@ZegoodBanker ZeGoodBanker

ZeGoodBanker posts on X about euro, inflation, stocks, strong the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

Engagements: [-----] #

• [--] Week [------] +10,220%
• [--] Month [------] +239%
• [--] Months [------] +23,247%
• [--] Year [------] +1,837%

Mentions: [--] #

• [--] Months [--] +1,183%
• [--] Year [--] -8.80%

Followers: [---] #

• [--] Week [---] +16%
• [--] Month [---] -20%
• [--] Months [---] -13%
• [--] Year [---] -5.80%

CreatorRank: [-------] #

Social Influence

Social category influence finance currencies countries stocks technology brands automotive brands cryptocurrencies luxury brands travel destinations financial services

Social topic influence euro, inflation #1497, stocks #3261, strong, debt #1098, ai, money, investment, china, bond

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @ft @neilksethi @goldmansachs @cbarraud @zerohedge @mayhem4markets @barchart @ncheronbourse @dlacalleia @business @deutschebank @morganstanley @michaelaarouet @zegoodbanker @grok @kobeissiletter @globalmktobserv @ibm @caracepargne @livesquawk

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Goldman Sachs (GS) JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Morgan Stanley (MS) IBM (IBM)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"🏛And although Prologis (and new deal) isn't part of this environment let's not forget that there's a reason why many investors remain away from REITs. ARNDTN/GYCGR non-calls are only the top of the iceberg 🧐 #AroundTown #GrandCity #CreditIG #REIT"
X Link 2023-01-23T22:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"🏦Central Banks 🧐EM tightening cycles are not over but contrary to DM some of EM CBs have already started to pivot properly and the resilient growth & drop in headline inflation (but with weakening domestic demand) should open the door for more in 2H23. Hungary with 1d depo 👇"
X Link 2023-06-26T22:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"😱WHY Markets dropped in August and what to expect 😰 A Thread: ❌📊Technical factors getting too hot (too much bullishness in July led to crowded long positioning)"
X Link 2023-08-21T19:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"❌🥵Desinflation skepticism. It's still elevated (related as well to concern about R* being much higher than anticipated) and investors have to wait for the next July PCE (31aug) data and Aug CPI (13sep) before getting their next look at prices"
X Link 2023-08-21T19:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"💥Emerging Market View: Go 😎Chinas inflation situation improved (China is one of the few majors battling deflation so improves here = "firming"). Aug CPI at +0.1% Y/Y inline improv from -0.3% in Jul while the PPI was -3% (est: -2.9% but up from -4.4% in Jul). (1)"
X Link 2023-09-12T07:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"😰 .But China activity remains worrying as expectations for massive stimulus rise. China growth numbers remain disappointing (Q2 GDP collapse in Export prices CNY weakness stress in Real estate sectors deteriorating employment (esp for young ppl) & consumer confidence"
X Link 2023-09-12T07:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"💲 The dollar remains strong (TWI & vs EUR - chart) especially considering the US exceptionnalism vs RoW (China slowdown lack of BoJ tightening European weakness - chart) and can weigh on EM asset class (CNY at the weakest lvl in years)"
X Link 2023-09-12T07:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"❌Technicals: EM bond funds saw a few weeks of inflows in July but this was short-lived and outflows have returned. Sustained trend of outflows that began back in Feb. EM HC bond in Neg cumulative YTD Outflows in China-focused for 8months running"
X Link 2023-09-12T07:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📊With recent pickup in commodity prices who could be some of the beneficiaries ⛽ 🕵♂Usual suspects Saudi Iraq Nigeria Brazil Kazakhstan Mexico Angola Oman Azerbaijan Colombia Qatar Ecuador Peru Chile Bahrain"
X Link 2023-09-12T07:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Would fit well the earlier optimism about a soft landing indeed Mix of oil spike high yields are also a good mix historically"
X Link 2023-10-02T09:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"🥵It's in line/Hot: US CPI was inline on a core basis at +0.3% M/M and +4.1% Y/Y (the +4.1% is down from +4.3% in Aug) while the headline number ran a bit hot at +0.4% M/M and +3.7% Y/Y (vs. est +0.3% and +3.6%). The 3.7% headline number was flat vs. Aug. 👇"
X Link 2023-10-12T14:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"😎Emerging Markets view: GO💥(1) 😱 Tough picture for EM. Spreads & Yields had remained well behaved H1 [----] and until recently. But as mentioned these spread levels were tights (even before middle east conflict) and yield have spiked to highest since [----] after recent news"
X Link 2023-10-23T18:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🕵♂What are the main catalysts for EM atm (2) Growth:❌Tough one again with DM & EM world slowing across the board led by China and Eurozone Inflation:❌Tricky as well with inflation remaining (too) resilient across the world (ex-China) helped further by commodities prices"
X Link 2023-10-23T18:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Catalysts for EM (3) ❌China: EM has been and could be hurt further if already negative growth outlook in China continues. ☝PMIs remain weaker latest GDP & consumption numbers were slightly better but ongoing housing crisis remain a serious drag despite easing measures"
X Link 2023-10-23T18:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"💲Catalysts for EM (4) 💲 💲The dollar remains strong and could weigh further on the EM world helped by: - US vs RoW growth differential - Geopolitical backdrops & safe haven - Inflation pickup & Fed repricing vs other CBs (chart) - Recessionary environment"
X Link 2023-10-23T19:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Middle east & commodity prices (6) Oil prices up +30% in 2m could indeed break the disinflationary trend and keep policy rates higher for longer. But with the exception of the Kippur war none of the other [--] conflicts involving Israel had a lasting effect on crude prices"
X Link 2023-10-23T20:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"💚Are Emerging Markets Carry levels supportive (7) IG corps & Sov yield offer attractive opportunities. In both cases credit risk seem limited and (equity) EM EPS expectations have been doing well vs DM. Before the war carry actually kept the perf of local debt solid"
X Link 2023-10-23T20:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🕵♂Emerging Markets picks Again the usual suspects look interesting: Bahrain Azerbaijan Iraq Saudi Cote dIvoire While the China exposed countries and commodity importers can be looked at: Asia: SKorea Taiwan India Singapore Thailand Indonesia HK Europe: CEE"
X Link 2023-10-23T20:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"China slipped in Sep into deflation for the 1st time in 2yr due to weak domestic demand & housing slump ✅Could contribute to near-term global disinflation with Chinas declining export prices feeding into lower import prices for others 🧐Next China CPI/PPI for Oct (Wed/Thur)"
X Link 2023-11-02T14:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"OUCH ❌USCredit-Rating Outlook changed to Negative by Moodys. Expect higher rates & deficit at 6% for next several years cites risks from political polarization. Fitch S&P previously stripped US of highest IG. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-10/us-s-credit-rating-outlook-changed-to-negative-by-moody-sutm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=copy https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-10/us-s-credit-rating-outlook-changed-to-negative-by-moody-sutm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=copy"
X Link 2023-11-11T09:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"OUCH M&A pipeline lightest in a decade (much higher borrowing costs & weak Biz sentiment). Only 460bn of proposed/completed transactions last yr. Usually the strongest predictor of forward non-Fins net supply Vol with a lag of 6-12m as it takes time for financing to come"
X Link 2023-11-17T10:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📉US flash PMIs for Nov [--] Recent data points have signaled a cooling in growth momentum and investors will be watching closely to see if thats confirmed in the PMIs. Street is modeling a downtick in both Manuf (to [----] vs. [--] in Oct) and Serv (to [----] vs. [----] in Oct)"
X Link 2023-11-21T21:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"US Numbers: for momentum of the resilient US eco: [--] Oct PCE (Thurs 11/30) Nov ISMs (Fri 12/1 for Manuf and Tues 12/5 for Serv) Oct JOLTs (Tues 12/5) Nov jobs report (Fri 12/8) Nov CPI (Tues 12/12) FOMC meeting (Wed 12/13)"
X Link 2023-11-21T21:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

".and $JPM doesn't sound bullish on the region either"
X Link 2023-11-21T23:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Most quant/momentum driven markets Ive seen in a while is the percentage of active/manual orders still above 10%"
X Link 2023-12-04T17:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Will be interesting to see how markets reprice this given how bullish rates investors had turned on the desinflationary trend. 3.7% unemployment rate with a 62.8% participation rate is a hot release"
X Link 2023-12-08T18:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🧐Concerns that Powell & Lagarde will pour cold water on the markets [----] easing expectations (+ US CPI less desinflationary) Fed officials probably wont seriously entertain the prospect of rate cuts at this weeks meeting"
X Link 2023-12-11T10:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"OUCH - Chinas deflation problem worsens China posted a Nov PPI of -3% (est: -2.8% fcast and vs. -2.6% in Oct) w/the CPI -0.5% (est: -0.2% fcast & vs. -0.2% in Oct) Pork prices -4.2% in Nov. Imports dropped as households stay cautious in spending"
X Link 2023-12-11T10:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Dovish Article this morning (vs est.) nicely opposed to the FED/ECB dynamic headlines. BOJ wont abandon NIRP (negative interest rate policy) at its Dec meeting as officials havent yet seen evidence of wages being on a sustainable growth path"
X Link 2023-12-11T10:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"OUCH 😱And that's quite a symbol amid desinflation weaker growth & REITs turmoil"
X Link 2023-12-11T11:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🚩RED FLAGS in Luxury (1/2)🚩 Storm clouds continue to form over the luxury market as demand begins to cool following years of above-trend growth: Inventory levels of luxury goods are on the rise (@WSJ) Sakis is reassuring vendors about liquidity (@wwd)"
X Link 2023-12-11T21:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"(2/2) Chanel executive said firm is bracing for a tougher [----] @FT Farfetch apparently needs at least $500M in fresh funding to avoid bankruptcy before Christmas @thetimes Hermes bucking the downtrend profiled in this Bloomberg article. @business"
X Link 2023-12-11T21:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"WATCHOUT🧐(1/2) The big macro events this week include US CPI (Tue) FOMC (Wed) SNB/Norges Bank/BOE/ECB decisions (Thurs) Chinas Nov IP/retail sales (Thu/Fri) US/EU flash PMIs for Dec (Fri)"
X Link 2023-12-12T00:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"DOTS (2/3) 🔽 Sizeable drop in the dots (the [----] dot fell to 4.6% lower than anticipated and [----] fell to 3.6%) Stocks & bonds exploded higher after both because FOMC was dovish but also due to fact that markets were prepared for an (at best) neutral decision"
X Link 2023-12-13T22:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"VIEW (3/3) 📈 Recall: consensus was that one or more of the Big [--] Dec macro catalysts (Nov NFP Nov CPI FOMC & ECB) would spur selling creating a pullback that many hoped would open an opportunity to deploy $$. Dip never arrived that sidelined money was forced to scramble"
X Link 2023-12-13T22:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Do you see bitcoins shitcoins Rolexes Audemars Piguet Patek fund raising & startups exploding higher already 😂"
X Link 2023-12-16T23:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Lol a sell side US Bank expecting a 8% return on US stocks. so basically pretty much what happened exactly EVERY single years in average FOR THE LAST 100Years 😂 thanks @GoldmanSachs always nice to have your view"
X Link 2023-12-17T18:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Seasonality always SO strong in risky assets this year it was Powell but no matter what the macro gives us Q4 and especially NovDec always insane for equities high beta currencies EM commodities credit etc"
X Link 2023-12-18T20:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🔍FOMC Minutes: What to get from it A thread🧐👇 Minutes make clear what investors were already aware of and market pricing already reflects an easing pathway much more aggressive than Fed officials are comfortable countenancing at this point #Fed #FOMC #Minutes #Inflation"
X Link 2024-01-03T19:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"It doesn't mean Market pricing is wrong but Powell & Cie after waging a fierce war against high prices for last 2yr will need extra evidence to be absolutely certain inflation is indeed slayed before blessing the present rate outlook (it calls 145bp worth of cuts this year)"
X Link 2024-01-03T19:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📆The Dec inflation numbers start hitting Thurs (1/4) w/CPIs from Germany and France while the full EU CPI arrives on Fri (1/5) followed by the US CPI on Thurs 1/11.Headline CPIs are expected to reaccelerate in Dec vs. Nov although core disinflation is set to persist"
X Link 2024-01-03T19:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"✅It seems likely that US CPI and PCE will fall further with market pricing being much closer to reality than the Feds last dot plot. in the meantime Prices in the ISM tumbled 4.7pt to [----] (although employment rose while order backlog & new exports orders both jumped)"
X Link 2024-01-03T19:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Markets efficiency usually pretty well observed during those periods especially when investors come back from holidays and pricing actually gets back to more normal levels Traders are now pricing in a 71% chance of a Fed rate cut in March down from an 86% chance last week. Whether it's "sober January" or everyone's back from vacation it feels like this week is becoming a gut check to the past nine weeks of euphoria. Traders are now pricing in a 71% chance of a Fed rate cut in March down from an 86% chance last week. Whether it's "sober January" or everyone's back from vacation it feels like"
X Link 2024-01-03T21:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Tricky to imagine money back into REITS with those levels of yield in cash short bonds and those European stories and CRE in the US. Is it Europe or US 🙂 Is Real Estate back in favor Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) just saw a weekly inflow of $500 million the most since June [----]. https://t.co/K6OuoXncWp Is Real Estate back in favor Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) just saw a weekly inflow of $500 million the most since June [----]. https://t.co/K6OuoXncWp"
X Link 2024-01-14T11:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"❓What's in the Fed Beige Book for Jan👇(1) Relatively boring and uneventful but did point to an economy whose growth backdrop isnt as robust as some of the official govt data would suggest while the disinflationary process continues to unfold and labor dynamics cool further"
X Link 2024-01-17T23:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"It says: Majority of [--] Fed Reserve Districts reported little/no change in eco activity since prior release.Holiday season was 'reasonably' healthy for gift purchases & travel but manuf declined nearly everywhere & high rates weighed on auto and REIT activity (2)"
X Link 2024-01-17T23:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"OUCH. China NewsFlow & Sentiment in REITs not getting any better #REIT #China #PropertySector"
X Link 2024-01-22T02:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"OUCH Soft (PMIs) & hard data (FAI IP Retail sales) remained disappointing recently. JPEASI lowest. Divergence in Dec PMIs underscores lingering softness in domestic-demand conditions Dec NBS PMI report highlighting corporate concerns around insufficient domestic demand"
X Link 2024-01-25T12:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🧐Is US Employment more deteriorated than we think It could Participation rates in the recent NFPs fell by a very large amount (0.3%) potentially hiding a higher unemployment rate (4.0%) and with the volatile household measure plunging 683k (headline number was strong +216k)"
X Link 2024-01-25T12:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"DID YOU MISS THE HEADLINES😂as the Nov US election draws near investors will be forced to focus more on Trumps probable second term economic agenda which wont be very market friendly (with a lot of tariffs but none of the Paul Ryan tax reform)"
X Link 2024-01-25T12:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟢🐂 BULL MARKETS: Markets has got 'goldilocks' data this week flash PMIs Q4 GDP/PCE and Dec PCE today. US infla still cooling. Now Evans & Brainard (former Fed) saying infla has met the CB's definition of "sustained progress". (1/3)"
X Link 2024-01-27T00:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🟢🐂Q4 earnings season is 'good enough': @Visa & @AmericanExpress suggest spending is cooling modestly but remains resilient while @LVMH points to strength in high end of the market. (2/3)"
X Link 2024-01-27T00:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📅🐂Catalysts to come: 🔹Tue: France & Spain CPIs for Jan US JOLTS report for Dec China NBS PMIs for Jan❗ 🔹Wed: Employment Cost Index Q4 Germany regional CPI Jan FOMC decision❗ 🔹Thur: Riksbank decision Eurozone CPI Jan❗ BoE decision OPEC+ 🔹Fri: US Job report❗"
X Link 2024-01-27T00:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"OUCH❌NOT something historically well received by Markets: China will impose restrictions on certain shares being lent for short selling as govt takes further steps to bolster its equity markets"
X Link 2024-01-29T10:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@WaitCapital Clearly a positive especially psychology speaking imo. my take: WOW 📈Treasury updated its CQ1 borrowing forecast lowering the number by $55B to $750B. (1/2) 🔹Reduction was largely due to projections of higher net fiscal flows and a higher beginning of quarter cash balance 🔹CQ2: It expects to borrow $202B a steep drop from Q1 #Treasury https://t.co/4MkFCjjOuO WOW 📈Treasury updated its CQ1 borrowing forecast lowering the number by $55B to $750B. (1/2) 🔹Reduction was largely due to projections of higher net fiscal flows and a higher beginning of quarter cash balance 🔹CQ2: It"
X Link 2024-01-29T20:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"📉🐻BEAR: EM Equities (ex-China) Recent negative correlation between Fed easing and EM performance Substantial impact of the USD and potential waning risk appetite Existing (vulnerable) bullish positioning in EM equities Go USD💲 #EmergingMarkets #Equities"
X Link 2024-01-29T22:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"📈⛽OIL BULL US planning a powerful response to the attack in Jordan but White House to be careful about avoiding a broader war in the region (still no indications that Iran specifically ordered Jordan attack or intended it as a escalation vs. the US)"
X Link 2024-01-30T22:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"FOMC decision: What to expect🧵 Powell to: 🔹acknowledges progress on inflation 🔹cautious that Fed requires more evidence of prices on a sustained disinflationary trend before Rate cut process start 🔹keep the door opened to March Cut (see my post) but no explicit answer #Fed"
X Link 2024-01-30T23:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements

"🧐FED meeting: Recap & View 🧵(1/10) 👉Powell says MARCH isn't the "base case" but I still think it's the most likely scenario. 🔹Dovish direction: 'Committee judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are moving into better balance' Chart: Tough day👇"
X Link 2024-02-01T01:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"FED Meeting Recap (2/10) 🔹More Dovish: On the question of whether inflation is sustainably on a path to 2% the statement stated this threshold hasnt yet been achieved although Powells presser remarks suggested otherwise. 📉Chart: Europe CPI trend"
X Link 2024-02-01T01:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"(3/10) Specifically the issue for #Fed isnt that inflation data must get better but instead it just needs to stay on the present trajectory (wedont need to see data get better just need to see a continuation of good data weve been seeing for the last 6m) 📉Chart: S&P react"
X Link 2024-02-01T01:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"(4/10) FED: .and Powell expressed confidence that inflation will stay on the present trend (reiterated that the housing component of the PCE is set to break lower & noted that the 12/13 SEP inflation forecasts are already probably stale and too high given recent developments)👇"
X Link 2024-02-01T01:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"(5/10) FED: However a direct question was put to Powell about whether a cut can occur in Mar and he strongly suggested that wont happen (Mar is unlikely and not the base case) 📉Chart: March Probabilities fell to 37%👇"
X Link 2024-02-01T01:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"(6/10) #FED: On growth it was noted that policy is well into restrictive territory while a lot of the recent GDP strength was dismissed as being a function of post-COVID supply chain healing as this tailwind ends the fallout from Fed tightening will be more pronounced. 👇"
X Link 2024-02-01T01:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"(7/10) #FED: Balance sheet/QT didnt get brought up until long into the press conf. Powell said Fed will begin in depth discussions about QT process at March meeting).Bsheet & Funds Rate were called independent meaning that QT could be slowed alongside rate cuts. 👇"
X Link 2024-02-01T01:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Bottom Line (8/10): while FED may not want to put in print that the sustainability threshold has been achieved its increasingly difficult to draw any other conclusion (case for inflation being on a sustainable path to 2% was made relatively clear by the PCE last week &.👇"
X Link 2024-02-01T01:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

".Weds ECI).(9/10) Powell pushed back on March cut but theres a lot of data between now & then and if upcoming CPIs and PCEs are anything like the Dec PCE or Q4 ECI the case for a Mar reduction would only strengthen (the CPI revisions on 2/9 will be particularly important)👇"
X Link 2024-02-01T01:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"BULL 📈Emerging Markets Corporate Bonds living their best life🐂 Fewer than expected issuances (unlike Sov) Refinancing needs have moderated (shorter maturity wall) Other fundraising avenues (Local ccy) open up Better valuation than US Corps Buybacks"
X Link 2024-02-04T23:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"WHY SO STRONG 📈 🚀Wondering why Euro Credit IG markets have been this strong YTD Technicals firmly in command 600m of inflows into IG last week close to 7bn or half what we got last year New Issue Premium fell to 7.2bp for corporates"
X Link 2024-02-14T16:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🤩How Can People Become Happier A Systematic Review of Preregistered Experiments 📚 (1/3) Thousands of studies speak to this question. Elizabeth Dunn made a review of the PREREGISTERED experiments. Here a few things she found:"
X Link 2024-02-21T23:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"(2/3) 😢Surprisingly little support for some widely recommended strategies (ex: random acts of kindness meditation) 👯Positive support for strategies like: being more sociable acting happy spending money on others ❌benefits from giving up social media use for a period"
X Link 2024-02-21T23:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🏦OUCH Further hawkish tilt. Atlanta Fed President Bostic now anticipates just one rate cut this year (his prior outlook was for two cuts) and forecasts it happening later than previously assumed. (chart 20march) #Fed #CentralBank #FinancialMarkets"
X Link 2024-03-24T20:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Love the spirit of this newsletter 📈🔥 So many good frameworks inside the Ultimate Guide to Get Started With Python for Quant Finance by @pyquantnews. If you're looking to get started with Python for quant finance (for free) check it out: https://pythonforquantfinancemasterclass.com https://pythonforquantfinancemasterclass.com"
X Link 2024-05-16T10:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Surprise results in the French legislative elections: - NFP coalition (centre-left to far-left): 171-187 seats - Macron's coalition (ENS centre): 152-163 seats - Le Pen's coalition (RN far-right): 134-152 seats #FrenchElections2024"
X Link 2024-07-08T10:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🏦 For French banks political gridlock could lead to volatile OAT-bund spreads. The NFP's strong performance may spook markets given their significant public spending ambitions. #FrenchBanks"
X Link 2024-07-08T10:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🏨 Political uncertainty inhibits real estate decision making e.g. multinationals choosing HQ locations in Paris (impacting Gecina & Colonial) and consumer spending in shopping malls (impacting URW & Klepierre). #RealEstateImpact"
X Link 2024-07-08T10:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Credit Update: relative majority reduces tail risk events & fiscal slippage concerns. #FrenchElections2024"
X Link 2024-07-08T10:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"💰 Relief rally in European credit as markets digested French election results. EUR IG spreads reversed almost entire uptick since EU Parliament elections now at 122bp. EUR HY at 341bp. #EuropeanCreditMarkets"
X Link 2024-07-08T10:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"👨💻 J.P. Morgan's Euro Credit Machine Learning model remained long risk throughout recent volatility. Constructive near-term backdrop for EUR IG absent surprises. #ECML"
X Link 2024-07-08T10:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🏗 Supply slowed ahead of French elections & holiday-shortened week. But strong demand persists - Deutsche Bank 13.2x coverage ratio a record high. Decompression: EUR IG 3bp off pre-election tights HY still 21bp wider. #CreditSupplyDemand"
X Link 2024-07-08T10:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🗳 Trade & tariffs take center stage in [----] US election. Potential for major policy shifts could ripple through global markets. Consumer goods tech and manufacturing sectors on high alert. #USElection2024 My view in a thread: 👇"
X Link 2024-08-01T23:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🌿⚡ [--]. Renewable energy policy: Election battleground. While Inflation Reduction Act likely safe GOP win could mean headwinds for offshore wind. Trump hints at "Day One" executive order against projects. Clean energy stocks may face turbulence. #CleanEnergyPolicy"
X Link 2024-08-01T23:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🚗 [--]. European automakers face potential speed bumps post-election. Tariff threats loom especially for luxury brands. Porsche seen as particularly vulnerable. US production facilities could become more crucial. Industry watches trade talks closely. #AutoIndustry"
X Link 2024-08-01T23:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🔍💼 Uncovering some secrets of earnings calls 🎙 A [----] study used big data to peek behind the corporate curtain. What they found might surprise you. 👀 Thread: [--] key takeaways that still matter today 👇 #CorporateFinance #InvestorInsights"
X Link 2024-08-03T09:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🔬📊 Big Data meets Wall Street This study reveals how consumer behavior data can predict stock performance. Here's what they found. #FinTech #BigData Thread: [--] key takeaways 👇"
X Link 2024-08-03T11:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"1/ US banks raked in a $1 trillion windfall 💰 during the Feds high-rate 5.5% era charging more for loans while paying depositors just 2.2% interest on avg. Big banks like JPMorgan & BofA kept rates even lower. Guess who benefits Not your savings. 😒 https://www.ft.com/content/4c013d3b-796b-47a3-a964-02f753d39846 https://www.ft.com/content/4c013d3b-796b-47a3-a964-02f753d39846"
X Link 2024-09-23T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2/ Despite a Fed rate cut banks are expected to slowly lower deposit costs protecting their profits. $1.1 trillion in excess interest revenue and still counting. Banking really is the gift that keeps on giving. to itself. 💸 #Finance #InterestRates"
X Link 2024-09-23T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📰🔍 Did you know Media coverage predicts option volatility A thread. Study shows intense media coverage linked to lower future option-implied volatility. #FinanceNews #OptionsTrading"
X Link 2024-09-23T11:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🧠 Takeaway: Media coverage contains valuable info about future market risks Study suggests it's not fully reflected in current option prices. Time to rethink our trading models 📈📉 #MarketInsights #FinancialModeling"
X Link 2024-09-23T11:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"The link to this great piece of research: Media and the Term-Structure of Unexpected Option-Implied Volatility - August [--] [----] https://d3c33hcgiwev3.cloudfront.net/KRIcw7xbQ2iSHMO8W1NoQw_eefe001ffd06492c9d969aa1005a448c_Media-and-the-Term-Structure-of-Unexpected-Option-Implied-Volatility.pdfExpires=1727222400&Signature=VoiambyPU9c8lyYxJzR6c9bNAxBQrZnsJ67XYGtLOi37gYj1rtuSaht8yOezhU7VAjynTofu02VK5fwj5NvpzhqfVjSzii3dKti5HczhknvmjhUsOJxD4DjUqIBe6Oat7L45LhvAVneIfkhzbB9KaXlHo4znEg2wYXqFsxZ4k_&Key-Pair-Id=APKAJLTNE6QMUY6HBC5A"
X Link 2024-09-23T11:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Impressive article from @FT on how Israels air defences withstood Irans missile barrage and where early Israeli assessment suggests attack caused few hits and no casualties #Israel #Iran https://www.ft.com/content/3fa784e6-3e5e-4f6c-8285-52b297c986da https://www.ft.com/content/3fa784e6-3e5e-4f6c-8285-52b297c986da"
X Link 2024-10-02T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"🏠💥 Global Real Estate Bubble Risks EXPOSED Wondering if your city is at risk of a housing bubble 🏙 From soaring prices in Miami to sharp corrections in Parisget the full scoop on the latest trends from the @UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index [----]. 👇 A thread 📊"
X Link 2024-10-14T17:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"1/ 📊 Global Bubble Risks Declining Imbalances in the global real estate market have decreased slightly with Miami leading in bubble risk. Risks fell in Europe but remain stable in Asia-Pacific and rising in the US. #RealEstate #BubbleRisk"
X Link 2024-10-14T17:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"3/ 📉 Prices Fall in Major Cities Paris and Hong Kong experienced a sharp correction with home prices dropping by over 20% since [----] marking them as the weakest housing markets. #RealEstateMarket #HousingBubble"
X Link 2024-10-14T17:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"4/ 📊 US Bubble Risk Rising Miami tops the list of bubble risks in the US with prices rising by 50% since [----]. High mortgage rates are cooling down the market but risks remain high. #USHousing #RealEstateTrends"
X Link 2024-10-14T17:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"5/ 📉 Affordability Plummets Global affordability is down by 40% since [----]. In Toronto and Los Angeles buying space has become increasingly unaffordable although housing shortages stabilize prices. #AffordabilityCrisis #HousingMarket"
X Link 2024-10-14T17:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"6/ 🏙 Asian Real Estate Trends Tokyo and Sydney saw price increases while Hong Kong faces declining prices and moderate bubble risk. Singapores cooling measures also stabilized the market. #AsiaRealEstate #MarketStability"
X Link 2024-10-14T17:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"❓What are JPM expectations for Fixed Income markets in [----] 👇 A thread: 1/ 🌍 Global Macro View Resilient growth + sticky inflation = fewer rate cuts. DM rates stay higher for longer: 📉 10Y yields forecast: UST: 4.25% Bunds: 1.95% Gilts: 4.20%"
X Link 2024-11-27T10:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2/ U.S. Curve Movements We see the 2s/10s UST curve steepening 50bps in 1H25 📈 while 10s/30s steepens too. Tactical opportunities exist but tail risk scenarios keep conviction low. 🧐 #BondMarket"
X Link 2024-11-27T10:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"5/ UK Gilt Outlook Sticky inflation & fiscal easing limit front-end rallies. 📉 10Y gilt yield forecast: 4.20% by 2Q25 4.10% by 4Q25. Modest steepening in 2s/10s and 10s/30s curves. #Gilts #BoE"
X Link 2024-11-27T10:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"6/ 🔄 Implied Volatility 📉 Expect lower vol: EUR: 3Mx10Y to 4.1bp/day by mid-2025. UK: 3Mx2Y & 3Mx10Y decline. 💡 Sell gamma (e.g. 1Yx10Y) to benefit from mean-reverting yields. #Volatility"
X Link 2024-11-27T10:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🏦 Banks & insurers playing it safe - skipping public credit for rates/SSAs/covered bonds OR going wild with private credit/CLOs #Banking"
X Link 2024-12-08T21:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🎯 Target date funds reach significant milestone: 113bn AUM. Previously negligible segment demonstrates remarkable growth. #AssetManagement"
X Link 2024-12-08T21:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🚗 Significant consensus: Widespread aversion to Automotive sector strong preference for Banking over Corporate exposure. #SectorAnalysis 🎯 Market divergence: Investors expectations on rate cuts due to persistent inflation concerns. #MonetaryPolicy"
X Link 2024-12-08T21:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"💰 Notable capital flows: Euro investment grade funds record largest inflow since August (1.3bn 0.4% AUM). #FundFlows"
X Link 2024-12-08T21:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📊 High-yield segment demonstrates strength: 544m inflow (0.6% AUM) Strategic funds +289m. #HighYield"
X Link 2024-12-08T21:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🏢 Primary market highlight: Citycon Treasury's 350m green issuance achieves 9.1x oversubscription. #GreenFinance"
X Link 2024-12-08T21:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🎯 THREAD: Major weekend developments + key market insights for the week ahead. From Middle East shakeup to earnings expectations here's what you need to know.👇 (1/6) #FinancialMarkets"
X Link 2024-12-08T21:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🌍 BREAKING: Assad regime falls in Syria as rebels capture Damascus. Minimal resistance from Iran/Russia backing. Major shift in Middle East power dynamics dealing blow to Tehran's regional influence. #GeopoliticalShift (2/6)"
X Link 2024-12-08T21:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"📊 Market moves: Apollo (APO) and Workday (WDAY) joining S&P [---] replacing QRVO and AMTM. SpaceX's Starship tech reportedly leading competitors by decades. #MarketNews (4/6)"
X Link 2024-12-08T21:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"💼 Big tech earnings week ahead: Oracle (Mon) Adobe (Wed) Broadcom (Thu). High expectations after recent strong tech performances from CRM DOCU others. #EarningsWatch (5/6)"
X Link 2024-12-08T21:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🏦 Central Bank Bonanza: RBA (Mon) Bank of Canada (Wed) SNB & ECB (Thu). Markets pricing in cuts from BoC (50bps) and ECB (25bps). Fed in quiet period ahead of Dec [--]. #CentralBanks (3/6)"
X Link 2024-12-08T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"💼 Earnings Spotlight: Oracle (Mon) Adobe (Wed) Broadcom & Costco (Thu). Tech sector in focus after recent strong reports. MongoDB Toll Brothers also worth watching. #EarningsWatch (4/6)"
X Link 2024-12-08T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"China Focus: Central Economic Work Conference starts Wed - crucial meeting for [----] economic targets and stimulus plans. Market watching closely for policy signals. #ChinaEconomy (5/6)"
X Link 2024-12-08T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📅 Key Conferences: Barclays Tech Goldman Financial Services Nasdaq 51st Investor Conference keeping traders busy this week. Plus Raymond James TMT & Consumer events. #WallStreet (6/6)"
X Link 2024-12-08T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"6/📉 ECB rate cuts in [----] (target 1.75%) should support bank profitability through NII while fee income provides diversification. Positive for AT1 fundamentals #MonetaryPolicy"
X Link 2024-12-21T12:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"9/🌡 While macro risks exist (US election trade policy) bank fundamentals provide cushion. AT1s offer attractive risk/reward #CreditResearch"
X Link 2024-12-21T12:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🔥 Hybrids Bonds did amazing in [----]. What's next 🧵 1/ Record-breaking year for hybrid bonds: 📈 $35.6B issued in [----] (vs $6.5B last year) 💸 Expected to grow 7% more in [----] 🚀"
X Link 2024-12-22T13:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2/ Why are they so hot 🤔 Part debt part equity vibes 🔄 Lower impact on credit ratings Tax-deductible payments 💰 Strong investor demand (CVS deal saw $17B in orders) 🔥"
X Link 2024-12-22T13:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"3/ What changed 🎯 Moody's made rules simpler in Feb [----] Utilities jumping in for AI data center funding Companies using them to fix balance sheets"
X Link 2024-12-22T13:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"4/ Who's buying 💼 Traditional bond investors love them They're in main bond indices Northern Trust is eyeing utility/industrial deals"
X Link 2024-12-22T13:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🌎 BOND MARKETS [----] WRAP 🧵 via @FT 1/ Record-breaking inflows: 💰 $600B+ poured into global bond funds 📈 Smashed previous [----] record of $500B 🏆 Investors betting BIG on monetary policy shift 🎯 #Markets #Bonds #Finance #Investing #FixedIncome"
X Link 2024-12-22T13:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"5/ Looking ahead: 👀 Corporate credit markets staying strong 💪 Record low spreads in US/Europe 📊 Companies rushing to issue bonds 🏃♂ #Markets #Bonds #Finance #Investing #FixedIncome #RatesCut #GlobalMarkets"
X Link 2024-12-22T13:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🗞 WEEKEND MARKET ROUNDUP 🧵 1/7 Major Headlines: 📊 Congress passes stopgap bill - new shutdown deadline March [--] 🏛 OpenAI's GPT-5 over budget & behind schedule as AI industry hits data limits 🤖 Google surges on AI progress 📈 Party City & Big Lots face liquidation 🏪"
X Link 2024-12-22T16:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2/7 Trump [----] Preview: 🔮 Panama Canal control threats over transit fees 🚢 WHO withdrawal plans NATO spending push to 5% GDP 💰 Fed's Barr seeks legal shield Prison stocks surge on immigration plans"
X Link 2024-12-22T16:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"3/7 Tech Watch: 💻 Data centers to triple power use - may hit 12% of US electricity ⚡ Qualcomm wins ARM lawsuit 📱 Google faces Japan antitrust probe AI industry hits data quality wall China gains in legacy chips"
X Link 2024-12-22T16:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"4/6 Fun stat: 57% of predictions were too LOW Translation: Wall Street pros are Better at being pessimistic Worse at spotting rallies Masters of the "well actually." explanation 🎯"
X Link 2024-12-22T19:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"5/6 Who are the best Forecast providers you think Not your usual suspects The "least" worse are actually Bank of Montreal @Oppenheimer and @DeutscheBank while @MorganStanley is one of the worst"
X Link 2024-12-22T19:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📈 Global corporate debt sales hit a record $8TN in [----] 🔥 Companies rushed to borrow as spreads hit historic lows locking in cheap funding even into [----]. Pharma giant AbbVie led the way with a $15BN bond sale. 💼💵 #DebtMarkets #Finance #Economy"
X Link 2024-12-27T23:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"💶 Euro High Yield Snapshot: 333mm outflow (-0.4% AUM) this week ETF outflows dominated: -284mm Nov provisional flows looking better: +943mm YTD performance solid: 12.4bn inflows 🎯"
X Link 2024-12-30T20:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🌟 European Strategic Funds: 335mm inflow this week SubFin/Hybrids: +95mm Crossover funds: +140mm inflow Total YTD: Strong 35.3bn inflows"
X Link 2024-12-30T20:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2/4 🎯 Why It's Happening: Older investors (main active fund users) cashing out Younger investors choosing passive/ETFs Active funds charging 9x more than passive (0.45% vs 0.05%) 💰"
X Link 2024-12-31T16:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"3/4 📱 The Tech Effect: "Magnificent Seven" stocks driving market gains Active managers typically underweight in big tech Hard to beat market when avoiding AAPL MSFT etc 📊"
X Link 2024-12-31T16:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"4/4 🔄 Industry Shift: ETFs saw $1.7tn inflows in [----] Total ETF assets up 30% to $15tn Traditional firms like T Rowe Capital Group pivoting to ETFs to stay relevant 🔥"
X Link 2024-12-31T16:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📊 [--] Reasons Why I Like High Yield Bonds in [----] [--]. Momentum Market returns * High yield bonds: +7.4% YTD * Leveraged loans: +8.1% YTD * Notable stability despite individual name stress * Returns achieved with minimal volatility at index level"
X Link 2025-01-01T22:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2. 📑Current Market Metrics - Index yield: 5.7% (down 70bp in 2024) - Strong breakevens (200bp) - Average remaining life historically short at [---] years - 12bn inflows into European HY retail funds (15% of AUM)"
X Link 2025-01-01T22:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"3. Yield Environment ✅ - Current 5.7% yield far exceeds pre-2022 levels - Becoming more attractive as ECB cuts rates (expect 1.75% by 2H25 - Short duration providing stability - Breakeven levels remain attractive"
X Link 2025-01-01T22:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"7. Supportive Investor Positioning 👌 - Fund beta at 97% (up 10% from mid-September) - Investors remains Underweight CCCs & BBs - Single-B overweight: 3.7% vs benchmark"
X Link 2025-01-01T22:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"8. Single-Bs still looking good ❗ Extra 180bp spread compelling vs BBs Default risk peaking and set to fall BB's better convexity is not sufficient compensation"
X Link 2025-01-01T22:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"TMT Sector Outlook for 2025🚀 📱M&A and consolidation in Telco & cie to benefit market structures. Capex have peaked ✅ 📺Media: Solid Bsheet relatively low leverage but cyclicality profile/mixed earnings is a problem in weaker macro 🧑💻 Tech weighted to reversed yankee. Mixed"
X Link 2025-01-05T12:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📱 TMT Deals Update 🔄 Altice: Creditors negotiations ongoing XpFibre stake in focus Digi enters Belgian market undercutting competitors with 5/15GB plans 🌐 Swisscom completes 8bn Vodafone It acquisition 📺 ITV takeover interest from multiple parties including CVC/TF1"
X Link 2025-01-05T12:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📊 Credit Rating Actions: - @EutelsatGroup to B- (S&P) - @nexigroup to BBB- (Fitch) - @TalkTalk to CCC+ (S&P) - @CKH affirmed at A- (S&P)"
X Link 2025-01-05T12:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"📺ADVERTISING SECTOR: Omnicom/Interpublic merger announced $750m annual synergies targeted Industry consolidation accelerating #MediaIndustry"
X Link 2025-01-05T12:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🚦The US will probably lose its last AAA credit rating this year with Moodys following S&P and Fitch with a downgrade (Moodys rates the US AAA but lowered its outlook to negative in Nov [----] and things have only worsened since then) @barronsonline"
X Link 2025-01-05T21:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"PRIMARY MARKET 🏦 High Grade: 31bn High Yield: 3bn FIG domination: 70% New Issue Premium: 5bp"
X Link 2025-01-12T22:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"RATES DYNAMICS 📈 UST 10y yields: +55bp since Dec-12 UK Gilt yields: +25bp this week Drivers: Trade tariffs inflation supply technicals"
X Link 2025-01-12T22:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"My Favourite T2 Bonds atm although the trend has been ONE way in all of them with most bonds trading much tighter vs in basis or ratio vs Snr than their 12m average. RBIAV [--] (nc 27) looking the best vs RBIAV sep28 DB 4% Mar'27-32 vs DB 1.875% Feb28 also looking nice🔥"
X Link 2025-01-13T21:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"❓What's your Average & Split EUR Bond-CDS Basis in Credit Investment Grade 🧵 Most of the IG world trade in small negative basis (-19bp with mat 5y and 3y) Wider basis = bigger arb opportunity 📊"
X Link 2025-01-18T10:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"A few examples of NEG BASIS: 📊 Deutsche Bank (-98bps basis) LARGEST negative basis Why 🤔 🏦 REGULATION MATTERS - Bank capital structure complexity - Basel III impacts bond holdings - But CDS = less capital intensive - Plus funding costs hit harder"
X Link 2025-01-18T10:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🚫 ESG IMPACT Imperial Brands (-64bps) & BAT (-59bps) both showing HUGE negative basis: - Tobacco sector = ESG restricted - Many investors CAN'T buy bonds - But CDS market more flexible - Result: Bonds trade cheap vs CDS #CreditMarkets 🌱"
X Link 2025-01-18T10:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"⚡ UTILITIES DRAMA EnBW Fortum showing consistent -45/-60bps basis: - Heavy capex needs = lots of bonds - ESG transition concerns - Green mandate restrictions - CDS market more flexible for hedging #GreenTransition 🌍"
X Link 2025-01-18T10:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📈 RATINGS & ESG COMBO Lower-rated + ESG-sensitive sectors = widest basis: - BBB tobacco wider than A-rated tech - Energy wider than renewables - High yield sensitive to ESG Pro tip: Watch ESG fund flows for basis trading #ESGInvesting 💰"
X Link 2025-01-18T10:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"❓Key insight: The basis market isn't just about credit risk and liquidity anymore - ESG restrictions Regulations and sustainable investing mandates are becoming major drivers of negative basis especially in sectors facing environmental or social headwinds 🎯"
X Link 2025-01-18T10:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🏢 SECTOR WATCH FINS leading primary market with strong demand. Corporate issuance slower but steady. Quarterly earnings blackouts approaching: this favorable balance should continue to support performance at least in the absence of any continued outflows #CreditSectors 🏗"
X Link 2025-01-18T10:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📊 FUND FLOWS ALERT Euro IG seeing modest inflows (39mm 0% of AUM) while HY shows outflows (-302mm -0.3% of AUM) this week. ETFs leading the exodus with -381mm from IG and -296mm from HY Market sensitivity showing 📉 💰 DECEMBER WRAP-UP Euro IG funds closed [----] strong with 6.6bn inflow (2.0% AUM) in December. Meanwhile HY saw small outflows of -174mm. Total [----] flows impressive: IG +45.8bn HY +12.2bn 🎯 📈 FLOW COMPOSITION Short duration IG funds = hot spot (+346mm) Classic "flight to safety" move during volatility. Base IG ex-ETFs/Short Duration hanging in there with +74mm. Strategy shifts"
X Link 2025-01-18T11:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📈Credit IG: Reverse Yankee volumes are breaking new records To date we have seen 63bn of reverse Yankee issuance - i.e. euro-denominated deals by US issuers - up by 60% y/y and massively surpassing the previous record of 49bn in YTD20 (Figure 5). This was boosted by a five-tranche 6.75bn offering from Alphabet on Tuesday 3.5bn from Visa on Wednesday and 2.175bn from Fiserv just this week. Altogether US issuers have been responsible for 24.3% of total EUR-denominated supply to date also comfortably a record"
X Link 2025-05-04T20:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📊 European Credit Fund Flows - Week of May 21st 🔍 Weekly Highlights ### ✅ Euro Investment Grade - Strong Demand - +2.1bn net inflows (0.6% of AUM) - ETFs attracted 772M 📈 - Short duration funds: +655M ### 📉 Sterling Investment Grade - Outflows Continue - -147M outflows (0.4% of AUM) - Negative trend persists ### 🚀 European High Yield - Impressive Comeback - +940M inflows (1.1% of AUM) - HY ETFs: +132M - Short duration HY: +175M ### 💪 Strategic Funds - Solid Performance - +880M inflows (0.4% of AUM) - Sub financials/hybrids: +335M ## 📈"
X Link 2025-05-23T09:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"European Credit Fund Flows - Week ending June [--] 📊 📈 INFLOWS DOMINATED: Euro IG: +998mm (0.3% AUM) 💪 European HY: +480mm (0.5% AUM) 🔥 Strategic funds: +342mm (0.2% AUM) ✨ 📉 ONLY OUTFLOW: Sterling IG: -108mm (0.3% AUM) 🏆 YTD [----] WINNERS: Euro IG leading with 11.1bn inflows Strategic funds +9.7bn HY steady at +1.7bn ⚠ Sterling struggling: -3.3bn YTD outflows 💡 Key insight: ETFs & short duration funds driving much of the Euro IG demand #CreditMarkets #BondFunds #EuropeanCredit #FixedIncome"
X Link 2025-06-06T08:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@JePreferEnRire Exotic Equity derivatives trader chez Goldman Sachs 📈"
X Link 2025-07-27T07:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"EUR HY Primary: Post-summer momentum maintained [--] well-known issuers priced 4bn last week. French issuers led with Rexel (400M @ 4.00%) Iliad (600M @ 4.25%) & Forvia (600M @ 5.375%) - all tightened strongly from IPTs 🥐📊"
X Link 2025-09-09T20:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🏆 Deal of the week: Iron Mountain DOUBLED sizing to 1.2bn (from 750M initial) on 8.4NC3 @ 4.75%. When demand explodes issuers capitalize Perfect example of opportunistic market timing ⚡"
X Link 2025-09-09T20:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📐 IG curves ultra-flat: 10Y/30Y gap only 14bp vs 41bp avg since [----]. "Flattest levels on record" per brokers. Fed cuts = steeper Treasury curve = flatter IG spread curves (Chart: HY Refinancing Premium Collapses) 🎯"
X Link 2025-09-09T20:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🔥 Perfect credit storm: Low supply vs demand better cash flow visibility low equity vol solid earnings minimal defaults slower (not recessionary) US growth. The party continues. for now 🎉📊"
X Link 2025-09-09T20:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"What else can you invest in Credit world 💸 US Exceptionalism trade is back. Data remains solid dovish pivot slowing down but not recessionary solid US stock markets keep money afloat. 📈Prefer the Reverse Yankees Where are the cheap to domiciled peers They screen cheap in the utility and services sectors (chart) They screen high to spreads for the rest of the sector coupled with spread differentials that are high relative to history"
X Link 2025-09-10T11:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"#ECB kept rates unch yesterday and most economists expect it to remain unch until the end of the year while #Fed is largely expected to cut rates next week. Even more as some economists expect Fed to cut interest rates at [--] consecutive meetings through January as slowing inflation and a weakening labor market enable the central bank to quicken the pace of easing. But What happens for Credit if the Fed cuts but the ECB doesnt 🧵"
X Link 2025-09-12T14:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📊 Inversion intensity: $LVMH [----] bond traded +20-60bp above sovereign in [----] now -7bp below - widest gap since issuance 80+ eurozone companies trading below French sovereign yields. "Trading more like emerging market" where this is common 💫"
X Link 2025-09-14T17:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Wow another strong perf in Credit 📈 Why a thread🧵 Euro credit rallied strongly this week (IG -4bp HY -6bp) as weaker US jobs data sparked Fed easing bets. Market pricing 70bp cuts by year-end. Investors following the "2019 gameplan" - mid-cycle dip into central bank stimulus igniting risk rally - Chart 📈"
X Link 2025-09-15T17:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🔮 Supply outlook mixed: September could hit 4.4bn HY historical average vs dismal August (900m gross). $IronMountain upsized 1.2bn $Ziggo $Inpost and $Evoke IG currently at 25bn but may fall short of usual 60bn Sep average. HY pipeline busy with [--] issuers in market IG seeing typical pre-ECB meeting lull 📊"
X Link 2025-09-15T17:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"🎯 Dots show clear path: [----] dot down 30bp to 3.6% (signals 25bp cuts at Oct/Dec meetings) [----] down 20bp to 3.4% (just one cut next year vs Street pricing 2.9%). [----] dot at 3.1% suggests neutral rate by end-2027. One dovish dissent (Miran wanted 50bp)"
X Link 2025-09-17T19:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📈 Economic estimates turn hawkish: GDP higher for '25/'26/'27 unemployment rate ticks down for '26/'27 both headline and core PCE move up for '26. Interesting disconnect between dovish policy rhetoric and hawkish economic projections - feels like political influence creeping into monetary policy tbh USD didn't like the dovishness but enjoyed the part on inflation (chart)"
X Link 2025-09-17T19:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🎯 But here's what I find interesting - as the cutting cycle matures in [----] both yield levels (lower) and yield risks (more two-sided) move against credit demand. The current goldilocks setup shouldn't last forever imo ⚠ #CreditMarkets"
X Link 2025-09-17T20:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🌍 Two key offsets: 1) Steeper yield curve makes USD IG attractive to foreign investors again. EUR/JPY hedged yields should exceed local yields by [----] 🔄 Chart: FX hedging costs declining chart + USD vs EUR/JPY yield pickup projections"
X Link 2025-09-17T20:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"💰 2) Money market fund exodus. Historical trigger: 3M bills 2% + 2s10s 150bp. Market pricing Fed to high 2s next year could finally push MMF assets (now $7tr vs $3tr in 2019) into longer duration 📉 Chart : MMF assets over time + historical outflow triggers chart. #MoneyMarkets"
X Link 2025-09-17T20:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📈 I love the [----] playbook example. You think lower yield are bad for IG spreads usually yes especially on this kind of valuations but during the last Fed cutting cycle US 10Y dropped 100bp and IG spreads tightened despite lower yields. Trade war was the only spread weakness periods. #CreditSpreads Technicals stayed strong and IG outperformed HY Exhibit: [----] cutting cycle timeline ✅"
X Link 2025-09-17T20:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"An example of Credit markets doing extremely (too) well. RCI Banque crushed it with their debut AT1 7.4bn of demand for a 400m deal (18x covered) 🤯 Priced at 6.125% (tightened from 6.75% IPT) this PerpNC5.5 will reset at 5Y MS+383.9 if not called in [----]. Rating: Ba3. We met more than [---] investors over the past two days and not a single one asked about that Yann Passeron head of asset and liability management at RCI Banque said. In [--] years in the markets Ive never seen an order book like this. Very rare for a car financing arm to tap AT1s they nailed the window - allocations were obviously"
X Link 2025-09-17T20:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Why is the ECB turning to Wall Street to unwind its mistakes 🤔🧵 1/3 Last week JPMorgan helped it quietly place up to 200m of Worldline bonds once part of the CSPP now cut to junk after fraud allegations & revenue warnings with spreads at record wides 📉"
X Link 2025-09-19T06:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Why is the ECB turning to Wall Street to unwind its mistakes 🤔2/3 Instead of holding the Worldline bonds to maturity (as it can with fallen angels) the ECB tapped JPMs HY desk to drip-feed the paper to funds. The sales pushed prices lower showing how fragile liquidity gets when central banks dump riskier credits ⚠ Or did $JPM hit the entire street before getting back to the ECB with a very short position 😏 Chart: [----] bonds price move #ECB #Wallstreet"
X Link 2025-09-19T06:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Why is the ECB turning to Wall Street to unwind its mistakes 🤔 3/3 Still strange to see a US bank unwinding a core euro policy-era portfolio from the EUROPEAN Central Bank. Worldline shares have fallen sharply since peaking in early [----] taking its market capitalisation down from almost 23bn to about 740mn currently - Chart. Bonds have been doing the same.📉 Maybe EU banks lacked risk appetite or balance sheet to warehouse the risk but its not a great look that the ECB had to call in Wall Street muscle 🧐 #Credit #ECB"
X Link 2025-09-19T06:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2/ AI-linked names have been on fire 🔥 but the cracks are showing: 🚨 Weak ROI so far 💸 Mountains of cash burned on compute infra 📉 Valuations stretched to the limit Still the sector gets bombarded with bullish headlines every day making it tough to bet against"
X Link 2025-09-21T16:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"3/ Just on Friday: OpenAI reportedly eyeing $450B spend over [--] yrs on compute 🖥 Musks xAI raising at $200B valuation 🚀 Oracle locking in a $20B AI compute deal w/ Meta 🤯 Hard to fade that kind of flow of news even if fundamentals look shaky"
X Link 2025-09-21T16:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"5/ And dont forget: govt shutdown odds on 10/1 are climbing . Markets mostly shrug it off (who cares) since its not a full shutdown and a deal is within reach. But it adds one more distraction to an already noisy tape"
X Link 2025-09-21T16:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"6/ This weeks 🔑 focus = AI earnings. Micron: sentiment sky-high after Broadcom & Oracle blowouts 📈 Jabil: another beneficiary of the AI boom Accenture: viewed as at risk from AI disruption Macro matters (Fridays PCE 🧾) but the real test is Sept data esp. jobs on 10/3. Until then AI mania 🚀 vs. gravity ⚖"
X Link 2025-09-21T16:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Credit France being the only resilient asset compared to French equities French rates and the rest #France Is Replacing #Italy as Europes Poster Child of Fiscal Woe Bloomberg https://t.co/u7J9DGNtxX https://t.co/97YT4xNQds https://t.co/2LxMmyGbvJ #France Is Replacing #Italy as Europes Poster Child of Fiscal Woe Bloomberg https://t.co/u7J9DGNtxX https://t.co/97YT4xNQds https://t.co/2LxMmyGbvJ"
X Link 2025-09-23T10:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"4/ CLO dynamics matter too 📊: CLOs account for 80% of demand in Europe vs 70% in the US. Euro CLOs hold 5.7% of assets rated Caa1 or lower vs 4.4% for US CLOs. That concentration + three years of downgrades are pressuring weaker loans creating technical headwinds but also potential opportunities for unconstrained buyers 🏦"
X Link 2025-09-25T17:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"5/ Fundamentals though still favor Europe 💪: Default rates remain lower (0.7% EU vs 1.2% US excl. distressed exchanges). Even with more lower-rated paper credit quality has stabilized as new issuance grows. Its a story of better fundamentals but riskier mix which could matter if volatility returns"
X Link 2025-09-25T17:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"And BofA latest fund managers says 90% of them think US equities are overvalued but what can go wrong 🤷 P/E for [--] largest names in S&P [---] has surged this year from a low of [--] to [----] now https://t.co/kx7f9rr37b P/E for [--] largest names in S&P [---] has surged this year from a low of [--] to [----] now https://t.co/kx7f9rr37b"
X Link 2025-09-25T19:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Chill Bro Everyone stressing about Fed cutting rates in a bull market.You think it's rare 📊 it's actually the norm Since 1980: Fed cut rates [--] times with S&P at/near all-time highs. Results 17/22 times stocks were higher [--] months later (median +3.9%) 15/22 times higher after [--] months (+3.3%). Chart shows this isn't as risky as people think #FedPolicy"
X Link 2025-09-26T08:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Look at the adoption curve (chart 2) 📈 ChatGPT hit 100M users faster than ANY app in history. Companies using AI report 40% productivity boosts. Yet most professionals are still sending emails like it's [----] 🙄 #Productivity #AIRevolution"
X Link 2025-09-30T17:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Look at the adoption curve (chart 2) 📈 ChatGPT hit 100M users faster than ANY app in history. Companies using AI report 40% productivity boosts. Yet most professionals are still sending emails like it's [----] 🙄 #Productivity #AIRevolution"
X Link 2025-09-30T17:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2/ Demand is still solid 💶 IG funds saw 7th consecutive week of inflows while HY flows flipped positive again. But its worth watching how much of this is passive/momentum-driven vs. conviction. When everyones on the same side of the boat reversals hit harder. 🚤"
X Link 2025-09-30T18:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"3/ On valuations 📉 EUR IG spreads are hovering within 10bp of cycle tights and EUR HY has retraced most of its summer widening. The question isnt whether credit looks rich it does but whether the technical bid can offset limited value left on the table"
X Link 2025-09-30T18:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Hey Credit investors Do you know who are the largest European issuers in Euro See below the largest European issuers in EUR with at least 10bn notional in the iBoxx EUR Corporates benchmark"
X Link 2025-10-02T15:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"❓How can markets be this euphoric and this uneven at the same time Some sectors are at record highs others at multi-decade lows. Big tops and epic flops. Heres what stood out imo 👇 #Markets #Equities #Macro"
X Link 2025-10-15T10:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🚀 Global indices are flying but staples are collapsing. Consumer staple stocks now trade at their lowest level vs. global equities since [----] 😳 A brutal reminder that not all defensives defend. #Equities #SectorRotation #Macro 👉 (chart 9)"
X Link 2025-10-15T10:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"🏠 UK homebuilders are also deep in the doldrums weakest vs. the FTSE since [----]. Rates may be falling but affordability and political uncertainty still weigh. Not exactly a soft landing story. #UK #Housing #Equities"
X Link 2025-10-15T10:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"👟 Meanwhile corporate hierarchy is shifting fast: Santanders market cap Nikes. Let that sink in. The new cycle seems to reward leverage not lifestyle. #Equities #Banks #Rotation 👉 (chart 11)"
X Link 2025-10-15T10:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📈 BlackRockhad predicted a market rotation into credit. Its ETF credit are set for their biggest ever Jan inflows 🔸 iShares iBoxx $IG corp ETF together with itsHY equiv have seen inflows of $5.6bn. 🔸 Its equiv -denom indexeshave seen a combined +1.7bio in Jan"
X Link 2023-01-30T22:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Credit IG - Primary & New Issue: Some interesting numbers - A thread🔽"
X Link 2023-01-31T23:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"📉 The Busiest month on record for Europes primary market ended softly. 💰In total it's 282.7bio new issue YTD +24% on last 12m with a soft Tuesday (just ahead of the ECB/Fed/Euro area CPI & more potential catalysts 💥)"
X Link 2023-01-31T23:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Russian rouble hits 15-month low after Wagner mutiny Revenues from Russias main exports oil and gas fell by a quarter year on year in June. Total energy revenues accumulated since the beginning of [----] decreased by almost a half to Rbs3.38tn ($37bn) https://on.ft.com/3JIAR9K https://on.ft.com/3JIAR9K"
X Link 2023-07-07T10:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

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