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@VivekVRao1 Avatar @VivekVRao1 Vivek V Rao

Vivek V Rao posts on X about stocks, fed, prediction, help the the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXX #

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Social category influence finance XXXXX% stocks XXXXX%

Social topic influence stocks #5105, fed 2.86%, prediction 2.86%, help the 2.86%, game of 2.86%, derek 2.86%, rates 2.86%, over the 2.86%, earning 2.86%, sentiment XXXX%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @krisabdelmessih @quantarb @grok @investgcm @juniperviews @cliffordasness @domicrypt92 @michaellistman @reformedtrader @investingidiocy @cds949 @worstcontrarian @squeezemetrics @saeedamenfx @deutschebank @quantstrats @danw_trades @moreproteinbars @g3ni3swish @sdav1986

Top Social Posts #

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Prediction Markets Can Help the Fed Solve Its Data Problem by Derek Horstmeyer "Typically the Fed plays a game of back and forth with investors simultaneously guiding them on where they see rates going but also listening to investors on what their expectations are. If data isnt reliable at the Fed level it might be better to lean more into listening more to investors to hear what they have to say. Here is where prediction markets and futures markets come into play. Via these markets investors can place wagers on where they see the economy going in terms of gross domestic product inflation and"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-10-14T23:48Z 2648 followers, 62K engagements

"If you own a corporate bond fund consider replacing it with a Treasury bond fund since yield spreads are very tight. Note that the interest of Treasuries but not corporates is exempt from state income tax. "Among U.S. corporate bonds rated AAA two in the main index currently trade a little below the equivalent yield on Treasurys known as a negative spread. This is extremely unusual both because companies are in principle much more likely to default than the government that can tax them and because the corporate bonds are harder to trade so should yield a little more to compensate buyers for"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-09-28T13:53Z 2648 followers, 1701 engagements

"DFUS which is actively managed but has an expense ratio of only XXXX% is an alternative to VTI the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-09-25T15:13Z 2648 followers, 1153 engagements

"Although the low-volatility factor has worked over long periods Swedroe notes that "As of the end June 2025 Morningstar reports that Invescos S&P XXX Low Volatility ETF (SPLV)a single factor strategy that tracks the S&P XXX Low Volatility Index (the XXX stocks from the S&P XXX with the lowest realized volatility over the past XX months)had a P/E ratio of XXXX virtually the same as that of Vanguards XXX ETF (VOO). Low volatility is not in the value regime where it has provided portfolio benefits. The P/E ratio of Dimensionals Large Value ETF (DFLV) was just 14.2.""
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-09-30T17:50Z 2645 followers, 1581 engagements

"Brian Chingono of Verdad finds that extreme concentration increases risk and decreases expected return in simulations and empirical fund performance"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-09-15T13:16Z 2647 followers, XXX engagements

""Autocallables are the driving force behind an ongoing boom in structured notes which are increasingly in demand from wealthy American investors often as a way to keep earning good returns while limiting potential downside. But the strategies werent available in ETF form until this year when Calamos launched a fund based on notes tied to broad indexes. GraniteShares will go a step further by targeting autocallables on individual names. Thats a thriving part of the structured-product ecosystem where many notes have been written on the Magnificent Seven stocks in particular. The planned ETFs"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-10-13T19:47Z 2638 followers, 7269 engagements

"Jim Paulsen says current low values of the San Franciso Federal Reserves Daily News Economic Sentiment Index (DNSI) are bullish for stocks. DNSI historical data through Oct XX is at as is Python code to compute it"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-10-16T13:38Z 2648 followers, XXX engagements

"The JPMorgan quarterly Guide to the Markets is informative. Predicted 1-year and 5-year returns for SPX are about X% and X% based on the forward P/E of XXXX. Profit margins of XXXX% are near a record high. Top XX companies are XXXX% of the index a record high. The P/Es of the Russell 1000 value and growth are XXXX and XXXX vs. XXXX and XXXX historical averages so valuation dispersion is larger than usual. XX% of companies in the Russell 2000 are unprofitable. Investment grade and high yield spreads are near record tights. Projected annualized 5-year returns on the Bloomberg Aggregate Bond"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-10-03T19:03Z 2636 followers, 2070 engagements

"Leveraged ETFs have embedded daily put options since long investors can "only" lose XXX% of their money. If you want to short VIX futures through an ETP a long SVIX position has this embedded put but shorting VXX does not. If you assume log returns of VXX are normally distributed with a daily vol of X% the Black-Scholes value of the embedded put is effectively zero but if you incorporate the positive skew and fat tails of VXX returns the annual value of the daily embedded puts in SVIX (which as the inverse ETF has negative skew) may not be entirely negligible. I'm not saying everyone should"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-10-13T23:07Z 2647 followers, 12.2K engagements

"Understanding Gold by Erb and Harvey. "Using the framework of Erb and Harvey (2013) we show that based on historical analysis when gold hits all-time highs the subsequent multi-year returns are low or negative. This needs to be weighed against both gold hedging ability i.e. hedging assets have low expected returns and the possibility of increased demand from de-dollarizing countries institutional investors and commercial banks." Harvey has another new paper Gold and Bitcoin "Bitcoin is often viewed as a potential competitor to gold as a safe-haven asset. But is it While gold and bitcoin share"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-10-06T12:20Z 2627 followers, 1021 engagements

"'Millennium Management Citadel and Point72 Asset Management arent noted for their charity when dealing with loss-making traders. The outcome is often brutal and swift: Culpable parties are usually shown the door. And yet a fierce talent war between the top hedge funds is demolishing old certainties in this booming $XXX trillion industry. Winston Cheong David Brodsky Paul Netter and Rob Banham were all leading managers at marquee names offered a stab at redemption after losing tens of millions of dollars. As with elite footballers hitting a rough patch the firms looked at their prior runs of"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-09-10T19:27Z 2646 followers, 5406 engagements

"In the figures of the paper below you can see how S&P XXX option-implied volatility persistence long-run volatility skew and kurtosis have varied over time. In Figure X the implied return distribution has more negative skew and excess kurtosis on a low vol day 07/12/2017 than on a high vol day 03/18/2020 in the pandemic. The implied distribution of variance is much more positively skewed on 7/12/2017 meaning the market priced in some probability of a jump to a higher-volatility state. Local Estimation for Option Pricing: Improving Forecasts with Market State Information by Kim and Oh. "We"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-09-30T12:27Z 2647 followers, 1811 engagements

"@saeedamenfx @DeutscheBank @quantstrats From 2017 there is Volatility Risk Premium: New Dimensions by Natividade and other Deutsche Bank researchers"
X Link @VivekVRao1 2025-10-15T11:57Z 2645 followers, XXX engagements