@TheRealPlanC Avatar @TheRealPlanC Plan C

Plan C posts on X about bitcoin, cycle, in the, business the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence cryptocurrencies 62.7% finance 13.93% exchanges 1.23% automotive brands 1.23% events 0.82% stocks 0.82% technology brands 0.41% social networks 0.41% countries 0.41% currencies 0.41%

Social topic influence bitcoin #3662, cycle #1140, in the 7.38%, business 6.15%, if you 5.33%, math #2292, this is 3.69%, strong 3.69%, end of 3.28%, we are 3.28%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @sminstonwith @dotkrueger @tonyseverinocmt @sminston_with @gmartin_0 @grok @intocryptoverse @mrmpodcast @tomermayara @fiatisf00lsgold @quintenfrancois @stephanlivera @kirkdesoto @therealplanc @sunny051488 @xanderdapenguin @cryptonobler @johnnythevives @decodejar @raoulgmi

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"If people understood this math they would understand the odds of going to $30000 are near zero. The odds of going even below $50000 are extremely small. 1st Quantile Today April [--] [----] = $53574 Genesis = $58050 Bitcoin Quantile Model How stable is the 1st Quantile floor I did a deep dive. INSANE RESULTS [---] weekly fits over the last [--] years to see how much the slope changed. The answer is essentially zero change for [--] years. The same underlying mathematical pattern that https://t.co/FbjLq2786a Bitcoin Quantile Model How stable is the 1st Quantile floor I did a deep dive. INSANE RESULTS 522"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:59Z 214.4K followers, 85.8K engagements

"The wait is over Introducing. πŸ₯ Bitcoin Quantile Model v2. Youre going to want to bookmark this postand follow for regular model updates. After months of research and development Im very proud of this modelmy flagship quantile framework. Im confident its one of the bestif not the bestlong-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available. As a full-time unpaid Bitcoin researcher Im often asked how people can best support my free content. Simply bookmark repost and comment on my posts :) Thanks for all your continued support PlanC Key Features & Improvements: [--]. Quantile lines never"
X Link 2025-10-15T13:13Z 214.4K followers, 1.1M engagements

"Bitcoin Statistical Framework Not Financial Advice"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:10Z 214.4K followers, 82.4K engagements

"Here is the explain it to me like I am a 13-year-old 🀣"
X Link 2026-02-08T18:53Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Math Models TA $30000 Bitcoin party cancelled. $60000 was a gift. Bitcoin Quantile Model How stable is the 1st Quantile floor I did a deep dive. INSANE RESULTS [---] weekly fits over the last [--] years to see how much the slope changed. The answer is essentially zero change for [--] years. The same underlying mathematical pattern that https://t.co/FbjLq2786a Bitcoin Quantile Model How stable is the 1st Quantile floor I did a deep dive. INSANE RESULTS [---] weekly fits over the last [--] years to see how much the slope changed. The answer is essentially zero change for [--] years. The same underlying"
X Link 2026-02-08T23:31Z 214.4K followers, 30.4K engagements

"More Bitcoin signal bookmark and follow Sminston. Bitcoin vs. Business Cycle. might be worth paying attention to. πŸ” The correlation was locked by [----] and it's been strengthening ever since. This is an overlay of the PMI onto Bitcoin's power law trend for better visualization. (1/2) πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡ https://t.co/WFIZIH1aiE Bitcoin vs. Business Cycle. might be worth paying attention to. πŸ” The correlation was locked by [----] and it's been strengthening ever since. This is an overlay of the PMI onto Bitcoin's power law trend for better visualization. (1/2) πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡ https://t.co/WFIZIH1aiE"
X Link 2026-02-09T18:55Z 214.4K followers, 51.7K engagements

"Bitcoin Uncharted The data-driven weekly Bitcoin show you need to be watching"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:43Z 214.4K followers, 13.3K engagements

"New Bitcoin Uncharted episode is live 🚨 Bitcoin Uncharted: Episode [--] 🚨 @TheRealPlanC @sminston_with and I sat down to ignore the noise and look at the math: πŸ“‰ Navigating Macro Fear πŸ“Š What the Quantile Model really says 🎯 Is the bottom actually in The Entire Bull Run Hinges HereπŸ‘‡ https://t.co/fXAtMkjG5d https://t.co/OXVmaxOmUZ 🚨 Bitcoin Uncharted: Episode [--] 🚨 @TheRealPlanC @sminston_with and I sat down to ignore the noise and look at the math: πŸ“‰ Navigating Macro Fear πŸ“Š What the Quantile Model really says 🎯 Is the bottom actually in The Entire Bull Run Hinges HereπŸ‘‡"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:16Z 214.4K followers, 18.3K engagements

"3 Very Important Years for Bitcoin [----] Year of the ETF [----] Bitcoins quasi-IPO (OGs take profits) [----] the end of the four-year-cycle narrative"
X Link 2025-11-02T15:48Z 214.4K followers, 24.7K engagements

"Important: A question for the Bitcoin bears. How confident are you in the 4-year cycle and that this is just a relief rally You're drawing comparisons to a handful of previous cycles when Bitcoin was retail-driven and the business cycle had already peaked heading into quantitative tightening. None of that applies to where Bitcoin is now. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011477633683591458 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011477633683591458"
X Link 2026-01-14T16:36Z 214.4K followers, 71.2K engagements

"Thanks for voting everyone :) Our new weekly show is called πŸ₯. Bitcoin Uncharted The best weekly Bitcoin charts only [--] minutes. Link below"
X Link 2026-01-17T18:28Z 214.4K followers, 22.3K engagements

"We just finished recording the latest episode of Bitcoin Uncharted. The episode will be out tomorrow. Keep an eye out"
X Link 2026-01-27T15:41Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoin Uncharted. The top weekly Bitcoin charts in [--] minutes. Full episode drops tomorrow πŸ‘€"
X Link 2026-01-27T16:16Z 214.4K followers, 15.3K engagements

"Must read πŸ‘€ Sminston and I just released an article about what drives the Bitcoin cycle backed by strong statistical data. The biggest takeaway for me when Sminston and I did this deep dive was that over the last [--] years a single metric/indicator has explained 51% of the oscillations around the power law trend with a crazy low p-value. The correlation is undeniable and unquestionably a much larger impact and driver than the halving which really was only the main driver for the first few years and first halving. After that the halving passed the baton to the business cycle and other"
X Link 2026-01-28T17:29Z 214.4K followers, 18.6K engagements

"STOP SCROLLING 🚨 Must Bookmark & Read Step 1: If you really want to understand Bitcoin at a deep level with more substance than 99.99% of what you'll find on you will want to bookmark this article and read it in detail. Step 2: Make sure you are following Sminston as this level of detailed Bitcoin analysis is extremely rare. Yes that requires more effort than looking at Bitcoin memes but a lot less effort than doing the deep dive yourself. https://t.co/7yYeBODEas https://t.co/7yYeBODEas"
X Link 2026-01-28T18:25Z 214.4K followers, 120.8K engagements

"So what's going to happen Bitcoin is going to zero against gold 🀣 Clearly gold is in a parabolic run. Parabolas by definition are not sustainable. Gold will come crashing back down to earth and there will be a mean reversion. It's not a matter of if it's a matter of when. The longer gold's parabola continues the higher the probability it breaks down. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016988053408272585 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016988053408272585"
X Link 2026-01-29T21:33Z 214.3K followers, [----] engagements

""The Bitcoin halvings don't matter clearly. It's all the Business Cycle layered on the Power Law. This has been proven by a recent paper by Sminston and Plan C. Which I encourage you to read. Some great statistical analysis." Fred Krueger"
X Link 2026-01-29T23:10Z 214.3K followers, 22.7K engagements

"@FiatisF00lsgold"
X Link 2026-01-30T06:35Z 214.3K followers, [---] engagements

"@sminston_with Claude Opus [---] (Best Consumer LLM Model) With Research Mode & Extended Thinking Mode [---] Sources - [--] Minutes [--] Seconds"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:30Z 214.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Great post by @AndreasSteno πŸ‘ After the recent viral article that Sminston and I shared showing that Bitcoin cycles are most correlated to the Business Cycleand the last [--] years even more so. It clicked for many people how bullish that is considering we are still below [--] on the Index and haven't even started the expansion phase yet. This explains a lot of the false starts this bull run which has left a ton of people baffled and confused. Many have been asking "OK when will the index cross [--] then" Well this prediction chart says very soonmeaning the bottom could be in already or we are most"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:51Z 214.3K followers, [----] engagements

"When everyone in the market thinks something it generally doesn't happen. 82% of you MFers think we're dropping below $80000"
X Link 2026-01-30T19:21Z 214.4K followers, 60K engagements

"I ran two very telling polls over the last [--] hours. Clearly sentiment was nearing rock-bottom levels. 82% of people were calling for sub-$80k and 50% calling for sub-$70k while at the same time the majority of people said the current market was worse than the FTX/Luna collapse which coincided with the last bear market bottom. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017326422218756324 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017326422218756324"
X Link 2026-01-30T19:57Z 214.4K followers, 12.8K engagements

"You won't be able to claim we didn't try our hardest to warn everyone. Bitcoin's redemption is coming very soon. Chicago PMI came in at [--] ISM shows the US business cycle Above [--] = expansion Below [--] = contraction Every major Bitcoin bull market aligned with ISM turning up Not a [--] year cycle https://t.co/TGKiDI7KiH Chicago PMI came in at [--] ISM shows the US business cycle Above [--] = expansion Below [--] = contraction Every major Bitcoin bull market aligned with ISM turning up Not a [--] year cycle https://t.co/TGKiDI7KiH"
X Link 2026-01-31T03:34Z 214.4K followers, 86K engagements

"Bitcoin community intelligence test: What are the Bitcoin cycles most correlated with Bitcoin Halving Business Cycle Bitcoin Halving Business Cycle"
X Link 2026-01-31T04:52Z 214.3K followers, 19.9K engagements

"@Grok what is your vote. Make sure you read this article before answering https://x.com/i/status/2016556592561574118 https://t.co/7yYeBODEas https://x.com/i/status/2016556592561574118 https://t.co/7yYeBODEas"
X Link 2026-01-31T05:16Z 214.3K followers, 17.6K engagements

"@TonySeverinoCMT I have had a large following on X for too long to care what people think. Glad we had this productive conversation. 🀣 Me looking at the Bitcoin price right now"
X Link 2026-01-31T16:29Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Bitcoin: This reminds me of the. [----] bear market capitulation low. March [----] capitulation low. FTX/Luna capitulation low. I was here for all [--]. There is a decent chance we are going through another major capitulation low as we speak. It seems like the ultimate low will be between $75000 and $80000. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017644665634181126 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017644665634181126"
X Link 2026-01-31T17:02Z 214.4K followers, 177.5K engagements

"Bitcoin: Wanted to capitulate at the bottom Today's your lucky day"
X Link 2026-01-31T17:26Z 214.4K followers, 32.5K engagements

"@QuintenFrancois Different type of pain but relatively similar. That said I can see the argument for worse"
X Link 2026-01-31T17:33Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@sunny051488 If we get there but yes I agree"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:40Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"It's more of a feeling. It's the same every time for me. I have very strong conviction and I am a long-term investor but these rollercoaster-like feelings in my gut I have had just a handful of times since I got in the space in early [----]. This is one just triggered when we broke 80k. If you guys are being honest you know what I am talking about and can relate. And it has nothing to do with conviction or lack of because that is cemented for me through logic math etc. and that is all in my headbut the gut is different and that is emotional so it's simply a good data point. Unfortunately some"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:56Z 214.4K followers, 16.1K engagements

"@binance No bias here. 🀣"
X Link 2026-01-31T20:13Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Anyone else that has been here for all [--] have any thoughts. Bitcoin: This reminds me of the. [----] bear market capitulation low. March [----] capitulation low. FTX/Luna capitulation low. I was here for all [--]. There is a decent chance we are going through another major capitulation low as we speak. It seems like the ultimate low Bitcoin: This reminds me of the. [----] bear market capitulation low. March [----] capitulation low. FTX/Luna capitulation low. I was here for all [--]. There is a decent chance we are going through another major capitulation low as we speak. It seems like the ultimate low"
X Link 2026-01-31T21:50Z 214.4K followers, 54.5K engagements

"@Xanderdapenguin Thanks for commenting. Nice to hear other peoples thoughts on this topic. 🀝"
X Link 2026-01-31T21:56Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"$75000$80000 is a 37% to 40% correction. Decent chance this will be the deepest pullback opportunity this Bitcoin bull run. This is my personal opinion not financial advice"
X Link 2026-01-31T23:49Z 214.4K followers, 121.6K engagements

"@sminston_with Honestly same take. My main remaining question is will the major peak be in [----] or [----]. Lots of time to figure that out still though"
X Link 2026-02-01T01:17Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@CryptoNobler Engagement farming or very low IQ either way unfollow"
X Link 2026-02-01T02:48Z 214.4K followers, 20.7K engagements

"@The_DNice @CryptoNobler πŸ€” You have a point. The issue is that a surprising number of people fall for this misinformation"
X Link 2026-02-01T03:21Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"FYI: 35%-40% corrections are historically not unheard of for a Bitcoin bull run. Also the Binance 'glitch' black swan brought us down much lower than we would have gone otherwise"
X Link 2026-02-01T04:46Z 214.4K followers, 15.7K engagements

"@CryptoTony__ What's your target @CryptoTony__"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:14Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@Cointelegraph Why are you posting such a garbage model It's a bad look"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:23Z 214.4K followers, 13.6K engagements

"Another data point suggesting we're in "rare air" and due for mean reversion soon. With January closing at -10.17% Bitcoin has officially printed its fourth negative month in a row: πŸ“‰ Oct: -3.69% πŸ“‰ Nov: -17.67% πŸ“‰ Dec: -2.97% πŸ“‰ Jan: -10.17% I don't usually focus on the short term but a bounce feels due. Either way the strategy hasn't changed: keep https://t.co/TaSFrkUG4M With January closing at -10.17% Bitcoin has officially printed its fourth negative month in a row: πŸ“‰ Oct: -3.69% πŸ“‰ Nov: -17.67% πŸ“‰ Dec: -2.97% πŸ“‰ Jan: -10.17% I don't usually focus on the short term but a bounce feels"
X Link 2026-02-01T18:31Z 214.4K followers, 49.8K engagements

"HUGE Jump in the PMI πŸ‘€ Dec [----] βž” Jan [----] Contraction βž” Expansion The January reading marked a dramatic return to expansion after [--] consecutive months of contraction If you read Sminston's and my recent viral article you know that we showed through statistical analysis that the Bitcoin cycle is most correlated to the business cycle. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018358567632302124 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018358567632302124"
X Link 2026-02-02T16:19Z 214.4K followers, 58.4K engagements

"https://x.com/sminston_with/status/2016556592561574118s=20 https://t.co/7yYeBODEas https://x.com/sminston_with/status/2016556592561574118s=20 https://t.co/7yYeBODEas"
X Link 2026-02-02T16:22Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@johnnythevives M2 was never backed by real statistical analysisonly overfitting charts. It was never real. I never once posted a chart about it"
X Link 2026-02-02T16:31Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Correction: The January [----] reading of 52.6% marked a return to expansion after [--] consecutive months of contraction and represents the highest ISM Manufacturing PMI since August [----]. The 10-month contraction followed a brief 2-month expansion in early [----] that had ended a 26-month contraction streak the longest on record. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018365565627498837 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018365565627498837"
X Link 2026-02-02T16:47Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Highest ISM Manufacturing PMI since August [----]. If you've read Sminston's and my latest article you know how huge this is. Make sure you're following us both. More important Bitcoin articles coming soon. The ISM PMI has been slowly trending up for the past [--] years and just JUMPED to a whopping 52.6%. πŸ”₯ Once PMI climbs to these levels it tends to have momentum. There can be noise with this metric but WATCH [----] for CONTINUED EXPANSION and historically correlated BTC price. https://t.co/OExnsHGVV1 The ISM PMI has been slowly trending up for the past [--] years and just JUMPED to a whopping"
X Link 2026-02-02T16:55Z 214.4K followers, 36K engagements

"ISM Manufacturing PMI: Jan 52.6% ExpansionπŸ’₯ Dec 47.9% Contraction Nov 48.2% Contraction Oct 48.7% Contraction If you don't upgrade your understanding of the Bitcoin cycle from the 4-year halving mirage mindset to a business cycle / macro mindset fast. You will miss the boat completely on the second massive leg of this Bitcoin bull market https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018376355260383613 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018376355260383613"
X Link 2026-02-02T17:29Z 214.4K followers, 74.5K engagements

"Must-read viral article by Sminston With and myself on PMI / Bitcoin. Review it for more context. https://x.com/sminston_with/status/2016556592561574118s=20 https://t.co/7yYeBODEas https://x.com/sminston_with/status/2016556592561574118s=20 https://t.co/7yYeBODEas"
X Link 2026-02-02T17:29Z 214.4K followers, 12.1K engagements

"@sminston_with Highest ISM Manufacturing PMI since August 2022"
X Link 2026-02-02T17:50Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Highest ISM Manufacturing PMI since August [----]. Last time the PMI jumped to [----] from a lower value the Bitcoin bull market top happened less than a year later. HUGE Jump in the PMI πŸ‘€ Dec [----] βž” Jan [----] Contraction βž” Expansion The January reading marked a dramatic return to expansion after [--] consecutive months of contraction If you read Sminston's and my recent viral article you know that we showed through statistical analysis https://t.co/yunIkQ6LpQ HUGE Jump in the PMI πŸ‘€ Dec [----] βž” Jan [----] Contraction βž” Expansion The January reading marked a dramatic return to expansion after 26"
X Link 2026-02-02T18:02Z 214.4K followers, 22.7K engagements

"@sminston_with Holding Bitcoin and not following Sminston is financially irresponsible"
X Link 2026-02-02T19:58Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Study you must young grasshopper πŸ¦— ISM Manufacturing PMI: Jan 52.6% ExpansionπŸ’₯ Dec 47.9% Contraction Nov 48.2% Contraction Oct 48.7% Contraction If you don't upgrade your understanding of the Bitcoin cycle from the 4-year halving mirage mindset to a business cycle / macro mindset fast. You will https://t.co/UwO4JDt6XI ISM Manufacturing PMI: Jan 52.6% ExpansionπŸ’₯ Dec 47.9% Contraction Nov 48.2% Contraction Oct 48.7% Contraction If you don't upgrade your understanding of the Bitcoin cycle from the 4-year halving mirage mindset to a business cycle / macro mindset fast. You will"
X Link 2026-02-02T20:16Z 214.4K followers, 21.5K engagements

"I respect Ben a ton and I think he is one of the very best Bitcoin analysts in the space but he is wrong on this one. The Bitcoin cycles are highly correlated to the business cycle. It's not debatable; that's simply what the math shows. That doesn't mean every single move is lockstep; it's not and it's not the only indicator someone should be using. But is it important Yes. Does it have more statistical and mathematical backing than 90%+ of the metrics and indicators people use for Bitcoin cycles Yes. Is it the be-all and end-all No. Is it an important tool in the toolkit Absolutely"
X Link 2026-02-02T20:46Z 214.4K followers, 14.2K engagements

"I respect Ben a ton and I think he is one of the very best Bitcoin analysts in the space but he is wrong on this one. The Bitcoin cycles are highly correlated to the business cycle. It's not debatable; that's simply what the math shows. That doesn't mean every single move is lockstep; it's not and it's not the only indicator someone should be using. But is it important Yes. Does it have more statistical and mathematical backing than 90%+ of the metrics and indicators people use for Bitcoin cycles Yes. Is it the be-all and end-all No. Is it an important tool in the toolkit Absolutely This year"
X Link 2026-02-02T20:47Z 214.4K followers, 85.6K engagements

"Multiple straw man logical fallacies. Who's saying bet all your money relying on single economic indicators No one is saying that or should ever say that. But you're downplaying its value; it's one of many important metrics and indicators to keep an eye on certainly not the only one. Also who ever said it moves lockstep You don't have to always follow something in every situation but can still be strongly correlated over a dataset. The two are not mutually exclusive. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018427993786626158 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018427993786626158"
X Link 2026-02-02T20:55Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"He uses multiple straw man logical fallacies in his post. Who's saying bet all your money relying on single economic indicators No one is saying that or should ever say that. But you're downplaying its value; it's one of many important metrics and indicators to keep an eye on certainly not the only one. Also who ever said it moves lockstep You don't have to always follow something in every situation but can still be strongly correlated over a dataset. The two are not mutually exclusive. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018428374989885585 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018428374989885585"
X Link 2026-02-02T20:56Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

""ISM is not a 1:1 indicator for Bitcoin." Strawman logical fallacy nobody is claiming it is. Bitcoin cycles are highly correlated to the business cycle. It's not debatable; that's simply what the math shows. That doesn't mean every single move is lockstepit's not and it's not the only indicator someone should be using. But is it important Yes. Does it have more statistical and mathematical backing than 90%+ of the metrics and indicators people use for Bitcoin cycles Yes. Is it the be-all and end-all No. Is it an important tool in the toolkit Absolutely."
X Link 2026-02-03T00:40Z 214.4K followers, 18.8K engagements

"Thanks for your response and I agree with the cautionary sentiment of the post. I appreciate you looking at both sides of the ISM coin. My only issue is downplaying its correlation or claiming that people are saying it moves in lockstep. It can be highly correlated without moving in lockstep as the two are not mutually exclusive. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018488199400604149 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018488199400604149"
X Link 2026-02-03T00:54Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@dotkrueger πŸ’―"
X Link 2026-02-03T02:00Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@decodejar Great call sir"
X Link 2026-02-03T02:33Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@dotkrueger @sminston_with Perfectly said Fred and I couldn't agree more. Well-vetted statistical/math models are for real investing edge/alpha and TA is for illusory trading 'edge' (gambling). Thanks for the shout-out"
X Link 2026-02-03T03:33Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Perfectly said and I couldn't agree more. Well-vetted statistical/math models are for real investing edge/alpha and TA is for illusory trading 'edge' (gambling). Statistical truths Charts The power law is it is purely statistical. Bitcoin statistically is growing like a power law with [---] power and 96% R2. Addresses are statistically power laws with 98% R2. So is hash rate. New research shows residuals corelate to ISM (@sminston_with Statistical truths Charts The power law is it is purely statistical. Bitcoin statistically is growing like a power law with [---] power and 96% R2. Addresses are"
X Link 2026-02-03T03:34Z 214.4K followers, 16.5K engagements

"@intocryptoverse The correlation started around the second halving so around [----]. Anything before that is meaningless to compare as the market was retail-speculative driven. We cover that in our article. https://x.com/sminston_with/status/2016556592561574118s=20 https://t.co/7yYeBODEas https://x.com/sminston_with/status/2016556592561574118s=20 https://t.co/7yYeBODEas"
X Link 2026-02-03T03:46Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"The correlation started before the second halving so around early [----]. Anything before that is meaningless to compare as the market was retail-speculative driven. So his point about [----] is null and void. We cover that in our article. This year there has been a strong pivot to using the ISM to predict where the price of Bitcoin will go especially after many of the supercycle narratives coming into this year seem to have failed. I want to show a clear example of why the ISM does not necessarily have to This year there has been a strong pivot to using the ISM to predict where the price of"
X Link 2026-02-03T03:49Z 214.4K followers, 150.6K engagements

"@RaoulGMI Have you read ours https://x.com/sminston_with/status/2016556592561574118s=20 https://t.co/7yYeBODEas https://x.com/sminston_with/status/2016556592561574118s=20 https://t.co/7yYeBODEas"
X Link 2026-02-03T04:46Z 214.4K followers, 23.3K engagements

"I am. Been ready. You might not be ready for what comes next. https://t.co/h4JYvj5c99 You might not be ready for what comes next. https://t.co/h4JYvj5c99"
X Link 2026-02-03T06:33Z 214.4K followers, 76.7K engagements

"Highly recommend following @decodejar Great account"
X Link 2026-02-03T06:47Z 214.4K followers, 11K engagements

"PMI Data (Business Cycle) for Bitcoin is. Signal Noise Signal Noise"
X Link 2026-02-03T06:53Z 214.4K followers, 11.1K engagements

"PMI is the talk of the town today. What's your opinion"
X Link 2026-02-03T07:15Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Anyone who has followed my content on or listened to my interviews knows I have never promoted trading Bitcoin. I've made that abundantly clear. So there is no cliff to walk off of for anyone who follows my content. As a long-term investor my passion has always been to quantify the underlying patterns Bitcoin follows and share a reasonable long-term trajectory based on math statistics and correlations. I'm really a Bitcoin data nerd at heart. I've never been shy about sharing my opinions on and I've had my share of wins and losses with short-term predictions. I clearly got the specific timing"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:42Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Anyone who has followed my content on or listened to my interviews knows I have never promoted trading Bitcoin. I've made that abundantly clear. So there is no cliff to walk off of for anyone who follows my content. As a long-term investor my passion has always been to quantify the underlying patterns Bitcoin follows and share a reasonable long-term trajectory based on math statistics and correlations. I'm really a Bitcoin data nerd at heart. I've never been shy about sharing my opinions on and I've had my share of wins and losses with short-term predictions. I clearly got the specific timing"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:47Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@brunnyfor3 @TonySeverinoCMT Exactly. Everyone turns on everyone in an attempt for engagement. But it exposes who has class and who doesn't"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:49Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"New Bitcoin Uncharted Tomorrow Blood🩸 or Sun 🌞 We show up either way"
X Link 2026-02-03T22:07Z 214.4K followers, 19.5K engagements

"Bitcoin Uncharted - New Episode Dropped 🚨 Bitcoin Uncharted: Episode [--] 🚨 @TheRealPlanC @sminston_with and I sat down to ignore the noise and look at the math: πŸ“‰ Is the bull run actually over 🌍 Navigating this specific Macro Fear ⚑ What the Quantile Model says about the $75k floor Don't miss it πŸ‘‡ https://t.co/97eh5Xmqx0 🚨 Bitcoin Uncharted: Episode [--] 🚨 @TheRealPlanC @sminston_with and I sat down to ignore the noise and look at the math: πŸ“‰ Is the bull run actually over 🌍 Navigating this specific Macro Fear ⚑ What the Quantile Model says about the $75k floor Don't miss it πŸ‘‡"
X Link 2026-02-04T23:07Z 214.4K followers, 23.1K engagements

"@JesseOlson @SamDejahVu I never said that"
X Link 2026-02-05T19:10Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"If the weekly RSI were closing right now it would tie the lowest it's been in Bitcoin's history. The 200-week SMA is at $58000 and the 1st quantile in my Bitcoin Quantile Model is at $54000 to $58000 depending on whether you use the genesis block as your start point or a later date. At the risk of being wrong again all signs point to the bottom being very near. Having said that there is a lot of momentum behind this capitulation and surprisingly no level is even putting up much of a fight. It seems everyone wants out. For transparency I have not sold any Bitcoin and have zero plans of selling"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:23Z 214.4K followers, 51.2K engagements

"@TonySeverinoCMT It's normal to go this low on the model happened multiple times before and not surprising. The 1st Quantile is around $54000"
X Link 2026-02-05T23:06Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@polonftees Thanks for adding respectfully 🀝🀣"
X Link 2026-02-05T23:09Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@GMartin_0 It's the same model. Not sure what you are talking about"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:14Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"I still have that design. Just want to highlight the bottom right now. I'm also doing a lot of research. Recently I've been exploring the idea that modeling from the genesis block is actually not the right way to do it. Article coming soon. I'm doing heavy research around Time=0 and whether it really should be genesis. Everyone assumes it should be but I'm not convinced and am digging in deep to see if it's supported by the data or not. Running tons of statistical tests. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019585323605561769 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019585323605561769"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:33Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/2019579476741615990s=20 Bitcoin Statistical Framework Not Financial Advice https://t.co/qfTV0rWEYF https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/2019579476741615990s=20 Bitcoin Statistical Framework Not Financial Advice https://t.co/qfTV0rWEYF"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:38Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@Shan_Specter Yes"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:42Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@bensiepel 🀝"
X Link 2026-02-06T02:28Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Quantile low of 4/100 today @ $60000 Bitcoin Statistical Framework Not Financial Advice https://t.co/qfTV0rWEYF Bitcoin Statistical Framework Not Financial Advice https://t.co/qfTV0rWEYF"
X Link 2026-02-06T02:55Z 214.4K followers, 28.5K engagements

"I agree the exact number can't be known. But that doesn't matter. That is why it's called estimated cost of production. It really should be a range. Either way it has worked well as a support model. Just take the number and times by [----] to [----] $57000 to $77000. There is a number that exists even if it's an unknowable number. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019792040855511138 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019792040855511138"
X Link 2026-02-06T15:15Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@Astropin You can make it a range if you want $57000 to $77000 by timing the number by [----] and [----]. https://x.com/paulewaulpaul/status/1576692602690498563s=20 Hi for anyone who is interested. #Bitcoin I just published Bitcoin: Difficulty per Issuance A PoW Pricing Model https://t.co/ccdahtfAQS https://x.com/paulewaulpaul/status/1576692602690498563s=20 Hi for anyone who is interested. #Bitcoin I just published Bitcoin: Difficulty per Issuance A PoW Pricing Model https://t.co/ccdahtfAQS"
X Link 2026-02-06T15:17Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@Cryptollica It's the same model. Glassnode added Paul's model to their site. I don't know if Glassnode has the latest version though. I took these images from Paul directly"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:56Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Shout out to @paulewaulpaul for creating this chart. Make sure you give him a follow he does unique and great work"
X Link 2026-02-06T18:39Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@LauNostReport @stephanlivera Right and there are some with way higher costs and that is why it's the estimated average"
X Link 2026-02-06T18:41Z 214.4K followers, [--] engagements

"@lambda685 I created it"
X Link 2026-02-06T19:13Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@dotkrueger An absolute must follow πŸ’―"
X Link 2026-02-06T19:44Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@FiatisF00lsgold"
X Link 2026-02-06T20:31Z 214.3K followers, [---] engagements

"@notanotherquant I don't disagree but I still think the recovery will be faster than people think and everything I mentioned above is worth considering and still in play"
X Link 2026-02-06T20:46Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@dotkrueger Someone had to say it"
X Link 2026-02-06T21:16Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@quinby_john Off by $15k to $20k yes"
X Link 2026-02-07T00:03Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@dafrog78530286 80% chance it's in"
X Link 2026-02-07T00:03Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@RichardDetente I don't disagree with what your saying however why has this metric worked so well to approximate the bottoms then Example the charts"
X Link 2026-02-07T13:26Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@boomer_btc @DJ69_Port @stephanlivera Thanks for your response Bob. You must be below the average though correct What would you say the estimated global average cost of production would be if you had to guess Does $67000 seem high or low"
X Link 2026-02-07T13:49Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@sminston_with Exactly"
X Link 2026-02-07T19:40Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@sminston_with Thanks brother 🀝"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:40Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@luisgarcia As of today. April [--] [----] = $53574 Genesis = $58050"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:40Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@sminston_with @MrMPodcast Yes let's do it"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:49Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@sminston_with Thanks for sharing Looking forward to discussing this on our show this week"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:54Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@tomermayara If we drop significantly below the 1st Quantile floor and stay there for a sustained period of time and the R drops below 0.90"
X Link 2026-02-08T17:05Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@DesirerOf This comment will not age well. Let's see: emotional commentor or deep-dive math research πŸ€”"
X Link 2026-02-08T17:08Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@tomermayara No. A month below $50000. A week below $40000. A few days below $30000"
X Link 2026-02-08T18:44Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@PSeitz7 Thanks Paul 🀝"
X Link 2026-02-08T18:44Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@SonnysCrib Fair points 🀝"
X Link 2026-02-08T19:41Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@dotkrueger The 5th quantile is also very stable"
X Link 2026-02-08T19:47Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@dotkrueger You guys are machines love this"
X Link 2026-02-08T20:00Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@dlllllllllllI All three are clustered within $1251 of each other. The absolute floor is converging around $52-53k regardless of how extreme you go. For me the floor is [---] Quantile going to [----] Quantile is just silly"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:40Z 214.4K followers, [--] engagements

"@GordonGekko Chart Credit @sminston_with A Must-Follow Bitcoin Analyst"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:32Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@sminston_with @MrMPodcast Amazing image love this"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:56Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

""The problem is: what drives what" Well clearly Gio Bitcoin doesn't drive the business cycle. No idea what you are talking about. When you've identified a clear statistical correlation between two variables backed by a reasonable and logical mechanism there are many well-established tools to quantify and project that relationship"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:13Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@farnyfarns @Giovann35084111 Funny because it's the opposite. "making half baked guesses." - Gio"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:11Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@TonySeverinoCMT 🀣"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:45Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@SachinSuri81 @MrMPodcast @sminston_with Thanks :) 🀝 You can think that but it's not true. As of now the Quantile Model is not broken"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:01Z 214.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@BobLoukas @BrokerGuyXBT Everyone is entitled to their own opinion. However dismissing math as silly is itself a silly notion"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:43Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Any Bitcoin bulls left I am feeling lonely these days. (Not really dramatic theatrics)"
X Link 2025-12-23T05:48Z 214.4K followers, 71.5K engagements

"Congratulations If you made it through [----] you made it through the bear market. So we all agree that [----] was a bear market correct"
X Link 2025-12-26T02:58Z 214.4K followers, 377.8K engagements

"Bitcoin: [----] was a. Stealth Bear Market Bull Market Stealth Bear Market Bull Market"
X Link 2025-12-28T11:30Z 214.4K followers, 15.9K engagements

"Was $60000 Bitcoin the low for [----] Yes No Yes No"
X Link 2026-02-06T19:40Z 214.4K followers, 20.3K engagements

"Follow Sminston. Here's the BTC support stats πŸ“Š The drop yesterday swiftly took us below the 3rd %ile just scraping $60k before having a healthy bounce back up to what is now $67.4k almost exactly the 5th %ile. We should keep experiencing greater "strength" of support the lower we go. - https://t.co/wNoELGTaqK Here's the BTC support stats πŸ“Š The drop yesterday swiftly took us below the 3rd %ile just scraping $60k before having a healthy bounce back up to what is now $67.4k almost exactly the 5th %ile. We should keep experiencing greater "strength" of support the lower we go. -"
X Link 2026-02-06T19:52Z 214.4K followers, 81.3K engagements

"Is this bull run over The $60000 low was a 52% correction from the $126000 ATH. In [----] Bitcoin had a similar correction where it dropped 55% during the bull run. This has definitely been a deep correction / short mini bear market. But will we see an extended bear market from here I'm still not convinced that the bull run is over. We had the Binance "glitch" black swan plus a perfect storm of events and FUD plus the self-fulfilling 4-year cycle headwind and the downward momentum that brought. In a lot of ways a quick dump to $60000 and a V-shaped recovery would be the perfect headfake and"
X Link 2026-02-06T20:28Z 214.4K followers, 91.1K engagements

"To be clear this is the estimated average cost of production and there is no way to know the exact number. It's unknowable. However I do think this model is a solid approximation and I think it's safe to say the number is somewhere between $55000 and $75000"
X Link 2026-02-06T20:52Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"To be clear this is the estimated average cost of production and there is no way to know the exact number. It's unknowable. However I do think this model is a solid approximation and I think it's safe to say the number is somewhere between $55000 and $75000. Important: One of the most significant Bitcoin charts you have most likely never seen Notice how many times Bitcoin has found support at this estimated cost of production red line. The line currently sits at $67000. This is not just on-chain datathis is a cost of https://t.co/TgGfyE1szj Important: One of the most significant Bitcoin"
X Link 2026-02-06T20:52Z 214.4K followers, 29.5K engagements

"Yesterday was clearly a blood-in-the-streets day for Bitcoin. We saw a $10000+ daily devil's candle close and had people calling for $10000 to $30000 Bitcoin. All the bears came out of hibernation. I thought the bottom would be between $75000 and $80000 and I was wrong. But I'd rather be the guy who called the bottom a bit prematurely than be one of the many guys calling for $10000 to $40000 and have the actual bottom be $60000. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019893041813688722 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019893041813688722"
X Link 2026-02-06T21:56Z 214.4K followers, 47.7K engagements

"I would say 80% chance the low is in"
X Link 2026-02-06T22:05Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@sminston_with The 4-Year Cycle disciples have us bottoming out at the bottom of the bear market in Q4 of this year. Assuming we see follow-through with PMI I agree with you"
X Link 2026-02-07T18:44Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Here is the explain it to me like I am a 13-year-old 🀣"
X Link 2026-02-08T19:34Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Important: One of the most significant Bitcoin charts you have most likely never seen Notice how many times Bitcoin has found support at this estimated cost of production red line. The line currently sits at $67000. This is not just on-chain datathis is a cost of production model for Bitcoin which is a commodity and commodities almost never trade below their cost of production. Shout out to (@)paulewaulpaul for creating this chart. Make sure you give him a follow; he does unique and great work. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019787562148130954"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:57Z 214.4K followers, 175.3K engagements

"Three converging Bitcoin models. Decent chance $60000 was the low for 2026"
X Link 2026-02-06T19:10Z 214.4K followers, 19.2K engagements

"Bitcoin Quantile Model How stable is the 1st Quantile floor I did a deep dive. INSANE RESULTS [---] weekly fits over the last [--] years to see how much the slope changed. The answer is essentially zero change for [--] years. The same underlying mathematical pattern that defines the Bitcoin Quantile Model lower bounds has been completely stable since [----]. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020529448013947238 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020529448013947238"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:05Z 214.4K followers, 199.1K engagements

"1st Quantile Today April [--] [----] = $53574 Genesis = $58050 I also compared two starting points: the Genesis block the one most people use and Satoshi's birthday April 5th. There is a meaningful difference in the stability. I also tested out-of-sample results using [--] years of training data to predict the last [---] years. April 5th (Satoshi's Birthday) outperformed Genesis by a large margin. By definition this is not curve fitting as I did [--] out-of-sample test splits. I will be putting out an article soon with the full results but it is fascinating."
X Link 2026-02-08T16:35Z 214.4K followers, [----] engagements

"No caption needed. March [----] was the only other time in Bitcoins history when it was this oversold at the bottom of the business cycle. Match + Kindling https://t.co/SXUrGpNlLD March [----] was the only other time in Bitcoins history when it was this oversold at the bottom of the business cycle. Match + Kindling https://t.co/SXUrGpNlLD"
X Link 2026-02-11T02:02Z 214.4K followers, 54K engagements

"RT @dotkrueger: Once again Plan B commits statistical crimes. Difficulty is not exogenous. This account is single handedly responsible fo"
X Link 2026-02-15T04:18Z 214.4K followers, [--] engagements

"Bitcoin Quantile Model How stable is the 1st Quantile floor I did a deep dive. INSANE RESULTS [---] weekly fits over the last [--] years to see how much the slope changed. The answer is essentially zero change for [--] years. The same underlying mathematical pattern that defines the Bitcoin Quantile Model lower bounds has been completely stable since [----]. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020529448013947238 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020529448013947238"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:05Z 214.4K followers, 199.1K engagements

"Another advantage of Bitcoin is that as a holder you dont have to worry about Satoshis wife launching her own coin"
X Link 2025-01-20T05:06Z 214.4K followers, 292.1K engagements

"The wait is over Introducing. πŸ₯ Bitcoin Quantile Model v2. Youre going to want to bookmark this postand follow for regular model updates. After months of research and development Im very proud of this modelmy flagship quantile framework. Im confident its one of the bestif not the bestlong-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available. As a full-time unpaid Bitcoin researcher Im often asked how people can best support my free content. Simply bookmark repost and comment on my posts :) Thanks for all your continued support PlanC Key Features & Improvements: [--]. Quantile lines never"
X Link 2025-10-15T13:13Z 214.4K followers, 1.1M engagements

"We are so early. #Bitcoin Companies (BTC) Apple: [--] NVIDIA: [--] Microsoft: [--] Google: [--] Amazon: [--] Saudi Aramco: [--] Facebook: [--] Tesla: [-----] Berkshire: [--] TSMC: [--] Countries (BTC) United States: [------] China: [------] Germany: [--] Japan: [--] India: [--] United Kingdom: [-----] France: [--] Italy: [--] Canada: [--] Brazil: 0"
X Link 2024-11-18T19:47Z 214.4K followers, 340.9K engagements

"Update 1: #Bitcoin Quantile Model You asked for it and here it is1000 lines of code later πŸ‘‰ Follow for regular updates. As a full-time unpaid Bitcoin researcher Im often asked how people can best support my free content. Its simple: just engage with and share my posts Thank you all for your continued support :) PlanC"
X Link 2025-01-17T17:18Z 214.4K followers, 565.6K engagements

"Bitcoin Quantile Model πŸ‘€ Be sure to click on the image; it contains a ton of details. For regular updates dont forget to follow and turn on notifications. Please share if you found this helpful :)"
X Link 2025-01-28T03:06Z 214.4K followers, 634.1K engagements

"Bitcoin: [--] Bold Predictions Not Financial Advice 1.) Bitcoin will never go below $70000. 2.) 2026's yearly candle will close green. 3.) Jan [--] [----] = $130k to $150k. 4.) We will see $200k+ Bitcoin in [----]. 5.) Everyone who sold in Q4 [----] will FOMO back in Q1 [----] once they realize the 4-year cycle narrative is over"
X Link 2025-11-09T00:35Z 214.4K followers, 562.1K engagements

"Peter Schiff says he will start buying Bitcoin in [----]. Schiffs lawyers have advised him to wait until Bitcoin turns [--] before going all in"
X Link 2025-06-11T01:19Z 214.4K followers, 180K engagements

"One of the few accounts that gets it he has been trying to spread the word for a while. Let's go The record long pre-parabolic phase may finally be nearing its end. https://t.co/BqjEP97LmH The record long pre-parabolic phase may finally be nearing its end. https://t.co/BqjEP97LmH"
X Link 2025-11-13T03:43Z 214.4K followers, 496.1K engagements

"The record long pre-parabolic phase may finally be nearing its end"
X Link 2025-11-12T22:54Z 560.7K followers, 1.5M engagements

"#Bitcoin What do you notice that is different this time"
X Link 2024-11-01T05:39Z 214.4K followers, 404.5K engagements

"It's amusing that people argue this is random. The p-value is so low that it falls below computational limits indicating an "effectively 0%" probability of randomness. #BTC Math represents objective truth. If you want to debate it you need to use mathematical arguments. The "price range" of the #Bitcoin power law is not as wide as some people think or claim. The range is essentially power law support with the potential for temporary deviation to varying degrees above support but in a way that seems to be diminishing over time"
X Link 2024-08-13T17:28Z 214.4K followers, 872.5K engagements

"I'm skeptical that #Bitcoin will be in a bear market in [----] and [----]. I believe theres a decent probability that were entering a 3+ year bull market for Bitcoin with corrections and extended consolidation periods along the way. This could be the curveball where Bitcoin breaks the typical 4-year pattern. MicroStrategys 3-year $42B plan provides early supporting evidence for this thesis"
X Link 2024-10-31T17:17Z 214.4K followers, 409.2K engagements

"Don't trade #Bitcoin https://x.com/heartereum/status/1861330528382619713/video/1 https://x.com/heartereum/status/1861330528382619713/video/1"
X Link 2024-11-27T22:42Z 214.4K followers, 406.9K engagements

"Bitcoin will recover. Your altcoin might not"
X Link 2025-10-11T14:27Z 214.4K followers, 196.9K engagements

"Bitcoin ATH before the end of September"
X Link 2025-09-12T00:08Z 214.4K followers, 330.5K engagements

"Why is Saylor ramping up his #Bitcoin buys Why do I predict hes going to blow his whole $42 billion load before the end of [----] Its not aeronautical or astronautical engineering (Saylor joke); he simply wants to front-run nation-states and he knows his window is closing fast. Expect back-to-back-to-back Saylor announcements throughout [----]. Do you agree or disagree"
X Link 2024-11-19T07:52Z 214.4K followers, 170K engagements

"I just completed coding this in Python and the model now updates automatically every [--] minutes using the Glassnode API. For the rest of the bull run Ill update and share this model at least twice a week. Make sure you're following and have notifications turned on. πŸ”” Important Note: The dollar values reflect the corresponding quantile as of today. Since each quantile value updates every [--] minutes these values will gradually increase over time. However the model can also estimate the probable distribution price range at future points which Ill showcase in upcoming charts"
X Link 2024-10-15T10:28Z 214.4K followers, 188.1K engagements

"The only #Bitcoin channel that matters for long-term investors. Chart covering hourly price data from July [--] [----] to today would involve around [------] data points"
X Link 2024-09-28T00:03Z 214.4K followers, 341.9K engagements

"Just a sneak peek πŸ‘€ Im still refining the layout and will be adding more details to the chart. This will serve as an all-in-one guide for both the short-term and long-term outlooks of the Quantile Bitcoin Model. Which quantile do you think well reachand when If you like it please share πŸ™"
X Link 2025-01-12T08:29Z 214.4K followers, 420.1K engagements

"Below is a list of crypto blue-chip assets. [--]. Bitcoin"
X Link 2025-02-03T04:30Z 214.4K followers, 108.3K engagements

"At $108000 Bitcoin is down 13% from its all-time high. During the [----] bull run Bitcoin frequently dropped around 30% from the highs before continuing upward. Currently over 90% of Bitcoin models indicators and patterns suggest the cycle is not over with new all-time highs likely in the coming four months. There are also strong reasons to believe the cycle could extend into next year. I would not be surprised to see a new all-time high before the end of September"
X Link 2025-08-29T16:21Z 214.4K followers, 260K engagements

"#MSTR is running circles around the miners. They just "mined" [-----] BTC in the last week 🀯 For comparison it would take [---] days for ALL the miners combined to mine [-----] #Bitcoin. Through financial engineering Saylor has become the best BTC minerit's not even close. MSTR is the Bitcoin of the mining space. There is no second-best Bitcoin miner and they already have already won a 90%+ share of the BTC mining space"
X Link 2024-11-18T18:31Z 214.4K followers, 140K engagements

"Why isnt Bitcoin pumping after that MASSIVE Dennis Porter news"
X Link 2025-09-23T16:40Z 214.4K followers, 182.9K engagements

"When you buy #MSTR understand what you are signing up for. A 30% drop in less than [--] hours: from $543 at its peak to $386. If you're looking for a leveraged play on Bitcoin with greater upside potential than Bitcoin itself you must be prepared to endure higher volatility than Bitcoin. I have a feeling that Saylor is selling a lot of sharing gearing up to announce a massive purchase. The mNAV reached 3.5x providing Saylor with a strong incentive to capitalize on this and acquire a significant amount of Bitcoin"
X Link 2024-11-21T20:51Z 214.4K followers, 188.9K engagements

"Michael Saylor laid out a plan to buy $42 billion worth of #Bitcoin over three years. This was a head fake to avoid causing FOMO. In reality his goal is to bring in $42 billion within three months. 🀫🀫🀫"
X Link 2024-11-26T03:15Z 214.4K followers, 125.2K engagements

"#Bitcoin Congratulationsyou survived eight months of consolidation Your reward: $150k to $300k within the next [--] to [--] months"
X Link 2024-10-29T03:15Z 214.4K followers, 49.6K engagements

"I wonder what happens next. Bitcoin"
X Link 2025-03-15T07:27Z 214.4K followers, 379.4K engagements

"For anyone confused Saylor is borrowing Billions of dollars at 0% interest in A (FIat) to buy B (#Bitcoin). A = -10% CAGR (On average) B = 25% to 40% CAGR (2025-2035) Interest Rate = 0% 🀯"
X Link 2024-11-18T23:00Z 214.4K followers, 122.1K engagements

"Update [--] #Bitcoin Probability Model Bitcoin's foundation in mathematical elegance reveals a beauty that guides us toward truth. πŸ‘‰ Follow for regular updates. After 500+ lines of code my first major #BTC model is complete and now auto-updates every [--] minutes. P.S. Im not a coder and have ZERO coding background. As a full-time unpaid Bitcoin researcher I often get asked how people can best support my free content. Simply bookmark repost and comment on my posts :) Thanks for all your continued support PlanC"
X Link 2024-11-11T19:01Z 214.4K followers, 192.5K engagements

"Bitcoin sentiment is nearing a yearly low. This is a near bottom signal not a top signal"
X Link 2025-11-03T05:18Z 214.4K followers, 92.8K engagements

"Bitcoin: Everyone posting that $126k was the cycle top will delete their posts in the next week or two"
X Link 2025-10-08T05:54Z 214.4K followers, 75.7K engagements

"Imagine thinking #Bitcoin is only going to $130K or $150K this market cycle.🀦 RIP to those accounts calling the peak at $100K"
X Link 2025-01-20T08:34Z 214.4K followers, 79.6K engagements

"Bitcoin The degree of pain youre feeling right now is directly proportional to the amount of hopium youve consumed this bull market. If youve been following data-driven realistic accounts that dont peddle hopium like $500K or $1M in [----] youre chilling 😎"
X Link 2025-03-18T21:18Z 214.4K followers, 191.3K engagements

"What very few people understand is that the more parabolic Bitcoin's price goes over a short duration the more likely it is to "finish" it's cycle peak. What we want is long consolidation periods and controlled mini moves up. We basically want Bitcoin to "edge" as long as it can without "finishing" the cycle"
X Link 2025-07-11T06:19Z 214.4K followers, 138.9K engagements

"The signs are everywherewe're at or near the bottom and Bitcoin is ready for its next leg up"
X Link 2025-11-12T14:00Z 214.4K followers, 230.5K engagements

"Bitcoin ATH before the end of September"
X Link 2025-08-27T18:27Z 214.4K followers, 167.3K engagements

"Bitcoin ATH before the end of November. So far this is Bitcoin's healthiest bull run with the strongest support levels on the way up"
X Link 2025-11-01T04:19Z 214.4K followers, 163.3K engagements

"Bitcoin: Double bottom formation 🀞"
X Link 2025-11-07T14:37Z 214.4K followers, 169.3K engagements

"🚨 BREAKING MASSIVE NEWS 🚨 To celebrate todays historic Dennis Porter Bitcoin announcement McDonalds has unveiled a new 21-cent burger called the Dennis Porterbetter known as The Nothing Burger. Its just a warm bun with no fries and you cant add a single thing to itnot even ketchup"
X Link 2025-09-23T21:33Z 214.4K followers, 72.8K engagements

"Bitcoin: 124k was NOT the [----] high"
X Link 2025-09-10T14:01Z 214.4K followers, 62.4K engagements

"For anyone wondering #MSTR is NOT a Ponzi scheme. Its actually a BTC/MSTR black hole plugged into the fiat Ponzi scheme which on the surface to the untrained eye could make it seem Ponzi-like. MSTR also siphons VALUE /TIME from the fiat Ponzi scheme into #Bitcoin"
X Link 2024-11-18T22:40Z 214.4K followers, 106.8K engagements

"What do you notice #Bitcoin"
X Link 2025-01-30T07:17Z 214.4K followers, 266.4K engagements

"$1000000 Bitcoin is NOT a fantasy. according to the most advanced current statistical models it is a highly probable outcome. The most robust fair value model created utilizing [------] data points 10min price intervals. Remember BTC has been trading 24/7 since July [----]. Jan [--] [----] Fair Value = $1004538 Today Fair Value = $67748 Interesting Observation: The pump and subsequent consolidation from the cycle low to now brought us back to fair value. The real fun hasnt even started yet and if you look at the vertical time-based lines were precisely on track compared to the [----] cycle and ahead of"
X Link 2024-10-03T23:44Z 214.4K followers, 149.4K engagements

"Happy to see #Bitcoin take a breather and consolidate a bit in the 90s. I was hoping this would happen. Its looking more and more likely that we could actually spend some time consolidating in the 90s. If thats the case it would be the best-case scenario for the longevity of this bull market. Everyone gets excited during the "up-only" phases of a bull market but consolidation periods are incredibly important. Remember one of the biggest Bitcoin bull markets ever was in [----]. Why Because that cycle had over a dozen short-lived deep corrections. At this stage of Bitcoin's growth I dont think"
X Link 2024-11-26T18:44Z 214.4K followers, 114.9K engagements

"Bitcoin is about to receive a ton of news coverage and headlines. $100000 is a number that will turn a lot of heads. At this point the hurdle becomes less about convincing no-coiners that #Bitcoin is here to stayat a $2 trillion market cap that is clear to most. Instead the hurdle is more about convincing no-coiners that they are not too late"
X Link 2024-11-21T04:28Z 214.4K followers, 87.7K engagements

"Question for those who have been in #Bitcoin for 7+ years like myself: Does it feel kind of surreal to see Bitcoin at $90K I mean we knew it was inevitable all those years and expected it to happen but now were here"
X Link 2024-11-12T20:48Z 214.4K followers, 90K engagements

"Anyone saying #Bitcoin will reach $1000000 in [----] is not a serious Bitcoin analyst; theyre simply chasing engagement"
X Link 2024-12-04T18:14Z 214.4K followers, 142.1K engagements

"Update 2: #Bitcoin Quantile Model"
X Link 2025-01-20T08:07Z 214.4K followers, 127.8K engagements

"The only #Bitcoin channel that matters for long-term investors. We are currently comfortably positioned between the lower and upper bounds. Upper Jan [--] 2025: $213473 Dec [--] 2025: $281224 Lower Jan [--] 2026: $51446 Dec [--] 2026: $71572 If the channel breaks it will be to the upside due to extreme USD debasement. P.S. The later we reach the upper bounds line in the cycle the better. So be patient relax and enjoy the bull run. Please share if you found this helpful :)"
X Link 2024-06-05T16:48Z 214.4K followers, 272K engagements

"What if the earlier Bitcoin cycles were nothing more than the product of a retail-dominated FOMO-fueled market What if from here on Bitcoin simply slow-grinds up and to the right with long drawn-out uneventful 1030% corrections and consolidations And every time we enter one of these consolidations people selling think the cycle is over and that Bitcoin will drop 5080% so they can buy back in lowerbut it never does. Instead we just keep grinding slowly upward to $1000000 over the next seven years in a very boring and underwhelming way as Bitcoin continues to gain acceptance and adoption from"
X Link 2025-08-31T15:49Z 214.4K followers, 163.6K engagements

"I am still working on Direct Nonparametric Quantile Regression methods for quantiles ranging from [----] to [-----]. The design is not fully complete yet but I wanted to share the current progress"
X Link 2025-03-17T15:46Z 214.4K followers, 249.4K engagements

"The bull run is NOT over. Bitcoin ATH before the end of September"
X Link 2025-09-02T18:04Z 214.4K followers, 77K engagements

"It feels like were on the verge of breaking into the next phase $110K to $130K range next Weve consolidated long enough; Bitcoin is ready. #BTC Daily: https://t.co/zHcaULTFOu #BTC Daily: https://t.co/zHcaULTFOu"
X Link 2025-06-09T23:23Z 214.4K followers, 112.3K engagements

"#BTC Daily:"
X Link 2025-06-09T22:37Z 171.2K followers, 90.7K engagements

"Bitcoin: BREAKING MASSIVE NEWS Someone with a 1% chance of becoming the next governor of California is a Bitcoin supporteror at least is exaggerating his stance on Bitcoin to get more votes. But "IF" he gets in he will likely do NOTHING because most politicians are massive egomaniacs and are in it for themselves. This message was not approved by Dennis Porter"
X Link 2025-09-23T16:01Z 214.4K followers, 93K engagements

"All the weak hands have almost been shaken out. Bitcoin is still in a healthy bull market. Bitcoin still follows a Power Law. Nothing has changed"
X Link 2025-02-28T06:57Z 214.4K followers, 105.5K engagements

"My Bitcoin Market Synopsis: Youre going to want to bookmark this. Not Investment Advice My base case remains that we are still in a bull market: well recover from this dip over the coming week or two after briefly dipping below the 50-week SMA/EMA then closing back above it by Sundays weekly close. The bull market will extend at least into Q1 [----] but most likely longer and well into [----] and it could even extend beyond that. However lets look at the bear case. A lot of the fear right now comes from people having PTSD from previous Bitcoin events like the FTX/Luna collapses or from the"
X Link 2025-11-04T16:08Z 214.4K followers, 257.2K engagements

"Because of the 2.5-3x NAV premium MicroStrategy bought [-----] #Bitcoin in the last week for. $30133 to $35451 per Bitcoin A 60-66% discount over spot BTC"
X Link 2024-11-18T21:12Z 214.4K followers, 199.8K engagements

"So far this is Bitcoin's healthiest bull run with the strongest support levels on the way up that it has ever had"
X Link 2025-07-11T14:31Z 214.4K followers, 79.6K engagements

"Bitcoin: Biggest News of Today Thousands of accounts unfollow and block Dennis Porter after his dud announcement"
X Link 2025-09-23T18:44Z 214.4K followers, 43.8K engagements

"Bitcoin is NOT going to $1 million in weeks or months. I understand he is promoting a narrative to encourage Bitcoin adoption which I appreciate but at this point he is bordering on being disingenuous and could potentially mislead new investors by setting unrealistic expectations. The amount of profit-taking that would occur at so many levels between the current price and $1000000 makes it clear that the pattern we are seeing this cyclea gradual grind and climb with less volatilityis far more likely. Reaching $1000000 over the next [--] years seems much more probable. It will take years. SAMSON"
X Link 2025-09-12T19:51Z 214.4K followers, 252.1K engagements

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