@angeljfv Avatar @angeljfv Angel Fernandez | Market Regime & Risk

Angel Fernandez | Market Regime & Risk posts on X about $lmnd, $googl, $tqqq, $aem the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence cryptocurrencies 44% stocks 39% technology brands 34% finance 13% social networks 9% automotive brands 8% exchanges 6% countries 1%

Social topic influence $lmnd #80, $googl 24%, $tqqq #24, $aem #31, $real 20%, $comp #63, closed 18%, $rkt 15%, stx 15%, $anet #83

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @dennisc230 @cubbiebears @franvezz @realsimpleariel @tedhzhang @stamatoudism @veraicona23 @apompliano @btcblockandload

Top assets mentioned Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) Compound (COMP) Rocket Companies, Inc. (RKT) Arista Networks Inc (ANET) BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. (BTSG) Stacks (STX) Sei (SEI) IBM (IBM) Hut [--] Mining Corp. (HUT) Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) Sunrun Inc (RUN) Cipher Mining Inc. Common Stock (CIFR) Nebius Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares (NBIS) EQIFi (EQX) Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS) Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) CatCoin (CAT) KLA Corp (KLAC) GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) Ondas Holdings Inc. Common Stock (ONDS) Decentral Games (DG) Shopify Inc (SHOP) Roku, Inc. (ROKU) ZetaChain (ZETA) Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) Amphenol Corporation (APH) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock (MDGL) NerveNetwork (NVT) Unity Software Inc. (U) Applied Digital Corp. (APLD) Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Tidewater, Inc. (TDW) Viasat Inc (VSAT) Coldstack (CLS)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"🟢GO = risk-on is permitted by the model. It does not mean easy mode. In earnings weeks entry location + sizing + strict exits dominate outcomes"
X Link 2026-01-28T21:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Stopped: $SGI Added: $SEI Portfolio (2026-01-28): $LMND $COMP $GOOGL $AEM $HUT $SEI $SEI $ANET $CIFR $NBIS $NBIS $EQX $LAR $RUN $TQQQ sleeve: 50%"
X Link 2026-01-28T21:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Stopped: $LAR Portfolio (2026-01-29): $LMND $COMP $GOOGL $AEM $HUT $SEI $SEI $ANET $CIFR $NBIS $NBIS $EQX $RUN $TQQQ sleeve: 50%"
X Link 2026-01-29T21:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"🔰GO (FRAGILE) = risk-on is allowed by the model but failure risk is elevated because internals are weak and reversals are common. Execution discipline dominates"
X Link 2026-01-30T22:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Week actions (high level): Stopped: $AEM $EQX Closed: $NBIS Opened: $UEC Portfolio (2026-01-30): $LMND $COMP $GOOGL $HUT $SEI $ANET $CIFR $RUN $UEC $TQQQ sleeve: 50% Tried to close $CIFR and ran out of time on execution. I will close it a market order open (MOO) on Monday"
X Link 2026-01-30T22:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2026-04-02 Market Regime:🟠CORRECTION Macro: 100% FTD: NO PWR: OFF Hedge: ON (TECHNICAL) TAPE CHECK - Nasdaq extension snapped closed [-----] (-1.51%) with a decisive breakdown candle (Trend Score: 0; Total Score: 28). - Breadth is deteriorating under the surface: Breadth Score: [--] NH/NL NetMA: [---] Tech Leadership: NO. - Divergence widened vs broader tape: S&P was down modestly (-0.5% on the day) and equal-weight / Dow held up better selling is concentrated in growth/tech rather than everything red. PLAYBOOK -🟠CORRECTION = defense. No dip-buying just because %50DMA is still barely [--] (51.4)."
X Link 2026-02-05T03:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟠CORRECTION = risk-off in the model. The goal is to avoid drawdown acceleration while waiting for a real re-accumulation signal (breadth/leadership + price confirmation) not to predict the bottom"
X Link 2026-02-05T03:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Closed: $SEI Stopped: $COMP $APLD $ANET $LMND Holdings (2026-02-04): $UEC $RUN $GOOGL $TQQQ sleeve: 0%"
X Link 2026-02-05T03:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2026-02-05 Market Regime Update:🟠CORRECTION Macro: 100% FTD: NO PWR: OFF Hedge: ON (TECHNICAL) NASDAQ COMPOSITE [-----] (-1.6%) Trend Score: [--] Total Score: [--] TAPE CHECK - Persistent breakdown pressure: price fell out of the prior range and failed to hold key pivots (notably 23237). - Internals deteriorated hard: Breadth Score 13; NH/NL NetMA [---] (broad participation to the downside). - Leadership absent: Tech Leadership NO; BTC RiskOn NO. - %50DMA (51%) is lagging; it can stay okay while price/internal damage accelerates. PLAYBOOK - Stand down on offense: no new longs in CORRECTION. - Tighten"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟠CORRECTION = risk-off. Priority shifts from finding trades to preventing drawdown acceleration. Cash is a position. Survival first; wait for the tape to repair before redeploying"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"(journal not signals) Portfolio update: Closed: $UEC $RUN Stopped: $GOOGL $TQQQ sleeve 0% 100% Cash"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Journal (not signals): No portfolio movement. Portfolio: 100% cash $TQQQ sleeve: 0%"
X Link 2026-02-06T22:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2026-02-09 Market Regime Update:🟠CORRECTION Macro: 100% FTD: NOT ACTIVE (Rally D+2) PWR: OFF Hedge: 🟥ON TAPE CHECK - Bounce day (+0.90%) but regime remains 🟠CORRECTION (Total Score: 33; Trend Score: 0). Price reclaimed the first pivot area (23.24k) but sits under stacked overhead pivots (23.58k23.81k) = supply zone and whipsaw risk. - Breadth improved (%50DMA: 54.0) while NH/NL pressure remains negative (NH-NL NetMA: -64; NH/NL accel: -2) = internals not repaired. - Leadership still absent (Tech leadership: NO; BTC RiskOn: NO). - Volatility still elevated (VIX State: 1). Dist/Acc shows"
X Link 2026-02-10T07:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟠CORRECTION = the model prioritizes capital preservation. Long exposure is optional-to-minimal until a follow-through day (FTD) or equivalent confirmation resets the risk regime"
X Link 2026-02-10T07:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): No portfolio changes. Portfolio (2026-02-09): 100% cash $TQQQ sleeve: 0%"
X Link 2026-02-10T07:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"What about the bottleneck is materials The narrative of [----] is that AI requires physical infrastructure. - Power Hunger: AI data centers consume massive amounts of power. Expanding the grid to feed them requires copper and aluminum. - Building Trends: Construction of data centers and manufacturing plants (re-shoring) requires steel. - Correlation: This ties the metal trade to the tech trade. As long as the AI boom continues the demand for the physical infrastructure to support it will remain robust. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021310648278524134"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2026-02-09 Market Regime Update:🟠CORRECTION Macro: 100% FTD: NO Rally: Day [--] PWR: OFF Hedge: ON (TECHNICAL) TAPE CHECK - Bounce attempt after last weeks breakdown but price is still below the 9/21/50DMA cluster (overhead supply remains). - Breadth is not washed out but its not a risk-on confirmation either: 54% 50DMA. - Internals still heavy: NH/NL NetMA [---] Tech leadership: NO BTC RiskOn: NO. - Dist/Acc: MIXED Score: [--] risk stays elevated despite the reflex bid. PLAYBOOK - Treat this as a rally attempt inside a correction not a new uptrend. - If testing exposure: starter size only liquid"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟠CORRECTION = capital protection mode. Rally attempts can happen but risk is assumed high until price + internals confirm. Green day risk-on"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Added: $DG (starter / defensive test) Portfolio (2026-02-09): $DG (starter) Rest: CASH $TQQQ sleeve: 0%"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@RealSimpleAriel Basic materials critical materials energy/oil small cap industries regional baks defensive. High RS decent sales and narrative are extended on those groups"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2026-02-11 Market Regime Update:🟠CORRECTION Macro: 100% FTD: NOT ACTIVE (Rally Day 3) PWR: OFF Hedge: ON (Corr Type: TECHNICAL) TAPE CHECK - Total Score [--] still firmly risk-off. Trend Score [--] trend damage not repaired (range/MA reclaim still missing). - Breadth Score 13; %50DMA 52.3% not washed out but not supportive either. - NH/NL: Accel [---] NetMA [---] internal momentum still weak under the surface. - Dist/Acc: MIXED; Leadership: Tech NO BTC RiskOn NO; VIX State [--]. PLAYBOOK - Correction rules: preserve capital reduce exposure avoid leverage. - Treat bounce attempts as suspect until an FTD"
X Link 2026-02-12T01:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟠CORRECTION = model says risk-off. Rally attempts can happen but the burden of proof is on the tape: FTD + repaired trend before scaling exposure"
X Link 2026-02-12T01:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): No portfolio movements today. Portfolio (as last reported): $DG (starter) + cash-heavy posture"
X Link 2026-02-12T01:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2026-02-12 Market Regime Update:🟠CORRECTION Macro: 100% FTD: NOT ACTIVE (Rally Day 4) PWR: OFF Hedge:🟥ON Fast NO-GO: 🟥YES TAPE CHECK - Heavy downside day (IXIC -2.0%) with trend still damaged (Trend Score 0). - Breadth not confirming strength: Breadth Score 13; NH/NL NetMA [---] (new lows pressure persists). %50DMA 52%: not a washout not supportivestill a fragile tape. - Leadership absent: Tech Leadership NO BTC RiskOn NO. - Hedge regime remains appropriate (Hedge Alert ON). PLAYBOOK - Correction rules: capital preservation first; avoid bounce chasing. - Require proof before risk: FTD +"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟠CORRECTION = the model is explicitly risk-off. A Rally Day count without an FTD is not permission to add size"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Trimmed $DG by 1/3; raised stop to breakeven on remainder. Rest cash. $TQQQ sleeve: 0%"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@dennisc230 Oh This is composecure I didnt know they changed ticker Symbol"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2026-02-06 Weekly Market Regime Update. REGIME:🟠CORRECTION Macro: 100% FTD: NO PWR: OFF Hedge: ON (TECHNICAL) WEEKLY TAPE CHECK - Sharp rebound day into the close (+2.18%) but the index remains below the key reclaim level [-----] (near-term pivot). - Internals still weak despite the bounce: %50DMA [----] (sub-50) NH/NL NetMA [---] (damage still expanding under the surface). - Breadth score still depressed (7) and trend score remains [--] bounce is not trend repaired its pressure release. - Risk proxies not confirming: Tech leadership NO BTC RiskOn NO VIX state [--]. - Dist/Acc shows ACCUM but without"
X Link 2026-02-06T22:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟠CORRECTION = capital preservation regime. The job is to avoid participating in volatility until the market proves durability (not just a one-day rebound)"
X Link 2026-02-06T22:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@TedHZhang There is a new version in go that requires way less hardware think raspberry pi. Things move way too fast catching up is almost impossible"
X Link 2026-02-16T00:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@dennisc230 @CubbieBears That's not their quote that's a fact stated by Fidelity"
X Link 2026-01-05T22:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@dennisc230 @CubbieBears Well not that anyone asked and funny enough. The Fidelity found dead investors perform best line is a meme not a study. The trail leads to a podcast anecdote and years of repetition. No released report no methodology no dataset. Treat it as folklore not evidence"
X Link 2026-01-05T23:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@dennisc230 @CubbieBears Set it and forget it works for diversified funds. Its dangerous for single stocks. Most individual stocks underperform cash over their lifetimes and many end at 100%. Forgetting a basket is different from forgetting a name"
X Link 2026-01-05T23:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"MARKET REGIME 2026/01/06:🟢GO Macro: 100% FTD: ACTIVE (D+9) PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE TAPE CHECK - Breadth strong (66% 50DMA) - Trend improving; price holding above key averages Internals still not clean: A/D MIXED NH/NL momentum slightly negative leadership narrow (Tech leadership: NO) - BTC RiskOn: YES PLAYBOOK - GO permits risk but add in tranches (no all-in adds) - Prefer pullbacks / constructive bases over extended entries - Keep exits mechanical; dont loosen stops on hope https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008679295368196171 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008679295368196171"
X Link 2026-01-06T23:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Market Regime 09/01/2026:🟢GO Macro: 100% FTD: OFF PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE Fast NO-GO: NO Weekly Market Regime Close ✅ WEEKLY SHIFT (vs last Fri 01/02) - Breadth improved materially (now 68% 50DMA vs low-50s last Friday) - Participation quality improved: Dist/Acc ACCUM (from mixed) - NH/NL pressure eased (still negative but less) - BTC RiskOn stayed YES through the week - Leadership still not broad (Tech leadership: NO) PLAYBOOK (into next week) - Treat this as GO driven by base internals (not FTD support) - Scale in dont lunge: add in tranches keep selectivity high - Prefer pullbacks / tight"
X Link 2026-01-10T00:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"ACCUM = the tape is showing net demand. Useful tailwind but leadership breadth still matters"
X Link 2026-01-12T21:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2026-01-13 Market Regime Update REGIME:🟢GO Macro: 100% FTD: OFF PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE Fast NO-GO: NO TAPE / INTERNALS - Breadth strong (68% 50DMA) and improving (NH/NL momentum 0) - Demand supportive: Dist/Acc = ACCUM - Volatility stable (VIX state = 2) - Risk-on confirmation: BTC RiskOn = YES - Leadership still not broad (Tech leadership = NO) PLAYBOOK - Stay offensive but keep discipline: add in tranches not all at once - Prefer pullbacks / tight bases; avoid extended entries - Keep exits mechanical; no stop-widening https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011196797327462471"
X Link 2026-01-13T22:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"ACCUM = net demand is supporting the tape. Useful tailwind but leadership breadth still matters for durability"
X Link 2026-01-13T22:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"No portfolio changes today. Stock portfolio: $LMND $U $SHOP $REAL $COMP $RKT $GOOGL $RIVN $RDDT $AEM $ROKU Index sleeve: $TQQQ = 100%"
X Link 2026-01-13T22:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2026-01-14 Market Regime Update REGIME:🟢GO Macro: 100% FTD: OFF PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE Fast NO-GO: NO SESSION NOTE: Intraday the regime briefly flipped to Fragile but closed the day in GO. Volatility/whipsaw risk is real even in a green regime. TAPE / INTERNALS (close) - Breadth still strong (65% 50DMA) - Demand supportive: Dist/Acc = ACCUM - NH/NL momentum positive (improving) - BTC RiskOn: YES - Leadership still not broad (Tech leadership: NO) PLAYBOOK - Stay constructive (GO) but respect intraday volatility - Add risk only in tranches; avoid impulse entries on swings - Keep exits"
X Link 2026-01-14T21:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Intraday flips happen. For process the close-state is the anchor; intraday Fragile is a risk warning to tighten execution (size/entries) not a mandate to panic"
X Link 2026-01-14T21:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Stopped: $SHOP $U Closed: $RIVN Stock portfolio (2026-01-14): $LMND $REAL $COMP $RKT $GOOGL $RDDT $AEM $ROKU Index sleeve: $TQQQ = 100%"
X Link 2026-01-14T21:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Stopped: $RDDT Closed: $ROKU Bought: $NVDU (1/2) Stock portfolio (2026-01-15): $LMND $REAL $COMP $RKT $GOOGL $AEM $NVDU Index sleeve: $TQQQ = 100%"
X Link 2026-01-15T22:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2026-01-16 Weekly Market Regime Close ✅ REGIME: 🟢 GO Macro: 100% FTD: OFF PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE Fast NO-GO: NO WEEKLY TAKE (vs last Fri 01/09) - Regime stayed GO but the tape got messier - Breadth cooled (still healthy but off the highs) - A/D slipped back to MIXED - Risk-on stayed on (BTC: YES) NH/NL still supportive -I counted [--] distribution days this week stalling/distribution risk rising even in GO PLAYBOOK (into next week) - Treat GO as allowed not easy: press less execute tighter - Scale entries/adds; avoid chasing strength into stalling action - Tighten exposure management: smaller"
X Link 2026-01-18T00:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Added: $ANET $QBTS Stock portfolio (as of 2026-01-16): $LMND $REAL $COMP $RKT $GOOGL $AEM $NVDU $ANET $QBTS Index sleeve: $TQQQ = 100%"
X Link 2026-01-18T00:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@stamatoudism @Vera_Icona_23 Yes I feel identified on this quest. Yes yes yes in all of it. While thinking on this message came to think of IBD Composited rating with extra weights to technicals themes environment all factored in"
X Link 2026-01-19T13:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Closed: $NVDU Stock portfolio (as of 2026-01-20): $LMND $REAL $COMP $RKT $GOOGL $AEM $ANET $QBTS Index sleeve: $TQQQ = 0%"
X Link 2026-01-20T23:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Wed 2026-01-21 Market Regime:🟡RECOVERY Macro: 100% Base:🔴NO-GO Fast NO-GO: 🔴YES FTD: OFF PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE SESSION READ 🎢Roller-coaster headline-driven tape: deep intraday selloff sharp rebound green close. - Internals are the support: Dist/Acc = ACCUM %50 breadth 64%. - But the model is still defensive: Trend = [--] - BTC RiskOn = NO - Tech leadership = NO. - Translation: bounce is allowed but confirmation is not earned yet. PLAYBOOK (RECOVERY rules) Pilot only. Fast invalidation. No leverage. Wait for follow-through before scaling risk back up."
X Link 2026-01-21T23:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"(journal not signals) Portfolio update (RECOVERY sizing): half positions 0.25% risk from equity. Opened: $HUT $SEI $ONDS Holdings: $LMND $REAL $COMP $RKT $GOOGL $AEM $HUT $SEI $ONDS $ANET $QBTS $TQQQ sleeve: 0%"
X Link 2026-01-21T23:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Portfolio Update (journal not signals) Added (all half positions): $CIFR $NBIS $EQX $ZETA $SGI Holdings (2026-01-22): $LMND $REAL $COMP $RKT $GOOGL $AEM $HUT $SEI $ONDS $ANET $QBTS $CIFR $NBIS $EQX $ZETA $SGI $TQQQ sleeve: 0%"
X Link 2026-01-22T23:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@APompliano @BTCBlockAndLoad One of my main Monarch attractive features is the ability to connect my Amazon account and Amazon wifes account correlate to credit card and categorize the expenses accordingly instead of simply Amazon Expense. If Silvia does that i will try it otherwise I will wait"
X Link 2026-01-25T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Portfolio Update: Closed: $ONDS Scratch trade: $LUNR (small loss) Added: $LAR (tight leash) $RUN (solar RS last week) Holdings: $LMND $COMP $GOOGL $AEM $HUT $SEI $ANET $CIFR $NBIS $EQX $ZETA $SGI $LAR $RUN $TQQQ sleeve: 0%"
X Link 2026-01-27T02:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Market Status 12/09/25: 🟢 GO Macro 100% Portfolio: $CAT $LRCX $STX $LMND $APH $IBM $VRT $KLAC $NVT $BTSG $REAL New: $REAL $BTSG $NVT De-Risked: $LRCX Focus: $TSLA $TDW $VSAT $RGNX $CLS $LAR $RIVN $TTI Other stocks too extended are not in this list"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🧵 1/ Market Status for the week ended on 12/13/25: 🔰 GO (FRAGILE) Macro 100% Volatility is back for AI stock with the ghost of bubble back in the conversation. OpenAI release GPT5.2 last night and Im not impressed neither for GEMINI [---] (I use both). Im an advanced user"
X Link 2025-12-13T23:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2/ Started using GROK too It has its charm but also dissapoint at times. The portfolio moved Thursday and Friday POSITIONS: $GOOGL $CAT $STX $LRCX $KLAC $LMND $REAL $LAR $BTSG $IBM CLOSED: $VRT $NVT $APH I will post about the coming week in a different thread"
X Link 2025-12-13T23:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Market Status 12/16/25: 🟠 CORRECTION Macro 100% Technically the S&P hasn't flipped but growth/tech are. Currently managing remaining positions tightening stops not adding anything for the moment. POSITIONS: $IBM $KLAC $LRCX $CAT $STX $LMND $REAL $BTSG SOLD: $LAR"
X Link 2025-12-16T23:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Market Status 12/18/25: 🟠 CORRECTION Macro 100% It never gets easier not a FTD. Tomorrow triple witching day we are not out of the woods ADDED: (as half positions) $TSLA $AEM POSITIONS: (as half positions) $TSLA $AEM $STX $IBM. (as full) $REAL $BTSG $LMND"
X Link 2025-12-18T21:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Cont 12/19/25 Removed all hedges There were some breakouts today and some stocks I would like to start positions on but currently violate my R:R rules. For now started a 1/2 position in $RKT NEW: $RKT (1/2) PORTFOLIO: (1/2) $RKT $STX $IBM $TSLA $AEM (full) $BTSG $REAL $LMND"
X Link 2025-12-19T21:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Market Status 12/22/25:🟡RECOVERY Macro 100% 🟠CORRECTION status override by 🟩FTD last Friday. Market today showed nice action and some stocks and core keep making progress. ADDED (1/2): STX FLNC PORTFOLIO: (1/2) TSLA FLNC IBM RKT AEM STX STX. (Full) LMND REAL BTSG"
X Link 2025-12-23T00:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Market Status 12/23/25:🟢GO Macro 100% My Authoritative market score keeps increasing. Started a full position in GOOGL as it reclaimed the 21sma and RDDT. NEW: RDDT GOOGL POSITIONS: (1/2) SFX SFX IBM AEM TSLA RKT FLNC (Full) RDDT GOOGL LMND BTSG REAL"
X Link 2025-12-23T21:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Market Status 12/29/25:🟢GO Macro 100% Market Stays in Go influenced by the still active🟩FTD. not a strong market also low vol because of holidays. Portfolio update. Closed: LMND closing below cloud little loss and IBM on time expiration. Started: PLTR pilot position"
X Link 2025-12-29T22:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"PORTFOLIO: STX TSLA PLTR GOOGL RDDT FNLC REAL BTSG RKT AEM Focus: GEV PLTR TSLA LMND"
X Link 2025-12-29T22:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Market Status 12/30/25:🟢GO Macro 100% Slow day at the market for the before last day of the year. Tomorrow is half day. Tried PLTR intraday but sold after losing the 21sma and the 50sma. Portfolio: (1/2) TSLA FLNC. (full) AEM STX RDDT RKT GOOGL BTSG REAL"
X Link 2025-12-30T23:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🧵1/ I post a daily rules-based Market Regime + Risk Posture. The goal: eliminate vibes trading and make risk decisions mechanical. Not investment advice"
X Link 2025-12-31T21:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Stopped: TSLA (stop hit) Closed: FLNC (execution error while adjusting stop-loss) Started: MDGL 0.25R RIVN 0.25R"
X Link 2026-01-02T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"PORTFOLIO as of today 2025/01/02: $RIVN $STX $RDDT $GOOGL $MDGL $BTSG $REAL $GEV $RKT $AEM"
X Link 2026-01-02T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"MARKET REGIME 2026-01-05:🔰GO (FRAGILE) FTD: ACTIVE (bars since: 8) Power Trend: OFF BTC RiskOn: YES Hedge: NONE Macro: Bull (Conf: 100%) WHAT CHANGED TODAY: IXIC reclaimed the 21/50 SMA and closed above both Breadth improved vs Friday (participation strengthened) CONTEXT (unchanged from Fri) BTC RiskOn: YES (flipped Friday remains on) WHY ITS STILL FRAGILE A/D: MIXED NH/NL momentum still negative Leadership not broad (Tech leadership: NO) PLAYBOOK: Constructive bias but keep risk controlled If adding: pilot-only / small adds Prefer pullbacks and clean setups; avoid chasing Keep exits"
X Link 2026-01-05T22:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🔰GO (FRAGILE) = risk-on is allowed but the tape isnt clean enough to press size aggressively. Smaller size + stricter selectivity"
X Link 2026-01-05T22:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"No portfolio actions today. Portfolio (2026-01-05): $RIVN $STX $RDDT $GOOGL $MDGL $BTSG $REAL $GEV $RKT $AEM"
X Link 2026-01-05T22:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"🟢GO = risk-on is permitted by the model. It does not mean easy mode. Position sizing + entry quality still dominate outcomes"
X Link 2026-01-06T23:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Stopped: $MDGL Added: $LMND $COMP Portfolio (2026-01-06): $RIVN $STX $RDDT $GOOGL $BTSG $REAL $GEV $RKT $AEM $COMP $LMND"
X Link 2026-01-06T23:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Market Regime 2026/01/07:🟢GO Macro: 100% FTD: ACTIVE (bars since: 10) Power Trend: OFF Hedge: NONE Fast NO-GO: NO TAPE / INTERNALS - Breadth remains strong (66% 50DMA) - A/D flipped to ACCUM (better demand) - BTC RiskOn: YES - Still not fully broad: Tech leadership = NO NH/NL momentum slightly negative PLAYBOOK - GO allows offense but scale in (add in tranches) - Prefer pullbacks / constructive bases over extended entries - Keep exits mechanical; no stop-widening on macro bull narratives https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009026280184766778 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009026280184766778"
X Link 2026-01-07T22:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟢GO = risk-on is permitted by the model. Its a green light for process (entries + adds) not a guarantee of easy tape"
X Link 2026-01-07T22:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): - Stock portfolio: no changes today (same as 2026-01-06) - Portfolio: $RIVN $STX $RDDT $GOOGL $BTSG $REAL $GEV $RKT $AEM $COMP $LMND - Index sleeve (separate): increased $TQQQ allocation from 50% 100% of that sleeve"
X Link 2026-01-07T22:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Market Regime 2026-01-08:🟢GO Macro: 100% FTD: OFF (reset) Power Trend: OFF Hedge: NONE Fast NO-GO: NO TAPE / INTERNALS - Breadth remains strong (66% 50DMA) - Demand improved: Dist/Acc = ACCUM - Volatility regime is stable - Risk-on confirmation: BTC RiskOn = YES - Still not broad leadership: Tech leadership = NO PLAYBOOK - Take what market is giving and what's working - Add risk in tranches; keep initial size modest - Prefer pullbacks / tight bases; avoid extended entries - Exits stay mechanical; no stop-widening https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009375348656681065"
X Link 2026-01-08T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟩FTD OFF doesnt mean risk-off. It means 🟢GO is no longer being supported by an FTD override; base internals must carry the regime"
X Link 2026-01-08T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Stopped: $STX Closed: $GEV Bought: $U Portfolio (2026-01-08): $U $REAL $LMND $COMP $AEM $RIVN $RKT $GOOGL $RDDT $BTSG"
X Link 2026-01-08T21:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2026-01-12 Market Regime Update REGIME: 🟢 GO Macro: 100% FTD: OFF PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE Fast NO-GO: NO TAPE / INTERNALS - Breadth remains strong (68% 50DMA) - Demand remains supportive: Dist/Acc = ACCUM - BTC RiskOn: YES - NH/NL pressure has eased materially (NetMA near flat) - Leadership still not broad (Tech leadership: NO) PLAYBOOK - GO remains driven by base internals (not FTD support) - Scale in dont lunge; add in tranches keep initial size controlled - Prefer pullbacks / tight bases; avoid extended entries - Exits stay mechanical; no stop-widening"
X Link 2026-01-12T21:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2026-01-15 Market Regime Update REGIME:🟢GO Macro: 100% FTD: OFF PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE Fast NO-GO: NO TAPE / INTERNALS (close) - Breadth still strong (67% 50DMA) - Demand still supportive (A/D: ACCUM) + NH/NL improving - Risk-on confirmation: BTC RiskOn = YES - Leadership still narrow (Tech leadership = NO) Note: Price action is starting to look like stalling near highs with elevated volume potential distribution under the hood even if the model remains GO PLAYBOOK - Stay constructive but reduce impulse risk: scale adds dont lunge - Prefer pullbacks / tight bases; avoid chasing extended moves"
X Link 2026-01-15T22:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Tue 2026-01-20 (post-MLK) MARKET REGIME: 🟡Recovery Macro: 100% BASE:🔴NO-GO Fast NO-GO:🔴YES Hedge Alert: 🔴HEDGE FTD: OFF PWR: OFF BTC RiskOn: NO What changed - Risk-off shock on tariff headlines tied to the Greenland dispute broad selloff Nasdaq led lower. - Model read: trend stalled (Trend Score = 0) + volatility regime shift (VIX state flipped) defensive posture even though breadth is still 50% (59%). My playbook (process) - Treat this as recovery attempt inside NO-GO: capital preservation first; wait for confirmation before re-risking."
X Link 2026-01-20T23:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Thu 2026-01-22 Market Regime:🟡RECOVERY Macro: 100% Base:🔴NO-GO Fast NO-GO:🔴YES FTD: OFF PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE SESSION READ - Follow Through from yesterday bounce day after the prior whipsaw. - Internals are improving: ACCUM breadth still strong (68% 50DMA) NH/NL momentum positive. - Trend is attempting to rebuild (Trend Score up) but the model is still RECOVERY because confirmation signals arent in place yet (BTC RiskOn still NO Tech leadership still NO). PLAYBOOK (RECOVERY rules) - Scale in only via pilots / half-positions. - Add breadth-based exposure gradually; keep tight invalidation. -"
X Link 2026-01-22T23:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Weekly Market Status (Fri 01/23/26):🟡RECOVERY Macro 100% Base: NO-GO Fast NO-GO: NO Hedge: NONE FTD/PWR: OFF / OFF Dist/Acc: ACCUM BTC RiskOn: NO Weekly Update: - Early-week selloff on policy / trade headline risk followed by a sharp rebound as the market repriced the same headlines with less urgency. - Net: volatility spike stabilization with internals still supporting a rebuild not a confirmed uptrend. Under the hood: - Breadth remains constructive (63% 50DMA) NH/NL momentum positive (NetMA +64). - Trend is improving (Trend Score rising) but leadership is still not confirmed (Tech"
X Link 2026-01-23T23:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Portfolio update: Closed: $QBTS $REAL Stopped: $RKT Holdings (2026-01-23): $LMND $COMP $GOOGL $AEM $HUT $SEI $ONDS $ANET $CIFR $NBIS $EQX $ZETA $SGI $TQQQ sleeve: 0%"
X Link 2026-01-23T23:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Market Regime 01/26/26 (Big Earnings Week):🟡RECOVERY Macro 100% FTD: NO PWR Live: NO Base: RECOVERY Dist/Acc: ACCUM Corr: NONE Hedge: NONE Fast NO-GO: NO Risk signals: Tech Leadership: NO BTC RiskOn: NO Breadth: 63% 50DMA NH-NL NetMA: +55 VIX State: [--] Tape read (from the chart): - Index held up mostly on large-cap/Mag7 support into earnings. - Under the hood: still range-bound; strength is not broad/clean enough for GO behavior. - Recovery remains permission to probe not permission to press. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015980489530872148"
X Link 2026-01-27T02:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2026-01-27 Market Regime Update:🟢GO Macro: 100% FTD: OFF PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE TAPE CHECK - Regime upgraded back to GO after last weeks shakeout; index reclaimed/held above key pivot zone and printed a short-term higher-high / higher-low sequence. - Leadership broadened inside mega-cap: Mag7/large caps led the push higher. - Dist/Acc: ACCUM and breadth supportive (63% 50DMA) but this is still a headline-sensitive tape (chop risk remains). - Tech Leadership: YES (constructive for trend continuation). - BTC RiskOn: NO (risk-on confirmation not-uniform across proxies). ⚠Precaution: Earnings risk"
X Link 2026-01-27T22:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2026-01-28 Market Regime Update:🟢GO Macro: 100% FTD: INACTIVE PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE TAPE CHECK - Nasdaq Composited +0.17% to 23857; holding above the key pivot (23704) and pressing a new short-term HH. - Model strength improved: Total Score [--] (Trend [--] Breadth 25). - Breadth constructive: 61.4% of stocks above their 50DMA. - Market character: ACCUM (buyers supporting dips) volatility moderate (VIX State 2). - Leadership is still selective but cleaner than last week: Tech Leadership YES. - Crypto confirmation absent: BTC RiskOn NO. - No correlation warning / no hedge trigger: Corr NONE Hedge"
X Link 2026-01-28T21:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2026-01-29 Market Regime Update:🟢GO Macro: 100% FTD: INACTIVE PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE TAPE CHECK - Violent earnings-driven whipsaw: post-$MSFT reaction sold the Nasdaq index hard intraday (including a flush below the 50SMA) and then reversed to recover most of the damage. Close: -0.72% to 23685; finished just below the key pivot (23704) still holding above the next support pivot (23578). - Model stayed 🟢GO but quality degraded: Total Score [--] (Trend [--] intact; Breadth Score collapsed to 3). - Internals weakened: NH/NL Accel -12; Tech Leadership flipped back to NO; %50 breadth [----] still"
X Link 2026-01-29T21:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@FranVezz The math says that hinder the progress. The equivalent is to raise the stops. However not all markets are created equal in some markets (choppy) you need to be more aggressive raising the stops. Partials cap the winners the winners are the edge"
X Link 2026-01-30T06:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2026-01-30 Weekly Market Regime Update (Week End):🔰GO (FRAGILE) Macro: 100% FTD: INACTIVE (BarsSince: 0) PWR: OFF Hedge: NONE WEEKLY DELTA (vs Fri 2026-01-23) - - Regime path: RECOVERY GO (breakout attempt) GO (FRAGILE) into week-end - Failed breakout: push above the 23.7k pivot rejected; week ends back below the 23.58k pivot with repeated wide-range reversals - Tape character worsened: more headline/earnings-driven whipsaw less persistent follow-through TAPE CHECK - Price: range-bound and failing breakouts; closing back under key pivots after multiple intraday undercut/reclaim attempts -"
X Link 2026-01-30T22:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@FranVezz Im going to add that there is necessary market situation adjustment not all markets are equal. For instance raise SL faster in shoppy markets or provide more room in volatile markets"
X Link 2026-01-31T05:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟢GO = risk-on is permitted by the model. It does not mean conditions are stable; execution quality and risk control remain the edge"
X Link 2026-02-02T23:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Closed: $CIFR Portfolio (2026-02-02): $LMND $COMP $GOOGL $HUT $SEI $SEI $ANET $RUN $UEC $TQQQ sleeve: 50%"
X Link 2026-02-02T23:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2026-02-03 Market Regime Update:🟠CORRECTION Macro: 100% FTD: NO PWR: OFF Hedge: ON CorrType: TECHNICAL TAPE CHECK - Nasdaq Composite down -1.43% (C: 23255) after a wide range day (H: [-----] / L: 23027). - Model damage: Total Score [--] with Trend Score [--] and Breadth muted (Breadth Score 13; Tech Leadership: NO). - Risk posture: Hedge Alert = HEDGE Dist/Acc = MIXED BTC RiskOn = NO. - Narrative-driver matched the tape: broad repricing in knowledge work / SaaS / data services tied to AI-disruption fears after Anthropic rolled out new Claude enterprise automation plug-ins"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟠CORRECTION = risk-on is not permitted by the model. Expect higher failure rates on breakouts faster reversals and headline sensitivity; cash/hedges regain value"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): No portfolio movements. Portfolio (2026-02-03): $LMND $COMP $GOOGL $HUT $SEI $SEI $ANET $RUN $UEC $TQQQ sleeve: 50%"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Market status 12/01/15: 🟠 CORRECTION Watchlist: $VIAV $LRCX $FLS $CAT $PWR $IQV $IMVT $ELAN $FSLR $STX $KLAC $MU $WDC $CIEN $FORM $VRT $APH $TER $EXPE $IBM $TWLO $HWM $MRVL Focus: $VRT $LRCX $CAT $STX $KLAC $APH $TER I have positions in some of these names not financial advise https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1995350884176302386 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1995350884176302386"
X Link 2025-12-01T04:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Market Status 12/17/25 (After Close): 🟠 CORRECTION Macro 100% What hadnt broke is breaking now specially in tech. We will see what tomorrow brings with CPI. POSITIONS: $REAL $BTSG $LMND $IBM $STX TRIMMED: $IBM CLOSED: $KLAC $LRCX $CAT $GOOGL"
X Link 2025-12-17T21:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"🟩FTD OFF =🟢GO is no longer being held up by an FTD override. Base trend + breadth must continue doing the work"
X Link 2026-01-10T00:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Journal (not signals): Closed: $BTSG Opened: $SHOP Stock portfolio (2026-01-09): $U $SHOP $REAL $COMP $RKT $GOOGL $RIVN $RDDT $AEM $LMND Index sleeve: $TQQQ = 100%"
X Link 2026-01-10T00:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"🟢GO = risk-on is permitted by the model. It does not override earnings-driven gap/whipsaw risk. Position sizing + entry location + automatic exits remain the edge"
X Link 2026-01-29T21:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

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