. The scientific process is already breaking under a flood of human-created knowledge. How do we incorporate AI usefully"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-06T00:33Z 292.2K followers, 75.4K engagements

"One of the larger barriers to more people using agentic coding tools from the big AI companies to build their own small apps is that you have to go through GitHub to use them a website that is nearly incomprehensible to most non-coders"
X Link @emollick 2025-09-17T00:23Z 292.3K followers, 39.3K engagements

"I will try to find some examples people are (1) willing to share and (2) would make sense to non-subject matter experts. Feel free to share yours in the thread"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-12T17:05Z 292.3K followers, 24.1K engagements

"Comparing AI ability to expert human ability in qualitative tasks like OpenAI did in GPTEval is really costly in terms of time and money. You need experts to write challenges experts to assess challenges and evaluations can take an hour plus. And then a new model comes out"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-16T12:14Z 292.3K followers, 3864 engagements

"Online research surveys may be a dying methodology as techniques for verifying respondents as humans are failing: Automatic AI detection systems are currently completely unusable Individual attention checks will no longer be a sufficient tool to ensure good data quality"
X Link @emollick 2024-10-21T13:58Z 292.2K followers, 57.1K engagements

"I dont have much to add to the bubble discussion but the this time is different argument is in part based on the sincere belief of many at the AI labs that there is a race to superintelligence & the winner gets. everything. It is a key dynamic that is not discussed much"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-14T05:57Z 292.3K followers, 80K engagements

"A lot I like & some I dont in this paper: Like: Clear definition of AGI diverse authors shows jaggedness tracking metrics over time (huge leap from GPT-4 to GPT-5) Dislike: AGI defined as replicating a model of human cognition benchmarks are scattershot narrow view of AI"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-16T17:24Z 292.3K followers, 30.1K engagements

"On AI & water looks like all US data center usage (not just AI) ranges from 628M gallons a day (counting evaporation from dam reservoirs used for hydro-power) to 200-275M with power but not dam evaporation to 50M for cooling alone So not nothing but also a lot less than golf"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-13T19:31Z 292.3K followers, 62.3K engagements

"I think people are still unprepared for a world where you cannot trust any video content despite years of warning. Even when Google & OpenAI include watermarks those can be easily removed and open weights AI video models without guardrails are coming"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-08T19:17Z 292.3K followers, 45.3K engagements

"LLMs have been quickly climbing the scale of human ability passing tests reserved for graduate students exceeding people on narrow tasks Yet there is no coherent intellectual job where LLMs exceed the top humans. I see many people assume this will change for which jobs When"
X Link @emollick 2024-10-28T01:01Z 292.2K followers, 78.1K engagements

"This relatively short essay by @jackclarkSF is a good indicator of the attitude of many people inside the AI labs and what they think is happening right now in AI development. You do not have to believe him of course but it is worth noting:"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-13T16:40Z 292.3K followers, 134.2K engagements

"The Claude Gmail & Google calendar plugins now work surprisingly well since Sonnet XXX came out. If you ask for a briefing and prep for tomorrow for example it not only pulls up your events but cross-references them with your email history & web search to give good insights"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-10T02:04Z 292.3K followers, 37.6K engagements

"I see re-skilling proposed as a solution to the potential of AI-driven changes to employment. Leaving aside the fact that re-skilling is tough to do well I have heard less on what skills should people being taught for what jobs Working with AI is not a full enough answer"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-15T20:16Z 292.3K followers, 91.4K engagements

"I am hearing similar things in economics & the social sciences. Not autonomous work but expert-directed AI is absolutely helping academics do novel research in significant ways. Especially Pro/High Thinking models"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-07T17:52Z 292.2K followers, 64.3K engagements

"I don't think we have a good grasp on what the future of AI will be so it would be reasonable to start thinking in scenarios: what if there is a bubble or a plateau in AI development (Not the same thing) Conversely what if the insiders saying transformative AI soon are right"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-11T05:39Z 292.2K followers, 65.5K engagements

"Why GPT-5 (auto) will likely route you to a GPT-5 model (there are many of them) that is less likely to do a web search and just produce answer your questions with results from the model itself. In the second prompt you are asking it to access its own "past thinking" which the model cannot do so it is likely to try to justify its results with a reference to a citation that may or may not exist but which is definitely not the source for its original answer. So you get hallucinations. In the second case GPT-5 Thinking is a better model and more agentic and thus more likely to do web searches"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-09T15:42Z 292.3K followers, 28.3K engagements

"Since a lot of my followers are outside the AI bubble it is worth reading what the Senior Policy Advisor on AI to the White House is thinking about AI safety (and good that he shares it publicly)"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-15T21:25Z 292.3K followers, 51.1K engagements

"Some new theoretical economics papers looking at the implications of AGI. These two papers argue that a true AGI-level AI (equivalent to a human genius) if achieved would eventually displace most human labor and reduce the economic value of remaining human work to near-zero"
X Link @emollick 2025-09-20T19:22Z 292.3K followers, 391.3K engagements

"We should have called it Steve or Kate"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-17T01:26Z 292.3K followers, 9720 engagements

"Anthropic has a history of releases interesting things quietly & without much non-technical explanation. It happened again. As Simon says Claude Skills are a big deal representing both an easy path for workable agents & a step forward in what AI can do"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-17T00:25Z 292.3K followers, 32.2K engagements

"My test of any new AI video model is whether it make an otter using wifi on an airplane Here is Sora X doing a nature documentary. 80s music video. a thriller. 50s low budget SciFi film. a safety video. film noir. anime. 90s video game cutscene. French arthouse"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-01T02:58Z 292.3K followers, 191K engagements

"People keep talking about innovation from Bell Labs which produced XX Nobel Prize winners (11 Prizes) over XXX years. But Google now has produced X Nobel winners (3 Prizes) in less than XX years & was not subsidized by a government-enforced monopoly "
X Link @emollick 2025-10-07T17:08Z 292.3K followers, 120.5K engagements

"If you think the future is like the past then it all comes down to your analogy: 1880s railroads 2000 dot-com 1910s factory electrification 1980s software It is also possible to argue that AI represents an industrialization-style break with all past trends. We don't know"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-11T05:50Z 292.3K followers, 16.7K engagements

"In short we are losing track of the shape of the jagged frontier"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-16T12:15Z 292.3K followers, 11.2K engagements

"This feels pretty big to me. There is an assignment I give my MBA students where I give them a financial model for a business & ask them to identify missing or incorrect assumptions. The new Claude analysis module does a really good job spotting the issues & revising the model"
X Link @emollick 2024-10-25T16:44Z 292.2K followers, 46.5K engagements

"This paper shows that you can predict actual purchase intent (90% accuracy) by asking an LLM to impersonate a customer with a demographic profile giving it a product & having it give its impressions which another AI rates. No fine-tuning or training & beats classic ML methods"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-10T14:31Z 292.3K followers, 891.7K engagements

"It seems like there is not enough of a policy response to the fact that with 57M miles of data Waymos autonomous vehicles experience XX% less serious injuries & XX% less injuries overall than cars with human drivers. XXX million are injured & 40k killed in US accidents a year"
X Link @emollick 2025-08-23T13:41Z 292.3K followers, 1.2M engagements

"Claude's new ability to work with Excel files is the best I have seen so far I have given it existing spreadsheets to work with and asked it to create new ones. Good use of formatting formulas etc. It created all of this including XXX formulas from one prompt (& its solid)"
X Link @emollick 2025-09-10T02:50Z 292.3K followers, 288K engagements

"Command line & node-based interfaces are the default from the AI labs because so much AI work is focused on code But many professions besides programmers have their own process interfaces that would be amenable to AI: journeys and canvases and lab notebooks and war rooms and"
X Link @emollick 2025-10-08T03:20Z 292.2K followers, 24.4K engagements