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@RealEJAntoni E.J. Antoni, Ph.D.
E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. posts on X about fed, inflation, jan, debt the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and 2276 posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.
Engagements: XXXXXX #
- X Week XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +191%
- X Months XXXXXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXXXXX -XX%
Mentions: XX #
- X Week XX -XX%
- X Month XXX +59%
- X Months XXX +2.50%
- X Year XXX -XX%
Followers: XXXXXX #
- X Week XXXXXX +0.25%
- X Month XXXXXX +1.50%
- X Months XXXXXX +12%
- X Year XXXXXX +60%
CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #
Social Influence #
Social category influence finance #2261 stocks
Social topic influence fed #350, inflation #80, jan #52, debt, wholesale #33, paychex, all the #2503, tariffs #216, credit cards, balance sheet
Top assets mentioned Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)
Top Social Posts #
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"Liquidity constraint at large banks seems to have ended its 2-year slide and is rebounding but small banks seem to be flatlining in this regard; ever since the regional banking crisis liquidity constraint in small vs. big banks has been negatively correlated:"
@RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-12 17:44:12 UTC 77.3K followers, 3145 engagements
"Paychex: jobs index fell slightly in Jun to lowest level since Mar '21 and has been stuck near XXX for over a year now; don't expect a big contribution from small business in Thursday's jobs report from BLS:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-01 16:40:53 UTC 77.3K followers, 3359 engagements
"The number of people reporting that they're employed by gov't plunged 275k in Jun now down 577k YTD - let's keep it going and drain the swamp" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-03 13:54:06 UTC 77.3K followers, 44.8K engagements
"For all the talk about worsening inflation in Jun did anybody stop to look at car prices Used vehicle prices down XXX% since Jan new vehicle prices down XXX% over same period - obviously not Jan '21 levels but a step in the right direction:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-15 22:31:03 UTC 77.3K followers, 4615 engagements
"Consumer credit is still growing but revolving credit is shrinking; since credit standards and terms have actually eased slightly this probably points to people relying less on credit cards as opposed to lenders turning them down but we'll know more in the coming months:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-11 16:27:48 UTC 77.3K followers, 2523 engagements
"Most of the sales increases at wholesalers since Jan '21 were just inflation pushing up prices not more physical stuff being sold; the cumulative nominal increase through May '25 is XXXX% but the real (inflation-adjusted) increase is just 5.2%" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-12 18:08:37 UTC 77.3K followers, 3760 engagements
"This is the new normal: the Fed keeping bank reserves at twice their pre-pandemic levels and holding the whole system together w/ bubble gum and bailing wire" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-12 02:46:09 UTC 77.3K followers, 6028 engagements
"Can't believe people are still trying to blame the Jun uptick in CPI on housing alone when the shelter subindex rose at its slowest M/M rate since Feb '21 and X different methods of removing outliers from CPI all rose meaning the price increases are relatively widespread:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-16 13:26:17 UTC 77.3K followers, 2918 engagements
"Wholesale inflation headed in the right direction in Jun and will hopefully lead the various measures of consumer price inflation lower in the coming months; of course the goal here shouldn't be just XXX% but zero:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-16 13:34:20 UTC 77.3K followers, 4875 engagements
"Are we really on an upward trend here Where's the liquidity coming from as the Fed runs off the balance sheet Is it from lending Leverage The Fed is having to soak up more liquidity than X months ago even after factoring in the dip around Tax Day:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-06-25 18:21:57 UTC 77.3K followers, 8826 engagements
"Rather amazing that despite soaring interest cost on the federal debt Jun saw a surplus b/c of larger tax receipts including higher tariff revenues:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-11 22:36:10 UTC 77.3K followers, 6023 engagements
"As an homage to the Fed remodeling its DC headquarters into a modern-day Versailles this graph now matches the new marble being installed. Anyway the Fed is still paying $XXX million in DAILY interest to banks" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-11 03:12:43 UTC 77.3K followers, 5064 engagements
"Jun headline inflation was slightly hotter core a little cooler but this morning's CPI report was overall in line w/ expectations; the numbers are crystal clear: w/o further drops in energy prices progress on inflation is stalled" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-15 12:55:05 UTC 77.3K followers, 10.3K engagements
"Home prices are down since the Feb record high but they're still up XX% since the end of '19; throw in higher interest rates and it's no wonder the American dream is on life support" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-14 19:04:01 UTC 77.3K followers, 3873 engagements
"Construction activity in the Eurozone has been contracting since early '22 and worsened in Jun as stagflation settled in - prices pressures were the worst in a year and a half new orders and output dropped sharply employment declined and sentiment was slightly negative:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-06 13:35:29 UTC 77.3K followers, 4077 engagements
"It can't be said enough: we need to get energy prices down (they rose in Jun) - it's a ubiquitous input that affects prices throughout the economy; we're not getting any help from fiscal or monetary policy so this is a necessity for bringing down inflation" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-15 13:09:59 UTC 77.3K followers, 12.1K engagements
"CLV Fed: inflation expectations remain above XXX% for the coming decade; while inflation risk premium was unchanged from Jun to Jul real risk premium ticked down slightly; interestingly year-ahead expectations have worsened recently while longer-term ones improved" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-17 01:10:04 UTC 77.3K followers, 3292 engagements
"Even w/ core wholesale inflation being adjusted upward for May the Jun reading was marginally lower so cumulative inflation for the year is still just XXX% an annualized rate of merely XXX% while the Y/Y core rate plummeted from XXX% to XXX% - moving in the right direction:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-16 12:51:26 UTC 77.3K followers, 9642 engagements
"Revolving consumer credit shrunk in May as the brakes slammed on for credit cards; these debt levels remain at about $XXX trillion:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-11 15:53:31 UTC 77.3K followers, 5970 engagements
"Initial UI claims fell again last week down to 233k while continuing claims remain btwn 1.9-2.0 million although the 4-wk moving average rose to XXXXX million the highest since Nov '21; interesting that we're still not seeing many initial claims filter through to insured UI:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-05 23:42:59 UTC 77.3K followers, 4834 engagements
"It's hard to overstate how much long-lasting damage Powell & Co. did to the housing market beginning in '20 but for context if the Fed simply kept running off MBS instead of going on a buying spree there'd be zero left on the balance sheet today:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-12 02:56:33 UTC 77.3K followers, 13.8K engagements
"Even as median list price declines w/ normal seasonal pattern median sale price still rocketing upward hitting $400k for 1st time (median price per sq/ft also new record); housing market remains broken and cutting mortgage interest rates by 100-200bps won't fix it:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-05 14:55:18 UTC 77.3K followers, 7767 engagements
"Here's the good news from the Jun Paychex data - annual growth in weekly earnings for small business workers has risen every single month since Jan; this is a key part of restoring the lost purchasing power experienced under Biden:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-01 16:47:51 UTC 77.3K followers, 9125 engagements
"🥳Congratulations to Powell & Co. who have officially lost more than $XXX BILLION while also creating a veritable palace for themselves in the Eccles Building - your tax dollars at work. or missing. or something" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-11 03:02:52 UTC 77.3K followers, 28.4K engagements
"Reverse repo is about to drain completely then repo starts building then yields jump then Fed stops QE etc. We're off to the races before year's end" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-09 00:59:23 UTC 77.3K followers, 51.1K engagements
"If he wasnt mentally capable of issuing pardons why was he capable of leading the worlds largest economy" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-14 19:49:22 UTC 77.3K followers, 8687 engagements
"Jim is spot on as usual: a quarter million people filed unemployment claims last week (even more were laid off) but none of them were applauded as they cried for the cameras - the entitlement among these (former) federal employees is nauseating" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-12 17:34:36 UTC 77.3K followers, 37.6K engagements
"The part of ADP's job number that is most believable is the small business loss which aligns well w/ the relatively low number from Paychex:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-02 21:57:11 UTC 77.3K followers, 3216 engagements
"Despite the worst start ever to a fiscal year several key metrics have really turned around w/ Jun tax receipts up XXXX% and outlays down XXX% resulting in a surplus; last month was the first time this fiscal year that federal gov't spending was below $500B:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-11 22:52:10 UTC 77.3K followers, 10.3K engagements
"Wholesalers' inventories are up XXXX% since Jan '21 but nearly three-quarters of that increase is just inflation pushing up the prices inventories as opposed to more stuff in those inventories; in real terms inventories have been trending down since the end of '22:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-12 18:16:52 UTC 77.3K followers, 4231 engagements
"US net investment position improved slightly in Q1 from short-term lending abroad foreign currency appreciation US stock price declines and deposit flows; recall that net investment position change is NOT the same as net wealth change - they can move in opposite directions:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-06-30 15:17:33 UTC 77.3K followers, 7082 engagements
"Debt up again to new record: $XXXXXX trillion It's up $XXX billion in X days w/ much more to come" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-09 20:02:33 UTC 77.3K followers, 27.1K engagements
"Money market mutual funds remain above $X trillion and are poised to go higher fed by plenty of liquidity and T-bill issuance which is set to skyrocket following the debt ceiling increase; the Fed has truly botched the job:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-11 16:33:03 UTC 77.3K followers, 4265 engagements
"The fact is there's no inflation at the wholesale level since Jan and higher prices for tariffs have not thus far been passed on by foreign producers; to say otherwise is not to argue w/ me but your 2nd grade math teacher:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-16 13:16:04 UTC 77.3K followers, 27.7K engagements
"Small business optimism was flat in Jun and although it has improved from the post-April-2nd crash it's still nowhere near the levels seen in Nov after the presidential election; at least the OBBB should help address the biggest concern among respondents: taxes" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-12 19:09:29 UTC 77.3K followers, 3731 engagements
"And so it begins. Debt jumps $XXX billion in one day:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-09 00:08:28 UTC 77.3K followers, 756K engagements
"The drain is on. RRPs at the NY Fed down to just $XXX billion and fast approaching zero as Treasury resumes borrowing spree:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-10 17:20:57 UTC 77.3K followers, 16.4K engagements
"To be clear the uptick in the CPI does not appear to be from tariffs; import prices were flat M/M in May and preliminary data shows only a small increase for Jun; the big culprit here was energy - all the more reason why we need more domestic production:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-15 13:02:15 UTC 77.3K followers, 71.4K engagements
"Here's your regularly scheduled reminder that the shelter component of CPI is XX% of the index has a very small sample size and some of its subcomponents have long lags purposely built in; Y/Y owner's equivalent rent is falling but still showing us what happened months ago:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-15 14:21:56 UTC 77.3K followers, 4588 engagements
"CHI Fed National Activity Index rose in May but remained below trend w/ personal consumption really pulling down the index - that's particularly troubling given the lousy PCE number from Q1:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-06-26 18:02:56 UTC 77.3K followers, 3304 engagements
"ATL Fed: Jun sticky CPI remains elevated at XXX% Y/Y while flexible CPI rose to XXX% Y/Y in part from higher gasoline prices last month; still a long way to go and we're not getting any help on the gov't spending front or monetary policy" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-16 18:06:09 UTC 77.3K followers, 2809 engagements
"Jun wholesale inflation (headline and core) came in at zero M/M but that's b/c May was revised upward; w/o that revision both headline and core rose XXX% M/M bringing cumulative inflation since Jan to XXX% an annualized rate of just XXX% - terrific:" @RealEJAntoni on X 2025-07-16 12:44:19 UTC 77.3K followers, 10.5K engagements