@Sekai_WX Sekai Chandra
Sekai Chandra posts on X about this is, in the, data, hurricane the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [--] engagements in the last [--] hours.
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Social Influence
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Social topic influence this is, in the, data, hurricane #597, radar, major, the most, town, stream, milton
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @cameronjnixon @brandoncopicwx @369hurricane @flynnjansenwx @jaydonshawwx @lincolnwx @ynkyos @backinblack_wx @roncahohn @matthewcappuccis @cooperj1123 @jacobrainerson @drewshearer444 @westeellit @weathersarov1 @thilokuehne @djpuco @davidwx129 @jadonwx @wxtca
Top assets mentioned Decimated (DIO) Big Time (BIGTIME) Celsius (CEL)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"So I found this video of Ida's incredible power on discord however I'm having trouble tracking it down. Does anybody have any ideas as to where it may originate Either way this is extremely insane"
X Link 2021-08-29T20:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Great talk from @CameronJNixon at the [----] Severe Storms Virtual Conference about the relation of severe storm-generated hail to different kinematic and thermodynamic conditions PS: The voice blew me away but glad you could present today"
X Link 2021-11-04T15:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The "Tri-State Tornado" as this tornado is more commonly known as killed an estimated [---] people in [--] minutes as it struck four towns in rapid succession. For context [---] people were killed in the United States by tornadoes in [----] alone. This single tornado nearly equalled"
X Link 2023-08-10T01:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"that toll in under an hour. In total an estimated [---] lives were claimed as the tornado devastated town after town after town as it crossed through three states for over three hours straight"
X Link 2023-08-10T01:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"An aerial shot of the path of an EF4 tornado that tore through the Eclectic - Lake Martin Alabama area on April 27th [----]. This tornado was the final officially rated violent tornado (EF4+) to occur on April 27th"
X Link 2023-08-13T14:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"People run for cover as a large EF4 tornado enters the city of Murfreesboro Tennessee on Good Friday [----]. This tornado was the second and final officially rated EF4 tornado to occur in the United States in 2009"
X Link 2023-08-14T14:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hurricane Hilary is rapidly organizing as it intensifies off of the coast of southern Mexico. The hurricane will be dragged to the north by a gradually intensifying trough over the rest of the week and is expected to impact California something that is EXTREMELY rare"
X Link 2023-08-17T21:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A powerful tornado perhaps the strongest one seen in the state in the past thirty years struck areas west of Providence Rhode Island earlier this morning. This tornado caused pretty significant tree damage which is indicative of likely significant (EF2+) damage"
X Link 2023-08-18T17:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Vilonia AR Tornado of April 27th [----] wasted no time gaining strength. Within [----] miles of touching down the tornado had already leveled three homes killing [--] when one of the homes was completely swept away (right)"
X Link 2023-08-19T23:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A large wedge tornado approaching Hackleburg AL on April 27th [----]. Photo was originally from Facebook"
X Link 2023-08-22T02:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Tornado potential increasing with this storm just above Lake Odessa Michigan currently. This storm complex just produced a significant-looking tornado over northern Grand Rapids"
X Link 2023-08-25T00:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Radar indicates a tornadic signature associated with a supercell just south of Lansing Michigan"
X Link 2023-08-25T00:56Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"This isn't something that you see often. This is probably one of the most significant (if not the most significant) tornado signature I've seen in Michigan on a NEXRAD radar"
X Link 2023-08-25T01:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"With one fatality being attributed to the Williamston tornado last night you can't help but think of how quiet Michigan had been with tornadoes until recently. Before [----] Michigan experienced multiple famous fatal tornadic events but it's been unusually quiet since then"
X Link 2023-08-26T00:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A satellite image of Hurricane Ian as it made landfall south of Tampa on September 28th [----] as a high-end Category [--] Hurricane. The storm inflicted [---] billion dollars in damage the third costliest total ever recorded by an Atlantic Hurricane"
X Link 2023-08-26T23:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Those are some extremely ripe conditions for hurricane intensification in the Gulf right now. Some lingering shear should hold back intensification somewhat but still very impressive stuff"
X Link 2023-08-27T13:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is probably the most insane waterspout I've ever seen documented on radar in the Great Lakes. This one occurred on June 12th [----] and wasn't that far SW of Green Bay WI"
X Link 2023-09-02T16:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Dvorak Technique suggests that Jova is a category [--] hurricane with a DT reading of [---] being made recently. If confirmed by the NHC this would be one of the most incredible cases of rapid intensification in recent times. Jova wasn't even a hurricane yesterday evening (left)"
X Link 2023-09-07T00:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Jova is also the first Category [--] Hurricane I have tracked live (excluding those upgraded posthumously) since I began tracking weather heavily in early [----]. Absolutely textbook pinhole eye hurricane structure on this monster"
X Link 2023-09-07T02:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hurricane Lee looks particularly menacing this evening a very far cry from what it looked like earlier today. It will be very interesting to see what the recon mission finds because this is truly phenomenal stuff"
X Link 2023-09-07T23:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Recon data suggests SFMR's of around [---] knots which is well into the Category [--] range. However data also showed that the aircraft plunged [----] feet in a very short time and was likely experiencing control problems so this data could have been affected by those issues"
X Link 2023-09-08T01:43Z [----] followers, 17.6K engagements
"In addition to my passion for weather I also have an interest in architecture and in particular skyscrapers. In honor of the upcoming anniversary however I'd like to share this rare photo taken inside the 107th floor restaurant of the north tower before the attacks"
X Link 2023-09-10T20:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Rainsville Alabama EF5 Tornado tearing through the rough northeastern Alabama terrain on April 27th [----]. Photo is from Facebook"
X Link 2023-09-16T00:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Here's an estimated semi-surface analysis map for the March 21st [----] Deep South Super Outbreak. This day produced multiple violent tornadoes across Alabama Tennessee and Georgia killing over [---] people. It is widely considered to have been a Super Outbreak just like 4/27"
X Link 2023-09-17T02:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The scar of the May 20th [----] Ruskin Heights MO EF5 Tornado as seen relative to Kansas City. The area that was hit the worst is outlined in the red box below. This remains by far the most devastating tornadic event to have impacted the Kansas City region to date"
X Link 2023-09-22T23:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Personally I would think that the complicated terrain that the tornado entered right before it died contributed to the erratic [--] degree turn but it's practically unheard of for a mesocyclone to produce AGAIN after the first tornado dissipated. Notice that there is a second"
X Link 2023-10-01T15:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
".swath of damage further northeast along the same trajectory that the first tornado had when it dissipated. I have never seen an occluded mesocyclone come back like that anywhere else. In addition the tornado occurred in a very dynamic (high levels of deep layer shear)"
X Link 2023-10-01T15:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Typhoon Koinu has made landfall at the extreme southern end of Taiwan. Even though the storm isn't super strong it is large and moving rather slowly which favors the accumulation of rain over affected areas. This type of TC is a recipe for flooding and mudslides"
X Link 2023-10-05T00:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I lived in Chicago for [--] years prior to moving away in [----] during which not one EF3+ tornado occurred within or close to the city limits. I then visited Chicago for [--] days in June [----] and I just so happened to visit during the exact weekend of the Woodridge IL EF3 Tornado"
X Link 2023-10-06T19:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"An AI-generated image of people running as a tornado approaches a town in the distance in the 1930s. It is truly remarkable what AI is capable of"
X Link 2023-10-07T00:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Tropical Storm Bolaven is rapidly organizing as it slowly moves towards the Philippines in the Western Pacific. Fortunately models have this future typhoon turning to the northeast and mostly staying away from land"
X Link 2023-10-08T14:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is a classic example of a westerly flow (or any flow really) system latching onto a tropical cyclone and "reeling it in" which is often the cause when major tropical cyclones end up changing directions"
X Link 2023-10-08T14:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"In the early morning hours of April 13th [----] a likely major tornadic waterspout occurred just off of the coast of Tybee Island Georgia. The velocity couplet associated with the likely waterspout had a VROT of 70+ knots suggesting that this likely would have been an intense"
X Link 2023-10-08T14:33Z [----] followers, 14.1K engagements
"Rapid intensification at it's finest. #Bolaven is looking like a super typhoon this evening"
X Link 2023-10-10T23:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A tornado is seen forming right next to the southern Czech Republic town of Hrusky on the afternoon of June 24th [----]. The [----] Czech Republic tornado is probably in my opinion the strongest tornado documented in Europe since the turn of the century"
X Link 2023-10-17T15:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A radar image of a major tornadic supercell in southern Poland on August 15th [----]. At the time of this image the supercell was producing the tornado whose scar you see in the satellite image at right"
X Link 2023-10-23T18:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is something you never want to see. Bangladesh due to both its low-lying geography and its particularly poor infrastructure often becomes a death trap for thousands in the face of tropical cyclones. Tropical Cyclone Hamoon is expected to make landfall there tomorrow"
X Link 2023-10-23T22:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hurricane #Otis is undergoing a pretty robust bout of rapid intensification as it approaches southern Mexico. The storm has developed a pinhole eye and has a solid healthy ring of cold cloud tops surrounding the eye on infrared satellite. Likely is running or already at C4"
X Link 2023-10-24T23:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NHC is now estimating Otis to be a Category [--] Hurricane at landfall. A few days ago the NHC expected it to be only a tropical storm. Pinhole-eye hurricanes are notoriously difficult to predict and identify until they actually manifest"
X Link 2023-10-25T00:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Otis has become the first tropical cyclone to EVER make landfall as a Category [--] Hurricane in the Eastern Pacific Basin since reliable data started around the 1960s. Truly remarkable stuff"
X Link 2023-10-25T11:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The southern region of Mexico where Hurricane Otis made landfall is filled with some pretty mountainous terrain. Mountains are incredibly efficient at tearing apart a tropical cyclones structure"
X Link 2023-10-25T11:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"According to the NHC Hurricane Otis was a tropical storm at [--] AM EDT yesterday. By [--] PM EDT it was a Category [--] Hurricane. Otis intensified from a tropical storm to a Category [--] Hurricane officially in just [--] hours"
X Link 2023-10-25T13:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW FIND I was looking through some radar data for May 15th [----] when I noticed a compelling tornado signature appear within one of the supercells in Mexico's Coahuila Province. Satellite imagery shows clear evidence of a tornado scar (right) in this region that was likely"
X Link 2023-10-26T20:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"On May 9th [----] a particularly deadly tornado struck the business district of Poplar Bluff Missouri at 3:15 PM local time killing at least [--] people. There were quite a few concentrated swaths of greater destruction in the tornado's general swath which led to a very"
X Link 2023-11-02T17:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In the early morning hours of November 6th [----] [--] years ago today a deadly tornado would claim [--] lives in the Evansville Indiana area. Although dynamic systems like these often cause strong tornadoes in the wintertime they seldom happen in the early morning like this"
X Link 2023-11-06T02:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"13 years ago today the deadliest tornado in Japan's history completely decimated a town in Hokkaido Japan's northernmost province. Although tornadoes in Japan are common they are seldom this strong or occur this far north this late in the year. How could this happen"
X Link 2023-11-08T00:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"One of the biggest reasons why this tornado was so deadly was the time that it struck. The tornado struck at 8:30 PM CDT when most people were likely eating dinner or preparing to go to sleep. This is evidenced by the ridiculously high concentration of the death toll in homes"
X Link 2023-11-17T00:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Regarding tomorrow's severe weather threat: I think that the best threat for tornadoes will exist with the well-established supercells that develop along the second confluence band which is where model signals suggest that the most organized supercell activity will occur"
X Link 2023-11-20T02:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I created a guide that attempts to estimate a tornado's width based off of a few sounding parameters and other important conditions. Remember to take this guide with a grain of salt especially when it comes to saturated/contaminated soundings. (CLICK IMAGE TO FULLY OPEN)"
X Link 2023-11-25T15:00Z [----] followers, 11.9K engagements
"We tracked down the location of this photo of the Vilonia AR EF4 tornado on April 27th [----]. It was taken by a resident at an apartment complex just NE of the city. The cell tower that is visible on the right side of the tornado funnel was completely destroyed by the tornado"
X Link 2023-11-27T14:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If you want to try to understand just how powerful that tornadic winds can get try to understand how much power it would take to mangle a pickup truck to that extent. This is something that only the most complicated and advanced destructive machinery can accomplish"
X Link 2023-12-23T19:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"In other words in the most extreme cases there is pretty much almost nothing that can withstand the raw power of a subvortex that contains EF4+ winds. The raw power of these things is very underappreciated and truly remarkable"
X Link 2023-12-23T19:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Although the HRRR resolution below does not look particularly good for tornadoes do NOT be fooled. One thing that I have noticed from personal experience is that if you have a lot of decently strong updrafts right next to eachother they will MERGE INTO SUPERCELLS. Therefore"
X Link 2024-01-08T14:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
".models such as the HRRR are not advanced enough to account for those types of processes. In reality there likely if the scenario manifests will be a few merger-induced well-established supercells. That combined with a 70-80kt LLJ is bad news and = Intense tor potential"
X Link 2024-01-08T14:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Assuming that the projected instability axis materializes some of these model runs show beyond concerning tornado potential for the Mobile-Florida Panhandle area overnight. It is possible that the axis doesn't manifest but it needs to be monitored VERY closely. #flwx #alwx"
X Link 2024-01-08T17:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"However climatologically the area that is under the gun today hasn't seen much intense tornado activity in the past. Every tornado that has killed someone since [----] is shown in the graph below. Will today go against historical norms or will it fall in line with past data"
X Link 2024-01-08T17:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"What a difference favorable mergers managed to make in just [--] minutes. Favorable storm-scale mergers can often lead to a remarkable increase in tornado potential due to their ability to remarkably strengthen and organize updrafts"
X Link 2024-01-08T19:32Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"A very dangerous waterspout is coming ashore near Panama City Beach Take cover IMMEDIATELY #flwx"
X Link 2024-01-09T11:29Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"The most impressive (IMO) signature of the morning occurred with this supercell that made landfall near Santa Rosa Beach FL an hour before the Panama City Beach event. Luckily the circulation was over a large lake when it appeared to be at its strongest"
X Link 2024-01-09T14:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Yesterday's Panama City Beach tornado has been rated an EF3 by the National Weather Service"
X Link 2024-01-11T01:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Based off of this radar image alone guess the intensity of the tornado that the supercell will go on to produce (IMAGE IN REPLIES)"
X Link 2024-01-13T23:42Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"The Millbury supercell formed in a classic summer midwestern tornado outbreak environment. Westerly flow severe weather outbreaks are very commonplace in the midwest in June and this event was just further proof of this"
X Link 2024-01-14T02:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Although mid and deep layer shear wasn't powerful there was more than enough instability moisture and low level shear to compensate for this. The Millbury storm unfortunately ended up being the lone discrete storm to take full advantage of these conditions"
X Link 2024-01-14T02:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The beginning of the [----] Moore Tornado's path. Unlike most notable Plains tornadoes this one became violent almost instantly which is an indication of an extremely strong updraft/mesocyclone. This is usually seen in winter/springtime dynamically-driven tornado setups only"
X Link 2024-03-04T03:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Remarkable aerial imagery of the Smithville MS EF5 Tornado from April 27th [----]. This tornado is considered by many to be one of the most violent tornadoes ever documented"
X Link 2024-03-06T02:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The part of the Atlantic Ocean that is south of the KLTX radar is one of the most notorious tornadic waterspout alleys surrounding the USA. This ongoing likely intense tornadic waterspout further solidifies its status"
X Link 2024-03-09T15:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The recent significant tornado in Kentucky appears to have gone either near or directly through downtown Milton KY given recent scanner reports. They also mentioned that structures were unroofed but these reports are often unreliable so take them with a grain of salt #kywx"
X Link 2024-03-14T18:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The biggest risk for tornadoes today IMO is in southeast Oklahoma just north of the Red River. Confidence is high in a few discrete supercells occurring in the region as the LLJ increases after sunset. Tornado potential will be highest in this area shortly after"
X Link 2024-04-01T16:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Although hundreds of communities were affected by the horrific super tornado outbreak [--] years ago today none of those communities got it as bad as Xenia Ohio did. This town located a few miles SE of Dayton took a full-force direct hit from an F5 tornado killing [--] people"
X Link 2024-04-03T21:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The storm's appalling violence completely decimated several subdivisions on Xenia's western side. Rows of homes were completely swept away shrubs were debarked and debris was finely granulated and wind-rowed in F5 fashion. Xenia in my opinion was the worst"
X Link 2024-04-03T21:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This RUC sounding for Moore OK at 21z on May 10th [----] might be the best example of a "loaded gun" sounding I've ever seen. These soundings are called "loaded gun soundings" because there is so much instability present in the atmosphere that once the EML/cap erodes"
X Link 2024-04-12T00:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A merger is likely causing the long track tornado associated with this supercell NE of New London IA to occlude shortly. The storm should waste no time reorganizing after this process is completed #iawx"
X Link 2024-04-16T22:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This ominous (likely EF2+) tornadic waterspout occurred just east of Melbourne FL and was associated with the famous Blizzard of [----]. This is the oldest major tornado signature I've seen on NEXRAD and one of the strongest VROT signatures I've ever seen from an embedded storm"
X Link 2024-04-22T01:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Oh man Two new discrete supercells have developed and will eventually head towards both Omaha and Lincoln. These storms given the parent environment will have solid tornado potential and must be watched closely"
X Link 2024-04-26T18:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Developing tornado probably heading into the western suburbs of Lincoln NE a currently. Not a good look AT ALL"
X Link 2024-04-26T19:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"MY GOODNESS. STRONG TORNADO near Waverly NE on Freddy McKinneys stream"
X Link 2024-04-26T19:54Z [----] followers, 14.3K engagements
"VERY STRONG AND DANGEROUS TORNADO HEADING FOR PLEASANT HILL IA IN SOUTHEASTERN DES MOINES. TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY"
X Link 2024-04-27T01:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@WeSteelLit About [--] PM CDT or [--] PM EDT"
X Link 2024-04-27T17:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"As the tornado approached the Arkansas River from the southwest it regained EF4 intensity and took direct aim at the town of Mayflower. Several photos and videos of the tornado were taken just prior to when it crossed the Arkansas River"
X Link 2024-04-27T17:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"After crossing the river the tornado decimated the Plantation Subdivision which is located on the east side of the river SW of Mayflower with terrific force. Multiple homes were leveled and trees were significantly debarked. A woman died after her storm shelter door failed"
X Link 2024-04-27T17:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Just northeast of there David Mallory was taking shelter in his house. His brother called him to warn him about the approaching danger after which he took all of the proper precautions. Unfortunately even though he did everything right the tornado was just too strong"
X Link 2024-04-27T18:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"After claiming Mr. Mallory's life the storm descended on the Parkwood Meadows subdivision located less than a half-mile northeast of Vilonia. Almost every single home in this subdivision was severely damaged and many of them were completely swept away"
X Link 2024-04-27T18:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Unfortunately the tornado claimed two lives at Parkwood Meadows. The first was Mr. Daniel Wassom who was an airman with the United States Air Force. He heroically gave up his life to save the lives of his two daughters by shielding them from the tornado"
X Link 2024-04-27T18:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"STRONG tornado might be in progress in the vicnity of Dexter Kansas #kswx"
X Link 2024-04-27T20:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Uh oh The storm that just produced the Ardmore OK area tornado is ramping up bigtime. Sulphur OK the same town that was near-missed by the wedge on May 9th [----] is in the direct path of this storm's mesocyclone"
X Link 2024-04-28T03:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"BIGTIME tornado with DEBRIS BALL moving NNE just NNW of the town of Holdenville OK currently"
X Link 2024-04-28T03:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A PDS TORNADO WARNING has been issued for the ANTICYCLONIC tornado that is heading right for Grandfield OK. This is a historic supercell in many many ways"
X Link 2024-05-01T03:28Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements
"The incredible supercell that we are currently witnessing will undoubtedly be the subject of countless research papers journals and academic studies in the future. This is simply incredible data"
X Link 2024-05-01T03:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Tornado likely forming with this supercell NW of Robert Lee TX right now #txwx"
X Link 2024-05-03T20:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Looks like a strong tornado is occurring S of Robert Lee TX This storm is slowly moving towards San Angelo in the long run"
X Link 2024-05-03T21:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This might come in handy later tonight"
X Link 2024-05-06T00:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The second tornado of the event is on the ground and it's in central Tennessee This TDS-confirmed tornado is moving east towards the town of Rome. #tnwx"
X Link 2024-05-06T19:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"BIG TIME tornadic supercell about to produce a tornado SE of Hominy OK #okwx"
X Link 2024-05-07T02:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I'm absolutely sick to my stomach right now. Intense/violent tornado direct hit on a town after dark"
X Link 2024-05-07T02:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"-to the way that storms did yesterday because there was a big dry air intrusion between [---] MB and [---] MB that kept storms from developing consistent low-level mesocyclones and producing tornadoes. I think that something similar happened yesterday. There was just way too much-"
X Link 2024-05-07T14:26Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements
"Theres currently a tornado on the ground with a LARGE tornado debris signature heading for the Athens AL vicinity at the moment"
X Link 2024-05-09T01:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is bad news. Hopefully the storm fizzles out before OKC is under the gun"
X Link 2024-05-20T02:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Ive no words for how incredible this raxpol data of the recent tornado in SW OK is Oh my goodness this might be the data of the decade"
X Link 2024-05-24T01:23Z [----] followers, 342.8K engagements
"Nature will go at it again in central Oklahoma tomorrow. Just like 5/6 this risk has an extremely high ceiling and any model trends will need to be monitored very VERY closely. I do like the strict N/S orientation on this DL that 5/6 did not have however"
X Link 2024-05-24T12:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Strong tornado in South Africa today Tornadoes in South Africa are actually not that uncommon as the country is far south enough from the equator and has flat enough terrain that allows moisture return to occur. They had F4s in [----] [----] and [----]. 🌪 A tornado has reportedly hit Tongaat in KwaZulu-Natal causing extensive damage. No injuries have been reported. #Tornado #Tongaat #KwaZuluNatal #SAWeather https://t.co/YLisbXTZUr 🌪 A tornado has reportedly hit Tongaat in KwaZulu-Natal causing extensive damage. No injuries have been reported. #Tornado #Tongaat #KwaZuluNatal #SAWeather"
X Link 2024-06-03T16:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Closeup of the scar from the 6/3/2024 Tongaat South Africa Tornado IMO this tornado was probably a high-end IF3 or low-end IF4 (IF4 not EF4 because of the International Fujita Scale) Definitely one of the most impressive and strongest South African tornadoes in recent memory"
X Link 2024-06-06T20:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hurricane Beryl is currently undergoing rapid intensification north of Guyana as it moves closer to a dangerous landfall at the Lesser Antilles later today. Its not impossible that Beryl could become a C4 by the time it makes landfall given its relatively large and stable- New AF recon pass into #Beryl's eye sampled an extrapolated pressure 4.5mb lower than during its previous pass 1h and 20min ago. Simultaneously its 700mb eye temperature has warmed from 17.1C to 19.7C an increase of 2.8C https://t.co/mqxKZqE2cZ New AF recon pass into #Beryl's eye sampled an extrapolated pressure 4.5mb lower"
X Link 2024-06-30T13:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Recon just found [---] knot flight level winds inside Hurricane Beryl. This would translate to about [---] knots (or [---] mph) at the surface which means that Beryl just became the first June Category [--] hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic Basin"
X Link 2024-06-30T15:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The eye of hurricane Beryl is passing north of Grenada and just south of Carriacou and Petitie Martinique. Desperate situation in progress for these areas as the eastern eyewall (which is the second one that will hit these islands) is considerably stronger than the western one"
X Link 2024-07-01T14:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"First June C4 ever documented in the Atlantic basin. Earliest C4 ever documented in the Atlantic basin. Southernmost C4 ever documented in the Atlantic basin. Earliest C5 ever documented in the Atlantic basin. Hurricane Beryl is a historic storm on so many levels"
X Link 2024-07-02T02:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Despite the complicated terrain in the area the tornado seemed to be entirely unaffected by the geography of the area which further reinforces my personal belief that geographical obstacles can only interrupt and cannot dissipate tornadic circulations"
X Link 2024-07-19T16:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Russia is also home to the world's northernmost mesocyclonic tornadoes. This EF2 in far NE Russia CROSSED THE ARCTIC CIRCLE on July 9th [----]. That's NORTH of Anchorage Alaska AND parts of Iceland and Greenland"
X Link 2024-08-14T01:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@WeatherSarov1 @ThiloKuehne @Djpuco Here is some ERA-5 data that I pulled for this event just now. Pretty typical westerly flow setup for the region. 6/17/2013 is a relatively similar event to this one IMO"
X Link 2024-08-16T19:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Newly formed tropical storm Shanshan is expected to move NNW towards western Japan over the next week. SST's over its currently expected track are consistently above 30+ degrees celsius. Those temperatures are 2-3 degrees above normal for this time of year. This could get bad"
X Link 2024-08-22T14:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"We could be looking at the beginning of what could be Japans worst typhoon SINCE [----]. Although its dealing with some dry air issues right now new CBs in the eyewall are trying to seal off this intrusion. Once thats done its off to the races"
X Link 2024-08-24T03:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Francine is off to the races. Dropsondes already suggest that the pressure has fallen to [---] mb and the storm has a strong stable core with an eyewall and vigorous healthy convection. Warm SST's should fuel intensification for the next two days as it heads for southern LA"
X Link 2024-09-09T18:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Meanwhile Tropical Storm John is currently rapidly intensifying as it heads for Mexico. The storm is already clearing out an eye and is likely much stronger than the NHCs [--] knot estimate. Warm waters will fuel continued rapid intensification until it hits Mexico tomorrow"
X Link 2024-09-23T17:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Goodness gracious. The latest microwave scans are showing that John is continuing to rapidly intensity with no brakes. The storm now has a very solid eyewall and has a well defined CDO on infrared imagery. Nonzero chance we could be looking at another Otis here"
X Link 2024-09-23T20:47Z [----] followers, 20.3K engagements
"Convective activity is really ramping up around Helenes CDO as the system continues to organize slowly. Look at how much has changed over the past three hours (left image is [--] hours ago). Slow organization will continue until the core is completely covered by strong"
X Link 2024-09-24T20:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A buoy near the center of TS Helene is recording a pressure of [-----] millibars. When accounting for wind direction (11 m/s = [----] kts) this is reduced to a true value of around [---] millibars flat. We will see if recon data backs this up but this is a clear sign that Helene"
X Link 2024-09-24T21:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This post is incorrect. The eyewall is actually much more secure than I thought. Radar evidence from Cuba shows a strong eyewall in the middle of the large CDO (pink blob) in the center. We are off to the races and will reach hurricane intensity soon. Helene is beginning to consolidate a lower core (marked by the star) and is off to the races with eyewall development. VHT's are going up all around the new eyewall. The two I have boxed in red have gone up within the past hour. Rapid intensification starts here. https://t.co/dMyWaomnkm Helene is beginning to consolidate a lower core (marked by"
X Link 2024-09-25T03:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"For the first time today VHT's have completely circled Helene's eyewall. This reveals the relatively large size of the core which is also indicative of a large and broad wind field. Extremely dangerous storm surge will be coming ashore on the FL big bend tonight"
X Link 2024-09-26T16:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Latest recon found [-----] mb in the center with a 10kt wind which IF CONFIRMED BY A DROPSONDE suggests a pressure of [---] mb. The last recon pass [--] hour ago found a pressure of [---] mb. It's possible that Helene's pressure may have fallen by [--] mb in the last hour alone"
X Link 2024-09-26T19:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Rings of beauty and death. Nothing quite encapsulates deadly beauty like the atmosphere. Life-threatening storm surge will increase in magnitude along the Big Bend tonight"
X Link 2024-09-26T23:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The large eye of Typhoon Krathon is passing over some islands in the northern Philippines. Nearby weather stations are recording a pressure of [---] mb a value that has been consistently dropping. The typhoon is expected to turn NE and strike Taiwan tomorrow afternoon"
X Link 2024-09-30T01:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Here comes Kirk the ACE generator. Latest microwave imagery suggests that Kirk is almost finished developing a large core which should allow for gradual intensification into tonight. Once the core fully becomes solid intensification will pick up the pace"
X Link 2024-10-02T19:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Microwave imagery from one hour ago shows that Kirk has an extremely solid and very well-defined core. This makes Kirks subsequent CDO improvements on infrared imagery unsurprising. NHC should go with Category [--] at the next advisory if things stay this way"
X Link 2024-10-03T19:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Latest Dvorak technique estimates suggest that Kirk's pressure has fallen into the 920s and that its winds have risen to around 135kt. The eye has also warmed to more than [--] degrees Celsius. We are approaching Category [--] and will likely get there if Kirk can sustain itself"
X Link 2024-10-04T00:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"European EPS members are confident that a TC could develop in the SW Gulf over the next few days and move ENE towards the Florida Peninsula. We will have to monitor this invest closely. The last thing anyone wants right now is another major hurricane landfall in Florida"
X Link 2024-10-05T03:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I mentioned earlier how the GFS was heavily disagreeing with the European Ensembles on how strong this thing was going to get. The GFS just did a full [---] on its last run. We will have to see how these models keep trending but this would be an incredibly un-ideal solution"
X Link 2024-10-05T04:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Take this with a grain of salt as we dont have upper level recon data of the gulf yet but recent model guidance for Milton is VERY aggressive. You dont normally see guidance this strong for a tropical cyclone when its a newly formed Tropical Storm. Well see how recon"
X Link 2024-10-05T19:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Milton's core is currently taking a similar orientation (BUT NOT INTENSITY) to that of Hurricane Patricia in 2015"
X Link 2024-10-06T22:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The storm also looks the best it has so far on visible satellite data. The CDO is clear and uniform and we have constant VHT activity surrounding the small core. All of these signs point to rapid intensification either ongoing or being imminent"
X Link 2024-10-06T23:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Oh boy here we go. Pinhole core is now more evident than ever and has rapidly evolved on microwave imagery. Super strong VHT's have gone up with lightning strikes being detected as the pressure has fallen into the 970s"
X Link 2024-10-07T01:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Milton has organized SUBSTANTIALLY over the past [--] hours. The question isn't if it will become a major hurricane but rather how far into the C4+ range it'll get if these trends continue"
X Link 2024-10-07T03:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"EXTREMELY STRONG eyewall lightning is present all around Miltons pinhole core another indication that the hurricane is strengthening rapidly"
X Link 2024-10-07T11:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The latest recon pass confirms that Miltons winds are rapidly intensifying and catching up to the pressure. [---] knot flight winds supports about [---] knots at the surface which is equal to about 145-150 mph. Milton is well into the Category [--] range"
X Link 2024-10-07T12:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is some of the most pronounced eyewall lightning Ive ever seen in a hurricane. Recon reported severe turbulence and hail within the southern eyewall on its last pass. This is an extremely violent eyewall and it will be a Category [--] eyewall in the next hour or so"
X Link 2024-10-07T13:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Milton's eye is beginning to warm and clear rapidly which is a sign that the hurricane's phenomenally quick intensification is only continuing. Pinhole eyes usually begin to clear when the pressure falls into the 920s and become very clear in the 910s-900s range"
X Link 2024-10-07T14:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Milton has organized at a simply incredible rate since midnight yesterday. Just look at how much more symmetrical the CDO is now compared to just under [--] hours ago. This rate of intensification hasnt been seen in the Atlantic basin since Felix in 2007"
X Link 2024-10-07T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"24 hours ago Milton was a tropical storm with [--] knot winds and a pressure of [---] millibars. Since then the storms winds have increased by [--] knots and the storms pressure has dropped almost [--] millibars. Nothing can RI like the pinhole cores can"
X Link 2024-10-07T16:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@369Hurricane @FlynnJansenWX @JaydonShawwx As someone whos tracked EWRCs before the CDO will always begin to weaken substantially as it gets underway. Here the exact opposite is happening and the CDO is actually cooling even more. Plus the eyewall on the Mexican radar is still connected to the outer banding"
X Link 2024-10-07T21:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@369Hurricane @FlynnJansenWX @JaydonShawwx The eye also seems to have stopped contracting for the moment. Something similar happened with Wilma when it went from [---] mb to [---] mb. I could be wrong though. Recon will have the final say"
X Link 2024-10-07T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@369Hurricane @FlynnJansenWX @JaydonShawwx I personally believe that the contraction was associated with further strengthening as a result"
X Link 2024-10-07T21:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Mexican radar data and satellite trends suggest that the EWRC/eyewall merger are nearly complete. Milton should resume intensification once the inner eyewall fully dies and will probably get close to (and may even surpass) its initial peak due to a favorable trough interaction"
X Link 2024-10-08T04:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Milton has clearly begun to intensify quickly again. The storms eye is clearing rapidly and the CDO is quickly becoming symmetrical once more. We are seeing a repeat of yesterdays events but with a larger eye"
X Link 2024-10-08T17:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@DavidWx129 @Jadon_wx No shear should pick it up and weaken it by then but the further south the system is the less shear there will be to impact the system. It is trending south of the expected ensemble tracks for the moment"
X Link 2024-10-09T03:41Z [----] followers, 14.6K engagements
"LARGE TORNADO in progress in the western West Palm Beach FL suburbs right NOW. https://www.wellingtonfl.gov/2124/Wellington-Webcams https://www.wellingtonfl.gov/2124/Wellington-Webcams"
X Link 2024-10-09T20:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"LARGE TORNADO on the ground near Fort Pierce FL which is N of the storm that produced the tornado near West Palm Beach. Take cover IMMEDIATELY. https://fl511.com/map#:MyRoutes#Camera https://fl511.com/map#:MyRoutes#Camera"
X Link 2024-10-09T21:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Here's the full tower camera video of the intense tornado that just went through Fort Pierce Florida. Absolutely incredible stuff"
X Link 2024-10-09T21:31Z [----] followers, 11.8K engagements
"GEFS ensembles suggest that its possible that we get another CAG system in about a weeks time. Will keep an eye on this to see how the signal trends as its not too reliable this far out"
X Link 2024-10-10T15:32Z [----] followers, 371.2K engagements
"As much as I and everyone else would like this hurricane season to be over GFS is still dead set on a major occurring in the Caribbean next week. Euro has not caved into this solution yet so we will see who wins"
X Link 2024-10-12T12:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Latest recon pass suggests that Oscars pressure dropped [--] mb in just under an hour. This is an obvious indication that rapid intensification is beginning"
X Link 2024-10-19T17:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Gilbert was unusual for a pinhole storm as it did not start out as one. Most notable pinhole storms start out with a small core that gradually expands as EWRC's occur. This storm did the opposite. It started out with a bigger core which contracted into a violent pinhole"
X Link 2024-11-09T03:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Theres an absolute demon of a typhoon headed for the northern Philippines right now. This looks like a Category [--] Super Typhoon to me even though it is not one officially. If the storm keeps this up it could beat Miltons low pressure"
X Link 2024-11-13T15:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"We have ANOTHER typhoon bearing down on the Philippines. Typhoon Manyi is intensifying as it moves WNW toward the northern area of the country and its presentation has improved substantially today. Likely a Super Typhoon and could go C5 before landfall. VERY dangerous"
X Link 2024-11-15T23:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Latest satellite trends make me believe that Super Typhoon Manyi is a Category 5-equivalent tropical cyclone currently. An extremely dry and perfectly circular eye along with a relatively axisymmetric CDO give it away. There are subtle signs of a potential EWRC on IR imagery"
X Link 2024-11-16T03:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Heres some GMS-3 infrared satellite data of Super Typhoon Gay right before making landfall in Thailand on 11/3/1989. The storm was officially [---] knots at the time but was probably very close to or at Category [--]. Special thanks to @WxTca for helping me with this plot"
X Link 2024-11-26T17:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I got to visit @NWSAtlanta yesterday with the Georgia Tech STORM Club We got a tour of the facility and even helped launch a sounding (although the sonde hit a nearby building as it went up but oh well)"
X Link 2024-12-05T15:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The eyewall of rapidly intensifying Cyclone Chido is about to strike an island of Mauritius just NE of Madagascar. There are several structures on the island's east side that will be vulnerable to the imminent storm surge. Cyclone is probably a HE C3 or a low C4 atm"
X Link 2024-12-11T16:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Cyclone Chido is continuing to intensity as it moves west of Mauritius. The storm's CDO has become more uniform and the eye has warmed to over [--] degrees celsius over the past few hours. Likely a higher-end C4 atm and could become a C5 if it keeps this up"
X Link 2024-12-12T05:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Id watch to see if discrete supercells can manifest ahead of the line in LA/MS later this afternoon and evening. The environment ahead of the QLCS that should form along the front will be favorable for significant tornadoes. Instability dies off as the storms cross into AL"
X Link 2024-12-28T17:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"An extremely compact but very intense tornadic circulation is headed right for the Hillcrest TX area. There is a 60dbz debris ball with this tornado. Dangerous situation as its easier for smaller and more compact tornadoes to produce significant damage"
X Link 2024-12-28T19:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The ongoing long-lived tornadic supercell along the Texas Coast appears to be benefitting heavily from a confluence band and resultant nudgers to its SW. This storm could go on for a very long time"
X Link 2024-12-28T20:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"An extremely dangerous tornadic supercell with high end tornado potential will pass east of Brookhaven MS soon"
X Link 2024-12-28T23:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The extreme CDO and raw violence of Hurricane Wilma at the storms record intensity for the Atlantic. The pressure was an appalling [---] millibars at the time. This is one of the best IR presentations of a HURRICANE I have ever seen"
X Link 2025-02-12T04:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Advancements in weather forecasting are the reason why death tolls from events like the Tri State Tornado and the [----] Galveston Hurricane are relics of the past. This would open the door for thousands of unneeded deaths in the future"
X Link 2025-03-04T00:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is heartbreaking to watch. Massive tornado debris signature on this probably violent tornado NE of Bakersfield MO. Extremely life threatening situation #mowx"
X Link 2025-03-15T01:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I am currently using my discord bot to look through HRRR analysis of the 3/14/2025 outbreak in AR/MO. Some of these soundings are very top-tier so it is not surprising to see why this bad of an outbreak occurred. It is surprising that models picked up on the AR risk so late"
X Link 2025-03-24T18:20Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements
"Tornado potential increasing with these two storms in SE MO/NE AR currently. Rotation with storm near Doniphan MO is increasing quickly as a potentially favorable merger occurs in its SW flank"
X Link 2025-03-30T21:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If it isnt overtaken this supercell will head for St Louis in the long run"
X Link 2025-04-02T19:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Very classic case of extreme rapid intensification (ERI) ongoing with Cyclone Errol NW of Australia right now. Smaller cores are very prone to rapid intensification but they're also just as prone to falling apart and collapsing. Could make a C5 run if this keeps up"
X Link 2025-04-16T02:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The eye just warmed [--] degrees Celsius in [--] minutes. This is the fastest I've seen an eye clear out in a TC in a very long time. ERI should continue unabated unless an EWRC gets it before shear increases tomorrow around midday. Very classic case of extreme rapid intensification (ERI) ongoing with Cyclone Errol NW of Australia right now. Smaller cores are very prone to rapid intensification but they're also just as prone to falling apart and collapsing. Could make a C5 run if this keeps up. https://t.co/HygVmQlt4B Very classic case of extreme rapid intensification (ERI) ongoing with Cyclone"
X Link 2025-04-16T03:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is one of the most incredible tornado radar signatures I've seen in the Great Plains. This is a bit reminiscent of the Greensburg Supercell although this storm is thankfully in as isolated of an area as you can be"
X Link 2025-04-28T03:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If one of these storms NW of Lake Charles LA can organize and stay unimpeded we could see some significant tornadoes. The environment here is very saturated though so a storm needs to get lucky with mergers #lawx"
X Link 2025-05-06T21:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@CameronJNixon I think there should be. Once you extract the base l3 archive you get a ton of small files with different variables one of which is definitely echo tops"
X Link 2025-05-08T23:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@WxGareBear I did not know this data was archived how did you guys save it Is there any other data that you have saved that is NOT in the current nexrad L2/L3 archive"
X Link 2025-05-09T17:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The warm sector across northern Illinois looks kind of mixed with dewpoints in the high 60s and low 70s but temperatures staying in the low 90s. The temps will cool with time so I think that storms will first be hailers before going tornadic when the LLJ increases around 00z"
X Link 2025-05-15T21:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Whatever it is Im glad that the current supercell approaching Paducah is not producing a strong tornado. I hope it stays that way"
X Link 2025-05-16T21:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Please don't"
X Link 2025-05-17T00:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Marion IL tornado from 5/16 has been rated EF4 with winds of [---] mph This is the strongest tornado in Illinois since the Rochelle tornado [--] years ago"
X Link 2025-05-18T21:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Please please please please stop"
X Link 2025-05-19T02:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I think that the London KY EF4 tornado reached EF5 intensity in the forest before London. Why Notice how within the broad tree damage swath there is a small thin corridor of complete tree devastation at the center. This feature is unique to extremely high-end tornadoes like Smithville Hackleburg Bassfield and Kane PA 1985"
X Link 2025-05-27T01:47Z [----] followers, 17.4K engagements
"I just found a new major (probably EF3) tornado scar in a mountainous region in southern Russia near Mongolia. This major NW flow tornado traversed complicated terrain and was [---] miles wide. The tornado occurred at about 08:30 UTC on August 13th 2015"
X Link 2025-06-16T20:20Z [----] followers, 13.3K engagements
"I created a Python script to extract quality-controlled HRRR soundings by avoiding precip contamination. Here's a QC-controlled sounding for the supercells that produced intense tornadoes in North Dakota [--] days ago. This is an absolutely ridiculous top-tier parameter space"
X Link 2025-06-23T18:49Z [----] followers, 15K engagements
"This is the Trump Administration's justification for the proposed upcoming NOAA budget cuts. What on earth does any of this even mean We are collectively screwed as a society. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Fiscal-Year-2026-Discretionary-Budget-Request.pdf https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Fiscal-Year-2026-Discretionary-Budget-Request.pdf"
X Link 2025-06-30T20:26Z [----] followers, 14.9K engagements
"Please stop spreading misinformation. Weather manipulation exists but only on small scales with rain showers. You CAN'T manipulate major thunderstorms flooding events and especially hurricanes. Why People way underestimate the energy and resources youd need to do so"
X Link 2025-07-11T14:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I'm beginning to think that there's more to sub 900mb TC's than just core and shear luck. In addition to having a SMALL inner core and a LOW wind shear environment you need enough shear to be close by to help enhance the TC's outflow but not close enough to shear the storm apart. This makes the TC's outflow more efficient than it would normally be alone in an unsheared environment helping affected TC's reach locally higher intensities. Milton and Patricia [----] benefitted from this as well. Note the quality of the outflow on this TC's eastern quadrant which coincides with the presence of a jet"
X Link 2025-08-04T17:47Z [----] followers, 13.3K engagements
"Ill admit that this run is funny but my point still stands. No point in creating hype for one model run [---] hours out"
X Link 2025-08-04T23:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Holy Toledo this is ramping up very very fast. Radar evidence shows that the SW eyewall is incredibly strong. Small core indicates better RI prospects than expected before"
X Link 2025-08-16T04:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Erin is clearly still intensifying and has even fought off some of the NW shear over the past hour as the CDO has become more symmetrical while it was skewed to the S earlier. I think Erins C5 odds are good given consistent deepening rate and its shear fighting ability"
X Link 2025-08-16T12:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"See how there are two distinct cloud tops in #Erins CDO That means that the eyewall is becoming less uniform a clear indication of an imminent eyewall replacement cycle beginning"
X Link 2025-08-16T15:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Erins eye on the water vapor channel has reached [-----] degrees Celsius which makes it the driest eye recorded by water vapor satellite in the Atlantics history. It beats the temperature of [----] C by 2023s Hurricane Lee"
X Link 2025-08-16T15:26Z [----] followers, 11.7K engagements
"20 years ago today the most devastating American weather catastrophe of the century was unfolding as Katrina made landfall over New Orleans. The hurricanes large size N movement and previously large and broader C5 core turned it into a surge nightmare"
X Link 2025-08-29T12:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The left image shows what Wilma looked like at 08:00z when [---] mb was measured. The right image shows what Wilma looked like at 18:00z when the storm had steadied at [---] millibars"
X Link 2025-09-01T16:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This image shows Wilma at about 11:00 UTC when it was still maintaining a consistent satellite presentation from what it looked like at 08:00 UTC when the storm was still deepening. I think it's likely that the storm continued to intensify until about 12:00 UTC when the CDO"
X Link 2025-09-01T16:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
".began to degrade noticeably. Assuming the storm kept deepening at about 4mb/hr it could have gone into the 878-875 range before the EWRC began"
X Link 2025-09-01T17:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hurricane Kiko has made a substantial comeback over the past two hours significantly improving and clearing its eye again. The storm's now has dual healthy outflow channels on both N/S sides as a system to the north enhances the storm's outflow efficiency. C4 soon if not now"
X Link 2025-09-05T20:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The hurricane's presentation has only improved today. The eye is healthy and perfectly circular the CDO is very stable and symmetric and the outflow is better than it was last night. Probably at peak right now. Hurricane Kiko has made a substantial comeback over the past two hours significantly improving and clearing its eye again. The storm's now has dual healthy outflow channels on both N/S sides as a system to the north enhances the storm's outflow efficiency. C4 soon if not now. https://t.co/1Pmb3fpyYn Hurricane Kiko has made a substantial comeback over the past two hours significantly"
X Link 2025-09-07T01:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Theres quite a bit of agreement that an invest area in the WPAC will become a typhoon soon but your guess at to where it will go is as good as mine. Record -PDO has been keeping the WPAC way quieter than normal"
X Link 2025-09-10T12:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Here is an image of 1995s Hurricane Opal at its peak IR presentation. Recon made [---] mb measurement almost [--] hours later at 10:52 UTC by which the storms CDO degraded and became less symmetrical. A great C5 candidate"
X Link 2025-09-17T03:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Theres a pretty strong signal for a typhoon in the WPAC later this week. If it avoids the northern Philippines itll stay in an environment with low wind shear and nuclear SSTs for a while. This storm will have high intensity ceiling. Super Typhoon possible"
X Link 2025-09-17T20:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I was playing around with some MODIS data of Hurricane Rita from [----]. MODIS provides arguably some of the highest infrared satellite data there is. You can even make out the violent mesovortices within Rita's eyewall Storm was a Category [--] at this time but not at peak"
X Link 2025-09-19T04:36Z [----] followers, 15.3K engagements
"WPAC is back. Ragasa is heading dangerously close to Luzon and is intensifying quickly. Extremely healthy outflow shows that this storm is on its way to becoming a super typhoon. Neoguri may take a precarious track towards Japan. Looks like a mini weaker Dorian at the moment"
X Link 2025-09-20T14:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Typhoon Ragasa's current inability to form a solid and symmetrical CDO (see how the VHT's are a bit chaotic atm) might show the presence of some mid-level shear. The storm's continously healthy outflow shows that it isn't letting the ML shear weaken it. C4+ soon. Dangerous TC"
X Link 2025-09-20T17:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
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